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Understanding covid-19 from charts &
Its impact on stock market
Presents
Covidlive.Info
Covidlive.Inf
o
Index
4/28/2020
Introduction to Stock Market
Covid-19 Overview
Understanding Covid-19 from Charts (India)
Pre Covid-19 Glance at Stock Market
Impact of Covid-19 on Stock Market
Key Sector Impacted due to Covid-19
Way Ahead
Covidlive.Inf
o
Introduction to Stock Market
Business
Business
Funding
Debt Vs
Equity
Share
Listing
National
Stock
Exchange
4/28/2020
Covidlive.Inf
o
What factors affect stock price?
4/28/2020
Monetary
Policy
Exchange
Rates
Politics
Natural
Disaster
Commodity
Price
Firm
Related
Factors
Covid-19
(Coronavirus)
Covidlive.Inf
o
What factors affect stock price?
4/28/2020
Potato have become
cheaper
Sales of Company going
up
Competitor has started
new outlet
Employee have gone on
strike
Food inspector has found
low quality material -
Positive Outlook
Negative Outlook
Stock Price reflects the business health
COVID-19 AT A GLANCE
4/28/2020
Covidlive.Inf
o
31st Dec’19
Pneumonia of unknown cause
detected in Wuhan
11th Jan’20
1st Death reported due to
Covid-19
30th Jan’20 India reported its 1st case of
Covid-19 in Kerala
29th Feb’20 USA reported 1st
Covid-19 death
11th Mar’20 WHO declared Covid-19
a Pandemic
24th Mar’20
21 Day lockdown in India (571
confirmed cases)
25th April’20
2,850,853 Covid-19 cases across the
world & 198,116 deaths
(25,029 Covid-19 cases in India)
4/28/2020
Covid-19 at a Glance
Covid-19 is a disease COVID-19 is a disease
caused by the “novel corona virus”
Spreads mostly by coming in direct contact
with Covid-19 patients
Covid-19 has 4 stages of transmission
No Vaccination (Social Distancing is
Important)
COVID-19 CHARTS
Covidlive.Inf
o
4/28/2020
Covid-19: Multiplying Factor
• Multiplying Factor
(2.4-2.6)
• Mortality (2-4%)
Covidlive.Inf
o
4/28/2020
• In absolute terms
Covid-1 cases are
increasing very fast
Covidlive.Inf
o
4/28/2020
Covidlive.Inf
o
4/28/2020
3.44
4.95
3.60
5.66
6.65
7.08
DAYS TO DOUBLE CASES
IMPACT OF COVID-19 0N STOCK MARKETS
4/28/2020
Covidlive.Inf
o
4/28/2020
US Markets: Weekly Chart
Pre Covid-19: Stock Markets
• US Equity Market Rallied more than
30% last year
• Strong Economic Activity
• Good Business Performance
Covidlive.Inf
o
4/28/2020
Pre Covid-19: Stock Markets
India Markets: Weekly Chart
• Indian equity market rallied 15% to
12250
• Weaker economy then US
• Government reduced corporate tax
rate
Covidlive.Inf
oImpact of Past Outbreaks on Stock
Market
4/28/2020 Image Source: EconomicTimes
• Swine Flu (H1N1)
• Mers
Covidlive.Inf
o
Covid-19: Impact on Stock Markets
4/28/2020
Covid-19
Impact
Lockdown
Business
Closure
Tourism &
Hospitality
Aviation
High Budget
Expense
Low Sales
Factory
Shutdown
Covidlive.Inf
o
Covid-19 Impact: US Markets
4/28/2020
Weekly Chart
• No impact of Covid-19 until 21st Feb
• Cases outside China triggered for
Sell off
• US Markets corrected about 33% in
just 1 Month
Covidlive.Inf
o
Covid-19 Impact: Indian Markets
4/28/2020
Weekly Chart
• Nifty tumbled nearly 40% to 7500
before even 500 cases
• Nifty has recovered post lockdown
• Markets are always forward looking
• Even 10 min old information is
useless
India Markets: Daily Chart
Covidlive.Inf
o
Sector wise impact of Covid-19
4/28/2020
5.20%
-2.17%
11.04%
7.08%
1.49%
-34.60%
-7.80%
-20.30%
13.00%
-33.00%
-40.00%
-30.00%
-20.00%
-10.00%
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
Before Covid Afer Covid
Sector
Companies
E.g.
Some Impact Areas
Banking HDFC, ICICI
No or less credit demand, Fund
Liquidity
FMCG HUL, Marico
Less Production, Low demand,
Local store closed
IT TCS, Infosys Low Demand Demand
Pharma Sun Pharma, Cipla
US FDA Approvals, Demand of
APIs in USA
Automobile Maruti, Bajaj Manufacturing facilities shut,
BANKING FMCG IT PHARMA AUTO
Covidlive.Inf
o
4/28/2020
Weekly Chart
PVR Ltd: Covid-19 Impact
PVR: Weekly Chart
• Indian watching movie to escape
slow down
• Strong Fundamentals
• 50% Return (Sep-19 to Feb-20)
• Stock Tumbled nearly 50% due to
Covid-19
Covidlive.Inf
o
Summary
◦ The spread of Covid-19 has slowed down in India post lockdown
◦ The markets have tumbled post Covid-19 due to multiple reasons
◦ A few sector which have impacted are Banking, Pharma, FMCG etc.
4/28/2020
Covidlive.Inf
o
Thank You
4/28/2020
Team
Covidlive.Info

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