This body of work on the Future of Consumer to Business Payment was prepared by Eric Leo Blais, Jen Chow, Jessica Mills, and Richard Norman in Fall 2011 as part of their Foresight Studio in OCAD University's Master of Design in Strategic Foresight and Innovation program.
Feel free to send questions or comments to @jenchow or jen[at]jenchow.ca. Thanks for reading!
As per the Credit Suisse Global Wealth Report 2020, global wealth stood at US$ 399 trillion as of the end of 2019. Most of the global wealth is primarily controlled by older men in North America and Europe.
As per BCG, the Asset Under Management (AuM) for the global asset management industry stood at US$88.7 trillion as of the end of 2019.
The pandemic found the wealth management industry dealing with margin pressure amid the popularity of passive products, on the verge of a great wealth transfer from the Baby Boomers to the younger generations, a rising share of women’s wealth, and increasing regulatory pressure. Revenue from beta is quickly diminishing due to the popularity of passive products. The focus is shifting from margin to increasing AUM.
As per Credit Suisse Global Wealth Report 2020, global wealth decreased by US$ 17 trillion between January and March of 2020. Recovery in the capital markets Q2 onwards led to the recovery of household wealth in Q2 to the levels of the end of 2019. Though the loss of growth represents a more than US$7 trillion loss from expected wealth levels by the end of the first half of 2020. Lower economic activity, lower consumption, and lower investments by both households and corporates likely to restrain household wealth growth for many coming years. The growth rate may not recover to pre-pandemic levels before the end of 2021. Global wealth per adult decreased by 0.4% in the first half of 2020. China is the biggest gainer and Latin America along with Africa are the greatest losers.
Though low-interest-rate environment, making time deposits less attractive, likely to boost funds flows to capital markets and demand for wealth management services.
At the same time, social distancing is forcing digital adoption in wealth management. Apart from that, the great wealth transfer will mean that the wealth management sector needs a paradigm shift in their client engagements. The expectations of tech-savvy millennials are very much different from the older generations. Instant gratification, higher involvement in the process, and constant monitoring are some of the features Millennials expect.
Micro-Investment platforms and Online Brokers are expected to be immensely beneficial as tech-savvy Millennials control more and more wealth. Self-service platforms that specialize in passive products (MF, ETF) are especially lucrative.
Hybrid services that combine human touch with tech efficiency will likely to become mainstream as wealth management firms push for cost-cutting and younger generations control more and more wealth.
As many traditional wealth management firms will look to increase their digital capabilities, WealthTech firms with proven business models are expected to be seen as attractive acquisition targets.
Computer Sciences Corporation (CSC) reported financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2001, ended June 30, 2000. Revenues increased 11.8% to $2.46 billion due to strong growth in the U.S. federal government, Asia-Pacific, and commercial outsourcing sectors. Net income grew 13.5% to $96 million and earnings per share increased to 56 cents. CSC also secured $3.3 billion in new business awards during the quarter and remains on track to achieve its target of $1 billion in e-business revenue for the fiscal year.
The document provides an outlook for global banks in 2021, noting that while strong bank balance sheets and government support programs have limited downgrades so far, continued economic weakness or asset quality stress as support winds down could lead to more negative ratings actions. The recovery for banking systems will be slow, uncertain, and uneven. Near-term risks include a worsening pandemic, long-term effects of support programs, higher corporate insolvencies, and stress in the property sector. Low interest rates will squeeze bank profitability for many years. The pandemic is accelerating digital transformation in banking. While regulators have taken a pragmatic approach, consensus on regulatory approaches could fragment further globally.
Computer Sciences Corporation (CSC) reported financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2002. Revenues increased 10.7% to $2.8 billion due to growth in global commercial outsourcing and U.S. federal government activities. Net income was $68.2 million. CSC also secured $5.3 billion in new business awards during the quarter. The company is well positioned in the robust U.S. federal market with $23 billion in opportunities over the next 29 months. CSC provides information technology services to commercial and government clients worldwide.
Digital Banking: Reshaping the Business Model - Alba CéspedesAlba Cespedes
Digital banking is reshaping the traditional banking business model through new digital technologies and changing customer behaviors. Banks must transform by focusing on omnichannel strategies, creating value-added digital products, and maintaining customer relationships as interactions become more digital. While some regions like the UK and Scandinavia are more prepared for digital banking, adoption is happening unevenly across Europe. Banks that fully embrace digital transformation stand to significantly increase revenues and reduce costs.
DMCC is the world’s leading and fastest-growing Free Zone and Government of Dubai Authority for commodities trade, enterprise, and innovation in business service and infrastructure.
The Future of Trade 2021 is the fourth edition of DMCC’s flagship report exploring the changing nature of global trade following reports in 2016, 2018, and 2020.
Assessing the impact of geopolitics, technology, and global economic trends on the future of trade, with a focus on trade growth, the digitalization of trade, the pivot to sustainability, trade finance, and infrastructure.
Future of trade - Insights from Discussions to date building on an initial pe...Future Agenda
The initial perspective on the future of trade by Gautam Sashittal, CEO of DMCC kicked off the Future Agenda 2.0 global discussions taking place through 2015. This summary builds on the initial view and is updated as we progress the futureagenda2.0 programme. www.futureagenda.org
The FinTech 2.0 Paper: rebooting financial servicesEdwin Soares
This document discusses the potential for collaboration between banks and financial technology startups (fintechs) to realize "Fintech 2.0". It argues that fintechs have succeeded in certain areas like payments and lending by having fewer regulations, lower costs, and a more digital focus than banks. However, to fundamentally change banking, fintechs must work with banks which have advantages like existing customers, brands, and regulatory expertise. The document outlines opportunities for collaboration between banks and fintechs in areas like using data from the Internet of Things, analyzing "smart data", implementing distributed ledger technology, and creating frictionless processes. It concludes that both banks and fintechs will benefit most from cooperation rather than competition to realize the
As per the Credit Suisse Global Wealth Report 2020, global wealth stood at US$ 399 trillion as of the end of 2019. Most of the global wealth is primarily controlled by older men in North America and Europe.
As per BCG, the Asset Under Management (AuM) for the global asset management industry stood at US$88.7 trillion as of the end of 2019.
The pandemic found the wealth management industry dealing with margin pressure amid the popularity of passive products, on the verge of a great wealth transfer from the Baby Boomers to the younger generations, a rising share of women’s wealth, and increasing regulatory pressure. Revenue from beta is quickly diminishing due to the popularity of passive products. The focus is shifting from margin to increasing AUM.
As per Credit Suisse Global Wealth Report 2020, global wealth decreased by US$ 17 trillion between January and March of 2020. Recovery in the capital markets Q2 onwards led to the recovery of household wealth in Q2 to the levels of the end of 2019. Though the loss of growth represents a more than US$7 trillion loss from expected wealth levels by the end of the first half of 2020. Lower economic activity, lower consumption, and lower investments by both households and corporates likely to restrain household wealth growth for many coming years. The growth rate may not recover to pre-pandemic levels before the end of 2021. Global wealth per adult decreased by 0.4% in the first half of 2020. China is the biggest gainer and Latin America along with Africa are the greatest losers.
Though low-interest-rate environment, making time deposits less attractive, likely to boost funds flows to capital markets and demand for wealth management services.
At the same time, social distancing is forcing digital adoption in wealth management. Apart from that, the great wealth transfer will mean that the wealth management sector needs a paradigm shift in their client engagements. The expectations of tech-savvy millennials are very much different from the older generations. Instant gratification, higher involvement in the process, and constant monitoring are some of the features Millennials expect.
Micro-Investment platforms and Online Brokers are expected to be immensely beneficial as tech-savvy Millennials control more and more wealth. Self-service platforms that specialize in passive products (MF, ETF) are especially lucrative.
Hybrid services that combine human touch with tech efficiency will likely to become mainstream as wealth management firms push for cost-cutting and younger generations control more and more wealth.
As many traditional wealth management firms will look to increase their digital capabilities, WealthTech firms with proven business models are expected to be seen as attractive acquisition targets.
Computer Sciences Corporation (CSC) reported financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2001, ended June 30, 2000. Revenues increased 11.8% to $2.46 billion due to strong growth in the U.S. federal government, Asia-Pacific, and commercial outsourcing sectors. Net income grew 13.5% to $96 million and earnings per share increased to 56 cents. CSC also secured $3.3 billion in new business awards during the quarter and remains on track to achieve its target of $1 billion in e-business revenue for the fiscal year.
The document provides an outlook for global banks in 2021, noting that while strong bank balance sheets and government support programs have limited downgrades so far, continued economic weakness or asset quality stress as support winds down could lead to more negative ratings actions. The recovery for banking systems will be slow, uncertain, and uneven. Near-term risks include a worsening pandemic, long-term effects of support programs, higher corporate insolvencies, and stress in the property sector. Low interest rates will squeeze bank profitability for many years. The pandemic is accelerating digital transformation in banking. While regulators have taken a pragmatic approach, consensus on regulatory approaches could fragment further globally.
Computer Sciences Corporation (CSC) reported financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2002. Revenues increased 10.7% to $2.8 billion due to growth in global commercial outsourcing and U.S. federal government activities. Net income was $68.2 million. CSC also secured $5.3 billion in new business awards during the quarter. The company is well positioned in the robust U.S. federal market with $23 billion in opportunities over the next 29 months. CSC provides information technology services to commercial and government clients worldwide.
Digital Banking: Reshaping the Business Model - Alba CéspedesAlba Cespedes
Digital banking is reshaping the traditional banking business model through new digital technologies and changing customer behaviors. Banks must transform by focusing on omnichannel strategies, creating value-added digital products, and maintaining customer relationships as interactions become more digital. While some regions like the UK and Scandinavia are more prepared for digital banking, adoption is happening unevenly across Europe. Banks that fully embrace digital transformation stand to significantly increase revenues and reduce costs.
DMCC is the world’s leading and fastest-growing Free Zone and Government of Dubai Authority for commodities trade, enterprise, and innovation in business service and infrastructure.
The Future of Trade 2021 is the fourth edition of DMCC’s flagship report exploring the changing nature of global trade following reports in 2016, 2018, and 2020.
Assessing the impact of geopolitics, technology, and global economic trends on the future of trade, with a focus on trade growth, the digitalization of trade, the pivot to sustainability, trade finance, and infrastructure.
Future of trade - Insights from Discussions to date building on an initial pe...Future Agenda
The initial perspective on the future of trade by Gautam Sashittal, CEO of DMCC kicked off the Future Agenda 2.0 global discussions taking place through 2015. This summary builds on the initial view and is updated as we progress the futureagenda2.0 programme. www.futureagenda.org
The FinTech 2.0 Paper: rebooting financial servicesEdwin Soares
This document discusses the potential for collaboration between banks and financial technology startups (fintechs) to realize "Fintech 2.0". It argues that fintechs have succeeded in certain areas like payments and lending by having fewer regulations, lower costs, and a more digital focus than banks. However, to fundamentally change banking, fintechs must work with banks which have advantages like existing customers, brands, and regulatory expertise. The document outlines opportunities for collaboration between banks and fintechs in areas like using data from the Internet of Things, analyzing "smart data", implementing distributed ledger technology, and creating frictionless processes. It concludes that both banks and fintechs will benefit most from cooperation rather than competition to realize the
The document discusses disruptions driving investment in the FinTech market. There is significant capital flowing into FinTech startups looking to challenge traditional financial institutions. The market is attracting attention due to tech-savvy millennials distrusting banks, the large size of the financial services market, and renewed interest from banks in innovating. The FinTech landscape can be divided into front office/consumer services and back office/legacy system modernization.
Conceptualizing Consumer Paradoxes towards the Central Bank Digital Currency ...Selcen Ozturkcan
Ozturkcan, S., "Conceptualizing Consumer Paradoxes towards the Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) in the context of COVID-19," AIRSI2021 Conference: Technologies 4.0 in Tourism, Services & Marketing, July 12-14, 2021, University of Zaragoza, Spain.
With more than 12 million customers and more than US$2 billion annual revenue, Russian Tinkoff Neobank is a force to reckon with. Tinkoff products range from banking, wealth management, insurance, SAS based products to telecom for retail customers, SMEs, and large businesses.
Tinkoff products are highly adapted to the Russian lifestyle and socio-economic conditions proven by the rapid adoption of their products. The company was listed on the London stock exchange in 2013 and currently has a market cap of around ~US$10 billion.
Computer Sciences Corporation (CSC) reported financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2002, ended June 29, 2001. Revenue grew 10.2% to $2.7 billion due to strong growth in global outsourcing. Net income was $47.7 million. Commercial revenue grew 17% internationally due to outsourcing contracts in the UK and Scandinavia. Federal government revenue rose 3.9% despite some contract completions, with growth in civil agencies and GSA work. CSC will focus on larger outsourcing engagements and adjusting to reduced consulting demand, while progressing on improving recent outsourcing contracts.
A summary overview of the fintech landscape in Bangladesh. We first take a look at the global history of fintechs, then the history of fintechs in Bangladesh.
Using the Financial Hub Readiness (FHR) Index that I personally developed, I identified and assessed the strengths and weaknesses of various global fintech hubs. Based on this assessment, I proposed a hypothetical P2P lending and funding transfer product, that can be financed and implemented by major technological players in the ecosystem.
This project was done to fulfill my requirement for the Internship course, for my BBA undergraduate program at Institute of Business Administration, University of Dhaka. This was the first time I had to work alone on an academic project of this magnitude. I am very satisfied with how it turned out, given the limited time and resources I had to execute it.
Special thanks to all of my colleagues, peers and friends who advised me, in both professional and emotional capacities, when I was working on this project.
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Construction and Building Materials | Q1 2020 |...Mercer Capital
- The global economy is suffering due to the COVID-19 pandemic, with expectations of a significant downturn in economic activity in Q2 2020 and a potential global recession. The construction industry has been designated as essential in most areas, allowing work to continue despite disruptions.
- The residential construction sector was poised for continued growth entering 2020 but will now see declining housing starts, new orders, and demand due to social distancing and the economic downturn. Low mortgage rates and inventory should initially support home prices, but job losses could increase delinquencies over time.
- Nonresidential construction will also be disrupted, particularly sectors like oil/gas, commercial, office, lodging and transportation. Public spending had already softened
As banks prepare themselves for the open banking journey and being able to share high-quality and accurate data with third parties, they face two immediate needs - a strong data governance and a robust data management framework that offers adequate data privacy and security measures.
Summary of the 2017 Financial Technology predictions, as published in 2016 with a focus on key investment themes as well as geographic trends. For more information or the full report email info@finchcapital.com
This document provides a methodology for developing scenarios to assess the potential impact of financial technologies (FinTech) on traditional French banks by 2030. It outlines a scenario planning process involving:
1. A literature review to identify key ideas and help shape the scenario development.
2. Analysis of macroenvironmental factors and trends through a PESTEL analysis and data collection to identify uncertainties ("drivers") that could impact the banking sector.
3. Creation of a scenario map using the two main identified drivers and their alternative outcomes to develop four distinct scenarios about the future of French banking in 2030.
4. Development of recommendations for French financial organizations based on the scenario outcomes.
The goal is to provide
7 Things You Should Not Do With Skrill Depositalannalol6
Bitcoin has advantages as a global currency with low transaction costs and liquidity during financial crises, but also risks like online theft and volatility. For a virtual currency like Bitcoin to replace fiat currencies, it must fulfill the three functions of money: as a medium of exchange, store of value, and credit creation. While Bitcoin's supply is limited to 21 million, its fluctuating value makes it difficult to use as a stable store of value. Regulators warn of risks from using virtual currencies like Bitcoin due to their unclear legal status and lack of regulatory oversight.
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: FinTech Industry | Fourth Quarter 2022 Mercer Capital
Mercer Capital’s quarterly newsletter, FinTech Watch, provides an overview of the FinTech industry, including public market performance, valuation multiples for public FinTech companies, and articles of interest from around the web. This newsletter focuses on FinTech segments, including payment processors, technology, and solutions companies, examining general economic and industry trends as well as a summary of M&A and venture capital activity.
This document provides a strategic analysis for Broadridge to better communicate with future generations of investors. It analyzes market needs and trends influencing the finance industry, including the growing affluence and impact of millennials. Broadridge's offerings are described, including investor communications, global technology solutions, and wealth management services. Opportunities are identified for Broadridge to utilize video communications to enhance employee training, onboarding, and robo-advising services. Potential video technology acquisition targets are analyzed, with BLUERUSH recommended due to its capabilities and financial strengths.
This document discusses the concept of "Fintech 2.0" and the opportunities for collaboration between banks and fintech startups. It argues that fintech startups have succeeded in certain areas by developing more user-friendly and cost-effective digital products, but to realize their full potential will need to work more closely with banks who provide access to data, distribution networks, and regulatory expertise. The document outlines several areas where fintech innovation could transform banking, such as using internet of things data, smart data analytics, distributed ledgers, and reducing friction in processes like mortgages and savings. The overall premise is that banks and fintechs should collaborate to mutual benefit, with each providing what the other currently lacks.
10 Bold Predictions in Banking and Finance for 2024Liveplex
As we stand on the brink of 2024, with its myriad of challenges and opportunities, it's clear that the banking and finance sector is evolving in unprecedented ways. This journey through our "10 Bold Predictions for Banking and Finance in 2024" is more than a mere forecast; it's an invitation to participate in shaping the future. Whether you're an industry veteran, a curious observer, or a pioneering innovator, your insights, and actions will play a crucial role in navigating this complex, exciting landscape. If you're intrigued by the possibilities and want to discuss how these predictions might impact your path or explore collaborative opportunities, we invite you to connect with us at Liveplex. Reach out to hello@liveplex.io, and let's embark on this journey together, towards a future full of potential and transformation.
Next Wave of Fintech: Redefining Financial Services through TechnologyRobin Teigland
The Stockholm School of Economics and PA Consulting present The Next wave of Fintech, a sequel to the 2015 Stockholm Fintech Report, focusing on the new InsurTech and RegTech segments. The report, which describes and quantifies the Swedish market for these segments, contains valuable insights and recommendations for decision makers at banks, incubators, startup companies, public authorities and investors.
Emerging Trends in Financial Market for 2022ijtsrd
In 2022 we can expect to see banking and payments evolve even faster. The speed of digital transformation, new means of payment, and transformations brought by Open Finance are a few of the factors shaping this changing scenario and guiding trends in the financial market. But why is it worth paying attention to trends in the financial market : It’s because they allow us to predict upcoming scenarios in a world in constant flux and help both incumbents and fintech companies to align the development of their solutions with the latest innovations in the banking and payments sector. We always have our feelers out to make sure we’re keeping pace of these trends, and one source we often rely on is the futurist and researcher Amy Webb, Director of The Future Today Institute, from New York University’s Stern School of Business. Every year, she presents the Tech Trends Report, an essential reference on the trends set to shape the future and likely to dictate how companies do business from now on. The 15th Tech Trends Report was launched at this year’s SXSW, indicating some strategic trends in technology and including a section with insights for payments. Ms. Renu Bala Sharma "Emerging Trends in Financial Market for 2022" Published in International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456-6470, Volume-6 | Issue-6 , October 2022, URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd51815.pdf Paper URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/management/accounting-and-finance/51815/emerging-trends-in-financial-market-for-2022/ms-renu-bala-sharma
📗 Fintech Trends for 2022 – Building for Resilience & Security
Since we first published our white paper on the state of play for technology in modern financial services, a lot has gone on.
However, the overarching themes of this paper remain relevant: financial services and products must be based on trusted, secure and resilient tech for the exciting innovations in the industry to take hold.
Our Fintech Marketing Lead, Michael Jaiyeola, produces this paper in collaboration with our global fintech clients, internal engineering and project management teams and influential subject matter experts [see below].
👉 Discover 5 key tech trends shaping modern financial services.
👉 Learn how to bridge the gap between business and tech functions for strategic success.
“Here we bring you a report that describes some of the technologies needed to be competitive, agile and innovative in this new age of human-centric technology.”
@Phil Harrison, CCO Fintech Trifork & Erlang Solutions.
#emergingtech #financialservices #diversityandinclusion #womenintechnology #futureofwork #distributedcomputing #systemresilience #cybersecurity #web3 #blockchain #cbdc #payments #ai #embeddedfinance #opensourcesoftware #functionalprogramming #erlang #elixirlang
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: FinTech Industry | First Quarter 2022Mercer Capital
Mercer Capital’s quarterly newsletter, FinTech Watch, provides an overview of the FinTech industry, including public market performance, valuation multiples for public FinTech companies, and articles of interest from around the web. This newsletter focuses on FinTech segments, including payment processors, technology, and solutions companies, examining general economic and industry trends as well as a summary of M&A and venture capital activity.
This document discusses the rapidly changing landscape of technology in the financial services industry from 2020 and beyond. It identifies 10 key technology trends that will impact financial institutions, including the rise of fintech driving new business models, adoption of blockchain, increased use of customer data analytics, growth of cloud computing and cybersecurity risks. The document urges financial institution executives to develop clear technology strategies to navigate these changes and compete successfully in the future.
The document discusses emerging FinTech trends in various sectors of the financial services industry based on a global survey and proprietary data. For banking, the top trends are solutions that can easily integrate to improve operations, moving toward non-physical channels, and streamlining processes to enhance customer experience. Banks are prioritizing digital customer experiences on par with large tech firms. For payments, priorities are security and increased ease of payment through digital wallets and real-time payments. In asset management, self-directed services and data analytics are key trends. For insurance, enhanced customer experience and analytics are emerging trends insurers are responding to. Overall, FinTech is disrupting consumer banking, payments, and increasingly asset management and insurance through improved customer
The document discusses disruptions driving investment in the FinTech market. There is significant capital flowing into FinTech startups looking to challenge traditional financial institutions. The market is attracting attention due to tech-savvy millennials distrusting banks, the large size of the financial services market, and renewed interest from banks in innovating. The FinTech landscape can be divided into front office/consumer services and back office/legacy system modernization.
Conceptualizing Consumer Paradoxes towards the Central Bank Digital Currency ...Selcen Ozturkcan
Ozturkcan, S., "Conceptualizing Consumer Paradoxes towards the Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) in the context of COVID-19," AIRSI2021 Conference: Technologies 4.0 in Tourism, Services & Marketing, July 12-14, 2021, University of Zaragoza, Spain.
With more than 12 million customers and more than US$2 billion annual revenue, Russian Tinkoff Neobank is a force to reckon with. Tinkoff products range from banking, wealth management, insurance, SAS based products to telecom for retail customers, SMEs, and large businesses.
Tinkoff products are highly adapted to the Russian lifestyle and socio-economic conditions proven by the rapid adoption of their products. The company was listed on the London stock exchange in 2013 and currently has a market cap of around ~US$10 billion.
Computer Sciences Corporation (CSC) reported financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2002, ended June 29, 2001. Revenue grew 10.2% to $2.7 billion due to strong growth in global outsourcing. Net income was $47.7 million. Commercial revenue grew 17% internationally due to outsourcing contracts in the UK and Scandinavia. Federal government revenue rose 3.9% despite some contract completions, with growth in civil agencies and GSA work. CSC will focus on larger outsourcing engagements and adjusting to reduced consulting demand, while progressing on improving recent outsourcing contracts.
A summary overview of the fintech landscape in Bangladesh. We first take a look at the global history of fintechs, then the history of fintechs in Bangladesh.
Using the Financial Hub Readiness (FHR) Index that I personally developed, I identified and assessed the strengths and weaknesses of various global fintech hubs. Based on this assessment, I proposed a hypothetical P2P lending and funding transfer product, that can be financed and implemented by major technological players in the ecosystem.
This project was done to fulfill my requirement for the Internship course, for my BBA undergraduate program at Institute of Business Administration, University of Dhaka. This was the first time I had to work alone on an academic project of this magnitude. I am very satisfied with how it turned out, given the limited time and resources I had to execute it.
Special thanks to all of my colleagues, peers and friends who advised me, in both professional and emotional capacities, when I was working on this project.
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Construction and Building Materials | Q1 2020 |...Mercer Capital
- The global economy is suffering due to the COVID-19 pandemic, with expectations of a significant downturn in economic activity in Q2 2020 and a potential global recession. The construction industry has been designated as essential in most areas, allowing work to continue despite disruptions.
- The residential construction sector was poised for continued growth entering 2020 but will now see declining housing starts, new orders, and demand due to social distancing and the economic downturn. Low mortgage rates and inventory should initially support home prices, but job losses could increase delinquencies over time.
- Nonresidential construction will also be disrupted, particularly sectors like oil/gas, commercial, office, lodging and transportation. Public spending had already softened
As banks prepare themselves for the open banking journey and being able to share high-quality and accurate data with third parties, they face two immediate needs - a strong data governance and a robust data management framework that offers adequate data privacy and security measures.
Summary of the 2017 Financial Technology predictions, as published in 2016 with a focus on key investment themes as well as geographic trends. For more information or the full report email info@finchcapital.com
This document provides a methodology for developing scenarios to assess the potential impact of financial technologies (FinTech) on traditional French banks by 2030. It outlines a scenario planning process involving:
1. A literature review to identify key ideas and help shape the scenario development.
2. Analysis of macroenvironmental factors and trends through a PESTEL analysis and data collection to identify uncertainties ("drivers") that could impact the banking sector.
3. Creation of a scenario map using the two main identified drivers and their alternative outcomes to develop four distinct scenarios about the future of French banking in 2030.
4. Development of recommendations for French financial organizations based on the scenario outcomes.
The goal is to provide
7 Things You Should Not Do With Skrill Depositalannalol6
Bitcoin has advantages as a global currency with low transaction costs and liquidity during financial crises, but also risks like online theft and volatility. For a virtual currency like Bitcoin to replace fiat currencies, it must fulfill the three functions of money: as a medium of exchange, store of value, and credit creation. While Bitcoin's supply is limited to 21 million, its fluctuating value makes it difficult to use as a stable store of value. Regulators warn of risks from using virtual currencies like Bitcoin due to their unclear legal status and lack of regulatory oversight.
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: FinTech Industry | Fourth Quarter 2022 Mercer Capital
Mercer Capital’s quarterly newsletter, FinTech Watch, provides an overview of the FinTech industry, including public market performance, valuation multiples for public FinTech companies, and articles of interest from around the web. This newsletter focuses on FinTech segments, including payment processors, technology, and solutions companies, examining general economic and industry trends as well as a summary of M&A and venture capital activity.
This document provides a strategic analysis for Broadridge to better communicate with future generations of investors. It analyzes market needs and trends influencing the finance industry, including the growing affluence and impact of millennials. Broadridge's offerings are described, including investor communications, global technology solutions, and wealth management services. Opportunities are identified for Broadridge to utilize video communications to enhance employee training, onboarding, and robo-advising services. Potential video technology acquisition targets are analyzed, with BLUERUSH recommended due to its capabilities and financial strengths.
This document discusses the concept of "Fintech 2.0" and the opportunities for collaboration between banks and fintech startups. It argues that fintech startups have succeeded in certain areas by developing more user-friendly and cost-effective digital products, but to realize their full potential will need to work more closely with banks who provide access to data, distribution networks, and regulatory expertise. The document outlines several areas where fintech innovation could transform banking, such as using internet of things data, smart data analytics, distributed ledgers, and reducing friction in processes like mortgages and savings. The overall premise is that banks and fintechs should collaborate to mutual benefit, with each providing what the other currently lacks.
10 Bold Predictions in Banking and Finance for 2024Liveplex
As we stand on the brink of 2024, with its myriad of challenges and opportunities, it's clear that the banking and finance sector is evolving in unprecedented ways. This journey through our "10 Bold Predictions for Banking and Finance in 2024" is more than a mere forecast; it's an invitation to participate in shaping the future. Whether you're an industry veteran, a curious observer, or a pioneering innovator, your insights, and actions will play a crucial role in navigating this complex, exciting landscape. If you're intrigued by the possibilities and want to discuss how these predictions might impact your path or explore collaborative opportunities, we invite you to connect with us at Liveplex. Reach out to hello@liveplex.io, and let's embark on this journey together, towards a future full of potential and transformation.
Next Wave of Fintech: Redefining Financial Services through TechnologyRobin Teigland
The Stockholm School of Economics and PA Consulting present The Next wave of Fintech, a sequel to the 2015 Stockholm Fintech Report, focusing on the new InsurTech and RegTech segments. The report, which describes and quantifies the Swedish market for these segments, contains valuable insights and recommendations for decision makers at banks, incubators, startup companies, public authorities and investors.
Emerging Trends in Financial Market for 2022ijtsrd
In 2022 we can expect to see banking and payments evolve even faster. The speed of digital transformation, new means of payment, and transformations brought by Open Finance are a few of the factors shaping this changing scenario and guiding trends in the financial market. But why is it worth paying attention to trends in the financial market : It’s because they allow us to predict upcoming scenarios in a world in constant flux and help both incumbents and fintech companies to align the development of their solutions with the latest innovations in the banking and payments sector. We always have our feelers out to make sure we’re keeping pace of these trends, and one source we often rely on is the futurist and researcher Amy Webb, Director of The Future Today Institute, from New York University’s Stern School of Business. Every year, she presents the Tech Trends Report, an essential reference on the trends set to shape the future and likely to dictate how companies do business from now on. The 15th Tech Trends Report was launched at this year’s SXSW, indicating some strategic trends in technology and including a section with insights for payments. Ms. Renu Bala Sharma "Emerging Trends in Financial Market for 2022" Published in International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456-6470, Volume-6 | Issue-6 , October 2022, URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd51815.pdf Paper URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/management/accounting-and-finance/51815/emerging-trends-in-financial-market-for-2022/ms-renu-bala-sharma
📗 Fintech Trends for 2022 – Building for Resilience & Security
Since we first published our white paper on the state of play for technology in modern financial services, a lot has gone on.
However, the overarching themes of this paper remain relevant: financial services and products must be based on trusted, secure and resilient tech for the exciting innovations in the industry to take hold.
Our Fintech Marketing Lead, Michael Jaiyeola, produces this paper in collaboration with our global fintech clients, internal engineering and project management teams and influential subject matter experts [see below].
👉 Discover 5 key tech trends shaping modern financial services.
👉 Learn how to bridge the gap between business and tech functions for strategic success.
“Here we bring you a report that describes some of the technologies needed to be competitive, agile and innovative in this new age of human-centric technology.”
@Phil Harrison, CCO Fintech Trifork & Erlang Solutions.
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The document discusses emerging FinTech trends in various sectors of the financial services industry based on a global survey and proprietary data. For banking, the top trends are solutions that can easily integrate to improve operations, moving toward non-physical channels, and streamlining processes to enhance customer experience. Banks are prioritizing digital customer experiences on par with large tech firms. For payments, priorities are security and increased ease of payment through digital wallets and real-time payments. In asset management, self-directed services and data analytics are key trends. For insurance, enhanced customer experience and analytics are emerging trends insurers are responding to. Overall, FinTech is disrupting consumer banking, payments, and increasingly asset management and insurance through improved customer
This document summarizes a report by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) on central bank digital currencies (CBDCs). The report investigates the economic and policy drivers for different countries developing CBDCs. It finds that most projects are in digitized economies with high innovation capacity. The report also analyzes different technical design options for CBDCs. It describes the approaches being taken by the central banks of China, Sweden, and Canada as examples. The Chinese approach involves a pilot for a digital currency/electronic payment project. Sweden is exploring an e-krona project. And Canada sees a CBDC as a potential contingency plan.
This document discusses how FinTech is shaping the financial services industry. Some key points:
1. More than 20% of financial services business is at risk from FinTech competitors by 2020 according to the report. Over half of respondents are unsure or unlikely to respond to blockchain technology.
2. Consumer banking and payments are seen as the sectors most likely to be disrupted over the next 5 years. Up to 22% of banking and payments business could be at risk by 2020.
3. Asset management and insurance are also facing increasing disruption from FinTech with up to 28% of their business at risk by 2020. Incumbents in these industries see more disruption potential than outsiders do.
4. Customer
Las nuevas tecnologías digitales están cambiando la propuesta de valor de los productos y servicios financieros existentes. Mientras los de siempre asimilan las ideas innovadoras, las start-ups irrumpen en el sector.
Adoption of Digital and Cloud Technologies in Financial Industry during Covid...IRJET Journal
This document discusses how the Covid-19 pandemic dramatically shifted consumer behaviors towards digital and online banking, payments, and other financial services. This shift forced financial institutions to rapidly adopt digital technologies and migrate their infrastructure to the cloud in order to continue serving customers and competing with fintech companies. The pandemic accelerated existing trends towards digital banking and the use of mobile apps and online platforms. Banks responded by heavily investing in cloud computing, APIs, and other digital capabilities to meet rising customer demand for contactless and online financial services.
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https://www2.deloitte.com/in/en/misc/litetopicpage.2020-implementations.Impact-of-COVID-19-on-the-banking-sector-in-India.html
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Similar to The Future of Finance in 2022 - Blais, Chow, Mills, Norman (20)
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4. 1 Financial Futures 2022
Statement of the Project will have near-frequency communication capabilities
(Yadav, 2011), enabling smartphones to serve as both
This is a proactive foresight initiative outlining possible wallets and payment devices. Dial-up internet will be
futures for the financial and banking landscape in eclipsed by wireless networks, including emerging 4G
Canada for the year 2022. The data and research is technology.
Overview
part of a graduate studies initiative undertaken in the
fall of 2011. New technologies and innovations have been coming
to market almost hourly in this rapidly- changing
environment. In order to keep pace, telecommunications
companies are evolving their services and expanding
On New Year’s Eve, as the clock struck midnight and into new markets, while banking entities are working to
the calendar rolled forward to 2000, the world waited facilitate secure financial transactions across multiple
with bated breath. What the technology industry had platforms. Privacy laws in Canada have become
neglected to account for was this significant change some of the most protective in the world as our lives
in its design: there were decades with the prefix of 19, have increasingly migrated online. It is critical for these
but somehow there was never a plan for the inevitable industries to consider looking beyond the rapid cycles
change to accommodate the new millennium. There of daily or quarterly change and to look to the horizon
were concerns of system meltdowns, security and beyond for signals and indicators of potential
breaches and nuclear and economic disasters. Task futures and the strategic implications for business.
forces were created, plans executed and anticipated
It is in this constant state of flux that we have chosen
hysteria reported by the media. In the end, everything
to explore the potential futures for the financial industry
was fine and the new millennium marched on.
in 2022. Specifically, within the domain of the financial
It has been ten years since the Y2K panic. Since sector, we have chosen to focus on the system that
then, landlines gave way to cellphones and now to enables consumer-to-business payments.
smartphones, growing approximately 50% from March
2010 to March 2011 (CBC News, 2011), with 32.8%
market penetration in Canada (comScore, 2011). It is
anticipated that within two years, 20% of all phones
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 2
5. Financial Futures 2022 1
Research Question
After refining the scope for this foresight study and before choosing a specific stakeholder lens to adopt, we
decided to explore this research question:
“For our key stakeholder, what is the future of consumer-to-business payment in 2022?”
Key Stakeholder Profile
The stakeholder perspective we adopted was that of
a senior leadership team with operational control of
a national bank in Canada with international reach.
This bank has a tradition of being risk- averse, late
adopters and profit-driven. This bank offers B2B and
C2B financial services to help facilitate B2B and C2B
transactions.
Additional stakeholders and influencers considered
throughout our process:
• financial institutions
• government
• customers/end-users
• telephone companies/network infrastructure
providers
• industry (retailers, services, manufacturers, etc.)
• security boards
• standards boards/regulatory groups
• lobbyist groups
• international funding agencies (IMF, WTO, G20,
etc.)
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 3
6. Financial Futures 2022 1
Financial System
When considering futures within the financial sector, there are many components and relationships to
examine. To define our project scope, concept and systems maps were created in order to identify and
highlight tensions and challenges affecting multiple stakeholders, including our key stakeholder.
Following is an exploratory concept map we created to capture some key stakeholders and system
components within the financial sector.
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 4
7. Financial Futures 2022 1
The payment system below represents a balancing feedback loop with businesses paying employees, who
in turn, pay for products and services. At the centre of this systems map is a myriad of transaction types,
currencies and regulatory bodies facilitating consumer-to-business transactions. This part of the systems
map will be ripe for innovation and regulatory change over the next 10 years as technological innovation and
consumer demand continue to grow.
Note: we considered businesses to be entities that receive payments and employ workers (including government
entities, NGOs and non-profits).
Our systems map offers a focused view of the various interactions that take place during a transaction.
Incremental steps indicate opportunities for innovation and system streamlining. Once again, elements of
this system will evolve with changes in regulations, consumer demand and technological development.
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 5
9. 2 Horizon Scanning
One of the most comprehensive and critical networks for financial support as opposed to relying
components of foresighting and scenario-building on institution-based lending systems.
is trend identification and analysis. Trends reflect a
pattern of change in data impacting a substantial Social (Media) Unrest: All For One, One
number of people over a period of time. For All…Sort of
For this initiative, trends were identified and mapped The flavour of recent social uprisings parallels other
using the STEEP+V framework, which encourages a emerging ideas: use of social media technology to
comprehensive scan of trends across the domains organize, shifting individual values, opportunism and
of Social, Technological, Economic, Environmental self-interest, all in the face of austerity measures.
and Values. To ensure a thorough horizon scan and a
Everyone Manage Your Money
360-degree view, we sought out emergent trends in
each of the STEEP+V categories. Mobile tools encouraging more financial
management to help manage budgets and facilitate
Technological Trends
The sixteen trends identified for this initiative transactions.
are clustered by STEEP+V theme below, and
the complete trends package is included in the
Social Trends
Appendix.
Cashless Transactions Any Time
Anywhere
Dancing Cheque to Cheque Proliferation of ways to pay on the go, around the
clock.
Each year, fewer Canadians save money for their
future. Some citizens are only one pay cheque away Smartphone as Personalized Branch
from bankruptcy. Smartphones are increasingly capable of branch
Friend Lend a Friend services.
Emerging lending models that rely on individual
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 7
10. Horizon Scanning 2
Mobi-Me-Money All In All There’s Another Bric In The….
Financial transactions between payee and payer The rise of Brazil, Russia, India and China (BRIC) as
are migrating from paper transactions of cash and economic powers is undeniable, yet there is reason
cheques to tech-based, online and mobile service to wonder whether Russia’s economic and political
networks, creating less dependency on banking stability equals that of the other three nations. It begs
services. the question: Is there another nation set to take over
its position as an emerging economic power?
Get Your Head into the Clouds
Paying in Points
Cloud computing, an evolution in computing
architecture, provides flexible and scalable Currency, as units of measure for exchange, is
infrastructure, software and hardware management, becoming increasingly fragmented. Loyalty points
and allows for fluid customer-centric access to could become more reliable in the face of the
Environmental Trends
products and services to support the next generation unstable Euro and American dollar.
of banking.
Uh Oh, I Think I’ve Virtually Caught
Something
No’ Mo’ Money Grow
There is an epidemic of cybercrime, which is
coordinated and sophisticatedly driven by highly The resources to support capitalist benchmarks of
Political trends
coordinated teams. It is costing billions from theft, year over year growth are becoming scarcer.
infrastructure and security, and threatens client
Economic Trends
privacy, eroding consumer confidence.
I owe, I owe
From home to government, the debt level in Canada
Financial Climate Chaos
Values Trends
is increasing exponentially year after year.
The national and financial landscape fluctuates
quickly and erratically. It has become incredibly hard
to forecast financial investments due to the existing
chaotic financial climate.
Forever in Debt
Symbiosis of Financial Institution and Social values regarding debt are changing. Year after
Telco year, the level of senior Canadians retiring with debt
Credibility of financial institutions will complement is increasing.
telecommunications networks.
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 8
11. Drivers
and Uncertainties 3
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 9
12. Drivers
3 and Uncertainties
The underlying forces behind trends are known as drivers. There can be multiple drivers for any given trend and
a given driver can be relevant to multiple trends. It is through the identification of as many drivers as possible
and their consolidation ,based on similar themes, that a robust set of drivers emerge.
Through our analysis of trends relating to the future of C2B payments, we arrived at 12 key drivers (see the
Appendix for an expanded drivers to trends map.)
Once the drivers were identified, they were evaluated on their degree of uncertainty and impact on C2B
payments, using a scale of low, medium and high (L, M, H):
Driver Uncertainty Impact
Mergers & acquisitions H H
Financial services structure H H
Desire for government control H H
Globalization M H
Instant gratification L H
Innovation (for efficiency) L H
Demand for security (confidence) L H
Network access L H
Access to credit L M
Cost of Living L L
Social pressure L L
Desire for more knowledge L L
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 10
13. Drivers and Uncertainties 3
Drivers with high uncertainty and importance emerged. Once identified, we articulated what critical uncertainties
to consider (factors with the highest impact and highest uncertainty). These critical uncertainties were then set
at the axes for our future scenarios development tool: the 2x2 matrix.
In this case, the critical uncertainties were the role of high versus low governance, bisected with the centralized
concentration versus fragmentation of financial services. The full list of drivers were then applied across the 2x2
matrix and assigned a value of influence in each quadrant.
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 11
14. Scenarios 4
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 12
15. 4 Scenarios
“Thinking through [scenario]
stories, and talking in depth about
their implications, brings each
person’s unspoken assumptions
about the future to the surface.
Scenarios are thus the most
powerful vehicles I know for
challenging our ‘mental models’
about the world and lifting the
‘blinders’ that limit our creativity
and resourcefulness.”
— Peter Schwartz
The Art of the Long View: Planning for the Future in
an Uncertain World
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 13
16. Scenarios
4
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 14
17. Scenarios 4
United States of Apple
High Governance
Centralized Financial Services
In 2015, Apple bailed out the U.S. government and
eradicated their debt load. Their help had come
just in the nick of time. Both the government and
major banks were facing bankruptcy. Incidents of
social upraising, violence and chaos were on the
rise. It seemed like a civil war was inevitable. Apple’s
help had come at a price. Today, 2021, Apple now
owned majority shares in the U.S. government (now
a publicly-traded company) and in all three remaining
financial institutions.
The internet is alive and well but for reasons of
national security, iHomeland instituted a policy that his aging parents, divorced sister and teenage niece.
all financial transactions and government-related This job had saved his life. He was retrained by his
information reside on one single proprietary, secure new employer, paid a good salary and even given a
network. The iMe, a paper-thin, malleable personal mortgage for his new condo. Life was good! When
communication device, is introduced to access this the iMe was first introduced, American citizens often
secure network for all transactions and is offered at carried two personal communication mobile devices.
no-charge to all Americans. The device’s hardware In time, their trust in the government returned, they
and access to the network was subsidized by the adopted the tools and features the device offered
Apple government and taxpayer money. The model and, in an attempt to save money, the majority kept
is similar to the old cellphone model whereby the the iMe and got rid of their old smartphone. Paper
hardware was free, but the service and transactions currency still abounded but its popularity quickly
came at a small cost. This pay-per- transaction declined.
and service model was designed to act much like Eric walked into the voice-command elevator and
the HST, as a payback system to repay Apple’s asked to be brought down to the parking garage.
investment. Oddly, it didn’t move so he decided to try a more
At first, Americans cried foul. They believed that this manual approach. He grabbed his iME out of is
was the beginning of George Orwell’s 1984: the pocket and was greeted with the device’s customary
control and influence of an oligopoly. But the reverse smiling face. He tapped the screen and the first
happened, peace and prosperity returned to the page of the app’s icons appeared. He touched the
land of milk and honey. The job market exploded magnifying glass (which reminded him of his old
especially at Apple. Eric, 43, had been unemployed Android phone — may Google rest in peace). He
for over two years and was forced to move in with typed an “E” and an “L” in the text box and the
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 15
18. Scenarios 4
United States of Apple [2]
elevator icon appeared. He tapped it but for some get to the bottom of this, he contacted a colleague
reason it just wouldn’t launch. He slid his hand over at iNews to discuss. Instead of communicating over
the elevator’s side panel, which activated the manual a device, she asked to meet Eric at their favourite
display. He pressed “P” for parking, the doors closed café. Security is very tight in this new world, and
and the elevator started to move. monitoring the networks is now commonplace.
Eric got into his iCar to drive away, but just like the
He was quite bothered because his daily navigation
elevator, it wouldn’t start so he opted to take the
of the world and routines were dependent on
new iTrain instead. He tried to use his iMe to see
synchronicity between voice-command, facial
when the next train would arrive but his device was
recognition and his iMe device. This was not normal
once again not working properly or connecting to the
behavior and he was concerned about what was
network.
happening. Was this a result of his discoveries this
morning? Was he being shut out of the system as a He asked those around him if they were experiencing
result? His heart raced; surely, he was wrong. similar problems with their devices. The man beside
him unplugged the earbuds from his own device
When he walked into the office that morning, he
to let Eric know that the network was working for
noticed fluctuations in the iCloud. He tried to stabilize
him. The woman beside him confirmed the same.
them using his iPad but nothing seemed to work.
As the train arrived, he tried to pay the fare with his
He made his way to the server farm and found the
iME but his device had gone blank! He made his
defective box. He tried to connect wirelessly but
way to the nearest iTM and placed his finger on
no luck. So he pulled out a cable the diameter of a
the display for a quick fingerprint scan. The virtual
string and magnetically connected it from his tablet
assistant said: “We’re sorry, this fingerprint does not
to the box.
match any accounts on the iCloud.Please visit our
He found a collection of fragmented files and as nearest booth at the mall to speak to a customer
he tried to clean them, a string of text appeared. It service representative.” The train arrived. “I’m sorry,”
seemed to be financial transactions for extremely said the iTrain attendant. “You can’t board without
large sums. He was about to close the file when paying.” He had no money, no proof of identity, no
a name caught his eye. Why did that name sound communication tool, and he was stranded an hour
so familiar? Through his search concierge service away from the city, with no ability to pay through the
he conducted a quick iWeb scan. It revealed that only system that existed for him.
the names on the screen were U.N. ambassadors
What was he going to do?
that favoured the integration of corporations within
the United Nations. Then it dawned on him that
perhaps Apple was trying to buy their way into the
U.N. It made sense, as it would be an incredibly
aggressive but strategic move to protect the U.S.
from the increasing dominance of Eurasia, while
supporting Apple’s own growth demands. To help
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 16
19. Scenarios 4
United States of Apple [3]
Primary Drivers
Globalization Detailed Driver Placement
To amalgamate through acquisitions in order to
remain internationally profitable, productive and
competitive.
Security
To protect both personal and financial information
against fraud, theft or personal harm.
Network Access
To provide ubiquitous communication and payment
access across the United States.
Diagram shows relative strength of primary, secondary and neutral
drivers within 2x2 matrix. The United States of Apple quadrant is
governed by High Governance (y-axis) and Centralized Financial
Services (x-axis).
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 17
20. Scenarios 4
Rise of the Brand
High governance
De-centralized Financial Services
The year is 2022 and the multinational corporations
have globalized the world, permeating all corners
of the earth through branded networks. Some are
single, massive global brands, others are families of
affiliated brands. Branded experiences have become
so fluid that geographical borders are now irrelevant.
The only discernable borders are those where
families of brands have several affiliates dispersed
across different regions.
Each brand offers its own loyalty program, catering
to the diverse lifestyles and financial constraints
in the marketplace, where the cost of living has If she were at Starbucks, things would have been
become a heavy influencer of consumer decisions. different. That is a brand that provides customers
The obsession with security, network access and with a seamless experience across all markets
connectivity has led to an obsolescence of personal because of its strength and influence. Life was
privacy. “Thank you for flying with Virgin. Please easier when she was aligned with Starbucks. Her
enjoy your stay in Hong Kong,” was broadcast over tall refresh with honey or even a tall chai latte could
the speaker system. Leaving the plane, Jen made be enjoyed anywhere, anytime in Toronto or here
her way to the first tea shop that had a personalized in Hong Kong. Such is the life of a PhD student
ad directed at her “Jen, come on over to have your attending a design conference on a budget. At least
favourite tea, just the way you like it in Toronto.” Fresh Express is mindful enough to provide service
in English, knowing that she was from Canada. She
“Welcome to Fresh Express, Jen. We’re happy to
had also opted into the “defaults” program to get
serve you today as a Tim Horton’s affiliate. Would
the best in personalized service, though these days,
you like to have a medium mint tea with three sugars
brands made it pretty hard to opt out of that. Privacy
today? It’s just like your usual at Tim’s,” said the
was a thing of the past, it was 2021 after all.
holographic server. She agreed to the tea. However,
the drink she received, while it tasted the same, Only a few years ago, Starbucks had tried to offer
was in a different cup than she was accustomed her a hotly sought-after Level 2 Elite status in an
to and the portion was smaller. Brand and product attempt to retain her in their program. As much as
consistency was pretty close, but not exact. She she had wanted to stay, going back to school meant
figured it had to do with portions being smaller in she simply couldn’t pass up the value promotion
Asia and local culture still having a minor influence on offered by Tim Hortons at the time. Free Tim’s points
brands. every week was too good an offer. It had been a six-
month process to enroll in the Starbucks program,
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 18
21. Scenarios 4
Rise of the Brand [2]
complete with credit checks after referrals from five “Verification Laboratory.” She was welcomed at the
friends. laboratory and asked for a retinal scan, a fingerprint
and a DNA extraction. All of which were verified and
Sadly, it was beyond her means, so she arduously
aligned to the information already in their databases.
completed the Starbucks exit paperwork and signed
Then Jen was asked to place her mobile identity and
up with Tim’s with the wave of her phone over an
payment device on the charging and syncing station.
identity-scanning terminal. For more sought-after
brands, you had to demonstrate your loyalty. She Fumbling for her mobile with the cup of tea still in
had considered joining the Loblaws program, with all hand, Jen pulled it out of her pocket and placed it
its grocery perks, stylish clothing line and numerous on the screen with a red exclamation mark, face up
banking outlets, but it was a close second choice on the station. The progress bar inched all the way
since Tim’s was known for its robust global affiliates to 100% verified and now displayed a large green
program. checkmark.
“Jen, your tea is ready, hot and fresh. Thanks for Her identity and connection to the device has
visiting Fresh Express. Your payment has been been restored and now all of her core and affiliate
received over the air.” programs were refreshing and updating. Normally,
at this point she would be released as it was just a
Sipping on her minty beverage, she conceded that
synching system failure that can sometimes occur
life with Tim Hortons wasn’t so shabby after all. It
when travelling. But this time, it was a synching error
was Tim Hortons points that flew her across the
caused by a security breach and personnel were on
Pacific to Hong Kong via their affiliate arrangement
site intercepting the identity thief.
with Virgin. The network was not nearly as globally
recognized as Starbucks, of course, which had Jen peered through the one-way glass into the store
lounges at every major airport and express service and saw that a woman was being interrogated with
via biometric scans. her mobile phone in hand, bright yellow exclamation
mark hologram projections flashed from the device.
Tim Hortons offered bare bones identity device
Her phone was confiscated and she was arrested
verifications. Their network systems definitely weren’t
and a criminal GPS chip band was strapped to her
as elegant, but they were sufficient. Virgin also
ankle.
had the best reputation for wireless networks for
international travel, ideal for all the conference travel The woman was the stewardess who had given
Jen had been doing recently. Jen an extra blanket on the flight. It must have been
the blanket that had swiped her identity during the
As Jen walked out of the café, an alarm sounded.
flight. It was the second identity compromise she
“BEEEEEEEEEEP! Jen, your account has been
had encountered this week. In this world, these
compromised and deactivated. Please proceed to
incidents were not uncommon, though some
the Fresh Express Identity and Banking Information
brands’ programs were better than others, but the
Verification Lab immediately.” Startled, Jen walked
convenience of fewer identity breaches came at a
over to a hallway marked with a sign that read
price only the elite could afford.
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 19
22. Scenarios 4
Rise of the Brand [3]
Primary Drivers
Globalization Detailed Driver Placement
Growth in multi-national mergers, acquisitions,
strategic partnerships among brands.
Cost of living
The disparity between salary and cost of living
dictates what one can afford, despite the aspiration
to keep up with the Jones.
Network access
Reliance on technology to support instant
gratification and seamless connectivity to complex
networks.
Security
The need for trust in a complex network where
personal information is continually shared and
transmitted.
Diagram shows relative strength of primary, secondary and
neutral drivers within 2x2 matrix. The Rise of the Brand quadrant
is governed by High Governance (y-axis) and De-centralized
Financial Services (x-axis).
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 20
23. Scenarios 4
Multiple Choice World
Low governance
De-centralized Financial Services
It is June 2022 in a world of hyper-connectivity and
multiple choice. 6G networks are the norm with over
125% penetration of hand-held, pocket-friendly
devices. The networks for information exchange
are built and maintained through open-source
frameworks that are championed and built on the
direction of spirited socially-networked communities.
Network access has become a human right and
social networks have become more of an identifier
than geographic boundaries.
Personal identities are now formed almost exclusively
on these social networks. The once- powerful
telcos have restructured and are no longer sources
are the new brands. The previously big product and
of domination; their role is to support community-
service brands now rely on exchanging their goods
sanctioned initiatives. The more effective their service
through these highly connected people. These
is to the network infrastructure, the more they get
digital networks are the new broadcast mediums
to continue providing the service. It is a world of
and people, through their social networks, are new
abundance but one where balanced reciprocity is the
channels of communication and distribution.
emerging norm.
Fewer regulations, coupled with decentralizing
The U.S. banks never fully recovered from the 2008
across all commercial and social networks, has given
economic downturn, rendering government-backed
rise to a culture of rapid-cycling innovation, with a
credit difficult to come upon. The quest for credit
heavy reliance on instant gratification. New networks
is no longer as important as it once was. Not only
are coming into existence on a daily basis and
has there been a shift in accumulating assets to
each network is dependent on other networks —
sharing assets, but for those who need credit there
everything is integrated. What was once six degrees
are now multiple sources of access fragmented
of separation is now closer to four degrees.
across networks. People can ask for funding-like
support from an aggregate of angel investors. It is It is in this mesh-networked world that we meet
micro-lending on a broader scale through mutually- Jessica, originally from Chile. She had recently
beneficial initiatives. applied to be invited into the San Francisco area
network to facilitate a physical move to the region.
In this socially-networked world, there has been a
There is a concentration of rapidly adopted social
rise in the power of individuals as brands. These
networks being established in San Francisco.
Jamie Oliver-esque types reign supreme. Influencers
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 21
24. Scenarios 4
Multiple Choice World [2]
She can access them from Chile, but she would like about her day-to-day social equity building and
to be physically closer to that kind of innovation. bartering. Unfortunately, her telco account gets
Many interactions are done over the network, but hacked and sends fake transaction requests to
face-to-face meetings are still of value as they have her entire network. She inavertedly orders three
significant influencing power over networking. pairs of shoes, four rugs and three dozen bottles
of champagne. All of the orders are promptly filled,
Jessica’s application to the San Fran network was
only for the network to find that she didn’t order
recognized by another member who knew her from
them and doesn’t have the means to pay for them.
a Chilean network. This individual advocated on her
As a result, her network is unhappy with her and her
behalf by giving her a high-rating social score. In this
social equity drops because of the security breach.
world, the types of social networks you are part of
She is immediately boxed out from several networks
and your rating on them is the new form of currency.
and only a few connections remained, but they were
On Jessica’s first day in San Francisco, she looked
weak. She had to rebuild her social currency in order
up accommodation on a craigslist-like social bulletin
to be able to facilitate even basic daily transactions
board on her tablet.
for housing and food.
She scanned the listings and selected a short-term
Akin to the crash in 2008, like those American’s that
apartment lease based on peer-reviews. She paid
were left very little to build on, Jessica finds herself
for it with social currency points she had racked
in that same situation. She now has to innovate
up on a Chilean network and converted them to
to survive by building new connections and equity
‘accepted everywhere’ currency points. Because
within them, or look to create a whole new way to
she paid up front, she received a few ‘community
survive in the network. It is only through innovatively
points’ from the apartment complex. This transaction
rebuilding connections and validated social equity
was all facilitated through a multi-point tracking and
that she will be able to transact for goods and
conversion software.
services.
While staying at the apartment, Jessica contributed
coding and tech support to the apartment complex.
In return, she received more ‘community points’
that she could apply to extending her stay at a
discounted rate. There are typically exchanges of
currency for services; this is no different than it was in
2012. The only difference is that the currencies range
from points that can be exchanged ubiquitously
or exclusively through select channels. The
government-issued currency is completely devalued
in the rise of fragmented currency systems.
Getting comfortable with exchanging contacts and
services through social networking, Jessica goes
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 22
25. Scenarios 4
Multiple Choice World [3]
Primary Drivers
Network Access Detailed Driver Placement
The entire system is dependent on connections in
order to build personal status and equity.
Security
In a very open source embracing system, keeping
personal information secure is paramount.
Innovation
A pursuit to build on or create new networks, along
with new approaches to maintaining and extending
the connections.
Desire For Knowledge
The only way to gain further personal status is
through multiple connections and developing
meaningful relevant connections.
Instant Gratification Diagram shows relative strength of primary, secondary and neutral
The connections are so numerous and vast, needs drivers within 2x2 matrix. The Multiple Choice World quadrant
is governed by Low Governance (y-axis) and De-centralized
can be met quickly through these networks. Financial Services (x-axis).
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 23
26. Scenarios 4
Powered by Google
Low governance
Centralized Financial Services
In 2022, this techno-political world sees a new
frontier concentrated around the exchange of
information, centrally controlled by Google. The
government takes a hands-off approach, choosing to
operate through corporate entities.
Google has become the infrastructure that underlies
the majority of products. “Powered by” has cache
with consumers and Google has extended its
information-gathering capabilities to monitor
behaviour, cross-referenced with socio-cultural and
predictive modeling.
Google has infiltrated the fabric of society, amassing
information on such a scale that it has eclipsed
government through shear size, depth, interpretation need of a new car. After an extensive, integrated
and analysis of trends, determination of cultural wired search, he has come to the conclusion the
emergence and economic indicators. Google is the desired car may not be attainable based his financial
one-stop, go to place; it fosters a feeling of trust, situation, credit score and socio-behavioural index.
reliability and fairness. This is a common occurrence in this world as highly
Richard resides in Texas, a protectionist republic integrated indices pre-determine consumer access
haven within the United States. After the tumultuous to products. This has given rise to a “credit-fixing”
events of the past decade, western economies industry, where brokers provide services to mask a
have restructured, seeing the benefits of centralized person’s credit score and other indices.
control over information and delivery of service. The government has turned a blind eye to this
Government has bowed to market pressures. practice as the result stimulates economic growth.
The result is a more deregulated society, where the Many brokers use unscrupulous methods to achieve
free market and global aspirations have replaced the the desired result, a methodology with grey ethical
conservatism that rose in the decade following the boundaries. Richard visits one of the less reputable
economic collapse of 2008. It has a more entrenched agencies to “hack” his scores, guaranteeing a
feeling of the Wild West of old. Independence, self- positive result, yet leaving possible legal ramifications
reliance and a moderate disregard for rules and if he is caught. The broker charges an extremely high
regulations permeate. rate for the practice as there is high-risk involved and
consequences if caught.
Classically middle-class, Richard finds himself in
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 24
27. Scenarios 4
Powered by Google [2]
Google’s network extends into the consumer world decides that legal action isn’t warranted and Richard
primarily through an affiliate program, designed leaves without incident.
to give agencies access to information in order to
Frustrated that his expensive fix has not provided
anticipate a customer’s preference and purchase
what he wishes, Richard visits a Google affiliate
behavior, as well as helping to mitigate risk. This is
with a bronze service level that does not employ
a scaled service where a platinum level provides
the rigorous information scanning that the previous
access to analytic tools, predictive modeling,
business has conducted. Their data searching and
forecasting, behavioural analysis, health and wellness
analysis techniques are not intensive and they see
indicators, and, of course, buying tendencies.
Richard as a valid customer, based on the data
Whereas lower service levels do not allow businesses
provided. The salesperson shows Richard the car he
the full range of available information.
desires and they proceed to sign the paperwork.
Richard’s first attempt to buy his desired car sees
him enter a “platinum-service-level” car dealership,
part of the five-star affiliate program with Google.
They have a behavioral analyst on staff to help the
business manage potential clients and also predict
the client’s ability to make good on the credit that is
provided through the purchase.
As the client enters the store, a complete scan is
conducted, with retinal and DNA analysis to ensure
authenticity. Richard’s search behavior and product
selection tendencies are provided to the business
and they narrow the product offer prior to Richard
entering the store or interacting with a sales staff.
The behavioral analyst notices a discrepancy with
Richard’s rating because it is incongruous with his
behavior and purchase patterns.
There is a problem here, but because of Richard’s
solid credit score fix, the behavioral analyst needs
to go deeper into Google’s central knowledge
warehouse to conduct a “deep dive” into Richard’s
background.
Upon scrutiny, the analyst concludes that Richard
has indeed fixed his scores and the product offer
is immediately scaled down to what is affordable,
reducing the risk for the business. The business
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 25
28. Scenarios 4
Powered by Google [3]
Primary Drivers
Network Access Detailed Driver Placement
Network integration is high, always active and
collecting data. The infrastructure to manage the
continual uptime is new, bio-technical, robust, fluid,
redundant and flexible. Customers rely on this ability
to search and get product recommendations.
Security
Maintaining personal and business privacy has
forced massive investment into infrastructure,
monitoring and integrity-checking. Google provides
a system that is redundant, with multiple verification
procedures that are proprietary and a proven track
record, so much so that the only threat comes from
within the organization itself.
Access to Credit
Credit is a driver as employment is skewed to the
high and low ends of social class. Because there Diagram shows relative strength of primary, secondary and neutral
is high importance given to independence, credit drivers within 2x2 matrix. The Powered by Google quadrant is
is used more to satisfy need rather than status, governed by Low Governance (y-axis) and Centralized Financial
Services (x-axis).
purchases just because.
Innovation
A key phenomenon in this world, innovation
permeates into both legitimate and quasi-legal
areas. Credit-fixing requires brokers to be continually
adjusting their methods to provide an appropriate
credit mask for clients. The brokers attract some of
the best and brightest due to the industry’s highly
lucrative nature.
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 26
29. Scenarios 4
Signposts for Monitoring Efforts Going Forward
A signpost is a signal or indicator that a given scenario may be unfolding. For example, three years from now, if
there are radical changes to anti-trust laws, it might indicate that a potential future similar to the United States of
Apple may emerge. Here are some signposts we identified to help monitor possible futures characterized by our
four scenarios:
United States of Apple Rise of the Brand
• Another massive economic crash with limited recov- • Increase in multi-service companies like Virgin,
ery results in a big bail-out by an individual entity or Walmart, Costco (e.g. finances, insurance, health care)
corporation • Increase in multi-company buyouts and alliances, i.e.
• Single ownership of combined financial and communi- Nike and Apple buy AT&T
cation networks • Growth in global alliance networks (e.g. Star Alliance,
• Exclusive relationship between one entity and the etc.)
government • Growth in lifestyle brands (Virgin, Starbucks) combining
• Increase in multi-service companies under a single products and services
massive, dominating and influential brand, i.e. Rogers, • Increased investment and adoption of loyalty programs
Walmart, etc. resulting in increased purchases being made with
• Deregulation of monopolies and radical changes to points rather than dollars and an increase in the buying
antitrust laws power of points
• Changes in laws around political party funding that en- • Increased brand ubiquity
able larger donations by corporations
• Reduction in the role of government
• Increase in corporations as government facilitator/ven-
dors of choice, i.e. Monsanto in Iraq
Powered by Google Multiple Choice World
• Information aggregators partnering with other brands • Breakdown of leadership structures
to develop and manufacture products and services, i.e. • Occupy Movement’s 99% wins
Ford and Google create self-driving cars • Increased number of multiple large-scale bankruptcies
• Information aggregators become angel investors • Mass boycotting of large corporations
• Information aggregators enjoy special exceptions • No money flow and tighter credit regulation
to privacy laws to collect and manage information, • National currency loses value
i.e.Google does national census work • Increase in civil engagement
• Mergers for sake of information gathering • Increase in local governmental control and impact
• Decline of small information data warehouses. • Return to bartering as transaction method
• Integration of public and private information in a cen- • Mesh networks and micro-lending rise in popularity
tralized location (in the cloud, etc.) • Social responsibility and personal reputation increase
in value
• Fewer intermediaries, increase in peer-to-peer initia-
tives
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 27
31. 5 Strategic Options
Surfacing and Creating Options Clarifying and Clustering
Taking into consideration the scenarios and the Options
stakeholders, each member of the team brain-
stormed a list of strategic themes inspired by their Each option was clarified by the author, then collec-
scenario. tively rewritten and combined and the list of about 30
options were classified into one of 10 categories:
The options were then aggregated and shared within
the group. Some of these options included: a. Legal
b. Loyalty programs
• Invest in biometric identification technology (e.g. c. Identification
retinal scan, fingerprints, etc.) for various touch- d. Tools at point of sale
points including ATMs (original thought was e. Network infrastructure
“include scanning capabilities in ATM”) f. Security
• Extend knowledge/information tied to identifica- g. Privacy
tion to include psychological and behavioural h. Social reputation
characteristics i. Services
• Explore expanded partnerships with alternative j. Strategic partnerships
loyalty partners
• Develop techniques to identify fraudulent activi-
ties and mitigate risk
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 29
32. Strategic Options 5
Refining Strategic Options Enhance Customer Experience
Upon further review, it became apparent that our Our stakeholder could invest in enhancing the
options list contained both strategic and tactical customer experience through service design. This
options. The team flagged the options that were would include looking at the brand touchpoints
strategic in nature and by using the ‘5 Whys Tool,’ along the customer decision-making process, in
they were able to widen their lens and uncover addition to mapping out how they engage with
the strategy behind tactical options. For example, banks directly through various channels and
the strategy behind the tactical option, “Introduce products.
barcode, QR code or RFID scanning technology
infrastructure to allow for self-serve, over-the-
Cultivate Community Among Customers
air payments by consumers” became, “Improve Our stakeholder could enhance their social
customer convenience and experience through capital in its customers’ communities by offering
emerging technologies.” After considering tactical programs or initiatives that strengthen and enrich
versus strategic options, the team arrived at a list of those communities and the associations they
eight options. have with the bank (e.g. ranging from recognizing
that micro-lending is emerging and developing
A final round of refinement led to a list of five key
complimentary services for the community to
strategic options, intentionally broad and general in
sponsorship of local initiatives).
nature, with specific strategic direction, to provide
our fictitious stakeholder with the opportunity to Acquire and Retain Consumers
generate actionable tactics aligned with company
goals and aspirations. Our stakeholder could focus efforts on attracting
Five Key Strategic Options
consumers and maintaining their loyalty of existing
customers (e.g. they could look to product
innovation as a means of attracting customers or
to discounting/added value in the form of special
offers).
Form Strategic Partnerships and/or
Acquire Businesses Invest in Technology Infrastructure
Our stakeholder could invest in developing
Our stakeholder could potentially form strategic
technological networks of their own and investing
partnerships or alliances with complementary
additional transaction services (e.g. a wireless
entities and/or acquire businesses that could
services network).
reinforce a competitive advantage in the
marketplace (e.g. consider partnering with Google
to offer mobile payments via bank accounts
linked with Google Wallet or acquire a foreign
bank in which our stakeholder does not yet have
presence).
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 30
33. Strategic Options 5
Evaluating Strategic Options Via Wind Tunneling
Wind Tunneling is a process by which the strategic options (what is most important for the success of the
stakeholder) are evaluated for their role and presence in each of the scenarios. This serves to identify areas of
implication and potential action based on organization priorities.
Because of the inherent variation between scenarios, the team felt that the Option/Scenario Matrix (a.k.a. Wind
Tunneling) was the most effective tool for assessing the impact and validity of each option in each scenario. In
order to keep methods of evaluation of the final dossier consistent with the ‘driver’ evaluation, the team opted
to adopt the Primary, Secondary and Neutral importance scale used to measure the trends, instead of the
traditional High, Medium, Low, Neutral wind tunneling measurement scale. The final evaluation of the options is
shown below:
United States Rise of the Powered Multiple Choice
Strategic Option
of Apple Brand by Google World
Form Strategic Partnerships and/or
P P P P
Acquire Businesses
Enhance Customer Experience S P P P
Cultivate Community Among Customers N P N P
Acquire and Retain Consumers N P S P
Invest in Technology Infrastructure N P P P
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 31
34. Strategic Options 5
Wind Tunneling Implications by Scenario
United States of Apple Role of Community
Remaining competitive and profitable in this scenario N – Neutral
will prove highly challenging. The network’s governing Since network access to bank services are
body will determine the level of customization highly governed and centralized, the voice of the
permitted. Existing bank products and services community is silenced. Heavy lobbying is required
will need to be redesigned to meet any and all in order to sway the policymakers’ decisions. There
requirements imposed by this new regime. is; however, the possibility of creating and leveraging
community locally at the branch level through
Strategic Business Partnerships customer appreciation days and/or town halls.
P – Primary
Acquire and Retain Consumers
In order to survive in this world, strategic business
partnerships need to be created and maintained N – Neutral
at the government level and with agencies or Consumer acquisition and retention is determined
manufacturers who are able to build or provide by the number of users in the network. This level
ancillary products and services. increases and drops along with birth and death
levels. Banks will need to find innovative methods
Customer Experience to promote and differentiate within the network’s
S – Secondary constraint. They could, for example, create peripheral
services.
The bank can no longer rely on technology to
differentiate itself in the marketplace. A distinct Technology Infrastructure
customer’s experience could continue to be achieved
in-person at the various bank branches, through N – Neutral
visual identity and in the level and quality of service In this monopoly, access and use of the network
offered. is tightly controlled. External software developers
requiring access to this secure network and
publishing rights on the proprietary mobile devices
must adhere to high standards and strict protocols.
Ongoing training will be required for the bank’s
executive and legal teams, customer service
representatives, bank tellers and IT staff. Potentially,
new software and hardware will need to be
purchased.
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 32
35. Strategic Options 5
Rise of the Brand Customer Experience
P – Primary
This is a highly competitive market where alliances
between brands are paramount in order to secure With so many options available to consumers in
customer loyalty. There will be significant innovations this world, it will be challenging to acquire new
around service design and transaction facilitation customers and difficult to retain them. In this world, a
in order to deliver the personalized service and competitive advantage can be achieved by adopting
experiences that are aligned with brand delivery a client-focused approach to service delivery, by
expectations. using social status as a means to position the bank
in the marketplace, by adopting new technologies
Strategic Business Partnerships that address consumer demands.
P – Primary Customers will be driven by convenience and
lifestyle, making payments however, wherever and
Strategic partnerships will be vital to survival in this whenever they choose. Consumers will demand that
world. Building brand recognition and aligning with payments be a seamless and a positive experience;
brands that have complementary values will be for example, no more waiting in line at the cash
important to convey a unified image to customers register.
and attract continued loyalty. Business partnerships
will be much more important than governmental
Acquire and Retain Consumers
affiliations in this world, and international reach will be
important whether through strategic acquisitions or P – Primary
affiliation agreements.
Traditional acquisition tools are still in place:
Some of the approaches to forming strategic sampling, introductory offers, advertising and loyalty
partnerships or acquisitions our stakeholder could points. New programs and tactics will emerge
take, are to look at companies that traditionally were that offer highly personalized offers with rewards/
not in the customer-to-business payment space, but currencies unique to the brand in order to attract and
are increasingly moving to innovate in this space. retain customers.
For example, if Amazon were to begin offering
Being brand loyal will be ultimately more cost
financial services, our stakeholder could consider
effective when amortized across a lifetime and
a partnership or acquisition to maintain profitability,
lifestyle because there will be inherent added value
presence and influence in the consumer to business
rewards for consistent usage of the brand across
payment sphere.
categories. This aligns to a compelling retention
Another path would be to acquire or build exclusive approach.
partnerships with complementary brands in the
No-name brands could become new luxury or rebel
same sector, but in geographical regions where
brands for those who can afford to shop outside of a
there is little reach within our stakeholder’s existing
brand loyalty program. There could be a luxury brand
network (e.g. offering a full range of services to
counter-counter with a rise of no-name among early
a foreign bank’s customer base in exchange for
adopters and the wealthy. This could lead to some
similar reciprocal privileges for the stakeholder’s
customer erosion if there is limited differentiation or
consumers).
innovation within a given brand or product set.
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 33
36. Strategic Options
5
Rise of the Brand [2]
Technology Infrastructure
P – Primary
The technology employed in the delivery of services
will offer opportunities to differentiate a brand,
establish a competitive advantage and build brand
equity. Access to consumer information will be
exclusive to brand networks with which consumers
are affiliated and will be secured on proprietary
networks.
Investment in technology infrastructure may be
extensive due to the competitive landscape. Broad
network penetration requires management of
multiple protocols and standards, while adhering to
strict security requirements to maintain the integrity
of each brand affiliation and not breach disclosure
assurances.
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 34
37. Strategic Options 5
Multiple Choice World built on accessibility and convenience. Any service
based industry will need to ensure they have the
Multiple Choice World is a unregulated world where infrastructure and points of distribution to facilitate
a diverse customer based is segmented into a and deliver on that expectation. Consumers in this
number of networks, each with their own protocols capacity control the exchange and the transaction.
and standards. Social capital is an important There is no longer the need for an intermediary to
consideration for innovation given that information facilitate the exchange. The servicing will be in the
is valued as both a commodity and delivery of ability to provide access to networks and to tools
payment. In this world, currencies are fragmented that align to customer need.
and social capital is a sign of equity and resources.
As a result, communities are tight-knit and individual Role of Community
consumers can hold a range of influence on other
consumers. Payment is done through social P – Primary
networks and is more akin to barter than to an This world is reliant on the depth and breadth of
exchange of standard currency. There is no financial the community. Each network is a community unto
institution competition in regards to payment and itself whereby transactions are facilitated through
loans but there might be one for barter facilitation. exchange between members. With a fragmented
currency system there is limited opportunity for
Strategic Business Partnerships individual credit ratings, the only validation an
individual has in this world is their own reputation.
P – Primary This is a new form of social equity that is evaluated
Our stakeholder may be able to thrive in this by members of the community with whom there
context by offering services partnerships with has been a relationship or exchange. The collective
localized entities in order to ensure market community replaces any government entities and
penetration, community by community. Building through the expansive network of people more of the
strong relationships and partnerships with influential community becomes connected shrinking what was
community members will also be a promising commonly considered 6 degrees of separation is
approach. To address fragmentation of currencies, now 4 degrees. The opportunity for our stakeholder
our stakeholder could also position itself as a leading to be transparent and easily understood, this would
broker of multiple currencies, similar to a foreign enhance approachability, which would lead to
exchange brokerage to facilitate the fluidity of understanding and greater acceptance within the
transacting in multiple currencies. community.
Customer Experience Acquire and Retain Consumers
P – Primary P – Primary
In this world, a competitive advantage could be Loyalty is extremely fragile in this world as a result of
achieved by redesigning bank products and services the multiple opportunities for affiliations. Acquisition
in order to help fulfill, alleviate, accelerate, or improve is easy because there is a low-barrier of commitment
exchanges between individuals. This is a world and is facilitated by word of mouth. Retention is
maintained because of of the social status of who
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 35
38. Strategic Options
5
Multiple Choice World [2]
is part of the network. Because information is both
a commodity and delivery of payment across the
network it will be important to understand how
to leverage the information to build a network and
connectivity with a customer base. There is a also a
high demand for customization; this will necessitate
the development of consolidated one-touch banking
products that can be used across a mesh network
or that have hackable/open source capabilities with
flexible usage and fee structures.
Technology Infrastructure
P – Primary
As networks are diverse and unregulated, therefore
adoption of standards and protocols are difficult
to manage as strict adherence. Technology
infrastructure has both conventional components
and innovative, non-traditional approaches to
connectivity. Social identity is key in this world,
providing a means of access and capital depending
on network style. Approval into a given network may
require extensive resources including administration,
processing and verification procedures. The need
to safeguard personal infomation is in conflict with
the role of social capital. Managing the flow of
personal information in a public domain along with
monitoring the values of multiple curriences will
require significant investments. The opportunity
is to develop services tied to customer behaviour
and social capital remain attractive options for
competitive advantage in this landscape.
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 36
39. Strategic Options 5
Powered by Google Role of Community
N – Neutral
In this future, the government has taken a hands-
off approach to regulation and compliance. Their Google has infiltrated the fabric of society, amassing
growth in a grey market provides legitimate but information on such a scale that it eclipsed
illegal services, such as credit fixing. Google government through sheer size, depth, interpretation
is the key stakeholder and major provider of and analysis of trends, determination of cultural
information, services and prestige. Alignment with emergence and economic indicators. Community
Google is critical to ensure long-term sustainability. is tied tightly to what information Google wishes
Strategic partnership is a primary focus as well as to capture and for that reason, tends to promote
technological investment to develop onto Google’s connection between people. For the business,
platform. The institution must be flexible in their accessing that information as a competitive
service offerings, while mitigating risk and ultimately advantage is possible, but is still reliant on access
differentiating themselves in the marketplace through privileges to Google’s infrastructure
innovation.
Acquire and Retain Consumers
Strategic Business Partnerships
S – Secondary
P – Primary
Consumer acquisition and retention is driven by
Partnerships remain confined to an affiliation service offering and the ability of a business to offer
structure with Google. The level of investment not only the best deal, but possibly be flexible on
or priority determines the access level within the a customer’s ability to access credit. As a financial
Google sphere, providing access to diagnostic and institution, up-to-the-minute trend analysis and
behavioural analysis. Other associations are possible determining a customer’s profitability based on
and there is an ability to extend market reach by up- spending habits and risk mitigation are necessary in
selling with an association that will share risk. order to remain viable.
Customer Experience Technology Infrastructure
P – Primary P – Primary
Technology plays a key role in differentiation with Google drives major stakeholder interests and the
other competitors. Investment can be related directly level of access to consumer data. Business affiliation
within the realm of Google itself, or through the within the Google network provides both market
extension of Google’s developer base, allowing a penetration and risk mitigation. Innovation and
company to add value on top of an existing shell. application development trends are higher due to a
This is a critical component for customer service. large developer community, generating innovative
However, customer loyalty is low in this world, as service options as a competitive advantage. Security
customers will tend to go where the can get the most is a key consideration due to low governmental
value for what they can afford. regulations, yet there is necessary compliance with
Google’s architecture.
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 37
40. Strategic Options 5
Discussion of Options and Stakeholder Implications
From the options elicited and refined from our four scenarios, we turned to Kees Van der Heijden’s Scenarios,
Strategy and the Strategy Process to design four customizable strategies to help the bank’s executive team
navigate its way towards a beneficial future.
United States Rise of the Powered Multiple Choice
Strategic Option
of Apple Brand by Google World
Form Strategic Partnerships and/or
P P P P
Acquire Businesses
Enhance Customer Experience S P P P
Cultivate Community Among Customers N P N P
Acquire and Retain Consumers N P S P
Invest in Technology Infrastructure N P P P
Robust Strategy Flexible Strategy
Significant But Safer Investments A Weighted Approach
Conservative in nature, the Robust Strategy A Flexible Strategy encourages substantial
proposes the bank concentrates its efforts and investment in Strategic Partnerships and Customer
resources on Strategic Partnerships and on Experience as well as minor investments in
Customer Experience. Since both these options Consumer Acquisitions, Technological Infrastructure
rated as high importance across most scenarios, and in Cultivating Community Among Customers.
they guarantee modest returns and a return on Although riskier than the Robust Strategy, this
investment. strategy offers the possibility of higher returns.
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 38
41. Strategic Options 5
Multiple Coverage Strategy Gambling Strategy
A Balanced Approach High Risk, High Reward
A Multiple Coverage Strategy involves equal A Gambling Strategy would encourage the
investments in all five options. This strategy is Executive Team to invest in an option with a high
somewhat risky and more expensive because level of uncertainty (Role of Community, Consumer
investments are made in all areas, but not weighted Acquisition and Retention and Technology
based on likelihood of occurrence. Its advantage is Infrastructure). This strategy is the riskiest, yet offers
that it ensures that all options are covered. Since the highest possible return.
the amount of resources invested in each option
is modest in comparison to the Flexible Strategy, it
offers the possibility of mid to high returns that could
cover any losses incurred on any failed investments.
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 39
42. Strategic Options 5
Strategy Assessment Tool
In order to assess which strategy to implement, and taking into consideration Van der Heijden’s work, we
created a matrix to help assess each strategy based on the following criteria:
Financial Performance
How will this strategy perform financially? Does the bank have the financial resources required to implement this
strategy?
Risk Management Performance
Can the bank mitigate the risks incurred through the implementation of this strategy?
How risky is this strategy?
Strategic Fit
How does this option fit within existing organizational objectives?
Cultural Fit
Does this strategy fit with the organization’s existing values?
Assessment Tool Template
Risk
Financial
Strategy Management Strategic Fit Cultural Fit
Performance
Performance
Robust Strategy
Flexible Strategy
Multiple Coverage Strategy
Gambling Strategy
Note: This is to be filled out by the stakeholder with a low-medium-high ranking
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 40
43. Strategic Options
5
Next Steps
There are no facts about the future. The scenarios
and the signposts developed are to serve as a guide
to help our stakeholder make informed decisions
about how to steer their organization over the next
10 years. There are no formal conclusions to be
made, only recommendations and considerations
that will need to be evaluated based on organization
priority and risk tolerance.
What is anticipated is the migration from paper to
digital transactions and currency, all facilitated by
technological innovation that aligns with service
design. The shift in power and ownership, along with
the health of the economy is unpredictable at this
point in time. It will be these broader social shifts
that will inevitably influence and design the future
and help to place priority on any given investment.
The role of this work is to shine a light on potential
futures and to be aware of the signs that indicate
such a transition in order to make the best decisions
possible for the success of the stakeholder.
For further discussion about this foresighting exercise
or how this could be applied to any other initiatives
please reach out and continue the conversation.
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 41
44. Bios
6
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 42
45. Bios
6
Eric Leo Blais Jen Chow
Producer (Vice-President, Digital Media) Design Researcher
Peace Point Entertainment Group Nurun
With over 15 years of digital media production under Jen is passionate about people, culture and digital
his belt, Eric Leo Blais continues to develop proven technology, striving to help brands and businesses
cost-effective and creative business and marketing build meaningful, valuable experiences for
solutions that leverage digital technology to promote customers. As a design research methods geek, she
brand awareness, improve customer loyalty and enjoys employing a range of techniques to uncover
retention and streamline business processes for customer insights and novel business opportunities.
a wide range of industries including: information Holding the strong belief that businesses have
technology, entertainment, automotive, health and much to benefit from human-centred and inclusive
fitness and legal and human resources. Over the design, she combines her background as a
years, he has worked for multiple blue chip brands, Chartered Accountant and her graduate work in
including Lexus, Nissan, the Toronto International strategic foresight and innovation to build compelling
Film Festival, Workopolis, Lexmark and Deloitte. strategies for a range of organizations.
Most recently, Eric produced for Peace Point Jen holds Bachelor and Master degrees in
Entertainment Group a series of award-winning Accounting from the University of Waterloo, with
mobile software applications for iOS, BlackBerry an Option in Society, Technology, and Values.
and Android devices. He’s also facilitated a number She is currently completing her Master of Design
of workshops on social media for non-profit in Strategic Foresight and Innovation at OCAD
organizations. University.
Eric holds a degree in Art from the University of You can connect with Jen on a variety of channels
Ottawa, a certificate in Design Management from via jenchow.ca.
Ryerson University and is completing his Masters
of Design in Strategic Foresight and Innovation at
OCAD University.
financial futures blais, chow, mills, norman 43