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US Health Care
What are the major problems facing the market
and how is Patient Protection and Affordable Care
Act trying to reform it?
Actuarial Practice Presentation: Team 9
(Aayush Rai, Tien Hoong Soh, Yiqing Chen, Lingzhi Zhan, Lim Wise, Yijing Feng)
1
Overview
2
Stakeholders
What is Health Insurance?
Provider
EmployerLife Sciences Organisation
Payer
Consumer
3
Not for Profit
Hospitals
58%
Government
Hospitals
21%
For Profit
Hospitals
21%
Who provides the Health Care?
Providers take care of individuals. They are reimbursed for their
services by private insurers and the government.
4
Source: Kaiser Report, 2011
Employer-
sponsored
55%
Private
10%
Medicare
15%
Medicaid
16%
Military Health
Insurance
4%
Where does the Insurance come from?
As per the US Census Bureau, 49.9 million residents, 16.3% of the
population, were uninsured in 2010.
5
Source: US Census Bureau, 2011
Challenges
Pre Obamacare
6
Driver of inequality in the United States
7
Source: OECD, Brookings Institute 2013
3.2
7.2
4.1
13.6
4.5
8.3
5.4
16.7
Aggregate health care spending (%GDP)
2000 2008
Finland South Korea USASingapore
Uninsured Americans (millions)
34.7 38.4
50.7
0
10
20
30
40
50
1990 2000 2009
Households are priced out of the market
8
Source: US Census Bureau, 2011
Defence
21%
Discretionary
17%
Other
Mandatory
13%
Net Interest
6%
Medicare &
Medicaid
23%
Social Security
22%
U.S budget 2012 (% Total budget)
Others
39%
Medicare &
Medicaid
31%
Social
Security
29%
Projected U.S budget 2024 (% Total budget)
Diminishing revenue raising capabilities
9
Source: Congressional Budget Office Projection, 2013
Reforms
10
• What are Medicare and Medicaid?
• Law ties reimbursement and
readmission rates
• Tax reforms
Medicare
58%
Medicaid
31%
Others*
11%
2013 Federal costs on Health Care
Others*- Military Health Sys.; Children’s Health Ins.;
Veterans Health Admin.
Cost
11
Source: Congressional Budget Office Projections, 2013
• End to limits on plans
• Coverage for pre-existing conditions
• Young Adult Coverage
• Free Preventive Services
• Create a new marketplace - Exchange
• Encourage employers to provide coverage
Access
12
Shortfalls
13
Individuals and companies prefer to pay less
• Individual Mandate
• Employer Mandate
Competitive disadvantage for businesses
Penalties might be insufficient
2014 1.0% of income or $95 per person
2015 2.0% of income or $325 per person
2016 onwards 2.5% of income or $695 per person
and adjusted for inflation
14
Source: US Internal Revenue Service (IRS), 2013
Recommendations
15
Raise individual penalties
Make it a real market
• Health care supermarkets
• Federalisation of state-built exchanges
Voucher system
• Increase disposable income
• Instil discipline
16
Conclusion
17
• Enacted in 2010
• Achievements
• Shortfalls
• Improvements
570 580
635
696
725
787
819
854
943
570
571
617
652
675
732
748
771
845
500
550
600
650
700
750
800
850
900
950
1000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
MedicareSpending(in$Billions)
PPACA effect on Medicare Spending, 2010-2019
Projections without reform Projections with reform
18
Source: L. Nemani, Medicare: An Insight, 2012
References
• Stakeholders: https://www.nfib.com/cribsheets/individual-mandate/
• Hospitals by ownership type: http://kff.org/other/state-indicator/hospitals-by-ownership/#table
• Insurance sponsorship: http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/hlthins/data/incpovhlth/2012/Table8.pdf
• OECD Nations Healthcare Spending: http://www.oecd.org/statistics/datalab/health.htm
• Singapore Healthcare Spending: http://www.brookings.edu/blogs/up-front/posts/2013/05/06-singapore-health-care-system-haseltine
• Congressional Budget Office Data and Projections: http://www.cbo.gov/publication/42905
• Federal cost on health care: http://www.usfederalbudget.us/federal_budget_estimate_vs_actual_2013_XXbs1n_10#usgs302
• Penalties on individual mandate: https://www.nfib.com/cribsheets/individual-mandate/
• Income, Poverty, and Health Insurance Coverage 2012: http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/hlthins/data/incpovhlth/2012/index.html
• Medicare: An Insight, Patient Protection Affordable Care Act (PPACA) Provisions, Inherent Challenges and Critical Success Factors:
http://www.corporatewellnessmagazine.com/article/medicare-an-insight-patient-protection-affordable-care-act-ppaca-provisions-inherent-
challenges-and-critical-success-factors.html
19
Thank you! Q&A?
20

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Team 9 US Health Care

  • 1. US Health Care What are the major problems facing the market and how is Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act trying to reform it? Actuarial Practice Presentation: Team 9 (Aayush Rai, Tien Hoong Soh, Yiqing Chen, Lingzhi Zhan, Lim Wise, Yijing Feng) 1
  • 3. Stakeholders What is Health Insurance? Provider EmployerLife Sciences Organisation Payer Consumer 3
  • 4. Not for Profit Hospitals 58% Government Hospitals 21% For Profit Hospitals 21% Who provides the Health Care? Providers take care of individuals. They are reimbursed for their services by private insurers and the government. 4 Source: Kaiser Report, 2011
  • 5. Employer- sponsored 55% Private 10% Medicare 15% Medicaid 16% Military Health Insurance 4% Where does the Insurance come from? As per the US Census Bureau, 49.9 million residents, 16.3% of the population, were uninsured in 2010. 5 Source: US Census Bureau, 2011
  • 7. Driver of inequality in the United States 7 Source: OECD, Brookings Institute 2013 3.2 7.2 4.1 13.6 4.5 8.3 5.4 16.7 Aggregate health care spending (%GDP) 2000 2008 Finland South Korea USASingapore
  • 8. Uninsured Americans (millions) 34.7 38.4 50.7 0 10 20 30 40 50 1990 2000 2009 Households are priced out of the market 8 Source: US Census Bureau, 2011
  • 9. Defence 21% Discretionary 17% Other Mandatory 13% Net Interest 6% Medicare & Medicaid 23% Social Security 22% U.S budget 2012 (% Total budget) Others 39% Medicare & Medicaid 31% Social Security 29% Projected U.S budget 2024 (% Total budget) Diminishing revenue raising capabilities 9 Source: Congressional Budget Office Projection, 2013
  • 11. • What are Medicare and Medicaid? • Law ties reimbursement and readmission rates • Tax reforms Medicare 58% Medicaid 31% Others* 11% 2013 Federal costs on Health Care Others*- Military Health Sys.; Children’s Health Ins.; Veterans Health Admin. Cost 11 Source: Congressional Budget Office Projections, 2013
  • 12. • End to limits on plans • Coverage for pre-existing conditions • Young Adult Coverage • Free Preventive Services • Create a new marketplace - Exchange • Encourage employers to provide coverage Access 12
  • 14. Individuals and companies prefer to pay less • Individual Mandate • Employer Mandate Competitive disadvantage for businesses Penalties might be insufficient 2014 1.0% of income or $95 per person 2015 2.0% of income or $325 per person 2016 onwards 2.5% of income or $695 per person and adjusted for inflation 14 Source: US Internal Revenue Service (IRS), 2013
  • 16. Raise individual penalties Make it a real market • Health care supermarkets • Federalisation of state-built exchanges Voucher system • Increase disposable income • Instil discipline 16
  • 18. • Enacted in 2010 • Achievements • Shortfalls • Improvements 570 580 635 696 725 787 819 854 943 570 571 617 652 675 732 748 771 845 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900 950 1000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 MedicareSpending(in$Billions) PPACA effect on Medicare Spending, 2010-2019 Projections without reform Projections with reform 18 Source: L. Nemani, Medicare: An Insight, 2012
  • 19. References • Stakeholders: https://www.nfib.com/cribsheets/individual-mandate/ • Hospitals by ownership type: http://kff.org/other/state-indicator/hospitals-by-ownership/#table • Insurance sponsorship: http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/hlthins/data/incpovhlth/2012/Table8.pdf • OECD Nations Healthcare Spending: http://www.oecd.org/statistics/datalab/health.htm • Singapore Healthcare Spending: http://www.brookings.edu/blogs/up-front/posts/2013/05/06-singapore-health-care-system-haseltine • Congressional Budget Office Data and Projections: http://www.cbo.gov/publication/42905 • Federal cost on health care: http://www.usfederalbudget.us/federal_budget_estimate_vs_actual_2013_XXbs1n_10#usgs302 • Penalties on individual mandate: https://www.nfib.com/cribsheets/individual-mandate/ • Income, Poverty, and Health Insurance Coverage 2012: http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/hlthins/data/incpovhlth/2012/index.html • Medicare: An Insight, Patient Protection Affordable Care Act (PPACA) Provisions, Inherent Challenges and Critical Success Factors: http://www.corporatewellnessmagazine.com/article/medicare-an-insight-patient-protection-affordable-care-act-ppaca-provisions-inherent- challenges-and-critical-success-factors.html 19