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Labour Market Information
Jasmina Behan
Skills and Labour Market Research Unit
SOLAS and Expert Group on Future Skills Needs
December 2014
Outline
• Identification of skill needs in Ireland
• Current labour market situation at national level
• Mid West
• Future demand for skills
SOLAS
SOLAS
SOLAS
SOLAS
SOLAS
SOLAS
SOLAS
Labour market: current situation
Source: Central Statistics Office
2007 Q2 2012 Q2 2014
Employment
2.16m 1.84m 1. 90m
Unemployment
105,000 323,000 255,000
Unemployment rate
5% 15% 12%
Employment by occupation (quarter 2 2013, 000s)
Unemployment (q4 2013) Unemployment rate
SOLAS
Unemployment rate by age and education
(quarter 4 2013)
PES Job seekers by region and county Nov 2014
• Sales, marketing and customer service
• Science and engineering professionals and technicians (ICT, engineering, etc.)
• Business professionals (accounting, finance, risk, sales accounts etc.)
• Administrative occupations (book-keepers, payroll clerks, financial clerks)
• Craft (tool making, welding)
• Caring personal services (care workers, nursing assistants)
• Catering occupations (chefs, waiters, kitchen/catering assistants)
• Corporate managers and directors (manufacturing, warehousing, HR etc.)
Current demand: vacancies
• ICT (software developers, databases/big data, specific product knowledge, IT security,
technical support, networking and infrastructure)
• Engineering (production and process engineering; quality and validation; product
development and design
• Science (R&D, science & business; science & sales)
• Business & finance (accountants, quantitative analysts (e.g. financial analysts,
statisticians, economists, actuaries, risk analysts); management consultants
• Health (doctors (GPs and non-consultant hospital doctors), nurses (intensive care,
theatre, oncology, paediatrics, geriatric care), radiographers (CT, MRI), sonographers
• Sales (technical sales (B2B and B2C), multilingual customer support, online sales and
marketing)
• Craft (tool making, welding (TIG, MIG))
• Transport (multilingual supply chain and logistics managers, HGV and forklift drivers)
• Clerical (multilingual credit control/debt collection, supply chain & logistics)
Current demand: difficult to fill vacancies
Regional classification: CSO NUTS3
Border Dublin Mid-East Midland Mid-West West South-East South-West
Cavan Dublin City Kildare Laois Clare Galway City Carlow Cork City
Donegal Dublin County Meath Longford Limerick City Galway County Kilkenny Cork County
Leitrim Wicklow Offaly Limerick County Mayo South Tipperary Kerry
Louth Westmeath North Tipperary Roscommon Waterford City
Monaghan Waterford County
Sligo Wexford
In the CSO classification, Meath is
classified in the Mid-East region which
also includes Dublin, Kildare and
Wicklow – a grouping often referred
to as the Greater Dublin Area (GDA);
in the VEC grouping, it is grouped with
Louth, which the CSO classifies as a
Border county.
Mid-West
Population : 378,000
Working age (15-64): 247,000
Labour force: 174,000
Employment: 151,000
Unemployment: 18,200
Employment rate: 60.2%
Unemployment rate: 10.7%
Participation rate: 57.2%
GVA per person (€) 25,982
GVA P.P. INDEX (State = 100) 81.0
Source: CSO QNHS Q4 2013
Mid-West– Employment by broad economic sector, Q4 2013
Source: Analysis by FÁS (SLMRU) based on CSO data
Employment distribution by sector
Mid-West – enterprises (non-public sector, non-farming)
• Just under 15,000 active enterprises
– 92% employ fewer than 10 persons; <1% employ 250+
– Almost 30% of active enterprises were in Wholesale and Retail
– The largest number of active enterprises are in
Wholesale/Retail followed by Construction
– The largest enterprises are in manufacturing
Mid-West – Industry (manufacturing, energy and utilities)
Industrial units Gross output in industrial units (€ billion)
Mid-West – manufacturing employment (q4 2013)
Mid-West – manufacturing (food and beverages)
Mid-West – Manufacturing
High-tech manufacturing
Medium-high-tech manufacturing
Bijur Lubricating Ireland Ltd
Rettig Ireland Ltd
Mid-West – other sectors
Accommodation
Finance and Insurance
Wholesale and Retail
Architectural & Engineering
Scientific Research & Development
Personnel Services
Admin & Support
Sykes
Mid-West – employment by occupation (q4 2013)
Employment distribution by sector
Mid-West – estimated replacement demand
Occupational group Employment q4 2013
Replacement
rate
Replacement
demand
Managers 12000 2% 200
Professionals 26000 2% 500
Assoc. prof. 15000 2% 300
Clerks 16000 2% 300
Skilled trades 29000 2% 600
Care, leisure etc. 12000 2% 200
Sales/customer care 12000 2% 200
Operatives 14000 2% 300
Elementary 16000 2% 300
Total 152000 2% 3000
Source: SLMRU analysis of the CSO data
Mid-West – job announcements
Manufactruing
Medical Devices
Ethicon Biosurgery
Regeneration
Pharmaceuticals
Vistakon
Constructi
on
Re-
generatio
n UL
ICT/Services
Wipro
Financial
Services
Pepper Asset
Servicing
University of
Limerick – UL
Capital
Development
Plan
Mid-West – unemployment (q1 2013)
Unemployment by age Unemployment by education
PES Vacancies and Job Seekers by Occupation
SOLAS
PES job seekers by education
SOLAS
Sectoral employment projections (ESRI MTR 2013)
Employment growth by occupational family 2012-2020 (Recovery)
Labour Market Transitions
Employment
Unemployment
134,500
97,700
Inactivity
Inter-
occupation
al 51,500
Intra-
occupation
al 139,000
133,500
155,000
207,600
193,800
Labour market transitions: key points
• Large volume of movement in and out of employment
• Indication of flexibility of the Irish labour market
• Entries to employment exceed exits to unemployment and inactivity
• Challenge in securing continuity of employment (teachers, doctors, carers,
clerks, sales, food operatives, taxi drivers and many elementary
occupations (e.g. hospitality, cleaning, construction etc.)
• Up-skilling as a strategy to improve employment quality
– Exits to education (sales, elementary)
– Inter-occupational movements: net gainers and net losers
Labour Market Transitions
Concluding remarks on future demand for skills
• Skills – key resource for growth (flexibility, productivity, innovation)
• From quantity to quality of jobs (knowledge intensive occupations)
• From investment to knowledge driven economy
• From employee to employer
• From ‘job for life’ to ‘work for life’
• Life long learning
38
39
Relevant reports
SOLAS
National Skills
Bulletin 2014
Monitoring
Ireland’s Skills
Supply 2014
Regional Labour
Markets Bulletin
2014
www.skillsireland.ie
Occupational
Employment
Projections 2020
www.solas.ie
Vacancy
Overview 2013
Contact details
Jasmina.Behan@solas.ie
Tel. 01 5332459
www.solas.ie
www.skillsireland.ie
SOLAS

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Presenation to LCETB from SMLRU

  • 1. Labour Market Information Jasmina Behan Skills and Labour Market Research Unit SOLAS and Expert Group on Future Skills Needs December 2014
  • 2. Outline • Identification of skill needs in Ireland • Current labour market situation at national level • Mid West • Future demand for skills SOLAS
  • 9. Labour market: current situation Source: Central Statistics Office 2007 Q2 2012 Q2 2014 Employment 2.16m 1.84m 1. 90m Unemployment 105,000 323,000 255,000 Unemployment rate 5% 15% 12%
  • 10. Employment by occupation (quarter 2 2013, 000s)
  • 11. Unemployment (q4 2013) Unemployment rate SOLAS
  • 12. Unemployment rate by age and education (quarter 4 2013)
  • 13. PES Job seekers by region and county Nov 2014
  • 14. • Sales, marketing and customer service • Science and engineering professionals and technicians (ICT, engineering, etc.) • Business professionals (accounting, finance, risk, sales accounts etc.) • Administrative occupations (book-keepers, payroll clerks, financial clerks) • Craft (tool making, welding) • Caring personal services (care workers, nursing assistants) • Catering occupations (chefs, waiters, kitchen/catering assistants) • Corporate managers and directors (manufacturing, warehousing, HR etc.) Current demand: vacancies
  • 15. • ICT (software developers, databases/big data, specific product knowledge, IT security, technical support, networking and infrastructure) • Engineering (production and process engineering; quality and validation; product development and design • Science (R&D, science & business; science & sales) • Business & finance (accountants, quantitative analysts (e.g. financial analysts, statisticians, economists, actuaries, risk analysts); management consultants • Health (doctors (GPs and non-consultant hospital doctors), nurses (intensive care, theatre, oncology, paediatrics, geriatric care), radiographers (CT, MRI), sonographers • Sales (technical sales (B2B and B2C), multilingual customer support, online sales and marketing) • Craft (tool making, welding (TIG, MIG)) • Transport (multilingual supply chain and logistics managers, HGV and forklift drivers) • Clerical (multilingual credit control/debt collection, supply chain & logistics) Current demand: difficult to fill vacancies
  • 16. Regional classification: CSO NUTS3 Border Dublin Mid-East Midland Mid-West West South-East South-West Cavan Dublin City Kildare Laois Clare Galway City Carlow Cork City Donegal Dublin County Meath Longford Limerick City Galway County Kilkenny Cork County Leitrim Wicklow Offaly Limerick County Mayo South Tipperary Kerry Louth Westmeath North Tipperary Roscommon Waterford City Monaghan Waterford County Sligo Wexford In the CSO classification, Meath is classified in the Mid-East region which also includes Dublin, Kildare and Wicklow – a grouping often referred to as the Greater Dublin Area (GDA); in the VEC grouping, it is grouped with Louth, which the CSO classifies as a Border county.
  • 17. Mid-West Population : 378,000 Working age (15-64): 247,000 Labour force: 174,000 Employment: 151,000 Unemployment: 18,200 Employment rate: 60.2% Unemployment rate: 10.7% Participation rate: 57.2% GVA per person (€) 25,982 GVA P.P. INDEX (State = 100) 81.0 Source: CSO QNHS Q4 2013
  • 18. Mid-West– Employment by broad economic sector, Q4 2013 Source: Analysis by FÁS (SLMRU) based on CSO data
  • 20. Mid-West – enterprises (non-public sector, non-farming) • Just under 15,000 active enterprises – 92% employ fewer than 10 persons; <1% employ 250+ – Almost 30% of active enterprises were in Wholesale and Retail – The largest number of active enterprises are in Wholesale/Retail followed by Construction – The largest enterprises are in manufacturing
  • 21. Mid-West – Industry (manufacturing, energy and utilities) Industrial units Gross output in industrial units (€ billion)
  • 22. Mid-West – manufacturing employment (q4 2013)
  • 23. Mid-West – manufacturing (food and beverages)
  • 24. Mid-West – Manufacturing High-tech manufacturing Medium-high-tech manufacturing Bijur Lubricating Ireland Ltd Rettig Ireland Ltd
  • 25. Mid-West – other sectors Accommodation Finance and Insurance Wholesale and Retail Architectural & Engineering Scientific Research & Development Personnel Services Admin & Support Sykes
  • 26. Mid-West – employment by occupation (q4 2013)
  • 28. Mid-West – estimated replacement demand Occupational group Employment q4 2013 Replacement rate Replacement demand Managers 12000 2% 200 Professionals 26000 2% 500 Assoc. prof. 15000 2% 300 Clerks 16000 2% 300 Skilled trades 29000 2% 600 Care, leisure etc. 12000 2% 200 Sales/customer care 12000 2% 200 Operatives 14000 2% 300 Elementary 16000 2% 300 Total 152000 2% 3000 Source: SLMRU analysis of the CSO data
  • 29. Mid-West – job announcements Manufactruing Medical Devices Ethicon Biosurgery Regeneration Pharmaceuticals Vistakon Constructi on Re- generatio n UL ICT/Services Wipro Financial Services Pepper Asset Servicing University of Limerick – UL Capital Development Plan
  • 30. Mid-West – unemployment (q1 2013) Unemployment by age Unemployment by education
  • 31. PES Vacancies and Job Seekers by Occupation SOLAS
  • 32. PES job seekers by education SOLAS
  • 34. Employment growth by occupational family 2012-2020 (Recovery)
  • 35. Labour Market Transitions Employment Unemployment 134,500 97,700 Inactivity Inter- occupation al 51,500 Intra- occupation al 139,000 133,500 155,000 207,600 193,800
  • 36. Labour market transitions: key points • Large volume of movement in and out of employment • Indication of flexibility of the Irish labour market • Entries to employment exceed exits to unemployment and inactivity • Challenge in securing continuity of employment (teachers, doctors, carers, clerks, sales, food operatives, taxi drivers and many elementary occupations (e.g. hospitality, cleaning, construction etc.) • Up-skilling as a strategy to improve employment quality – Exits to education (sales, elementary) – Inter-occupational movements: net gainers and net losers Labour Market Transitions
  • 37. Concluding remarks on future demand for skills • Skills – key resource for growth (flexibility, productivity, innovation) • From quantity to quality of jobs (knowledge intensive occupations) • From investment to knowledge driven economy • From employee to employer • From ‘job for life’ to ‘work for life’ • Life long learning
  • 38. 38
  • 39. 39
  • 40. Relevant reports SOLAS National Skills Bulletin 2014 Monitoring Ireland’s Skills Supply 2014 Regional Labour Markets Bulletin 2014 www.skillsireland.ie Occupational Employment Projections 2020 www.solas.ie Vacancy Overview 2013
  • 41. Contact details Jasmina.Behan@solas.ie Tel. 01 5332459 www.solas.ie www.skillsireland.ie SOLAS