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Presentation of simulation and modelling
on
Distribution lag model
Presented by sumit Gyawali
Bsc csit /3rd year /5th sem
Roll no:325
1
overview
 Definition of distributed lag model
 Example
 Advantage
 Reference
2
Distribution lag model
 It is defined as a type of model that have the property of changing only at fixed interval
of time .
 It based on current values of variables on other current values of variables and values
that occurred in previous intervals.
 In economic studies some economic data are collected over uniform time interval such
as a month or year.
 This model consists of linear algebraic equations that represent continuous system but
data are available at fixed points in time.
3
Example: Mathematical model of national economy
Let,
C=consumption
I=investment
T=Taxes
G=government expenditures
Y=national income
Then
C=20+0.7(Y-T)
I=2+0.1Y
T=0.2Y
Y=C+I+G
4
 All the equation are expressed in billions of rupees. This is static model and can be made dynamic by
lagging all the variables as follows
C=20 + 0.7(Y-1 – T-1)
I=2 + 0.1Y-1
T=0.2Y-1
Y=C-1 + I-1 + G-1
 Any variable that can be expressed in the form of its current value and one or more previous value is called
lagging variable. And hence this model is given the name distributed lag model. The variable in a previous
interval is denoted by attaching –n suffix to the variable. Where -n indicate the nth interval.
5
Advantages of distributed lag model
 Simple to understand and can be computed by hand, computers are extensively used to run them.
 There is no need for special programming language to organize simulation task.
6
Reference
 www.Wikipedia.org
 www.bsccsit notes.com
7
8

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Presentation of sm on distibution lag model

  • 1. Presentation of simulation and modelling on Distribution lag model Presented by sumit Gyawali Bsc csit /3rd year /5th sem Roll no:325 1
  • 2. overview  Definition of distributed lag model  Example  Advantage  Reference 2
  • 3. Distribution lag model  It is defined as a type of model that have the property of changing only at fixed interval of time .  It based on current values of variables on other current values of variables and values that occurred in previous intervals.  In economic studies some economic data are collected over uniform time interval such as a month or year.  This model consists of linear algebraic equations that represent continuous system but data are available at fixed points in time. 3
  • 4. Example: Mathematical model of national economy Let, C=consumption I=investment T=Taxes G=government expenditures Y=national income Then C=20+0.7(Y-T) I=2+0.1Y T=0.2Y Y=C+I+G 4
  • 5.  All the equation are expressed in billions of rupees. This is static model and can be made dynamic by lagging all the variables as follows C=20 + 0.7(Y-1 – T-1) I=2 + 0.1Y-1 T=0.2Y-1 Y=C-1 + I-1 + G-1  Any variable that can be expressed in the form of its current value and one or more previous value is called lagging variable. And hence this model is given the name distributed lag model. The variable in a previous interval is denoted by attaching –n suffix to the variable. Where -n indicate the nth interval. 5
  • 6. Advantages of distributed lag model  Simple to understand and can be computed by hand, computers are extensively used to run them.  There is no need for special programming language to organize simulation task. 6
  • 8. 8