1. Governance with multiple
objectives: Evidence from
top executive turnover
in China
Chang and Wong (2009)
Journal of Corporate Finance,
15 (2009): 230– 244
中山大学
连玉君
arlionn@163.com
2. Introduction
Corporate governance: ??
Existing studies on managerial turnover mostly focus on privately-
controlled firms
Existing studies assume shareholders have the same incentive
structure to discipline managers under all circumstances.
We provide empirical evidence on the monitoring of managers in
state-owned firms
We assume shareholders have a time-varying objective function that
depends on firm performance, profit- and loss-making firms
separately
3. Introduction
State-owned firms
State shareholders are agents of the government
Social , political (employment opportunities) v.s. personal
objectives (personal wealth, job security) v.s. Firm performance
Different situations lead to different levels of importance attached
to the objectives and then different importance of factors (e.g.,
performance, social and political factors) in determining
managerial turnover
4. Pre-turnover performance managerial turnover
post-turnover performance
State shareholders attach greater importance to firm performance when
facing financial losses than in times of profit;
Strong incentives to fire the incumbent managers and to hire and
monitor the new managers with the ability to improve that performance
when facing financial losses
Reasons:
Greater government pressure as financial loss is a burden on
government budgets (subsidy) and on state-owned banks (low cost
loans);
Less resources for state shareholders to serve personal objectives
Introduction
5. Hypothesis
Loss-making firms:
Poor performance CEO turnover Better performance
More significant negative relationship between pre-turnover
profitability and CEO turnover
Managerial turnover in those firms is more likely to be followed
by significant improvements in performance
6. Model: Pre-turnover performance and managerial
turnover
Logit regression model
Pr (Forced CEO turnover =1)
= F(Performance ; Control Variables )
Where F(z) = ez/(1 +ez)
7. Control-group
Using firm performance in both year 0 and year −1 as the benchmarks
Match each firm that has a CEO turnover to one in the same industry
whose firm performance in the corresponding year was within +/− 20% of
the sample firm's performance but with no turnover occurring in the event
year and in the three years preceding the turnover.
If multiple firms satisfy these criteria, then we include the firm whose
asset size is closest to that of the turnover firm as the control firm
Managerial turnover and post-turnover performance
8. Variables
Performance measures:
ROA,
Industry-adjusted return on assets (IROA),
Three-year moving average of ROA (MROA)
Three-year moving average of IROA
9. Variables
Control Variables:
CEOs' age (Age),
number of years a CEO has served in a listed firm (Tenure ) ,
existence of a duality structure (Duality),
Leverage , size,
ownership nature of the largest(state shareholders or legal
person shareholders)
10. Variables
CEO turnover
Persons holding the formal title of either General Manager or Chief
Executive are identified as CEOs
If a firm underwent two or more turnovers in the same year, only 1 is
recorded.
Forced CEO turnover
Exclude retirement, health (including death), corporate governance reform,
change in controlling shareholder, legal disputes;
Exclude that take up a position that is better than their previous managerial
position;voluntary departures; tenure less than one year.
Include no information available ;retirement before 55
11. Data
Sample range: 1995-2001
Exclude private shareholders as the ultimate controlling
shareholders;
exclude financial firms and listed only in the B-share market
Exclude any firm listed for less than six months and firms with
negative equity
Eliminate observations with missing values
ROA and Leverage are Winsorized at the 1st and 99th percentiles
19. Notes
T-statistics for MROA (MIROA) are potentially overstated, as there is
a lack of independence across observations for a given CEO. Using
the Huber/White/sandwich robust method with adjustment for
within-cluster correlations for each CEO
Pearson correlation test , correlations<0.5
Ensure multicollinearity is not a problem, we calculate the variance
inflation factors (VIF)for each independent variable. These VIFs
never exceed 2, which suggest no serious multicollinearity problems
20. Robustness
Different incentives to serve political and social objectives
when their firms are making profits;
1. Central government VS Local governments:
Shareholders of firms owned by central government place greater
emphasis on social and political objectives than those of firms owned by
local governments
Fiscal decentralization induces local governments to place greater
emphasis on economic performance relative to political objectives
21. Robustness
2、Firms in regions with different fiscal conditions:
Bai et al. (2000) show local governments in regions with poor fiscal
conditions have a greater incentive to use SOEs to serve their social
and political objectives.
Chen et al. (2004) show listed Chinese firms appoint more politically
connected CEOs if they are located in regions with larger fiscal deficits.
LOCAL:a dummy variable that equals 1 if a listed firm is owned by a
local government and 0 if it is owned by the central government;
EFICIT:dummy variable that equals 1 if the province‘s budgetary
deficit is larger than the median level of the country;their interaction
terms with performance measures
23. Robustness
Use either ages 60 or 65 as the benchmark for the classification
of forced retirement
Include turnovers that are associated with legal disputes as
forced turnovers.
Findings
Consistent results are obtained with these alternative classification
schemes.
24. Robustness
Frequency of board meetings
Involvement of a board chairperson in the management:a dummy
variable that equals 1 if a chairperson receives a salary and 0 if he
or she receives only an honorarium
Findings
A greater frequency of board meetings is positively and significantly related to
forced turnovers;
Existence of a chairperson who receives a salary is negatively related to the
turnover rate
All of the other results pertaining to the performance–turnover relationship are
retained
26. Contributions
Provides a useful addition to the existing literature on monitoring
activities in state-owned firms
Relevant to not-for-profit and collectively owned organizations,
which are similarly characterized by the absence of dominant
private owners and the presence of multiple objectives
Have some implications for the performance –turnover
relationship in private firms
Whether private firms also have different turnover–performance
sensitivities when they experience different levels of financial
performance is another issue worthy of future investigation