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Supporters Direct 2010


  How to spot the financial
   crisis before it breaks

                Dr John Beech
              Head of Sport & Tourism
Applied Research Centre for Sustainable Regeneration
                Coventry University
Some expectation
          management!
Can we accurately predict a financial
 crisis in a club?
Even auditors can’t
  Liverpool
  Hereford United
More about assessing exposure to risk
Medical analogy
A health check-up
With limited data
And usually an unco-operative
 patient!
Using the data from accounts to
 identify financial health (wealth) of
 a club
Two kinds of problems
Long-term problems
 Loans
 Financial institutions / ‘benefactors’
 Building a new stadium
 Realism – what are the underlying
  assumptions
 Is the business plan to meet long-term
  debts a viable one?
Short-term problems
Meeting the immediate bills

 Players wages (generally >60% of the
  total outgoings)
 Tax
 Other clubs
 Suppliers
The financial analogy
Our long-term debts
 A mortgage
 A car loan
 ‘Ocean Finance’
Our short-term debts
 Food
 Electricity, water, gas
 Council tax
Getting club accounts
Very few clubs publish them
Most publish ‘selected highlights’, in
 other words the positives
Local press give selected highlights
 (hopefully a more balanced
 selection)
But no substitute for the real thing
But how?
Shareholders
 Your Supporters Trust?

Companies house

FAME (but not exhaustive)
 Universities (FE Colleges??)
 Find a tame student (or lecturer!)
 Enrol on an evening class
Beware
the multi-layered company structure
 two layers – club and holding company
 multi-layered – ultimately leading to an
  offshore tax haven where disclosure is
  highly restricted
   Chelsea
   Leeds
   Portsmouth
Generally they begin with ‘headline’
 data
 Latest turnover (revenues; money IN)
 Latest no. of employees
We are looking for trends too
 Symptoms of ‘cold sores’
 Symptoms of ‘long-
  term, hidden, potentially fatal
  illnesses’
Profile (ten years data)
Turnover
 Are they earning money?
Profit (Loss) before Taxation
 Are they earning more than they are spending?
Net Tangible Assets (Liabilities)
 How much money would you raise in a ‘fire sale’?
Shareholders Funds
 As shares, as opposed to loans
No. of employees
 Not the squad size
Profit & Loss Account
Summarises a) the revenues
 (INcome) and b) the costs and
 expenses (OUTgoings) for a
 specific period of time
Hence the profit (or loss) for that
 period
Normally a financial year; in football
 usually from May to May
Never quite up-to-date!
Balance Sheet
A snapshot in time
Overview of the cumulative situation
Less dramatic change year-on-year as it
  reflects the longer-term
Assets – fixed and current
Liabilities – current and long-term
  (includes loans)
Shareholders’ funds
Assets = Liabilities + Shareholders' funds
Cashflow Statement
In theory, shows where the money
 is coming from and where it goes
In fact, contains no details of
 sources or destinations
Shows how the money is
 flowing, but not specifically where
 to or from
Covers core operations, investing
 and financing
Financial ratios; Profitability ratios
  (Beyond an introductory session)
  Difficult to benchmark for football clubs
Financial trends and changes;
Profitability trends and changes
  Expect changes to be big in football
A lot of miscellaneous financial data
Watch for whether the audit was
 ‘qualified’
Some to look at!
Cardiff City

Portsmouth

Sheffield United

Southampton
The End
footballmanagement.wordpress.com
          John@Beech.net

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Ways to know your club is up the financial creek before it enters administration

  • 1. Supporters Direct 2010 How to spot the financial crisis before it breaks Dr John Beech Head of Sport & Tourism Applied Research Centre for Sustainable Regeneration Coventry University
  • 2. Some expectation management! Can we accurately predict a financial crisis in a club? Even auditors can’t Liverpool Hereford United More about assessing exposure to risk Medical analogy
  • 3. A health check-up With limited data And usually an unco-operative patient! Using the data from accounts to identify financial health (wealth) of a club
  • 4. Two kinds of problems Long-term problems Loans Financial institutions / ‘benefactors’ Building a new stadium Realism – what are the underlying assumptions Is the business plan to meet long-term debts a viable one?
  • 5. Short-term problems Meeting the immediate bills Players wages (generally >60% of the total outgoings) Tax Other clubs Suppliers
  • 6. The financial analogy Our long-term debts A mortgage A car loan ‘Ocean Finance’ Our short-term debts Food Electricity, water, gas Council tax
  • 7. Getting club accounts Very few clubs publish them Most publish ‘selected highlights’, in other words the positives Local press give selected highlights (hopefully a more balanced selection) But no substitute for the real thing But how?
  • 8. Shareholders Your Supporters Trust? Companies house FAME (but not exhaustive) Universities (FE Colleges??) Find a tame student (or lecturer!) Enrol on an evening class
  • 9. Beware the multi-layered company structure two layers – club and holding company multi-layered – ultimately leading to an offshore tax haven where disclosure is highly restricted Chelsea Leeds Portsmouth
  • 10. Generally they begin with ‘headline’ data Latest turnover (revenues; money IN) Latest no. of employees We are looking for trends too Symptoms of ‘cold sores’ Symptoms of ‘long- term, hidden, potentially fatal illnesses’
  • 11. Profile (ten years data) Turnover Are they earning money? Profit (Loss) before Taxation Are they earning more than they are spending? Net Tangible Assets (Liabilities) How much money would you raise in a ‘fire sale’? Shareholders Funds As shares, as opposed to loans No. of employees Not the squad size
  • 12. Profit & Loss Account Summarises a) the revenues (INcome) and b) the costs and expenses (OUTgoings) for a specific period of time Hence the profit (or loss) for that period Normally a financial year; in football usually from May to May Never quite up-to-date!
  • 13. Balance Sheet A snapshot in time Overview of the cumulative situation Less dramatic change year-on-year as it reflects the longer-term Assets – fixed and current Liabilities – current and long-term (includes loans) Shareholders’ funds Assets = Liabilities + Shareholders' funds
  • 14. Cashflow Statement In theory, shows where the money is coming from and where it goes In fact, contains no details of sources or destinations Shows how the money is flowing, but not specifically where to or from Covers core operations, investing and financing
  • 15. Financial ratios; Profitability ratios (Beyond an introductory session) Difficult to benchmark for football clubs Financial trends and changes; Profitability trends and changes Expect changes to be big in football A lot of miscellaneous financial data Watch for whether the audit was ‘qualified’
  • 16. Some to look at! Cardiff City Portsmouth Sheffield United Southampton