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Authorized and regulated by the FRC • Member of the Mongolian Stock Exchange
Mongolia Investors Cockpit 1
MARKET RESEARCH
December 4
th
2014
Mongolia Investors Cockpit
Monthly Report
MSE Top 20 Index, 1 year performance
15,023.85 -4.1% YOY Market news
November Trading
Total trading on the MSE was 2.55 billion MNT including block trades of
44.5% of MBG (Mon-It buligaar JSC 1.27 billion MNT) and 5% of BAN
(Baganuur JSC). The total monthly trading was 3.54 times larger compared
to the same period of 2013 and compared to the previous month’s trade
volume of 668.1 million MNT, it had increased by 3.81 times. ULN stock has
changed which was in Top-20 index portfolio, by NEH.
Government of Mongolia retail bond trading is continuing
Last months’ 4 times government bond trading was successfully and total
value was 12.76 billion MNT.
Date Period, (weeks) Annual yields Traded bond Value, (billion MNT)
2014/11/04 12 15.795% 45,020 4.50
2014/11/11 52 16.25% 2,304 0.23
2014/11/18 12 15.99% 55,337 5.53
2014/11/25 28 16.30% 24,961 2.49
Total 127,622 12.76
Source: MSE
The Ministry of Finance Mongolia decided to continue trading Government
retail bond through MSE. Here is the information of next trading bonds:
№
Bond code Period
(weeks)
Coupon
payment type
Annual
yield
Subscriptio
n start
date
Subscriptio
n end date
Эргэн
төлөлтийн
өдөр
1 ЗГЭБ-Б-12 12 Discount 15.96% 2014.11.26 2014.12.02 2015.02.24
2 ЗГЭБ-Б-52 52 Monthly - 2014.12.03 2014.12.09 2015.12.08
3 ЗГЭБ-Б-12 12 Discount - 2014.12.10 2014.12.16 2015.03.10
4 ЗГЭБ-Б-28 28 Discount - 2014.12.17 2014.12.23 2015.06.07
5 ЗГЭБ-Б-12 12 Discount - 2014.12.24 2014.12.30 2015.03.24
Source: MSE
The Secondary trading market is beginning after 20th
December. After this
secondary trading Mongolian long term government bond which has a 3,5,10
and 30 years, could be trading through the MSE.
Possibility of financing 888 SMEs from Capital market
Mongolian Development Bank and The Ministry of Economic Development
have chosen the 888 projects to replace import and increase export outputs.
15% of all those projects were financed from Development Bank and 85%
haven’t financed. FRC, MSE and MOFA organized discussions within project
owners and underwriters. Average one project’s financing capital could
approximately 1.5 billion MNT /0.8 million USD/. There are also 23
underwriters in Mongolian capital markets.
Merex JSC
Merex JSC which listed on 10April 2014 and began its main operations
officially received its special license for producing of concrete on 13Oct 2014
from MCUD. Now the company has made deal with Standard Property
group to supply 80,000m3 concrete during next 4 years. The company is
projecting 1bln MNT profit for 2015 and will distribute at least 25% of its
profit as dividedns.
Macro economy news
28th Prime Minister Saikhanbileg Chimed and his promises
Saikhanbileg Chimed has been elected as Mongolian 28th Prime Minister on
21st
November. His first promise was diagnose of Mongolian economic
system and subsidy the private sector by promote business-friendly
environment and reducing burden of taxation and customs legislation. This
fulfillment of the promises is impact to Mongolian capital market.
Source: Bloomberg
MSE Top 20 Stocks
(Share Price, Monthly performances)
Company name 4-Nov 4-Dec %
Mongol Shiltgeen JSC (MSH) 650 690 +6.15%
State Department Store JSC (UID) 552 560 +1.45%
APU JSC (APU) 3,700 3,752 +1.41%
Genco tour bureau JSC (JTB) 84 84 +-0.00%
Silikat JTB (SIL) 225 225 +-0.00%
Mogoin Gol JSC (BDL) 10,000 10,000 +-0.00%
Remicon JSC (RMC) 101 100 -0.99%
Telecom Mongolia JSC (MCH) 1,270 1,240 -2.36%
Bayangol ZB JSC (BNG) 60,000 58,000 -3.33%
Gobi JSC (GOV) 7,700 7,400 -3.90%
Tavantolgoi JSC (TTL) 4,800 4,590 -4.38%
Mongolia Development Resources (MDR) 520 495 -4.81%
Darkhan Nekhii (NEH) 18400 17500 -4.89%
Suu JSC (SUU) 126,500 120,000 -5.14%
Khukh gan JSC (HGN) 117 110 -5.98%
Talkh Chikher JSC (TCK) 19,950 18,500 -7.27%
BDSec JSC (BDS) 2,499 2,284 -8.60%
Baganuur JSC (BAN) 3,700 3,299 -10.84%
Shariin Gol JSC (SHG) 6,550 5,810 -11.30%
Source: MSE
Mongolia in the global context
Index YOY perf. YTD perf.
DJIA (US) +15.37% +10.49%
Nikkei 225 (JP) +18.05% +11.53%
Hang Seng (HK) +6.94% +6.60%
DAX 30 (DE) +9.37% +4.66%
SMI (CH) +16.86% +14.62%
MSE20 -4.13% -7.84%
Source: Bloomberg
Foreign Exchange Rates
(Monthly performances)
4-Nov 4-Dec %
USD-MNT 1,869.21 1,875.37 0.33%
JPY - MNT 16.46 15.64 -4.98%
EUR-MNT 2,337.73 2,307.74 -1.28%
CHF-MNT 1,938.91 1,917.16 -1.12%
Source: MongolBank
Authorized and regulated by the FRC • Member of the Mongolian Stock Exchange
Mongolia Investors Cockpit 2
MARKET RESEARCH
Standard Investment MSE Portfolios
We made portfolio from companies which have low P/B ratios and comparatively promising future plans. And this portfolio
would work in long term.
Stocks %
GOV 15%
MRX 20%
BNG 5%
HRM 5%
EER 5%
NEH 5%
GTL 10%
TTL 5%
BUK 10%
SHG 5%
TCK 10%
HGN 5%
For further information please contact chimgee@standardinvestment.mn
Authorized and regulated by the FRC • Member of the Mongolian Stock Exchange
Mongolia Investors Cockpit 3
MARKET RESEARCH
Global Network Contacts
MONGOLIA EUROPE & MIDDLE EAST HONG KONG
Standard Investment LLC
Head office
Jigjidjav’s Street 5/3
Khoroo 1, Chingeltei District
Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia
Postal address:
POB 1487, Central Post Office
Ulaanbaatar 15160
Standard Investment LLC
Representative Office
Switzerland
Bahnhofstrasse 98, 4th Floor
8001 Zurich
Standard Investment Co. Ltd.
Hong Kong Branch
21st Floor, Fairmont House,
8 Cotton Tree Drive, Central
Hong Kong
T +976 7011 4433 T +41 44 500 3220 T +852 61030227
info@standardinvestment.mn europe@standardinvestment.mn hk@standardinvestment.mn
Disclosures and Important Information
The information and opinions were prepared by Standard Investment LLC, and/or its affiliates (collectively, "Standard Investment").
Analyst Certification
As to each company mentioned in this report, the respective primary research analyst or analysts covering that company hereby certify that their views about the companies
and their securities discussed in this report are accurately expressed and that they have not received and will not receive direct compensation in exchange for expressing
specific recommendations or views in this specific report.
Market Research Conflict Management Policy
The equity research analysts or strategists principally responsible for the preparation of Standard Investment’s market research have received compensation based upon
various factors, including quality of research, investor client feedback, stock picking, competitive factors, firm revenues and overall investment banking revenues.
The fixed income research analysts or strategists principally responsible for the preparation have received compensation based upon various factors, including quality,
accuracy and value of research, firm profitability or revenues (which include fixed income trading and capital markets profitability or revenues), client feedback and
competitive factors. Fixed Income Research analysts' or strategists' compensation is not linked to investment banking or capital markets transactions performed by Standard
Investment or the profitability or revenues of particular trading desks.
Standard Investment and its affiliates and/or sister companies (part of the Standard Group) do business that relates to companies/instruments covered in Standard
Investment’s research publications, including market making, providing liquidity and specialized trading, risk arbitrage and other proprietary trading, fund management,
investment services and investment banking. Standard Investment sells to and buys from customers the securities/instruments of companies covered in our research
publications on a principal basis. Standard Investment’s may have a position in the debt of the Company or instruments discussed in this report.
INVESTORS ACT ON THEIR OWN RISK. THIS IS NOT AN OFFER TO BUY OR SELL OR THE SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO BUY OR SELL ANY SECURITY/INSTRUMENT
OR TO PARTICIPATE IN ANY PARTICULAR TRADING STRATEGY.
ALL INFORMATION IN THIS REPORT IS FOR GENERAL INFORMATION ONLY. THE INFORMATION IS DERIVED FROM SOURCES WHICH THE COMPANY BELIEVES TO BE
RELIABLE AND PREPARED IN GOOD FAITH. STANDARD INVESTMENT LLC MAKES NO GUARANTEE OF ACCURACY, TIMELINESS AND COMPLETENESS OF THE
INFORMATION. NEITHER STANDARD INVESTMENT NOR ITS AFFILIATES SHALL BE LIABLE FOR ANY DAMAGES ARISING OUT OF ANY PERSON’S RELIANCE UPON THIS
REPORT.
IT IS NOT ALLOWED TO COPY, REPRODUCE AND/OR DISTRIBUTE PARTS OF THIS RESEARCH REPORT (OR THE WHOLE CONTENT) TO THIRD PARTIES WITHOUT THE
WRITTEN CONSENT OF STANDARD INVESTMENT LLC.
© 2014 Standard Investment LLC – “Mongolia Investors Cockpit” is a service mark of Standard Investment Securities Company LLC.

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04.12.2014, Standard Investment LLC's Monthly Report, Standard Investment Securities Company LLC

  • 1. Authorized and regulated by the FRC • Member of the Mongolian Stock Exchange Mongolia Investors Cockpit 1 MARKET RESEARCH December 4 th 2014 Mongolia Investors Cockpit Monthly Report MSE Top 20 Index, 1 year performance 15,023.85 -4.1% YOY Market news November Trading Total trading on the MSE was 2.55 billion MNT including block trades of 44.5% of MBG (Mon-It buligaar JSC 1.27 billion MNT) and 5% of BAN (Baganuur JSC). The total monthly trading was 3.54 times larger compared to the same period of 2013 and compared to the previous month’s trade volume of 668.1 million MNT, it had increased by 3.81 times. ULN stock has changed which was in Top-20 index portfolio, by NEH. Government of Mongolia retail bond trading is continuing Last months’ 4 times government bond trading was successfully and total value was 12.76 billion MNT. Date Period, (weeks) Annual yields Traded bond Value, (billion MNT) 2014/11/04 12 15.795% 45,020 4.50 2014/11/11 52 16.25% 2,304 0.23 2014/11/18 12 15.99% 55,337 5.53 2014/11/25 28 16.30% 24,961 2.49 Total 127,622 12.76 Source: MSE The Ministry of Finance Mongolia decided to continue trading Government retail bond through MSE. Here is the information of next trading bonds: № Bond code Period (weeks) Coupon payment type Annual yield Subscriptio n start date Subscriptio n end date Эргэн төлөлтийн өдөр 1 ЗГЭБ-Б-12 12 Discount 15.96% 2014.11.26 2014.12.02 2015.02.24 2 ЗГЭБ-Б-52 52 Monthly - 2014.12.03 2014.12.09 2015.12.08 3 ЗГЭБ-Б-12 12 Discount - 2014.12.10 2014.12.16 2015.03.10 4 ЗГЭБ-Б-28 28 Discount - 2014.12.17 2014.12.23 2015.06.07 5 ЗГЭБ-Б-12 12 Discount - 2014.12.24 2014.12.30 2015.03.24 Source: MSE The Secondary trading market is beginning after 20th December. After this secondary trading Mongolian long term government bond which has a 3,5,10 and 30 years, could be trading through the MSE. Possibility of financing 888 SMEs from Capital market Mongolian Development Bank and The Ministry of Economic Development have chosen the 888 projects to replace import and increase export outputs. 15% of all those projects were financed from Development Bank and 85% haven’t financed. FRC, MSE and MOFA organized discussions within project owners and underwriters. Average one project’s financing capital could approximately 1.5 billion MNT /0.8 million USD/. There are also 23 underwriters in Mongolian capital markets. Merex JSC Merex JSC which listed on 10April 2014 and began its main operations officially received its special license for producing of concrete on 13Oct 2014 from MCUD. Now the company has made deal with Standard Property group to supply 80,000m3 concrete during next 4 years. The company is projecting 1bln MNT profit for 2015 and will distribute at least 25% of its profit as dividedns. Macro economy news 28th Prime Minister Saikhanbileg Chimed and his promises Saikhanbileg Chimed has been elected as Mongolian 28th Prime Minister on 21st November. His first promise was diagnose of Mongolian economic system and subsidy the private sector by promote business-friendly environment and reducing burden of taxation and customs legislation. This fulfillment of the promises is impact to Mongolian capital market. Source: Bloomberg MSE Top 20 Stocks (Share Price, Monthly performances) Company name 4-Nov 4-Dec % Mongol Shiltgeen JSC (MSH) 650 690 +6.15% State Department Store JSC (UID) 552 560 +1.45% APU JSC (APU) 3,700 3,752 +1.41% Genco tour bureau JSC (JTB) 84 84 +-0.00% Silikat JTB (SIL) 225 225 +-0.00% Mogoin Gol JSC (BDL) 10,000 10,000 +-0.00% Remicon JSC (RMC) 101 100 -0.99% Telecom Mongolia JSC (MCH) 1,270 1,240 -2.36% Bayangol ZB JSC (BNG) 60,000 58,000 -3.33% Gobi JSC (GOV) 7,700 7,400 -3.90% Tavantolgoi JSC (TTL) 4,800 4,590 -4.38% Mongolia Development Resources (MDR) 520 495 -4.81% Darkhan Nekhii (NEH) 18400 17500 -4.89% Suu JSC (SUU) 126,500 120,000 -5.14% Khukh gan JSC (HGN) 117 110 -5.98% Talkh Chikher JSC (TCK) 19,950 18,500 -7.27% BDSec JSC (BDS) 2,499 2,284 -8.60% Baganuur JSC (BAN) 3,700 3,299 -10.84% Shariin Gol JSC (SHG) 6,550 5,810 -11.30% Source: MSE Mongolia in the global context Index YOY perf. YTD perf. DJIA (US) +15.37% +10.49% Nikkei 225 (JP) +18.05% +11.53% Hang Seng (HK) +6.94% +6.60% DAX 30 (DE) +9.37% +4.66% SMI (CH) +16.86% +14.62% MSE20 -4.13% -7.84% Source: Bloomberg Foreign Exchange Rates (Monthly performances) 4-Nov 4-Dec % USD-MNT 1,869.21 1,875.37 0.33% JPY - MNT 16.46 15.64 -4.98% EUR-MNT 2,337.73 2,307.74 -1.28% CHF-MNT 1,938.91 1,917.16 -1.12% Source: MongolBank
  • 2. Authorized and regulated by the FRC • Member of the Mongolian Stock Exchange Mongolia Investors Cockpit 2 MARKET RESEARCH Standard Investment MSE Portfolios We made portfolio from companies which have low P/B ratios and comparatively promising future plans. And this portfolio would work in long term. Stocks % GOV 15% MRX 20% BNG 5% HRM 5% EER 5% NEH 5% GTL 10% TTL 5% BUK 10% SHG 5% TCK 10% HGN 5% For further information please contact chimgee@standardinvestment.mn
  • 3. Authorized and regulated by the FRC • Member of the Mongolian Stock Exchange Mongolia Investors Cockpit 3 MARKET RESEARCH Global Network Contacts MONGOLIA EUROPE & MIDDLE EAST HONG KONG Standard Investment LLC Head office Jigjidjav’s Street 5/3 Khoroo 1, Chingeltei District Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia Postal address: POB 1487, Central Post Office Ulaanbaatar 15160 Standard Investment LLC Representative Office Switzerland Bahnhofstrasse 98, 4th Floor 8001 Zurich Standard Investment Co. Ltd. Hong Kong Branch 21st Floor, Fairmont House, 8 Cotton Tree Drive, Central Hong Kong T +976 7011 4433 T +41 44 500 3220 T +852 61030227 info@standardinvestment.mn europe@standardinvestment.mn hk@standardinvestment.mn Disclosures and Important Information The information and opinions were prepared by Standard Investment LLC, and/or its affiliates (collectively, "Standard Investment"). Analyst Certification As to each company mentioned in this report, the respective primary research analyst or analysts covering that company hereby certify that their views about the companies and their securities discussed in this report are accurately expressed and that they have not received and will not receive direct compensation in exchange for expressing specific recommendations or views in this specific report. Market Research Conflict Management Policy The equity research analysts or strategists principally responsible for the preparation of Standard Investment’s market research have received compensation based upon various factors, including quality of research, investor client feedback, stock picking, competitive factors, firm revenues and overall investment banking revenues. The fixed income research analysts or strategists principally responsible for the preparation have received compensation based upon various factors, including quality, accuracy and value of research, firm profitability or revenues (which include fixed income trading and capital markets profitability or revenues), client feedback and competitive factors. Fixed Income Research analysts' or strategists' compensation is not linked to investment banking or capital markets transactions performed by Standard Investment or the profitability or revenues of particular trading desks. Standard Investment and its affiliates and/or sister companies (part of the Standard Group) do business that relates to companies/instruments covered in Standard Investment’s research publications, including market making, providing liquidity and specialized trading, risk arbitrage and other proprietary trading, fund management, investment services and investment banking. Standard Investment sells to and buys from customers the securities/instruments of companies covered in our research publications on a principal basis. Standard Investment’s may have a position in the debt of the Company or instruments discussed in this report. INVESTORS ACT ON THEIR OWN RISK. THIS IS NOT AN OFFER TO BUY OR SELL OR THE SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO BUY OR SELL ANY SECURITY/INSTRUMENT OR TO PARTICIPATE IN ANY PARTICULAR TRADING STRATEGY. ALL INFORMATION IN THIS REPORT IS FOR GENERAL INFORMATION ONLY. THE INFORMATION IS DERIVED FROM SOURCES WHICH THE COMPANY BELIEVES TO BE RELIABLE AND PREPARED IN GOOD FAITH. STANDARD INVESTMENT LLC MAKES NO GUARANTEE OF ACCURACY, TIMELINESS AND COMPLETENESS OF THE INFORMATION. NEITHER STANDARD INVESTMENT NOR ITS AFFILIATES SHALL BE LIABLE FOR ANY DAMAGES ARISING OUT OF ANY PERSON’S RELIANCE UPON THIS REPORT. IT IS NOT ALLOWED TO COPY, REPRODUCE AND/OR DISTRIBUTE PARTS OF THIS RESEARCH REPORT (OR THE WHOLE CONTENT) TO THIRD PARTIES WITHOUT THE WRITTEN CONSENT OF STANDARD INVESTMENT LLC. © 2014 Standard Investment LLC – “Mongolia Investors Cockpit” is a service mark of Standard Investment Securities Company LLC.