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Systems-level Monitoring and Evaluation of a Large-scale Combination HIV Prevention Initiative in 12 U.S. Cities
1. Systems-level Monitoring and Evaluation
of a Large-scale Combination HIV
Prevention Initiative in 12 U.S. Cities
Holly H. Fisher, Tamika Hoyte, Dale Stratford, and
Gary Uhl
2011 National HIV Prevention Conference
Atlanta, GA
National Center for HIV/AIDS, Viral Hepatitis, STD, and TB Prevention
Division of HIV/AIDS Prevention
3. Overview
ECHPP background and rationale
Monitoring and evaluation plan
Logic models
Analysis and reporting
Collaboration with stakeholders
Recent milestones
Questions and discussion
5. National HIV/AIDS Strategy
July 2010- White House released National
HIV/AIDS Strategy (NHAS)
NHAS Goals:
Reduce new HIV infections
Increase linkage to care and overall health
outcomes for persons living with HIV
Reduce HIV-related health disparities
Six federal agencies were asked to develop
operational plans that describe how they will
advance NHAS
6. National HIV/AIDS Strategy
Dec. 2010- HHS operational plan1 is submitted
Described:
• ongoing efforts to align existing activities with NHAS
• new initiatives that support NHAS goals
HHS 12-Cities Project- accelerate comprehensive
HIV/AIDS planning and cross-agency response in the
12 U.S. jurisdictions hardest hit by HIV/AIDS
CDC ’s Enhanced Comprehensive HIV
Prevention Plan (ECHPP) is one of the major
12-Cities Project initiatives
1Department of Health and Human Services. HHS Operational Plan for National HIV/AIDS Strategy. Available at:
http://aids.gov/federal-resources/policies/national-hiv-aids-strategy/nhas-operational-plan-hhs.pdf. Accessed April
26, 2011.
8. ECHPP description
Three-year project (Sept. 2010 to Sept. 2013)
implemented by health depts in 12 MSAs with
highest AIDS burden
Project objectives
Develop an enhanced plan that aligns the jurisdiction’s
prevention and care activities with NHAS
Identify/implement optimal combination of
prevention, care, and treatment activities
Implement activities at appropriate scale
Increase targeting of highest risk groups
9. Priority populations
African Americans/ People living with
Blacks HIV/AIDS
Hispanics/Latinos People at high risk
Injection drug users with negative or
High-risk unknown HIV status
heterosexuals
Men who have sex
with men
11. Systems-level M & E
ECHPP is a systems approach to HIV
prevention
Systems-level monitoring and evaluation…
Multiple levels
Broad assessment of entire entity, as well as some
examination of individual components
Components of interest can vary widely
Breadth vs. depth trade-off
New frontier for DHAP evaluators
12. Systems-level M & E
Scaled, combination prevention programs
require:
Synthesis of multiple data and methods to arrive at
overall picture of epidemic
Innovative, systems-level evaluation approach
An evaluation approach that’s flexible as programs may
evolve, change over time
Must assess optimal combinations of HIV
prevention and continuum of care activities
Triangulation of data, using mixed methods
and data sources
13. Process
Local process monitoring
Measures and objectives are locally-defined
Report to CDC site team for program improvement
Core process monitoring
Standardized measures across jurisdictions
Measures were developed in collaboration with
grantees
Use of program data from other federal
agency data sets
14. Outcome
Analyze outcomes from clinical and behavioral
surveillance data systems
Medical Monitoring Project (MMP)
National HIV Behavioral Surveillance (NHBS)
(New) MSM Web surveillance project
Collect additional outcome data via serial,
cross-sectional surveys in six ECHPP cities
Two surveys
• Clinic survey for HIV-diagnosed ppl in care (modeled after
MMP)
• Community survey for IDUs and high-risk heterosexuals
(modeled after NHBS)
15. Impact
Analyze impact data from HIV surveillance
systems:
Case surveillance (eHARS)
Behavioral and clinical surveillance (MMP, MSM web
surveillance)
Incidence surveillance
Will also look at long-term outcomes from
clinical and behavioral surveillance systems to
assess impact
16. Monitoring & evaluation questions
Program implementation
Which services and programs were provided?
Which populations were reached?
Were ECHPP (local) objectives met?
What were barriers and facilitators to implementation? (at
program-, agency-, and community-level)
Allocation of resources
How was health dept funding allocated across ECHPP
activities?
How was the funding allocated across ECHPP priority
populations?
17. Monitoring & evaluation questions
Outcomes among HIV-positive individuals:
Was there a reduction in HIV risk behaviors?
Was there an increase in service access and participation in HIV
prevention activities?
Was there an increase in positive health outcomes?
Outcomes among high-risk, HIV-negative/HIV-unknown
individuals:
Was there a reduction in HIV risk behaviors?
Was there an increase in service access and participation in HIV
prevention activities?
18. Monitoring & evaluation questions
Impact among priority populations:
Was there a reduction in HIV incidence or indicators of HIV
risk?
Was there an increase in linkage to, and impact of, prevention
and care services for people living with HIV/AIDS?
Was there a reduction in HIV-related health disparities?
21. Analysis and reporting
Three-tiered approach that uses existing data
systems, as well as new data collections
Triangulation across data sources
Health dept-reported program data
Program data obtained from other federal agencies
Population-based, self-report survey data
Population-based, surveillance data
22. Analysis and reporting
Descriptive reporting to demonstrate progress
toward local objectives, NHAS goals
Data synthesis and triangulation
Trend analysis
Statistical modeling to assess indicators over
time
Thematic analysis of qualitative and
contextual info
23. ECHPP Evaluation Timeline Revised August 2011
Nov April Oct Oct Oct Oct Oct
2007-08 2009 2010 2011 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Data types:
ECHPP ECHPP
Planning Implementation
Process
(10-10181) (10-10181)
ECHPP Implementation Outcome
(11-1117)
Impact
CDC-funded Program Data ECHPP Process Data Collection
Other Federal Agency Data (e.g., HRSA, SAMHSA, CMS) Supplemental data collection
(6 cities)
Community and Community and
clinic surveys clinic surveys
NHBS- NHBS- NHBS- NHBS- NHBS- NHBS- NHBS- NHBS-
MSM IDU HET MSM IDU HET MSM IDU
MSM web MSM web MSM web MSM web
surveillance surveillance surveillance surveillance
MMP MMP MMP MMP MMP MMP
Clinic survey Clinic survey
HIV HIV HIV HIV HIV HIV HIV HIV
case case case case case case case case
surveill. surveill. surveill. surveill. surveill. surveill. surveill. surveill.
MSM web MSM web MSM web MSM web
surveillance surveillance surveillance surveillance
MMP MMP MMP MMP MMP MMP
Data Triangulation, Synthesis, and Analysis
24. ECHPP evaluation “firsts”
First time CDC’s DHAP will:
Use data from non-CDC-funded HIV prevention/care
activities
Use national surveillance and program data together
to assess impact
Strategize and develop protocols related to data
sharing across federal agencies (to enhance national
monitoring)
25. ECHPP evaluation “firsts”
First time CDC’s DHAP will:
Integrate and synthesize information gathered from a
variety of data sources to make a broad statement
about how/whether public health strategies are
working in highest prevalence areas
Use a systems-level approach to monitor/evaluate any
HIV prevention programs
Attempt to link HIV prevention programs to
community-level outcomes to community-level impact
27. Working with health dept staff
Created M & E Workgroup
To learn about:
Reporting capacity across health depts
Context within which ECHPP reporting will occur
How relationships between health dept staff and their
partners could affect data collection/reporting
To develop process indicators
To get buy-in on overall evaluation design
28. Working with CDC staff outside program
evaluation
ECHPP evaluation team comprised of staff
with experience in:
Program evaluation HIV testing
Case and incidence Data management and
surveillance analysis
Behavioral and clinical ECHPP program
surveillance implementation
Regular input from senior managers
29. Working with federal partners
Cross-agency Workgroup
Data sharing
Common metrics
One ECHPP goal = Improve national-level
coordination
31. Recent Milestones
Awarded contract to estimate extent and
availability of data on HIV testing in U.S.
Held two-day consultation on systems-level
evaluation methods
32. Consultation
Purpose
Inform systems-level M & E of national HIV prevention
programs and special initiatives
Participants
Evaluation experts from various program areas at CDC
External consultants with expertise in evaluating large
and complex public health programs
Topics
Real-world successes and challenges
Indicator measurement, analytic strategies
Confounds, covariates, contextual factors
33. Key Recommendations
Identify important/potential covariates that
should also be monitored
Identify interconnected systems that could
contribute to findings
Determine how you will distinguish real-world
uncertainty from sampling uncertainty
Identify intermediate outcomes for
interventions like policy changes that may
take a long time to be realized
34. Key Recommendations
Be creative with data collection methods
Conduct longitudinal and case studies to allow
attribution and better link process/outcome
/impact
Modeling, modeling, and more modeling