1. September 17, 2013
US Options Trading 2013:
Looking for the Edge
Andy Nybo
Principal, Head of Derivatives
TABB Group
2. Proprietary and Confidential
Agenda
Introduction and methodology
Market conditions and strategies
Liquidity challenges
Technological necessity
Broker services
Key takeaways
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3. Proprietary and Confidential
52 firms interviewed for
the 2013 report
22 asset managers
26 hedge funds
4 prop trading firms
Total AuM of $6.8 trillion
AM - $6.7 trillion
HF - $50.6 billion
Prop - $2.5 billion
Average daily trading
volume for the sample
totaled 644.6K contracts
AM – 64.2K
HF – 472.4K
Prop – 108.1K
43%
49%
8%
Asset Managers Hedge Funds Prop
Methodology
Participant Segmentation
$6.8 Trillion AUM
Population by Type
99.2%
.7%
.1%
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4. Proprietary and Confidential
312
262
351
406
309
283
342 341
378
417
335
373
348
550
391
344
320 320
378
326
307
330 336
361
312
371386
361
Monthly Options Trading Volume
Jan-10 to Jun-13
Source: OCC, TABB Group estimates
3,899
4,563
4,003
4,224
Annual Volume
Note: All amounts in millions of contracts
Options volume estimates: 2010 to 2013P
5.5%
-12.5%
US listed option volumes are flat year-to-date with
volume projected to increase marginally in 2013
4
5. Proprietary and Confidential
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2012 – 2013 Closing Low
March 15, 2013 – 11.3
2012 – 2013 Closing High
June 1, 2012 - 26.7
Jan-12 Dec-12 June-13
Benign volatility is causing the buy side to refine
strategies and adjust expectations to a new normal
Source: CBOE, TABB Group 5
6. Proprietary and Confidential
Yes
68%
No
32%
Have you adapted your
strategy due to lower volatility?
How?
32%
24%
21%
18%
15%
9%
9%
9%
6%
6%
6%
Manage
exposure…
Lower
volumes
Bigger
Positions
Writing tighter
strikes
Adjust
expectations
More precise
focus
Replication
Spreads
Less vol
selling
React faster
Less
overwriting
Traders are becoming more precise in their options
strategies as they look to capture declining levels of edge
Source: TABB Group 6
7. Proprietary and Confidential
17%
33%
17%
17%
11%
22%
11%
48%
13%
22%
26%
17%
13%
9%
13%
Less liquidity
More liquidity
More electronic
trading
Tiered liquidity
Lower dealer
capital
Lower margins
Weeklys
New products
Asset managers Hedge funds
What has changed the most in options markets?
The sell side is tiering liquidity, creating challenges for
aggressive trading strategies requiring capital
Source: TABB Group 7
8. Proprietary and Confidential
Proportion of Volume Traded by Symbol
30%
35% 36% 36% 40% 39% 41%
21%
22% 21% 22%
22% 22% 21%
12%
10% 11% 11%
10% 11% 10%
25%
24% 23% 22% 20% 21% 20%
12% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013:H2
Top 10 names 11 to 50 51 to 100 101 to 500 501 and above
72% of
all
volume
is in top
100
names
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Liquidity is becoming concentrated in the top 100 names
with tighter markets and less available edge the result
Source: OCC, TABB Group
12. Proprietary and Confidential
What projects?
29%
29%
14%
14%
14%
33%
11%
22%
11%
11%
11%
11%
Back office
Analytics
Entire infrastructure
New ETS
Spread trading
capability
Broker neutral ETS
OTC pricing
Low latency platform
Asset Managers Hedge Funds
New technology projects are on hiatus; current priorities are
targeted at efficiencies across the trading process
Source: TABB Group 11
Yes
39%
No
61%
Have you implemented any new
technology projects for options trading?
14. Proprietary and Confidential
50%
25%
25%
29%
43%
29%
Higher volumes
Screen liquidity
Commission
savings
Asset managers Hedge funds
What would influence you to use more low touch order channels?
Future gains in electronic trading will come from higher
volumes and efforts to reduce trading costs
Source: TABB Group 13
16. Proprietary and Confidential
How would you rank your top broker in the following service areas?
3.73.8
3.6
3.8
4.14.14.2
3.7
4.04.1
4.3
4.54.5
4.7
Research qualityMarket colorCommission
rates
Back office
support
Availability of
capital
Execution
expertise
Trust to work an
order
Second place broker Top broker
Trust, execution and access to capital drive the broker
selection process
Source: TABB Group 15
19. Proprietary and Confidential
Key takeaways
The benign volatility environment is forcing buy side traders to
chase edge
Traders are refining strategies as lower volatility reduces opportunity
Traders are exploring new products and asset types
Tiered liquidity is challenging buy side traders
Liquidity is concentrated in top 100 names causing tighter markets and
reduced edge
Brokers are becoming more judicious when allocating capital
Low touch channels are important for more liquid options
Use of DMA, complex orders and algos is critical in more liquid options
The complexity of strategies is also driving technology adoption
High touch, full service brokers are essential but lower
commissions are forcing brokers to rationalize service offerings
Competition from electronic execution and agency brokers is pressuring
commission levels
Full service brokers still dominate due to the need for capital and support
for larger and more complex trades
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20. Proprietary and Confidential
2013 Derivatives Research Calendar
Fourth Quarter 2013 Research Calendar
European Demand for US Listed Options
Factors Influencing the Use of Options by US Mutual Funds
US FCM Business 2013
The Value of Retail Options Order Flow
2013 Published Research
US Options Trading 2013: Looking for the Edge
US Options market Making 2013: Scale Scope and Survival
Cross Listing: The Tension of Cooperation
OTC Equity Derivatives: Harnessing the Liquidity
US Futures Market: State of the Industry 2013
Monthly Options Liquidity Matrix
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Editor's Notes
In 2007 63% of volume was in top 100 names; 2012 it was 72%.Much of the trading is in weeklys. Faster markets and tighter spreads in these names require significant technology to support.