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Where’s the money? Funding for juniors.
Junior Indaba
Johannesburg 4th – 5th June 2019
Junior Indaba June 2019
2
Global exploration spend on the rise
⧫ Global exploration
activity strengthening on
the back of rising bulk
commodity prices
⧫ Global budgets expected
to increase by 5-10% in
2019
⧫ Gold accounted for half
of global exploration
budgets in 2018
⧫ SA exploration budgets
have steadily declined
over the past 10 years
⧫ Why isn’t Southern Africa
attracting a larger share
of exploration budgets?
Sources: S&P Global; Stockhead
Junior Indaba June 2019
Global exploration budgets are still below 2014 levels
Investors deterred by perceived risk
3
Southern Africa is becoming more attractive, however perceptions of hostile
investment environments still deter investors
Investment Attractiveness Index (Fraser Institute, 2018): a composite of mineral
investment and policy perception factors.
⧫ Botswana is the highest
ranked African country
⧫ SA and Zimbabwe’s policy
rankings have improved
significantly in the last year
⧫ Unclear legislation is a
concern for investors
⧫ DRC and Zimbabwe policy
perceptions rank in the
bottom 10 globally
⧫ Africa ranks as the second
least attractive region for
investment globally
Junior Indaba June 2019
4
Stakeholders’ expectations
Revenue
Job creation
Beneficiation
Sustainable
development
Political stability
Good governance
Security of investment
Diamond prospectivity
Track record of economic
production
Security of tenure
Tax incentives
Enabling
regulatory
environment
Economic
growth
Credit rating
Social licence
to operate
Investors
Explorers
Governments
Commercial
return
Junior Indaba June 2019
Value creation and risk
5Junior Indaba June 2019
Southern Africa’s competitiveness
6
STRENGTHS
♦ Highly prospective diamond region
♦ Track record of commercial
production
♦ Evolved regulatory environment with
strong judiciaries
♦ Mostly growing economies
♦ Improved mining attractiveness
rankings
WEAKNESSES
♦ Capital constrained explorers
♦ Local HNWI* not investing in local
exploration
♦ Insignificant local listings of junior
explorers
♦ Governments’ exploration databases
♦ Licence application processes
OPPORTUNITIES
♦ Developed financial markets
♦ Juniors driving greenfields exploration
♦ HNWI*: over 40,000 in SA; over 3,000
in Botswana
♦ SA’s 12J (or equivalent) as potential
flow-through schemes
♦ Crowdfunding for exploration
THREATS
♦ Onerous regulatory requirements
♦ Uncertainty and complexity of mining
policy
♦ Investors’ perceptions of resource
nationalism
♦ Governments’ royalties and free carry
expectations
*HNWI = high net worth individuals with total wealth >$1M
Junior Indaba June 2019
Discussion
7Junior Indaba June 2019

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Where’s the money? Funding for juniors.

  • 1. Where’s the money? Funding for juniors. Junior Indaba Johannesburg 4th – 5th June 2019 Junior Indaba June 2019
  • 2. 2 Global exploration spend on the rise ⧫ Global exploration activity strengthening on the back of rising bulk commodity prices ⧫ Global budgets expected to increase by 5-10% in 2019 ⧫ Gold accounted for half of global exploration budgets in 2018 ⧫ SA exploration budgets have steadily declined over the past 10 years ⧫ Why isn’t Southern Africa attracting a larger share of exploration budgets? Sources: S&P Global; Stockhead Junior Indaba June 2019 Global exploration budgets are still below 2014 levels
  • 3. Investors deterred by perceived risk 3 Southern Africa is becoming more attractive, however perceptions of hostile investment environments still deter investors Investment Attractiveness Index (Fraser Institute, 2018): a composite of mineral investment and policy perception factors. ⧫ Botswana is the highest ranked African country ⧫ SA and Zimbabwe’s policy rankings have improved significantly in the last year ⧫ Unclear legislation is a concern for investors ⧫ DRC and Zimbabwe policy perceptions rank in the bottom 10 globally ⧫ Africa ranks as the second least attractive region for investment globally Junior Indaba June 2019
  • 4. 4 Stakeholders’ expectations Revenue Job creation Beneficiation Sustainable development Political stability Good governance Security of investment Diamond prospectivity Track record of economic production Security of tenure Tax incentives Enabling regulatory environment Economic growth Credit rating Social licence to operate Investors Explorers Governments Commercial return Junior Indaba June 2019
  • 5. Value creation and risk 5Junior Indaba June 2019
  • 6. Southern Africa’s competitiveness 6 STRENGTHS ♦ Highly prospective diamond region ♦ Track record of commercial production ♦ Evolved regulatory environment with strong judiciaries ♦ Mostly growing economies ♦ Improved mining attractiveness rankings WEAKNESSES ♦ Capital constrained explorers ♦ Local HNWI* not investing in local exploration ♦ Insignificant local listings of junior explorers ♦ Governments’ exploration databases ♦ Licence application processes OPPORTUNITIES ♦ Developed financial markets ♦ Juniors driving greenfields exploration ♦ HNWI*: over 40,000 in SA; over 3,000 in Botswana ♦ SA’s 12J (or equivalent) as potential flow-through schemes ♦ Crowdfunding for exploration THREATS ♦ Onerous regulatory requirements ♦ Uncertainty and complexity of mining policy ♦ Investors’ perceptions of resource nationalism ♦ Governments’ royalties and free carry expectations *HNWI = high net worth individuals with total wealth >$1M Junior Indaba June 2019