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-

Artificial Neural Network
( Cellular Automata)
(CA_ANN )
FUZZY SET

-
FUZZY

ANN

CA
Cellular Automata
CA Structure

-

Artificial Neural Networks

ANN Structure
ANN Training
ANN Sensibility
Validation

-

-

Fuzzy Set
Fuzzy Structure

-
-
CA_ANN

-

CA_ANN
CA_ANN
-

-
•

•

CA_ANN
•

•
•

CA-ANN

•

•

ANN
CA
•

MCE

LR

•
•

•
•
•

•
•
CA

U
ANN

.
FUZZY

.
Calibration

CA
CA

.

CA
Example of CA Urban Simulation 1

calibration

CA

Model

forecast

validation

t0
Source: adapted from Almeida (2004).

t1

t3

t4
TM

Fuzzy-Kappa

ETM+

ETM+
CA

CA
CA

U
CA

1

at

3

3

0

0

CA

0

1
ANN
ANN
:

x is A
y is B
B

A

B

A
ANN
250000
200000
150000
100000
50000
0

1345

1355

1365

1375

1385

28610 44067 75238 10779 20104

134
5
135
5
136
5
250000
200000

1345

150000

1355

100000

1365

50000

1375

0

1345

1355

1365

1375

1385

28610

44067

75238

10779

1385

20104

68%

32%
Area Classs

250000

1345
200000
150000

1355

100000

1365

50000

1375

0

1345

1355

1365

1375

1385

28610

44067

75238

10779

20104

1385

Millions

Area
(m2)
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0

Orchar
d
1602430

Urban

Water

1989

Pastur
e
1.73E+0

5911780

7429660

2000

1.72E+0

1362760

1026150

5368050

2005

1.53E+0

1848070

1434860

8669090

Class
18000000
15000000

14348600

12000000
10261500

9000000
6000000

5911780

3000000
0

1989

2000

2005
-

-

-
Envi
4.2

ASSCI Files
Matlab

Arc Gis 9.3 , IDRISI Andes
15
UTM Zone , 38N
DEM
AlAhmadi 2009

-

Yeh
and

Li

2001; Al-Ahmadi
2009
CA_ANN
CA_ANN
CA_ANN
CA_ANN

Goodness Of Fit: 87%
Map Comparison Kit 3
2015 Prediction
2015 Prediction
•

•

Von Thunen

•

•

Tobler

•
SLEUTH

•

CA

CA

•

CA_FUZZY

•

CA_AHP

•

CA_LR

•

Liu

•

Wu

SLEUTH

•
%

79

7×7 cells

Li and Yeh
(2001)

72.6–79.5

Moore

Wu (2002)

Moore

Yang et al.
(2008)

Moore

Al-Ahmadi et
al. (2009)

Moore

Lau and Kam
(2005)

Moore

Liu et al.
(2008)

84.9–87.25

AHP
SVM

92–94

ANOVA and
MDA

82.9–99.5

76.8–83.3

84

AHP

Moore
Weighted connection
between nerons

Input1
Input1

Output

Input1
Input1

Input Layers

Hidden Layers

Output Layers
Example of CA Urban Simulation 1

calibration

CA Model

forecast

validation

t0
Source: adapted from Almeida (2004).

t1

t3

t4
Millions

Area (m2)

200
150
100
50
0

Pasture
1989 17266600
2000 17248200
2005 15307000

Orchard
16024300
13627600
18480700

Urban
5911780
10261500
14348600

Water
7429660
5368050
8669090

Clas
s
.
•

•

FUZZY
Map Comprison Kit 3

KAPA

•
•

GIS , RS

-

•

•
•
•
•
CA-ANN
•
.
•
.
•
.
•
.
•
•

.
.
•
.
•
.

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Urban simulation by ANN-CA