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Understanding 5G - The industry’s evolutionary path towards next generation networks

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  1. 1. © GSMA 2015 Brazil, August 2015 Industry Hot Topic: 5G
  2. 2. © GSMA 2015 GSMA do Brasil 2 Sao Paulo Brasilia Office Santiago Mexico Bogota LocalPresence BuenosAires Delivery Sao Paulo • Operator-led ‘Vision 2020’ strategy development • Collaboration with ‘lead’ and ‘participant’ operators • In-market support to create ‘success stories’ Advocacy Brasilia • Leads policy debate, shaping the regulatory agenda • Enhance dialogue between MNOs and gov • Demonstrate value of mobile telecoms connectivity DIGITAL COMMERCE CONNECTED LIVING NETWORK 2020 PERSONAL DATA
  3. 3. © GSMA 2015 Evolution of technology generations in terms of service and performance 3 1979 1991 1998 2007
  4. 4. © GSMA 2015 5G R&D Activities – pre-standardisation (examples) 4 China: International Mobile Telecommunications IMT-2020 (5G) promotion association established in February 2013. Korea: 5G Forum of Korea published “2015 5G White Paper”, including • 5G New Wave towards Future Societies in the 2020s • 5G Vision, Requirements, and Enabling Technologies • 5G Spectrum Issues in Korea Japan: Fifth Generation Mobile Communications Promotion Forum (5GMF), since September 2014 has been participated in by 60 companies as well as a large number of academic experts. America: 4G Americas: Recommendations on 5G Requirements and Solutions” published on Oct 2014 Europe: European Commission 5G-Public Private Partnership (5G-PPP) established in 2013 Global: International Telecommunications Union (ITU) and 3rd Generation Partnership Project (3GPP) look to spectrum allocation and technical standardisation of 5G. Next Generation Mobile Network (NGMN) Alliance released white paper at MWC 2015 Barcelona
  5. 5. © GSMA 2015 Commercial Products 5G Standardisation – timeline, key dates and players 5 Industry Requirements Technical Requirements Candidate Technologies Spectrum Allocation 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 ITU 3GPP Events Requirements Workshop Proposals Evaluation Specifications WRC-15 WRC-19 Release 14 Release 15 Release 16 Vision Commercial Specification W. Olympics (Korea) S. Olympics (Japan) World Cup (Russia)  5G Spectrum at World Radiocommunication Conferences (WRC) 2015 and 2019  Standards Complete 2020  Commercial scaled Deployments 2022 onwards Study 5G Requirements and Technologies Standardise 5G Technologies
  6. 6. © GSMA 2015 5G Performance - technical targets and challenges 6 Higher Speed >10Gbps 30x 4G To support mass connectivity and increase spectral efficiency One Physical Network (hard) supporting Multiple Virtualised Networks (soft) New Air Interface New Architecture Higher bands to meet demands of speed and capacity, ability to aggregate all bands New Spectrum More Connections 1,000K/km² 100x 4G Lower Latency ~1ms 1/10th of 4G Network Slicing Multiple Virtual Networks Mobile Broadband and Verticals Numeric Source : NGMN 5G Whitepaper and Vendor Updates
  7. 7. © GSMA 2015 5G Services – what do we need 5G for? 5G looks to enable new applications, new business models, and even new industries 7
  8. 8. © GSMA 2015 5G Rollout – Mobile connections for 2G/3G/4G/5G 8 2G 3G 4G 5G -1 1 3 5 7 9 11 2015 2020 2025 MobileConnections Billions  $1.7 Trillion invested in 2G/3G/4G networks 2012- 2020  Cost to sustain 3-4 networks, drives decommissioning plans  Does not include Internet of Things >25Bn connections in 2020 Mobile Generations Note: This is for illustration only and is not the GSMA’s definitive forecast for 5G. The trend assumes that in the first 7 years, 5G connections will grow at same rate as 3G
  9. 9. © GSMA 2015 Network 2020 – 4G Evolution to 5G Commercialisation 4G Evolution Roadmap CONTEXT: “5G” business opportunities will emerge well ahead of 5G technical standards, for which Operators will require upgraded network capabilities and business models in the near term to exploit and ensure that 4G network assets are fully utilised. GSMA Scope (collaborating with 5G work within NGMN/Industry Groups): • Provide the short/mid-term strategic roadmap for Operators on how to maximise returns on investments in LTE network deployments and new technical enablers. • Provide requirements to the standardisation of 5G Radio and Core Networks to ensure alignment with the needs of future Operator business models. Enablers for 5G Commercialisation? Mobile Operator Strategy Changes in Business Principle Service Continuation New Technology Architectures
  10. 10. © GSMA 2015 5G Key Takeaways 10 5G seeks to enable new applications, new business models, across multiple new industries. To enable 5G deployment, an appropriate regulatory framework should be flexible, technologically neutral, guarantee freedom of business models and provide sufficient spectrum” Commercial scaled deployments are expected from 2022 onwards, with large events showcasing pre-commercial 5G from 2018 However, 2015 - 2020 dominated by LTE and its evolution, ~$1.7 Billion investment in 2G/3G/4G before 5G deployments reach scale Operator Collaboration is key for defining 5G requirements to ensure the technology meets the future needs of Consumers and Operators
  11. 11. © GSMA 2015 Thank You! 11