Blog – What is next for Commodities
Commodity prices continue to rise.
The threat of recession in China has ease a few commodities
Canada needs to do more to streamline regulations to get goods out of the ground to market.
Commodity prices continue to be volatile.
Canada needs to address tax and regulatory reforms as part of getting goods out of the ground to market.
China continues to make key investment in critical metals as part of their market leading position in battery production.
GDP Analysis and Commentary - Canada - February 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Mining and Quarrying led the GDP growth in the goods producing sector
Manufacturing was sluggish due to supply chain and commodity price issues
Transportation sector seen large growth due to reopening of the economy
Fiscal and Economic Scorecar| The United States| December 2021 and November 2021paul young cpa, cga
Blog – Economic and Fiscal Scorecard – The United States – December 2021 and November 2021
The USA show a strong GDP growth for 2021.
The USA healthcare system continues to face many challenges.
Wage growth hit the highest growth in decades.
High inflation and the cost of housing are big concerns for Americans.
Business automation continues to be a key focus areas for both the private and public Sectors.
1. USA GDP - https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economic-issues-watch/us-economy-grew-faster-expected-2021-pandemic-transformed-its
2. Stock market - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/here-are-the-good-things-rbc-sees-in-the-u-s-stock-market-following-januarys-selloff-11643660195
3. Overworked - https://20somethingfinance.com/american-hours-worked-productivity-vacation/
4. Productivity - https://www.forbes.com/sites/forbestechcouncil/2022/01/25/fixed-broadband-network-performance-key-to-us-productivity/?sh=7f8f8526333c
5. Wages - https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economic-issues-watch/us-wages-grew-fastest-pace-decades-2021-prices-grew-even-more
6. Fab production - https://www.fierceelectronics.com/electronics/chip-fabs-are-coming-us-will-there-be-enough-skilled-workers
7. Critical metals - https://ca.proactiveinvestors.com/companies/news/972757/australian-strategic-materials-well-funded-to-advance-critical-metals-asset-in-nsw-and-south-korean-value-add-972757.html
8. Circular and green economy - https://www2.deloitte.com/global/en/pages/energy-and-resources/articles/reshaping-traditional-value-chains.html
9. Food costs - https://www.kwtx.com/2022/01/31/grocery-store-prices-continue-rise-amid-inflation-supply-chain-issues/
10. Housing - https://www.fox5atlanta.com/money/homeownership-prices-rise-affordability-falls
11. Healthcare - https://www.fox5atlanta.com/money/homeownership-prices-rise-affordability-falls
12. Automation - https://www.protocol.com/enterprise/google-cloud-automation-anywhere-rpa
13. Business trends - https://www.protocol.com/enterprise/google-cloud-automation-anywhere-rpa
14. RPA - https://enterprisersproject.com/article/2022/1/4-robotic-process-automation-rpa-trends-watch-2022
Blog – What is next for Commodities – October 2022
Critical metals continue be supply and cost issues
Nickel supply continue to face challenges
Lithium is facing both supply and price issues
Canada continues to struggle with approval of new mining projects.
Oil and Gas continues to face challenges with both supply and cost
What is happening with Pension Plans - Canada and the World - September 2022....paul young cpa, cga
Summary:
The first quarter saw the market value of assets held by Canadian trusteed pension funds drop $65.6 billion to $2.21 trillion, down 2.9% from the previous quarter. Year over year, the market value rose by 7.2%, or $148 billion.
The five largest asset categories, which together account for more than 90% of the total market value of assets, showed mixed results. The top two categories fell, equities down 7.5% and bonds down 6.8%, while the remaining three rose, real estate up 6.0%, infrastructure up 3.9%, and other assets up 3.6%. The smaller asset categories posted mixed results, as follows: accounts receivable increased (+14.7%); other short-term funds increased (+17.8%); Government of Canada treasury bills increased (+19.1%); cash, deposits and guaranteed investment certificates decreased (-2.1%); accrued interest and dividends receivable increased (+1.0%); and life insurance annuities decreased (-13.9%).
Canadian bonds (-6.7%) and Canadian equities (-1.0%) fell in the first quarter, while year over year, Canadian bonds rose 3.7% and Canadian equities fell 1.5%.
Overall, domestic assets fell 1.9% in the first quarter and rose 4.6% year over year. Foreign assets dropped 5.6% in the first quarter, while still gaining 5.7% year over year.
Source: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/220914/dq220914e-eng.htm
In June, Canada's merchandise exports increased 2.0%, mostly on crude oil and gold exports. Meanwhile, imports rose 1.7%, mainly on energy products. As a result, Canada's merchandise trade surplus with the world widened from $4.8 billion in May to $5.0 billion in June.
Consult the "International trade monthly interactive dashboard" to explore the most recent results of Canada's international trade in an interactive format.
Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/220804/dq220804a-eng.htm
Canada achieved nearly $3B trade surplus for the month of January 2022 paul young cpa, cga
The document summarizes recent trade data and trends between Canada, Australia, and other countries. It highlights that Canada's exports continue to be led by commodities and that higher commodity prices should enable Canada to register large trade surpluses in the coming months. However, supply chain issues and the conflict in Ukraine add uncertainty. The document also discusses risks to food security from the Ukraine conflict and China and Russia expanding influence over critical metals in Africa. Australia is shown to have stronger trade relations and manages natural resources extraction more sustainably than Canada.
Commodity prices continue to be volatile.
Canada needs to address tax and regulatory reforms as part of getting goods out of the ground to market.
China continues to make key investment in critical metals as part of their market leading position in battery production.
GDP Analysis and Commentary - Canada - February 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Mining and Quarrying led the GDP growth in the goods producing sector
Manufacturing was sluggish due to supply chain and commodity price issues
Transportation sector seen large growth due to reopening of the economy
Fiscal and Economic Scorecar| The United States| December 2021 and November 2021paul young cpa, cga
Blog – Economic and Fiscal Scorecard – The United States – December 2021 and November 2021
The USA show a strong GDP growth for 2021.
The USA healthcare system continues to face many challenges.
Wage growth hit the highest growth in decades.
High inflation and the cost of housing are big concerns for Americans.
Business automation continues to be a key focus areas for both the private and public Sectors.
1. USA GDP - https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economic-issues-watch/us-economy-grew-faster-expected-2021-pandemic-transformed-its
2. Stock market - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/here-are-the-good-things-rbc-sees-in-the-u-s-stock-market-following-januarys-selloff-11643660195
3. Overworked - https://20somethingfinance.com/american-hours-worked-productivity-vacation/
4. Productivity - https://www.forbes.com/sites/forbestechcouncil/2022/01/25/fixed-broadband-network-performance-key-to-us-productivity/?sh=7f8f8526333c
5. Wages - https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economic-issues-watch/us-wages-grew-fastest-pace-decades-2021-prices-grew-even-more
6. Fab production - https://www.fierceelectronics.com/electronics/chip-fabs-are-coming-us-will-there-be-enough-skilled-workers
7. Critical metals - https://ca.proactiveinvestors.com/companies/news/972757/australian-strategic-materials-well-funded-to-advance-critical-metals-asset-in-nsw-and-south-korean-value-add-972757.html
8. Circular and green economy - https://www2.deloitte.com/global/en/pages/energy-and-resources/articles/reshaping-traditional-value-chains.html
9. Food costs - https://www.kwtx.com/2022/01/31/grocery-store-prices-continue-rise-amid-inflation-supply-chain-issues/
10. Housing - https://www.fox5atlanta.com/money/homeownership-prices-rise-affordability-falls
11. Healthcare - https://www.fox5atlanta.com/money/homeownership-prices-rise-affordability-falls
12. Automation - https://www.protocol.com/enterprise/google-cloud-automation-anywhere-rpa
13. Business trends - https://www.protocol.com/enterprise/google-cloud-automation-anywhere-rpa
14. RPA - https://enterprisersproject.com/article/2022/1/4-robotic-process-automation-rpa-trends-watch-2022
Blog – What is next for Commodities – October 2022
Critical metals continue be supply and cost issues
Nickel supply continue to face challenges
Lithium is facing both supply and price issues
Canada continues to struggle with approval of new mining projects.
Oil and Gas continues to face challenges with both supply and cost
What is happening with Pension Plans - Canada and the World - September 2022....paul young cpa, cga
Summary:
The first quarter saw the market value of assets held by Canadian trusteed pension funds drop $65.6 billion to $2.21 trillion, down 2.9% from the previous quarter. Year over year, the market value rose by 7.2%, or $148 billion.
The five largest asset categories, which together account for more than 90% of the total market value of assets, showed mixed results. The top two categories fell, equities down 7.5% and bonds down 6.8%, while the remaining three rose, real estate up 6.0%, infrastructure up 3.9%, and other assets up 3.6%. The smaller asset categories posted mixed results, as follows: accounts receivable increased (+14.7%); other short-term funds increased (+17.8%); Government of Canada treasury bills increased (+19.1%); cash, deposits and guaranteed investment certificates decreased (-2.1%); accrued interest and dividends receivable increased (+1.0%); and life insurance annuities decreased (-13.9%).
Canadian bonds (-6.7%) and Canadian equities (-1.0%) fell in the first quarter, while year over year, Canadian bonds rose 3.7% and Canadian equities fell 1.5%.
Overall, domestic assets fell 1.9% in the first quarter and rose 4.6% year over year. Foreign assets dropped 5.6% in the first quarter, while still gaining 5.7% year over year.
Source: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/220914/dq220914e-eng.htm
In June, Canada's merchandise exports increased 2.0%, mostly on crude oil and gold exports. Meanwhile, imports rose 1.7%, mainly on energy products. As a result, Canada's merchandise trade surplus with the world widened from $4.8 billion in May to $5.0 billion in June.
Consult the "International trade monthly interactive dashboard" to explore the most recent results of Canada's international trade in an interactive format.
Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/220804/dq220804a-eng.htm
Canada achieved nearly $3B trade surplus for the month of January 2022 paul young cpa, cga
The document summarizes recent trade data and trends between Canada, Australia, and other countries. It highlights that Canada's exports continue to be led by commodities and that higher commodity prices should enable Canada to register large trade surpluses in the coming months. However, supply chain issues and the conflict in Ukraine add uncertainty. The document also discusses risks to food security from the Ukraine conflict and China and Russia expanding influence over critical metals in Africa. Australia is shown to have stronger trade relations and manages natural resources extraction more sustainably than Canada.
Retail Sales and Consumer Spending - Canada - May 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Jul 22 (Reuters) - Canadian retail sales rose 2.2% in May from April at C$62.25 billion ($48.26 billion), on higher sales at gasoline stations, as well as motor vehicle and parts dealers, Statistics Canada said on Friday. Sales were seen to grow 0.3% in June, the agency said in a flash estimate.
Sales increased in eight of 11 subsectors, representing 86.8% of retail trade. In volume terms, retail sales were up 0.4%.
Source: https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/canada-may-retail-sales-up-2.2-seen-up-0.3-in-june
Canada NR is at the make-or-break point as world is need of key commodities like oil, LNG, lithium, food, and other commodities.
After over 6 years the Liberals are now focusing on the critical metal sector in Canada.
High commodity prices continue to benefit government revenues
India continues looks at ways to expand trade relations with Canada
Iran oil production has now hit pre-sanction levels
EMEA and USA continue to look at ways to wane EMEA off Russian oil and gas
Halifax port was sold a Singapore outfit
Geopolitics - Risk and Threats - Variants and Disease Management - October 2...paul young cpa, cga
Blog – Geopolitical Risks and Threats – Canada and the World
World continues faces threats from new viruses. More needs to be done to safeguard assets including fixing the healthcare delivery model
Not enough is being doing on promoting health and wellness programs as part of building up immune systems to fight off future viruses.
Gene and immune therapy can play a key role with the mitigation of future pandemics
All levels of government need to work together to address healthcare job shortages including adding expanding the spaces for doctors at medical schools. digital adoption, expansion of homecare and private clinics, certification of nurses, etc.
The increase came as imports of energy products gained 26.3 per cent for the month helped higher by imports of crude oil and bitumen as both prices and volumes rose. Imports of consumer goods rose 6.5 per cent, while motor vehicles and parts added 9.9 per cent.
Meanwhile, total exports rose 6.3 per cent to a record $63.6 billion in March as higher prices helped exports of energy products gain 12.8 per cent to a record $17.9 billion. Exports of motor vehicles and parts rose 7.9 per cent.
Excluding energy products, exports gained 4.0 per cent in March.
https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/21fe3df8-4b7e-4686-8766-d42eb0539c69/ and https://www.therecord.com/ts/business/2022/05/04/canada-posts-25b-trade-surplus-for-march-as-imports-and-exports-hit-record-highs.html
Preliminary - Cost of Living - Canada - February 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Housing prices continue to impact the affordability of housing
Raw material costs are up 29.8% Y/Y
Liberals and NDP have done little to address the systemic issues facing supply chain including excessive regulations and increases in taxes like carbon taxes.
Summary:
In August, Canada's merchandise exports decreased 2.9%, largely due to lower exports of energy products. Imports fell 1.7%, mainly on decreased imports of motor vehicles and parts. As a result, Canada's merchandise trade surplus with the world narrowed from $2.4 billion in July to $1.5 billion in August. This is the lowest monthly trade surplus observed to date in 2022.
Exports to countries other than the United States fell 4.3% in August. Exports to Hong Kong (gold), South Korea (coal and crude oil), the United Kingdom (crude oil and gold) and Japan (wheat, canola and copper) posted the largest declines.
Meanwhile, imports from countries other than the United States rose 1.1% in August. Higher imports from China (various products) and Belgium (pharmaceuticals) were partially offset by the decrease in imports from South Korea (light trucks and passenger cars).
The merchandise trade deficit with countries other than the United States widened from $8.3 billion in July to $9.2 billion in August.
Key facts:
a) Nearly $14B of the surplus is related to energy.
b) Canada continues to face challenges with near shoring of manufacturing
c) Canada needs to streamline regulations as part of getting goods out of the ground to market
d) Canada lacks ports and rail capacity to ship record levels of grains.
Source: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/221005/dq221005a-eng.htm
Retail Sales and Consumer Spending - Canada - March 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Canadian retail sales posted weaker-than-expected gains in March amid escalating inflation, higher energy prices and rising interest rates.
Receipts were little changed in March, Statistics Canada said on Thursday. Economists were anticipating a 1.4% sales gain.
While March receipts were up in 10 out of 11 subsectors led by higher sales at gasoline stations, lower sales at motor vehicle and parts dealers erased the gains in the remaining sectors, according to the agency.
Core retail sales, which exclude gasoline and automotive and parts, increased 1.5% in March. In volume terms, sales were down 1%.
Still, sales are expected to increase 0.8% in April, according to preliminary estimates.
Retail sales were up 3% in the first quarter of this year, the largest increase since the third quarter of 2020.
Source - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/canada-retail-receipts-unchanged-in-march-on-fewer-car-sales-1.1770970
Key Macro and Micro indicators| Canada| November 2021 and October 2021paul young cpa, cga
Blog – Key Macro and Micro Indicators – Canada – November 2021
Here is my latest look at key micro and macro indicators for Canada
1. Canadian dollar - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/canadian-dollar-extends-rebound-domestic-170956360.html
2. FDI – https://nationalpost.com/opinion/john-ivison-we-are-bleeding-capital-and-that-spells-big-trouble-report-warns
3. GDP - https://economics.td.com/ca-real-gdp and https://www.tdsecurities.com/ca/en/2022-canadian-economic-outlook
4. Mining - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/commodity-price-rally-last-2022-000000684.html
5. Global Protectionism - https://www.caixabankresearch.com/en/economics-markets/activity-growth/threat-protectionism-global-economy
6. Supply chain - https://www.willistowerswatson.com/en-VN/Insights/2021/12/7-supply-chain-disruption-scenarios-that-may-impact-your-cargo-insurance-coverage and https://lgi.laufer.com/news/global-supply-chain-crisis-could-last-another-two-years-warn-experts/
7. ESG - https://europeansting.com/2021/12/23/how-to-address-sustainable-investment-backlash-and-improve-esg-reporting/
8. Income inequality - https://ourworldindata.org/global-economic-inequality-introduction
9. Climate change - https://www.economist.com/science-and-technology/2020/07/11/emissions-slashed-today-wont-slow-warming-until-mid-century?gclid=Cj0KCQiA_JWOBhDRARIsANymNOaNok82hFQshw1DhPN0mNOLWi2QodOrnm7C_ZemFZ-58Ju8_h7RxycaAsSMEALw_wcB&gclsrc=aw.ds
10. Business automation - https://itbrief.co.nz/story/what-does-the-future-of-intelligent-automation-look-like-in-2022
11. Geopolitical risks - https://www.ey.com/en_si/geostrategy/ceo-geopolitics-risk-technology-strategy
12. Housing - https://theconversation.com/new-study-reveals-intensified-housing-inequality-in-canada-from-1981-to-2016-173633 and https://betterdwelling.com/the-canadian-government-just-put-real-estate-investors-in-its-crosshairs/
Summary:
• Canada's trade surplus narrowed in April, as the surplus in goods trade led the decline. Services trade also contributed to the move, as travel restrictions were lifted in Canada.
• Going forward, we see an improvement in the trade balance as higher commodity prices should support Canadian exports. Furthermore, easing supply chains should open the way for further gains in manufacturing exports.
Source - https://economics.td.com/ca-international-trade
Both services-producing (+0.6%) and goods-producing (+0.5%) industries were up, as 17 of 20 industrial sectors posted increases in November.
Advance information indicates that real GDP for December was essentially unchanged. Widespread increases led by the manufacturing, agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting, utilities and wholesale trade sectors were offset by declines in the accommodation and food services, mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction and retail trade sectors. This advance information for real GDP by industry indicates a 1.6% uptick in the fourth quarter of 2021 and a rebound of 4.9% in the year following the pandemic-induced decline observed in 2020. Given their preliminary nature, these estimates will be updated on March 1, 2022 with the release of the official GDP data for December and the fourth quarter of 2021.
Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/220201/dq220201a-eng.htm
1. Inflation and Canada – https://www.fool.ca/2022/01/31/holding-onto-tonnes-of-cash-heres-how-much-of-it-that-inflation-would-destroy-in-a-decade/
2. Housing - https://financialpost.com/real-estate/busting-the-myth-of-canadas-million-or-more-vacant-homes
3. Supply chain task force - https://canada.autonews.com/manufacturing/supply-chain-issues-be-tackled-new-federal-task-force
4. Mining - https://miningglobal.com/top10/top-10-countries-based-on-natural-resources
5. Electrical vehicles - https://ipolitics.ca/2022/01/31/lobby-wrap-auto-industry-wants-training-as-ev-sales-rise/
6. Middle class - https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2022/01/31/lost-factory-jobs-make-harder-move-into-middle-class-report-says/9213089002/?gnt-cfr=1
7. Consumer spending - https://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/weaker-u-s-consumer-spending-rising-inflation-pose-dilemma-for-fed/
8. Commodity prices - https://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/commodity-prices-likely-to-be-hit-by-slowdown-before-end-of-2023/
9. ESG - https://www.reuters.com/business/sustainable-business/euroclear-teams-up-with-fintech-expand-esg-services-2022-01-31/
10. Insurance risk - https://www.insurancebusinessmag.com/us/news/environmental/environmental-insurance--what-are-the-concerns-323760.aspx
11. Geopolitical Risks - https://www.reuters.com/business/rising-geopolitical-tension-demand-send-oil-price-outlook-soaring-2022-01-31/
12. 2022-2023 – Budget - https://globalnews.ca/news/8585003/federal-budget-plan-2022/
United States manufacturing sector continues to face many challengespaul young cpa, cga
The document discusses trends in US manufacturing for January 2022. It notes that shipments of durable and nondurable goods increased month-over-month in January. Several news articles are summarized that discuss investments in electronics manufacturing, industrial projects, robotics adoption, and challenges around competitiveness, innovation, productivity, reshoring efforts, and ongoing supply chain issues.
Retail Sales and Consumer Spending - Canada - February 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
Canadian retail sales edged up in February on higher sales of clothing and gasoline, beating expectations for a small decline. Sales are expected to advance at a stronger pace in March.
Retail sales rose 0.1% in February to a seasonally adjusted 59.90 billion Canadian dollars, or the equivalent of US$47.61 billion, Statistics Canada said Friday. Market expectations were for a 0.4% decline in the month, according to economists at TD Securities.
In volume--or price-adjusted--terms, February retail sales decreased by 0.4%.
Sales increased in February in six of the 11 sectors tracked by the data agency. The overall advance was led by higher sales at clothing and clothing accessories stores and gasoline stations.
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/canada-retail-sales-rise-0-1-in-february-271650632606?mod=newsviewer_click
Summary:
There was a budgetary deficit of $3.9 billion in July 2022, compared to a deficit of $10.9 billion in July 2021. The budgetary deficit before net actuarial losses was $3.0 billion, compared to a deficit of $9.6 billion in the same period of 2021-22. The budgetary balance before net actuarial losses is intended to supplement the traditional budgetary balance and improve the transparency of the government’s financial reporting by isolating the impact of the amortization of net actuarial losses arising from the revaluation of the government’s pension and other employee future benefit plans.
As expected, the government’s 2022-23 financial results continue to improve compared to the peak of the COVID-19 crisis and the unprecedented level of temporary COVID-19 response measures at the time.
Source – Government of Canada
Retail Sales and Consumer Spending - Canada - April 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
The rebound in April and early strength in May were likely powered by income gains. First-quarter economic data indicated that Canadian household income rose at one of the fastest rates in more than 40 years, or 3.8% on a nonannualized nominal basis. The household savings rate also increased in the January-to-March period, to 8.1% from 6.9% in the previous quarter, giving consumers some cushion to deal with multidecade-high inflation.
Source - https://www.marketscreener.com/news/latest/Canada-Retail-Sales-Rise-0-9-in-April--40776866/
Blog – Cost of Living and Inflation – Canada – March 2022
Inflation continues to run hot in Canada, with consumer prices rising 6.7 per cent year-over-year in March.
Statistics Canada says that's up from 5.7 per cent in February and the largest gain in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) since 1991.
Higher prices were widespread, rising in all eight major components of the index.
Source - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/canadian-inflation-highest-since-1991-124402017.html
U.S. retail sales unexpectedly fell in May as motor vehicle purchases declined amid rampant shortages, and record high gasoline prices pulled spending away from other goods.
The first drop in sales in five months reported by the Commerce Department on Wednesday also suggested that high inflation was starting to hurt demand. It followed in the wake of major retailers like Walmart and Target cutting their profit forecasts because of cost pressures.
The weak retail sales did not divert the Federal Reserve from its aggressive monetary policy tightening path to bring inflation back to its 2% target. The U.S. central bank raised its policy interest rate by three-quarters of a percentage point, the biggest hike since 1994. [nL1N2Y12O3
Source – https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/u-retail-sales-unexpectedly-fall-125013289.html
Summary
Canada has one of the slowest growing economies in the G20
Canada is finally adopting Australia similar strategy on taxation and funding for the critical metals
Interest rates are about to rise around the world
Global Inflation continues to challenge both the private and pubic sectors
Retail Sales and Consumer Spending Analysis and Commentary - July 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Canadian retail sales dropped 0.3% in August, the first decline since March, as higher interest rates start to impact household budgets. Seven of the nine retail subsectors saw sales increases in July, led by food and beverage retailers, while motor vehicle and parts dealers saw the largest decrease. Excluding autos, retail sales in July rose 1%, double expectations. The report suggests Canadians are tightening spending as more face higher mortgage payments and gas prices due to Bank of Canada rate hikes aimed at slowing inflation.
Addressing issues with the Public Sector Governance Model.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
The key challenges facing Australian business leaders in 2023 include:
1. Talent acquisition, retention and training staff for digital transformation.
2. Implementing successful digital transformation while managing cyber risks.
3. Adapting to changing regulations and reporting requirements.
Health risks from COVID-19, social reputation concerns, and disruptive emerging technologies are also significant social challenges impacting Australian businesses. Over the next 3-5 years, talent management for digitization, cybersecurity, digital transformation, regulatory changes, and identifying new growth opportunities will be the top challenges according to business leaders.
Retail Sales and Consumer Spending - Canada - May 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Jul 22 (Reuters) - Canadian retail sales rose 2.2% in May from April at C$62.25 billion ($48.26 billion), on higher sales at gasoline stations, as well as motor vehicle and parts dealers, Statistics Canada said on Friday. Sales were seen to grow 0.3% in June, the agency said in a flash estimate.
Sales increased in eight of 11 subsectors, representing 86.8% of retail trade. In volume terms, retail sales were up 0.4%.
Source: https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/canada-may-retail-sales-up-2.2-seen-up-0.3-in-june
Canada NR is at the make-or-break point as world is need of key commodities like oil, LNG, lithium, food, and other commodities.
After over 6 years the Liberals are now focusing on the critical metal sector in Canada.
High commodity prices continue to benefit government revenues
India continues looks at ways to expand trade relations with Canada
Iran oil production has now hit pre-sanction levels
EMEA and USA continue to look at ways to wane EMEA off Russian oil and gas
Halifax port was sold a Singapore outfit
Geopolitics - Risk and Threats - Variants and Disease Management - October 2...paul young cpa, cga
Blog – Geopolitical Risks and Threats – Canada and the World
World continues faces threats from new viruses. More needs to be done to safeguard assets including fixing the healthcare delivery model
Not enough is being doing on promoting health and wellness programs as part of building up immune systems to fight off future viruses.
Gene and immune therapy can play a key role with the mitigation of future pandemics
All levels of government need to work together to address healthcare job shortages including adding expanding the spaces for doctors at medical schools. digital adoption, expansion of homecare and private clinics, certification of nurses, etc.
The increase came as imports of energy products gained 26.3 per cent for the month helped higher by imports of crude oil and bitumen as both prices and volumes rose. Imports of consumer goods rose 6.5 per cent, while motor vehicles and parts added 9.9 per cent.
Meanwhile, total exports rose 6.3 per cent to a record $63.6 billion in March as higher prices helped exports of energy products gain 12.8 per cent to a record $17.9 billion. Exports of motor vehicles and parts rose 7.9 per cent.
Excluding energy products, exports gained 4.0 per cent in March.
https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/21fe3df8-4b7e-4686-8766-d42eb0539c69/ and https://www.therecord.com/ts/business/2022/05/04/canada-posts-25b-trade-surplus-for-march-as-imports-and-exports-hit-record-highs.html
Preliminary - Cost of Living - Canada - February 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Housing prices continue to impact the affordability of housing
Raw material costs are up 29.8% Y/Y
Liberals and NDP have done little to address the systemic issues facing supply chain including excessive regulations and increases in taxes like carbon taxes.
Summary:
In August, Canada's merchandise exports decreased 2.9%, largely due to lower exports of energy products. Imports fell 1.7%, mainly on decreased imports of motor vehicles and parts. As a result, Canada's merchandise trade surplus with the world narrowed from $2.4 billion in July to $1.5 billion in August. This is the lowest monthly trade surplus observed to date in 2022.
Exports to countries other than the United States fell 4.3% in August. Exports to Hong Kong (gold), South Korea (coal and crude oil), the United Kingdom (crude oil and gold) and Japan (wheat, canola and copper) posted the largest declines.
Meanwhile, imports from countries other than the United States rose 1.1% in August. Higher imports from China (various products) and Belgium (pharmaceuticals) were partially offset by the decrease in imports from South Korea (light trucks and passenger cars).
The merchandise trade deficit with countries other than the United States widened from $8.3 billion in July to $9.2 billion in August.
Key facts:
a) Nearly $14B of the surplus is related to energy.
b) Canada continues to face challenges with near shoring of manufacturing
c) Canada needs to streamline regulations as part of getting goods out of the ground to market
d) Canada lacks ports and rail capacity to ship record levels of grains.
Source: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/221005/dq221005a-eng.htm
Retail Sales and Consumer Spending - Canada - March 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Canadian retail sales posted weaker-than-expected gains in March amid escalating inflation, higher energy prices and rising interest rates.
Receipts were little changed in March, Statistics Canada said on Thursday. Economists were anticipating a 1.4% sales gain.
While March receipts were up in 10 out of 11 subsectors led by higher sales at gasoline stations, lower sales at motor vehicle and parts dealers erased the gains in the remaining sectors, according to the agency.
Core retail sales, which exclude gasoline and automotive and parts, increased 1.5% in March. In volume terms, sales were down 1%.
Still, sales are expected to increase 0.8% in April, according to preliminary estimates.
Retail sales were up 3% in the first quarter of this year, the largest increase since the third quarter of 2020.
Source - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/canada-retail-receipts-unchanged-in-march-on-fewer-car-sales-1.1770970
Key Macro and Micro indicators| Canada| November 2021 and October 2021paul young cpa, cga
Blog – Key Macro and Micro Indicators – Canada – November 2021
Here is my latest look at key micro and macro indicators for Canada
1. Canadian dollar - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/canadian-dollar-extends-rebound-domestic-170956360.html
2. FDI – https://nationalpost.com/opinion/john-ivison-we-are-bleeding-capital-and-that-spells-big-trouble-report-warns
3. GDP - https://economics.td.com/ca-real-gdp and https://www.tdsecurities.com/ca/en/2022-canadian-economic-outlook
4. Mining - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/commodity-price-rally-last-2022-000000684.html
5. Global Protectionism - https://www.caixabankresearch.com/en/economics-markets/activity-growth/threat-protectionism-global-economy
6. Supply chain - https://www.willistowerswatson.com/en-VN/Insights/2021/12/7-supply-chain-disruption-scenarios-that-may-impact-your-cargo-insurance-coverage and https://lgi.laufer.com/news/global-supply-chain-crisis-could-last-another-two-years-warn-experts/
7. ESG - https://europeansting.com/2021/12/23/how-to-address-sustainable-investment-backlash-and-improve-esg-reporting/
8. Income inequality - https://ourworldindata.org/global-economic-inequality-introduction
9. Climate change - https://www.economist.com/science-and-technology/2020/07/11/emissions-slashed-today-wont-slow-warming-until-mid-century?gclid=Cj0KCQiA_JWOBhDRARIsANymNOaNok82hFQshw1DhPN0mNOLWi2QodOrnm7C_ZemFZ-58Ju8_h7RxycaAsSMEALw_wcB&gclsrc=aw.ds
10. Business automation - https://itbrief.co.nz/story/what-does-the-future-of-intelligent-automation-look-like-in-2022
11. Geopolitical risks - https://www.ey.com/en_si/geostrategy/ceo-geopolitics-risk-technology-strategy
12. Housing - https://theconversation.com/new-study-reveals-intensified-housing-inequality-in-canada-from-1981-to-2016-173633 and https://betterdwelling.com/the-canadian-government-just-put-real-estate-investors-in-its-crosshairs/
Summary:
• Canada's trade surplus narrowed in April, as the surplus in goods trade led the decline. Services trade also contributed to the move, as travel restrictions were lifted in Canada.
• Going forward, we see an improvement in the trade balance as higher commodity prices should support Canadian exports. Furthermore, easing supply chains should open the way for further gains in manufacturing exports.
Source - https://economics.td.com/ca-international-trade
Both services-producing (+0.6%) and goods-producing (+0.5%) industries were up, as 17 of 20 industrial sectors posted increases in November.
Advance information indicates that real GDP for December was essentially unchanged. Widespread increases led by the manufacturing, agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting, utilities and wholesale trade sectors were offset by declines in the accommodation and food services, mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction and retail trade sectors. This advance information for real GDP by industry indicates a 1.6% uptick in the fourth quarter of 2021 and a rebound of 4.9% in the year following the pandemic-induced decline observed in 2020. Given their preliminary nature, these estimates will be updated on March 1, 2022 with the release of the official GDP data for December and the fourth quarter of 2021.
Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/220201/dq220201a-eng.htm
1. Inflation and Canada – https://www.fool.ca/2022/01/31/holding-onto-tonnes-of-cash-heres-how-much-of-it-that-inflation-would-destroy-in-a-decade/
2. Housing - https://financialpost.com/real-estate/busting-the-myth-of-canadas-million-or-more-vacant-homes
3. Supply chain task force - https://canada.autonews.com/manufacturing/supply-chain-issues-be-tackled-new-federal-task-force
4. Mining - https://miningglobal.com/top10/top-10-countries-based-on-natural-resources
5. Electrical vehicles - https://ipolitics.ca/2022/01/31/lobby-wrap-auto-industry-wants-training-as-ev-sales-rise/
6. Middle class - https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2022/01/31/lost-factory-jobs-make-harder-move-into-middle-class-report-says/9213089002/?gnt-cfr=1
7. Consumer spending - https://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/weaker-u-s-consumer-spending-rising-inflation-pose-dilemma-for-fed/
8. Commodity prices - https://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/commodity-prices-likely-to-be-hit-by-slowdown-before-end-of-2023/
9. ESG - https://www.reuters.com/business/sustainable-business/euroclear-teams-up-with-fintech-expand-esg-services-2022-01-31/
10. Insurance risk - https://www.insurancebusinessmag.com/us/news/environmental/environmental-insurance--what-are-the-concerns-323760.aspx
11. Geopolitical Risks - https://www.reuters.com/business/rising-geopolitical-tension-demand-send-oil-price-outlook-soaring-2022-01-31/
12. 2022-2023 – Budget - https://globalnews.ca/news/8585003/federal-budget-plan-2022/
United States manufacturing sector continues to face many challengespaul young cpa, cga
The document discusses trends in US manufacturing for January 2022. It notes that shipments of durable and nondurable goods increased month-over-month in January. Several news articles are summarized that discuss investments in electronics manufacturing, industrial projects, robotics adoption, and challenges around competitiveness, innovation, productivity, reshoring efforts, and ongoing supply chain issues.
Retail Sales and Consumer Spending - Canada - February 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
Canadian retail sales edged up in February on higher sales of clothing and gasoline, beating expectations for a small decline. Sales are expected to advance at a stronger pace in March.
Retail sales rose 0.1% in February to a seasonally adjusted 59.90 billion Canadian dollars, or the equivalent of US$47.61 billion, Statistics Canada said Friday. Market expectations were for a 0.4% decline in the month, according to economists at TD Securities.
In volume--or price-adjusted--terms, February retail sales decreased by 0.4%.
Sales increased in February in six of the 11 sectors tracked by the data agency. The overall advance was led by higher sales at clothing and clothing accessories stores and gasoline stations.
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/canada-retail-sales-rise-0-1-in-february-271650632606?mod=newsviewer_click
Summary:
There was a budgetary deficit of $3.9 billion in July 2022, compared to a deficit of $10.9 billion in July 2021. The budgetary deficit before net actuarial losses was $3.0 billion, compared to a deficit of $9.6 billion in the same period of 2021-22. The budgetary balance before net actuarial losses is intended to supplement the traditional budgetary balance and improve the transparency of the government’s financial reporting by isolating the impact of the amortization of net actuarial losses arising from the revaluation of the government’s pension and other employee future benefit plans.
As expected, the government’s 2022-23 financial results continue to improve compared to the peak of the COVID-19 crisis and the unprecedented level of temporary COVID-19 response measures at the time.
Source – Government of Canada
Retail Sales and Consumer Spending - Canada - April 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
The rebound in April and early strength in May were likely powered by income gains. First-quarter economic data indicated that Canadian household income rose at one of the fastest rates in more than 40 years, or 3.8% on a nonannualized nominal basis. The household savings rate also increased in the January-to-March period, to 8.1% from 6.9% in the previous quarter, giving consumers some cushion to deal with multidecade-high inflation.
Source - https://www.marketscreener.com/news/latest/Canada-Retail-Sales-Rise-0-9-in-April--40776866/
Blog – Cost of Living and Inflation – Canada – March 2022
Inflation continues to run hot in Canada, with consumer prices rising 6.7 per cent year-over-year in March.
Statistics Canada says that's up from 5.7 per cent in February and the largest gain in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) since 1991.
Higher prices were widespread, rising in all eight major components of the index.
Source - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/canadian-inflation-highest-since-1991-124402017.html
U.S. retail sales unexpectedly fell in May as motor vehicle purchases declined amid rampant shortages, and record high gasoline prices pulled spending away from other goods.
The first drop in sales in five months reported by the Commerce Department on Wednesday also suggested that high inflation was starting to hurt demand. It followed in the wake of major retailers like Walmart and Target cutting their profit forecasts because of cost pressures.
The weak retail sales did not divert the Federal Reserve from its aggressive monetary policy tightening path to bring inflation back to its 2% target. The U.S. central bank raised its policy interest rate by three-quarters of a percentage point, the biggest hike since 1994. [nL1N2Y12O3
Source – https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/u-retail-sales-unexpectedly-fall-125013289.html
Summary
Canada has one of the slowest growing economies in the G20
Canada is finally adopting Australia similar strategy on taxation and funding for the critical metals
Interest rates are about to rise around the world
Global Inflation continues to challenge both the private and pubic sectors
Retail Sales and Consumer Spending Analysis and Commentary - July 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Canadian retail sales dropped 0.3% in August, the first decline since March, as higher interest rates start to impact household budgets. Seven of the nine retail subsectors saw sales increases in July, led by food and beverage retailers, while motor vehicle and parts dealers saw the largest decrease. Excluding autos, retail sales in July rose 1%, double expectations. The report suggests Canadians are tightening spending as more face higher mortgage payments and gas prices due to Bank of Canada rate hikes aimed at slowing inflation.
Addressing issues with the Public Sector Governance Model.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
The key challenges facing Australian business leaders in 2023 include:
1. Talent acquisition, retention and training staff for digital transformation.
2. Implementing successful digital transformation while managing cyber risks.
3. Adapting to changing regulations and reporting requirements.
Health risks from COVID-19, social reputation concerns, and disruptive emerging technologies are also significant social challenges impacting Australian businesses. Over the next 3-5 years, talent management for digitization, cybersecurity, digital transformation, regulatory changes, and identifying new growth opportunities will be the top challenges according to business leaders.
Global Housing Market Analysis and Commentary- September 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
Homebuilders are walking a fine line when it comes to new projects as high mortgage rates curb demand.
New residential construction, including single-family homes and multifamily, dropped 11.3% month over month in August to 1.283 million units on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to Census Bureau data released Tuesday. That's down 14.8% compared with a year ago and well below the 1.44 million units economists surveyed by Bloomberg projected.
But authorized residential permits — an indicator of potential future activity — rose 6.9% to 1.543 million permits in August from July. That was still down 2.7% from last August. Single-family permits, though, were up 2% from July to 949,000. Multifamily permits came in at 535,000.
The data reflects two opposing forces builders are trying to balance: the ongoing need for new construction to fill in limited inventory and elevated mortgage rates that are hurting their biggest customer right now, the first-time homebuyer.
"High mortgage rates are clearly taking a toll on builder confidence and consumer demand, as a growing number of buyers are electing to defer a home purchase until long-term rates move lower," Robert Dietz, chief economist of the National Association of Home Builders, said Monday in a press release after builder confidence dropped for the second straight month.
Source: https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/homebuilders-face-a-tough-balancing-act-on-new-construction-amid-high-mortgage-rates-130744368.html
Blog – What is next for the Mining Sector – September 2023
The mining sector provides critical material that support solar, wind, and lithium-ion batteries as part of the green transition. https://www.iea.org/news/critical-minerals-market-sees-unprecedented-growth-as-clean-energy-demand-drives-strong-increase-in-investment
The mining sector products play a key role with the global GDP - https://www.yicaiglobal.com/news/global-mining-industry-value-was-69-of-world-gdp-last-year-china-says
Mining practices need to be sustainable including following all ESG policies - https://www.linkedin.com/advice/1/how-can-you-monitor-sustainable-mining-practices
Other links and sources –
Lithium Supply and Price - https://zbr.com.mx/en/sin-categoria-es/lithium-prices-fall-44-in-china-due-to-lack-of-demand/138168/
Cobalt - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/mahmut-karada%C5%9F-a2b7a5151_china-exportrestrictions-gallium-activity-7082603182589157376-Zrty/?trk=public_profile_like_view
Nickel https://www.eureporter.co/business/2023/09/15/stanislav-kondrashov-from-telf-ag-nickel-prices-outlook-remains-positive/
Iron-ore - https://www.brecorder.com/news/40263584/sgx-iron-ore-set-for-best-week-in-3-months
TD Bank / Metals - https://www.tdsecurities.com/ca/en/setting-the-stage-for-gold-outlook
Biodiversity / Mining - https://worldcrunch.com/green/lithium-green-energy-argentina-indigenous
ESG - https://iriscarbon.com/the-added-value-of-integrated-esg-reporting-a-threefold-framework/
Blog – Manufacturing Shipments and Orders – The United States – August 2023
Summary:
New orders for manufacturing technology in the United States totaled $353.9 million in July 2023, as per the latest report by AMT – The Association For Manufacturing Technology. This figure marked a 12.4% decline from June 2023 but remained only 10.5% lower than July 2022. Year-to-date orders amounted to $2.83 billion, reflecting a 12.7% decrease compared to the same period the previous year.
Douglas K. Woods, President of AMT, noted that July is typically a slower month for manufacturing technology orders, so a slight drop was expected. However, he pointed out a notable trend: over the last two months, the year-to-date order gap has narrowed during historically slow periods. While job shops have seen decreased orders, other industries that benefited from reshoring or government investments have helped fill the gap.
Among specific sectors, job shops, the largest customer segment, placed their lowest total monthly orders since August 2020. In contrast, metal valve manufacturers recorded their third-highest monthly order value on record, last seen in September 2018, making up nearly 5% of the total manufacturing technology order value for July 2023. Manufacturers of motor vehicle transmissions continued to order machinery at an elevated pace. However, the aerospace industry continued to order below its early 2022 peaks, with hopes that recent projects like the federal government's $1.5 billion investment in communications satellites might reverse this trend.
Source: https://www.sme.org/technologies/articles/2023/september/u.s.-manufacturing-technology-orders-dip-in-july-but-show-resilience-amid-economic-uncertainty
Stock Market Analysis and Commentary for WE September 15 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Blog – Analysis and Commentary – Stock Market – WE September 15 2023
Summary:
Stocks fell Friday as investors wrap up a volatile week ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting.
The Dow Jones Industrials tumbled 288.87 points to close out Friday and the week at 34,618.24. At its lows, it completely wiped out Thursday's 332-point rally.
The S&P 500 index sank 54.78 points, or 1.2%, to 4,450.32.
The NASDAQ index plunged 217.72 points, or 1.6%, to 13,708.33.
The Dow held onto a winning week. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ both closed out the week with losses.
Information technology was the worst-performing sector in the S&P 500, down nearly 2%. Adobe shares fell more than 4% even after the software firm posted better-than-expected quarterly results. Shares of Arm Holdings were lower one day after its successful public debut.
Auto stocks General Motors and Stellantis N.V. were higher Friday, while Ford Motor was about flat. Thousands of members of the United Auto Workers went on strike after failing to reach a deal with the automakers Thursday night.
Elsewhere, Lennar shares slid 3%. The home construction firm posted third-quarter results that beat on the top and bottom lines.
On the economic front, the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey showed one-year inflation expectations dropped to 3.1% in
September, tied for the lowest since January 2021. Also, the five-year outlook fell to 2.7%, matching its lowest since December 2020.
- Canadian manufacturing sales increased 1.6% in July, led by higher sales in food products, petroleum and coal products, and transportation equipment. Paper and plastics sales decreased the most.
- Inventory levels increased slightly while unfilled orders decreased, pointing to a potential slowdown.
- The manufacturing sector in Canada will continue to face challenges such as global economic uncertainty, rising costs, supply chain issues, climate change risks, and skills shortages.
Electricity Analysis - Canada and the OECD - June 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
Over three-quarters of the world’s total coal-generated electricity is consumed in just three countries. China is the top user of coal, making up 53.3% of global coal demand, followed by India at 13.6%, and the U.S. at 8.9%.
Burning coal—for electricity, as well as metallurgy and cement production—is the world’s single largest source of CO2 emissions. Nevertheless, its use in electricity generation has actually grown 91.2% since 1997, the year when the first global climate agreement was signed in Kyoto, Japan.
However, even as non-renewables enjoy their time in the sun, their days could be numbered.
In 2022, renewables, such as wind, solar, and geothermal, represented 14.4% of total electricity generation with an extraordinary annual growth rate of 14.7%, driven by big gains in solar and wind. Non-renewables, by contrast, only managed an anemic 0.4%.
The authors of the Statistical Review do not include hydroelectric in their renewable calculations, even though many others, including the International Energy Agency, consider it a “well-established renewable power technology.”
With hydroelectric moved into the renewable column, together they accounted for over 29.3% of all electricity generated in 2022, with an annual growth rate of 7.4%.
Source - https://energynow.ca/2023/09/infographic-what-electricity-sources-power-the-world-see-them-here-visual-capitalist/
Logistics Warehousing Transportation and Distrbution Analysis and Commentary ...paul young cpa, cga
The document provides an overview of key metrics and trends in the logistics, warehousing, distribution, and transportation sector. It includes data on consumer price index, diesel fuel costs, freight indexes, e-commerce sales, retail sales, class 8 truck sales, EPA emissions standards, trailer sales, and tonnage. It also discusses supply chain management solutions like planning analytics, blockchain, and AI assistants. Finally, it touches on topics like infrastructure spending, automation, and ESG reporting.
Retail Sales and Consumer Spending Analysis and Commentary - United States - ...paul young cpa, cga
United States retail sales rose 0.6% in August despite flat sales at internet retailers after Amazon Prime Day. Most of the increase was due to higher gasoline prices. While consumer spending has been strong, higher interest rates and a slowdown in hiring are expected to restrain purchases in the coming months. Forecasters predict the 2023 holiday shopping season could be the weakest in five years due to economic challenges facing consumers. The retail sector continues facing inventory management challenges and social governance issues.
How to improve the Governance Model for the Public Sector - United States - S...paul young cpa, cga
This document provides a summary of strategies to improve governance in government. It discusses factors that impact governance like transparency and accountability. It recommends using performance audits to assess key performance indicators and ensure recommendations are implemented. Other strategies include improving data ethics and literacy, mitigating geopolitical risks, adopting ESG reporting, and using technology like audit analytics and AI to enhance governance. The overall goal is for government to deliver programs and tax policies with value for money and transparency.
This document provides an analysis of the agriculture output and equipment sector for August 2023. It includes discussions of commodity prices, crop estimates, energy prices, food prices, farming incomes, top farming states, food processors, and the role of technology and government in farming. Key points covered include rising input costs challenging farmers, preliminary crop estimates for Canada, volatility in oil and diesel prices impacting farm expenses, and opportunities for data and automation to help address issues in the agriculture industry.
Biotech Pharmaceutical Medical Equipment and Supplies - Analysis - September ...paul young cpa, cga
This document provides an overview and agenda for a presentation on the biotech, pharmaceutical, and healthcare sector. It includes:
- An introduction and biography of presenter Paul Young CPA CGA
- An agenda covering topics like vaccine production, drug discovery, innovation in areas like storage and AI, and the life sciences strategy
- Links and summaries of information on these topics, including the top vaccine manufacturers, regulations in Canada, and growth in the pharmaceutical market
The presentation aims to discuss key areas of the biotech/pharmaceutical sector including vaccine development and production, drug discovery, innovation, and strategies for the life sciences industry. Links and outside sources are provided to support the topics in the agenda.
Better Public Safety Management using Analytics - September 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
This document discusses using analytics to improve public safety management. It outlines rising public safety costs for governments and key issues facing policing like complex crimes and accountability. The document presents crime rate data for Canada and discusses building machine learning models in SPSS and dashboards in Cognos Analytics to analyze police data and forecast expenses. Finally, it lists potential next steps for crime in Canada like bail and corrections reforms, gun control, and increased police oversight.
Stock Market Analysis and Commentary for WE September 9 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
What did the markets tell us this week?
1. Housing supply and costs continue to plague countries around the world.
2. Gasoline prices are on the rise that puts pressure on central banks ability to hit their core inflation targets.
3. ESG adoption by both the private and public sector is leading to both funding concerns and the overall cost of implementing ESG policies.
4. Adopting technology as part of increasing food production is facing both capital and operational funding concerns.
5. Strike at LNG facility in Australia is leading to concerns around a supply chain disruption of natural gas for EMEA and Asia.
6. The threat of China dumping batteries into markets - https://www.ft.com/content/b6038e51-7b5b-4f97-a5da-9202e71562fc
7. Adoption of generative AI has been facing many challenges related to security, privacy, and ethical issues.
8. Lack of biodiversity planning as part of the overall climate mitigation including sustainable mining, forestry, oil, gas, agriculture, and housing
9. Geopolitical issues continue to impact supply chain.
10. The concerns of recession continue to plague both the private and public sector.
11. Productivity issues continue to plague governments around the world.
Workforce Planning and Employment Analysis - August 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
The document discusses workforce planning and employment analysis. It provides an overview of employment statistics in the United States, Canada, and Australia. It then discusses Sysco's workforce planning model and the role of the CFO in workforce planning. Finally, it defines autonomous finance as the automation of financial operations through software and algorithms, and provides some key statistics on its adoption.
Global Automotive - Analysis and Commentary - August 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
This presentation provides an overview of key trends in the global automotive sector in August 2023. It discusses 1) sales trends in Canada, the US and globally, 2) the growth of electric vehicles and focus on reducing emissions, and 3) ongoing transformation in the industry through automation, connectivity and new technologies. Sources included discuss topics like electric vehicle production and adoption, public safety issues regarding EV fires, gasoline and car prices, supply chain challenges, and green transitions in transportation.
Global (Mining Oil and Gas Forestry and Agriculture) Analysis and Commentary ...paul young cpa, cga
The mining, oil, gas, agriculture, forestry, and mining continue to face environmental, social, and governance policy review including reporting of key metrics as part of ESG reporting cycle.
There is more focus on profitability and investment returns as part of the integrated planning and reporting cycle.
Summary:
The global economy faces what at least one forecaster is calling a mild trade recession as shipments from China slump and German factories downshift.
China’s export declines extended into August, though there were signs that the worst of a world trade slowdown may be over for the leading exporter.
Overseas shipments from China fell 8.8% in dollar terms from a year earlier while imports contracted 7.3%, both better than economists’ estimates and significantly less severe than July’s downturn.
Other data have suggested trade may be stabilizing after weakening for most of this year. Exports from South Korea also declined at a more moderate pace in August than the previous month.
Source: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2023-09-07/supply-chain-latest-world-trade-faces-a-shallow-recession?srnd=economics-v2
Additional sources and links:
Lithium - https://source.benchmarkminerals.com/article/falling-lithium-prices-challenge-potential-cost-advantages-of-sodium-batteries
Oil Production - https://www.cnn.com/2023/09/06/business/oil-price-goldman-sachs/index.html
Natural gas - https://www.fxstreet.com/news/natural-gas-holds-up-as-markets-in-limbo-over-strikes-202309070956
Lumber - https://www.fastmarkets.com/insights/sawmill-capacity-closures-reshape-us-lumber-supply
Critical metals - https://www.wasterecyclingmag.ca/feature/how-recycling-could-solve-the-shortage-of-minerals-essential-to-clean-energy/
Agriculture - https://www.morningagclips.com/economists-forecast-positive-end-of-year-crop-outlook-despite-warmer-midwestern-climate/
ESG - https://www.skadden.com/insights/publications/2023/09/the-informed-board/the-eus-new-esg-disclosure-rules
Ports - https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/HAPAG-LLOYD-AG-24857717/news/Hapag-Lloyd-chief-warns-of-rougher-seas-ahead-for-container-shipping-44789017/
Top destination for reshoring - https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/economy/2023/08/29/uae-in-top-10-most-powerful-passports-for-investment-opportunity/
Global Trade - https://phys.org/news/2023-09-opinion-broke-global-climate-finish.html
What is next for the Forestry Sector and Lumber Production - September 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Lumber production in Canada continues to face many hurdles
Canada forest management practices are some of the bests in the world
Canada planted over 440M in seedlings back in 2018. It is now 2022 which means close 2M seedlings have been planted.
All levels need to put more focus on urban and rural planning solutions
More work including spending on wildfire and forest fire mitigation
Canada and USA need to find a path forward to resolve the softwood lumber dispute
There needs to a better balanced between climate change policies and growing the economy in a sustainable way
3D printing for housing needs to become mainstream
More protection needs to happen with key ecosystems like wetlands, forest, and peatlands.
There is a risk of debt default if interest rates are hike over the next few months
5 Tips for Creating Standard Financial ReportsEasyReports
Well-crafted financial reports serve as vital tools for decision-making and transparency within an organization. By following the undermentioned tips, you can create standardized financial reports that effectively communicate your company's financial health and performance to stakeholders.
Solution Manual For Financial Accounting, 8th Canadian Edition 2024, by Libby...Donc Test
Solution Manual For Financial Accounting, 8th Canadian Edition 2024, by Libby, Hodge, Verified Chapters 1 - 13, Complete Newest Version Solution Manual For Financial Accounting, 8th Canadian Edition by Libby, Hodge, Verified Chapters 1 - 13, Complete Newest Version Solution Manual For Financial Accounting 8th Canadian Edition Pdf Chapters Download Stuvia Solution Manual For Financial Accounting 8th Canadian Edition Ebook Download Stuvia Solution Manual For Financial Accounting 8th Canadian Edition Pdf Solution Manual For Financial Accounting 8th Canadian Edition Pdf Download Stuvia Financial Accounting 8th Canadian Edition Pdf Chapters Download Stuvia Financial Accounting 8th Canadian Edition Ebook Download Stuvia Financial Accounting 8th Canadian Edition Pdf Financial Accounting 8th Canadian Edition Pdf Download Stuvia
In a tight labour market, job-seekers gain bargaining power and leverage it into greater job quality—at least, that’s the conventional wisdom.
Michael, LMIC Economist, presented findings that reveal a weakened relationship between labour market tightness and job quality indicators following the pandemic. Labour market tightness coincided with growth in real wages for only a portion of workers: those in low-wage jobs requiring little education. Several factors—including labour market composition, worker and employer behaviour, and labour market practices—have contributed to the absence of worker benefits. These will be investigated further in future work.
BONKMILLON Unleashes Its Bonkers Potential on Solana.pdfcoingabbar
Introducing BONKMILLON - The Most Bonkers Meme Coin Yet
Let's be real for a second – the world of meme coins can feel like a bit of a circus at times. Every other day, there's a new token promising to take you "to the moon" or offering some groundbreaking utility that'll change the game forever. But how many of them actually deliver on that hype?
2. Elemental Economics - Mineral demand.pdfNeal Brewster
After this second you should be able to: Explain the main determinants of demand for any mineral product, and their relative importance; recognise and explain how demand for any product is likely to change with economic activity; recognise and explain the roles of technology and relative prices in influencing demand; be able to explain the differences between the rates of growth of demand for different products.
Economic Risk Factor Update: June 2024 [SlideShare]Commonwealth
May’s reports showed signs of continued economic growth, said Sam Millette, director, fixed income, in his latest Economic Risk Factor Update.
For more market updates, subscribe to The Independent Market Observer at https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer.
How Does CRISIL Evaluate Lenders in India for Credit RatingsShaheen Kumar
CRISIL evaluates lenders in India by analyzing financial performance, loan portfolio quality, risk management practices, capital adequacy, market position, and adherence to regulatory requirements. This comprehensive assessment ensures a thorough evaluation of creditworthiness and financial strength. Each criterion is meticulously examined to provide credible and reliable ratings.
[4:55 p.m.] Bryan Oates
OJPs are becoming a critical resource for policy-makers and researchers who study the labour market. LMIC continues to work with Vicinity Jobs’ data on OJPs, which can be explored in our Canadian Job Trends Dashboard. Valuable insights have been gained through our analysis of OJP data, including LMIC research lead
Suzanne Spiteri’s recent report on improving the quality and accessibility of job postings to reduce employment barriers for neurodivergent people.
Decoding job postings: Improving accessibility for neurodivergent job seekers
Improving the quality and accessibility of job postings is one way to reduce employment barriers for neurodivergent people.
"Does Foreign Direct Investment Negatively Affect Preservation of Culture in the Global South? Case Studies in Thailand and Cambodia."
Do elements of globalization, such as Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), negatively affect the ability of countries in the Global South to preserve their culture? This research aims to answer this question by employing a cross-sectional comparative case study analysis utilizing methods of difference. Thailand and Cambodia are compared as they are in the same region and have a similar culture. The metric of difference between Thailand and Cambodia is their ability to preserve their culture. This ability is operationalized by their respective attitudes towards FDI; Thailand imposes stringent regulations and limitations on FDI while Cambodia does not hesitate to accept most FDI and imposes fewer limitations. The evidence from this study suggests that FDI from globally influential countries with high gross domestic products (GDPs) (e.g. China, U.S.) challenges the ability of countries with lower GDPs (e.g. Cambodia) to protect their culture. Furthermore, the ability, or lack thereof, of the receiving countries to protect their culture is amplified by the existence and implementation of restrictive FDI policies imposed by their governments.
My study abroad in Bali, Indonesia, inspired this research topic as I noticed how globalization is changing the culture of its people. I learned their language and way of life which helped me understand the beauty and importance of cultural preservation. I believe we could all benefit from learning new perspectives as they could help us ideate solutions to contemporary issues and empathize with others.
1. Elemental Economics - Introduction to mining.pdfNeal Brewster
After this first you should: Understand the nature of mining; have an awareness of the industry’s boundaries, corporate structure and size; appreciation the complex motivations and objectives of the industries’ various participants; know how mineral reserves are defined and estimated, and how they evolve over time.
2. PAUL YOUNG - BIO
• CPA, CGA
• Academia (PF1, FA4, FN2, MU1. and MS2)
• SME – Risk Management
• SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting
• SME – Public Policy
• SME – Emerging Technology
• SME – Business Process Change
• SME – Financial Solutions
• SME – Macro/Micro Indicators
• SME – Supply Chain Management
• SME – Data, AI, Security, and Platform
• SME – Internal Controls and Auditing
Contact information: Paul_Young_CGA@hotmail.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paul-young-055632b/
SlideShare - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga
3. AGENDA
• Key commodity prices (BMO)
• Lithium
• Critical metals
• Natural Resources
• Housing Costs vs. Lumber
• Food Price Index
• Stock Market W/E – April 22, 2022
• Infrastructure / Construction Costs
• Gasoline/Diesel Costs
• Steel
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 3
5. LITHIUM
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 5
@FP_Champagne can you tell Canadian as to why Canada is
losing out to these kinds of investments?
https://www.industryweek.com/supply-
chain/article/21239547/japanese-ev-battery-firm-to-build-2-
billion-battery-plant-in-
kentucky?utm_source=IY+IW+Daily+Headlines+-
+Morning&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=CPS2204140
91&o_eid=7930I4506489J2B&rdx.ident%5Bpull%5D=omeda
%7C7930I4506489J2B&oly_enc_id=7930I4506489J2B
@FP_Champagne It seems that China is actively buying up
lithium companies in Canada. Is this your real strategy when it
comes to developing lithium battery market?
https://www.yicaiglobal.com/news/china-yahua-industrial-to-
buy-13-of-canadian-lithium-startup-for-usd4-million
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/clean-technology-
search-for-raw-materia-and-new-productspptx
6. CRITICAL METALS
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 6
Blog – Clean and Circular Economy – Sources of Critical metals
Lithium prices continue to rise - https://www.digitimes.com/news/a20220322PD212/battery-china-electric-
vehicle.html&chid=10
Circular economy can play a bigger role. The problem has always been that all levels of government continue to throw
grants and subsidies directly at companies rather than revisiting tax policies in areas of R&D, training credits, capital cost
allowance, etc. https://greenfiscalpolicy.org/blog/de-risking-circular-economy-investments-through-fiscal-policy-support/
Oil and gas can still play a critical role - https://lacombeonline.com/articles/canada-to-hike-oil-gas-output-by-300000-
barrels-a-day-to-help-displace-russian-fuel
Source -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/clean-technology-search-for-raw-materia-and-new-productspptx
7. MINING AND OIL
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 7
Summary:
All levels of government, private sector, and Indigenous band councils need to work together to better develop
Canada’s natural resource in a sustainable way. All Canadians could benefit by higher revenue from the natural
resources sector.
Canada mining practices are some of the bests in the world!
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/natural-resources-canada-whats-next-march-2022pptx
8. HOUSING COSTS VS THE PRICE OF LUMBER
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 8
10. CANADA AND STOCK MARKET
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 10
Hawks Still
Circling.pdf
11. UNITED STATES – STOCK MARKET
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 11
Stock market news
live updates Stocks extend losses as investors weigh hawkish Powell rem
12. SUMMARY
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 12
Summary:
Summary:
The stock market sold off sharply Friday, as bond yields hit new highs, reflecting the Federal Reserve’s intent to rapidly
hike short-term interest rates. The 2-year Treasury yield closed at a new multi-year high.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 981 points, or 2.8%, while the S&P 500 was down 2.8%. The Nasdaq
Composite fell 2.6%. The Dow had its worst day since October 28, 2020.
Source https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-today-51650617605 and
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-up-with-the-stock-market-april-21-2022pptx
Stock market news
live updates Stocks extend losses as investors weigh hawkish Powell remarks, more corporate earnings.pdf
Analysis Growth
slowdown fears temper bullishness on commodity currencies Reuters.pdf
How war in Ukraine is
reshaping global order – Harvard Gazette.pdf
Global public debt to
fall to 94.4% of GDP in 2022 IMF.pdf
Opinion The Russian
Invasion of Ukraine in Context Global Risk Insights.pdf
Will the Housing
Market Crash .pdf
Peterborough letter
Housing crisis isn’t a partisan issue ThePeterboroughExaminer.com.pdf
Agritech investments
needed now to shore up B.C. food security - Commentary Business in Vancouver.pdf
Robotic Disruption in
US Workforce Leads to New Opportunities and Challenges RoboticsTomorrow.pdf
Weekly roundup
monetary policy will determine greenflation - Green Central Banking.pdf
Free Markets vs.
Green Energy - WSJ.pdf
Financial insecurity is
the next great health crisis Modern Healthcare.pdf
How technology can
help solve the healthcare affordability crisis.pdf
Shanghai’s Plan to
Reboot the Supply Chain Will Hit Workers Hardest WIRED.pdf
Stagflation Threat Is
Latest Nail-Biter For Retailers.pdf
Why Is the Stock
Market Down Today Dow Dropped Nearly 1,000 Points as Bond Yields Rose. Barron's.pdf
v
Blog – Stock Market – WE April 21, 2022
Hawks Still
Circling.pdf
Stock market news
live updates Stocks extend losses as investors weigh hawkish Powell remarks, more corporate earnings.pdf
WestpacWeekly.pdf China Economic.pdf
Summary:
The stock market sold off sharply Friday, as bond yields hit new highs, reflecting the Federal
Reserve’s intent to rapidly hike short-term interest rates. The 2-year Treasury yield closed at a
new multi-year high.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 981 points, or 2.8%, while the S&P 500 was
down 2.8%. The Nasdaq Composite fell 2.6%. The Dow had its worst day since October 28,
2020.
Source https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-today-51650617605
1. Commodity Price - https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/growth-slowdown-fears-temper-
bullishness-commodity-currencies-2022-04-21/
2. Global GDP - https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2022/04/how-war-in-ukraine-is-
reshaping-global-order/
3. Government Debt - https://www.aa.com.tr/en/economy/global-public-debt-to-fall-to-944-of-
gdp-in-2022-imf/2570337
4. Geopolitical Risks - https://globalriskinsights.com/2022/04/opinion-the-russian-invasion-of-
ukraine-in-context/
5. Housing bubble - https://clark.com/homes-real-estate/housing-market-crash/ and
https://www.thepeterboroughexaminer.com/opinion/letters-to-the-
editors/2022/04/22/peterborough-letter-housing-crisis-isnt-a-partisan-issue.html
6. Food - https://biv.com/article/2022/04/agritech-investments-needed-now-shore-bc-food-
security
13. BLOG –
CONSTRUCTI
ON
• There are construction material and
labor shortages that are impacting
infrastructure projects.
• Not enough coordination is being
done by all levels of government when it
comes to protecting the environment
through better urban planning
processes.
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcg
a/infrastructure-and-construction-
spending-usa-and-the-world-february-
2022pptx
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 13
15. STEEL PRICES
Source - https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/index/steel?countrycode=xx
Summary:
Global crude steel production declined for the ninth consecutive month in March with the drop in Chinese output
being the prime factor. India, on the other hand, witnessed a positive growth trend in March.
Source – https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/markets/commodities/global-steel-output-drops-for-the-9th-
month-in-march/article65346095.ece and https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/steel-sector-canada-and-
the-united-states-march-2022pptx
16. SUMMARY
• Commodity prices are impacted by many factors including supply and demand, government policies, etc.
• The new normal is leading to issues with the supply chain - https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/succeeding-new-
normal-beyond-4-supply-chain-topics-discuss-tompkins/
• Small and medium-size businesses continue to adopt more automation as part of moving their business model
to a digital model. https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/digital-economy-adoption-by-small-to-mediumsize-
enterprises
• More needs to be done to protect the food supply as part of climate mitigation –
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/does-the-world-need-carbon-pricing
• Canada needs to review all its policies as part of managing different aspects of the economy -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-next-for-canada-may-2021
• Streamlining regulations along with tax reforms as part of getting goods out of the ground to market -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-to-maximize-the-natural-resources-for-canada
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 16
Blog – What is next for Commodities
Commodity prices continue to rise.
The threat of recession in China has ease a few commodities
Canada needs to do more to streamline regulations to get goods out of the ground to market.
China 's s teel body
ur ges tr a der s to r ein in expor ts a mid higher globa l pr ices .pdf
K or ea n ba tter y
indus tr y on a ler t a s ma ter ia l pr ices s kyr ock
et.pdf
K oBold Meta ls s ta r ts
ML mining oper a tion in Gr eenla nd - Ins ider Intelligence Tr ends , For ecas ts & Sta tis tics .pdf
Big Tech hir ing
cements Ca na da 's s ta tus a s Silicon Va lley Nor th — but ther e's a catch CBC News .pdf
Silicones pr ices r is e
due to higher pr oduction cos ts a nd a mid higher dema nd including fr om E Vs ma ker s Reuter s E vents Downs tr ea m.pdf
Sta inles s Steel News
a nd Nick
el Pr ices , Molybdenum, Meta l Pr icing, Fer r ochr ome Mining.pdf
Bus hveld Miner a ls –
An Integr a ted Va na dium Pr oducer .pdf
Ir on or e pr ices s lump
a mid gr owing concer n over dema nd a s China 's COVID cr is is wor s ens .pdf
E ur opea n Ga s E dges
Lower a s LNG Counter s Lower Nor wa y Supplies - BNN Bloomber g.pdf
Cr ude oil futur es
continue to fa ll a s China extends lock
down, r eces s ion fea r s S&P Globa l Commodity Ins ights .pdf
Vita l Meta ls bla zing
pa th to commer cia l pr oduction with Ca na da ’s fir s t r a r e ea r th mine - The Nor ther n Miner .pdf
Ma r kets Ar e Ignor ing
8.5% Infla tion Spike And Wa tching This Number Ins tea d.pdf
1. Nickel Prices – https://www.emarketer.com/content/kobold-metals-starts-ml-mining-operation-
greenland
2. Silicon - https://www.reutersevents.com/downstream/operations-maintenance/silicones-
prices-rise-due-higher-production-costs-and-amid-higher-demand
3. Nickel - https://www.estainlesssteel.com/stainless-steel-news.shtml
4. Vanadium - https://www.bushveldminerals.com/
5. Iron-ore - https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/iron-ore-prices-slump-amid-growing-
concern-over-demand-as-chinas-covid-crisis-worsens-8404271.html
6. Natural Gas - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/european-gas-edges-lower-as-lng-counters-lower-
norway-supplies-1.1755400
7. Oil - https://www.spglobal.com/commodityinsights/en/market-insights/latest-news/oil/042522-
crude-oil-futures-continue-to-fall-as-china-extends-lockdown-recession-fears
8. Rare Metals - https://www.northernminer.com/news/vital-metals-blazing-path-to-commercial-
production-with-canadas-first-rare-earth-mine/1003840971/
9. Green Inflation - https://www.forbes.com/sites/sergeiklebnikov/2022/04/12/markets-are-
ignoring-85-inflation-spike-and-watching-this-number-instead/
10. Battery - http://www.theinvestor.co.kr/view.php?ud=20220425000092
11. China - https://www.zawya.com/en/markets/commodities/chinas-steel-body-urges-traders-to-
rein-in-exports-amid-higher-global-prices-g4eeoqcs
17. TRAINING AND DEVELOPMENT
• If you like to learn more
about trade and/or other
subjects as part of your
professional learning and
development then feel free
to review my material on
https://www.udemy.com/
(search Paul Young CPA
CGA)
• These subjects address
how to fixed issues with
housing and/or systemic
issues related to economy
including government
policies