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What is it Worth? Valuation Issues by S. Mark Barnes [email_address]
If x then y ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Coin Flipping ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Coin Flipping Assumptions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Perception of Risk ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Assume a Risk Neutral World ,[object Object],[object Object]
Assume Probability is Calculable ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Value of a Bet on Roulette ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Assume Immediate Payout ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Time Value of Money ,[object Object],[object Object]
Time = Risk ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Mathematical Time Machine ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Future Value (FV) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Present Value (PV) ,[object Object]
Interest Rate (r) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
PV Examples ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
PV Examples ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Inverse Relationship  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Measuring Risk ,[object Object],[object Object]
Standard Deviation ,[object Object]
Markowitz’s Big Idea ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Volatility Assumptions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Sampling and Volatility ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
CAPM ,[object Object]
Net Present Value (NPV) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Option Pricing ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
1998 - LTCM ,[object Object]
Black-Scholes ,[object Object],[object Object]
Black-Scholes and Randomness ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Randomness = Bell Curve ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Bell Curve = Probability Distribution ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Black-Scholes Option Pricing  ,[object Object],[object Object]
Problem with Black-Scholes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Simulations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Critics ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Nassim Nicholas Taleb ,[object Object],[object Object]
Black Swans ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Unknown Unknowns ,[object Object],[object Object]
What if there are no Cash Flows? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A Willing Buyer and a Willing Seller ,[object Object]
Appraisals ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Problems ,[object Object],[object Object]
Problems ,[object Object],[object Object]

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What Is It Worth

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