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Has the science and innovation «the green light»?
European perspective inventions, «Apples» of LV, LT and EE.
New business ideas.
Dr.Andrius Jarzemskis                                         Gints Turlajs
                           19 October 2012, Riga
Gints Turlajs
 PhD studies in business economics (2004-2010), degree candidate
 Master in Business Administration (2004)
 Studies in 4 universities: Stockholm School of Economics in Riga, University of
    Southern Denmark, University of Latvia, Riga Technical University
   Some academic activites at SSE Riga, RTU
   Author of more than 12 scientific publications, regular speaker in conferences
   CEO of SIA Institute (2011-) (www.aci.lv, www.itinstitute.info)
   CEO of SIA Ekoterm (2012-) (www.siaekoterm.com)
   6 years in banking (SEB bank, Latvijas Banka)
   3 years in international institutions and government (European Commission,
    Ministry of Economics of Latvia)
 Media experience: now columnist for business magazine Kapitals, blog, in
    magazine «ir», previously biggest newspaper «Diena», etc.
 Currently board member of Economists Association of Latvia, Association of
    Latvian Young Scientists (ex-president). Prevously president of Riga Ridzene
    Rotary club, founding initiator and board member, president: ESN Riga, AEGEE
    Riga, founder and member of many professional associations

                                                                                     2
Andrius Jarzemskis
 Doctor in Transportation (2005)
 Master in Business Administration (2001)
 Associated Professor in International Business
    School at Vilnius University
 7 years experience in university teaching
 Managing Partner at Smart Continent LT
    consultancy (2005-2012)
 7 years experience in business as shareholder
 7 years experience in project management
 4 years experience as employee in various
    companies (2001-2005)
 1 year experience in position of public advisor to
    the Minister (2009)
 5 years experience in representing Lithuania in
    European Bodies as national representative or
    expert (2007-2012)

                                                       Pictures source: http://www.superchooha.com/


                                                                                             3
Northern Europe, similar culturally, is different
in economics, «iron curtain» still exists...




                  Figures for 2011   Source: Eurostat


                                                        4
Wannabees of North Eastern Europe




                                    5
Some Baltic young stars and Nordic counterparts




         The iron curtain, mighty crack in the Baltic sea




                                                            6
How can young Baltic «apples» compete?

In business, being young and smart might be an
 advantage, especially in young industries,
 however, much comes with time, history and
 established customer base.
It is very hard for young enterprises from the
 Baltic countries to conquer world markets,
 especially given the very bad state of and
 support for research and innovation.

                                      Pictures source: http://www.superchooha.com/


                                                                            7
Triple Helix approach

Introduced by Henry Etzkowitz.
In essence – cooperation of university, industry
 and government.
It is a synergy in knowledge spillovers among
 universities, industry and the government.
Other researchers stress also on the importance
 of the financial system as the 4th element of
 innovation.

                                      Pictures source: http://www.superchooha.com/


                                                                            8
Triple Helix – What we expect from the parts?
In the context of innovations:




                     Academia




          Business              Government




                                                9
Triple Helix – more explanatory illustration
developed by Gints




                                               10
Quadruple Helix approach: National innovation
system, suggested by Gints


                                   Financial
         Academia
                                    system




                     Innovation
                       system




          Business                Government




                                                11
EU innovation performance, 2011
Innovation Union Scoreboard




                    Source: Innometrics, 2012

                                                12
The economist noticed development of EE startups




                                              13
Interim conclusions...
 Summary Innovation Index quite closely follows GDP figures.
 Estonia is somewhat ahead of other Baltic countries, especially in
  innovation.
 The performance of Latvia is especially catastrophic in innovation
  index.
 The Baltic Sea, it seems, has the deepest dividing crack on the
  Earth – Latvia to the East is the last in the EU, Sweden just
  nearby to the West is the first in the EU in innovation measures.
 Most of us intuitively understand the reasons, however, deeper
  investigation is interesting.


                                                   Pictures source: http://www.superchooha.com/


                                                                                        14
Innovations factors:




            Source: Innovation Union Scoreboard 2011

                                                       15
Innovation performance per dimension




                          Source: Innovation Union Scoreboard 2011

                                                               16
Youth aged 20-40 having attained upper
secondary education




                           Source: Innovation Union Scoreboard 2011

                                                                17
R&D expenditure in public sector as % of GDP




                                               18
R&D expenditure in business sector as % of GDP




                                                 19
Thermometer of innovativeness ability




                                                              Innovations
ESA, NASA TPL
 classification
                   Mass production and delivery
 TRL9
                   Introducing pilot into market
 TRL8




                                                              Experimental develoment
                   Manufacturing of pilot batch of product
 TRL7
                   Demonstration of prototype
 TRL6
                   Prototype manufacturing
 TRL5
                   Testing model
 TRL4
                   Preparing model of product
 TRL3
                   Testing and validation of concept
 TRL2




                                                             research
                   Conceptualization of product




                                                              Applied
 TRL1
                   Formulation of idea for new product


     Fundamental
       research
Proposition by Gints: Enhanced Porter’s diamond

                                   Natural endowment


                                        Factor
                                      conditions
  Business                                                                   Business
                                                          Related &        development,
development,         Demand                              supporting
 market size,       conditions                                              market size,
                                                         industries          openness
  openness                               Firm
                                      strategy,
                                                                         Bargaining power
                                     structure &
                                                                           of customers
                                        rivalry
                                                                        Bargaining power
Product needed by                 Competitiveness of                      of suppliers
   consumers                     individual enterprise
                                                                        Threat of entrants
  Attractive
    price            Effective marketing                              Threat of substitutes

                                                                                        21
The path from basic research to innovation

Research and experimental development                              Innovations




Research                                Experimental
                                        development

Fundamental         Applied
(basic)             (industrial)                                   Introducing new
research            research                                       products in
                                                                   manufacturing


                                        Application of knowledge

Producing of knowledge




                                                                              22
R&D in GDP, %
1.40%

1.20%

1.00%

0.80%

0.60%

0.40%

0.20%

0.00%
        2001   2002   2003    2004    2005    2006    2007     2008   2009   2010


                      LT, % GDP, State Expenditures in R&D
                      LT, % GDP, Private Expenditures in R&D
                      EU27, % GDP, Private Expenditures in R&D
                      EU27, % GDP, State Expenditures in R&D




                                                                                    23
How the companies look like in Lithuania? Scale:
 1 000 and more employees       55
                                65

       500–999 employees        106
                                138

       250–499 employees        294
                                323

       150–249 employees        432
                                570

       100–149 employees        807
                                933

         50–99 employees              2727
                                      2803

         20–49 employees                 5890
                                         6259

         10–19 employees                     7821
                                             7586

           5–9 employees                                14865
                                                     12226

           0–4 employees                                                                             50627
                                                                                         42441

                            0                10000        20000          30000   40000           50000       60000

                                                         2012     2006



                                                                                                                     24
Changes in GDP content (Lithuania)
                Financial and Insurance activity
                     Healtcare and social work
                            Electricit, gas suply
            Profesional, scientific and technical…
                               Food production
              Information and Communication
                                Rent of housing
                            agriculture, fishery
                                     Education
                         Real estate operations
        Public administration and State defence
                                  Construction
               Transportation and warehousing
                            Wholsale and retail
                                Manufacturing
                                                    0.00%   2.00%   4.00%   6.00%    8.00%   10.00% 12.00% 14.00% 16.00%


                                                2010        2006


                                                                                    Source: Survey, Smartcontinent, 2012
                                                                                                                           25
Things relevant to Lithuanian companies:
before, during and after crisis
                      Funding of R&D projects

                 Searching of foreign partners
      Construction and reconstruction of new
            production infrastructures
                         Instaliation of new IT

      New management systems and methods

                    Increasing number of staff
        Increasing of qualification of staff and
                       trainings
            Purchaising and medernisation of
                        equipment
                             Increasing export

                  Production of new products

                Increasing labour productivity

                                                   0.00% 2.00% 4.00% 6.00% 8.00% 10.00% 12.00% 14.00% 16.00% 18.00%


                                now          2008-2011                 until 2007
                                                                                 Source: Survey, Smartcontinent, 2012
                                                                                                                      26
Things that companies expect from Government:
before, during and after crisis
     Subsidies for non-material assests (licences)

                                    VAT privilegies

     Subsidies for credits interest rates reduction

         Subsidies for consultation and trainings.
      Subsidies for R&D activities funding (except
                     infrastructure)
                    Subsidies for IT infrastructure

                              Profit tax privilegies

         Subsidies for participation in exhibitions

                   Subsidies for new work places

                             Subsidies for salaries
       Subsidies for manufacturing infrastructure
                     and equipment
                                                       0.0%   2.0%   4.0%   6.0%    8.0%   10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0%


                                now          2007-2011                 until 2007
                                                                                   Source: Survey, Smartcontinent, 2012
                                                                                                                     27
Capacities of production lines
    80%

    70%

    60%

    50%

    40%

    30%

    20%

    10%

    0%
          2004   2005    2006      2007     2008    2009     2010     2011

                  More than necesary      Enough    Not enough




                                                   Source: Survey, Smartcontinent, 2012
                                                                                     28
New business ideas

Foresight exercise is an important tool in the
 development of national direction and creation
 of new businesses in it, excellently used
 historically in Finland, but now also everywhere
 else.
Wayne Gretzky approach: «I am an average
 player, but I concentrate on where the puck will
 be in 10 seconds instead of on where it is now»!
Meet the future today, create blue ocean! Good
 luck with it!
                                                    29
Innovation process or cycle




Source: Turlajs, Riiaschenko (2011)




                                      30
Some good examples of industrial policy in past

Finland – SITRA (www.sitra.fi), Estonia –
 Arengufond (www.arengufond.ee), government
 initiated investment funds doing foresight and
 seed/venture investment.
Taiwan – common foreign marketing of
 taiwanese brands abroad financed by the state.
Japan in the 60s-80s: very influential Ministry of
 Trade and Industry subordinating other tasks
 under export development.

                                                      31
Suggestion by Gints: industrial policy 3.0 is
needed!
Education policy is very important and its
 connection with industry.
Promotion of sophisticated industries and
 production of goods and tradeable services.
Direct cash subsidies without specifying purpose
 not effective, more catalisation.
Promotion of knowledge and information society
 helps all sophisticated industries.
All elements of the innovation system have to be
 in place.
                                                32
A new northern alliance

We believe a new Northern alliance is
 possible, let this presentation be a proof of it!



                          &




                                                     33
Conclusions

The light for science and innovation is rather
 red in Lithuania, and especially in Latvia. Estonia
 is somewhat ahead.
However, some young and perspective
 companies manage to struggle to conquer world
 markets despite the difficulties.
Urgent action is needed to improve the
 situation. We hope the future is bright!


                                                       34
We believe in innovation progress in the Baltic countries!
Do you?

Please contact:
Andrius Jaržemskis                  Gints Turlajs
lt@smartcontinent.com               gints@aci.lv
                                    Tel: +371 29409509
                                    Skype, LinkedIn,
                                    facebook, SlideShare:
                                    search for Gints Turlajs


                                                               35

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Turlajs jarzemskis 19 oct sfk

  • 1. Has the science and innovation «the green light»? European perspective inventions, «Apples» of LV, LT and EE. New business ideas. Dr.Andrius Jarzemskis Gints Turlajs 19 October 2012, Riga
  • 2. Gints Turlajs  PhD studies in business economics (2004-2010), degree candidate  Master in Business Administration (2004)  Studies in 4 universities: Stockholm School of Economics in Riga, University of Southern Denmark, University of Latvia, Riga Technical University  Some academic activites at SSE Riga, RTU  Author of more than 12 scientific publications, regular speaker in conferences  CEO of SIA Institute (2011-) (www.aci.lv, www.itinstitute.info)  CEO of SIA Ekoterm (2012-) (www.siaekoterm.com)  6 years in banking (SEB bank, Latvijas Banka)  3 years in international institutions and government (European Commission, Ministry of Economics of Latvia)  Media experience: now columnist for business magazine Kapitals, blog, in magazine «ir», previously biggest newspaper «Diena», etc.  Currently board member of Economists Association of Latvia, Association of Latvian Young Scientists (ex-president). Prevously president of Riga Ridzene Rotary club, founding initiator and board member, president: ESN Riga, AEGEE Riga, founder and member of many professional associations 2
  • 3. Andrius Jarzemskis  Doctor in Transportation (2005)  Master in Business Administration (2001)  Associated Professor in International Business School at Vilnius University  7 years experience in university teaching  Managing Partner at Smart Continent LT consultancy (2005-2012)  7 years experience in business as shareholder  7 years experience in project management  4 years experience as employee in various companies (2001-2005)  1 year experience in position of public advisor to the Minister (2009)  5 years experience in representing Lithuania in European Bodies as national representative or expert (2007-2012) Pictures source: http://www.superchooha.com/ 3
  • 4. Northern Europe, similar culturally, is different in economics, «iron curtain» still exists... Figures for 2011 Source: Eurostat 4
  • 5. Wannabees of North Eastern Europe 5
  • 6. Some Baltic young stars and Nordic counterparts The iron curtain, mighty crack in the Baltic sea 6
  • 7. How can young Baltic «apples» compete? In business, being young and smart might be an advantage, especially in young industries, however, much comes with time, history and established customer base. It is very hard for young enterprises from the Baltic countries to conquer world markets, especially given the very bad state of and support for research and innovation. Pictures source: http://www.superchooha.com/ 7
  • 8. Triple Helix approach Introduced by Henry Etzkowitz. In essence – cooperation of university, industry and government. It is a synergy in knowledge spillovers among universities, industry and the government. Other researchers stress also on the importance of the financial system as the 4th element of innovation. Pictures source: http://www.superchooha.com/ 8
  • 9. Triple Helix – What we expect from the parts? In the context of innovations: Academia Business Government 9
  • 10. Triple Helix – more explanatory illustration developed by Gints 10
  • 11. Quadruple Helix approach: National innovation system, suggested by Gints Financial Academia system Innovation system Business Government 11
  • 12. EU innovation performance, 2011 Innovation Union Scoreboard Source: Innometrics, 2012 12
  • 13. The economist noticed development of EE startups 13
  • 14. Interim conclusions...  Summary Innovation Index quite closely follows GDP figures.  Estonia is somewhat ahead of other Baltic countries, especially in innovation.  The performance of Latvia is especially catastrophic in innovation index.  The Baltic Sea, it seems, has the deepest dividing crack on the Earth – Latvia to the East is the last in the EU, Sweden just nearby to the West is the first in the EU in innovation measures.  Most of us intuitively understand the reasons, however, deeper investigation is interesting. Pictures source: http://www.superchooha.com/ 14
  • 15. Innovations factors: Source: Innovation Union Scoreboard 2011 15
  • 16. Innovation performance per dimension Source: Innovation Union Scoreboard 2011 16
  • 17. Youth aged 20-40 having attained upper secondary education Source: Innovation Union Scoreboard 2011 17
  • 18. R&D expenditure in public sector as % of GDP 18
  • 19. R&D expenditure in business sector as % of GDP 19
  • 20. Thermometer of innovativeness ability Innovations ESA, NASA TPL classification Mass production and delivery TRL9 Introducing pilot into market TRL8 Experimental develoment Manufacturing of pilot batch of product TRL7 Demonstration of prototype TRL6 Prototype manufacturing TRL5 Testing model TRL4 Preparing model of product TRL3 Testing and validation of concept TRL2 research Conceptualization of product Applied TRL1 Formulation of idea for new product Fundamental research
  • 21. Proposition by Gints: Enhanced Porter’s diamond Natural endowment Factor conditions Business Business Related & development, development, Demand supporting market size, conditions market size, industries openness openness Firm strategy, Bargaining power structure & of customers rivalry Bargaining power Product needed by Competitiveness of of suppliers consumers individual enterprise Threat of entrants Attractive price Effective marketing Threat of substitutes 21
  • 22. The path from basic research to innovation Research and experimental development Innovations Research Experimental development Fundamental Applied (basic) (industrial) Introducing new research research products in manufacturing Application of knowledge Producing of knowledge 22
  • 23. R&D in GDP, % 1.40% 1.20% 1.00% 0.80% 0.60% 0.40% 0.20% 0.00% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 LT, % GDP, State Expenditures in R&D LT, % GDP, Private Expenditures in R&D EU27, % GDP, Private Expenditures in R&D EU27, % GDP, State Expenditures in R&D 23
  • 24. How the companies look like in Lithuania? Scale: 1 000 and more employees 55 65 500–999 employees 106 138 250–499 employees 294 323 150–249 employees 432 570 100–149 employees 807 933 50–99 employees 2727 2803 20–49 employees 5890 6259 10–19 employees 7821 7586 5–9 employees 14865 12226 0–4 employees 50627 42441 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 2012 2006 24
  • 25. Changes in GDP content (Lithuania) Financial and Insurance activity Healtcare and social work Electricit, gas suply Profesional, scientific and technical… Food production Information and Communication Rent of housing agriculture, fishery Education Real estate operations Public administration and State defence Construction Transportation and warehousing Wholsale and retail Manufacturing 0.00% 2.00% 4.00% 6.00% 8.00% 10.00% 12.00% 14.00% 16.00% 2010 2006 Source: Survey, Smartcontinent, 2012 25
  • 26. Things relevant to Lithuanian companies: before, during and after crisis Funding of R&D projects Searching of foreign partners Construction and reconstruction of new production infrastructures Instaliation of new IT New management systems and methods Increasing number of staff Increasing of qualification of staff and trainings Purchaising and medernisation of equipment Increasing export Production of new products Increasing labour productivity 0.00% 2.00% 4.00% 6.00% 8.00% 10.00% 12.00% 14.00% 16.00% 18.00% now 2008-2011 until 2007 Source: Survey, Smartcontinent, 2012 26
  • 27. Things that companies expect from Government: before, during and after crisis Subsidies for non-material assests (licences) VAT privilegies Subsidies for credits interest rates reduction Subsidies for consultation and trainings. Subsidies for R&D activities funding (except infrastructure) Subsidies for IT infrastructure Profit tax privilegies Subsidies for participation in exhibitions Subsidies for new work places Subsidies for salaries Subsidies for manufacturing infrastructure and equipment 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0% now 2007-2011 until 2007 Source: Survey, Smartcontinent, 2012 27
  • 28. Capacities of production lines 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 More than necesary Enough Not enough Source: Survey, Smartcontinent, 2012 28
  • 29. New business ideas Foresight exercise is an important tool in the development of national direction and creation of new businesses in it, excellently used historically in Finland, but now also everywhere else. Wayne Gretzky approach: «I am an average player, but I concentrate on where the puck will be in 10 seconds instead of on where it is now»! Meet the future today, create blue ocean! Good luck with it! 29
  • 30. Innovation process or cycle Source: Turlajs, Riiaschenko (2011) 30
  • 31. Some good examples of industrial policy in past Finland – SITRA (www.sitra.fi), Estonia – Arengufond (www.arengufond.ee), government initiated investment funds doing foresight and seed/venture investment. Taiwan – common foreign marketing of taiwanese brands abroad financed by the state. Japan in the 60s-80s: very influential Ministry of Trade and Industry subordinating other tasks under export development. 31
  • 32. Suggestion by Gints: industrial policy 3.0 is needed! Education policy is very important and its connection with industry. Promotion of sophisticated industries and production of goods and tradeable services. Direct cash subsidies without specifying purpose not effective, more catalisation. Promotion of knowledge and information society helps all sophisticated industries. All elements of the innovation system have to be in place. 32
  • 33. A new northern alliance We believe a new Northern alliance is possible, let this presentation be a proof of it! & 33
  • 34. Conclusions The light for science and innovation is rather red in Lithuania, and especially in Latvia. Estonia is somewhat ahead. However, some young and perspective companies manage to struggle to conquer world markets despite the difficulties. Urgent action is needed to improve the situation. We hope the future is bright! 34
  • 35. We believe in innovation progress in the Baltic countries! Do you? Please contact: Andrius Jaržemskis Gints Turlajs lt@smartcontinent.com gints@aci.lv Tel: +371 29409509 Skype, LinkedIn, facebook, SlideShare: search for Gints Turlajs 35

Editor's Notes

  1. Reikia pakeisti slide’ubackground’ą, kad nebūtų “Civitta” logotipo.
  2. It is evident that the moderate and modest innovators are characterised by an unbalanced research and innovation systems. This is particularly clear in the ‘Innovators’ dimension with very low shares of SMEs introducing product or process innovations as well as SMEs introducing marketing and organisation innovations.