Pork in the Food Service Industry - Mr. Stephen Gerike, National Pork Board, from the 2017 North American PRRS/National Swine Improvement Federation Joint Meeting, December 1‐3, 2017, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
More presentations at http://www.swinecast.com/2017-north-american-prrs-nsif-joint-meeting
4. Pork is the Fastest Growing Protein
Since 2011
Over the past six years, pork has grown on a pound basis by
more than double the next fastest-growing protein
Source: NPB Volumetric Assessment of Pork in Foodservice, 2017
5. Foodservice Pork Market Growth
The total foodservice pork market growth has slowed between 2015 and 2017 from recent historic rates.
• The slowed growth can be attributed to declining beef prices, a major competitor of fresh pork, as
well as softness within the chain casual dining market.
5
5,171
5,479
5,820
5,934
2011 2013 2015 2017
2.9% 2.7%* 0.8%*
= 2 YR Compounded annual growth rate.
* = New categories added in 2015 and 2017 not included in growth calculation, but are included in pound totals shown.
MM lbs
Source: Technomic
6. Foodservice Pork Market Size
6
Source: Technomic
20%
16%
12%
11%
7%
34%
Bacon 1,202 MM lbs Ham (processed) 939 MM lbs Breakfast sausage 714 MM lbs
Ribs 651 MM lbs Pepperoni 414 MM lbs All Other Pork 2,014 MM lbs
Total 2017
5,934 MM lbs
7. Pork usage by daypart
Pork pound share of daypart volume All foodservice share of daypart sales
14%
36%
41%
9%
2017
28%
35%
33%
4%
Breakfast Lunch Dinner Snack
Source: Technomic
7
28%
36%
32%
4%
20172015
9. Operator Volume Segmentation of Pork
• Limited service and full service
restaurants represent the largest user
groups of pork in foodservice
• LSRs slightly over-index in the volume
compared to their all commodity value.
• An opportunity area appears to be
within c-stores and supermarket
foodservice, where pork’s volume is
underpenetrated compared to all
commodity value.
9
Segment
2017 Volume
% ACV*
MM lbs %
Limited Service Restaurants 2,198 37% 33%
Full Service Restaurants 1,803 30% 30%
Lodging 464 8% 5%
Colleges 298 5% 3%
Healthcare 290 5% 6%
Recreation (including cruise lines) 227 4% 3%
B&I 194 3% 3%
Schools 155 3% 5%
Supermarket foodservice 131 2% 7%
Other retailers 89 1% 2%
C-Stores 85 1% 4%
Total 5,934 100% 100%
Numbers may not add due to rounding.
*All commodity value = share of total purchases of foodservice products.
Source: TechnomicSource: Technomic
10. Bacon Bigger Than Ever
Bacon shows no signs of slowing. Of total foodservice
pork volume in 2017 (5.934 billion pounds), bacon is 20%
- up 4% since 2015.
12. Consumers Love Pork at Restaurants
12
82%
Are eating as much or
more Pork from
restaurants versus a year ago
Source:TechnomicCenterofthePlateTrendReport,2017
Porkeaters,eatingporkasmuchormoreoften
13. 40% want Pork dishes with ethnic
flavors and ingredients (up 6 points since 2015)
41% want to try Pork made with new,
unique flavors (up 5 points since 2015)
Source: Technomic Center of the Plate Trend Report, 2017, Pork eaters, top two box, six point scale
ConsumersContinuetoWant AdventurousFlavors
14. “If you’re looking for a trendy pork dish to
add to the menu, you’ll certainly be up to
the minute if you dabble in carnitas.”
National Culinary Review, September 2016
Pork isonTrendandAuthentictoGlobal Cuisines
15. Pork is Popularand Chains Love Its Versatility
Source: NPB Foodservice Benchmarking Study 2016
“Pork is very versatile. We can use a variety of cooking
methods and it pairs well with many types of flavors.”
– Casual Dining Restaurant Operator
“Sales of pork dishes have increased for us year over year. Our
LTO with pork was the top selling item in that category.”
– Fast Casual Operator
15
16. Our Strategy is to Deliver Inspiration
• We work with Chefs and industry partners to
identify trends and tell their story through a pork
lens
• Through are trend mapping we are able to deliver
on consumer and operator demands
17. Trend Mapping
We track trends closely throughout the trends path, from foodservice
and through mainstream grocery
Inception Ubiquity
17
1
• Fine Dining
• Independent
Restaurants
• Ethnic
• Food Trucks
2
• Industry/Gourmet
Food Media
• Specialty Retail
3
• Mainstream
Women’s
Magazines
• Recipe Websites
4
• Full-Service Chain
Restaurants
• Food TV
5
• QSR Menus
• Mainstream
Grocery
18. How Trend Mapping Works in Practice
19.5%
20.0%
19.9%
20.2%
20.1%
20.4% 20.4%
20.9%
21.1%
21.9%
22.1%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
22.1% menu
penetration
menu growth rate
MEXICAN CUISINE MENU PENETRATION % of US restaurant menus
that feature
1 YEAR
+1%
4 YEAR
+8%
SINCE 2007
+13%
Source:DatassentialMenuTrends18
19. Tacos on Mainstream Menus
19.2% 19.2% 19.4% 19.8%
20.9%
21.7% 22.1%
23.1%
23.9%
25.1% 25.5%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
TACOS MENU PENETRATION % of US restaurant menus
that feature
19 Source:DatassentialMenuTrends
25.5% menu
penetration
menu growth rate
1 YEAR
+1%
4 YEAR
+15%
SINCE 2007
+32%
20. Carnitas Across Menus
CARNITAS MENU PENETRATION % of US restaurant menus
that feature
5.7%
5.9% 5.8% 5.9% 6.0%
6.2% 6.2%
6.5%
6.9%
7.2%
7.4%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
20 Source:DatassentialMenuTrends
7.4% menu
penetration
menu growth rate
1 YEAR
+2%
4 YEAR
+18%
SINCE 2007
+30%
30. CommunicatingThrough
• Integrated Events
• Pork-A-Palooza Part 2 James Beard
House Dinner
• 2017 Pork Crawl
• Print and Digital Advertising
• UNCUT and Make it Like this Chef Videos
• Website Takeovers
33. Doneness Range Enables Consumer
33
For the best eating experience
we recommends cooking pork
loin cuts to 145∘F
We are spreading the word on
end-point cooking temperature
160∘
145∘
150∘
155∘
34. 34
“Just try pork medium. It’s not going
to kill you and it will actually make
your life better.”
Nick Solares, The Meat Show, Eater, March 2017
Cookingto145∘FAddsMore Flavor
35. Nomenclature Initiative Delivers Value to Operators
35
The Pork Nomenclature Initiative
Captures Value While Leveraging
Consumer Knowledge
We conducted extensive research to
confirm that people are confused by
the fact that different names are often
used for similar cuts of meat
Collaboration across the meat industry
resulted in the introduction of new,
more consumer-friendly names in the
North American Meat Institute Meat
Buyer’s Guide
36. Pork Quality is About Consistency
36
We are working with the USDA-AMS to
revise the pork grade standards
The revised standards should reflect
the tenderness, marbling and color that
chefs and consumers are looking for
Updated standards will also make it
easier for consumers to buy pork
based on their preferences, and drive
more value from the pork loin
The total foodservice pork market growth has slowed between 2015 and 2017 from recent historic rates. Between 2015 and 2017, the pork category continued to grow, but only at a 0.8% average annual rate compared to 2.9% and 2.7% during the previous two periods respectively.
Declining beef prices, a major competitor of fresh pork, as well as softness within the chain casual dining market have been contributors to this slowdown in overall volume growth.
The total foodservice pork market totals just over 5.9 billion pounds in 2017. Bacon represents the largest share of volume, at 20%, or 1.2 billion pounds, followed by processed ham at 939 million pounds, with a 16% share. The top 5 pork products – bacon, processed ham, breakfast sausage, ribs, and pepperoni – represent 66% of total foodservice pork volume.
The Culinary Trend Path outlines how food trends begin in foodservice and become ubiquitous with consumers
By monitoring trends through the path, we can identify trends that are ready to be pushed towards ubiquity
We know Mexican food is ubiquitous and growing so we dive deeper into the trend to understand what is driving it and how Pork fits in
We dive into tacos and see pork as a strong performer/ingredient
And that leads us to Carnitas
Then we are able to think about pork and Mexican and put our finger on the next trend – which is regional Mexican
We have been interested in this “cutting edge” trend for sometime and in fact, we took a group of editors to LA last year to taste their way through the tacos and pork dishes of regional mexico
But it’s not just Tacos, there are a lot of Regional Mexican dishes and now we are talking about these dishes – helping to drive the trend of pork dishes