Can 2014 Beat the records set in 2009. The number of major contenders in a constituency ws at its highest, beating earlier records set in 1996 and 1952..... by ilendra vyas

1. CAN 2K14 BEAT THE RECORDS SET IN 2009?
*Source – The Economic times
(THURSDAY, 20 FEBRUARY 2014)
ilendra vyas
By :- Ilendra Kumar Vyas

2. ilendra vyas

3. ilendra vyas

4. * Major contenders per constituency is calculated using a measure called
THE EFFECTIVE NUMBER OF PARTIES (ENP) which counts the number of
contenders in a constituency by giving greater weight to those who end up
with a higher vote share.
For more information, see
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Effective_number_of_parties
For each year, different parameters – winner vote share, margin etc, were
calculated for each constituency, and then the median for all values of that
year was used.
Some constituencies in individual years have not been included due to lack
of data.
In data for 1984, elections held in 1985 were also covered.
In 1991 data, elections held in 1992 were not included.
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5. VICTORY MARGIN OF WINNER (%)
24.8
25
21.5
20
15
17.9
16.7
14.4
12.7
10.8
12.211.7
11.1
10
9.9
9.4
7.6 7.9
7
5
ilendra vyas
2009
2004
1999
1998
1996
1991
1989
1984
1980
1977
1971
1967
1962
1957
1952
0
VICTORY
MARGIN OF
WINNER (%)

6. …This Lead to Victory Margins Beings Beaten Down to a Historic Low…
YEAR
1952
1957
1962
1967
1971
1977
1980
1984
1989
1991
1996
1998
1999
2004
2009
VICTORY MARGIN OF WINNER (%)
14.4
11.1
12.2
11.7
21.5
24.8
16.7
17.9
12.7
10.8
9.4
7.6
7.9
9.9
7
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7. WINNER VOTE SHARE (%)
60
50
59.3
55.3
53.1
51.1
51
50.4
48.447.6
47.9
47
47 48.448.5
45.3
44.6
40
WINNER
VOTE
SHARE
(%)
30
20
10
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2009
2004
1999
1998
1996
1991
1989
1984
1980
1977
1971
1967
1962
1957
1952
0

8. …and the Winner’s share of votes being at its lowest since 1947
YEAR
1952
1957
1962
1967
1971
1977
1980
1984
1989
1991
1996
1998
1999
2004
2009
WINNER VOTE SHARE (%)
47
50.4
48.4
47.6
55.3
59.3
51.1
53.1
51
47.9
45.3
47
48.4
48.5
44.6
ilendra vyas

9. Voter Count For The Coming
General Elections
• 14% MORE VOTERS IN 2014
MALE
2014
FEMALE
42,66,51,513 38,79,11,330
OTHER'S
TOTAL
28341
81,45,91,184
2015
374758801
342226300
716985101
% CHANGE
13.8
13.3
13.6
% OF VOTERS
52.3762
47.6204
0.0035
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10. STATES WITH THE LOWEST FEMALE-TO-MALE RATIO
F/M %
5
86.43
4
84.72
3
84.15
2
F/M %
82.5
1
80
76
78
80
82
M
Column1
(millions)
NCT OF DELHI
7
Uttar Pradesh
73.61
Chandigarh
0.32
Haryana
8.44
Dadar & Nagar Haveli
0.1
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84
F (m)
5
60.73
0.27
7.15
0.09
86
88
Total*
(m)
12.06
134.34
0.58
15.59
0.19
F/M %
80
82.5
84.15
84.72
86.43

11. Top 10 States, by Number of Voters
91.13
Gujrat
89.92
Rajasthan
96.01
Karnataka
90.46
Madhya Pradesh
99.89
Tamil Nadu
87.64
Bihar
98.92
Andhra Pradesh
92.27
West Bengal
88.72
Maharashtra
82.5
Uttar Pradesh
0
20
40
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60
80
100
 F/M (%)

12. These 10 states Account for more than 77% of total VOTERS;
Female/Male Ratio is 90.3 for this cup
States
M (m)
F (m)
Total (m)
F/M%
Uttar Pradesh
73.61
60.73
134.34
82.50
Maharashtra
41.84
37.12
78.96
88.72
West Bengal
32.49
29.98
62.47
92.27
Andhra Pradesh
31.36
31.02
62.38
98.92
33.1
29.01
62.11
87.64
Tamil Nadu
26.89
26.86
53.75
99.89
Madhya Pradesh
24.96
22.58
47.54
90.46
Karnataka
22.8
21.89
44.69
96.01
Rajasthan
22.41
20.15
42.56
89.92
Gujrat
20.86
19.01
39.87
91.13
Bihar
ilendra vyas

13. Thank You…
ilendra vyas