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Getting ahead through
                                              Six Practices
                           Practice 5
Supply Chain Consultancy

                           World-class
                           Integrated Planning




                           Recently, McKinsey and Co. (in conjunction     their major concerns. This is not surprising.
                           with Georgia Tech College of Management)       Over the past 10 years, supply chains have
                           published a report which indicated             become increasingly global, opening new areas
                           that six supply chain related practices        of risk and uncertainty. Issues such as natural
                           are fundamental to giving companies a          disasters, political instability and exchange rate
                           competitive edge. According to the findings,   fluctuations can affect supply at very short
                           companies who excel in these six areas         notice and have potentially catastrophic effects.
                           are dominant in terms of service, cost and     Add to this the complexity of new routes to
                           inventory. In this paper Derek Thomason        market, a more informed and fickle customer
                           and Martin Green look at the fifth of these    base, shorter product lifecycles and high
                           practices, World class integrated planning:    levels of commercial activity (e.g. promotions,
                           end to end and top to bottom                   marketing campaigns etc) and it is easy to
                                                                          understand why planning has risen up the
                           Many senior supply chain executives report     business agenda.
                           that planning and forecasting is now one of




                                                                                                                   1 of 6
Yet many businesses operate planning processes that are based on historical models and do not
                                    reflect this change in circumstances.

                                    Every supply chain must have a plan; note that this is singular, i.e. one plan. This plan must be
                                    integrated (i.e. joined together) and synchronised (i.e. performed in a timely manner).

                                    Companies that do not have integrated planning are characterised by:

                                    	 constant ‘fire fighting’ in response to unplanned or unexpected events;
                                    	 high levels of inventory (often the wrong inventory) at multiple levels in the supply chain;
                                    	 distrust of the plans and activities of other departments.

                                    Planning is thus complex and multi dimensional:

                                        Vertically within a business. I.e. The plans and aspirations of the senior management team 	
                                    	   need to percolate down through the business to affect behaviours at the ‘shop floor’ level;
                                        Horizontally within a business (or even between businesses). i.e. all the various departments 	
                                    	   within a business must work to achieve the same business objective. Indeed, this can be 		
                                    	   extended to include both suppliers and customers.
                                        Time. The business needs to make decisions far in advance of the end ‘event’ hence the need 	
                                    	   to plan rather than just respond. At the same time it needs to be able to react quickly, maybe 	
                                    	   in a matter of hours.

                                    We address each of these dimensions in the following chapters.

                                    Clients that have integrated planning exhibit the following characteristics:
                                     a planning framework that cascades down from the high level corporate plan to affect the
                                      behaviours of the staff on the shop floor, e.g., a Policy Deployment Matrix (or PDM) process;
                                     KPIs that encourage everyone to focus on customer value and overall supply chain
                                      effectiveness rather than ‘Silo’ efficiency, e.g., focusing on customer service;
                                     a culture that encourages cross functional dialogue and collaboration, both internally and with
                                      trading partners (e.g. in Unipart we deploy a process called Ten(d) to Zero. This aims to reduce
                                      suppliers errors to zero);
                                     A process that provides end-to-end visibility of supply chain performance to everyone;
                                     A process that provides visibility of all upcoming events and changes in a timely manner. (e.g.
                                      promotional activity or introduction of new product lines)
                                     a process that segments the planning effort, for example:
                                    	  Complex or problem areas are put ‘under the microscope’;
Figure 1. The Planning Hierarchy    	  Automation of planning and forecasting is deployed in less onerous areas;
                                     a continuous improvement culture that empowers everyone (at all levels) to challenge current
                                      processes and develop improvements
                    Strategic
                    Planning        Note that several of these points are ‘cultural’ rather then ‘technical’.

                                    Vertical Planning - Policy Deployment (or Hoshin Kanri)
                    Business        It is all very well having a grand master plan and a strategy, but if it does not translate into actions
                    Planning
                                    and changes in behaviours at the shop floor level, the vision is unlikely to be realised.
                                    Figure 1 illustrates the key vertical planning requirements. At the top are the business strategy
                    Sales and
                   Operations       and the planning objectives. At the bottom are the key materials planning processes, including
                    Planning        demand planning, procurement, manufacturing and inventory planning.

                                    Policy Deployment (also known as Hoshin Kanri) is a tool to cascade business objectives down
         Demand Management and      through each level of management, to ensure that everyone is moving in the same direction. It
         Manufacturing Scheduling
                                    is a method of sorting the many desirable projects from the few essential ones. In Planning and
                                    Forecasting terms this is a prerequisite
                   Integrated
                    Planning




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There are four main parts to the successful use of Policy deployment, these are:
                                            establishing aims and projects;
                                            developing deliverables and results;
                                            agreeing resources and accountabilities;
                                            monitoring progress.
                                           Establishing the mission of the unit being planned and its aims starts at the senior management
                                           level in terms of business objectives. This is then converted into a required set of project
                                           deliverables and the results by which progress will be measured.

                                           Each level and function is then asked to identify its supporting aims, project deliverables and
                                           results needed to meet the business goals.

                                           The cascade continues to objectives for the individual.


Figure 2. A typicalPDM planning process

                                 Jun      Jul                 Aug            Sept               Oct               Nov                 Dec
           Financial       Corporate
           Planning                             Budgeting
                           Planning


                                                            Pre-work       Level One                     Business PDM



                                                                            Function / Project PDM Level Two
           Policy
         Deployment
                                                                                         Department / PDM Level Three


                                                                                                  Team & Individual plan Level Four




                                           Horizontal planning: Sales and Operations Planning
                                           Typically the supply chain planning process is split into two areas, demand and supply. Inventory
                                           or ‘backlog’ forms the buffer between the two. Thus the levels of inventory or the size of the
                                           backlog are indicators of the extent to which supply and demand are synchronised (or not!!).

                                           Sales and Operations Planning (S&OP) is a key tool in the integrated planning armoury. While
                                           most companies operate demand, and a number of supply planning processes, (including
                                           inventory, MRP, MPS etc), they frequently do not bring these together in a formal way. In fact,
                                           many companies do not have a formal supply plan, relying on their ability to react and respond to
                                           short term circumstances. These cultures breed a reliance on ‘heroes’ and a distrust of ‘the other
                                           side’.




3 of 6
Figure 3. The horizontal planning components

                                        Generating Demand

                                                                 Account /
                          Consumers            Category          Channel           Promotions




                                                                                                                        Consumers
                                                                                                          Customers
             Suppliers
                             NPD
                                                        Integrated                  Customer
                                                         Planning                    Service


                                                                  Manage
                           Purchase          Manufacture         Inventory          Distribute



                                                                     Ensuring Supply

                             S&OP is the tool that:

                              provides end-to-end visibility of the supply chain;
                              bridges the gap between high level business plans / strategies and operational requirements;
                              ensures clear and concise communication between the demand generation side of
                               the business (Sales and Marketing) and the supply side of the business (Procurement,
                               Manufacturing, Inventory, etc).

                             Figure 3 shows how S&OP sits at the centre of all the key business processes and provides an
                             important role in integrating plans across the supply chain.

                             As S&OP is usually attended by the most senior managers, it also provides a vital link in the
                             vertical planning dimension. i.e. it helps translate strategy into action

                             However, implementing S&OP is not simply a ‘technical’ process. By its nature, it often challenges
                             conventional wisdoms and forces conversations that in the past have not been held. It requires
                             information (and data) to be presented and discussed in different ways and common units of
                             measure to be developed. (For example, sales may plan in terms of £s, while supply chain may
                             work in tonnes, cases or units).

                             At Unipart we treat S&OP as a cultural and process change exercise. While technology is
                             necessary to support the process, success will only come with significant changes in attitude. In
                             other words it is more about ‘hearts and minds’ then it is about systems and processes.

                             The main pre requisite for implementing this process is that there MUST be a senior champion
                             on the board. Without this support and commitment, the process will fail to unlock the potential
                             that S&OP offers for integrated planning


                             Time as a planning dimension
                             Our experience shows that many planning processes are not ‘fit for purpose’. This is because
                             all businesses need to plan against a number of time dimensions. At the one level there is the
                             longer term plans associated with obtaining new capacity and developing new skills. At the other
                             end of the scale, businesses often need to be able to react to changing circumstances in a matter
                             of days or even hours.




4 of 6
Figure 4 The traditional planning process

                                     Demand signal         Forecast (MPS?)   Production       Make               Ship
                                                                             Schedule




                                         week 0                week 1           week 2           week 3             week4




                                               Many businesses operate on a rigid operational planning process which is summarised in figure 4.

                                               While this may suit some businesses, in today’s turbulent trading environment, the process is
                                               often too slow to react to changes in circumstances. The result is that plans are ‘out of date’
                                               almost before they are published and the business slips into ‘firefighting mode’. Nobody trusts
                                               (or adheres) to the plan.

                                               The solution lies partially in understanding the demand characteristics in more detail and
                                               recognising that ‘one size does not fit all’. For example, a business may have products that fit into
                                               all or some of the following:

                                                    Stable demand
                                                    Promotions or planned ‘spikes’
                                                    New products
                                                    Seasonal lines
                                                    Slow moving lines

                                               Each of these requires a different planning process. Products may move from one process to
                                               another over time (for example, as a product moves into a promotion). Thus (for example), we
                                               may choose to allow our standard automated planning and forecasting process to look after the
                                               products on ‘stable demand’. However, when a product is due to go on promotion, it needs
                                               to be taken out of the standard process and ‘put under the microscope’. This may involve daily
                                               reviews with key stakeholders and the use of different data to manage the process. Again, S&OP
                                               is the mechanism that coordinates this activity.

                                               Education and Training
                                               One of the first questions we ask is ‘how many of the supply chain team have received any
                                               formal supply chain training?’ The answer is usually a lamentably small number.

                                               Education is a pre-requisite to Integrated Planning as it raises awareness of the broader issues
                                               in managing a supply chain and reduces distrust between the key stakeholders. This education
                                               is usually required at ALL levels in the business, from CEO down to the shop floor (although,
                                               naturally the nature of the training will differ).

                                               Process Definition.
                                               One of the major issues within planning and forecasting is that there can be a lack of clarity of
                                               roles and responsibilities. Forecasting is a classic area. The key input to this process has to be the
                                               demand plan, owned by the sales and marketing team. However, they rarely have the incentive
                                               to put effort into this process and when they do, it is often based on value (£). Supply Chain
                                               then have to interpret this into cases, pallets and tonnes by SKU. Alternatively, supply chain may
                                               have responsibility for producing a forecast (usually statistically), and then try to get input from
                                               the sales and marketing teams. The resulting forecast has an element of ‘not invented here’ about
                                               it. One of the benefits of S&OP mentioned above is that it forces businesses to confront these
                                               issues. A clear description of the processes, together with clarity on roles and responsibilities,
                                               provides a basis for process improvement. This then allows businesses to ‘blue-print’ and trial
                                               process improvements.




5 of 6
Expert Input
                                            Developing a new (or improved) planning process requires careful facilitation and change
                                            management. It also requires someone with new insights and free of existing organisational
                                            politics. If this does not happen, there is a grave danger of simply reinventing old processes. This
                                            frequently happens when businesses install new software. This software is usually configured to
                                            replicate historical processes, and the opportunity to undertake significant improvement is lost

                                            Conclusions
                                            In today’s turbulent business environment, having a planning process that is truly ‘fit for purpose’
                                            is more important then at any time in the past. The process needs to be integrated at all levels
                                            in the organisation and effectively engage all the key stakeholders. At the same time, the process
                                            needs to be able to respond rapidly to changing circumstances. Developing and implementing
                                            a new process is complex, involving not just changes in ways of working, but also changes in
                                            attitudes and behaviours across the business. However, the benefits associated with this effort
                                            are significant. McKinsey report that companies with world class planning processes “were 4
                                            times more likely to achieve top third inventory performance, 2.6 times more likely to achieve
                                            top distribution and logistics performance, and 1.3 times more likely to achieve top service
                                            performance”.

                                            So it is well worth the effort!

                                            UEP is uniquely positioned to support planning and forecasting projects. Many of the techniques
                                            are already established within our business through the Unipart Way (our way of working). We
                                            have established a reputation for thought leadership and present regular seminars on the subject.

                                            Unipart Expert Practices
                                            As the consultancy arm of Unipart Logistics, Unipart Expert Practices (UEP) provides supply
                                            chain consulting services. UEP has particular areas of expertise in process re-design, sustainable
                                            employee engagement, supply chain strategy, design and operation. UEP’s clients include Shell,
                                            Home Delivery, ESAB, Network Rail & Sky.

                                            The next articles in this series, together with any other publications from our quarterly
                                            publication Living Logistics are available from the Thought Leadership section of our web site.
                                            www.unipartlogistics.com/consulting




           For more information contact:
                 Unipart Expert Practices
         Unipart House, Garsington Road
                         Cowley, Oxford
                              OX4 2PG
               Tel: +44 (0) 1865 384690
             uep.enquiries@unipart.co.uk
                   or visit our website:
    www.unipartlogistics.com/consulting




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UEP Getting Ahead Through Six Practices, Practice 5 World Class Integrated Planning

  • 1. Getting ahead through Six Practices Practice 5 Supply Chain Consultancy World-class Integrated Planning Recently, McKinsey and Co. (in conjunction their major concerns. This is not surprising. with Georgia Tech College of Management) Over the past 10 years, supply chains have published a report which indicated become increasingly global, opening new areas that six supply chain related practices of risk and uncertainty. Issues such as natural are fundamental to giving companies a disasters, political instability and exchange rate competitive edge. According to the findings, fluctuations can affect supply at very short companies who excel in these six areas notice and have potentially catastrophic effects. are dominant in terms of service, cost and Add to this the complexity of new routes to inventory. In this paper Derek Thomason market, a more informed and fickle customer and Martin Green look at the fifth of these base, shorter product lifecycles and high practices, World class integrated planning: levels of commercial activity (e.g. promotions, end to end and top to bottom marketing campaigns etc) and it is easy to understand why planning has risen up the Many senior supply chain executives report business agenda. that planning and forecasting is now one of 1 of 6
  • 2. Yet many businesses operate planning processes that are based on historical models and do not reflect this change in circumstances. Every supply chain must have a plan; note that this is singular, i.e. one plan. This plan must be integrated (i.e. joined together) and synchronised (i.e. performed in a timely manner). Companies that do not have integrated planning are characterised by:  constant ‘fire fighting’ in response to unplanned or unexpected events;  high levels of inventory (often the wrong inventory) at multiple levels in the supply chain;  distrust of the plans and activities of other departments. Planning is thus complex and multi dimensional:  Vertically within a business. I.e. The plans and aspirations of the senior management team need to percolate down through the business to affect behaviours at the ‘shop floor’ level;  Horizontally within a business (or even between businesses). i.e. all the various departments within a business must work to achieve the same business objective. Indeed, this can be extended to include both suppliers and customers.  Time. The business needs to make decisions far in advance of the end ‘event’ hence the need to plan rather than just respond. At the same time it needs to be able to react quickly, maybe in a matter of hours. We address each of these dimensions in the following chapters. Clients that have integrated planning exhibit the following characteristics:  a planning framework that cascades down from the high level corporate plan to affect the behaviours of the staff on the shop floor, e.g., a Policy Deployment Matrix (or PDM) process;  KPIs that encourage everyone to focus on customer value and overall supply chain effectiveness rather than ‘Silo’ efficiency, e.g., focusing on customer service;  a culture that encourages cross functional dialogue and collaboration, both internally and with trading partners (e.g. in Unipart we deploy a process called Ten(d) to Zero. This aims to reduce suppliers errors to zero);  A process that provides end-to-end visibility of supply chain performance to everyone;  A process that provides visibility of all upcoming events and changes in a timely manner. (e.g. promotional activity or introduction of new product lines)  a process that segments the planning effort, for example:  Complex or problem areas are put ‘under the microscope’; Figure 1. The Planning Hierarchy  Automation of planning and forecasting is deployed in less onerous areas;  a continuous improvement culture that empowers everyone (at all levels) to challenge current processes and develop improvements Strategic Planning Note that several of these points are ‘cultural’ rather then ‘technical’. Vertical Planning - Policy Deployment (or Hoshin Kanri) Business It is all very well having a grand master plan and a strategy, but if it does not translate into actions Planning and changes in behaviours at the shop floor level, the vision is unlikely to be realised. Figure 1 illustrates the key vertical planning requirements. At the top are the business strategy Sales and Operations and the planning objectives. At the bottom are the key materials planning processes, including Planning demand planning, procurement, manufacturing and inventory planning. Policy Deployment (also known as Hoshin Kanri) is a tool to cascade business objectives down Demand Management and through each level of management, to ensure that everyone is moving in the same direction. It Manufacturing Scheduling is a method of sorting the many desirable projects from the few essential ones. In Planning and Forecasting terms this is a prerequisite Integrated Planning 2 of 6
  • 3. There are four main parts to the successful use of Policy deployment, these are:  establishing aims and projects;  developing deliverables and results;  agreeing resources and accountabilities;  monitoring progress. Establishing the mission of the unit being planned and its aims starts at the senior management level in terms of business objectives. This is then converted into a required set of project deliverables and the results by which progress will be measured. Each level and function is then asked to identify its supporting aims, project deliverables and results needed to meet the business goals. The cascade continues to objectives for the individual. Figure 2. A typicalPDM planning process Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Financial Corporate Planning Budgeting Planning Pre-work Level One Business PDM Function / Project PDM Level Two Policy Deployment Department / PDM Level Three Team & Individual plan Level Four Horizontal planning: Sales and Operations Planning Typically the supply chain planning process is split into two areas, demand and supply. Inventory or ‘backlog’ forms the buffer between the two. Thus the levels of inventory or the size of the backlog are indicators of the extent to which supply and demand are synchronised (or not!!). Sales and Operations Planning (S&OP) is a key tool in the integrated planning armoury. While most companies operate demand, and a number of supply planning processes, (including inventory, MRP, MPS etc), they frequently do not bring these together in a formal way. In fact, many companies do not have a formal supply plan, relying on their ability to react and respond to short term circumstances. These cultures breed a reliance on ‘heroes’ and a distrust of ‘the other side’. 3 of 6
  • 4. Figure 3. The horizontal planning components Generating Demand Account / Consumers Category Channel Promotions Consumers Customers Suppliers NPD Integrated Customer Planning Service Manage Purchase Manufacture Inventory Distribute Ensuring Supply S&OP is the tool that:  provides end-to-end visibility of the supply chain;  bridges the gap between high level business plans / strategies and operational requirements;  ensures clear and concise communication between the demand generation side of the business (Sales and Marketing) and the supply side of the business (Procurement, Manufacturing, Inventory, etc). Figure 3 shows how S&OP sits at the centre of all the key business processes and provides an important role in integrating plans across the supply chain. As S&OP is usually attended by the most senior managers, it also provides a vital link in the vertical planning dimension. i.e. it helps translate strategy into action However, implementing S&OP is not simply a ‘technical’ process. By its nature, it often challenges conventional wisdoms and forces conversations that in the past have not been held. It requires information (and data) to be presented and discussed in different ways and common units of measure to be developed. (For example, sales may plan in terms of £s, while supply chain may work in tonnes, cases or units). At Unipart we treat S&OP as a cultural and process change exercise. While technology is necessary to support the process, success will only come with significant changes in attitude. In other words it is more about ‘hearts and minds’ then it is about systems and processes. The main pre requisite for implementing this process is that there MUST be a senior champion on the board. Without this support and commitment, the process will fail to unlock the potential that S&OP offers for integrated planning Time as a planning dimension Our experience shows that many planning processes are not ‘fit for purpose’. This is because all businesses need to plan against a number of time dimensions. At the one level there is the longer term plans associated with obtaining new capacity and developing new skills. At the other end of the scale, businesses often need to be able to react to changing circumstances in a matter of days or even hours. 4 of 6
  • 5. Figure 4 The traditional planning process Demand signal Forecast (MPS?) Production Make Ship Schedule week 0 week 1 week 2 week 3 week4 Many businesses operate on a rigid operational planning process which is summarised in figure 4. While this may suit some businesses, in today’s turbulent trading environment, the process is often too slow to react to changes in circumstances. The result is that plans are ‘out of date’ almost before they are published and the business slips into ‘firefighting mode’. Nobody trusts (or adheres) to the plan. The solution lies partially in understanding the demand characteristics in more detail and recognising that ‘one size does not fit all’. For example, a business may have products that fit into all or some of the following:  Stable demand  Promotions or planned ‘spikes’  New products  Seasonal lines  Slow moving lines Each of these requires a different planning process. Products may move from one process to another over time (for example, as a product moves into a promotion). Thus (for example), we may choose to allow our standard automated planning and forecasting process to look after the products on ‘stable demand’. However, when a product is due to go on promotion, it needs to be taken out of the standard process and ‘put under the microscope’. This may involve daily reviews with key stakeholders and the use of different data to manage the process. Again, S&OP is the mechanism that coordinates this activity. Education and Training One of the first questions we ask is ‘how many of the supply chain team have received any formal supply chain training?’ The answer is usually a lamentably small number. Education is a pre-requisite to Integrated Planning as it raises awareness of the broader issues in managing a supply chain and reduces distrust between the key stakeholders. This education is usually required at ALL levels in the business, from CEO down to the shop floor (although, naturally the nature of the training will differ). Process Definition. One of the major issues within planning and forecasting is that there can be a lack of clarity of roles and responsibilities. Forecasting is a classic area. The key input to this process has to be the demand plan, owned by the sales and marketing team. However, they rarely have the incentive to put effort into this process and when they do, it is often based on value (£). Supply Chain then have to interpret this into cases, pallets and tonnes by SKU. Alternatively, supply chain may have responsibility for producing a forecast (usually statistically), and then try to get input from the sales and marketing teams. The resulting forecast has an element of ‘not invented here’ about it. One of the benefits of S&OP mentioned above is that it forces businesses to confront these issues. A clear description of the processes, together with clarity on roles and responsibilities, provides a basis for process improvement. This then allows businesses to ‘blue-print’ and trial process improvements. 5 of 6
  • 6. Expert Input Developing a new (or improved) planning process requires careful facilitation and change management. It also requires someone with new insights and free of existing organisational politics. If this does not happen, there is a grave danger of simply reinventing old processes. This frequently happens when businesses install new software. This software is usually configured to replicate historical processes, and the opportunity to undertake significant improvement is lost Conclusions In today’s turbulent business environment, having a planning process that is truly ‘fit for purpose’ is more important then at any time in the past. The process needs to be integrated at all levels in the organisation and effectively engage all the key stakeholders. At the same time, the process needs to be able to respond rapidly to changing circumstances. Developing and implementing a new process is complex, involving not just changes in ways of working, but also changes in attitudes and behaviours across the business. However, the benefits associated with this effort are significant. McKinsey report that companies with world class planning processes “were 4 times more likely to achieve top third inventory performance, 2.6 times more likely to achieve top distribution and logistics performance, and 1.3 times more likely to achieve top service performance”. So it is well worth the effort! UEP is uniquely positioned to support planning and forecasting projects. Many of the techniques are already established within our business through the Unipart Way (our way of working). We have established a reputation for thought leadership and present regular seminars on the subject. Unipart Expert Practices As the consultancy arm of Unipart Logistics, Unipart Expert Practices (UEP) provides supply chain consulting services. UEP has particular areas of expertise in process re-design, sustainable employee engagement, supply chain strategy, design and operation. UEP’s clients include Shell, Home Delivery, ESAB, Network Rail & Sky. The next articles in this series, together with any other publications from our quarterly publication Living Logistics are available from the Thought Leadership section of our web site. www.unipartlogistics.com/consulting For more information contact: Unipart Expert Practices Unipart House, Garsington Road Cowley, Oxford OX4 2PG Tel: +44 (0) 1865 384690 uep.enquiries@unipart.co.uk or visit our website: www.unipartlogistics.com/consulting 6 of 6