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Research Journal of Finance and Accounting www.iiste.org 
ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online) 
Vol.5, No.15, 2014 
Determinant of Return on Assets and Return on Equity and Its 
Industry Wise Effects: Evidence from KSE (Karachi Stock 
Exchange) 
Muhammad Mubin 
HEC, Pakistan Scholar at Bilkent University, Ankara, Turkey & 
Lecturer in Commerce, Govt. Degree Science and Commerce College, Lyari, Karachi 
Email: mubinamin@hotmail.com 
Arslan Iqbal 
M.Phil Fellow, Department of Commerce, University of Karachi 
Email: arslan.iqbal88@gmail.com 
Adnan Hussain 
Lecturer, Department of Economics, Benazir Bhutto Shaheed University, Lyari, Karachi 
Email: adnanaerc@gmail.com 
Abstract: 
“The prime purpose of this research is to find out that from the components of Dupont identity of Return on 
Equity which component is most consistent or volatile among profit margin, total assets turnover and equity 
multiplier in Fuel and Energy Sector, Chemicals Sector, Cement Sector, Engineering Sector, Textiles Sector and 
Transport and Communication Sector of KSE 100 index. The purpose of the study was served by taking data 
from 2004 to 2012 of 51 companies (falling under six mentioned industries) of KSE 100 as Paradigm of Panel 
Data. The F-Statistics of One Way ANOVA (Analysis of Variance) show that it is Assets Turnover which 
significantly varies from industry to industry whereas Equity Multiplier and Profit Margin are not much volatile 
among indifferent industries. Moreover, Adjusted R Square in Panel OLS Analysis was confirming Industry 
Effect on Newly established firms that they can have the benefit of profitability if they are from Fuel and Energy 
Sector, Cement Sector and Transport and Communication Sector whereas others Sectors such as Chemicals 
Sector, Engineering Sectors and Textiles Sectors does not have that leverage.” 
Keywords: Profitability, Dupont Identity, Panel Least Square 
JEL Classification: G12, G39, C23 
1. Introduction 
A business is defined as “Any activity which is done for the purpose of profit” but the question arises how to 
calculate profitability as well as comparing the profitability of it with existing firm of industry. Its answer lies in 
Profitability Analysis under the area of “Analysis of Financial Statements” where we compare the profitability of 
firm with other firms as well as with its industry. The famous Dupont Equation in Profitability analysis discuss 
determinants of profitability in details with three stages of origin. The DuPont Model is a technique that can be 
used to analyze the profitability of a company using traditional performance management tools. To enable this, 
the DuPont model integrates elements of the Income Statement with those of the Balance Sheet. 
The product of the net profit margin and total asset turnover equals ROA, and this was the original DuPont 
model, as illustrated in Equation 1 below. 
  	


 =
148 
 × 100  
	 = 
 
	 × 100 
Where 
NP = Net Profit, S = Sales  TA = Total Assets 
At this point in time maximizing ROA was a common corporate goal and the realization that ROA was 
impacted by both profitability and efficiency led to the development of a system of planning and control for all 
operating decisions within a firm. This became the dominant form of financial analysis until the 1970s. 
(Blumenthal, 1998). 
According to Gitman, (1998) the generally accepted goal of financial management became “maximizing the 
wealth of the firm’s owners” and focus shifted from ROA to ROE. This led to the first major modification of the 
original DuPont model. In addition to profitability and efficiency, the way in which a firm financed its activities, 
i.e. its use of “leverage” became a third area of attention for financial managers. The new ratio of interest was 
called the equity multiplier, which is (total assets / equity). The modified DuPont model is shown in Equations 2 
and 3 below.
Research Journal of Finance and Accounting www.iiste.org 
ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online) 
Vol.5, No.15, 2014 
EBT × EBT 
149 
Formula 
RoE = NP 
Sales × 100 Sales 
TA × TA 
TOE 
Where 
RoE = Return on Equity 
NP = Net Profits 
TA = Total Assets 
TOE = Total Owner’s Equity 
Or 
Profitability = Operations × Efficiency × Leverage 
More recently, Hawawini and Viallet (1999) offered yet another modification to the DuPont model. This 
modification resulted in five different ratios that combine to form ROE. 
The “really” modified DuPont model is shown below in Equation 4. 
RoE = EAT 
EBIT × EBIT 
Sales × Sales 
IC × IC 
E 
Where: 
RoE = Return on Equity 
EAT = Earnings after Tax 
EBT = Earnings before Tax 
EBIT = Earnings before Interest and Tax 
IC = Invested capital = Cash + Working Capital Requirement + Net Fixed Assets 
This “really” modified model has introduce two more ratio one is tax effect ratio related to earning after tax 
and earning before tax and financial cost ratio discussing earning before tax with earning before interest and tax 
but still maintains the importance of the impact of operating decisions (i.e. profitability and efficiency) and 
financing decisions (leverage) upon ROE, but uses a total of five ratios to uncover what drives ROE and give 
insight to how to improve this important ratio. 
1.1 Research Problem 
Although Dupont Analysis clearly states that Company’s Return on Equity has three factors i.e. Profit 
Margin, Total Assets Turnover and Equity Multiplier from1970’s and onward but Literature is still silent about 
which of the factor is more influential and powerful factor of Profitability Indicator i.e. Return on Equity. So 
“This research will investigate that which factor of return on equity is more powerful/influential 
factors among factors profit margins, total assets turnover and equity multiplier through its volatility 
from Six Prominent Industries of KSE 100 index’s Non Financial Companies” 
1.2 Research Questions 
Above Research Problem be investigated by following Research Question? 
• Which is the most prominent factor among three factors of DuPont’s Extended Return on Equity? 
• What are the Possible Factors which may affect the common variable of Profitability which is Net 
Income? 
• Is Possible factor’s influence is consistent in all the industries or it varies from industry to industry? 
1.3 Objectives of the study 
• To determine influential factors of profitability using Return on Equity as benchmark with the help of 
DuPont Identity. 
• 
• To give Finance Managers of Corporations to have the idea that What are the Possible Common Factors 
which may cause the Profitability of Corporations under different Industries. 
• To find out that possible factors are from organizations’ inside structure or it is Industry driven. 
2. Literature Review 
Leisz T. J. and Maranville S. J. (2008) have identified that only simple calculation is required for The Du Pont 
model in Profitability analysis. They also justified that these calculations can lead to understanding the
Research Journal of Finance and Accounting www.iiste.org 
ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online) 
Vol.5, No.15, 2014 
comparative advantage in financial term and every individual either sole proprietor or Financial Manager of a 
Giant Corporation want to know precise actions that can be taken that will lead to higher profitability and return? 
They also contributed that one can get valuable insights to return even with the help of the original model 
(culminating in ROA), but the more extended versions that explore the components of ROE also allow even 
small business managers to make good financial decisions that will bring a positive impact on the return to 
firms’ owners. 
Majed et al (2012) discovered that three ratios of ROA, ROE and ROI together showed a strong and positive 
relationship with share prices with 45.7% relationship. He also tried to identify the individual effect of RoA, 
RoE and RoI and succeeded in concluding that RoA and RoI has positive but low relationship with marketshare 
price but failed to get the relationship of RoE with market share price individually. For this they take data from 
Jordanian Insurance Public Companies for the period of 2002 to 2007. 
Saleem Q and Naseem MA (2012) hypothesized that highly leveraged oil and gas companies have lower 
profitability. However, they were failed to support their hypothesis of positive relationship between financial 
leverage and profitability. It was also tested in their research that highly leveraged businesses are riskier in terms 
of their return on equity and investment but results indicated that highly leveraged firms were less risky in both 
market-based and accounting-based measures. 
In Jordan, Taani K and Banykhaled AHH (2011) tried to find out the relationship between profitability and 
cash flows. Their model included EPS as dependent Variable and eight other factors for regression analysis. 
Based on their regression result, it wasconcluded that financial ratios, return onequity, debt to equity, price to 
book value, and cash flow from operating activitiesaltogether affect earning per share. For that they used 40 
manufacturing companies listed in amman stock exchange and take data from year 2000 to 2009. 
Saleem Q and Rehman R (2011) tried to reveal the relationship between liquidity and profitability in case of 
oil and gas companies of pakistan with data of 2004 to 2009. Their results show that there is a significant impact 
of only liquid ratio on ROA while insignificant on ROE and ROI; the results also show that ROE is no 
significant effected by three ratios current ratio, quick ratio and liquid ratio while ROI is greatly affected by 
current ratios, quick ratios and liquid ratio. 
Roaston P and Roaston A (2012) find out in their research with the RMSE criteria that Price-to-Earnings 
ratio is a better predictor of the financial performances of companies than other indicators. For this purpose they 
evaluate twelve indicators of 86 companies which were related to financial as well as market indicators. 
However, Profitability can not only be indicated by Return on Equity. There are many other variables with 
are aligned with Return on Equity such as Earning per share (Taani K and Banykhaled AHH, 2011), Return on 
Assets and Return on Investment (Majed et al, 2012), Price to Earning Ratio (Roaston P and Roaston A, 2012) 
and Return on Assets. [Naceur (2003) and Alkassim (2005)]. Moreover, Taani K and Banykhaled AHH (2011) 
also find out that variables which are consistently significant on earning per share areprofitability ratio (ROE), 
market value ratio (PBV), cash flow from operatingactivities, and leverage ratio (DER). 
3 Theoretical Modeling and Econometrics Methodology 
3.1 Research Framework 
External Factors 
Competitive 
Advantage 
(Profit Margin) 
Internal Factors 
Operational 
Advantage 
(Assets Turnover) 
Capital Structure 
Advantage 
(Equity Multiplier) 
Figure no. 1 Source: Self Created 
150 
Profitability 
(Return on Equity) 
3.2 Research Design 
This study will be quantitative in nature and will be done through gathering financial figures of Net Income 
after Tax, Sales, Total Assets and Total Share holder’s Equity of about Listed Companies of Six Industries of 
Karachi Stock Exchange 100 Index provided by State Bank of Pakistan under their Annual Report name Balance
Research Journal of Finance and Accounting www.iiste.org 
ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online) 
Vol.5, No.15, 2014 
Sheet Analysis and these industries are Fuel and Energy Sector, Cement Sector, Chemical Sectors, Engineering 
Sector, Transport and Communication Sector and Textile Sector. 
Profitability of these six industries will be regressed by taking Net Income as Dependent Variable and 
Independent Variables will be Sales, Assets and Shareholder’s Equity and Also Industry wise dummy variable 
will be introduced to identify the industry Effect. 
Then above financial figures of said industries these will be converted into Financial Ratios of Return on 
Equity, Net Profit Margin, Total Assets Turnover and Equity Multiplier for Descriptive and Anova Analysis for 
Volatility and Consistency. 
151 
3.3 Research Procedure 
The answer of First Research Objective “Which is to find out which factor of profitability is playing 
dominant role?”, will be carried out by using Regression Analysis on statistical model for hypothesis testing 
that which of the Independent Variable i.e. Sales, Assets or Shareholder’s Equity affect Dependent Variable i.e. 
Net Income or There is Industry Effect which is playing dominant effect on Industry.The Industry Effect will be 
identified by introducing industry wise dummy variable. 
The answer of 2ndobjective “Which is the more influential factor of profitability among dupont 
Identity?” will be find out by applying ANOVA analysis Industry wise for Every Factor of Dupont Identity 
separately. 
3.4 Sampling Framework 
The Sampling Framwork and Method in this research, comprises on All the Companies falling under 
heading of Mentioned Industries of KSE 100 Index which are taken by focused/purposive sampling. 
In selecting the sample, the following pre-determined criteria were as follows: 
 The firm has published its complete financial statements for the period of 2012. 
 The firm does not have negative equity at the end of period 2012 
 The firm does not have Net Loss for the Average of Years 2007 to 2012 
 The firm’s stock has been actively traded during September 2013. 
The purposive sampling with the predetermined criteria above resulted in 51companiesas sample. 
See Table 1 
Secondary data were available in the form of “Balance Sheet Analysis” published by State Bank of Pakistan 
for All the Non-Financial Listed Companies registered at Karachi Stock Exchange. However the conversion of 
available portable document file into MS Excel sheet required extensive filtration process and the Financial 
Variables of Sales, Net Income after Tax, Total Assets and Total Shareholder’s Equity of Sample Companies of 
KSE have been taken from the year 2004 to 2009 
3.5 Hypothesis 
Objective 1: Common Factors of Profitability (Regression Based) 
For Inside Effect: 
H1a: Sales,Total Assets and Shareholders Equity altogether CauseNet Income of Mentioned Industries of listed 
companies of KSE 100 Index. 
For Outside Effect: 
H1b: Along with Sales, Total Assets and Shareholders Equity, It is Industry effect which Cause Net Income of 
Mentioned Industries of listed companies of KSE 100 Index. 
Objective 2: DuPont Factors of Return on Equity (Non Regression ANOVA) 
For RoE: Average Return on Equity of Six Industry will be analyzed. 
H2a: 
μ(FE)≠μ(CM)≠μ(CH) ≠ μ(EN)≠μ(TC) ≠ μ(TX) 
For PM: Average Profit Margin of Six Industry will be analyzed. 
H2b: 
μ(FE) ≠μ(CM) ≠μ(CH)≠μ(EN) ≠μ(TC) ≠ μ(TX) 
For TATO: Average Assets Turnover of Six Industry will be analyzed. 
H2c: 
μ(FE) ≠μ(CM)≠μ(CH) ≠μ(EN) ≠μ(TC) ≠ μ(TX) 
For EM: Average Equity Multiplier of Six Industry will be analyzed.
Research Journal of Finance and Accounting www.iiste.org 
ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online) 
Vol.5, No.15, 2014 
152 
H2d: 
μ(FE)≠μ(CM)≠μ(CH) ≠ μ(EN) ≠μ(TC) ≠ μ(TX) 
Where, 
FE = Fuel and Energy Sector 
CM = Cement Sector 
CH = Chemical Sector 
EN = Engineering Sector 
TC = Transport and Communication 
TX = Textile Sector 
RoE = Return on Equity 
PM = Profit Margin 
TATO = Total Assets Turnover 
EM = Equity Multiplier 
3.6 Statistical Model 
Following are the statistical models to be utilized. 
NIit = b1Salesit + b2Assetsit + b3Equityit + eit 
(Eq.1) 
NIit = b1Slit + b2Asit + b3Eqit + b4D1i + b5D2i + 
b6D3i + b7D4it +b8D5i +b9D6ti + e it 
(Eq.2) 
Where, 
Sl = Sales, As = Assets, 
Eq = Shareholders’ Equity, 
Dk = Industry Dummy Variables 
3.7 Plan of Analysis 
The Plan of Analysis for the said research will be as follow: 
• Hypothesis of H1a regarding Common Factors of Profitability has been tested by multiple regression 
technique on Statistical Equation (1). T test will be the criteria to Find out Prominent Factors of Net Income. 
• Hypothesis of H1b regarding Industry Effect on Profitability has been tested by multiple regression 
technique on Statistical Equation (2) T test will be the criteria to Find out Industry Effect. 
• Hypothesis of H2a, H2b, H2c and H2c regarding Test of Equality on Return on Equity, Profit Margin, Total 
Assets Turnover and Equity Multiplier in mentioned industries, One Factor ANOVA technique has been 
applied respectively. F Test will be the criteria for Every One Factor Anova Analysis. 
4. Results and Discussion 
4.1 ANOVA based Analysis (Non Regression based Analysis) 
Here All the component of Dupont Identity will be checked individually as follow: 
Research Hypothesis: 
μ(FE) ≠μ(CM) ≠μ(CH) ≠μ(EN) ≠μ(TC) ≠μ(TX) 
For RoE: Null Hypothesis 
“Average Return on Equity for the Six Industries is Equal” 
(See Table 2) 
Table 2 shows the ANOVA description of Return on Equity for mentioning industries; we can see that 
except Transport and Communication other five industries’ Coefficient of Variation is not much dispersed. 
(See Table 3) 
Table 3 clearly rejects our Null Hypothesis of Equality of Return on Equity among selected Industries as F 
Calculated is 5.44 which is greater than F critical of 2.24 whereas P Value is confirming the rejection of our Null 
Hypothesis. 
For Profit Margin: Null Hypothesis 
“Average Profit Margin for the Six Industries is Equal”
Research Journal of Finance and Accounting www.iiste.org 
ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online) 
Vol.5, No.15, 2014 
(See Table 4) 
Table 4 shows the ANOVA description of Profit Margin Analysis for mentioning industries; we can see that 
Profit Margin of Transport and Communication is much volatile as compared to other five industries. However 
Table 5 result is not allowed to reject our Null Hypothesis about Profit Margin Analysis 
(See Table 5) 
Table 5 clearly accepts our Null Hypothesis of Equality of Profit Margin among selected Industries as F 
Calculated is 0.80762 which is Lesser than F critical of 2.24. whereas P Value is confirming the rejection of our 
research Hypothesis. 
153 
For TATO: Null Hypothesis 
“Average Total Assets Turnover for the Six Industries is Equal” 
(See Table 6) 
Table 6 shows the ANOVA description of Assets Turnover Analysis for mentioning industries; we can see 
that Average Assets Turnover here is changing from one industry to another. As Average Asset Turnover for 
Fuel and Energy Sector is 2.29 whereas it is only 0.62 in Cement Industry. 
(See Table 7) 
Table 7 clearly rejects our Null Hypothesis of Equality of Assets Turnover among selected Industries as F 
Calculated is 17.7858 which is much greater than F critical of 2.24 means Average Assets Turnover 
insignificantly different from industry to industry. 
For EM: Null Hypothesis 
“Average Equity Multiplier for the Six Industries is Equal” 
(See Table 8) 
Table 8 shows the ANOVA description of Equity Multiplier for mentioning industries; we can see that 
Equity Multiplier of Fuel and Energy Is much volatile as compared to other five industries. However the result of 
Table 9are not allowing to reject our Null Hypothesis about Equality of Averages of Equity Multiplier 
(See Table 9) 
Results of Table 9are accepting our Null Hypothesis of Equality of Equity Multiplier among selected 
Industries as F Calculated is 2.03 which is Lesser than F critical of the 2.24 (95% Significance Level, However 
Our Null Hypothesis will reject if we test it at 90% Significance Level, but that will lead to Type 1 error) 
4.2 Regression based Analysis 
For Inside Effect: 
H1a: Sales,Total Assets and Shareholders Equityaltogether Cause Net Income of Mentioned Industries of 
listed companies of KSE 100 Index. 
(See Table 10) 
Table 10 shows that Net Income is significantly affected by Sales Assets and Equity as their t statistics are 
6.05, -10.45 and 20.14 respectively. The coefficient of above results shows that 
• 1 Million Increase in Sales Will result in 44,000 Increase in Net Income. 
• 1 Million Increase in Assets will result in 241,000 decrease in Net Income. 
• 1 Million Increase in Shareholder’s Equity will result in 730,000 increases in Net Income. 
For Industry Effect: 
H1b: Along with Sales, Total Assets and Shareholders Equity, It is Industry effect which Cause Net Income 
of Mentioned Industries of listed companies of KSE 100 Index. 
(See Table 11) 
In comparison of Table 10 when Dummy Variable of Industries are introduced Table 11 shows that Net 
Income is still significantly affected by Sales, Assets and Equity as their t statistics are 3.85, -9.23 and 20.41 
respectively which are approximately same as Table 10 however coefficient of them slightly decreased which 
resulted in 29,000 Increase, 216,000 degrees and 716,000 increase in net income respectively when there will be 
One million increase in Sales, Assets and Shareholder Equity respectively and Adjusted R2 has also improved
Research Journal of Finance and Accounting www.iiste.org 
ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online) 
Vol.5, No.15, 2014 
slightly. Moreover Table 11 also confirms that there is industry effect also there which may drive Net Income, as 
Fuel and Energy Sector (t-statistics, 2.39**), Cement Sector (t-statistics, 1.74*) and Transport and 
Communication Sector (t-statistics, 3.639***) are the industries which may affect Net Income of the respective 
companies, However, Industry Effect of Chemicals, Textiles and Engineering is not dominant due to their lower 
t- statistics. 
[Note: Significance Level * = 90%, ** = 95%, *** = 99%] 
In Table 11, there is an alarming number which is Durbin-Watson stats. 0.65 of Durbin-Watson stats show 
that there is positive autocorrelation. To remove the effect of autocorrelation further analysis has been done by 
introducing 1 period lag variable. 
Further Analysis for Industry Effect with Introduction of Lag Variable 
(See Table 12) 
Table 12 shows improved durbin-watson stat of 2.26 as compared to 0.65 durbin-watson stat of Table 11, 
But Introduction of Lag variable has nullified the industry effect as all the t-statistics of industry wise dummy 
variable has become insignificant resulting in significance of Sales, Assets, Equity and AR(1) [Lag Variable of 
Net Income] as their t-statistics are significant with 3.39, 6.28, 8.64 and 14.80 respectively which shows that It is 
mainly the Net Income of Previous Year which may result in Net Income of This Year, then 2nd important 
factors is corporations equity which may drive Net Income, 3rd Assets and Last Sales of the Corporations. T-Statistics 
154 
values confirm this conclusion. 
5. Conclusions 
Based on ANOVA results of Table 2, 4, 6 and 8, we can conclude that out of three factors of Return on 
Equity under DuPont identity which are Profit Margin, Assets Turnover and Equity Multiplier, It is Total Assets 
Turnover which is most influential factor among three factors with F-Statistics of 17.78 (Significant at 99.99%) 
which means that it is total asset turnover which vary from industry to industry due to the nature of their 
operations. However F-Statistics of Equity Multiplier are only 2.03 (Significant at 90%) which shows its lower 
effect on Return on Equity whereas Profit Margin does not affect Return on Equity at all due to its lowest F-Statistics 
of 0.8 only. 
Based on Regression results of Table 12, we can conclude that It is mainly Net Income of Previous Years 
which may result in the Profitability of the coming year due to its high t-statistics of 14.80*. The second 
prominent factor which may cause net income is the Shareholder’s Equity of corporations as t-statistics is 8.64*. 
Then It is Assets and Sales which may driven Net Income as their t-statistics are 6.28* and 3.39* respectively. 
However from Table 11, for Newly started Organization, when we exclude the effect of the Profitability of 
Previous Years, There are some Industries which may drive the Net Income of Organization which are Fuel and 
Energy Sector (t-statistics, 2.39***), Cement Sector (t-statistics, 1.74****) and Transport and Communication 
Sector (t-statistics, 3.639*) whereas the Effect of Other Industries are not dominant. 
[Note: Significance Level * = 99.9%, ** = 99%, *** = 95%,**** = 90%] 
6. Future Study 
Based on Results of this study we have concluded that it is Assets Turnover which has influentially affected 
Return on Equity so 
• It can further be verified by taking more time series data i.e. from 1990’s till date as this study has only 
taken 6 years (2007 to 2012) data on its panel meter. 
• Effect of Assets Turnover may also be verified by taking more companies in same study i.e. All KSE Index 
as this study has only taken companies of KSE 100 Index. 
• Moreover, in this study Assets Turnover effect on Return on Equity has been confirmed in all six industries 
but in which pair of industry this effect is more prominent can be finding out in further study. 
References 
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fans’, CFO Magazine, pp. 1-3. 
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Edition, Harcourt Publishers. 
3. Burson, Robert, July (19980, ‘Tools you can use for improved ratio analysis’, San Diego Business Journal, 
Vol. 19, Issue 49, pp. 19-23. 
4. Devine, Kevin and Seaton, Lloyd (1995),‘An examination of quarterly financial ratio stability: implications 
for financial decision making’, Journal of Applied Business Research, Winter, pp. 81-98.
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Vol.5, No.15, 2014 
5. Gitman, Lawrence J. (2000), Principles of Financial Management, 8th Edition, Addison Wesley Publishers. 
6. Harrison, Diana and Wilson, Brent. (1986), Corporate Financial Analysis, Business Publications, Inc. 
7. Hawawini, G. and Viallet. (1999), Finance for Executives, South-Western College Publishing. 
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the Finance Module of Small BusinessManagement and Entrepreneurship Courses’, Small Business Institute 
Journal, Vol. 1, pp. 17 – 34. 
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11. Saleem, Q and Rehman, R (2012), ‘Impact of Liquidity Ratio on Profitability (Case of Oil and Gas 
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155 
Appendix 
Table 1 Sample Companies of KSE 100 Index 
Types of Industry KSE 100 Excluded Revised 
Financial institutions  banks 26 26 0 
Fuel  energy 17 2 15 
Miscellaneous 12 12 0 
Chemical 12 2 10 
Engineering 11 11 
Cements 7 2 5 
Transport and Communication 7 7 
Others 3 3 0 
Textile 3 3 
Paper  board 2 2 0 
Total 100 49 51 
TABLE 2: DESCRIPTIVE SUMMARY of Return on Equity – Industrywise 
Groups Count Average Variance Standard Deviation Coefficient of Variation 
Fuel and Energy 87 0.38446 0.378 0.614816228 159.9175864 
Cements 29 0.1415 0.03756 0.193801954 136.9651655 
Chemicals 55 0.39891 0.0864 0.293938594 73.68543328 
Textiles 18 0.14669 0.01604 0.126650491 86.33871383 
Engineering 66 0.28413 0.06059 0.246156776 86.63566556 
Trans.  Communication 36 0.02121 0.28762 0.536303427 2528.3685 
TABLE 3: ANOVA analysis of Return on Equity – Industry wise 
Source of Variation SS df MS F P-value F Value 
Between Groups 5.01518 5 1.00304 5.44472 0.000083968 2.245676788 
Within Groups 52.5032 285 0.18422 
Total 57.5183 290 
Note: Significance level 5%
Research Journal of Finance and Accounting www.iiste.org 
ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online) 
Vol.5, No.15, 2014 
Table 4: DESCRIPTIVE SUMMARY of Profit Margin – Industry wise 
Groups Count Average Variance Standard Deviation Coefficient of Variation 
Fuel and Energy 87 0.14912 0.04401 0.209780646 140.6818519 
Cements 26 0.10468 0.0304 0.174355016 166.556164 
Chemicals 55 0.233 0.09193 0.303198735 130.1268318 
Textiles 18 0.08549 0.00759 0.087105716 101.8929842 
Engineering 66 0.05285 0.01869 0.136719487 258.6759306 
Trans.  Communication 36 0.67992 20.595 4.538174267 667.4614585 
Table 5: ANOVA for Profit Margin – Industry wise 
Source of Variation SS df MS F P-value F Value 
Between Groups 10.4773 5 2.09547 0.80762 0.544998542 2.246015185 
Within Groups 731.679 282 2.59461 
Total 742.156 287 
Significance level 5% 
TABLE 6: Descriptive Summary for Assets Turn Over – Industry wise 
Groups Count Average Variance Standard Deviation Coefficient of Variation 
Fuel and Energy 87 2.29411 3.09896 1.760385265 76.7348317 
Cements 26 0.62424 0.13393 0.365963477 58.6257912 
Chemicals 55 1.18905 0.28386 0.532784199 44.807409 
Textiles 18 0.7004 0.12785 0.357566825 51.0521123 
Engineering 66 1.61552 0.49482 0.703437203 43.5424164 
Trans.  Communication 36 0.77106 0.9811 0.990506259 128.46067 
TABLE 7: ANOVA Analysis of Assets Turnover – Industry wise 
Source of Variation SS df MS F P-value F-Vlaue 
Between Groups 111.591 5 22.3182 17.7858 0.000000 2.24601519 
Within Groups 353.863 282 1.25483 
Total 465.453 287 
Significance level 5% 
Table 8: Descriptive Summary for Equity Multiplier – Industry wise 
Groups Count Average Variance Standard Deviation Coefficient of Variation 
Fuel and Energy 87 3.23076 13.4886 3.672676331 113.6784771 
Cements 30 2.13762 0.66896 0.817898132 38.26211395 
Chemicals 55 2.2374 0.80573 0.897623693 40.11908283 
Textiles 18 2.78366 1.56959 1.252831627 45.00655187 
Engineering 66 2.95065 1.50991 1.228784461 41.64452638 
Trans.  Communication 36 2.47024 2.78378 1.668466795 67.54263553 
TABLE 9: ANOVA Analysis of Equity Multiplier – Industry wise 
Source of Variation SS df MS F P-value F-Value 
Between Groups 51.3023 5 10.2605 2.03053 0.074427107 2.245565578 
Within Groups 1445.18 286 5.05309 
Total 1496.49 291 
Significance level 5% 
156
Research Journal of Finance and Accounting www.iiste.org 
ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online) 
Vol.5, No.15, 2014 
Table 10: Panel Least Square Regression for Inside Effect 
Dep. Variable: Net Income 
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic P-Value. 
SALES 0.044298 0.007314 6.056289 0.0000 
ASSETS -0.241253 0.023071 -10.45698 0.0000 
EQUITY 0.732032 0.036338 20.14507 0.0000 
R-squared 0.676025 F-statistic 301.5227 
Significance level: 5% 
Table 11: Panel Least Square Regression for Industry Effect 
Dep. Variable: Net Income 
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic P-Value. 
SALES 0.029826 0.007740 3.853561 0.0001 
ASSETS -0.216948 0.023498 -9.232502 0.0000 
EQUITY 0.716622 0.035107 20.41251 0.0000 
FE 2085.799 872.3583 2.390989 0.0175 
CEMENT -1957.365 1120.853 -1.746317 0.0818 
CHEMICALS 990.8017 842.0398 1.176668 0.2403 
TEXTILES -1888.816 1440.832 -1.310920 0.1909 
ENGINEERING 11.59631 749.9113 0.015464 0.9877 
TNC -4193.411 1152.176 -3.639557 0.0003 
R-squared 0.706909 F-statistic 85.32119 
Significance level: 5% 
Table 12: Panel Least Square Regression for Inside Effect with Lag Variable 
Dep. Variable: Net Income 
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic P-Value. 
SALES 0.053854 0.015884 3.390465 0.0008 
ASSETS -0.230084 0.036590 -6.288075 0.0000 
EQUITY 0.593525 0.068631 8.648089 0.0000 
FE 7138.661 5126.993 1.392368 0.1651 
CHEMICALS 3396.212 4701.217 0.722411 0.4708 
CEMENT -1844.270 6110.355 -0.301827 0.7631 
ENGINEERING -601.9645 4076.180 -0.147679 0.8827 
TEXTILES -3009.397 7845.994 -0.383558 0.7017 
TNC -8509.363 6145.830 -1.384575 0.1675 
AR(1) 0.846269 0.057153 14.80711 0.0000 
R-squared 0.847668 F-statistic 142.8244 
Significance level: 5% 
157

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Industry Effects on Factors Driving Return on Equity

  • 1. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online) Vol.5, No.15, 2014 Determinant of Return on Assets and Return on Equity and Its Industry Wise Effects: Evidence from KSE (Karachi Stock Exchange) Muhammad Mubin HEC, Pakistan Scholar at Bilkent University, Ankara, Turkey & Lecturer in Commerce, Govt. Degree Science and Commerce College, Lyari, Karachi Email: mubinamin@hotmail.com Arslan Iqbal M.Phil Fellow, Department of Commerce, University of Karachi Email: arslan.iqbal88@gmail.com Adnan Hussain Lecturer, Department of Economics, Benazir Bhutto Shaheed University, Lyari, Karachi Email: adnanaerc@gmail.com Abstract: “The prime purpose of this research is to find out that from the components of Dupont identity of Return on Equity which component is most consistent or volatile among profit margin, total assets turnover and equity multiplier in Fuel and Energy Sector, Chemicals Sector, Cement Sector, Engineering Sector, Textiles Sector and Transport and Communication Sector of KSE 100 index. The purpose of the study was served by taking data from 2004 to 2012 of 51 companies (falling under six mentioned industries) of KSE 100 as Paradigm of Panel Data. The F-Statistics of One Way ANOVA (Analysis of Variance) show that it is Assets Turnover which significantly varies from industry to industry whereas Equity Multiplier and Profit Margin are not much volatile among indifferent industries. Moreover, Adjusted R Square in Panel OLS Analysis was confirming Industry Effect on Newly established firms that they can have the benefit of profitability if they are from Fuel and Energy Sector, Cement Sector and Transport and Communication Sector whereas others Sectors such as Chemicals Sector, Engineering Sectors and Textiles Sectors does not have that leverage.” Keywords: Profitability, Dupont Identity, Panel Least Square JEL Classification: G12, G39, C23 1. Introduction A business is defined as “Any activity which is done for the purpose of profit” but the question arises how to calculate profitability as well as comparing the profitability of it with existing firm of industry. Its answer lies in Profitability Analysis under the area of “Analysis of Financial Statements” where we compare the profitability of firm with other firms as well as with its industry. The famous Dupont Equation in Profitability analysis discuss determinants of profitability in details with three stages of origin. The DuPont Model is a technique that can be used to analyze the profitability of a company using traditional performance management tools. To enable this, the DuPont model integrates elements of the Income Statement with those of the Balance Sheet. The product of the net profit margin and total asset turnover equals ROA, and this was the original DuPont model, as illustrated in Equation 1 below. =
  • 2. 148 × 100 = × 100 Where NP = Net Profit, S = Sales TA = Total Assets At this point in time maximizing ROA was a common corporate goal and the realization that ROA was impacted by both profitability and efficiency led to the development of a system of planning and control for all operating decisions within a firm. This became the dominant form of financial analysis until the 1970s. (Blumenthal, 1998). According to Gitman, (1998) the generally accepted goal of financial management became “maximizing the wealth of the firm’s owners” and focus shifted from ROA to ROE. This led to the first major modification of the original DuPont model. In addition to profitability and efficiency, the way in which a firm financed its activities, i.e. its use of “leverage” became a third area of attention for financial managers. The new ratio of interest was called the equity multiplier, which is (total assets / equity). The modified DuPont model is shown in Equations 2 and 3 below.
  • 3. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online) Vol.5, No.15, 2014 EBT × EBT 149 Formula RoE = NP Sales × 100 Sales TA × TA TOE Where RoE = Return on Equity NP = Net Profits TA = Total Assets TOE = Total Owner’s Equity Or Profitability = Operations × Efficiency × Leverage More recently, Hawawini and Viallet (1999) offered yet another modification to the DuPont model. This modification resulted in five different ratios that combine to form ROE. The “really” modified DuPont model is shown below in Equation 4. RoE = EAT EBIT × EBIT Sales × Sales IC × IC E Where: RoE = Return on Equity EAT = Earnings after Tax EBT = Earnings before Tax EBIT = Earnings before Interest and Tax IC = Invested capital = Cash + Working Capital Requirement + Net Fixed Assets This “really” modified model has introduce two more ratio one is tax effect ratio related to earning after tax and earning before tax and financial cost ratio discussing earning before tax with earning before interest and tax but still maintains the importance of the impact of operating decisions (i.e. profitability and efficiency) and financing decisions (leverage) upon ROE, but uses a total of five ratios to uncover what drives ROE and give insight to how to improve this important ratio. 1.1 Research Problem Although Dupont Analysis clearly states that Company’s Return on Equity has three factors i.e. Profit Margin, Total Assets Turnover and Equity Multiplier from1970’s and onward but Literature is still silent about which of the factor is more influential and powerful factor of Profitability Indicator i.e. Return on Equity. So “This research will investigate that which factor of return on equity is more powerful/influential factors among factors profit margins, total assets turnover and equity multiplier through its volatility from Six Prominent Industries of KSE 100 index’s Non Financial Companies” 1.2 Research Questions Above Research Problem be investigated by following Research Question? • Which is the most prominent factor among three factors of DuPont’s Extended Return on Equity? • What are the Possible Factors which may affect the common variable of Profitability which is Net Income? • Is Possible factor’s influence is consistent in all the industries or it varies from industry to industry? 1.3 Objectives of the study • To determine influential factors of profitability using Return on Equity as benchmark with the help of DuPont Identity. • • To give Finance Managers of Corporations to have the idea that What are the Possible Common Factors which may cause the Profitability of Corporations under different Industries. • To find out that possible factors are from organizations’ inside structure or it is Industry driven. 2. Literature Review Leisz T. J. and Maranville S. J. (2008) have identified that only simple calculation is required for The Du Pont model in Profitability analysis. They also justified that these calculations can lead to understanding the
  • 4. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online) Vol.5, No.15, 2014 comparative advantage in financial term and every individual either sole proprietor or Financial Manager of a Giant Corporation want to know precise actions that can be taken that will lead to higher profitability and return? They also contributed that one can get valuable insights to return even with the help of the original model (culminating in ROA), but the more extended versions that explore the components of ROE also allow even small business managers to make good financial decisions that will bring a positive impact on the return to firms’ owners. Majed et al (2012) discovered that three ratios of ROA, ROE and ROI together showed a strong and positive relationship with share prices with 45.7% relationship. He also tried to identify the individual effect of RoA, RoE and RoI and succeeded in concluding that RoA and RoI has positive but low relationship with marketshare price but failed to get the relationship of RoE with market share price individually. For this they take data from Jordanian Insurance Public Companies for the period of 2002 to 2007. Saleem Q and Naseem MA (2012) hypothesized that highly leveraged oil and gas companies have lower profitability. However, they were failed to support their hypothesis of positive relationship between financial leverage and profitability. It was also tested in their research that highly leveraged businesses are riskier in terms of their return on equity and investment but results indicated that highly leveraged firms were less risky in both market-based and accounting-based measures. In Jordan, Taani K and Banykhaled AHH (2011) tried to find out the relationship between profitability and cash flows. Their model included EPS as dependent Variable and eight other factors for regression analysis. Based on their regression result, it wasconcluded that financial ratios, return onequity, debt to equity, price to book value, and cash flow from operating activitiesaltogether affect earning per share. For that they used 40 manufacturing companies listed in amman stock exchange and take data from year 2000 to 2009. Saleem Q and Rehman R (2011) tried to reveal the relationship between liquidity and profitability in case of oil and gas companies of pakistan with data of 2004 to 2009. Their results show that there is a significant impact of only liquid ratio on ROA while insignificant on ROE and ROI; the results also show that ROE is no significant effected by three ratios current ratio, quick ratio and liquid ratio while ROI is greatly affected by current ratios, quick ratios and liquid ratio. Roaston P and Roaston A (2012) find out in their research with the RMSE criteria that Price-to-Earnings ratio is a better predictor of the financial performances of companies than other indicators. For this purpose they evaluate twelve indicators of 86 companies which were related to financial as well as market indicators. However, Profitability can not only be indicated by Return on Equity. There are many other variables with are aligned with Return on Equity such as Earning per share (Taani K and Banykhaled AHH, 2011), Return on Assets and Return on Investment (Majed et al, 2012), Price to Earning Ratio (Roaston P and Roaston A, 2012) and Return on Assets. [Naceur (2003) and Alkassim (2005)]. Moreover, Taani K and Banykhaled AHH (2011) also find out that variables which are consistently significant on earning per share areprofitability ratio (ROE), market value ratio (PBV), cash flow from operatingactivities, and leverage ratio (DER). 3 Theoretical Modeling and Econometrics Methodology 3.1 Research Framework External Factors Competitive Advantage (Profit Margin) Internal Factors Operational Advantage (Assets Turnover) Capital Structure Advantage (Equity Multiplier) Figure no. 1 Source: Self Created 150 Profitability (Return on Equity) 3.2 Research Design This study will be quantitative in nature and will be done through gathering financial figures of Net Income after Tax, Sales, Total Assets and Total Share holder’s Equity of about Listed Companies of Six Industries of Karachi Stock Exchange 100 Index provided by State Bank of Pakistan under their Annual Report name Balance
  • 5. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online) Vol.5, No.15, 2014 Sheet Analysis and these industries are Fuel and Energy Sector, Cement Sector, Chemical Sectors, Engineering Sector, Transport and Communication Sector and Textile Sector. Profitability of these six industries will be regressed by taking Net Income as Dependent Variable and Independent Variables will be Sales, Assets and Shareholder’s Equity and Also Industry wise dummy variable will be introduced to identify the industry Effect. Then above financial figures of said industries these will be converted into Financial Ratios of Return on Equity, Net Profit Margin, Total Assets Turnover and Equity Multiplier for Descriptive and Anova Analysis for Volatility and Consistency. 151 3.3 Research Procedure The answer of First Research Objective “Which is to find out which factor of profitability is playing dominant role?”, will be carried out by using Regression Analysis on statistical model for hypothesis testing that which of the Independent Variable i.e. Sales, Assets or Shareholder’s Equity affect Dependent Variable i.e. Net Income or There is Industry Effect which is playing dominant effect on Industry.The Industry Effect will be identified by introducing industry wise dummy variable. The answer of 2ndobjective “Which is the more influential factor of profitability among dupont Identity?” will be find out by applying ANOVA analysis Industry wise for Every Factor of Dupont Identity separately. 3.4 Sampling Framework The Sampling Framwork and Method in this research, comprises on All the Companies falling under heading of Mentioned Industries of KSE 100 Index which are taken by focused/purposive sampling. In selecting the sample, the following pre-determined criteria were as follows: The firm has published its complete financial statements for the period of 2012. The firm does not have negative equity at the end of period 2012 The firm does not have Net Loss for the Average of Years 2007 to 2012 The firm’s stock has been actively traded during September 2013. The purposive sampling with the predetermined criteria above resulted in 51companiesas sample. See Table 1 Secondary data were available in the form of “Balance Sheet Analysis” published by State Bank of Pakistan for All the Non-Financial Listed Companies registered at Karachi Stock Exchange. However the conversion of available portable document file into MS Excel sheet required extensive filtration process and the Financial Variables of Sales, Net Income after Tax, Total Assets and Total Shareholder’s Equity of Sample Companies of KSE have been taken from the year 2004 to 2009 3.5 Hypothesis Objective 1: Common Factors of Profitability (Regression Based) For Inside Effect: H1a: Sales,Total Assets and Shareholders Equity altogether CauseNet Income of Mentioned Industries of listed companies of KSE 100 Index. For Outside Effect: H1b: Along with Sales, Total Assets and Shareholders Equity, It is Industry effect which Cause Net Income of Mentioned Industries of listed companies of KSE 100 Index. Objective 2: DuPont Factors of Return on Equity (Non Regression ANOVA) For RoE: Average Return on Equity of Six Industry will be analyzed. H2a: μ(FE)≠μ(CM)≠μ(CH) ≠ μ(EN)≠μ(TC) ≠ μ(TX) For PM: Average Profit Margin of Six Industry will be analyzed. H2b: μ(FE) ≠μ(CM) ≠μ(CH)≠μ(EN) ≠μ(TC) ≠ μ(TX) For TATO: Average Assets Turnover of Six Industry will be analyzed. H2c: μ(FE) ≠μ(CM)≠μ(CH) ≠μ(EN) ≠μ(TC) ≠ μ(TX) For EM: Average Equity Multiplier of Six Industry will be analyzed.
  • 6. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online) Vol.5, No.15, 2014 152 H2d: μ(FE)≠μ(CM)≠μ(CH) ≠ μ(EN) ≠μ(TC) ≠ μ(TX) Where, FE = Fuel and Energy Sector CM = Cement Sector CH = Chemical Sector EN = Engineering Sector TC = Transport and Communication TX = Textile Sector RoE = Return on Equity PM = Profit Margin TATO = Total Assets Turnover EM = Equity Multiplier 3.6 Statistical Model Following are the statistical models to be utilized. NIit = b1Salesit + b2Assetsit + b3Equityit + eit (Eq.1) NIit = b1Slit + b2Asit + b3Eqit + b4D1i + b5D2i + b6D3i + b7D4it +b8D5i +b9D6ti + e it (Eq.2) Where, Sl = Sales, As = Assets, Eq = Shareholders’ Equity, Dk = Industry Dummy Variables 3.7 Plan of Analysis The Plan of Analysis for the said research will be as follow: • Hypothesis of H1a regarding Common Factors of Profitability has been tested by multiple regression technique on Statistical Equation (1). T test will be the criteria to Find out Prominent Factors of Net Income. • Hypothesis of H1b regarding Industry Effect on Profitability has been tested by multiple regression technique on Statistical Equation (2) T test will be the criteria to Find out Industry Effect. • Hypothesis of H2a, H2b, H2c and H2c regarding Test of Equality on Return on Equity, Profit Margin, Total Assets Turnover and Equity Multiplier in mentioned industries, One Factor ANOVA technique has been applied respectively. F Test will be the criteria for Every One Factor Anova Analysis. 4. Results and Discussion 4.1 ANOVA based Analysis (Non Regression based Analysis) Here All the component of Dupont Identity will be checked individually as follow: Research Hypothesis: μ(FE) ≠μ(CM) ≠μ(CH) ≠μ(EN) ≠μ(TC) ≠μ(TX) For RoE: Null Hypothesis “Average Return on Equity for the Six Industries is Equal” (See Table 2) Table 2 shows the ANOVA description of Return on Equity for mentioning industries; we can see that except Transport and Communication other five industries’ Coefficient of Variation is not much dispersed. (See Table 3) Table 3 clearly rejects our Null Hypothesis of Equality of Return on Equity among selected Industries as F Calculated is 5.44 which is greater than F critical of 2.24 whereas P Value is confirming the rejection of our Null Hypothesis. For Profit Margin: Null Hypothesis “Average Profit Margin for the Six Industries is Equal”
  • 7. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online) Vol.5, No.15, 2014 (See Table 4) Table 4 shows the ANOVA description of Profit Margin Analysis for mentioning industries; we can see that Profit Margin of Transport and Communication is much volatile as compared to other five industries. However Table 5 result is not allowed to reject our Null Hypothesis about Profit Margin Analysis (See Table 5) Table 5 clearly accepts our Null Hypothesis of Equality of Profit Margin among selected Industries as F Calculated is 0.80762 which is Lesser than F critical of 2.24. whereas P Value is confirming the rejection of our research Hypothesis. 153 For TATO: Null Hypothesis “Average Total Assets Turnover for the Six Industries is Equal” (See Table 6) Table 6 shows the ANOVA description of Assets Turnover Analysis for mentioning industries; we can see that Average Assets Turnover here is changing from one industry to another. As Average Asset Turnover for Fuel and Energy Sector is 2.29 whereas it is only 0.62 in Cement Industry. (See Table 7) Table 7 clearly rejects our Null Hypothesis of Equality of Assets Turnover among selected Industries as F Calculated is 17.7858 which is much greater than F critical of 2.24 means Average Assets Turnover insignificantly different from industry to industry. For EM: Null Hypothesis “Average Equity Multiplier for the Six Industries is Equal” (See Table 8) Table 8 shows the ANOVA description of Equity Multiplier for mentioning industries; we can see that Equity Multiplier of Fuel and Energy Is much volatile as compared to other five industries. However the result of Table 9are not allowing to reject our Null Hypothesis about Equality of Averages of Equity Multiplier (See Table 9) Results of Table 9are accepting our Null Hypothesis of Equality of Equity Multiplier among selected Industries as F Calculated is 2.03 which is Lesser than F critical of the 2.24 (95% Significance Level, However Our Null Hypothesis will reject if we test it at 90% Significance Level, but that will lead to Type 1 error) 4.2 Regression based Analysis For Inside Effect: H1a: Sales,Total Assets and Shareholders Equityaltogether Cause Net Income of Mentioned Industries of listed companies of KSE 100 Index. (See Table 10) Table 10 shows that Net Income is significantly affected by Sales Assets and Equity as their t statistics are 6.05, -10.45 and 20.14 respectively. The coefficient of above results shows that • 1 Million Increase in Sales Will result in 44,000 Increase in Net Income. • 1 Million Increase in Assets will result in 241,000 decrease in Net Income. • 1 Million Increase in Shareholder’s Equity will result in 730,000 increases in Net Income. For Industry Effect: H1b: Along with Sales, Total Assets and Shareholders Equity, It is Industry effect which Cause Net Income of Mentioned Industries of listed companies of KSE 100 Index. (See Table 11) In comparison of Table 10 when Dummy Variable of Industries are introduced Table 11 shows that Net Income is still significantly affected by Sales, Assets and Equity as their t statistics are 3.85, -9.23 and 20.41 respectively which are approximately same as Table 10 however coefficient of them slightly decreased which resulted in 29,000 Increase, 216,000 degrees and 716,000 increase in net income respectively when there will be One million increase in Sales, Assets and Shareholder Equity respectively and Adjusted R2 has also improved
  • 8. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online) Vol.5, No.15, 2014 slightly. Moreover Table 11 also confirms that there is industry effect also there which may drive Net Income, as Fuel and Energy Sector (t-statistics, 2.39**), Cement Sector (t-statistics, 1.74*) and Transport and Communication Sector (t-statistics, 3.639***) are the industries which may affect Net Income of the respective companies, However, Industry Effect of Chemicals, Textiles and Engineering is not dominant due to their lower t- statistics. [Note: Significance Level * = 90%, ** = 95%, *** = 99%] In Table 11, there is an alarming number which is Durbin-Watson stats. 0.65 of Durbin-Watson stats show that there is positive autocorrelation. To remove the effect of autocorrelation further analysis has been done by introducing 1 period lag variable. Further Analysis for Industry Effect with Introduction of Lag Variable (See Table 12) Table 12 shows improved durbin-watson stat of 2.26 as compared to 0.65 durbin-watson stat of Table 11, But Introduction of Lag variable has nullified the industry effect as all the t-statistics of industry wise dummy variable has become insignificant resulting in significance of Sales, Assets, Equity and AR(1) [Lag Variable of Net Income] as their t-statistics are significant with 3.39, 6.28, 8.64 and 14.80 respectively which shows that It is mainly the Net Income of Previous Year which may result in Net Income of This Year, then 2nd important factors is corporations equity which may drive Net Income, 3rd Assets and Last Sales of the Corporations. T-Statistics 154 values confirm this conclusion. 5. Conclusions Based on ANOVA results of Table 2, 4, 6 and 8, we can conclude that out of three factors of Return on Equity under DuPont identity which are Profit Margin, Assets Turnover and Equity Multiplier, It is Total Assets Turnover which is most influential factor among three factors with F-Statistics of 17.78 (Significant at 99.99%) which means that it is total asset turnover which vary from industry to industry due to the nature of their operations. However F-Statistics of Equity Multiplier are only 2.03 (Significant at 90%) which shows its lower effect on Return on Equity whereas Profit Margin does not affect Return on Equity at all due to its lowest F-Statistics of 0.8 only. Based on Regression results of Table 12, we can conclude that It is mainly Net Income of Previous Years which may result in the Profitability of the coming year due to its high t-statistics of 14.80*. The second prominent factor which may cause net income is the Shareholder’s Equity of corporations as t-statistics is 8.64*. Then It is Assets and Sales which may driven Net Income as their t-statistics are 6.28* and 3.39* respectively. However from Table 11, for Newly started Organization, when we exclude the effect of the Profitability of Previous Years, There are some Industries which may drive the Net Income of Organization which are Fuel and Energy Sector (t-statistics, 2.39***), Cement Sector (t-statistics, 1.74****) and Transport and Communication Sector (t-statistics, 3.639*) whereas the Effect of Other Industries are not dominant. [Note: Significance Level * = 99.9%, ** = 99%, *** = 95%,**** = 90%] 6. Future Study Based on Results of this study we have concluded that it is Assets Turnover which has influentially affected Return on Equity so • It can further be verified by taking more time series data i.e. from 1990’s till date as this study has only taken 6 years (2007 to 2012) data on its panel meter. • Effect of Assets Turnover may also be verified by taking more companies in same study i.e. All KSE Index as this study has only taken companies of KSE 100 Index. • Moreover, in this study Assets Turnover effect on Return on Equity has been confirmed in all six industries but in which pair of industry this effect is more prominent can be finding out in further study. References 1. Blumenthal, Robin G,January (1998), ‘Tis the gift to be simple: Why the 80-year-old DuPont model still has fans’, CFO Magazine, pp. 1-3. 2. Brigham, Eugene F., and Houston, Joel F. (2001), Fundamentals of Financial Management, Concise Third Edition, Harcourt Publishers. 3. Burson, Robert, July (19980, ‘Tools you can use for improved ratio analysis’, San Diego Business Journal, Vol. 19, Issue 49, pp. 19-23. 4. Devine, Kevin and Seaton, Lloyd (1995),‘An examination of quarterly financial ratio stability: implications for financial decision making’, Journal of Applied Business Research, Winter, pp. 81-98.
  • 9. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online) Vol.5, No.15, 2014 5. Gitman, Lawrence J. (2000), Principles of Financial Management, 8th Edition, Addison Wesley Publishers. 6. Harrison, Diana and Wilson, Brent. (1986), Corporate Financial Analysis, Business Publications, Inc. 7. Hawawini, G. and Viallet. (1999), Finance for Executives, South-Western College Publishing. 8. Leisz TJ and Maranville SJ (2008), ‘Ratio Analysis featuring the DuPont method: An overlooked topic in the Finance Module of Small BusinessManagement and Entrepreneurship Courses’, Small Business Institute Journal, Vol. 1, pp. 17 – 34. 9. Majed, MA, Ahmed, SM and Dahmash, FN (2012), ‘Therelationship of RoA, RoERoI Ratios with Jordanian Insurance Public Companies Market Share Price’, International Journal of Humanities Social Science, Vol. 2 No. 11, pp. 115 – 120. 10. Roaston P and Roaston A (2012), ‘Assessing the Predictive Power of Customer Satisfaction for Financial and Market Performances: Price-to-Earnings Ratio is a Better Predictor Overall’, International Review of Management and Marketing, Vol. 2, No. 1, pp.59 – 74. 11. Saleem, Q and Rehman, R (2012), ‘Impact of Liquidity Ratio on Profitability (Case of Oil and Gas Companies of Pakistan)’, Interdisciplinary Journal of Research in Business, Vol. 1, Issue. 7, pp.95 – 98. 12. Taani, K and BanyKhaled, MHH (2011), ‘The effect of financial ratios, firm size and cash flows from operating activities on earnings per share: (An Applied study: on Jordanian industrial sector)’, International Journal Of Social Sciences And Humanity Studies, Vol. 3, No 1, pp. 197 – 205. 13. Weiss, NA (2012), Introductory Statistics, 9th Edition, Addison Wesley Publishers. 155 Appendix Table 1 Sample Companies of KSE 100 Index Types of Industry KSE 100 Excluded Revised Financial institutions banks 26 26 0 Fuel energy 17 2 15 Miscellaneous 12 12 0 Chemical 12 2 10 Engineering 11 11 Cements 7 2 5 Transport and Communication 7 7 Others 3 3 0 Textile 3 3 Paper board 2 2 0 Total 100 49 51 TABLE 2: DESCRIPTIVE SUMMARY of Return on Equity – Industrywise Groups Count Average Variance Standard Deviation Coefficient of Variation Fuel and Energy 87 0.38446 0.378 0.614816228 159.9175864 Cements 29 0.1415 0.03756 0.193801954 136.9651655 Chemicals 55 0.39891 0.0864 0.293938594 73.68543328 Textiles 18 0.14669 0.01604 0.126650491 86.33871383 Engineering 66 0.28413 0.06059 0.246156776 86.63566556 Trans. Communication 36 0.02121 0.28762 0.536303427 2528.3685 TABLE 3: ANOVA analysis of Return on Equity – Industry wise Source of Variation SS df MS F P-value F Value Between Groups 5.01518 5 1.00304 5.44472 0.000083968 2.245676788 Within Groups 52.5032 285 0.18422 Total 57.5183 290 Note: Significance level 5%
  • 10. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online) Vol.5, No.15, 2014 Table 4: DESCRIPTIVE SUMMARY of Profit Margin – Industry wise Groups Count Average Variance Standard Deviation Coefficient of Variation Fuel and Energy 87 0.14912 0.04401 0.209780646 140.6818519 Cements 26 0.10468 0.0304 0.174355016 166.556164 Chemicals 55 0.233 0.09193 0.303198735 130.1268318 Textiles 18 0.08549 0.00759 0.087105716 101.8929842 Engineering 66 0.05285 0.01869 0.136719487 258.6759306 Trans. Communication 36 0.67992 20.595 4.538174267 667.4614585 Table 5: ANOVA for Profit Margin – Industry wise Source of Variation SS df MS F P-value F Value Between Groups 10.4773 5 2.09547 0.80762 0.544998542 2.246015185 Within Groups 731.679 282 2.59461 Total 742.156 287 Significance level 5% TABLE 6: Descriptive Summary for Assets Turn Over – Industry wise Groups Count Average Variance Standard Deviation Coefficient of Variation Fuel and Energy 87 2.29411 3.09896 1.760385265 76.7348317 Cements 26 0.62424 0.13393 0.365963477 58.6257912 Chemicals 55 1.18905 0.28386 0.532784199 44.807409 Textiles 18 0.7004 0.12785 0.357566825 51.0521123 Engineering 66 1.61552 0.49482 0.703437203 43.5424164 Trans. Communication 36 0.77106 0.9811 0.990506259 128.46067 TABLE 7: ANOVA Analysis of Assets Turnover – Industry wise Source of Variation SS df MS F P-value F-Vlaue Between Groups 111.591 5 22.3182 17.7858 0.000000 2.24601519 Within Groups 353.863 282 1.25483 Total 465.453 287 Significance level 5% Table 8: Descriptive Summary for Equity Multiplier – Industry wise Groups Count Average Variance Standard Deviation Coefficient of Variation Fuel and Energy 87 3.23076 13.4886 3.672676331 113.6784771 Cements 30 2.13762 0.66896 0.817898132 38.26211395 Chemicals 55 2.2374 0.80573 0.897623693 40.11908283 Textiles 18 2.78366 1.56959 1.252831627 45.00655187 Engineering 66 2.95065 1.50991 1.228784461 41.64452638 Trans. Communication 36 2.47024 2.78378 1.668466795 67.54263553 TABLE 9: ANOVA Analysis of Equity Multiplier – Industry wise Source of Variation SS df MS F P-value F-Value Between Groups 51.3023 5 10.2605 2.03053 0.074427107 2.245565578 Within Groups 1445.18 286 5.05309 Total 1496.49 291 Significance level 5% 156
  • 11. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online) Vol.5, No.15, 2014 Table 10: Panel Least Square Regression for Inside Effect Dep. Variable: Net Income Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic P-Value. SALES 0.044298 0.007314 6.056289 0.0000 ASSETS -0.241253 0.023071 -10.45698 0.0000 EQUITY 0.732032 0.036338 20.14507 0.0000 R-squared 0.676025 F-statistic 301.5227 Significance level: 5% Table 11: Panel Least Square Regression for Industry Effect Dep. Variable: Net Income Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic P-Value. SALES 0.029826 0.007740 3.853561 0.0001 ASSETS -0.216948 0.023498 -9.232502 0.0000 EQUITY 0.716622 0.035107 20.41251 0.0000 FE 2085.799 872.3583 2.390989 0.0175 CEMENT -1957.365 1120.853 -1.746317 0.0818 CHEMICALS 990.8017 842.0398 1.176668 0.2403 TEXTILES -1888.816 1440.832 -1.310920 0.1909 ENGINEERING 11.59631 749.9113 0.015464 0.9877 TNC -4193.411 1152.176 -3.639557 0.0003 R-squared 0.706909 F-statistic 85.32119 Significance level: 5% Table 12: Panel Least Square Regression for Inside Effect with Lag Variable Dep. Variable: Net Income Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic P-Value. SALES 0.053854 0.015884 3.390465 0.0008 ASSETS -0.230084 0.036590 -6.288075 0.0000 EQUITY 0.593525 0.068631 8.648089 0.0000 FE 7138.661 5126.993 1.392368 0.1651 CHEMICALS 3396.212 4701.217 0.722411 0.4708 CEMENT -1844.270 6110.355 -0.301827 0.7631 ENGINEERING -601.9645 4076.180 -0.147679 0.8827 TEXTILES -3009.397 7845.994 -0.383558 0.7017 TNC -8509.363 6145.830 -1.384575 0.1675 AR(1) 0.846269 0.057153 14.80711 0.0000 R-squared 0.847668 F-statistic 142.8244 Significance level: 5% 157
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