SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 28
Download to read offline
Understanding Yield
Spreads
Interest Rate Determination
The interest rate offered on a particular bond issue depends on the interest rate that can be
earned on risk-free instruments and the perceived risks associated with the issue.
Interest Rate Determination
In implementing monetary policy, the Fed uses the following tools:
◦ Open market operations (most commonly used tool)
◦ Discount rate
◦ Bank reserve requirements
◦ Verbal persuasion to influence how bankers supply credit to business and customers
U.S. Treasuries
The Treasury issues the following securities:
◦ Treasury bills: Zero-coupon securities with a maturity at issuance of one year or less. The Treasury
currently issues 1-month, 3-month, and 6-month bills.
◦ Treasury notes: Coupon securities with maturity at issuance greater than 1 year but not greater than 10
years. The Treasury currently issues 2-year, 5-year, and 10-year notes.
◦ Treasury bonds: Coupon securities with maturity at issuance greater than 10 years. The Treasury
currently issues bonds with maturities up to 30 years.
◦ Inflation-protection securities: Coupon securities whose principal’s reference rate is the Consumer Price
Index.
U.S. Treasury Risks
Although Treasuries do not have credit, foreign exchange, or reinvestment risk (because they are
non-callable), they are exposed to all of the other credit-related risks (i.e. interest rate, call, yield
curve, liquidity, volatility, inflation, and event).
The actions of the U.S. Federal Reserve and the other central banks can have an adverse or
favorable impact on rates.
Treasury Yield Curve
The Treasury yield curve shows the relationship between yield and maturity of on-the-run
Treasury issues.
The typical shape for the Treasury yield curve is upward sloping—yield increases with maturity—
which is referred to as a normal yield curve.
Inverted yield curves (yield decreasing with maturity) and flat yield curves (yield roughly the
same regardless of maturity) have been observed for the yield curve.
Treasury Yield Curve
Two factors complicate the relationship between maturity and yield as indicated by the Treasury
yield curve:
◦ (1) the yield for on-the-run issues is distorted since these securities can be financed at cheaper rates
and, as a result, offer a lower yield than in the absence of this financing advantage and
◦ (2) on-the-run Treasury issues and off-the-run issues have different interest rate reinvestment risks.
The yields on Treasury strips of different maturities provide a superior relationship between
yield and maturity compared to the on-the-run Treasury yield curve.
The yield on a zero-coupon or stripped Treasury security is called the Treasury spot rate.
Term Structure of Interest Rates
The term structure of interest rates is the relationship between maturity and Treasury spot rates.
Three theories have been offered to explain the shape of the yield curve:
◦ pure expectations theory,
◦ liquidity preference theory, and
◦ market segmentation theory.
Pure Expectations Theory
The pure expectations theory asserts that the market sets yields based solely on expectations for
future interest rates.
According to the pure expectations theory:
◦ (1) a rising term structure reflects an expectation that future short-term rates will rise,
◦ (2) a flat term structure reflects an expectation that future short-term rates will be mostly constant, and
◦ (3) a falling term structure reflects an expectation that future short-term rates will decline.
Liquidity Preference Theory
This theory asserts that market participants want to be compensated for the interest rate risk
associated with holding longer-term bonds.
◦ The longer the maturity, the greater the price volatility.
◦ Accordingly, this theory uses the pure expectations theory and adds a yield premium for interest rate
risk.
◦ This is the reason given to the question of why yield curves are traditionally upward sloping.
Market Segmentation Theory
The market segmentation theory asserts that there are different maturity sectors of the yield
curve and that each maturity sector is independent or segmented from the other maturity
sectors.
◦ Within each maturity sector, the interest rate is determined by the supply and demand for funds.
According to the market segmentation theory, any shape is possible for the yield curve.
Treasury Strips
Even though the Department of the Treasury does not issue zero-coupon bonds with maturities
greater than one year, government dealers synthetically create zero-coupon securities by
separating the coupon and principal payments.
These zero-coupon bonds have no reinvestment risk.
Therefore, these become purer measures of yield and maturity and are used to measure the
Treasury yield curve.
The yield on a Treasury zero-coupon is known as the spot rate.
The relationship between maturity and Treasury spot rates is known as the term structure of
interest rates.
Yield Spreads
Despite the imperfections of the Treasury yield curve as a benchmark for the minimum interest
rate that an investor requires for investing in a non-Treasury security, it is common to refer to a
non-Treasury security’s additional yield over the nearest maturity on-the-run Treasury issue as
the ‘‘yield spread.’’
The yield spread can be computed in three ways:
◦ (1) the difference between the yield on two bonds or bond sectors (called the absolute yield spread),
◦ (2) the difference in yields as a percentage of the benchmark yield (called the relative yield spread), and
◦ (3) the ratio of the yield relative to the benchmark yield (called the yield ratio).
Yield Spreads
Yield spread (measured in basis points) is the difference between any two bond issues and is
computed as follows:
Yield spread = yield on Bond 1 – yield on Bond 2
When the second bond is a benchmark (i.e. Treasury), the yield spread is referred to as the
absolute yield spread – it is measured in basis points (bps).
To measure yield of a bond versus the reference bond, the relative yield spread is computed:
Relative yield spread = Yield spread / Yield on Bond 2
Another measure of relative yield spread is to compute the yield ratio:
Yield ratio = Yield on Bond 1 / Yield on Bond 2
Intermarket Yield Spreads
An intermarket yield spread is the yield spread between two securities with the same maturity
in two different sectors of the bond market or different issues within the same market.
The most common intermarket sector spread calculated is the yield spread between the yield on
a security in a non-Treasury market sector and a Treasury security with the same maturity.
Issuer Specific Yield Spreads
An issuer specific yield curve can be computed given the yield spread, by maturity, for an issuer
and the yield for on-the-run Treasury securities.
The factors other than maturity that affect the intermarket and intramarket yield spreads are
◦ (1) the relative credit risk of the two issues;
◦ (2) the presence of embedded options;
◦ (3) the relative liquidity of the two issues; and,
◦ (4) the taxability of the interest.
Credit Spreads
A credit spread or quality spread is the yield spread between a non-Treasury security and a
Treasury security that are ‘‘identical in all respects except for credit rating.’’
Some market participants argue that credit spreads between corporates and Treasuries change
systematically because of changes in economic prospects—widening in a declining economy
(‘‘flight to quality’’) and narrowing in an expanding economy.
Embedded Options
Embedded options (such as the call provision) effect the yield of a bond and effects the yield
spread
Mortgage-backed securities have prepayment risk effecting the yield spread
Reported yield spreads do not adjust for embedded options (these are raw or nominal yield
spreads).
◦ The adjusted yield spread is called the option-adjusted spread (OAS).
Liquidity and Taxability
The amount of liquidity (breadth and depth of the market) can affect the yield spread.
◦ Differences between the yields of off- and on-the-run Treasuries is an example.
◦ Because on-the-run is in greater demand, the price is slightly higher and yield lower than off-the-run.
◦ The size of the issue affects liquidity, with larger issues having greater liquidity
In the U.S., income tax is collected on the interest income – except for qualified municipal bonds
Municipal Bond Yields
The U.S. Municipal bond market is dividend into two sectors:
◦ General Obligation bonds
◦ Revenue bonds
The benchmark for municipal bonds is not the on-the-run Treasury rate, but the generic AAA
general obligation bond.
◦ The yield curve is constructed by dealer firms active in the market
Municipal Bond Yields
The after-tax yield is computed as the pre-tax yield times (1 minus the marginal tax rate).
◦ Not all municipal bonds are tax-free.
Another way to put taxable and tax exempt bonds on a comparable basis is to compute the tax-
equivalent rate, which is the tax exempt yield divided by (1 minus the marginal tax rate).
Some states tax municipal bond income (issued in other states) that are exempt from federal
income taxes
Interest Rate Swaps
In the interest rate swap, one party exchanges a stream of interest for another party's stream.
Interest rate swaps are normally 'fixed against floating', but can also be 'fixed against fixed' or
'floating against floating' rate swaps.
Interest rate swaps are often used by companies to alter their exposure to interest-rate
fluctuations, by swapping fixed-rate obligations for floating rate obligations, or swapping floating
rate obligations to fixed-rate obligations.
By swapping interest rates, a company is able to synthetically alter their interest rate exposures
and bring them in line with management's appetite for interest rate risk.
Interest Rate Swaps and Spreads
Current convention has evolved that the dealer quoting a swap rate sets the floating (variable)
rate equal to the reference rate and then quotes the fixed-rate that will apply.
◦ The fixed-rate has a specified “spread” above the yield for a Treasury with the same maturity (with the
same term to maturity as the swap)
◦ This is called the swap spread (see next two graphs)
◦ The swap rate is the sum of the yield for a Treasury with the same term to maturity as the swap plus the
swap spread.
Swap Example
Consider the following illustration in which Party A agrees to pay Party B periodic interest rate payments
of LIBOR + 50bps in exchange for periodic interest rate payments of 3.00%.
Note that there is no exchange of the principal amounts and that the interest rates are on a "notional"
principal amount.
Also note that the interest payments are settled in net (e.g. if LIBOR + 50bps is 1.20% then Party A
receives 1.80% and pays B nothing). The fixed rate (3.00% in this example) is referred to as the swap rate.
Interest Rate Swaps and Spreads
The swap spread reflects the current amount of perceived risk in the corporate bond market.
The correlation has been high between swap spreads and credit spreads in the various sectors of
the bond market.
Interest Rate Swaps and Spreads
Interest Rate Swaps and Spreads
NEURALTECHSOFT
PH: +91-22-6699-6164
+91-22-6708-3408
Email: info@neuraltechsoft.com
Website: www.neuraltechsoft.com

More Related Content

What's hot (20)

Mutual fund
Mutual fundMutual fund
Mutual fund
 
Underwriting in Insurance
Underwriting in InsuranceUnderwriting in Insurance
Underwriting in Insurance
 
Credit rating
Credit ratingCredit rating
Credit rating
 
Finanmcial market ppt
Finanmcial market pptFinanmcial market ppt
Finanmcial market ppt
 
Non performing assets causes and management
Non performing assets causes and managementNon performing assets causes and management
Non performing assets causes and management
 
Leasing & Hire purchase
Leasing & Hire purchaseLeasing & Hire purchase
Leasing & Hire purchase
 
Chapter 09_The Money Markets
Chapter 09_The Money MarketsChapter 09_The Money Markets
Chapter 09_The Money Markets
 
Fixed Deposits
Fixed DepositsFixed Deposits
Fixed Deposits
 
Investing in bonds
Investing in bondsInvesting in bonds
Investing in bonds
 
Life insurance corporation ppt(1)
Life insurance corporation ppt(1)Life insurance corporation ppt(1)
Life insurance corporation ppt(1)
 
Securitisation
SecuritisationSecuritisation
Securitisation
 
Introduction to credit derivatives
Introduction to credit derivativesIntroduction to credit derivatives
Introduction to credit derivatives
 
Different Types of Bank Loans in India
Different Types of Bank Loans in IndiaDifferent Types of Bank Loans in India
Different Types of Bank Loans in India
 
Indemnity and Guarantee
Indemnity and Guarantee Indemnity and Guarantee
Indemnity and Guarantee
 
Forward margin
Forward marginForward margin
Forward margin
 
Bonds presantation
Bonds presantationBonds presantation
Bonds presantation
 
7. stock market indices
7. stock market indices7. stock market indices
7. stock market indices
 
Financial services
Financial servicesFinancial services
Financial services
 
Indian corporate Bond market
Indian corporate Bond marketIndian corporate Bond market
Indian corporate Bond market
 
financial intermediares
financial intermediaresfinancial intermediares
financial intermediares
 

Similar to Understanding Yield Spreads and Interest Rate Determination

Chapter Three Interest rates in the Financial System.ppt
Chapter Three Interest rates in the Financial System.pptChapter Three Interest rates in the Financial System.ppt
Chapter Three Interest rates in the Financial System.pptEbsaAbdi1
 
Bba 2204 fin mgt week 6 bonds
Bba 2204 fin mgt week 6 bondsBba 2204 fin mgt week 6 bonds
Bba 2204 fin mgt week 6 bondsStephen Ong
 
chapter three interest rates in the financial system.pptx
chapter three interest rates in the financial system.pptxchapter three interest rates in the financial system.pptx
chapter three interest rates in the financial system.pptxEbsaAbdi
 
Opportunities for portfolio diversification
Opportunities for portfolio diversification Opportunities for portfolio diversification
Opportunities for portfolio diversification GenePanasenko
 
ASSIGNMENT3g [Name of the Student][Name of t.docx
ASSIGNMENT3g [Name of the Student][Name of t.docxASSIGNMENT3g [Name of the Student][Name of t.docx
ASSIGNMENT3g [Name of the Student][Name of t.docxedmondpburgess27164
 
ASSIGNMENT4g [Name of the Student][Name of t.docx
ASSIGNMENT4g [Name of the Student][Name of t.docxASSIGNMENT4g [Name of the Student][Name of t.docx
ASSIGNMENT4g [Name of the Student][Name of t.docxedmondpburgess27164
 
ch14- LONG TERM LIABILITIES.ppt
ch14- LONG TERM LIABILITIES.pptch14- LONG TERM LIABILITIES.ppt
ch14- LONG TERM LIABILITIES.pptmorium2
 
Bonds and their valuation
Bonds and their valuationBonds and their valuation
Bonds and their valuationShamal Firake
 
Counterparty Risk in the Over-The-Counter Derivatives Market
Counterparty Risk in the Over-The-Counter Derivatives MarketCounterparty Risk in the Over-The-Counter Derivatives Market
Counterparty Risk in the Over-The-Counter Derivatives MarketNikhil Gangadhar
 
Bond management strategies
Bond management strategiesBond management strategies
Bond management strategiesAmanpreet Singh
 
Interest Rates overview and knowledge insight
Interest Rates overview and knowledge insightInterest Rates overview and knowledge insight
Interest Rates overview and knowledge insightjustmeyash17
 
Week- 5 Interest Rates and Stock MarketMoney and Banking Econ .docx
Week- 5 Interest Rates and Stock MarketMoney and Banking Econ .docxWeek- 5 Interest Rates and Stock MarketMoney and Banking Econ .docx
Week- 5 Interest Rates and Stock MarketMoney and Banking Econ .docxalanfhall8953
 

Similar to Understanding Yield Spreads and Interest Rate Determination (20)

Chapter Three Interest rates in the Financial System.ppt
Chapter Three Interest rates in the Financial System.pptChapter Three Interest rates in the Financial System.ppt
Chapter Three Interest rates in the Financial System.ppt
 
Bba 2204 fin mgt week 6 bonds
Bba 2204 fin mgt week 6 bondsBba 2204 fin mgt week 6 bonds
Bba 2204 fin mgt week 6 bonds
 
chapter three interest rates in the financial system.pptx
chapter three interest rates in the financial system.pptxchapter three interest rates in the financial system.pptx
chapter three interest rates in the financial system.pptx
 
Opportunities for portfolio diversification
Opportunities for portfolio diversification Opportunities for portfolio diversification
Opportunities for portfolio diversification
 
ASSIGNMENT3g [Name of the Student][Name of t.docx
ASSIGNMENT3g [Name of the Student][Name of t.docxASSIGNMENT3g [Name of the Student][Name of t.docx
ASSIGNMENT3g [Name of the Student][Name of t.docx
 
ASSIGNMENT4g [Name of the Student][Name of t.docx
ASSIGNMENT4g [Name of the Student][Name of t.docxASSIGNMENT4g [Name of the Student][Name of t.docx
ASSIGNMENT4g [Name of the Student][Name of t.docx
 
ch14- LONG TERM LIABILITIES.ppt
ch14- LONG TERM LIABILITIES.pptch14- LONG TERM LIABILITIES.ppt
ch14- LONG TERM LIABILITIES.ppt
 
Global bond
Global bondGlobal bond
Global bond
 
Global bond
Global bondGlobal bond
Global bond
 
Interest risk and hedging
Interest risk and hedgingInterest risk and hedging
Interest risk and hedging
 
Ch07
Ch07Ch07
Ch07
 
Valuation bond
Valuation bondValuation bond
Valuation bond
 
Bonds and their valuation
Bonds and their valuationBonds and their valuation
Bonds and their valuation
 
Counterparty Risk in the Over-The-Counter Derivatives Market
Counterparty Risk in the Over-The-Counter Derivatives MarketCounterparty Risk in the Over-The-Counter Derivatives Market
Counterparty Risk in the Over-The-Counter Derivatives Market
 
Bon
BonBon
Bon
 
Bond management strategies
Bond management strategiesBond management strategies
Bond management strategies
 
Ch 03
Ch 03Ch 03
Ch 03
 
Interest Rates overview and knowledge insight
Interest Rates overview and knowledge insightInterest Rates overview and knowledge insight
Interest Rates overview and knowledge insight
 
Bond valuation and risk
Bond valuation and riskBond valuation and risk
Bond valuation and risk
 
Week- 5 Interest Rates and Stock MarketMoney and Banking Econ .docx
Week- 5 Interest Rates and Stock MarketMoney and Banking Econ .docxWeek- 5 Interest Rates and Stock MarketMoney and Banking Econ .docx
Week- 5 Interest Rates and Stock MarketMoney and Banking Econ .docx
 

Recently uploaded

Andheri Call Girls In 9825968104 Mumbai Hot Models
Andheri Call Girls In 9825968104 Mumbai Hot ModelsAndheri Call Girls In 9825968104 Mumbai Hot Models
Andheri Call Girls In 9825968104 Mumbai Hot Modelshematsharma006
 
Log your LOA pain with Pension Lab's brilliant campaign
Log your LOA pain with Pension Lab's brilliant campaignLog your LOA pain with Pension Lab's brilliant campaign
Log your LOA pain with Pension Lab's brilliant campaignHenry Tapper
 
magnetic-pensions-a-new-blueprint-for-the-dc-landscape.pdf
magnetic-pensions-a-new-blueprint-for-the-dc-landscape.pdfmagnetic-pensions-a-new-blueprint-for-the-dc-landscape.pdf
magnetic-pensions-a-new-blueprint-for-the-dc-landscape.pdfHenry Tapper
 
Russian Call Girls In Gtb Nagar (Delhi) 9711199012 💋✔💕😘 Naughty Call Girls Se...
Russian Call Girls In Gtb Nagar (Delhi) 9711199012 💋✔💕😘 Naughty Call Girls Se...Russian Call Girls In Gtb Nagar (Delhi) 9711199012 💋✔💕😘 Naughty Call Girls Se...
Russian Call Girls In Gtb Nagar (Delhi) 9711199012 💋✔💕😘 Naughty Call Girls Se...shivangimorya083
 
call girls in Nand Nagri (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️
call girls in  Nand Nagri (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️call girls in  Nand Nagri (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️
call girls in Nand Nagri (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️9953056974 Low Rate Call Girls In Saket, Delhi NCR
 
Stock Market Brief Deck for "this does not happen often".pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck for "this does not happen often".pdfStock Market Brief Deck for "this does not happen often".pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck for "this does not happen often".pdfMichael Silva
 
Quantitative Analysis of Retail Sector Companies
Quantitative Analysis of Retail Sector CompaniesQuantitative Analysis of Retail Sector Companies
Quantitative Analysis of Retail Sector Companiesprashantbhati354
 
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一S SDS
 
Financial institutions facilitate financing, economic transactions, issue fun...
Financial institutions facilitate financing, economic transactions, issue fun...Financial institutions facilitate financing, economic transactions, issue fun...
Financial institutions facilitate financing, economic transactions, issue fun...Avanish Goel
 
Bladex 1Q24 Earning Results Presentation
Bladex 1Q24 Earning Results PresentationBladex 1Q24 Earning Results Presentation
Bladex 1Q24 Earning Results PresentationBladex
 
Bladex Earnings Call Presentation 1Q2024
Bladex Earnings Call Presentation 1Q2024Bladex Earnings Call Presentation 1Q2024
Bladex Earnings Call Presentation 1Q2024Bladex
 
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam Smith
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam SmithClassical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam Smith
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam SmithAdamYassin2
 
Call Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
Call Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur EscortsCall Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
Call Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escortsranjana rawat
 
VIP High Class Call Girls Saharanpur Anushka 8250192130 Independent Escort Se...
VIP High Class Call Girls Saharanpur Anushka 8250192130 Independent Escort Se...VIP High Class Call Girls Saharanpur Anushka 8250192130 Independent Escort Se...
VIP High Class Call Girls Saharanpur Anushka 8250192130 Independent Escort Se...Suhani Kapoor
 
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdf
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdfgovernment_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdf
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdfshaunmashale756
 
fca-bsps-decision-letter-redacted (1).pdf
fca-bsps-decision-letter-redacted (1).pdffca-bsps-decision-letter-redacted (1).pdf
fca-bsps-decision-letter-redacted (1).pdfHenry Tapper
 
Lundin Gold April 2024 Corporate Presentation v4.pdf
Lundin Gold April 2024 Corporate Presentation v4.pdfLundin Gold April 2024 Corporate Presentation v4.pdf
Lundin Gold April 2024 Corporate Presentation v4.pdfAdnet Communications
 
AfRESFullPaper22018EmpiricalPerformanceofRealEstateInvestmentTrustsandShareho...
AfRESFullPaper22018EmpiricalPerformanceofRealEstateInvestmentTrustsandShareho...AfRESFullPaper22018EmpiricalPerformanceofRealEstateInvestmentTrustsandShareho...
AfRESFullPaper22018EmpiricalPerformanceofRealEstateInvestmentTrustsandShareho...yordanosyohannes2
 
Mulki Call Girls 7001305949 WhatsApp Number 24x7 Best Services
Mulki Call Girls 7001305949 WhatsApp Number 24x7 Best ServicesMulki Call Girls 7001305949 WhatsApp Number 24x7 Best Services
Mulki Call Girls 7001305949 WhatsApp Number 24x7 Best Servicesnajka9823
 
Call Girls In Yusuf Sarai Women Seeking Men 9654467111
Call Girls In Yusuf Sarai Women Seeking Men 9654467111Call Girls In Yusuf Sarai Women Seeking Men 9654467111
Call Girls In Yusuf Sarai Women Seeking Men 9654467111Sapana Sha
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Andheri Call Girls In 9825968104 Mumbai Hot Models
Andheri Call Girls In 9825968104 Mumbai Hot ModelsAndheri Call Girls In 9825968104 Mumbai Hot Models
Andheri Call Girls In 9825968104 Mumbai Hot Models
 
Log your LOA pain with Pension Lab's brilliant campaign
Log your LOA pain with Pension Lab's brilliant campaignLog your LOA pain with Pension Lab's brilliant campaign
Log your LOA pain with Pension Lab's brilliant campaign
 
magnetic-pensions-a-new-blueprint-for-the-dc-landscape.pdf
magnetic-pensions-a-new-blueprint-for-the-dc-landscape.pdfmagnetic-pensions-a-new-blueprint-for-the-dc-landscape.pdf
magnetic-pensions-a-new-blueprint-for-the-dc-landscape.pdf
 
Russian Call Girls In Gtb Nagar (Delhi) 9711199012 💋✔💕😘 Naughty Call Girls Se...
Russian Call Girls In Gtb Nagar (Delhi) 9711199012 💋✔💕😘 Naughty Call Girls Se...Russian Call Girls In Gtb Nagar (Delhi) 9711199012 💋✔💕😘 Naughty Call Girls Se...
Russian Call Girls In Gtb Nagar (Delhi) 9711199012 💋✔💕😘 Naughty Call Girls Se...
 
call girls in Nand Nagri (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️
call girls in  Nand Nagri (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️call girls in  Nand Nagri (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️
call girls in Nand Nagri (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️
 
Stock Market Brief Deck for "this does not happen often".pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck for "this does not happen often".pdfStock Market Brief Deck for "this does not happen often".pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck for "this does not happen often".pdf
 
Quantitative Analysis of Retail Sector Companies
Quantitative Analysis of Retail Sector CompaniesQuantitative Analysis of Retail Sector Companies
Quantitative Analysis of Retail Sector Companies
 
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一
 
Financial institutions facilitate financing, economic transactions, issue fun...
Financial institutions facilitate financing, economic transactions, issue fun...Financial institutions facilitate financing, economic transactions, issue fun...
Financial institutions facilitate financing, economic transactions, issue fun...
 
Bladex 1Q24 Earning Results Presentation
Bladex 1Q24 Earning Results PresentationBladex 1Q24 Earning Results Presentation
Bladex 1Q24 Earning Results Presentation
 
Bladex Earnings Call Presentation 1Q2024
Bladex Earnings Call Presentation 1Q2024Bladex Earnings Call Presentation 1Q2024
Bladex Earnings Call Presentation 1Q2024
 
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam Smith
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam SmithClassical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam Smith
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam Smith
 
Call Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
Call Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur EscortsCall Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
Call Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
 
VIP High Class Call Girls Saharanpur Anushka 8250192130 Independent Escort Se...
VIP High Class Call Girls Saharanpur Anushka 8250192130 Independent Escort Se...VIP High Class Call Girls Saharanpur Anushka 8250192130 Independent Escort Se...
VIP High Class Call Girls Saharanpur Anushka 8250192130 Independent Escort Se...
 
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdf
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdfgovernment_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdf
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdf
 
fca-bsps-decision-letter-redacted (1).pdf
fca-bsps-decision-letter-redacted (1).pdffca-bsps-decision-letter-redacted (1).pdf
fca-bsps-decision-letter-redacted (1).pdf
 
Lundin Gold April 2024 Corporate Presentation v4.pdf
Lundin Gold April 2024 Corporate Presentation v4.pdfLundin Gold April 2024 Corporate Presentation v4.pdf
Lundin Gold April 2024 Corporate Presentation v4.pdf
 
AfRESFullPaper22018EmpiricalPerformanceofRealEstateInvestmentTrustsandShareho...
AfRESFullPaper22018EmpiricalPerformanceofRealEstateInvestmentTrustsandShareho...AfRESFullPaper22018EmpiricalPerformanceofRealEstateInvestmentTrustsandShareho...
AfRESFullPaper22018EmpiricalPerformanceofRealEstateInvestmentTrustsandShareho...
 
Mulki Call Girls 7001305949 WhatsApp Number 24x7 Best Services
Mulki Call Girls 7001305949 WhatsApp Number 24x7 Best ServicesMulki Call Girls 7001305949 WhatsApp Number 24x7 Best Services
Mulki Call Girls 7001305949 WhatsApp Number 24x7 Best Services
 
Call Girls In Yusuf Sarai Women Seeking Men 9654467111
Call Girls In Yusuf Sarai Women Seeking Men 9654467111Call Girls In Yusuf Sarai Women Seeking Men 9654467111
Call Girls In Yusuf Sarai Women Seeking Men 9654467111
 

Understanding Yield Spreads and Interest Rate Determination

  • 2. Interest Rate Determination The interest rate offered on a particular bond issue depends on the interest rate that can be earned on risk-free instruments and the perceived risks associated with the issue.
  • 3. Interest Rate Determination In implementing monetary policy, the Fed uses the following tools: ◦ Open market operations (most commonly used tool) ◦ Discount rate ◦ Bank reserve requirements ◦ Verbal persuasion to influence how bankers supply credit to business and customers
  • 4. U.S. Treasuries The Treasury issues the following securities: ◦ Treasury bills: Zero-coupon securities with a maturity at issuance of one year or less. The Treasury currently issues 1-month, 3-month, and 6-month bills. ◦ Treasury notes: Coupon securities with maturity at issuance greater than 1 year but not greater than 10 years. The Treasury currently issues 2-year, 5-year, and 10-year notes. ◦ Treasury bonds: Coupon securities with maturity at issuance greater than 10 years. The Treasury currently issues bonds with maturities up to 30 years. ◦ Inflation-protection securities: Coupon securities whose principal’s reference rate is the Consumer Price Index.
  • 5. U.S. Treasury Risks Although Treasuries do not have credit, foreign exchange, or reinvestment risk (because they are non-callable), they are exposed to all of the other credit-related risks (i.e. interest rate, call, yield curve, liquidity, volatility, inflation, and event). The actions of the U.S. Federal Reserve and the other central banks can have an adverse or favorable impact on rates.
  • 6. Treasury Yield Curve The Treasury yield curve shows the relationship between yield and maturity of on-the-run Treasury issues. The typical shape for the Treasury yield curve is upward sloping—yield increases with maturity— which is referred to as a normal yield curve. Inverted yield curves (yield decreasing with maturity) and flat yield curves (yield roughly the same regardless of maturity) have been observed for the yield curve.
  • 7. Treasury Yield Curve Two factors complicate the relationship between maturity and yield as indicated by the Treasury yield curve: ◦ (1) the yield for on-the-run issues is distorted since these securities can be financed at cheaper rates and, as a result, offer a lower yield than in the absence of this financing advantage and ◦ (2) on-the-run Treasury issues and off-the-run issues have different interest rate reinvestment risks. The yields on Treasury strips of different maturities provide a superior relationship between yield and maturity compared to the on-the-run Treasury yield curve. The yield on a zero-coupon or stripped Treasury security is called the Treasury spot rate.
  • 8. Term Structure of Interest Rates The term structure of interest rates is the relationship between maturity and Treasury spot rates. Three theories have been offered to explain the shape of the yield curve: ◦ pure expectations theory, ◦ liquidity preference theory, and ◦ market segmentation theory.
  • 9. Pure Expectations Theory The pure expectations theory asserts that the market sets yields based solely on expectations for future interest rates. According to the pure expectations theory: ◦ (1) a rising term structure reflects an expectation that future short-term rates will rise, ◦ (2) a flat term structure reflects an expectation that future short-term rates will be mostly constant, and ◦ (3) a falling term structure reflects an expectation that future short-term rates will decline.
  • 10. Liquidity Preference Theory This theory asserts that market participants want to be compensated for the interest rate risk associated with holding longer-term bonds. ◦ The longer the maturity, the greater the price volatility. ◦ Accordingly, this theory uses the pure expectations theory and adds a yield premium for interest rate risk. ◦ This is the reason given to the question of why yield curves are traditionally upward sloping.
  • 11. Market Segmentation Theory The market segmentation theory asserts that there are different maturity sectors of the yield curve and that each maturity sector is independent or segmented from the other maturity sectors. ◦ Within each maturity sector, the interest rate is determined by the supply and demand for funds. According to the market segmentation theory, any shape is possible for the yield curve.
  • 12. Treasury Strips Even though the Department of the Treasury does not issue zero-coupon bonds with maturities greater than one year, government dealers synthetically create zero-coupon securities by separating the coupon and principal payments. These zero-coupon bonds have no reinvestment risk. Therefore, these become purer measures of yield and maturity and are used to measure the Treasury yield curve. The yield on a Treasury zero-coupon is known as the spot rate. The relationship between maturity and Treasury spot rates is known as the term structure of interest rates.
  • 13. Yield Spreads Despite the imperfections of the Treasury yield curve as a benchmark for the minimum interest rate that an investor requires for investing in a non-Treasury security, it is common to refer to a non-Treasury security’s additional yield over the nearest maturity on-the-run Treasury issue as the ‘‘yield spread.’’ The yield spread can be computed in three ways: ◦ (1) the difference between the yield on two bonds or bond sectors (called the absolute yield spread), ◦ (2) the difference in yields as a percentage of the benchmark yield (called the relative yield spread), and ◦ (3) the ratio of the yield relative to the benchmark yield (called the yield ratio).
  • 14. Yield Spreads Yield spread (measured in basis points) is the difference between any two bond issues and is computed as follows: Yield spread = yield on Bond 1 – yield on Bond 2 When the second bond is a benchmark (i.e. Treasury), the yield spread is referred to as the absolute yield spread – it is measured in basis points (bps). To measure yield of a bond versus the reference bond, the relative yield spread is computed: Relative yield spread = Yield spread / Yield on Bond 2 Another measure of relative yield spread is to compute the yield ratio: Yield ratio = Yield on Bond 1 / Yield on Bond 2
  • 15. Intermarket Yield Spreads An intermarket yield spread is the yield spread between two securities with the same maturity in two different sectors of the bond market or different issues within the same market. The most common intermarket sector spread calculated is the yield spread between the yield on a security in a non-Treasury market sector and a Treasury security with the same maturity.
  • 16. Issuer Specific Yield Spreads An issuer specific yield curve can be computed given the yield spread, by maturity, for an issuer and the yield for on-the-run Treasury securities. The factors other than maturity that affect the intermarket and intramarket yield spreads are ◦ (1) the relative credit risk of the two issues; ◦ (2) the presence of embedded options; ◦ (3) the relative liquidity of the two issues; and, ◦ (4) the taxability of the interest.
  • 17. Credit Spreads A credit spread or quality spread is the yield spread between a non-Treasury security and a Treasury security that are ‘‘identical in all respects except for credit rating.’’ Some market participants argue that credit spreads between corporates and Treasuries change systematically because of changes in economic prospects—widening in a declining economy (‘‘flight to quality’’) and narrowing in an expanding economy.
  • 18. Embedded Options Embedded options (such as the call provision) effect the yield of a bond and effects the yield spread Mortgage-backed securities have prepayment risk effecting the yield spread Reported yield spreads do not adjust for embedded options (these are raw or nominal yield spreads). ◦ The adjusted yield spread is called the option-adjusted spread (OAS).
  • 19. Liquidity and Taxability The amount of liquidity (breadth and depth of the market) can affect the yield spread. ◦ Differences between the yields of off- and on-the-run Treasuries is an example. ◦ Because on-the-run is in greater demand, the price is slightly higher and yield lower than off-the-run. ◦ The size of the issue affects liquidity, with larger issues having greater liquidity In the U.S., income tax is collected on the interest income – except for qualified municipal bonds
  • 20. Municipal Bond Yields The U.S. Municipal bond market is dividend into two sectors: ◦ General Obligation bonds ◦ Revenue bonds The benchmark for municipal bonds is not the on-the-run Treasury rate, but the generic AAA general obligation bond. ◦ The yield curve is constructed by dealer firms active in the market
  • 21. Municipal Bond Yields The after-tax yield is computed as the pre-tax yield times (1 minus the marginal tax rate). ◦ Not all municipal bonds are tax-free. Another way to put taxable and tax exempt bonds on a comparable basis is to compute the tax- equivalent rate, which is the tax exempt yield divided by (1 minus the marginal tax rate). Some states tax municipal bond income (issued in other states) that are exempt from federal income taxes
  • 22. Interest Rate Swaps In the interest rate swap, one party exchanges a stream of interest for another party's stream. Interest rate swaps are normally 'fixed against floating', but can also be 'fixed against fixed' or 'floating against floating' rate swaps. Interest rate swaps are often used by companies to alter their exposure to interest-rate fluctuations, by swapping fixed-rate obligations for floating rate obligations, or swapping floating rate obligations to fixed-rate obligations. By swapping interest rates, a company is able to synthetically alter their interest rate exposures and bring them in line with management's appetite for interest rate risk.
  • 23. Interest Rate Swaps and Spreads Current convention has evolved that the dealer quoting a swap rate sets the floating (variable) rate equal to the reference rate and then quotes the fixed-rate that will apply. ◦ The fixed-rate has a specified “spread” above the yield for a Treasury with the same maturity (with the same term to maturity as the swap) ◦ This is called the swap spread (see next two graphs) ◦ The swap rate is the sum of the yield for a Treasury with the same term to maturity as the swap plus the swap spread.
  • 24. Swap Example Consider the following illustration in which Party A agrees to pay Party B periodic interest rate payments of LIBOR + 50bps in exchange for periodic interest rate payments of 3.00%. Note that there is no exchange of the principal amounts and that the interest rates are on a "notional" principal amount. Also note that the interest payments are settled in net (e.g. if LIBOR + 50bps is 1.20% then Party A receives 1.80% and pays B nothing). The fixed rate (3.00% in this example) is referred to as the swap rate.
  • 25. Interest Rate Swaps and Spreads The swap spread reflects the current amount of perceived risk in the corporate bond market. The correlation has been high between swap spreads and credit spreads in the various sectors of the bond market.
  • 26. Interest Rate Swaps and Spreads
  • 27. Interest Rate Swaps and Spreads