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Managing Credit Risk for Competitive Advantage in China
Richard Bisset, Executive Project manager,
Risk and Compliance, IBM Greater China Group.
Shanghai, Friday 29th February,2008
2
2008 challenges for Chinese banks
2008年中国的银行的关键因素
 Improve and enhance standards, systems and processes to avoid bad debt.
 Manage data origination, information distribution and reporting
 Manage loan origination, NPL management & collection processes
 Find a balance between compliance and business performance
 Find the equilibrium between centralization and control of branches.
 Need to integrate management information and create value added knowledge.
 Need to improve level of awareness and understanding of bank staff to improve
internal controls and governance
3
Table of Contents目录
 Credit Risk Management, Data and Economic Capital
 Managing the information
 The Credit Factory
 The Pricing of Credit: The link between economic capital and CRM
 Lifecycle Risk Management
 Risk Management Issues
 Human Capital Management – Risk Management Benefits
 Conclusions
4
Risk Management is the Bridge between Data and Bank Objectives with
Shareholder Value as the Target .
风险管理是用以连接数据与银行目标,即对股东的投资回报的桥梁
Risk
Mgmt
Data
Analytics
Governance
Objectives
Tools
Data & IT
Management
Processes
Moving from origination function to a risk/portfolio management function methodology
Moving from collecting interest and principal payments to a portfolio total return measurement approach
Deliver
Shareholder
Value
Business
Front
Office/Transaction
Commercial
Loans, Leases, LoC
Consumer
Auto, Residential,
Cards, HEL
Asset Mgmt
Mutual Funds,
Custodian, Financial
Planning
Processing
Solution
Debit, credit, private
labels, etc
Trading
Corp, ABS, FX,
Derivatives, etc
Others
Treasury services,
etc
Risk
Life
Cycle
View
Origination &
Acquisition
•Deal prospecting
•risk assessment
•Pricing & funding
•Credit approval
•Credit booking
Risk Mgmt &
reporting
•Payment remittance
•Provision
•Past due (30,60, 90d)
•Risk migration – NPL,
charge-off
•Performance – ROA,
ROE, P/E, Market Cap
Disposition &
Recovery
• Distressed debt
recovery/charge-off
Risk Mgmt/Basel
Risk mitigation
(hedging, securitization,
syndication)
)
(
)
(
1
1
1 /
)
)
(
(
t
t SDP
SDP
t
t SDP
Z 







 

5
•Credit Risk
default risk
credit deterioration
•Market Risk
Interest rate risk
Liquidity risk
ALM
•Operational Risk
•Legal Risk
•Reputation Risk
•Credit Risk
PD/LGD/EAD/M
•Market Risk
VaR, volatility, NII,
Operational Risk
AMA, SA, BIA
•Legal Risk
•Reputation Risk
•Hedging
Credit derivatives
(CDO/CDS)
Interest rate derivatives
•Securitization
MBS/CMO/ABS/CLO
•Syndication
senior/junior/equity
•Asset Disposition and
Restructuring
•RAROC
(Risk Adjusted Return
on Capital)
•EPS
(Earnings per Share)
•SVA
(Shareholder Value
Added)
•EVA
(Enterprise Value Added)
•External
Financial Regulators
Basel II, Sarbanes-Oxley
Shareholders
Customers
•Internal
Portfolio
LOB
Senior Management
Board
Risk Management Polices & Procedures
Risk Management Processes (Monitoring, Execution & Implementation)
ALLL (Allowance of Loan and Lease Loss)
Reserves
Capital Allocation
Economic Capital
Banks need to develop an End to End Integrated Risk Management System
Risk
Identification
Reporting
Performance
Measurement
Portfolio
Management
Risk
Measurement
6
Table of Contents
 The Risk Management, Data and Economic Capital
 Managing the information
 The Credit Factory
 The Pricing of Credit: The link between economic capital and CRM
 Lifecycle Risk Management.
 Risk Management Issues
 Human Capital Management – Risk Management Benefits
 Conclusions
7
Data Management: a Key Challenge for Basel II Compliance
Da ta m gt.
Proje c t m gt.
Im pl of s up Re v ie w proc e s s e s
Adhe re nc e to dis c los ure s
Suffic ie nt re s ourc e s
M gt buy -in
Othe r
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Source: IBM Institute for Business Value analysis
Banks and Basel II: How Prepared Are They?, October 2002
Based on interviews with 32 Financial institutions worldwide
Percent Responding
Challenges:
Identifying the data
Locating that data in operational systems
Understanding the structure of the data
Extracting and transforming data
Cleansing the data
Choosing a database management system
Fast reliable access to data
Storing risk calculation and analytical
results
Production of all regulatory reports
On-line analytical processing capabilities
Data mining Source: IBM Institute for Business Value analysis
Based on interviews with 32 Financial institutions
worldwide
8
Redundant and inconsistent data in various
systems that consolidate data for different
purposes
Multiple interfaces to source systems are
one of the main reasons for huge change
efforts
Reporting tools, methodologies/functions
and data warehousing aren‘t separated
properly and are often redundant
Older source systems frequently generate
additional complexity
Inland
PBC & CB
F/C DrKW
Ausland
Töchter
KDI
KDU/KRD
FIF930 SAK/CRP
KWV
KDA
KDV WEG
KDO/KDR HGD
ELBA FC RWI
WPD WERS
MABILA /
BORIS
OLB
AMI
AIDA
ADB DKW Reuschel
Manuelle
Geschäfte
Calypso
PROFIT
DreLUX
COM
FORWARD
FID/FIN MIDAS
DBLA
Globus
CORDOBA SEBIOS
KDD
PAD
ANLOS / ACBS
MARCX/BF
BF
INV
TEA KDW
Reports
MWD CDS MKB
CAD CRIS DCL/RWS
Funktionen
LOB X
Finance LOB Y
Risk Management
INV
Reports, strategies and positions
Functions
Source Systems
The major challenge is to overcome the lack of integration currently leading to poor
data quality & high costs for Credit Risk, Finance & CRM Management
Inconsistencies in overlapping reports on
business side
For credit risk, Banks need to build the Management Architecture
Credit Risk Data Mart
Key Area Improvement Opportunity
 Set up proper governance structure to actively manage credit data,
identify credit data ownership, assign roles and responsibilities
 Initiate credit data standard definition, data requirement planning, data
quality management, data security management
 Development of data management tools and methodologies to enhance
data quality and analysis of the risk output, as well as to streamline the
collection, consolidation and extraction of counterparty and credit data
from the Bank’s existing systems
1 Improvements on Credit Data Governance
 Establishment of data warehousing based around an open architecture
and supports the key functional areas related to the credit process,
such as risk analysis, relationship management, profitability, collateral
and asset and liability management.
2 Establishment of Credit Risk Data Mart
10
This in One Possibility for Credit Risk Management Architecture
Credit Risk / Portfolio Analysis (CRS)
Core Banking System (Credit Related Processing)
EAI Technology Infrastructure
Loans Origination
(Loans Application, Credit Approval,
Document Verification & Credit
Signing)
Loans Servicing
(Loans Drawdown, Repayment
Processing & Account Closing)
Risk
Concentration
Portfolio
Summary
Credit Rating
Shift
Large Exposure
Management
Counter-party
Risk Analysis
Country Risk
Analysis
Industry Sector
Risk Analysis
Loss
Forecasting
VaR Based Analysis
Sensitivity Analysis Stress Test Analysis “What-if” Simulation
Portfolio
Monitoring
Portfolio
Analysis
Remedial Processing
(Fraud Detection, Collection, Loans Restructuring,
Past-Due, NPL & Write-off Processing,
Collateral Acquisitions & Mgt, Assets Recovery
Credit Control
(Customer Credit Review, Loans Review, Collateral Management, Customer Limit Management, Credit Management Process Auditing
& Credit Operation Reporting
Payment & Collection
Records
Loans Accounts
Loans Applications
Customer
Information File
Loans
Default
History
Payment &
Collection
History
Loans Appln
&
Scoring
History
Customer/
Portfolio
Characteristics
Credit Risk Management Data Mart
DBW
Credit Workflow Platform
Approval Limit
Control
Loan
Origination
Rule-based
Credit
Approval
Credit Process
Status
Tracking
Pipeline
Management
Performance
Reporting
Document
Management
Core Credit Risk Engine
Exposure, EL, UL
Risk Modelling (incl. PD &
LGD modeing) and Scoring
Credit Adjusted Valuation
Limits Engine Decision Engine
Risk-based Pricing
RAROC, Strategy
Simulation
Marginal Risk
Rating / Scoring
Limit Setting
Limit Monitoring
Limit Utilization
Approvals
Corporate Financial Analysis
Spreading Analysis
Financial Ratio Analysis
Historical Financial Maintenance
Future Cash Flow Forecasting
CRS Core Applications
Reporting Solution
(Reporting & Ad-Hoc Queries)
Data Mining Solution
(Data Mining, Model Validation & Testing)
11
Redundant data have been eliminated and
consolidation of data is easier. Changes are
only needed to match changing markets
Interfaces between source systems and
functions have been unscrambled and are
one of the main results of the change efforts
Reporting tools, methodologies/functions
and data warehousing have been separated
properly and are much more accurate
Source systems have been rationalised and
the reporting architecture is simpler
KDI
KDU/KRD
FIF930 SAK/CRP
KDA ELBA FC RWI AIDA
ADB DKW Reuschel PROFIT
DreLUX
COM CORDOBA SEBIOS
KDD
PAD
MARCX/BF
Reports
MWD CDS MKB
CAD CRIS DCL/RWS
Reports, strategies and positions
Functions
Source Systems
With the correct architecture, the picture becomes much simpler and easier to control.
Data quality is much higher and costs for Credit Risk, Finance & CRM Management
have been greatly reduced 由于正确的架构,结构图将变的更为简单并且易于控制。数据质量
大大提高,同时风险管理的费用也显著降低
Inconsistent and overlapping reports on
business side have been eliminated
12
Table of Contents目录
 The Risk Management, Data and Economic Capital
 Managing the information
 The Credit Factory and Portfolio Management
 The Pricing of Credit: The link between economic capital and CRM
 Lifecycle Risk Management.
 Risk Management Issues
 Human Capital Management – Risk Management Benefits
 Conclusions
13
Transaction Processing
The Credit Factory: The constituent elements in managing the asset and
liability portfolio of the bank
信用工厂:管理银行资产负债组合的组成要素
 Secondary market
management
 Syndication
 Credit Derivatives
 Structured deals
 CDOs
Origination
Active Portfolio
Management
Secondary market products
Portfolio
Credit
Customers
Branches
ALM
Secondary
market
Primary
market
Trade Processing Financial Control Product Control
Account Management
Behavior Scoring
Attrition Scoring
Response Scoring
Credit Risk Management
Application Scoring
Recovery Management
Collection Scoring
14
Portfolio Business Objectives
资产组合的商业目标
Revenue Enhancement
 Increased Profits from Up Sell / Cross
Sell Opportunities
 Increased Profits from Strategic Line
Management Programs
 Increased Profits from Targeted
Repricing Strategies
 Maximize Likelihood of Repeat
Business
 Improve Customer Service
Procedure Enhancement
 Manage Workload/Make Efficient Use
of Staff
 Lower Delinquency/Write-Offs
 Control Operational Expenses
 Reduce Required Loss Reserves
 Lower High Risk Balances
Loss Control
 Manage Workload
 Make Efficient Use of Staff
 Lower Delinquency
 Lower Write-Offs
 Control Operational Expenses
 Reduce Required Loss Reserves
 Lower High Risk Balances
Improve Profitability
 Increase Profitable Revenue
 Reduce Delinquency and Loss
 Decrease Collection Expenses
15
Credit Portfolio Management Process
信贷资产管理流程
Credit
Default History
Payment &
Collection History
Credit Application &
Scoring History
Customer/ Portfolio
Characteristics
Credit Risk Management Data Mart
Risk
Concentration
Portfolio
Summary
Credit
Rating
Shift
Large
Exposure
Mgmt
Counter-
party Risk
Analysis
Country
Risk
Analysis
Industry
Sector Risk
Analysis
Loss
Forecasting
Portfolio Monitoring
Portfolio Analysis (CRS)
VAR Based Analysis
Sensitivity Analysis Stress Test Analysis “What-if” Simulation
Portfolio Analysis
Industry Risk Scoring
Portfolio & Risk Management Strategy
Strategy
Matrix
Identify Current
Cycle Phase
Performance
Profile Modeling
Equivalent
Strategy
Comparison
Suitable Strategy
Selection
Implementation &
Management
16
Table of Contents目录
 The Risk Management, Data and Economic Capital
 Managing the information
 The Credit Factory
 The Pricing of Credit: The link between economic capital and CRM
 Lifecycle Risk Management.
 Risk Management Issues
 Human Capital Management – Risk Management Benefits
 Conclusions
17
Cost of funds资金
成本
Pure cost of funds
that the branch
would lend
Credit Premium
信用溢价
Accurate
assessment of
expected loss from
credit default
Mark-up加价
The margin that
makes the loan
profitable for the
branch
Cost of Operations运营成本
Total cost of activities conducted at the bank
(at branch and head-office levels)
Correct Pricing of loans is a Necessity….it captures both risk and value
of CRM
贷款的准确定价至关重要
 How can branches use these tools to grow their revenue and profitability分行如何运
用这些工具来增加其收益和利润
 How can central units better manage risk exposure arising from systemic factors总
行如何更好的管理来自系统性因素的风险敞口
CRM
客户关系管理
CREDIT
RISK信用风险
ALM
资产负债管理 Interest rate offered on a loan贷款利率出价
18
The final component that brings the profit to the bank; the margin that a bank can
charge on a loan is driven by a number of factors, the skill of the banker is determining
how they can leverage these factors to their advantage
为银行带来利润的决定性因素决定了贷款利差,银行需要将这些因素转化为优势
No.
Key Factors Driving Margin 利润
驱动的主要因素
Description 描述 + ve -ve
Competitiveness 竞争力
1 客户细分 customer characteristics
The finer the understanding of peculiarities within group of
customers, the better a company can manage its risk exposure 
2 产品差异化 product differentiation How is my product different from those offered by other banks 
3 其它银行分行的竞争 product competition
How many banks are offering exact and substitute products in the
same market to the same customers 
4 潜在的进入壁垒 barriers to entry How difficult is it for a competitor to enter the market 
5 产品可获性 cross regional competition
Cross regional competition – when corporate differ to head-office
to get loans or non-bank competitors 
6 人民银行控制 central bank controls
Margins on loans and deposits are only allowed within a narrow
band based on the central bank reference rate 
Risk 风险
1 信用评级 PD What is the risk of default for the borrower  
2 抵押交易 LGD What is the amount of collateral against the loan  
3 有效的抵押品管理 process management Efficiency of the collateral management & evaluation processes 
4 更少的经济资本 (对于预期损失) EC The amount of capital that has to be applied to unexpected loss 
5
与全面的银行资产负债表的关联
concentration
How many loans in the portfolio are in the same region & industry 
Customer relationship 客户关系
1 关系管理 depth of relationship
How deep is our knowledge of the customer and deep is the
relationship 
19
Table of Contents目录
 The Risk Management, Data and Economic Capital
 Managing the information
 The Credit Factory
 The Pricing of Credit: The link between economic capital and CRM
 Lifecycle Risk Management.
 Risk Management Issues
 Human Capital Management – Risk Management Benefits
 Conclusions
20
Lifecycle Credit Risk Management
信贷风险管理的生命周期
Planning
Acquire
Maintain
Collection
Write Off
Lifecycle
Credit Risk
Mgmt
• Product Design
• Marketing Strategy
• Resource Plan
• Acquisition
• Verification
• Decision
• Limit Assignment
• Account Review
• Limit Increase
• Cross-sell
• Anti-Attrition
• Collection Strategy
• Recovery Prediction
• External Agency
Management
• Bad debt Write Off
• Provision Calculation
• Product Review
21
From Basel to CRM : Data plus Analytics
从Basel到CRM:数据加分析
CRM platform automates customer
portfolio workflow and provides
access to customer information to
support the sales or service
dialogue
The content and format of customer
treatment and the business logic that
determines when how and what is
delivered to each customer in order to
optimise customer value
Using customer data and the rules
embedded in the customer strategies,
make customer decisions that
optimise value - before they are
needed
Customer data, data warehousing,
analytics tools and techniques,
customer value algorithms, credit
portfolio and customer scorecards
22
Talking to the grey
mass
Understand
customer
value
Segment
by value
and need
Frame
strategies
for treating
customers
Decide actions
customer by
customer
Success=f (customer contact, data analytics, value strategy,
decision-making)
Product
holdings
High
Attrition
score
E-channel
preference
Yes No
Yes
Offer e-
chat room
Offer advice
service
No
Not High
Application back-out Leave page Cash withdrawal
23
Customer Relationship Management客户关系管理
Credit Policies
Credit Guidelines
Credit Risk Management
Risk Appetite
Regulations
Audit and Compliance
CRM SYSTEM
Credit Bureau (Retail)
PBoC Loan Database
Demographics
Competition
Economic Factors
Political Environment
Internal Data External Data
Business Constraints Market Environment
Customer & Market data
Attrition rates
Retention Rates
Acquisition costs
Product Mix
Cross-selling strategy:
Up sell / Down sell
Pricing strategy:
Give the optimum price to the
customer to maximize profit
Credit Line management:
Increase / Decrease credit limit
according to different customer
performance
Collection strategy:
To avoid future loss on defaulting
customers
ETC…………
Anti-attrition program:
Increase customer retention rate by
better offers, fee waiving, etc
24
Interlinkage between Data and Risk Strategy
数据和风险战略的关系
Risk & Portfolio Management Strategy
Customer
Relationship
Management
Risk Engine
Historical Loss Data
Credit Risk Rating Model
Generate individual PD,
LGD, EAD,M, Credit Grade
and Expected Loss
Collateral Management
From an IRB and MtM
approach
Bank’s Credit Risk Repository
Pricing Engine
RAROC
Information on cost of
funds and administration,
profitability, interest rate
risk)
Bank’s Data Warehouse
Portfolio Data
Loan
Mortgages
Cash-flow data
Collateral Data
Securities
Real Estate
Credit Derivatives, etc
Market Data
Interest Rates
Credit Spreads
FOREX Rates
Customer Information
 Customer Profile.
 External ratings
 PD, etc
Core Banking
Administration
Disbursement
Regulatory
disclosure
Public
disclosure
Portfolio
Credit Risk
Management
Generate
portfolio
PD, EAD,
LGD,
Correlations
and cVaR
Capital and
reserves
allocation
and limits
setting
Stress-
testing
25
Table of Contents目录
 The Risk Management, Data and Economic Capital
 Managing the information
 The Credit Factory
 The Pricing of Credit: The link between economic capital and CRM
 Lifecycle Risk Management.
 Risk Management Issues
 Human Capital Management – Risk Management Benefits
 Conclusions
26
Risk Management Issues
• Heightened requirements around privacy, security, and various types of risk are requiring
financial institutions to take a more proactive, enterprise-wide approach to managing internal
governance and compliance issues.
• They need to leverage compliance and risk management in a way that creates new value for the
business through greater transparency, better internal controls, better compliance and increased
trust.
• Greater transparency is critical, not only because regulators and customers are demanding it, but
also because of the emergence of collaborative business models and partnerships.
• Risk management and regulatory compliance require fast, accurate and complete data, but they
also require that management and staff understand the financial institution, the regulatory
environment and, most importantly, their own roles and obligations within the organization
• The key for financial institutions is to improve governance and compliance enterprise-wide by
widening their focus from implementing software solutions that solve specific problems or
comply with regulatory and legal requirements to include facilitating a bank-wide system of staff
development and training which will ultimately help the bank grow revenue and profits, and
manage the business more effectively.
• Going forward, the most critical developmental need in banks in China will be human capital
development
27
Risk Management Issues
• Appropriate Expertise
 There is little value in having a world class system in place without the expertise to oversee it. The business
of finance has become increasingly complex and this complexity requires a thorough understanding of the
bank’s systems and procedures – particularly in the area of risk management
• The Human Element
 The one element that overrides all others in the successful implementation of internal good governance is the
integrity of staff. It is the most important component of any internal governance program and yet it is easiest
to underestimate and the hardest to control.
• Recruitment
 Recruitment of quality staff, that have strong values and integrity, and investment in training those staff to
understand the importance and relevance of core values in their daily business is the glue that binds all other
elements of a successful process together. The media is full of reports of rogue traders (most recently at
Societe Generale), or sharp practice within organizations that have occurred through either a lack of
understanding of the bank’s systems and procedures or a lack of personal integrity in an employee or group of
employees.
• Training and Development
 Training in ethics and the consequences of the personal actions of employees is an important part of modern
corporate governance. But it is not just ethics and compliance. Compliance only goes so far, the staff have to
understand the mechanics of banking to give ethics any basis in fact. It has been found that the single most
critical aspect to mitigating risk lies beyond merely installing and closely monitoring world class systems. It
is in the management of human resources – from very stringent and thorough hiring processes, to ongoing
staff training and development
28
Risk Management Issues
• Innovation
 Banking in China is going through enormous changes and the people in the bank need to be able to change
with it. They need to be able to think outside the box and look for new ways to improve the way the bank
conducts business. Proper HR management can enable staff to embrace change, rather than fear it.
• Direction, Focus, Mission
 It is very often the case that staff are unaware of what the Bank wants to achieve. The information flows
are inadequate to ensure that the Bank and its staff are moving in the right direction. Proper HR
management can ensure that the correct message and therefore the correct procedures and systems are used
to the best advantage of the bank
• Operational Efficiency
 A better understanding of the job and the staff’s position and purpose in the bank can greatly enhance
operational efficiency, leading to fewer mistakes and lower losses. Proper HR management can provide the
tools and the skills to ensure that this happens
• Quality Customer Service
 Staff that understand their role provide better customer service and therefore better customer satisfaction.
This is key to being able to compete effectively in the market place. Proper HR management can help staff
understand just how important the customer is and how to help him.
• Governance and Compliance
 Proper HR management can instill in staff an appreciation of the bank, its environment, its role in society
and the staff member’s obligations (and those of the bank) to that society.
29
Table of Contents目录
 The Risk Management, Data and Economic Capital
 Managing the information
 The Credit Factory
 The Pricing of Credit: The link between economic capital and CRM
 Lifecycle Risk Management.
 Risk Management Issues
 Human Capital Management – Risk Management Benefits
 Conclusions
30
Human Capital Management - Risk Management Benefits
• Staff Development
 Staff are motivated by many things, but a key ingredient is a sense of self-worth. Training should be a
reward which shows the staff how valuable he is to the organization. Proper HR management can equip
staff with the capacity to move up through the ranks in the bank.
• Results and Bottom-Line Orientation
 Without the right framework in place, it is easy for lending staff to lose sight of their primary professional
function – to make profits for the bank. Proper HR management can assist lending staff to understand this
and understand the consequence of their actions in terms of bottom-line performance.
• Leadership
 Every bank wants to groom the leaders of the future. Proper HR management can provide them with the
tools to achieve this.
• Teamwork
 Staff in the credit areas should understand that they do not work alone, but are part of a small team of
professionals which in turn is part of a larger team. Proper HR management can instill the value of
teamwork leading to greater operational efficiency and an esprit de corps
• Loan Quality
 The easiest way for a bank to lose money is in credit. A lack of understanding of a customer’s business or
the business environment can lead to serious losses and high levels of NPLs. Proper HR management can
help lenders understand the dynamics of lending and the impact bad lending decisions can have.
31
Human Capital Management - Risk Management Benefits
• Staff Retention and Loyalty
 Staff turnover is often the result, not only of conditions of employment such as salaries, but also of people
feeling under-appreciated. It can also have a pernicious effect on morale amongst other staff. Proper HR
management can overcome this and reduce turnover levels and increase loyalty.
• Lower level of Non-Performing Loans
 China’s track record on NPLs has been lamentable and whilst the reasons are many (policy lending,
preservation of employment at SOEs) the only way to avoid a repeat of past mistakes is through training on
lending.
• Understanding of the methodology behind the Software
 Under the new Basel Accord, statistical methodologies are used to calculate risk, capital requirements etc.
It is easy for lending officers to lose the ability to undertake their own analysis of customers. Proper HR
management can ensure that lending staff have the ability to make value judgments about counter-parties.
• Performance
 Personal performance is key to job satisfaction and can be adversely impacted when staff do not understand
what they are doing. Proper HR management can reduce errors, increase efficiency and provide more and
better opportunities to staff for self- development and promotion.
• Profitability
 The overriding objective of proper HR management is to enhance the profitability of the Bank.
32
Table of Contents目录
 The Risk Management, Data and Economic Capital
 Managing the information
 The Credit Factory
 The Pricing of Credit: The link between economic capital and CRM
 Lifecycle Risk Management.
 Risk Management Issues
 Human Capital Management – Risk Management Benefits
 Conclusions
33
Conclusions结论
With the right investment in data sourcing and packaging, a Bank’s capital
requirements can be better managed and the risk measured and controlled.
It is important to get the data sourcing and management right first. Reporting
and information flows will follow.
Based on internal and external information sources, the trick is to get pricing
right and correctly target the customer
In a world of securitization and credit derivatives, the effective management of
assets and liabilities, and the correct balancing of the bank’s portfolio depends on
risk identification through strong database information.
The integration of the foregoing points into Credit Risk, Customer Relationship
Management and Portfolio Management is essential, but without due care and
attention paid to the human capital issues, the effect of any such integration will be
limited and the effort to increase shareholder value will only have limited success.
34
Richard Bisset’s Resume
Richard Bisset is a graduate of Leeds University with a bachelor degree in Chinese and German. Having
spent 25 years at HSBC, he joined IBM at the beginning of September 2007 as Executive Project
Manager and is now working with Global Business Services, advising on credit risk management,
compliance and governance.
During his time with HSBC he worked in many places in the Far East, but by far the most time was spent
in Greater China, either in Shanghai or in Hong Kong. A veteran of many roles, the last 12 years of his
career with HSBC was in the credit area, including 4 years as Head of Credit Risk Management for
HSBC's operations in Japan. In this role he was responsible for both the corporate bank and the securities
company, managing a diversified portfolio comprising private banking, corporate banking, financial
institutions, project finance and sovereign borrowers.
His career with HSBC culminated in secondments first to Bank of Shanghai (HSBC 8%) in 2004 and the to
Bank of Communications (HSBC 19.9%) in 2005. In these roles, he was responsible for advising on Credit
Risk Management, handling delinquent loans and implementing best practices in credit risk management.
This included creating credit policy, writing credit manuals and training credit staff.
Since late 2007, he has been managing IBM’s downstream project at Bank of Nanjing, whilst at the same
time providing input for proposals being made to other Chinese banks.

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6188336.ppt

  • 1. Managing Credit Risk for Competitive Advantage in China Richard Bisset, Executive Project manager, Risk and Compliance, IBM Greater China Group. Shanghai, Friday 29th February,2008
  • 2. 2 2008 challenges for Chinese banks 2008年中国的银行的关键因素  Improve and enhance standards, systems and processes to avoid bad debt.  Manage data origination, information distribution and reporting  Manage loan origination, NPL management & collection processes  Find a balance between compliance and business performance  Find the equilibrium between centralization and control of branches.  Need to integrate management information and create value added knowledge.  Need to improve level of awareness and understanding of bank staff to improve internal controls and governance
  • 3. 3 Table of Contents目录  Credit Risk Management, Data and Economic Capital  Managing the information  The Credit Factory  The Pricing of Credit: The link between economic capital and CRM  Lifecycle Risk Management  Risk Management Issues  Human Capital Management – Risk Management Benefits  Conclusions
  • 4. 4 Risk Management is the Bridge between Data and Bank Objectives with Shareholder Value as the Target . 风险管理是用以连接数据与银行目标,即对股东的投资回报的桥梁 Risk Mgmt Data Analytics Governance Objectives Tools Data & IT Management Processes Moving from origination function to a risk/portfolio management function methodology Moving from collecting interest and principal payments to a portfolio total return measurement approach Deliver Shareholder Value Business Front Office/Transaction Commercial Loans, Leases, LoC Consumer Auto, Residential, Cards, HEL Asset Mgmt Mutual Funds, Custodian, Financial Planning Processing Solution Debit, credit, private labels, etc Trading Corp, ABS, FX, Derivatives, etc Others Treasury services, etc Risk Life Cycle View Origination & Acquisition •Deal prospecting •risk assessment •Pricing & funding •Credit approval •Credit booking Risk Mgmt & reporting •Payment remittance •Provision •Past due (30,60, 90d) •Risk migration – NPL, charge-off •Performance – ROA, ROE, P/E, Market Cap Disposition & Recovery • Distressed debt recovery/charge-off Risk Mgmt/Basel Risk mitigation (hedging, securitization, syndication) ) ( ) ( 1 1 1 / ) ) ( ( t t SDP SDP t t SDP Z           
  • 5. 5 •Credit Risk default risk credit deterioration •Market Risk Interest rate risk Liquidity risk ALM •Operational Risk •Legal Risk •Reputation Risk •Credit Risk PD/LGD/EAD/M •Market Risk VaR, volatility, NII, Operational Risk AMA, SA, BIA •Legal Risk •Reputation Risk •Hedging Credit derivatives (CDO/CDS) Interest rate derivatives •Securitization MBS/CMO/ABS/CLO •Syndication senior/junior/equity •Asset Disposition and Restructuring •RAROC (Risk Adjusted Return on Capital) •EPS (Earnings per Share) •SVA (Shareholder Value Added) •EVA (Enterprise Value Added) •External Financial Regulators Basel II, Sarbanes-Oxley Shareholders Customers •Internal Portfolio LOB Senior Management Board Risk Management Polices & Procedures Risk Management Processes (Monitoring, Execution & Implementation) ALLL (Allowance of Loan and Lease Loss) Reserves Capital Allocation Economic Capital Banks need to develop an End to End Integrated Risk Management System Risk Identification Reporting Performance Measurement Portfolio Management Risk Measurement
  • 6. 6 Table of Contents  The Risk Management, Data and Economic Capital  Managing the information  The Credit Factory  The Pricing of Credit: The link between economic capital and CRM  Lifecycle Risk Management.  Risk Management Issues  Human Capital Management – Risk Management Benefits  Conclusions
  • 7. 7 Data Management: a Key Challenge for Basel II Compliance Da ta m gt. Proje c t m gt. Im pl of s up Re v ie w proc e s s e s Adhe re nc e to dis c los ure s Suffic ie nt re s ourc e s M gt buy -in Othe r 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Source: IBM Institute for Business Value analysis Banks and Basel II: How Prepared Are They?, October 2002 Based on interviews with 32 Financial institutions worldwide Percent Responding Challenges: Identifying the data Locating that data in operational systems Understanding the structure of the data Extracting and transforming data Cleansing the data Choosing a database management system Fast reliable access to data Storing risk calculation and analytical results Production of all regulatory reports On-line analytical processing capabilities Data mining Source: IBM Institute for Business Value analysis Based on interviews with 32 Financial institutions worldwide
  • 8. 8 Redundant and inconsistent data in various systems that consolidate data for different purposes Multiple interfaces to source systems are one of the main reasons for huge change efforts Reporting tools, methodologies/functions and data warehousing aren‘t separated properly and are often redundant Older source systems frequently generate additional complexity Inland PBC & CB F/C DrKW Ausland Töchter KDI KDU/KRD FIF930 SAK/CRP KWV KDA KDV WEG KDO/KDR HGD ELBA FC RWI WPD WERS MABILA / BORIS OLB AMI AIDA ADB DKW Reuschel Manuelle Geschäfte Calypso PROFIT DreLUX COM FORWARD FID/FIN MIDAS DBLA Globus CORDOBA SEBIOS KDD PAD ANLOS / ACBS MARCX/BF BF INV TEA KDW Reports MWD CDS MKB CAD CRIS DCL/RWS Funktionen LOB X Finance LOB Y Risk Management INV Reports, strategies and positions Functions Source Systems The major challenge is to overcome the lack of integration currently leading to poor data quality & high costs for Credit Risk, Finance & CRM Management Inconsistencies in overlapping reports on business side
  • 9. For credit risk, Banks need to build the Management Architecture Credit Risk Data Mart Key Area Improvement Opportunity  Set up proper governance structure to actively manage credit data, identify credit data ownership, assign roles and responsibilities  Initiate credit data standard definition, data requirement planning, data quality management, data security management  Development of data management tools and methodologies to enhance data quality and analysis of the risk output, as well as to streamline the collection, consolidation and extraction of counterparty and credit data from the Bank’s existing systems 1 Improvements on Credit Data Governance  Establishment of data warehousing based around an open architecture and supports the key functional areas related to the credit process, such as risk analysis, relationship management, profitability, collateral and asset and liability management. 2 Establishment of Credit Risk Data Mart
  • 10. 10 This in One Possibility for Credit Risk Management Architecture Credit Risk / Portfolio Analysis (CRS) Core Banking System (Credit Related Processing) EAI Technology Infrastructure Loans Origination (Loans Application, Credit Approval, Document Verification & Credit Signing) Loans Servicing (Loans Drawdown, Repayment Processing & Account Closing) Risk Concentration Portfolio Summary Credit Rating Shift Large Exposure Management Counter-party Risk Analysis Country Risk Analysis Industry Sector Risk Analysis Loss Forecasting VaR Based Analysis Sensitivity Analysis Stress Test Analysis “What-if” Simulation Portfolio Monitoring Portfolio Analysis Remedial Processing (Fraud Detection, Collection, Loans Restructuring, Past-Due, NPL & Write-off Processing, Collateral Acquisitions & Mgt, Assets Recovery Credit Control (Customer Credit Review, Loans Review, Collateral Management, Customer Limit Management, Credit Management Process Auditing & Credit Operation Reporting Payment & Collection Records Loans Accounts Loans Applications Customer Information File Loans Default History Payment & Collection History Loans Appln & Scoring History Customer/ Portfolio Characteristics Credit Risk Management Data Mart DBW Credit Workflow Platform Approval Limit Control Loan Origination Rule-based Credit Approval Credit Process Status Tracking Pipeline Management Performance Reporting Document Management Core Credit Risk Engine Exposure, EL, UL Risk Modelling (incl. PD & LGD modeing) and Scoring Credit Adjusted Valuation Limits Engine Decision Engine Risk-based Pricing RAROC, Strategy Simulation Marginal Risk Rating / Scoring Limit Setting Limit Monitoring Limit Utilization Approvals Corporate Financial Analysis Spreading Analysis Financial Ratio Analysis Historical Financial Maintenance Future Cash Flow Forecasting CRS Core Applications Reporting Solution (Reporting & Ad-Hoc Queries) Data Mining Solution (Data Mining, Model Validation & Testing)
  • 11. 11 Redundant data have been eliminated and consolidation of data is easier. Changes are only needed to match changing markets Interfaces between source systems and functions have been unscrambled and are one of the main results of the change efforts Reporting tools, methodologies/functions and data warehousing have been separated properly and are much more accurate Source systems have been rationalised and the reporting architecture is simpler KDI KDU/KRD FIF930 SAK/CRP KDA ELBA FC RWI AIDA ADB DKW Reuschel PROFIT DreLUX COM CORDOBA SEBIOS KDD PAD MARCX/BF Reports MWD CDS MKB CAD CRIS DCL/RWS Reports, strategies and positions Functions Source Systems With the correct architecture, the picture becomes much simpler and easier to control. Data quality is much higher and costs for Credit Risk, Finance & CRM Management have been greatly reduced 由于正确的架构,结构图将变的更为简单并且易于控制。数据质量 大大提高,同时风险管理的费用也显著降低 Inconsistent and overlapping reports on business side have been eliminated
  • 12. 12 Table of Contents目录  The Risk Management, Data and Economic Capital  Managing the information  The Credit Factory and Portfolio Management  The Pricing of Credit: The link between economic capital and CRM  Lifecycle Risk Management.  Risk Management Issues  Human Capital Management – Risk Management Benefits  Conclusions
  • 13. 13 Transaction Processing The Credit Factory: The constituent elements in managing the asset and liability portfolio of the bank 信用工厂:管理银行资产负债组合的组成要素  Secondary market management  Syndication  Credit Derivatives  Structured deals  CDOs Origination Active Portfolio Management Secondary market products Portfolio Credit Customers Branches ALM Secondary market Primary market Trade Processing Financial Control Product Control Account Management Behavior Scoring Attrition Scoring Response Scoring Credit Risk Management Application Scoring Recovery Management Collection Scoring
  • 14. 14 Portfolio Business Objectives 资产组合的商业目标 Revenue Enhancement  Increased Profits from Up Sell / Cross Sell Opportunities  Increased Profits from Strategic Line Management Programs  Increased Profits from Targeted Repricing Strategies  Maximize Likelihood of Repeat Business  Improve Customer Service Procedure Enhancement  Manage Workload/Make Efficient Use of Staff  Lower Delinquency/Write-Offs  Control Operational Expenses  Reduce Required Loss Reserves  Lower High Risk Balances Loss Control  Manage Workload  Make Efficient Use of Staff  Lower Delinquency  Lower Write-Offs  Control Operational Expenses  Reduce Required Loss Reserves  Lower High Risk Balances Improve Profitability  Increase Profitable Revenue  Reduce Delinquency and Loss  Decrease Collection Expenses
  • 15. 15 Credit Portfolio Management Process 信贷资产管理流程 Credit Default History Payment & Collection History Credit Application & Scoring History Customer/ Portfolio Characteristics Credit Risk Management Data Mart Risk Concentration Portfolio Summary Credit Rating Shift Large Exposure Mgmt Counter- party Risk Analysis Country Risk Analysis Industry Sector Risk Analysis Loss Forecasting Portfolio Monitoring Portfolio Analysis (CRS) VAR Based Analysis Sensitivity Analysis Stress Test Analysis “What-if” Simulation Portfolio Analysis Industry Risk Scoring Portfolio & Risk Management Strategy Strategy Matrix Identify Current Cycle Phase Performance Profile Modeling Equivalent Strategy Comparison Suitable Strategy Selection Implementation & Management
  • 16. 16 Table of Contents目录  The Risk Management, Data and Economic Capital  Managing the information  The Credit Factory  The Pricing of Credit: The link between economic capital and CRM  Lifecycle Risk Management.  Risk Management Issues  Human Capital Management – Risk Management Benefits  Conclusions
  • 17. 17 Cost of funds资金 成本 Pure cost of funds that the branch would lend Credit Premium 信用溢价 Accurate assessment of expected loss from credit default Mark-up加价 The margin that makes the loan profitable for the branch Cost of Operations运营成本 Total cost of activities conducted at the bank (at branch and head-office levels) Correct Pricing of loans is a Necessity….it captures both risk and value of CRM 贷款的准确定价至关重要  How can branches use these tools to grow their revenue and profitability分行如何运 用这些工具来增加其收益和利润  How can central units better manage risk exposure arising from systemic factors总 行如何更好的管理来自系统性因素的风险敞口 CRM 客户关系管理 CREDIT RISK信用风险 ALM 资产负债管理 Interest rate offered on a loan贷款利率出价
  • 18. 18 The final component that brings the profit to the bank; the margin that a bank can charge on a loan is driven by a number of factors, the skill of the banker is determining how they can leverage these factors to their advantage 为银行带来利润的决定性因素决定了贷款利差,银行需要将这些因素转化为优势 No. Key Factors Driving Margin 利润 驱动的主要因素 Description 描述 + ve -ve Competitiveness 竞争力 1 客户细分 customer characteristics The finer the understanding of peculiarities within group of customers, the better a company can manage its risk exposure  2 产品差异化 product differentiation How is my product different from those offered by other banks  3 其它银行分行的竞争 product competition How many banks are offering exact and substitute products in the same market to the same customers  4 潜在的进入壁垒 barriers to entry How difficult is it for a competitor to enter the market  5 产品可获性 cross regional competition Cross regional competition – when corporate differ to head-office to get loans or non-bank competitors  6 人民银行控制 central bank controls Margins on loans and deposits are only allowed within a narrow band based on the central bank reference rate  Risk 风险 1 信用评级 PD What is the risk of default for the borrower   2 抵押交易 LGD What is the amount of collateral against the loan   3 有效的抵押品管理 process management Efficiency of the collateral management & evaluation processes  4 更少的经济资本 (对于预期损失) EC The amount of capital that has to be applied to unexpected loss  5 与全面的银行资产负债表的关联 concentration How many loans in the portfolio are in the same region & industry  Customer relationship 客户关系 1 关系管理 depth of relationship How deep is our knowledge of the customer and deep is the relationship 
  • 19. 19 Table of Contents目录  The Risk Management, Data and Economic Capital  Managing the information  The Credit Factory  The Pricing of Credit: The link between economic capital and CRM  Lifecycle Risk Management.  Risk Management Issues  Human Capital Management – Risk Management Benefits  Conclusions
  • 20. 20 Lifecycle Credit Risk Management 信贷风险管理的生命周期 Planning Acquire Maintain Collection Write Off Lifecycle Credit Risk Mgmt • Product Design • Marketing Strategy • Resource Plan • Acquisition • Verification • Decision • Limit Assignment • Account Review • Limit Increase • Cross-sell • Anti-Attrition • Collection Strategy • Recovery Prediction • External Agency Management • Bad debt Write Off • Provision Calculation • Product Review
  • 21. 21 From Basel to CRM : Data plus Analytics 从Basel到CRM:数据加分析 CRM platform automates customer portfolio workflow and provides access to customer information to support the sales or service dialogue The content and format of customer treatment and the business logic that determines when how and what is delivered to each customer in order to optimise customer value Using customer data and the rules embedded in the customer strategies, make customer decisions that optimise value - before they are needed Customer data, data warehousing, analytics tools and techniques, customer value algorithms, credit portfolio and customer scorecards
  • 22. 22 Talking to the grey mass Understand customer value Segment by value and need Frame strategies for treating customers Decide actions customer by customer Success=f (customer contact, data analytics, value strategy, decision-making) Product holdings High Attrition score E-channel preference Yes No Yes Offer e- chat room Offer advice service No Not High Application back-out Leave page Cash withdrawal
  • 23. 23 Customer Relationship Management客户关系管理 Credit Policies Credit Guidelines Credit Risk Management Risk Appetite Regulations Audit and Compliance CRM SYSTEM Credit Bureau (Retail) PBoC Loan Database Demographics Competition Economic Factors Political Environment Internal Data External Data Business Constraints Market Environment Customer & Market data Attrition rates Retention Rates Acquisition costs Product Mix Cross-selling strategy: Up sell / Down sell Pricing strategy: Give the optimum price to the customer to maximize profit Credit Line management: Increase / Decrease credit limit according to different customer performance Collection strategy: To avoid future loss on defaulting customers ETC………… Anti-attrition program: Increase customer retention rate by better offers, fee waiving, etc
  • 24. 24 Interlinkage between Data and Risk Strategy 数据和风险战略的关系 Risk & Portfolio Management Strategy Customer Relationship Management Risk Engine Historical Loss Data Credit Risk Rating Model Generate individual PD, LGD, EAD,M, Credit Grade and Expected Loss Collateral Management From an IRB and MtM approach Bank’s Credit Risk Repository Pricing Engine RAROC Information on cost of funds and administration, profitability, interest rate risk) Bank’s Data Warehouse Portfolio Data Loan Mortgages Cash-flow data Collateral Data Securities Real Estate Credit Derivatives, etc Market Data Interest Rates Credit Spreads FOREX Rates Customer Information  Customer Profile.  External ratings  PD, etc Core Banking Administration Disbursement Regulatory disclosure Public disclosure Portfolio Credit Risk Management Generate portfolio PD, EAD, LGD, Correlations and cVaR Capital and reserves allocation and limits setting Stress- testing
  • 25. 25 Table of Contents目录  The Risk Management, Data and Economic Capital  Managing the information  The Credit Factory  The Pricing of Credit: The link between economic capital and CRM  Lifecycle Risk Management.  Risk Management Issues  Human Capital Management – Risk Management Benefits  Conclusions
  • 26. 26 Risk Management Issues • Heightened requirements around privacy, security, and various types of risk are requiring financial institutions to take a more proactive, enterprise-wide approach to managing internal governance and compliance issues. • They need to leverage compliance and risk management in a way that creates new value for the business through greater transparency, better internal controls, better compliance and increased trust. • Greater transparency is critical, not only because regulators and customers are demanding it, but also because of the emergence of collaborative business models and partnerships. • Risk management and regulatory compliance require fast, accurate and complete data, but they also require that management and staff understand the financial institution, the regulatory environment and, most importantly, their own roles and obligations within the organization • The key for financial institutions is to improve governance and compliance enterprise-wide by widening their focus from implementing software solutions that solve specific problems or comply with regulatory and legal requirements to include facilitating a bank-wide system of staff development and training which will ultimately help the bank grow revenue and profits, and manage the business more effectively. • Going forward, the most critical developmental need in banks in China will be human capital development
  • 27. 27 Risk Management Issues • Appropriate Expertise  There is little value in having a world class system in place without the expertise to oversee it. The business of finance has become increasingly complex and this complexity requires a thorough understanding of the bank’s systems and procedures – particularly in the area of risk management • The Human Element  The one element that overrides all others in the successful implementation of internal good governance is the integrity of staff. It is the most important component of any internal governance program and yet it is easiest to underestimate and the hardest to control. • Recruitment  Recruitment of quality staff, that have strong values and integrity, and investment in training those staff to understand the importance and relevance of core values in their daily business is the glue that binds all other elements of a successful process together. The media is full of reports of rogue traders (most recently at Societe Generale), or sharp practice within organizations that have occurred through either a lack of understanding of the bank’s systems and procedures or a lack of personal integrity in an employee or group of employees. • Training and Development  Training in ethics and the consequences of the personal actions of employees is an important part of modern corporate governance. But it is not just ethics and compliance. Compliance only goes so far, the staff have to understand the mechanics of banking to give ethics any basis in fact. It has been found that the single most critical aspect to mitigating risk lies beyond merely installing and closely monitoring world class systems. It is in the management of human resources – from very stringent and thorough hiring processes, to ongoing staff training and development
  • 28. 28 Risk Management Issues • Innovation  Banking in China is going through enormous changes and the people in the bank need to be able to change with it. They need to be able to think outside the box and look for new ways to improve the way the bank conducts business. Proper HR management can enable staff to embrace change, rather than fear it. • Direction, Focus, Mission  It is very often the case that staff are unaware of what the Bank wants to achieve. The information flows are inadequate to ensure that the Bank and its staff are moving in the right direction. Proper HR management can ensure that the correct message and therefore the correct procedures and systems are used to the best advantage of the bank • Operational Efficiency  A better understanding of the job and the staff’s position and purpose in the bank can greatly enhance operational efficiency, leading to fewer mistakes and lower losses. Proper HR management can provide the tools and the skills to ensure that this happens • Quality Customer Service  Staff that understand their role provide better customer service and therefore better customer satisfaction. This is key to being able to compete effectively in the market place. Proper HR management can help staff understand just how important the customer is and how to help him. • Governance and Compliance  Proper HR management can instill in staff an appreciation of the bank, its environment, its role in society and the staff member’s obligations (and those of the bank) to that society.
  • 29. 29 Table of Contents目录  The Risk Management, Data and Economic Capital  Managing the information  The Credit Factory  The Pricing of Credit: The link between economic capital and CRM  Lifecycle Risk Management.  Risk Management Issues  Human Capital Management – Risk Management Benefits  Conclusions
  • 30. 30 Human Capital Management - Risk Management Benefits • Staff Development  Staff are motivated by many things, but a key ingredient is a sense of self-worth. Training should be a reward which shows the staff how valuable he is to the organization. Proper HR management can equip staff with the capacity to move up through the ranks in the bank. • Results and Bottom-Line Orientation  Without the right framework in place, it is easy for lending staff to lose sight of their primary professional function – to make profits for the bank. Proper HR management can assist lending staff to understand this and understand the consequence of their actions in terms of bottom-line performance. • Leadership  Every bank wants to groom the leaders of the future. Proper HR management can provide them with the tools to achieve this. • Teamwork  Staff in the credit areas should understand that they do not work alone, but are part of a small team of professionals which in turn is part of a larger team. Proper HR management can instill the value of teamwork leading to greater operational efficiency and an esprit de corps • Loan Quality  The easiest way for a bank to lose money is in credit. A lack of understanding of a customer’s business or the business environment can lead to serious losses and high levels of NPLs. Proper HR management can help lenders understand the dynamics of lending and the impact bad lending decisions can have.
  • 31. 31 Human Capital Management - Risk Management Benefits • Staff Retention and Loyalty  Staff turnover is often the result, not only of conditions of employment such as salaries, but also of people feeling under-appreciated. It can also have a pernicious effect on morale amongst other staff. Proper HR management can overcome this and reduce turnover levels and increase loyalty. • Lower level of Non-Performing Loans  China’s track record on NPLs has been lamentable and whilst the reasons are many (policy lending, preservation of employment at SOEs) the only way to avoid a repeat of past mistakes is through training on lending. • Understanding of the methodology behind the Software  Under the new Basel Accord, statistical methodologies are used to calculate risk, capital requirements etc. It is easy for lending officers to lose the ability to undertake their own analysis of customers. Proper HR management can ensure that lending staff have the ability to make value judgments about counter-parties. • Performance  Personal performance is key to job satisfaction and can be adversely impacted when staff do not understand what they are doing. Proper HR management can reduce errors, increase efficiency and provide more and better opportunities to staff for self- development and promotion. • Profitability  The overriding objective of proper HR management is to enhance the profitability of the Bank.
  • 32. 32 Table of Contents目录  The Risk Management, Data and Economic Capital  Managing the information  The Credit Factory  The Pricing of Credit: The link between economic capital and CRM  Lifecycle Risk Management.  Risk Management Issues  Human Capital Management – Risk Management Benefits  Conclusions
  • 33. 33 Conclusions结论 With the right investment in data sourcing and packaging, a Bank’s capital requirements can be better managed and the risk measured and controlled. It is important to get the data sourcing and management right first. Reporting and information flows will follow. Based on internal and external information sources, the trick is to get pricing right and correctly target the customer In a world of securitization and credit derivatives, the effective management of assets and liabilities, and the correct balancing of the bank’s portfolio depends on risk identification through strong database information. The integration of the foregoing points into Credit Risk, Customer Relationship Management and Portfolio Management is essential, but without due care and attention paid to the human capital issues, the effect of any such integration will be limited and the effort to increase shareholder value will only have limited success.
  • 34. 34 Richard Bisset’s Resume Richard Bisset is a graduate of Leeds University with a bachelor degree in Chinese and German. Having spent 25 years at HSBC, he joined IBM at the beginning of September 2007 as Executive Project Manager and is now working with Global Business Services, advising on credit risk management, compliance and governance. During his time with HSBC he worked in many places in the Far East, but by far the most time was spent in Greater China, either in Shanghai or in Hong Kong. A veteran of many roles, the last 12 years of his career with HSBC was in the credit area, including 4 years as Head of Credit Risk Management for HSBC's operations in Japan. In this role he was responsible for both the corporate bank and the securities company, managing a diversified portfolio comprising private banking, corporate banking, financial institutions, project finance and sovereign borrowers. His career with HSBC culminated in secondments first to Bank of Shanghai (HSBC 8%) in 2004 and the to Bank of Communications (HSBC 19.9%) in 2005. In these roles, he was responsible for advising on Credit Risk Management, handling delinquent loans and implementing best practices in credit risk management. This included creating credit policy, writing credit manuals and training credit staff. Since late 2007, he has been managing IBM’s downstream project at Bank of Nanjing, whilst at the same time providing input for proposals being made to other Chinese banks.