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Currency Derivatives
Chapter Objectives

• To explain how forward contracts
 are used for hedging based on anticipated
 exchange rate movements; and
• To explain how currency futures contracts
 and currency options contracts are used
 for hedging or speculation based on
 anticipated exchange rate movements.


                                              A5 - 2
Forward Market

• The forward market facilitates the trading
  of forward contracts on currencies.
• A forward contract is an agreement
  between a corporation and a commercial
  bank to exchange a specified amount of a
  currency at a specified exchange rate
  (called the forward rate) on a specified
  date in the future.


                                               A5 - 3
Forward Market

• When MNCs anticipate future need or
  future receipt of a foreign currency, they
  can set up forward contracts to lock in the
  exchange rate.
• Forward contracts are often valued at $1
  million or more, and are not normally used
  by consumers or small firms.



                                                A5 - 4
Forward Market

• As with the case of spot rates, there is a
  bid/ask spread on forward rates.
• Forward rates may also contain a premium
  or discount.
   ¤ If the forward rate exceeds the existing
     spot rate, it contains a premium.
   ¤ If the forward rate is less than the existing
     spot rate, it contains a discount.

                                                     A5 - 5
Forward Market

• annualized forward premium/discount

  =
    forward rate – spot rate × 360
              spot rate           n
  where n is the number of days to maturity
• Example: Suppose £ spot rate = $1.681,
            90-day £ forward rate = $1.677.

 $1.677 – $1.681 x 360 = – 0.95%
     $1.681         90
                                              A5 - 6
Forward Market

• The forward premium/discount reflects the
 difference between the home interest rate
 and the foreign interest rate, so as to
 prevent arbitrage.




                                              A5 - 7
Fixed and Option forward contracts

• Forward contracts can be fixed or option forwards. In a
  fixed contract the performance date is pre-fixed whereas
  performance can be on any day during the period of the
  contract for option forwards.
• In a forward contract in the case of indirect quotations
  premium is reduced from the spot price and discounted is
  added.
• The principle buy high sell low applies.
• The rate is expressed for a unit of home currency.
• The bank which is quoting rates will take the worst case
  scenario while quoting rates.



                                                             A5 - 8
Fixed and option forward contracts

• A British bank has quoted the following
  rates for its customer for Belgian Francs
  against GBP.
• Belgian Francs Spot 60.25 – 60.30
• One month 10c – 15c discount.
• Calculate rates for the following.



                                              A5 - 9
Fixed and Option forwards - Problem

• Bank sells one month Belgian francs fixed
• Bank sells one month Belgian francs
 option
• Bank buys one month Belgian francs fixed
• Bank buys one month Belgian Francs
 option



                                              A5 - 10
Forward contract - solution

• This is a case of indirect quotation. The
    domestic currency is the base currency.
•   1. Spot One GBP = 60.25 – 60.30
•   So 60.25 is the selling price.
•   Discount is 10 cents
•   Add discount = 60.25 +0.10 =60.35



                                              A5 - 11
Solution

• Banks sells one month Belgian Francs option
• Selling rate is 60.25 and the currency is at
  discount. So bank has the option of quoting
  either 60.35 (60.25 +0.10) or 60.25. It will consider
  the worst case scenario and quote lowest
  possible price i.e. 60.25 since the customer has
  the option of delivering during any period from
• Spot to one month.



                                                          A5 - 12
Pay-offs from forward contracts
• Pay-off from a long position in a forward contract on one
  unit of an asset is
• St – K from a long position and K –St from a short position.
• Where K is the delivery price and St is the spot price of the
  asset at maturity of the contract.
• Consider a six month forward contract for one million GBP
  at a USD –GBP exchange rate of 1.4359 entered into by a
  corporation which has to pay GBP One million at the end of
  six months.
• What will be the worth of the forward contract if the spot
  exchange rate rises to 1.50000 at the end of the six month
  period?


                                                                  A5 - 13
Pay off from forward contracts

• The agreed price in USD will be I million
  multiplied by 1.4359 = USD 1.4359 million.
• The corporation can get GBP One million
  at the rate of 1.4359.
• The spot value will be USD1.5000 million,
• The worth of the forward contract will be
  1.5 million minus 1.4359 million = USD
  64100.

                                               A5 - 14
Solution

• Bank buys one month Belgian Francs
    fixed.
•   60.25 – 60.30 Discount 10c and 15 c
•   The rate will be 60.30 +0.15 = 60.45
•   Bank buys one month option
•   60.30 + 0.15 (Taking the worst case
    scenario and applying buy high sell low
    principle.) =60.45

                                              A5 - 15
Forward Market

• A non-deliverable forward contract (NDF)
 is a forward contract whereby there is no
 actual exchange of currencies. Instead, a
 net payment is made by one party to the
 other based on the contracted rate and the
 market rate on the day of settlement.
• Although NDFs do not involve actual
 delivery, they can effectively hedge
 expected foreign currency cash flows.
                                              A5 - 16
Forward prices and spot prices

• The forward price is the market price that
  would be agreed to today for delivery of
  the asset at a specified maturity date.
• The two prices are related but the forward
  price will be different from the spot price
  and varies with the maturity date.




                                                A5 - 17
Forward and Spot prices

• Suppose spot price of gold is $300 per
  ounce and the risk free interest rate for
  investments lasting one year is 5% per
  annum. What is the reasonable value for
  one year forward price of gold assuming
  no storage costs for gold and gold earns
  no income.



                                              A5 - 18
Forward prices

• The reasonable value will be $315 at the end of
    one year.
•   If the forward price is more than $315 , say 340
    then a trader can take the following actions.
•   A. Borrow $300 at 5% for one year
•   B. Buy one ounce of gold.
•   C. Enter into a short forward contract to sell the
    gold for $340 at the end of one year.
•   What will be the strategy of an investor whose
    portfolio has gold if the forward price is the same
    as spot price?

                                                          A5 - 19
Forward prices

a. Sell gold for $300 per ounce.
b. Invest the proceeds at 5%
c. Enter into a long forward contract to
   repurchase gold in one year for $300 per
   ounce.




                                              A5 - 20
Futures contracts on currencies

• The underlying asset in such contracts is
  a certain number of units of foreign
  currency.
• Variables S0 and F0 are defined as current
  spot price in dollars for one unit of foreign
  currency and futures price in dollars of
  one unit of foreign currency. (INR/USD)
• This is not consistent with the way spot
  and forward exchange rates are quoted.

                                                  A5 - 21
Currency futures

• A foreign currency has the property that the
  holder of the currency can earn interest at the
  prevailing risk free rate in the foreign country.
  Fore example, the holder can invest the currency
  in a foreign denominated bond.
• We define rf as the value of the foreign risk-free
  interest rate when money is invested for time T.
• r is the domestic risk free interest rate.
• Thus F0 = S0e(r-rf)T
• e =2.71828

                                                       A5 - 22
Currency futures -Illustration

• Suppose two year interest rates in
  Australia and the United States are 5% and
  7% respectively and the spot exchange
  rate between the Australian Dollar (AUD)
  and U.S.Dollar (USD) is 0.6200 USD per
  AUD.
• Calculate the two year futures price.


                                               A5 - 23
Currency Futures - Solution

•   Rate of interest in U.S.A. ‘r’ = 7%
•   Rate of interest in Australia ‘rf’ = 5%
•   Spot exchange rate = 0.6200
•   Two year futures rate =
•   0.6200e(0.07 – 0.05)x2 =
•   0.07 -0.05 = 0.02 x 2 = 0.04
•   e0.04 = 1.0408 x 0.6200 = 0.64530

                                              A5 - 24
Currency Futures - Arbitrage
• Suppose the two year futures rate is less than 0.6453, say 0.6300
• An arbitrager can borrow 1000 AUD at 5% per annum, convert to
    620 USD and invest it at 7% p.a.
•   Enter into a forward contract to buy Australian Dollars at the
    exchange rate of 0.6300.
•   Total payment to be made in AUD at the end of two years using
    continuous compounding will be
•   0.05 x 2 = 0.1. e0.1(For continuous compounding) = 1.10517
•   1.10517 X1000 = 1105.17
•   Total USD = 1105.17 x 0.6300 = 696.26
•   USD 620 at the end of two years =
•   0.07 X 2 = 0.14 . e0.14 =1.15027 x 620 = 713.17
•   Total risk less profit = 713.17 – 696.26 = USD 16.91



                                                                      A5 - 25
Currency futures arbitrage

• Suppose the two year futures rate is
  0.6600 i.e. greater than 0.6453 how will the
  arbitrager function to make risk less
  profit?




                                                 A5 - 26
Currency futures – arbitrage -solution

• 1.Borrow 1000 USD at 7% per annum for two
     years.
•    2. Convert to AUD at 0.6200 = 1000/0.62 = 1612.90
•    3. Lend AUD at 5% which will fetch 1.10517 *
     1612.90 =1782.53 after two years with continuous
     compounding.
•    4. Enter into a forward contract to sell AUD
     1782.53 at 0.6600 = 1176.47 USD
•    5. The amount needed to pay for the 1000 USD
     debt is 1150.27.
•    Total risk less profit = USD 26.20

                                                         A5 - 27
Currency Futures Market

• Currency futures contracts specify a
 standard volume of a particular currency to
 be exchanged on a specific settlement
 date, typically the third Wednesdays in
 March, June, September, and December.
• They are used by MNCs to hedge their
 currency positions, and by speculators
 who hope to capitalize on their
 expectations of exchange rate movements.
                                               A5 - 28
Currency Futures Market

• The contracts can be traded by firms or
  individuals through brokers on the trading
  floor of an exchange (e.g. Chicago
  Mercantile Exchange), on automated
  trading systems (e.g. GLOBEX), or over-
  the-counter.
• Participants in the currency futures
  market need to establish and maintain a
  margin when they take a position.
                                               A5 - 29
Currency Futures Market




                          A5 - 30
Currency Futures Market

              Forward Markets    Futures Markets
Clearing        Handled by           Handled by
 operation    individual banks        exchange
                 & brokers.        clearinghouse.
                                 Daily settlements
                                 to market prices.
Marketplace      Worldwide       Central exchange
                 telephone        floor with global
                  network.       communications.


                                                 A5 - 31
Currency Futures Market

              Forward Markets     Futures Markets
Regulation     Self-regulating.     Commodity
                                  Futures Trading
                                   Commission,
                                  National Futures
                                    Association.
Liquidation   Mostly settled by   Mostly settled by
              actual delivery.         offset.
Transaction    Bank’s bid/ask       Negotiated
 Costs            spread.         brokerage fees.
                                                  A5 - 32
Currency Futures Market

• Normally, the price of a currency futures
  contract is similar to the forward rate for a
  given currency and settlement date, but
  differs from the spot rate when the interest
  rates on the two currencies differ.
• These relationships are enforced by the
  potential arbitrage activities that would
  occur otherwise.


                                                  A5 - 33
Currency Futures Market

• Currency futures contracts have no credit
  risk since they are guaranteed by the
  exchange clearinghouse.
• To minimize its risk in such a guarantee,
  the exchange imposes margin
  requirements to cover fluctuations in the
  value of the contracts.



                                              A5 - 34
Currency Futures Market

• Speculators often sell currency futures
  when they expect the underlying currency
  to depreciate, and vice versa.




                                             A5 - 35
Currency Futures Market

• Currency futures may be purchased by
 MNCs to hedge foreign currency payables,
 or sold to hedge receivables.




                                            A5 - 36
Currency Futures Market

• Holders of futures contracts can close out
  their positions by selling similar futures
  contracts. Sellers may also close out their
  positions by purchasing similar contracts.




                                                A5 - 37
Currency Futures Market

• Most currency futures contracts are
  closed out before their settlement dates.
• Brokers who fulfill orders to buy or sell
  futures contracts earn a transaction or
  brokerage fee in the form of the bid/ask
  spread.




                                              A5 - 38
Currency Options Market

• A currency option is another type of
  contract that can be purchased or sold by
  speculators and firms.
• The standard options that are traded on an
  exchange through brokers are guaranteed,
  but require margin maintenance.
• U.S. option exchanges (e.g. Chicago
  Board Options Exchange) are regulated by
  the Securities and Exchange Commission.
                                               A5 - 39
Currency Options Market

• In addition to the exchanges, there is an
  over-the-counter market where
  commercial banks and brokerage firms
  offer customized currency options.
• There are no credit guarantees for these
  OTC options, so some form of collateral
  may be required.
• Currency options are classified as either
  calls or puts.
                                              A5 - 40
Currency Call Options

• A currency call option grants the holder
  the right to buy a specific currency at a
  specific price (called the exercise or strike
  price) within a specific period of time.
• A call option is
  ¤   in the money if spot rate > strike price,
  ¤   at the money if spot rate = strike price,
  ¤   out of the money
                   if spot rate < strike price.
                                                  A5 - 41
Currency Call Options

• Option owners can sell or exercise their
  options. They can also choose to let their
  options expire. At most, they will lose the
  premiums they paid for their options.
• Call option premiums will be higher when:
  ¤   (spot price – strike price) is larger;
  ¤   the time to expiration date is longer; and
  ¤   the variability of the currency is greater.

                                                    A5 - 42
Currency Call Options

• Firms with open positions in foreign
  currencies may use currency call options
  to cover those positions.
• They may purchase currency call options
  ¤   to hedge future payables;
  ¤   to hedge potential expenses when bidding
      on projects; and
  ¤   to hedge potential costs when attempting
      to acquire other firms.
                                                 A5 - 43
Currency Call Options

• Speculators who expect a foreign
  currency to appreciate can purchase call
  options on that currency.
   ¤ Profit = selling price – buying (strike) price
              – option premium
• They may also sell (write) call options on a
  currency that they expect to depreciate.
   ¤ Profit = option premium – buying price
              + selling (strike) price
                                                      A5 - 44
Currency Call Options

• The purchaser of a call option will break
  even when
    selling price = buying (strike) price
                    + option premium
• The seller (writer) of a call option will
  break even when
    buying price = selling (strike) price
                   + option premium

                                              A5 - 45
3. Plain vanilla options
      3.1 Definitions & Notations
• A European call on an asset confers the right but
  not the obligation to buy this asset at a pre-
  agreed price and date.
• A European put on an asset confers the right but
  not the obligation to sell this asset at a pre-
  agreed price and date.
• An American call on an asset confers the right but
  not the obligation to buy this asset at a pre-
  agreed price until a certain date.
• An American put on an asset confers the right but
  not the obligation to sell this asset at a pre-
  agreed price until a certain date.
                                                       A5 - 46
3.1 Definitions & Notations (2)
• K: exercise price or strike: the price at
    which the underlying asset is exchanged;
•   T: expiry or maturity: the date when or until
    when the underlying is exchanged;
•       ct : value at time t of a European and
    American call;
•       pt : value at time t of a European and
    American put.
•   As with forward contracts, an option value
    is expressed per unit of underlying asset
    and from the option buyer’s viewpoint. A5 - 47
3.2 Payoff
• Clearly a rational individual will only
    exercise his right to buy or sell the
    underlying asset conferred by a call or put
    option if it is profitable to do so
¤    For a call option this is the case when ST >

¤    For a put option this is the case when ST <



                                              A5 - 48
3.2 Payoff
• Therefore, the respective payoffs of the
 European call and put with strike K and
 maturity T are given as:
 ¤ For the call: cT = max(0, ST – K);
 ¤ For the put: pT = max(0, K – ST).




                                       A5 - 49
Figure p.52: Call Payoff

 cT
        max(ST – K, 0)



                         ST
          K



                              A5 - 50
Figure p.52: Put Payoff
pT


     max(K – ST, 0)

                      ST
         K



                           A5 - 51
FIGURE 22-1 Profit from call.



                                A5 - 52
FIGURE 22-2 Profit from put.


                               A5 - 53
Currency Put Options

• A currency put option grants the holder
  the right to sell a specific currency at a
  specific price (the strike price) within a
  specific period of time.
• A put option is
  ¤   in the money if spot rate < strike price,
  ¤   at the money if spot rate = strike price,
  ¤   out of the money
                   if spot rate > strike price.
                                                  A5 - 54
Currency Put Options

• Put option premiums will be higher when:
  ¤   (strike price – spot rate) is larger;
  ¤   the time to expiration date is longer; and
  ¤   the variability of the currency is greater.
• Corporations with open foreign currency
 positions may use currency put options to
 cover their positions.
  ¤ For example, firms may purchase put
    options to hedge future receivables.
                                                    A5 - 55
Currency Put Options

• Speculators who expect a foreign
  currency to depreciate can purchase put
  options on that currency.
   ¤ Profit = selling (strike) price – buying price
              – option premium
• They may also sell (write) put options on a
  currency that they expect to appreciate.
   ¤ Profit = option premium + selling price
              – buying (strike) price
                                                      A5 - 56
Currency Put Options

• One possible speculative strategy for
  volatile currencies is to purchase both a
  put option and a call option at the same
  exercise price. This is called a straddle.
• By purchasing both options, the
  speculator may gain if the currency moves
  substantially in either direction, or if it
  moves in one direction followed by the
  other.
                                                A5 - 57
Straddle -Illustration

• A straddle involves buying a call and put
  with the same strike price and expiration
  date. The strike price is denoted by ‘K’
  and if the price is close to the strike price
  at expiration, the straddle leads to a loss.
  However, if there is a sufficiently large
  move in either direction, a significant
  profit will result.


                                                  A5 - 58
Straddle

• A Straddle is appropriate when the
  investor is expecting a large move in price
  of a currency, currently valued at $0.69 in
  the market, will move significantly in the
  next six months.
• The investor could create a straddle by
  buying both put and call at a strike price of
  $0.70 and expiration in three months.


                                                  A5 - 59
Straddle

• Suppose the call costs $0.040 and put
  costs $0.030. If the price stays at $0.69
  what will be the cost to the investor?
• If the price moves to 0.70 what will be the
  cost?
• If the price moves to 0.55 what will be the
  net payoff?



                                                A5 - 60
Straddle - Solution

•   Upfront investment = 0.040 + 0.030 = 0.070
•   Call expires worthless
•   Put expires worth 0.70 - 0.69 = 0.010
•   Total cost = 0.070 – 0.010 = 0.060
•   If the price is $ 0.70 total loss= 0.070




                                                 A5 - 61
Straddle - Solution

•   If the price is $ 0.55 at expiration
•   Total up front cost = 0.070
•   Call expires worthless
•   Put is worth 0.70 – 0.55 = 0.15
•   Net payoff = 0.15 – 0.07 = 0.08




                                           A5 - 62
FIGURE 22-3 Profit from straddle.


                                    A5 - 63
Straddle

• A straddle seems to be a natural trading strategy
  when a big jump in share price is expected when
  there is a takeover bid or when the outcome of a
  major lawsuit is expected to be announced soon.
• Options on such stocks will however be more
  expensive than usual and for straddle to be an
  effective strategy an investor’s belief must be
  different from those of other market participants.




                                                       A5 - 64
Payoff from a straddle

• Price range   Call       Put     Total
•                      PAYOFF
• St <=K        0          K –St   K –St
• St > K        St – K     0       St -K




                                           A5 - 65
Strangles

• An investor buys a put and a call with the same
  expiration date but different strike prices. The
  call strike price K2 is greater than the put strike
  price K1.
• A strangle is a similar strategy to straddle.
• The investor is betting on large price movement
  but does not know the direction. However, the
  price has to move farther in a strangle than in a
  straddle for the investor to make a profit.
  However, the downside risk if the stock price
  ends up at a central values is less with a strangle.


                                                         A5 - 66
Payoff from a strangle

•   Range         Call     Put      Total
•                 PAYOFF
•   St <=K1       0        K1 –St   K1 –St
•   K1 < St <K2   0        0        0
•   St >=K2       St –K2   0        St –K2




                                             A5 - 67
Strangle - Problem

• Calculate payoff from strangle under the
    following conditions
•   Call premium 0 .040 Put premium 0.030
•   Call strike price 0. 72 Put strike price 0.69.
•   What will be the net pay off if
•   A) spot price = 0.90
•   B) spot price = 0.55
•   C) spot price = 0.70

                                                     A5 - 68
Strangle Illustration

• Strike price for call K2 = 0.72
• Strike price for put K1 = 0.69
• Call premium = 0.040
• Put premium = 0.030
• Calculate the Payoff if St = 0.90
• Payoff from call = St > K2. Difference = 0.90 -0.72
  = 0.18
• Put expires worthless
• Upfront payment = 0.040 + 0.030 = 0.070
• Net payoff = 0.180 – 0.070 = 0.11

                                                        A5 - 69
Strangle - Illustration

•   St = 0.55
•   Call expires worthless
•   Put pay off = k1 –St = 0.69 – 0.55 = 0.14
•   Total upfront payment = 0.040 + 0.030 =
    0.070
• Net payoff = 0.140 – 0.070 = 0.07


                                                A5 - 70
Strangle Illustration

•   Spot Price = 0.70
•   K2 = 0.72
•   Call expires worthless since St < K2
•   K1 = 0.69
•   Put expires worthless since K1 < St
•   Net pay off 0.040 + 0.030 = 0.070 loss



                                             A5 - 71
Reading Foreign Exchange quotes
•                 OPTIONS
•         PHILADELPHIA EXCHANGE
•                 Calls       Puts
•                              Vol     Last
•   German Mark                              58.60
•   62500 German Marks – European Style
•   58 Mar                           600      0.26
•   62500 German Marks – Cents per unit
•   58.50 Mar     6038    0.60
•   Explain the above quotes.
•   What will be the minimum upfront payable ?


                                                     A5 - 72
Philadelphia Exchange quotes

• A 58 Mar European put option give the buyer the
  right to sell the mark at 58 U.S.cents. The price of
  the option 0.26 means that for one contract the
  option buyer must pay $ 0.26 * 62500 = 162.50.
• The option buyer acquires the right to sell the
  62500 marks for 58 U.S. cents each at the expiry
  date of the option, which is the Friday before the
  third Wednesday of March. The option will not be
  exercised if the spot rate is above $ 0.58.
• Rather than exercise, the buyer is likely to accept
  the difference between exercise price and the
  going spot price from the option WRITER.

                                                         A5 - 73
Philadelphia Exchange –Call Option

• The 58.5 Mar option is an American Option, because it
  does not say ‘European Option’. Therefore, it can be
  exercised any day prior to maturity. There are 6038 call
  options for the day .
• A call option contract will cost
• 0.60 * 62500 = $375.
• If the mark is above 0.5850 on the spot market , the option
  will be exercised on or before expiry date or its value will
  be collected from the option writer or another buyer. $375
  can be thought of as an insurance premium for which if
  unfavourable events do not occur, the insurance simply
  expires.



                                                                 A5 - 74
Conditional Currency Options

• A currency option may be structured such
 that the premium is conditioned on the
 actual currency movement over the period
 of concern.
• Suppose a conditional put option on £ has
 an exercise price of $1.70, and a trigger of
 $1.74. The premium will have to be paid
 only if the £’s value exceeds the trigger
 value.
                                                A5 - 75
Conditional Currency Options

• Similarly, a conditional call option on £
  may specify an exercise price of $1.70,
  and a trigger of $1.67. The premium will
  have to be paid only if the £’s value falls
  below the trigger value.
• In both cases, the payment of the premium
  is avoided conditionally at the cost of a
  higher premium.


                                                A5 - 76
European Currency Options

• European-style currency options are
 similar to American-style options except
 that they can only be exercised on the
 expiration date.
• For firms that purchase options to hedge
 future cash flows, this loss in terms of
 flexibility is probably not an issue. Hence,
 if their premiums are lower, European-
 style currency options may be preferred.
                                                A5 - 77
Efficiency of
   Currency Futures and Options
• If foreign exchange markets are efficient,
  speculation in the currency futures and
  options markets should not consistently
  generate abnormally large profits.
• A speculative strategy requires the
  speculator to incur risk. On the other
  hand, corporations use the futures and
  options markets to reduce their exposure
  to fluctuating exchange rates.
                                               A5 - 78
Currency Options -Illustration

• The major exchange for trading foreign currency
  options is the Philadelphia Stock Exchange. It
  offers both European and American contracts on
  a variety of different currencies.
• The size of one contract depends on the
  currency. For example, in the case of the British
  pound one contract gives the holder the right to
  buy or sell GBP 31250.
• In the case of Japanese Yen it is 6.25 million yen.


                                                        A5 - 79
Currency Option -Illustration

• A speculator buys a British Pound call
  option with a strike price of $1.40 paying a
  premium of $0.012 per unit. Each option
  contract is for 31250 units.
• Just before the expiration date, the spot
  rate is $ 1.41 and the speculator exercises
  the call option.
• Calculate the net profit/loss in dollars.

                                                 A5 - 80
Currency options - Solution

•   Purchase price of contract in dollars
•   31250 * 1.40 = 43750
•   Call option premium paid
•   31250 * 0.012 = 375
•   Selling price
•   31250 * 1.41 = 44062.50
•   Loss = USD 62.50

                                            A5 - 81
Impact of Currency Derivatives on an MNC’s Value

                                          Currency Futures
                                          Currency Options


                     m                                         
                  n ∑
                              [
                            E ( CFj , t ) × E (ER j , t )   ]   
                      j =1                                     
        Value = ∑                                              
                t =1            (1 + k )   t
                                                                
                     
                                                               
                                                                
              E (CFj,t )  =       expected cash flows in
              currency j to be received by the U.S. parent at the
              end of period t
              E (ERj,t )  =       expected exchange rate at
              which currency j can be converted to dollars at
              the end of period t                                   A5 - 82
Chapter Review

• Forward Market
  ¤   How MNCs Use Forward Contracts
  ¤   Non-Deliverable Forward Contracts




                                          A5 - 83
Chapter Review
• Currency Futures Market
  ¤   Contract Specifications
  ¤   Comparison of Currency Futures and
      Forward Contracts
  ¤   Pricing Currency Futures
  ¤   Credit Risk of Currency Futures Contracts
  ¤   Speculation with Currency Futures
  ¤   How Firms Use Currency Futures
  ¤   Closing Out A Futures Position
  ¤   Transaction Costs of Currency Futures
                                                  A5 - 84
Chapter Review

• Currency Options Market
• Currency Call Options
  ¤   Factors Affecting Currency Call Option
      Premiums
  ¤   How Firms Use Currency Call Options
  ¤   Speculating with Currency Call Options




                                               A5 - 85
Chapter Review

• Currency Put Options
  ¤   Factors Affecting Currency Put Option
      Premiums
  ¤   Hedging with Currency Put Options
  ¤   Speculating with Currency Put Options




                                              A5 - 86
Chapter Review

• Conditional Currency Options
• European Currency Options
• Efficiency of Currency Futures and
 Options
• How the Use of Currency Futures and
 Options Affects an MNC’s Value



                                        A5 - 87
Pay off formulae

•   ST = Spot price X = Strike price
•   C = Call premium P = Put premium
•   1.Call option buyer’s Profit
•   Profit = -c for ST <= X
•   (The call option buyer loses the call
    premium amount if the spot price, i.e. the
    price at the time of closing out the
    contract is less or equal to the Strike
    price.)

                                                 A5 - 88
Call option buyer’s profit

• Profit = ST – X –C
• For ST > X
• If the spot price is greater than the strike
  price the call option buyer makes a profit.
  The pay-off is the amount by which the
  spot price exceeds the strike price, less
  the call option premium paid.



                                                 A5 - 89
Option writer’s profit
• Profit = c for ST <= X
• The option writer profits by the option premium received
  when the spot price is less than or equal to strike price.
  This is because in this scenario, the option buyer will let
  the contract lapse by not taking any action.
• Profit = - (ST – X –C) for ST > X.
• When the spot price is greater than the strike price, the call
  option buyer exercises his option and the writer loses to
  the extent of difference between Spot price and strike price.
  His pay off will be his loss in the difference in prices less
  the premium amount already received.




                                                                   A5 - 90
Put Option buyer’s profit
• Profit = -p for ST > = X
• If the Spot price is greater than or equal to the
  strike price contrary to the expectations of the
  put option buyer, the put option buyer takes no
  action and ultimately loses the put option
  premium amount paid.
• Profit = (X –ST –p ) for ST < X
• If the spot price is less than the strike price, the
  put option buyer makes profit to the extent of the
  difference between strike and spot prices, less
  the put option premium paid.



                                                         A5 - 91
Put option writer’s profit
• Profit = p for ST > = X
• Put option writer makes profit if the spot price is more than
  the strike price contrary to the bearish sentiments of the
  put option buyer who loses the premium.
• Profit = - (X –ST –p) for ST <X
• If the put option buyer’s prediction comes true and the spot
  price is less than the strike price, the put option writer
  loses to the extent of the ruling difference between the
  strike price and the spot price and eventual loss is this
  difference less the put option premium already collected.




                                                                  A5 - 92
Close out of forward contracts

• Some times a customer may not require to
 take up all the foreign currency he has
 bought under a forward contract.
• Suppose a bank contracts to sell the
 customer $50000 for delivery over three
 months. At the end of three months, the
 customer takes up only $40000 and the
 bank is required to calculate what must
 happen to the remaining $10000.00

                                             A5 - 93
Closed out forward contracts

• The customer is deemed to hav taken up the
  whole contract but to have sold back to the bank,
  at the bank’s spot buying price the unutilised
  balance of the forward contract.
• The detailed procedure is as follows.
• Banks sells at the forward price the remaining
  balance of 10000 and the customer is debited
  with that amount.
• The bank then buys back 10000 at the spot
  buying price and the customer is credited with
  the proceeds.


                                                      A5 - 94
Closed out forward contracts

• In actual fact, the bank merely does two
  calculations $10000 at the forward selling
  price and $10000 bought back at spot
  buying price. The GBP difference between
  the two is debited or credited to the
  customer’s account depending upon
  which way the exchange rates have
  moved.


                                               A5 - 95
Closed out forward contract
               -Illustration
• Suppose the remaining amount is $10000 which
  has to be adjusted.
• The bank has originally sold $50000 to an
  importer under a forward contract over three
  months at $2.0020.
• What will be the net credit/debit to the customer
  account if the spot rates on the close out day are
• A. 2.0040 -2.0060
• B. 1.9980 -2.0000

                                                       A5 - 96
Closed out forward contract - Solution

•   A.Contract amount $10000 at 2.0020 =
•   GBP 4995.00
•   Closed out rate = 2.0060 = GBP 4985.04
•   Net debit to customer account = GBP 9.96
•   B. Closed out rate = 2.0000 = GBP 5000
•   Net credit = GBP 5.00



                                               A5 - 97
Extension of contract

• It can happen that the customer who is unable to
  deliver, requests the bank to continue the
  forward deal without interruption.
• The dealer does this by deducting the applicable
  premium from or adding the applicable discount
  to the closing out (spot price).
• Thus under an extended forward contract to
  purchase currency from customer, the bank will
  deduct the premium (on the buying side) from the
  close out spot price (on the selling side).


                                                     A5 - 98
Extension solution

•   Bank buys 10000 at 2.0020 = 4995
•   Bank sells 10000 at 2.0040 = 4990.02
•   Credit = 4.98
•   Bank buys 4995
•   Bank sells at 1.9980 = 5005.01
•   Debit 10.01



                                           A5 - 99

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Currency derivatives

  • 2. Chapter Objectives • To explain how forward contracts are used for hedging based on anticipated exchange rate movements; and • To explain how currency futures contracts and currency options contracts are used for hedging or speculation based on anticipated exchange rate movements. A5 - 2
  • 3. Forward Market • The forward market facilitates the trading of forward contracts on currencies. • A forward contract is an agreement between a corporation and a commercial bank to exchange a specified amount of a currency at a specified exchange rate (called the forward rate) on a specified date in the future. A5 - 3
  • 4. Forward Market • When MNCs anticipate future need or future receipt of a foreign currency, they can set up forward contracts to lock in the exchange rate. • Forward contracts are often valued at $1 million or more, and are not normally used by consumers or small firms. A5 - 4
  • 5. Forward Market • As with the case of spot rates, there is a bid/ask spread on forward rates. • Forward rates may also contain a premium or discount. ¤ If the forward rate exceeds the existing spot rate, it contains a premium. ¤ If the forward rate is less than the existing spot rate, it contains a discount. A5 - 5
  • 6. Forward Market • annualized forward premium/discount = forward rate – spot rate × 360 spot rate n where n is the number of days to maturity • Example: Suppose £ spot rate = $1.681, 90-day £ forward rate = $1.677. $1.677 – $1.681 x 360 = – 0.95% $1.681 90 A5 - 6
  • 7. Forward Market • The forward premium/discount reflects the difference between the home interest rate and the foreign interest rate, so as to prevent arbitrage. A5 - 7
  • 8. Fixed and Option forward contracts • Forward contracts can be fixed or option forwards. In a fixed contract the performance date is pre-fixed whereas performance can be on any day during the period of the contract for option forwards. • In a forward contract in the case of indirect quotations premium is reduced from the spot price and discounted is added. • The principle buy high sell low applies. • The rate is expressed for a unit of home currency. • The bank which is quoting rates will take the worst case scenario while quoting rates. A5 - 8
  • 9. Fixed and option forward contracts • A British bank has quoted the following rates for its customer for Belgian Francs against GBP. • Belgian Francs Spot 60.25 – 60.30 • One month 10c – 15c discount. • Calculate rates for the following. A5 - 9
  • 10. Fixed and Option forwards - Problem • Bank sells one month Belgian francs fixed • Bank sells one month Belgian francs option • Bank buys one month Belgian francs fixed • Bank buys one month Belgian Francs option A5 - 10
  • 11. Forward contract - solution • This is a case of indirect quotation. The domestic currency is the base currency. • 1. Spot One GBP = 60.25 – 60.30 • So 60.25 is the selling price. • Discount is 10 cents • Add discount = 60.25 +0.10 =60.35 A5 - 11
  • 12. Solution • Banks sells one month Belgian Francs option • Selling rate is 60.25 and the currency is at discount. So bank has the option of quoting either 60.35 (60.25 +0.10) or 60.25. It will consider the worst case scenario and quote lowest possible price i.e. 60.25 since the customer has the option of delivering during any period from • Spot to one month. A5 - 12
  • 13. Pay-offs from forward contracts • Pay-off from a long position in a forward contract on one unit of an asset is • St – K from a long position and K –St from a short position. • Where K is the delivery price and St is the spot price of the asset at maturity of the contract. • Consider a six month forward contract for one million GBP at a USD –GBP exchange rate of 1.4359 entered into by a corporation which has to pay GBP One million at the end of six months. • What will be the worth of the forward contract if the spot exchange rate rises to 1.50000 at the end of the six month period? A5 - 13
  • 14. Pay off from forward contracts • The agreed price in USD will be I million multiplied by 1.4359 = USD 1.4359 million. • The corporation can get GBP One million at the rate of 1.4359. • The spot value will be USD1.5000 million, • The worth of the forward contract will be 1.5 million minus 1.4359 million = USD 64100. A5 - 14
  • 15. Solution • Bank buys one month Belgian Francs fixed. • 60.25 – 60.30 Discount 10c and 15 c • The rate will be 60.30 +0.15 = 60.45 • Bank buys one month option • 60.30 + 0.15 (Taking the worst case scenario and applying buy high sell low principle.) =60.45 A5 - 15
  • 16. Forward Market • A non-deliverable forward contract (NDF) is a forward contract whereby there is no actual exchange of currencies. Instead, a net payment is made by one party to the other based on the contracted rate and the market rate on the day of settlement. • Although NDFs do not involve actual delivery, they can effectively hedge expected foreign currency cash flows. A5 - 16
  • 17. Forward prices and spot prices • The forward price is the market price that would be agreed to today for delivery of the asset at a specified maturity date. • The two prices are related but the forward price will be different from the spot price and varies with the maturity date. A5 - 17
  • 18. Forward and Spot prices • Suppose spot price of gold is $300 per ounce and the risk free interest rate for investments lasting one year is 5% per annum. What is the reasonable value for one year forward price of gold assuming no storage costs for gold and gold earns no income. A5 - 18
  • 19. Forward prices • The reasonable value will be $315 at the end of one year. • If the forward price is more than $315 , say 340 then a trader can take the following actions. • A. Borrow $300 at 5% for one year • B. Buy one ounce of gold. • C. Enter into a short forward contract to sell the gold for $340 at the end of one year. • What will be the strategy of an investor whose portfolio has gold if the forward price is the same as spot price? A5 - 19
  • 20. Forward prices a. Sell gold for $300 per ounce. b. Invest the proceeds at 5% c. Enter into a long forward contract to repurchase gold in one year for $300 per ounce. A5 - 20
  • 21. Futures contracts on currencies • The underlying asset in such contracts is a certain number of units of foreign currency. • Variables S0 and F0 are defined as current spot price in dollars for one unit of foreign currency and futures price in dollars of one unit of foreign currency. (INR/USD) • This is not consistent with the way spot and forward exchange rates are quoted. A5 - 21
  • 22. Currency futures • A foreign currency has the property that the holder of the currency can earn interest at the prevailing risk free rate in the foreign country. Fore example, the holder can invest the currency in a foreign denominated bond. • We define rf as the value of the foreign risk-free interest rate when money is invested for time T. • r is the domestic risk free interest rate. • Thus F0 = S0e(r-rf)T • e =2.71828 A5 - 22
  • 23. Currency futures -Illustration • Suppose two year interest rates in Australia and the United States are 5% and 7% respectively and the spot exchange rate between the Australian Dollar (AUD) and U.S.Dollar (USD) is 0.6200 USD per AUD. • Calculate the two year futures price. A5 - 23
  • 24. Currency Futures - Solution • Rate of interest in U.S.A. ‘r’ = 7% • Rate of interest in Australia ‘rf’ = 5% • Spot exchange rate = 0.6200 • Two year futures rate = • 0.6200e(0.07 – 0.05)x2 = • 0.07 -0.05 = 0.02 x 2 = 0.04 • e0.04 = 1.0408 x 0.6200 = 0.64530 A5 - 24
  • 25. Currency Futures - Arbitrage • Suppose the two year futures rate is less than 0.6453, say 0.6300 • An arbitrager can borrow 1000 AUD at 5% per annum, convert to 620 USD and invest it at 7% p.a. • Enter into a forward contract to buy Australian Dollars at the exchange rate of 0.6300. • Total payment to be made in AUD at the end of two years using continuous compounding will be • 0.05 x 2 = 0.1. e0.1(For continuous compounding) = 1.10517 • 1.10517 X1000 = 1105.17 • Total USD = 1105.17 x 0.6300 = 696.26 • USD 620 at the end of two years = • 0.07 X 2 = 0.14 . e0.14 =1.15027 x 620 = 713.17 • Total risk less profit = 713.17 – 696.26 = USD 16.91 A5 - 25
  • 26. Currency futures arbitrage • Suppose the two year futures rate is 0.6600 i.e. greater than 0.6453 how will the arbitrager function to make risk less profit? A5 - 26
  • 27. Currency futures – arbitrage -solution • 1.Borrow 1000 USD at 7% per annum for two years. • 2. Convert to AUD at 0.6200 = 1000/0.62 = 1612.90 • 3. Lend AUD at 5% which will fetch 1.10517 * 1612.90 =1782.53 after two years with continuous compounding. • 4. Enter into a forward contract to sell AUD 1782.53 at 0.6600 = 1176.47 USD • 5. The amount needed to pay for the 1000 USD debt is 1150.27. • Total risk less profit = USD 26.20 A5 - 27
  • 28. Currency Futures Market • Currency futures contracts specify a standard volume of a particular currency to be exchanged on a specific settlement date, typically the third Wednesdays in March, June, September, and December. • They are used by MNCs to hedge their currency positions, and by speculators who hope to capitalize on their expectations of exchange rate movements. A5 - 28
  • 29. Currency Futures Market • The contracts can be traded by firms or individuals through brokers on the trading floor of an exchange (e.g. Chicago Mercantile Exchange), on automated trading systems (e.g. GLOBEX), or over- the-counter. • Participants in the currency futures market need to establish and maintain a margin when they take a position. A5 - 29
  • 31. Currency Futures Market Forward Markets Futures Markets Clearing Handled by Handled by operation individual banks exchange & brokers. clearinghouse. Daily settlements to market prices. Marketplace Worldwide Central exchange telephone floor with global network. communications. A5 - 31
  • 32. Currency Futures Market Forward Markets Futures Markets Regulation Self-regulating. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, National Futures Association. Liquidation Mostly settled by Mostly settled by actual delivery. offset. Transaction Bank’s bid/ask Negotiated Costs spread. brokerage fees. A5 - 32
  • 33. Currency Futures Market • Normally, the price of a currency futures contract is similar to the forward rate for a given currency and settlement date, but differs from the spot rate when the interest rates on the two currencies differ. • These relationships are enforced by the potential arbitrage activities that would occur otherwise. A5 - 33
  • 34. Currency Futures Market • Currency futures contracts have no credit risk since they are guaranteed by the exchange clearinghouse. • To minimize its risk in such a guarantee, the exchange imposes margin requirements to cover fluctuations in the value of the contracts. A5 - 34
  • 35. Currency Futures Market • Speculators often sell currency futures when they expect the underlying currency to depreciate, and vice versa. A5 - 35
  • 36. Currency Futures Market • Currency futures may be purchased by MNCs to hedge foreign currency payables, or sold to hedge receivables. A5 - 36
  • 37. Currency Futures Market • Holders of futures contracts can close out their positions by selling similar futures contracts. Sellers may also close out their positions by purchasing similar contracts. A5 - 37
  • 38. Currency Futures Market • Most currency futures contracts are closed out before their settlement dates. • Brokers who fulfill orders to buy or sell futures contracts earn a transaction or brokerage fee in the form of the bid/ask spread. A5 - 38
  • 39. Currency Options Market • A currency option is another type of contract that can be purchased or sold by speculators and firms. • The standard options that are traded on an exchange through brokers are guaranteed, but require margin maintenance. • U.S. option exchanges (e.g. Chicago Board Options Exchange) are regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission. A5 - 39
  • 40. Currency Options Market • In addition to the exchanges, there is an over-the-counter market where commercial banks and brokerage firms offer customized currency options. • There are no credit guarantees for these OTC options, so some form of collateral may be required. • Currency options are classified as either calls or puts. A5 - 40
  • 41. Currency Call Options • A currency call option grants the holder the right to buy a specific currency at a specific price (called the exercise or strike price) within a specific period of time. • A call option is ¤ in the money if spot rate > strike price, ¤ at the money if spot rate = strike price, ¤ out of the money if spot rate < strike price. A5 - 41
  • 42. Currency Call Options • Option owners can sell or exercise their options. They can also choose to let their options expire. At most, they will lose the premiums they paid for their options. • Call option premiums will be higher when: ¤ (spot price – strike price) is larger; ¤ the time to expiration date is longer; and ¤ the variability of the currency is greater. A5 - 42
  • 43. Currency Call Options • Firms with open positions in foreign currencies may use currency call options to cover those positions. • They may purchase currency call options ¤ to hedge future payables; ¤ to hedge potential expenses when bidding on projects; and ¤ to hedge potential costs when attempting to acquire other firms. A5 - 43
  • 44. Currency Call Options • Speculators who expect a foreign currency to appreciate can purchase call options on that currency. ¤ Profit = selling price – buying (strike) price – option premium • They may also sell (write) call options on a currency that they expect to depreciate. ¤ Profit = option premium – buying price + selling (strike) price A5 - 44
  • 45. Currency Call Options • The purchaser of a call option will break even when selling price = buying (strike) price + option premium • The seller (writer) of a call option will break even when buying price = selling (strike) price + option premium A5 - 45
  • 46. 3. Plain vanilla options 3.1 Definitions & Notations • A European call on an asset confers the right but not the obligation to buy this asset at a pre- agreed price and date. • A European put on an asset confers the right but not the obligation to sell this asset at a pre- agreed price and date. • An American call on an asset confers the right but not the obligation to buy this asset at a pre- agreed price until a certain date. • An American put on an asset confers the right but not the obligation to sell this asset at a pre- agreed price until a certain date. A5 - 46
  • 47. 3.1 Definitions & Notations (2) • K: exercise price or strike: the price at which the underlying asset is exchanged; • T: expiry or maturity: the date when or until when the underlying is exchanged; • ct : value at time t of a European and American call; • pt : value at time t of a European and American put. • As with forward contracts, an option value is expressed per unit of underlying asset and from the option buyer’s viewpoint. A5 - 47
  • 48. 3.2 Payoff • Clearly a rational individual will only exercise his right to buy or sell the underlying asset conferred by a call or put option if it is profitable to do so ¤ For a call option this is the case when ST > ¤ For a put option this is the case when ST < A5 - 48
  • 49. 3.2 Payoff • Therefore, the respective payoffs of the European call and put with strike K and maturity T are given as: ¤ For the call: cT = max(0, ST – K); ¤ For the put: pT = max(0, K – ST). A5 - 49
  • 50. Figure p.52: Call Payoff cT max(ST – K, 0) ST K A5 - 50
  • 51. Figure p.52: Put Payoff pT max(K – ST, 0) ST K A5 - 51
  • 52. FIGURE 22-1 Profit from call. A5 - 52
  • 53. FIGURE 22-2 Profit from put. A5 - 53
  • 54. Currency Put Options • A currency put option grants the holder the right to sell a specific currency at a specific price (the strike price) within a specific period of time. • A put option is ¤ in the money if spot rate < strike price, ¤ at the money if spot rate = strike price, ¤ out of the money if spot rate > strike price. A5 - 54
  • 55. Currency Put Options • Put option premiums will be higher when: ¤ (strike price – spot rate) is larger; ¤ the time to expiration date is longer; and ¤ the variability of the currency is greater. • Corporations with open foreign currency positions may use currency put options to cover their positions. ¤ For example, firms may purchase put options to hedge future receivables. A5 - 55
  • 56. Currency Put Options • Speculators who expect a foreign currency to depreciate can purchase put options on that currency. ¤ Profit = selling (strike) price – buying price – option premium • They may also sell (write) put options on a currency that they expect to appreciate. ¤ Profit = option premium + selling price – buying (strike) price A5 - 56
  • 57. Currency Put Options • One possible speculative strategy for volatile currencies is to purchase both a put option and a call option at the same exercise price. This is called a straddle. • By purchasing both options, the speculator may gain if the currency moves substantially in either direction, or if it moves in one direction followed by the other. A5 - 57
  • 58. Straddle -Illustration • A straddle involves buying a call and put with the same strike price and expiration date. The strike price is denoted by ‘K’ and if the price is close to the strike price at expiration, the straddle leads to a loss. However, if there is a sufficiently large move in either direction, a significant profit will result. A5 - 58
  • 59. Straddle • A Straddle is appropriate when the investor is expecting a large move in price of a currency, currently valued at $0.69 in the market, will move significantly in the next six months. • The investor could create a straddle by buying both put and call at a strike price of $0.70 and expiration in three months. A5 - 59
  • 60. Straddle • Suppose the call costs $0.040 and put costs $0.030. If the price stays at $0.69 what will be the cost to the investor? • If the price moves to 0.70 what will be the cost? • If the price moves to 0.55 what will be the net payoff? A5 - 60
  • 61. Straddle - Solution • Upfront investment = 0.040 + 0.030 = 0.070 • Call expires worthless • Put expires worth 0.70 - 0.69 = 0.010 • Total cost = 0.070 – 0.010 = 0.060 • If the price is $ 0.70 total loss= 0.070 A5 - 61
  • 62. Straddle - Solution • If the price is $ 0.55 at expiration • Total up front cost = 0.070 • Call expires worthless • Put is worth 0.70 – 0.55 = 0.15 • Net payoff = 0.15 – 0.07 = 0.08 A5 - 62
  • 63. FIGURE 22-3 Profit from straddle. A5 - 63
  • 64. Straddle • A straddle seems to be a natural trading strategy when a big jump in share price is expected when there is a takeover bid or when the outcome of a major lawsuit is expected to be announced soon. • Options on such stocks will however be more expensive than usual and for straddle to be an effective strategy an investor’s belief must be different from those of other market participants. A5 - 64
  • 65. Payoff from a straddle • Price range Call Put Total • PAYOFF • St <=K 0 K –St K –St • St > K St – K 0 St -K A5 - 65
  • 66. Strangles • An investor buys a put and a call with the same expiration date but different strike prices. The call strike price K2 is greater than the put strike price K1. • A strangle is a similar strategy to straddle. • The investor is betting on large price movement but does not know the direction. However, the price has to move farther in a strangle than in a straddle for the investor to make a profit. However, the downside risk if the stock price ends up at a central values is less with a strangle. A5 - 66
  • 67. Payoff from a strangle • Range Call Put Total • PAYOFF • St <=K1 0 K1 –St K1 –St • K1 < St <K2 0 0 0 • St >=K2 St –K2 0 St –K2 A5 - 67
  • 68. Strangle - Problem • Calculate payoff from strangle under the following conditions • Call premium 0 .040 Put premium 0.030 • Call strike price 0. 72 Put strike price 0.69. • What will be the net pay off if • A) spot price = 0.90 • B) spot price = 0.55 • C) spot price = 0.70 A5 - 68
  • 69. Strangle Illustration • Strike price for call K2 = 0.72 • Strike price for put K1 = 0.69 • Call premium = 0.040 • Put premium = 0.030 • Calculate the Payoff if St = 0.90 • Payoff from call = St > K2. Difference = 0.90 -0.72 = 0.18 • Put expires worthless • Upfront payment = 0.040 + 0.030 = 0.070 • Net payoff = 0.180 – 0.070 = 0.11 A5 - 69
  • 70. Strangle - Illustration • St = 0.55 • Call expires worthless • Put pay off = k1 –St = 0.69 – 0.55 = 0.14 • Total upfront payment = 0.040 + 0.030 = 0.070 • Net payoff = 0.140 – 0.070 = 0.07 A5 - 70
  • 71. Strangle Illustration • Spot Price = 0.70 • K2 = 0.72 • Call expires worthless since St < K2 • K1 = 0.69 • Put expires worthless since K1 < St • Net pay off 0.040 + 0.030 = 0.070 loss A5 - 71
  • 72. Reading Foreign Exchange quotes • OPTIONS • PHILADELPHIA EXCHANGE • Calls Puts • Vol Last • German Mark 58.60 • 62500 German Marks – European Style • 58 Mar 600 0.26 • 62500 German Marks – Cents per unit • 58.50 Mar 6038 0.60 • Explain the above quotes. • What will be the minimum upfront payable ? A5 - 72
  • 73. Philadelphia Exchange quotes • A 58 Mar European put option give the buyer the right to sell the mark at 58 U.S.cents. The price of the option 0.26 means that for one contract the option buyer must pay $ 0.26 * 62500 = 162.50. • The option buyer acquires the right to sell the 62500 marks for 58 U.S. cents each at the expiry date of the option, which is the Friday before the third Wednesday of March. The option will not be exercised if the spot rate is above $ 0.58. • Rather than exercise, the buyer is likely to accept the difference between exercise price and the going spot price from the option WRITER. A5 - 73
  • 74. Philadelphia Exchange –Call Option • The 58.5 Mar option is an American Option, because it does not say ‘European Option’. Therefore, it can be exercised any day prior to maturity. There are 6038 call options for the day . • A call option contract will cost • 0.60 * 62500 = $375. • If the mark is above 0.5850 on the spot market , the option will be exercised on or before expiry date or its value will be collected from the option writer or another buyer. $375 can be thought of as an insurance premium for which if unfavourable events do not occur, the insurance simply expires. A5 - 74
  • 75. Conditional Currency Options • A currency option may be structured such that the premium is conditioned on the actual currency movement over the period of concern. • Suppose a conditional put option on £ has an exercise price of $1.70, and a trigger of $1.74. The premium will have to be paid only if the £’s value exceeds the trigger value. A5 - 75
  • 76. Conditional Currency Options • Similarly, a conditional call option on £ may specify an exercise price of $1.70, and a trigger of $1.67. The premium will have to be paid only if the £’s value falls below the trigger value. • In both cases, the payment of the premium is avoided conditionally at the cost of a higher premium. A5 - 76
  • 77. European Currency Options • European-style currency options are similar to American-style options except that they can only be exercised on the expiration date. • For firms that purchase options to hedge future cash flows, this loss in terms of flexibility is probably not an issue. Hence, if their premiums are lower, European- style currency options may be preferred. A5 - 77
  • 78. Efficiency of Currency Futures and Options • If foreign exchange markets are efficient, speculation in the currency futures and options markets should not consistently generate abnormally large profits. • A speculative strategy requires the speculator to incur risk. On the other hand, corporations use the futures and options markets to reduce their exposure to fluctuating exchange rates. A5 - 78
  • 79. Currency Options -Illustration • The major exchange for trading foreign currency options is the Philadelphia Stock Exchange. It offers both European and American contracts on a variety of different currencies. • The size of one contract depends on the currency. For example, in the case of the British pound one contract gives the holder the right to buy or sell GBP 31250. • In the case of Japanese Yen it is 6.25 million yen. A5 - 79
  • 80. Currency Option -Illustration • A speculator buys a British Pound call option with a strike price of $1.40 paying a premium of $0.012 per unit. Each option contract is for 31250 units. • Just before the expiration date, the spot rate is $ 1.41 and the speculator exercises the call option. • Calculate the net profit/loss in dollars. A5 - 80
  • 81. Currency options - Solution • Purchase price of contract in dollars • 31250 * 1.40 = 43750 • Call option premium paid • 31250 * 0.012 = 375 • Selling price • 31250 * 1.41 = 44062.50 • Loss = USD 62.50 A5 - 81
  • 82. Impact of Currency Derivatives on an MNC’s Value Currency Futures Currency Options m  n ∑ [ E ( CFj , t ) × E (ER j , t ) ]   j =1  Value = ∑   t =1  (1 + k ) t      E (CFj,t ) = expected cash flows in currency j to be received by the U.S. parent at the end of period t E (ERj,t ) = expected exchange rate at which currency j can be converted to dollars at the end of period t A5 - 82
  • 83. Chapter Review • Forward Market ¤ How MNCs Use Forward Contracts ¤ Non-Deliverable Forward Contracts A5 - 83
  • 84. Chapter Review • Currency Futures Market ¤ Contract Specifications ¤ Comparison of Currency Futures and Forward Contracts ¤ Pricing Currency Futures ¤ Credit Risk of Currency Futures Contracts ¤ Speculation with Currency Futures ¤ How Firms Use Currency Futures ¤ Closing Out A Futures Position ¤ Transaction Costs of Currency Futures A5 - 84
  • 85. Chapter Review • Currency Options Market • Currency Call Options ¤ Factors Affecting Currency Call Option Premiums ¤ How Firms Use Currency Call Options ¤ Speculating with Currency Call Options A5 - 85
  • 86. Chapter Review • Currency Put Options ¤ Factors Affecting Currency Put Option Premiums ¤ Hedging with Currency Put Options ¤ Speculating with Currency Put Options A5 - 86
  • 87. Chapter Review • Conditional Currency Options • European Currency Options • Efficiency of Currency Futures and Options • How the Use of Currency Futures and Options Affects an MNC’s Value A5 - 87
  • 88. Pay off formulae • ST = Spot price X = Strike price • C = Call premium P = Put premium • 1.Call option buyer’s Profit • Profit = -c for ST <= X • (The call option buyer loses the call premium amount if the spot price, i.e. the price at the time of closing out the contract is less or equal to the Strike price.) A5 - 88
  • 89. Call option buyer’s profit • Profit = ST – X –C • For ST > X • If the spot price is greater than the strike price the call option buyer makes a profit. The pay-off is the amount by which the spot price exceeds the strike price, less the call option premium paid. A5 - 89
  • 90. Option writer’s profit • Profit = c for ST <= X • The option writer profits by the option premium received when the spot price is less than or equal to strike price. This is because in this scenario, the option buyer will let the contract lapse by not taking any action. • Profit = - (ST – X –C) for ST > X. • When the spot price is greater than the strike price, the call option buyer exercises his option and the writer loses to the extent of difference between Spot price and strike price. His pay off will be his loss in the difference in prices less the premium amount already received. A5 - 90
  • 91. Put Option buyer’s profit • Profit = -p for ST > = X • If the Spot price is greater than or equal to the strike price contrary to the expectations of the put option buyer, the put option buyer takes no action and ultimately loses the put option premium amount paid. • Profit = (X –ST –p ) for ST < X • If the spot price is less than the strike price, the put option buyer makes profit to the extent of the difference between strike and spot prices, less the put option premium paid. A5 - 91
  • 92. Put option writer’s profit • Profit = p for ST > = X • Put option writer makes profit if the spot price is more than the strike price contrary to the bearish sentiments of the put option buyer who loses the premium. • Profit = - (X –ST –p) for ST <X • If the put option buyer’s prediction comes true and the spot price is less than the strike price, the put option writer loses to the extent of the ruling difference between the strike price and the spot price and eventual loss is this difference less the put option premium already collected. A5 - 92
  • 93. Close out of forward contracts • Some times a customer may not require to take up all the foreign currency he has bought under a forward contract. • Suppose a bank contracts to sell the customer $50000 for delivery over three months. At the end of three months, the customer takes up only $40000 and the bank is required to calculate what must happen to the remaining $10000.00 A5 - 93
  • 94. Closed out forward contracts • The customer is deemed to hav taken up the whole contract but to have sold back to the bank, at the bank’s spot buying price the unutilised balance of the forward contract. • The detailed procedure is as follows. • Banks sells at the forward price the remaining balance of 10000 and the customer is debited with that amount. • The bank then buys back 10000 at the spot buying price and the customer is credited with the proceeds. A5 - 94
  • 95. Closed out forward contracts • In actual fact, the bank merely does two calculations $10000 at the forward selling price and $10000 bought back at spot buying price. The GBP difference between the two is debited or credited to the customer’s account depending upon which way the exchange rates have moved. A5 - 95
  • 96. Closed out forward contract -Illustration • Suppose the remaining amount is $10000 which has to be adjusted. • The bank has originally sold $50000 to an importer under a forward contract over three months at $2.0020. • What will be the net credit/debit to the customer account if the spot rates on the close out day are • A. 2.0040 -2.0060 • B. 1.9980 -2.0000 A5 - 96
  • 97. Closed out forward contract - Solution • A.Contract amount $10000 at 2.0020 = • GBP 4995.00 • Closed out rate = 2.0060 = GBP 4985.04 • Net debit to customer account = GBP 9.96 • B. Closed out rate = 2.0000 = GBP 5000 • Net credit = GBP 5.00 A5 - 97
  • 98. Extension of contract • It can happen that the customer who is unable to deliver, requests the bank to continue the forward deal without interruption. • The dealer does this by deducting the applicable premium from or adding the applicable discount to the closing out (spot price). • Thus under an extended forward contract to purchase currency from customer, the bank will deduct the premium (on the buying side) from the close out spot price (on the selling side). A5 - 98
  • 99. Extension solution • Bank buys 10000 at 2.0020 = 4995 • Bank sells 10000 at 2.0040 = 4990.02 • Credit = 4.98 • Bank buys 4995 • Bank sells at 1.9980 = 5005.01 • Debit 10.01 A5 - 99