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THE UK LABOUR MARKET
MAY 2014
These slides reflect the opinions of the author and
not the official position of the ONS
UK Employment: January - March 2014
UK Unemployment: January - March 2014
Not in the Labour Force: Jan - Mar 2014
The claimant count comes from an
โ€œadministrative data sourceโ€
It is not based on a survey.
Claimant Count: April 2014
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
Jan-
Mar
1993
Jan-
Mar
1994
Jan-
Mar
1995
Jan-
Mar
1996
Jan-
Mar
1997
Jan-
Mar
1998
Jan-
Mar
1999
Jan-
Mar
2000
Jan-
Mar
2001
Jan-
Mar
2002
Jan-
Mar
2003
Jan-
Mar
2004
Jan-
Mar
2005
Jan-
Mar
2006
Jan-
Mar
2007
Jan-
Mar
2008
Jan-
Mar
2009
Jan-
Mar
2010
Jan-
Mar
2011
Jan-
Mar
2012
Jan-
Mar
2013
Jan-
Mar
2014
The employment level is at
a record high, however,
why is it better to consider
the employment rate?
Millions
Total Number of People in Employment in the UK Aged 16 and Over
Employment Level
67.0
68.0
69.0
70.0
71.0
72.0
73.0
74.0
Jan-
Mar
1993
Jan-
Mar
1994
Jan-
Mar
1995
Jan-
Mar
1996
Jan-
Mar
1997
Jan-
Mar
1998
Jan-
Mar
1999
Jan-
Mar
2000
Jan-
Mar
2001
Jan-
Mar
2002
Jan-
Mar
2003
Jan-
Mar
2004
Jan-
Mar
2005
Jan-
Mar
2006
Jan-
Mar
2007
Jan-
Mar
2008
Jan-
Mar
2009
Jan-
Mar
2010
Jan-
Mar
2011
Jan-
Mar
2012
Jan-
Mar
2013
Jan-
Mar
2014
The employment rate is
rising but it is still not back
to itโ€™s pre-downturn level.
Employment Rates in the UK for 16 to 64 year oldsEmployment
Rate(%)
Employment Rate
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
100.0
Employment
Rate(%)
Employment Rates in the UK for Men and Women
Aged 16 to 64, 1971 to 2014
1973 1983 1993 2003 2013
Female employment rate = 67.7% in Jan โ€“ Mar 2014
Highest since records began in1971
Men
Women
Employment Rates for Men and Women
3.0
3.2
3.4
3.6
3.8
4.0
4.2
4.4
4.6
4.8
Jan-Mar
2008
Jan-Mar
2009
Jan-Mar
2010
Jan-Mar
2011
Jan-Mar
2012
Jan-Mar
2013
Jan-Mar
2014
A strong increase in the number of
self-employed.
Jan โ€“ Mar 2014: 4.6 million self-employed
1.3 million were estimated to
be working part โ€“time.
Millions
Number of Self-Employed People in the UK, 2008 to 2014
Self - employment
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
UK Nationals Non-UK
Nationals
UK Born Non-UK Born
Thousands
Changes to the Number of People in Employment Between
Jan-Mar 2013 and Jan-Mar 2014
by Nationality and Country of Birth
Nationality Country of Birth
563
178
447
292
NB: The overall changes
may differ due to rounding
Employment by
Nationality & Country of Birth
-40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140
Rest of the world
USA
Pakistan and Bangladesh
India
Australia and New Zealand
Africa
Romania and Bulgaria
EUA8
EU14
The โ€œyoungerโ€
members of the EU
Thousands
Changes to the Number of People in Employment Between
Jan-Mar 2013 and Jan-Mar 2014
Who Were Not Born in the UK, by Country of Birth
Employment by Country of Birth
-4.0
-3.0
-2.0
-1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
Jan-
Mar
2009
Jan-
Mar
2010
Jan-
Mar
2011
Jan-
Mar
2012
Jan-
Mar
2013
Jan-
Mar
2014
Annual Growth Rates in Earnings and Consumer Prices
Earnings ex.
bonuses
Earnings inc.
bonuses
Consumer Prices Index
Growth in earnings inc. bonuses has risen
above growth in consumer prices for the first
time since 2010. However, growth in
earnings ex. bonuses is still below.
Earnings and Prices
The Numbers Refer to The Number of People Aged 16 to 64, in Thousands
Unemployment
2,182
Inactivity
8,848
Employment
29,343
Net flow from inactivity
to unemployment of
85
Net flow from inactivity
to employment of
35
Net flow from unemployment
to employment of
235
570
335
444
479
481
396
Labour Market Flows

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13 Slides on the UK Labour Market in May 2014

Editor's Notes

  1. LFS = Labour Force Survey
  2. LFS = Labour Force Survey
  3. LFS = Labour Force Survey
  4. These numbers are from the Labour Force Survey โ€“ lots of media discussion around the strong increase in self employment: e.g. http://www.theguardian.com/society/2014/may/06/self-employment-uk-job-figures-analysis
  5. Very topical!
  6. At the moment there is lots of interest in the increase in the number of people working in the UK who were born in Romania and Bulgaria as it is around 1 year since the barriers on immigration were lifted. But note: 1. These estimates are obviously based on smaller sample sizes than the UK headline figures so they cannot be as accurate. 2. The LFS does not set out to measure migration โ€“ it only shows changes in the number of people in employment by country of birth, not the changes in the number of people migrating here.
  7. A positive picture again โ€“ after divergence in recent years, earnings growth and the CPI are closing in on each other. This means that peopleโ€™s earnings are growing at a similar rate to price increases. However, regular pay (earnings excluding bonuses) is still increasing at a slower rate than the cost of living.
  8. These are classed as โ€œexperimental statisticsโ€ The numbers differ slightly from some of the headline numbers because all these figures are based on the population aged 16 to 64. It is a positive picture, overall there has been: A net increase in employment of 270 thousand people A net decrease in the number of inactive people, leading to an overall increase in the number of people in the UK labour force (all those employed and unemployed โ€“ i.e. working or looking and available to work)