SlideShare a Scribd company logo
@josephreisinger
thedatamines.com
venetian treacle
costmary, 1-66 grams
sweet flag, 20 grams
hypericum, 8 grams
Natural gum, 8 grams
sagapenum, 8 grams
acacia juice, 8 grams
Illyrian iris (probably I. germanica), 8 grams
cardamom, 8 grams
anise, 12 grams
Gallic nard (Valeriana italica), 16 grams
gentian root, 16 grams
dried rose leaves, 16 grams
poppy-tears (Papaver rhoeas), 17 grams
parsley, 17 grams
casia, 20-66 grams
saxifrage, 20-66 grams
darnel, 20-66 grams
long pepper, 20-66 grams
storax, 21 grams
castoreum, 24 grams
frankincense, 24 grams
hypocistis juice, 24 grams
myrrh, 24 grams
opopanax, 24 grams
malabathrum leaves, 24 grams
flower of round rush, 24-66 grams
turpentine-resin, 24-66 grams
galbanum, 24-66 grams
Cretan carrot seeds, 24-66 grams
nard, 25 grams
opobalsam, 25 grams
shepherd's purse, 25 grams
rhubarb root, 28 grams
saffron, 29 grams
ginger, 29 grams
cinnamon, 29 grams
The ingredients are then "pounded and taken up in honey.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mithridate
The preparation of [Mithridatium] was simple in that its
ingredients were free of fractional measures. Four vipers
cut down small were placed in a solution of sal
ammoniac, about one gallon, to which were added nine
specified herbs and Attic wine, together with five fresh
squills also cut down small. The pot was covered with
clay and set upon a fire. When the vapour came out of
the four small holes left in the clay seal, dark and turgid,
the heat had reached the vipers and they were cooked.
The pot was left to cool for a night and day. The roasted
matter was taken out and pounded until all was reduced
to powder. After 10 days the powder was ready for the
next stage of manufacture.
(Griffin, Br J Clin Pharmacol. 2004)
"The Mithridatic antidote is composed of fifty-four
ingredients, no two of them having the same weight,
while of some is prescribed one sixtieth part of one
denarius. Which of the gods, in the name of Truth, fixed
these absurd proportions? No human brain could have
been sharp enough. It is plainly a showy parade of the
art, and a colossal boast of science.”
— Pliny (Natural History, XXIX.24-25, ca. AD 77)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mithridate
“man-made and therefore
unreliable”
—Li Keqiang
National income is not a "primary fact" but
an "empirical construct":


"To ascertain income it is necessary to set
up a theory from which income is derived as
a concept by postulation and then associate
this concept with a certain set of primary
facts.”
—Richard Stone
The Accounts of Society, Nobel Memorial Lecture, 1984
"There's still a Cold War element to our
statistics. We're kind of in a holding
pattern. In many situations I found myself
wishing we had more current data and
broader data."
— Alan Krueger
http://on.wsj.com/1ggFq9c
Young The African Growth Miracle, J. of Political Economy, 2012
Emergence of new sectors of the economy is
not accurately tracked.
The collection of statistics needs to be
modernized; it is time to use the new
technologies to start collecting data.
…particularly important in developing countries
where the prevalence of mobile phones now
offers an unprecedented opportunity to measure
the economy.
mobile
sensors
micro
to
macro
scarcity
and
access
risk
Average wait times are about ~10m
longer in Maracaibo than in Caracas.
Police are present ~80% of the time in
Maracaibo, but only 30-40% in Caracas.
Supermarket Wait Time
Police Presence
Fingerprint Scanner Prevalence
citizen
journalism
volatility
and
linkages
Food prices and the incidence of violence in Africa [van Weezel 2013]
[UN FAO; 2013]
infrastructure
development
and
mapping
Economic data = Venetian treacle
let’s fix that.
instagram/premisedata
(all of the images in this talk)
what about fraud?
おまけ
only show things with revisit
“people
as
sensors”

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The Mobile Revolution and the Future of Modern Data Collection by Joe Reisinger, Co-founder and CTO of Premise

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  • 7. costmary, 1-66 grams sweet flag, 20 grams hypericum, 8 grams Natural gum, 8 grams sagapenum, 8 grams acacia juice, 8 grams Illyrian iris (probably I. germanica), 8 grams cardamom, 8 grams anise, 12 grams Gallic nard (Valeriana italica), 16 grams gentian root, 16 grams dried rose leaves, 16 grams poppy-tears (Papaver rhoeas), 17 grams parsley, 17 grams casia, 20-66 grams saxifrage, 20-66 grams darnel, 20-66 grams long pepper, 20-66 grams storax, 21 grams castoreum, 24 grams frankincense, 24 grams hypocistis juice, 24 grams myrrh, 24 grams opopanax, 24 grams malabathrum leaves, 24 grams flower of round rush, 24-66 grams turpentine-resin, 24-66 grams galbanum, 24-66 grams Cretan carrot seeds, 24-66 grams nard, 25 grams opobalsam, 25 grams shepherd's purse, 25 grams rhubarb root, 28 grams saffron, 29 grams ginger, 29 grams cinnamon, 29 grams The ingredients are then "pounded and taken up in honey. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mithridate
  • 8. The preparation of [Mithridatium] was simple in that its ingredients were free of fractional measures. Four vipers cut down small were placed in a solution of sal ammoniac, about one gallon, to which were added nine specified herbs and Attic wine, together with five fresh squills also cut down small. The pot was covered with clay and set upon a fire. When the vapour came out of the four small holes left in the clay seal, dark and turgid, the heat had reached the vipers and they were cooked. The pot was left to cool for a night and day. The roasted matter was taken out and pounded until all was reduced to powder. After 10 days the powder was ready for the next stage of manufacture. (Griffin, Br J Clin Pharmacol. 2004)
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  • 11. "The Mithridatic antidote is composed of fifty-four ingredients, no two of them having the same weight, while of some is prescribed one sixtieth part of one denarius. Which of the gods, in the name of Truth, fixed these absurd proportions? No human brain could have been sharp enough. It is plainly a showy parade of the art, and a colossal boast of science.” — Pliny (Natural History, XXIX.24-25, ca. AD 77) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mithridate
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  • 14. National income is not a "primary fact" but an "empirical construct": 
 "To ascertain income it is necessary to set up a theory from which income is derived as a concept by postulation and then associate this concept with a certain set of primary facts.” —Richard Stone The Accounts of Society, Nobel Memorial Lecture, 1984
  • 15. "There's still a Cold War element to our statistics. We're kind of in a holding pattern. In many situations I found myself wishing we had more current data and broader data." — Alan Krueger http://on.wsj.com/1ggFq9c
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  • 17. Young The African Growth Miracle, J. of Political Economy, 2012
  • 18. Emergence of new sectors of the economy is not accurately tracked. The collection of statistics needs to be modernized; it is time to use the new technologies to start collecting data. …particularly important in developing countries where the prevalence of mobile phones now offers an unprecedented opportunity to measure the economy.
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  • 33. Average wait times are about ~10m longer in Maracaibo than in Caracas. Police are present ~80% of the time in Maracaibo, but only 30-40% in Caracas. Supermarket Wait Time Police Presence Fingerprint Scanner Prevalence
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  • 37. Food prices and the incidence of violence in Africa [van Weezel 2013]
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  • 53. Economic data = Venetian treacle
  • 55. instagram/premisedata (all of the images in this talk)
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  • 61. only show things with revisit
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