Common stock represents partial ownership in a corporation. There are various types of common stock including common, preferred, class A, and class B. Common stock owners are entitled to receive dividends and have voting rights. The price of common stock is determined by factors such as expected future dividends, earnings, and growth. Analysis of common stocks can involve fundamental analysis of a company's financials and business prospects or technical analysis of stock price movements.
The Mutual Fund Concept1. LG 12. LG 2Questions of which stoc.docxdennisa15
The Mutual Fund Concept
1. LG 1
2. LG 2
Questions of which stock or bond to select, how best to build a diversified portfolio, and how to manage the costs of building a portfolio have challenged investors for as long as there have been organized securities markets. These concerns lie at the very heart of the mutual fund concept and in large part explain the growth that mutual funds have experienced. Many investors lack the know-how, time, or commitment to manage their own portfolios. Furthermore, many investors do not have sufficient funds to create a well-diversified portfolio, so instead they turn to professional money managers and allow them to decide which securities to buy and sell. More often than not, when investors look for professional help, they look to mutual funds.
Basically, a mutual fund (also called an investment company) is a type of financial services organization that receives money from a group of investors and then uses those funds to purchase a portfolio of securities. When investors send money to a mutual fund, they receive shares in the fund and become part owners of a portfolio of securities. That is, the investment company builds and manages a portfolio of securities and sells ownership interests—shares—in that portfolio through a vehicle known as a mutual fund.
An Advisor’s Perspective
Catherine Censullo Founder, CMC Wealth Management
“Mutual funds are pools of assets.”
MyFinanceLab
Portfolio management deals with both asset allocation and security selection decisions. By investing in mutual funds, investors delegate some, if not all, of the security selection decisions to professional money managers. As a result, investors can concentrate on key asset allocation decisions—which, of course, play a vital role in determining long-term portfolio returns. Indeed, it’s for this reason that many investors consider mutual funds the ultimate asset allocation vehicle. All that investors have to do is decide in which fund they want to invest—and then let the professional money managers at the mutual funds do the rest.
An Overview of Mutual Funds
Mutual funds have been a part of the investment landscape in the United States for 91 years. The first one started in Boston in 1924 and is still in business. By 1940 the number of mutual funds had grown to 68, and by 2015 there were more than 9,300 of them. To put that number in perspective, there are more mutual funds in existence today than there are stocks listed on all the major U.S. stock exchanges combined. As the number of fund offerings has increased, so have the assets managed by these funds, rising from about $135 billion in 1980 to $15.8 trillion by the end of 2014. Compared to less than 6% in 1980, 43% of U.S. households (90 million people) owned mutual funds in 2014. The mutual fund industry has grown so much, in fact, that it is now the largest financial intermediary in this country—even ahead of banks.
Mutual funds are big business in the United States and, indeed, all.
PAGE ONE Economics®An informative and accessible economic .docxbunyansaturnina
PAGE ONE Economics®
An informative and accessible economic essay with a classroom application.
Includes the full version of Page One Economics ®, plus questions for students
and an answer key for classroom use.
National Common Core State Standards (see page 8)
CLASSROOM EDITION
April 2016
Stock Market Strategies: Are You
an Active or Passive Investor?
Scott A. Wolla, Ph.D., Senior Economic Education Specialist
https://www.stlouisfed.org/education
https://www.stlouisfed.org
If you ever ask an economist which stocks to buy, chances are you won’t
get a specific answer. Instead, you might hear about the “efficiencies” of
markets.1 In fact, there’s an old economics joke about market efficiency:
Two economists walk down a sidewalk—one is older and wiser and the
other is younger and less experienced. The younger economist says, “Look
a $20 bill” and bends down to snatch it. The older economist says, “Don’t
bother! It can’t be real or someone would have already picked it up.”
The joke is meant to exaggerate the belief held by many economists that
markets quickly adjust to new information. Financial markets are said to be
“efficient” if they leave no “money on the table” for very long. If there’s an
opportunity to make a profit, buyers and sellers will swoop in and take it.
Hence the joke—a $20 bill left on the street for any length of time might
not be a real $20 bill at all.
Making Money in the Stock Market
Savers have many investment options to choose from. Investing in stocks
has risks, but over time, the stock market tends to have higher average
returns than other popular investment options (see the boxed insert “Stock
Market Returns Over Time”). Investors earn money on their stock purchases
through dividends and capital gains. Dividends are shares of a company’s
net profits paid to stockholders. Dividends are often paid quarterly and
are commonly associated with established, profitable companies. Capital
gains are the profit from the sale of a financial investment—for example,
when a stock is sold for more than the original purchase price.
Every investor hopes to earn high returns—dividends plus capital gains—
while minimizing risk. An effective way to minimize the risk of investing
in stocks (a relatively risky financial asset) is to diversify. Diversification
means to invest in various financial instruments—not just a specific one.
Stock Market Strategies: Are You
an Active or Passive Investor?
Scott A. Wolla, Ph.D., Senior Economic Education Specialist
GLOSSARY
Bonds: Certificates of indebtedness issued by
a government or a publicly held corpora-
tion, promising to repay borrowed money
to the lenders at a fixed rate of interest
and at a specified time.
Capital gains: A profit from the sale of finan-
cial investments.
Diversification: Investment in various finan-
cial instruments in order to reduce risk.
Dividend: A share of a company’s net profits
paid to stockholders.
Efficient market hypothesis (EMH): The
theory that the.
The Mutual Fund Concept1. LG 12. LG 2Questions of which stoc.docxdennisa15
The Mutual Fund Concept
1. LG 1
2. LG 2
Questions of which stock or bond to select, how best to build a diversified portfolio, and how to manage the costs of building a portfolio have challenged investors for as long as there have been organized securities markets. These concerns lie at the very heart of the mutual fund concept and in large part explain the growth that mutual funds have experienced. Many investors lack the know-how, time, or commitment to manage their own portfolios. Furthermore, many investors do not have sufficient funds to create a well-diversified portfolio, so instead they turn to professional money managers and allow them to decide which securities to buy and sell. More often than not, when investors look for professional help, they look to mutual funds.
Basically, a mutual fund (also called an investment company) is a type of financial services organization that receives money from a group of investors and then uses those funds to purchase a portfolio of securities. When investors send money to a mutual fund, they receive shares in the fund and become part owners of a portfolio of securities. That is, the investment company builds and manages a portfolio of securities and sells ownership interests—shares—in that portfolio through a vehicle known as a mutual fund.
An Advisor’s Perspective
Catherine Censullo Founder, CMC Wealth Management
“Mutual funds are pools of assets.”
MyFinanceLab
Portfolio management deals with both asset allocation and security selection decisions. By investing in mutual funds, investors delegate some, if not all, of the security selection decisions to professional money managers. As a result, investors can concentrate on key asset allocation decisions—which, of course, play a vital role in determining long-term portfolio returns. Indeed, it’s for this reason that many investors consider mutual funds the ultimate asset allocation vehicle. All that investors have to do is decide in which fund they want to invest—and then let the professional money managers at the mutual funds do the rest.
An Overview of Mutual Funds
Mutual funds have been a part of the investment landscape in the United States for 91 years. The first one started in Boston in 1924 and is still in business. By 1940 the number of mutual funds had grown to 68, and by 2015 there were more than 9,300 of them. To put that number in perspective, there are more mutual funds in existence today than there are stocks listed on all the major U.S. stock exchanges combined. As the number of fund offerings has increased, so have the assets managed by these funds, rising from about $135 billion in 1980 to $15.8 trillion by the end of 2014. Compared to less than 6% in 1980, 43% of U.S. households (90 million people) owned mutual funds in 2014. The mutual fund industry has grown so much, in fact, that it is now the largest financial intermediary in this country—even ahead of banks.
Mutual funds are big business in the United States and, indeed, all.
PAGE ONE Economics®An informative and accessible economic .docxbunyansaturnina
PAGE ONE Economics®
An informative and accessible economic essay with a classroom application.
Includes the full version of Page One Economics ®, plus questions for students
and an answer key for classroom use.
National Common Core State Standards (see page 8)
CLASSROOM EDITION
April 2016
Stock Market Strategies: Are You
an Active or Passive Investor?
Scott A. Wolla, Ph.D., Senior Economic Education Specialist
https://www.stlouisfed.org/education
https://www.stlouisfed.org
If you ever ask an economist which stocks to buy, chances are you won’t
get a specific answer. Instead, you might hear about the “efficiencies” of
markets.1 In fact, there’s an old economics joke about market efficiency:
Two economists walk down a sidewalk—one is older and wiser and the
other is younger and less experienced. The younger economist says, “Look
a $20 bill” and bends down to snatch it. The older economist says, “Don’t
bother! It can’t be real or someone would have already picked it up.”
The joke is meant to exaggerate the belief held by many economists that
markets quickly adjust to new information. Financial markets are said to be
“efficient” if they leave no “money on the table” for very long. If there’s an
opportunity to make a profit, buyers and sellers will swoop in and take it.
Hence the joke—a $20 bill left on the street for any length of time might
not be a real $20 bill at all.
Making Money in the Stock Market
Savers have many investment options to choose from. Investing in stocks
has risks, but over time, the stock market tends to have higher average
returns than other popular investment options (see the boxed insert “Stock
Market Returns Over Time”). Investors earn money on their stock purchases
through dividends and capital gains. Dividends are shares of a company’s
net profits paid to stockholders. Dividends are often paid quarterly and
are commonly associated with established, profitable companies. Capital
gains are the profit from the sale of a financial investment—for example,
when a stock is sold for more than the original purchase price.
Every investor hopes to earn high returns—dividends plus capital gains—
while minimizing risk. An effective way to minimize the risk of investing
in stocks (a relatively risky financial asset) is to diversify. Diversification
means to invest in various financial instruments—not just a specific one.
Stock Market Strategies: Are You
an Active or Passive Investor?
Scott A. Wolla, Ph.D., Senior Economic Education Specialist
GLOSSARY
Bonds: Certificates of indebtedness issued by
a government or a publicly held corpora-
tion, promising to repay borrowed money
to the lenders at a fixed rate of interest
and at a specified time.
Capital gains: A profit from the sale of finan-
cial investments.
Diversification: Investment in various finan-
cial instruments in order to reduce risk.
Dividend: A share of a company’s net profits
paid to stockholders.
Efficient market hypothesis (EMH): The
theory that the.
Many people tend to over complicate saving and investing. This overabundance of information can sometimes generate so many different answers and opinions that you just give up on the question. You don't need brain surgery to fix a sprained wrist, and you don't need to be a pro to build a diversified portfolio and accumulate wealth. This article shows the benefits and the simplicity of investing in a mutual fund.
Analysis and explanation of various investment options in Indiaumang22
To highlight key features of Investment avenue.
To examine knowledge and problem of available investment avenues.
To find the main bases of different investment avenues, an investor thinks before investing.
This is a very appropriate article if you are getting ready to retire and looking for an investment strategy that will preserve your hard earned savings and provide you with an income to last throughout retirement.
Cracking the Workplace Discipline Code Main.pptxWorkforce Group
Cultivating and maintaining discipline within teams is a critical differentiator for successful organisations.
Forward-thinking leaders and business managers understand the impact that discipline has on organisational success. A disciplined workforce operates with clarity, focus, and a shared understanding of expectations, ultimately driving better results, optimising productivity, and facilitating seamless collaboration.
Although discipline is not a one-size-fits-all approach, it can help create a work environment that encourages personal growth and accountability rather than solely relying on punitive measures.
In this deck, you will learn the significance of workplace discipline for organisational success. You’ll also learn
• Four (4) workplace discipline methods you should consider
• The best and most practical approach to implementing workplace discipline.
• Three (3) key tips to maintain a disciplined workplace.
Many people tend to over complicate saving and investing. This overabundance of information can sometimes generate so many different answers and opinions that you just give up on the question. You don't need brain surgery to fix a sprained wrist, and you don't need to be a pro to build a diversified portfolio and accumulate wealth. This article shows the benefits and the simplicity of investing in a mutual fund.
Analysis and explanation of various investment options in Indiaumang22
To highlight key features of Investment avenue.
To examine knowledge and problem of available investment avenues.
To find the main bases of different investment avenues, an investor thinks before investing.
This is a very appropriate article if you are getting ready to retire and looking for an investment strategy that will preserve your hard earned savings and provide you with an income to last throughout retirement.
Cracking the Workplace Discipline Code Main.pptxWorkforce Group
Cultivating and maintaining discipline within teams is a critical differentiator for successful organisations.
Forward-thinking leaders and business managers understand the impact that discipline has on organisational success. A disciplined workforce operates with clarity, focus, and a shared understanding of expectations, ultimately driving better results, optimising productivity, and facilitating seamless collaboration.
Although discipline is not a one-size-fits-all approach, it can help create a work environment that encourages personal growth and accountability rather than solely relying on punitive measures.
In this deck, you will learn the significance of workplace discipline for organisational success. You’ll also learn
• Four (4) workplace discipline methods you should consider
• The best and most practical approach to implementing workplace discipline.
• Three (3) key tips to maintain a disciplined workplace.
An introduction to the cryptocurrency investment platform Binance Savings.Any kyc Account
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Stay ahead of the curve with our premium MEAN Stack Development Solutions. Our expert developers utilize MongoDB, Express.js, AngularJS, and Node.js to create modern and responsive web applications. Trust us for cutting-edge solutions that drive your business growth and success.
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The world of search engine optimization (SEO) is buzzing with discussions after Google confirmed that around 2,500 leaked internal documents related to its Search feature are indeed authentic. The revelation has sparked significant concerns within the SEO community. The leaked documents were initially reported by SEO experts Rand Fishkin and Mike King, igniting widespread analysis and discourse. For More Info:- https://news.arihantwebtech.com/search-disrupted-googles-leaked-documents-rock-the-seo-world/
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t4-common stock basics.pptx
1. Common Stock Basics
• 1. Definition: Stocks are A type of security that signifies ownership in a
corporation and represents a claim on part of the corporation's assets and
earnings.
• 2. Types: Common Stock (usually entitles the owner to vote at
shareholders' meetings and to receive dividends). Preferred (generally
does not have voting rights, but has a higher claim on assets and earnings
than the common shares). Class A: A classification of common stock that
may be accompanied by more voting rights. Class B: a classification of
common stock that usually does not have as many or may not have any
voting rights to elect officers to the Board of Directors of a Corporation.
• 3. Represents OWNERSHIP in the Corporation.
•
•
Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D.
2. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 2
Common Stock Basics
• 4. Owners are also referred to as shareholders or equity owners.
• 5. Street name: A brokerage account where the customer's securities
and assets are held in the name of the brokerage firm, rather than you
holding the stock certificate yourself. The customer is still listed as the
real or beneficial owner.
• 6. Board of Directors: A group of individuals that are elected as, or
elected to act as, representatives of the stockholders to establish
corporate management related policies and to make decisions on major
company issues. Such issues include the hiring/firing of executives,
dividend policies, options policies and executive compensation. Every
public company must have a Board of Directors.
•
3. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 3
Common Stock Basics
7. Dividends. Distribution of a portion of a company's earnings, decided by the board of
directors, to a class of its shareholders. The dividend is most often quoted in terms
of the dollar amount each share receives (i.e. dividends per share or DPS). It can
also be quoted in terms of a percent of the current market price, referred to as
dividend yield. Dividends may be in the form of cash, stock or property. Most
secure and stable companies offer dividends to their stockholders. Their share
prices might not move much, but the dividend attempts to make up for this.
In the U.S., dividends face double taxation - the amount comes from after-tax
income the company generated and the recipients pay taxes on them.
As of 2014, cash dividends are taxed at a maximum rate of 15-20% as long as the
stock has been held for at least 12 months beginning 60 days prior to the ex-
dividend date. If you have held the stock for a period of less than this the dividend
will be taxed at your regular income level.
4. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 4
Common Stock Basics
8. Dividend Payout Ratio: The percentage of earnings paid to shareholders in
dividends.
Calculated as:
The payout ratio provides an idea of how well earnings support the dividend
payments. More mature companies tend to have a higher payout ratio.
5. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 5
Common Stock Basics
9. Capital Gain: Profit that results when the price of a security held by a
mutual fund rises above its purchase price and the security is sold (realized
gain). If the security continues to be held, the gain is unrealized. A capital
loss would occur when the opposite takes place.
10. Growth Stock: A stock that experiences a continued period of growth
exceeding that of the economy. Generally, the duration is over a year in
length.
11. Income Stock: A stock that has a high, consistent, dividend paid annually.
12. Speculative Stock: Stocks that offer the potential for substantial price
appreciation, usually because of some special situation such as new
management or the introduction of a promising new product.
6. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 6
Common Stock Basics
13. Cyclical Stocks: these are stocks whose earnings and overall
market performance are closely linked to the general state of the
economy.
14. Defensive Stocks: these stocks tend to hold their own, and even
do well, when the economy starts to falter.
15. Mid-cap stocks: are medium-sized companies, generally with
market values of less than $4-$5 billion but more than $1 billion.
16. Small-cap stocks: are stocks that generally have market values of
less than $1 billion but can offer above-average returns.
7. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 7
Other Common Stock Values
17. Par Value: A dollar amount that is assigned to a security when
representing the value contributed for each share in cash or goods.
18. Book Value: the value of the equity of the firm divided by the
number of shares outstanding.
19. Liquidation Value: the value obtained for selling all the assets
of the corporation on the auction block.
20. Market Value: the current market price of the stock times the
number of shares outstanding.
21. Investment (Intrinsic) Value: the value of the corporation
based on discounted cash flow analysis and the income generating
capacity of the firm.
8. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 8
Stock Market Mentality
Common sense must be the foundation for investing in today’s market.
Yet the paradox is that this concept is uncommon among investors in
today’s marketplace.
People often refer to a stock or the market as either “overvalued” or
“undervalued” yet have no idea how to determine the INTRINSIC
VALUE of a stock.
In simple terms a stock or more accurately all the stock of a company,
is the SUM of all future cash flows the shares will generate in the future
discounted to their PRESENT VALUE.
Estimating that amount of cash flow and its present value are at the
heart of FUNDAMENTALANALYSIS.
Therefore, it is more accurate to refer to a stock or index as either
OVERPRICED or UNDERPRICED.
Today, most institutional and many individual investors are caught up
with the “market index” and it’s value. For example there is an index on
the NASDAQ 100 – with a symbol of QQQ.
9. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 9
The Q Mentality
Most investors are obsessed with the INDEX of the
Market and which way the Market is going, either up or
down.
Investors track movement of the Market (the QQQ)
and attempt to “guess” if it is undervalued or overvalued
at any point in time – almost on a daily basis.
This results in a short-term myopic view of what is
really going on in the market and how to ultimately
analyze companies.
Rather than the INDEX approach to investing, we will
take the BUSINESS ANALYSIS approach to investing.
The BUSINESS ANALYSIS approach is the anti-thesis
of the Q mentality.
10. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 10
The Q Mentality
Most investors tend to speculate rather than
invest.
Examples include buying shares in IPO’s or
start-up businesses they know little or nothing
about.
The difference between BUSINESS ANALYSIS
and the Q market analysis is reinforced by Mr.
Market which we will discuss shortly.
We will analyze stocks through our semester
project, based on our circle of competence.
11. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 11
Valuation of Common Stock
1. Dividend Valuation Model
A model for determining the intrinsic value of a stock, based on a future series of
dividends that grow at a constant rate. Given a dividend per share that is payable in
one year, and the assumption that the dividend grows at a constant rate in
perpetuity, the model solves for the present value of the infinite series of future
dividends.
Po = D1/ ks - g
Where:
P0 = Price of the stock today
D1 = Expected dividend per share one year from now
ks = Required rate of return for equity investor
g = Growth rate in dividends (in perpetuity)
12. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 12
Valuation of Common Stock
2. Capital Asset Pricing Model
A model that describes the relationship between risk and expected
return and that is used in the pricing of risky securities.
The CAPM says that the expected return of a security or a portfolio equals the rate on a
risk-free security plus a risk premium. If this expected return does not meet or beat
the required return, then the investment should not be undertaken. The security
market line plots the results of the CAPM for all different risks (betas).
ks = Rf + bs (Rm – Rf)
Where: ks = the required return on stock s
Rf = the Risk-free rate (T-Bill rate)
Rm= the return on the Market
13. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 13
Common Stock as an Inflation Hedge
- Protection Against Inflation
Over the last thirty years the S&P 500
has averaged approximately 12% annual
compound return.
- Inflation has averaged approximately
5.4% during the same time period.
14. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 14
Common Stock as an Inflation Hedge:
Source: Ibbotson and Sinquefield, “Stocks, Bonds, Bills and Inflation 2014 yearbook,” Chicago.
15. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 15
Common Stock as an Inflation Hedge:
S&P LT Bonds LT Gov’t Bonds T. Bills CPI
Last 10: 13.8% 11.3% 11.9% 5.6% 3.5%
Last 20: 14.6% 10.6% 10.4% 7.3% 5.2%
Last 30: 10.7% 8.2% 7.9% 6.7% 5.4%
Last 40: 10.8% 6.8% 6.4% 5.7% 4.5%
Last 50: 11.9% 5.8% 5.3% 5.7% 4.4%
Source: Ibbotson and Sinquefield, “Stocks, Bonds, Bills and Inflation 2014 yearbook,”
Chicago.
16. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 16
Stock Market Basics
Most stocks are traded on exchanges, which are places where buyers and sellers
meet and decide on a price. Some exchanges are physical locations where
transactions are carried out on a trading floor.
The purpose of a stock market is to facilitate the exchange of securities between
buyers and sellers, reducing the risks of investing.
17. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 17
Stock Market Basics
Types of Markets
The primary market is where securities are created (by means of an IPO) while,
in the secondary market, investors trade previously-issued securities
without the involvement of the issuing-companies. The secondary market is
what people are referring to when they talk about the stock market. It is
important to understand that the trading of a company's stock does not
directly involve that company.
The most prestigious exchange in the world is the New York Stock
Exchange (NYSE). The "Big Board" was founded over 200 years ago in
1792 with the signing of the Buttonwood Agreement by 24 New York
City stockbrokers and merchants. Currently the NYSE, with stocks like
General Electric, McDonald's, Citigroup, Coca-Cola, Gillette and Wal-
mart, is the market of choice for the largest companies in America.
18. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 18
Stock Market Basics
the OTC
The phrase "over-the-counter" can be used to refer to stocks that
trade via a dealer network as opposed to on a centralized
exchange.
In general, the reason for which a stock is traded over-the-counter is
usually because the company is small, making it unable to meet
exchange listing requirements. Also known as "unlisted stock",
these securities are traded by broker-dealers who negotiate
directly with one another over computer networks and by phone.
Read more:
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/o/otc.asp#ixzz3c218i6vZ
19. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 19
Stock Market Basics
the NASDAQ
NASDAQ originally stood for the National Association of Securities
Dealer Automated Quotation system. Today, NASDAQ is the largest
electronic equities exchange in the U.S. That's thanks to its 2008
merger with OMX ABO, a Stockholm-based operator of exchanges
located in the Nordic and Baltic regions. The new company,
NASDAQ OMX Group, lists stocks of over 3,800 companies. It also
offers trading in derivatives, debt, commodities, structured
products and ETFs.
The NASDAQ company provides services to over 70 other stock
exchanges in more than 50 countries. For example, it provides
exchange technology, which helps in stock trading, clearing and
regulatory solutions.
20. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 20
Stock Market Basics
Animals in the Market
The use of "bull" and "bear" to describe markets comes from the way in which
each animal attacks its opponents. That is, a bull thrusts its horns up into the
air, and a bear swipes its paws down. These actions are metaphors for the
movement of a market: if the trend is up, it is considered a bull market. And
if the trend is down, it is considered a bear market.
The Bull market is when everything in the economy is great, people are finding
jobs, gross domestic product (GDP) is growing, and stocks are rising. Things
are just plain rosy! Picking stocks during a bull market is easier because
everything is going up. Bull markets cannot last forever though, and
sometimes they can lead to dangerous situations if stocks become
overvalued. If a person is optimistic and believes that stocks will go up, he or
she is called a "bull" and is said to have a "bullish outlook".
21. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 21
Stock Market Basics
Animals in the Market
Bear Markets characterize the attitude of investors who
believes that a particular security or market is headed
downward. Bears attempt to profit from a decline in
prices. Bears are generally pessimistic about the state
of a given market. Bearish sentiment can be applied to
all types of markets including commodity markets,
stock markets and the bond market.
22. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 22
Stock Market Basics
Selling Short
The selling of a security that the seller does not own, or
any sale that is completed by the delivery of a security
borrowed by the seller. Short sellers assume that they
will be able to buy the stock at a lower amount than
the price at which they sold short.
Selling short is the opposite of going long. That is, short
sellers make money if the stock goes down in price.
This is an advanced trading strategy with many unique
risks and pitfalls. Novice investors are advised to avoid
short sales.
24. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 24
A. Basic Characteristics
• 1. Equity Capital
• 2. Types
– a. Growth Stock
– b. Income Stock
– c. Speculative Stock
– d. Cyclical Stock
– e. Defensive Stock
25. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 25
Common Stock as an Inflation Hedge
• Protection Against Inflation
• Over the last thirty years the S&P 500
has averaged approximately 11% annual
compound return.
• Inflation has averaged approximately
5.4% during the same time period.
26. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 26
Types of Security Analysis
•1. Fundamental Analysis
•2. Technical Analysis
27. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 27
The Father of Fundamental Analysis:
Benjamin Graham
• Who was Benjamin Graham?
Fundamental Analysis: A method of evaluating a security
factors. Fundamental analysts attempt to study everything that
can affect the security's value, including macroeconomic factors
(like the overall economy and industry conditions) and individually
specific factors (like the financial condition and management of
companies).
Sources: Security Analysis (Graham and Dodd); The Intelligent Investor (Graham)
28. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 28
Ben Graham and Mr. Market:
• Long ago Ben Graham described the mental attitude toward market
fluctuations that I believe to be most conducive to investment success. He
said that you should imagine market quotations coming from a remarkably
accommodating fellow named Mr. Market who is your partner in a private
business. Without fail, Mr. Market appears daily and names a price at which
he will either buy your interest or sell you his. Even though the business that
the two of you own may have economic characteristics that are stable, Mr.
Market’s quotations will be anything but stable. For, it is sad to say, Mr.
Market is a fellow who has incurable emotional problems. At times he falls
euphoric and can see only the favorable factors effecting the business.
When in that mood, he names a very high buy-sell price because he fears
that you will snap up his interest and rob him of imminent gains. At other
times he is depressed and can see nothing but trouble ahead for both the
business and the world. On these occasions he will name a very low price,
since he is terrified that you will unload your interest on him.
29. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 29
Ben Graham and Mr. Market Continued:
• Mr. Market has another endearing characteristic: He doesn’t mind being
ignored. If his quotation is uninteresting to you today, he will be back with
a new one tomorrow. Transactions are strictly at your option. Under these
conditions, the more manic-depressive his behavior, the better for you.
But, like Cinderella at the ball, you must heed one warning or
everything will turn into pumpkins and mice: Mr. Market is there to serve
you, not to guide you. It is his pocketbook, not his wisdom, that you will
find useful. If he shows up someday in a particularly foolish mood, you are
free to either ignore him or to take advantage of him, but it will be
disastrous if you fall under his influence. Indeed, if you aren’t certain that
you understand and can value your business far better than Mr. Market,
you don’t belong in the game. As they say in poker, “If you’ve been in the
game 30 minutes and you don’t know who the patsy is, you’re the patsy.”
30. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 30
Graham’s Fundamental Investment
Rules
• 1. Adequate Size
• 2. Sufficient Strong Financial Condition
• 3. Earnings Stability
• 4. Dividend Record
• 5. Earnings Growth
• 6. Moderate Price/Earnings Ratio
• 7. Moderate Ratio of Price to Assets
31. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 31
Terms
1. Net Current Assets (NCA)
– Defined as:
Current Assets
- Current Liabilities
- Long-Term Debt
- Preferred Stock
NCA Total
NCAc = NCA/# of Common Shares
32. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 32
Terms (continued)
• 2. Data Source
– S&P Stock Guide
– Value Line, etc.
• 3. Earnings Per Share (EPS)
• 4. Market Price
• 5. Book Value Per Share
• 6. Dividends Per Share
• 7. Current Ratio
33. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 33
Terms (continued)
• 8. Total Debt
• 9. Equity
10. Geometric Growth
g = [ (1 + RP,-1)(1 + RP,-2) ... (1 + RP,-10)] - 1
1/n
34. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 34
Symbol:GILD Beta:0.95 Price:$97.30
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
ACRR
Sales per share 30.0% $4.96 $5.57 $6.39 $7.30 $16.05 $18.40
Cash flow per share 37.3% $1.97 $2.06 $1.89 $2.23 $7.85 $9.60
Earnings per share 41.1% $1.66 $1.78 $1.64 $1.81 $7.60 $9.30
Dividends per share #NUM! $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Capital Spending per share 38.0% $0.04 $0.09 $0.26 $0.12 $0.15 $0.20
Book value per share 24.4% $3.82 $4.56 $6.29 $7.65 $9.30 $11.40
Common Shares Outstanding -0.012005523 1604.0 1506.2 1519.2 1534.4 1515.0 1510.0
Average annual P/E ratio -0.010382873 11.8 11.2 17.3 31.1 11.5 11.2
Relative price to earnings ratio 15.7 0.75 0.70 1.10 1.75 0.65 0.59
Average annual dividend yield
Sales ($mill) 28.5% $7,949 $8,385 $9,702 $11,201 $24,300 $27,800
Operating margin 5.7% 53.0% 48.8% 44.2% 43.5% 66.5% 70.0%
Depreciation ($Mill) $265.5 $302.2 $278.2 $344.8 $400.0 $450.0
Net profit ($Mill) 37.1% $2,901.3 $2,803.6 $2,591.6 $3,074.8 $11,515.0 $14,045.0
Income tax rate (%) 25.9% 23.2% 28.3% 26.9% 26.5% 27.0%
Net profit margin (%) 6.7% 36.5% 33.4% 26.7% 27.4% 47.4% 50.5%
Working Capital ($Mill) $3,243.1 $11,404.0 $1,886.4 $948.4 $7,000.0 $7,000.0
Long-term Debt ($Mill) $2,838.6 $7,605.7 $7,054.6 $3,938.7 $7,930.0 $7,935.0
Shareholder equity ($Mill) 23.0% $6,121.8 $6,867.3 $9,550.9 $11,745.0 $14,100.0 $17,240.0
Return on Total Cap'l 33.0% 20.1% 16.6% 20.5% 67.5% 68.5%
Return on Shr. equity 47.4% 40.8% 27.1% 26.2% 81.5% 81.5%
Retained to Com Eq 47.4% 40.8% 27.1% 26.2% 81.5% 81.5%
Average return on equity 50.75%
ACRR = AVERAGE Compounded Rate of Return
Dividend payout ratio Gilead Has not paid out any Dividends to be accounted for.
Minimum P/E Ratio 11.20
Maximum P/E Ratio 31.10
35. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 35
Graham’s Intrinsic Company Value
Formula: E x (2g + 8.5) x 4.4/Y
- Where E is the current annual earnings per share
-“g” is the annual earnings growth rate of 5%
conservatively. For Gilead it is 41.1%
-11.5 is the base P/E ratio for Gilead’s last year
- Y is the current interest rate for AAA rated corporate
securities.
Example: Using the Gilead’s V/L Data
E = $9.30; g = 41.1%; Y = 3.5%
Therefore:
$9.30 x [(2 x 5) + 8.5)] x (4.4/3.5)
$7.60 x (18.5) x 1.26 = $177.16
Since Gilead is selling at $97.30, this would
be a BUY decision.
36. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 36
The Graham Model
• 1. Group A Criteria Measures:
#1: E/P > 2 (AAA Yield)(1 pt.): RISK
E/P > 1.33 (AAA Yield) (1/2 pt.): RISK
#2: P/E < .4 (Avg. P/E in last 3 yrs.) (1 pt.): RISK
P/E < .4 (Avg. P/E in last 10 yrs.) (1/2 pt.): RISK
#3: P/Bk < 2/3 (1 pt.): FINANCIAL STRENGTH
P/Bk < 1 (1/2 pt.): FINANCIAL STRENGTH
#4: D/P > .67 (AAA Yield) (1 pt.): RISK
D/P > .50 (AAA Yield) (1/2 pt.):RISK
#5: P/NCAC < 1 (1 pt.): FINANCIAL STRENGTH
P/NCAC < 1.33 (1/2 pt.): FINANCIAL STRENGTH
37. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 37
The Graham Model
2. Group B Criteria Measures:
#6: CR > 2 (1 pt.): FINANCIAL STRENGTH
CR > 1.8 (1/2 pt.): FINANCIAL STRENGTH
#7: TD/E < 1.0 (1 pt.): FINANCIAL STRENGTH
TD/E < 1.2 (1/2 pt.): FINANCIAL STRENGTH
#8: TD/NCA < 2 (1 pt.): FINANCIAL STRENGTH
NCA > 0 (1/2 pt.): FINANCIAL STRENGTH
#9: G10 > 7%/YR. (1 pt.): EARNINGS STABILITY
G5 > 7%/YR. (1/2 pt.): EARNINGS STABILITY
#10: No more than 2 declines in earnings of 5% each over
the last 10 years for one full point. EARNINGS STABILITY
No more than 3 declines in earnings of 5% or more in
last 10 years for one-half point. EARNINGS STABILITY
38. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 38
Graham’s 14 Investment Points
1. Be an investor, not a speculator.
2. Know the asking price.
3. Search the market for bargains.
4. Determine if the stock is
undervalued.
5. Regard corporate figures with
suspicion.
6. Don’t stress out.
7. Don’t sweat the math.
39. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 39
Graham’s 14 Investment Points
8. Diversify among stocks and bonds.
9. Diversify among stocks.
10. When in doubt, stick to quality.
11. Use dividends as a clue for success.
12. Defend your shareholder rights.
13. Be patient.
14. Think for yourself.
40. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 40
The characteristics of a business that most impressed Fisher was:
a company’s ability to grow sales and profits over the years at rates
greater than the industry average.
In order to do so, a company needed to possess “products or services with
sufficient market potential to make it possible for a sizable increase in
sales for at least several years.”
Fisher was not so much concerned with the consistent annual increase in
sales in any given year, rather, he judged a company’s success over a
period of several years. He was aware that changes in the business
cycle could and would have a material effect on sales and earnings in
any given year.
41. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 41
Fisher identified companies that, decade by decade,
showed promise of above-average growth. The two
types of companies that could expect to achieve above-
average growth were companies that, were (1)
“fortunate and able” and were (2) “fortunate because
they are able.”
Fisher also found that a company’s research and
development efforts contribute mightily to the
sustainability of the company’s above-average growth
in sales. Even non-technical businesses need a
dedicated research effort to produce better products
and more efficient services.
42. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 42
Sales Organization: Fisher also examined a company’s sales
organization. According to him, a company could develop
outstanding products and services, but unless they were “expertly
merchandised,” the research and development effort would never
translate into revenues.
Profits and Costs: Fisher also examined a company’s profit margins, its
dedication to maintaining and improving profit margins, and, finally,
its cost analysis and accounting controls. Fisher sought companies
that were not only the lowest-cost producer of products or services
but were dedicated to remaining that way.
43. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 43
• Peter Lynch’s Ten Golden Rules of Investing:
1. Don’t be intimidated by experts (ex spurts).
2. Look in your own backyard.
3. Don’t buy something you can’t illustrate with a crayon.
4. Make sure you have the stomach for stocks.
5. Avoid hot stocks in hot industries.
6. Owning stocks is like having children. Do not have more than
you can handle.
7. Don’t even try to predict the future.
8. Avoid weekend worrying. Do not get scared out of good stocks.
Own your mind.
9. Never invest in a company without first understanding its finances.
10. Do not expect too much, too soon. Think long-term.
44. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 44
Peter Lynch’s mistakes to avoid:
1. Thinking that this year will be any different
than any other year
2. Becoming too concerned over whether the
stock market is going up or down
3. Trying to time the market
4. Not knowing the story behind the company in
which you are buying stock
5. Buying stocks for the short-term
45. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 45
Contemporary
Fundamentals:
• Lynch Maxim’s:
1. A good company usually increases its dividends every
year.
2. You can lose money in a very short time, but it takes a long time
to make money.
3. The stock market isn’t a gamble as long as you pick
good companies that you think will do well and not
just because of the stock price.
4. You have to research the company before you put
money into it.
46. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 46
Lynch Maxim’s (cont.)
5. When you invest in the stock market you should always diversify.
6. You should invest in several stocks (5).
7. Never fall in love with a stock, always have an open mind.
8. Do your homework.
9. Just because a stock goes down doesn’t mean it can’t go lower.
10. Over the long-term it is generally better to buy stocks in small
companies.
11. Never buy a stock because it is cheap, but because you know a lot
about it.
Source: One Up On Wallstreet, by Peter Lynch
47. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 47
Sir John Marks Templeton
• Who is Sir John Marks Templeton?
John Templeton borrowed $10,000 and started a brilliant investment career, which
enabled him to be one of two investors to become billionaires solely through their
investment prowess. Templeton has had decade after decade of 20% plus annual
returns and managed over $6 Billion in assets. Templeton is generally regarded as
one of the world’s wisest and most successful investors. Forbes Magazine said,
“Templeton is one of a handful of true investment greats in a field of crowded
mediocrity and bloated reputations.” Templeton holds that the common
denominator connecting successful people with successful enterprises is a devotion
to ethical and spiritual principles. Many regard Sir John as the greatest Wallstreet
Investor of all time.
48. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 48
Sir John Mark Templeton
• Sir John’s 16 Rules for Investment Success:
1. Invest for maximum total real return including taxes and inflation.
2. Invest. Don’t trade or speculate.
3. Remain flexible and open-minded about types of investments. No
one kind of investment is always best.
4. Buy at a low price. Buy what others are despondently selling.
Then sell what others are despondently buying.
5. Search for bargains among quality stocks.
6. Buy value not market trends or economic value.
7. Diversify. There is safety in numbers.
8. Do your homework. Do not take the word of experts.
Investigate before you invest.
49. 6/15/2023 Professor James Kuhle, Ph.D. 49
Templeton’s 16 Rules
9. Aggressively monitor your investments.
10. Don’t panic. Sometimes you won’t have everything sold as the market
crashes. Once the market has crashed, don’t sell unless you find another
more attractive undervalued stock to buy.
11. Learn from your mistakes, but do not dwell on them.
12. Begin with prayer, you will think more clearly.
13. Outperforming the market is a difficult task, you must outthink the
managers of the largest institutions.
14. Success is a process of continually seeking answers to new questions.
15. There is no free lunch. Do not invest on sentiment. Never invest in an
IPO. Never invest on a tip. Run the numbers and research the quality of
management.
16. Do not be fearful or negative too often. For 100 years optimists have
carried the day in U.S. Stocks.