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The Body in the Bag ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Case Background ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Case Background ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Case Background ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Tasks of the Detectives ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Race of Victim/Offender Race of Offender Race of Victim White Black Other TOTAL White 3017 501 44 3562 Black 226 2864 8 3098 Other 47 26 122 195 Unknown 33 21 2 56 TOTAL 3323 3412 176 6911
Sex of Victim/Offender Sex of Offender Sex of Victim Male Female Unknown TOTAL Male 4417 499 71 4987 Female 1754 185 23 1962 Unknown 49 7 19 75 TOTAL 6220 691 113 7024
Victim Profile ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Race of Victim  Race of Victim TOTAL White 3562 Black 3098 Other 195 Unknown 56 TOTAL 6911 Race of Victim TOTAL White 51.5% Black 44.8% Other 2.8% Unknown 0.8% TOTAL 100%
Sex of Victim  Sex of Victim TOTAL Male 4987 Female 1962 Unknown 75 TOTAL 6911 Sex of Victim TOTAL Male 71.0% Female 27.9% Unknown 1.1% TOTAL 100%
Victim Profile ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What is the best prediction as to the race and sex of the offender?
Offender Details: Race Race Total White 3,323 Black 3,412 Other 176 Total 6,911 Race Total White 48.1% Black 49.4% Other 2.5% Total 100.0%
Offender Details: Sex Race Total Male 6,620 Female 691 Unknown 113 Total 7,024 Race Total Male 88.6% Female 9.8% Unknown 1.6% Total 100.0%
Offender Profile ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
How likely is that the victim and the offender are of the same race? Same gender? And does it agree with the preliminary predictions?
Joint Profile: Race Offender Total White 48.1% Black 49.4% Other 2.5% Total 100.0% Victim Total White 51.5% Black 44.8% Other 3.6% Total 100.0%
Joint Profile: Race ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Joint Profile: Sex Offender Total Male 88.6% Female 9.8% Unknown 1.6% Total 100.0% Victim Total Male 71.0% Female 27.9% Unknown 1.1% TOTAL 100%
Joint Profile: Sex ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Joint Profiles ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Preliminary Forensic Report ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Race of Offender Race of Offender Race of Victim White Black Other TOTAL White 3017 501 44 3562 Black 226 2864 8 3098 Other 47 26 122 195 Unknown 33 21 2 56 TOTAL 3323 3412 176 6911
Sex of Offender Sex of Offender Sex of Victim Male Female Unknown TOTAL Male 4417 499 71 4987 Female 1754 185 23 1962 Unknown 49 7 19 75 TOTAL 6220 691 113 7024
Offender Profile ,[object Object],[object Object],Race of Offender TOTAL White 84.7% Black 14.1% Other 1.2% Sex of Offender TOTAL Female 9.4% Male 89.4% Unknown 1.2%
Offender Profile ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
QUESTIONS?

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The Body In The Bag

  • 1.
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. Race of Victim/Offender Race of Offender Race of Victim White Black Other TOTAL White 3017 501 44 3562 Black 226 2864 8 3098 Other 47 26 122 195 Unknown 33 21 2 56 TOTAL 3323 3412 176 6911
  • 7. Sex of Victim/Offender Sex of Offender Sex of Victim Male Female Unknown TOTAL Male 4417 499 71 4987 Female 1754 185 23 1962 Unknown 49 7 19 75 TOTAL 6220 691 113 7024
  • 8.
  • 9. Race of Victim Race of Victim TOTAL White 3562 Black 3098 Other 195 Unknown 56 TOTAL 6911 Race of Victim TOTAL White 51.5% Black 44.8% Other 2.8% Unknown 0.8% TOTAL 100%
  • 10. Sex of Victim Sex of Victim TOTAL Male 4987 Female 1962 Unknown 75 TOTAL 6911 Sex of Victim TOTAL Male 71.0% Female 27.9% Unknown 1.1% TOTAL 100%
  • 11.
  • 12. What is the best prediction as to the race and sex of the offender?
  • 13. Offender Details: Race Race Total White 3,323 Black 3,412 Other 176 Total 6,911 Race Total White 48.1% Black 49.4% Other 2.5% Total 100.0%
  • 14. Offender Details: Sex Race Total Male 6,620 Female 691 Unknown 113 Total 7,024 Race Total Male 88.6% Female 9.8% Unknown 1.6% Total 100.0%
  • 15.
  • 16. How likely is that the victim and the offender are of the same race? Same gender? And does it agree with the preliminary predictions?
  • 17. Joint Profile: Race Offender Total White 48.1% Black 49.4% Other 2.5% Total 100.0% Victim Total White 51.5% Black 44.8% Other 3.6% Total 100.0%
  • 18.
  • 19. Joint Profile: Sex Offender Total Male 88.6% Female 9.8% Unknown 1.6% Total 100.0% Victim Total Male 71.0% Female 27.9% Unknown 1.1% TOTAL 100%
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23. Race of Offender Race of Offender Race of Victim White Black Other TOTAL White 3017 501 44 3562 Black 226 2864 8 3098 Other 47 26 122 195 Unknown 33 21 2 56 TOTAL 3323 3412 176 6911
  • 24. Sex of Offender Sex of Offender Sex of Victim Male Female Unknown TOTAL Male 4417 499 71 4987 Female 1754 185 23 1962 Unknown 49 7 19 75 TOTAL 6220 691 113 7024
  • 25.
  • 26.