The document discusses the evolution of computing and its future trajectory, emphasizing the rise of the Internet of Things (IoT) and its implications for various sectors like education, healthcare, and banking. It highlights key lessons from military logistics and consumer IoT, focusing on the importance of location, device limitations, and the need for user-friendly interactions. Additionally, it calls for innovation in device onboarding, automation, and the integration of dumb devices to enhance smart environments.

1. When Computers are Everywhere
Will WE HAVE SUPERPOWERS? Guy

2. Guy
Inspire ✦ Be Inspired ✦ Create
Amazing Experiences
Anticipate
CTO Council
Citrix Labs
Innovate
Future of
Education
Future of
Work

3. So where are we headed with computing?

4. http://www.businessinsider.com/global-smartphone-market-forecast-vendor-platform-growth-2015-6
7.4
2015
2020
A smart phone in the
developing world is
a powerful enabler
of:
• Connection
• Education
• Banking
• Healthcare
• Security
• Etc.

5. 2013
$1.9T IoT - IDC (everything
on the net)
2017
$7.3T IoT - IDC
2018
7B M2M connections with
80% YOY Growth -
2020
50B devices -
80% of Revenue from
Services - Gartner
“$19T market
in the next
decade”
http://www.businessinsider.com/internet-of-everything-2015-bi-2014-12
A/VToday
In 4
Years
IT for the Non-Office
Biggest Ever IT Expansion

6. 1T Devices by
2030 @ 30% CAGR
Fusion of the Physical
and Digital World
1T Devices
=
1 every 6 sqft

7. Parallelism/ComputePower
Time
Traditional
Computing
Transistors
Increasing Parallelism
Decreasing Power
Beyond Moore: Curve Jumping in Computing
4 to 8
Cores
100B Neurons
1Q Connections
87M X Less Power
Human
Brain
Mobile
Computing
Transistor /
Watt
Powerless
Computing
Mined Power Transistors /
Watt
Parallel
Computing
Cores
Neural
Computing
Neurons +
Synapses
Simultaneous
Computing
Quantum
Bits
1K to 5K
Cores
1M Neurons
256M Connections
The Death of Dumb
Cameras and Mics
Breaks Cryptography
as we know it

8. This scale of computing will necessitate a
change in how we interact with computers

9. 1 Remote ->
1 Thing
1 App ->
1 Thing
1 Person ->
Everything

10. We have seen amazing change in
computing….
1) Goto Computing: Mainframes & Desktops
2) Luggable Computing: Laptops & Tablets
3) Intimate Computing: Phones & Wearables
4) Immersive Computing: IoT & Mixed Reality
5) Accommodative Computing: Robotics & AI

11. 1946
Wires
1950-1960s
Switches and
Punchcards
1970s
Command
Line
Interface
1984
Graphical
User
Interface
2007
Multi-touch +
Accelerometers
2010
Depth
Cameras and
Gesture
2011
Speech
Question and
Answer
Interfaces
2012
Brain
Interface
2013
Intimate
Computing
2014
Directional
Hearing
2015
Projection and
Augmented
Reality
Inference
based on
sensing
Context
Understanding
Natural Human
Interfaces

12. https://www.microsoft.com/microsoft-hololens/en-us

13. What Can We Learn from the Military?

14. 1. Observe (MULTI-INT)
3. Decide
2. Orient (Analyze)
4. Act
Observe Orient Decide Act (OODA)

15. Military Takeaways
• Logistics: Deploying sensors is a huge logistics problem
• Events: “Events are the Substance of Time” – Einstein
• Time and Location Matter: Everything is tagged with a time and location.
• Action Oriented: Collect data and build models you can act upon.
• “Operational Picture”: Build a World Model by connecting the data.
Data is far more valuable when it is connected.
Similar to Metcalfe’s Law about networking.

16. What can we learn from consumer IoT?

17. How about Halloween as a Testbed?

18. Lesson 1: Location Matters

19. Lesson 2: Understand Device Limitations:
Power Consumption, Networking, and Compute Power
Cactus Micro Rev1 ESP8266
Great Board, Horrible Antenna
Particle Photon
With an Antenna Option

20. Test
LED
Test Test
LED
Test
Test
Test
Ant
Ant
Ant
Test
Test
Ant
Lesson 3: You can make dumb things smarter…

21. It just takes a little effort…

22. Lesson 4: Survey Your Network
Fill gaps with Network Extenders Add Antennas where needed

23. Lesson 5: KISS your Software

24. Web Server
Web Service
User Interface
Devices
A Little Architecture …

25. 1 Location Matters: When we surround ourselves with computing the location matters.
2 Understand Device Limitations: Power consumption, quality of networking chips /
antennas, and compute power all put limits on what any one device can do.
3 Dumb Devices can be Smart: Making dumb devices smarter is doable, but requires
some maker know how.
4 Survey Your Network: You may need to boost wireless signals to fill coverage holes
and / or add antennas to some devices.
5 KISS your Software: Make the firmware simple and flexible as possible so you don’t
have to flash dozens of devices repeatedly. Keep realtime behaviors closer to the edge.
Put the intelligent orchestration in the cloud, gateway, or end user interface device.
6 Understand Your Realtime Needs: Like synchronizing audio.
7 IOT Onboarding: There is a lot of opportunity to make device onboarding easier
including claiming devices, network joins, and device configuration.
8 IOT Interaction: Interacting naturally without a remote or custom app is critical.
9 Automation: Better automation requires context. In this case knowing where people are.
10 Operations: Consider the effort to power, monitor, update, and repair these devices.
Experiment & Have Fun!!: The best way to learn is play with stuff.
Consumer IOT Lesson Summary

26. What are is IoT missing today?
• World Model – How do we turn stovepipe IoT systems in models and control
systems of homes, businesses, and cities.
• Simplified / Standard Onboarding – Cellular has the advantage of onboarding
at point of sale via a sim card. For wifi a system that listened for new networks
and allowed you to claim them would be easier for consumers.
• Simplified / Standard Interaction – The idea of using visual recognition and
context to select and control things by gesture, voice, image, etc.

27. ?
QUESTIONS

28. Guy
theguybieber@gmail.com
Inspire ✦ Be Inspired ✦ Create Amazing Experiences
Thank
You
@gbieber2
Guy Bieber – Futurist, Innovator, Mentor