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The secret behind real results >

                             STRESS TEST YOUR STRATEGY
SUSTAINABLE,	
  PROFITABLE	
  GROWTH	
  CHALLENGES	
  IN	
  THE	
  DISTRIBUTED	
  ENERGY	
  MARKET	
  
outside/in




                                                               perspective
Stress Test Your Business in 10 Days or Less
Get an up-to-date view of the Probability for Sustainable,
Profitable Growth.
•  Market Drivers, Threats and Opportunities.
•  Key Customer and Stakeholder Business Issues.
•  Winning Propositions & Competitive Strengths & Weaknesses. 




     RECOMMENDATION OF CORRECTIVE ACTIONS



                                                             the story >
The Story
                  Distributed Energy Company
Objective: New Technology for
Distributed Generation                                              What Went Wrong
Introducing the first micro turbine for CHP:       . . . but not considering the investments
Combined heat & power for commercial                  required to add capabilities or for the
use; an air cooled, compact design to           testing leading to cash flow issues and cost
lower energy costs, minimize maintenance                      overruns on beta test projects.
(no gearbox) and with low emissions. . .


Value proposition based on cost savings,          . . . attempted to go to market through
flexibility of fuels, local control of energy     distributors who lacked both experience
spending, and convenience. . .                                       and service capacity.


The board’s conflicting views: a “plug &          . . . ultimately the “not ready” view was
play” product versus a “not ready for a                 correct; recalls and technical issues
mainstream” market. . .                              persisted, and the company failed and
                                                                       filed for bankruptcy .


                                                                        stress test results >
stress test




                                                  results
Stress Test Results

•  Detect performance issues.

•  Recommend actions to remedy.

•  Determine corrective actions.


                           sustainable profitable growth >
sustainable




                                                       profitable
Sustainable
Are your cash-flow expectations realistic?

Profitable
Are your revenue/cost/investment
assumptions on target or a tad too optimistic?

Growth
Growing above the market rate requires
taking market share - who will you beat and
how?


                                              market alignment >
market




                             alignment
Are You Aggressive Enough?

           OR
 Are You Too Aggressive?
opportunity




                                                                            drivers
What has the biggest impact on your results?
                                                              No
                                                              Impact
        Impact
Renewable Portfolio Standards expand?                           0
             10

Leveraged Cost of Distributed Energy (LOCE) is reduced 20%?     0
             10

Net metering is expanded?                                       0
             10

Feed In Tariffs are introduced or expanded?                     0
             10

Net zero buildings become the new standard?                     0
             10

Cost competitive Micro Grid solutions become commercially       0
             10
available?
Utility interconnect rules are simplified and standardized?     0
             10

Utility incentives expand for DG?                               0
             10

Local content/ownership becomes a priority?                     0
             10




                                                      opportunity drivers, cont’d… >
opportunity




                                                                                 drivers
What has the biggest impact on your results?
                                                                No
                                                                Impact
           Impact
Transmission networks for centralized RES are constrained?        0
                10

Old power plants are retired for cost, carbon or cleanliness?     0
                10

Natural Gas costs >$10/MBTU?                                      0
                10

Carbon Tax is implemented?                                        0
                10

Energy storage technology becomes cost effective?                 0
                10

EV charging infrastructure demands expand?                        0
                10




                                                                external threat drivers >
external threat




                                                                              drivers
What is the biggest threat?
                                                             No
                                                             Impact
          Impact
Renewable Portfolio Standards are not enforced?
                                                               0
               10
Cost of Energy is stable or slightly reduced?
                                                               0
               10
Net metering is not expanded?                                  0
               10
Feed In Tariffs are eliminated?                                0
               10
Government gives preferential treatment to fossil fuels?       0
               10
Micro Grid solutions are complex and costly?                   0
               10
Utility interconnect rules are complex and varied?             0
               10
No incentives for DG?                                          0
               10
Transmission/distributed storage not feasible?                 0
               10

Voltage/frequency stability of DG becomes a problem?           0
               10




                                                     external threat drivers, cont’d >
external threat




                                                                        drivers
What is the biggest threat?
                                                         No
                                                         Impact
        Impact
Competitors develop cheaper and better solutions?
                                                           0
             10
Energy efficiency programs reduce the need for energy?
                                                           0
             10
Natural Gas costs < $6/MBTU?                               0
             10
Carbon Tax gets weakened or delayed?                       0
             10




                                                         the most common gaps >
Real Company Stories Show
The Most Common GAPS to be Fixed
•  Strategic alignment between the parent and the
  subsidiary?

•  Alignment between the regulatory environment
  and the business model?

•  Transferring competence and technology?

•  Corporate challenges or cash flow issues?

•  Priority support and deliveries?
                                      regaining a lost market >
Real Company Stories Show
How to Regain a Lost Market Position
What If:

•  You could provide innovative project financing?

•  You could increase your vertical integration?

•  You could expand value proposition?

•  You could could expand through M & A?


                                         visualize & optimize >
visualize




                                     optimize
Carnegie Worldwide, Inc.
Stress Test Your Strategy
Our consultants are experts in
testing strategies systematically.
They are able to visualize and
optimize the time you spend on
corrective actions.
HQ: 2461 WEST SR 426, SUITE 1021, OVIEDO, FL 32765 USA
     PHONE: +1 407 971 1391 FAX: +1 407 971 1337
           CORPORATE@CARNEGIEWW.COM
               WWW.CARNEGIEWW.COM


                      join us


                   /carnegieww

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Sustainable, Profitable Growth Challenges in the DISTRIBUTED ENERGY Market

  • 1. The secret behind real results > STRESS TEST YOUR STRATEGY SUSTAINABLE,  PROFITABLE  GROWTH  CHALLENGES  IN  THE  DISTRIBUTED  ENERGY  MARKET  
  • 2. outside/in perspective Stress Test Your Business in 10 Days or Less Get an up-to-date view of the Probability for Sustainable, Profitable Growth. •  Market Drivers, Threats and Opportunities. •  Key Customer and Stakeholder Business Issues. •  Winning Propositions & Competitive Strengths & Weaknesses. RECOMMENDATION OF CORRECTIVE ACTIONS the story >
  • 3. The Story Distributed Energy Company Objective: New Technology for Distributed Generation What Went Wrong Introducing the first micro turbine for CHP: . . . but not considering the investments Combined heat & power for commercial required to add capabilities or for the use; an air cooled, compact design to testing leading to cash flow issues and cost lower energy costs, minimize maintenance overruns on beta test projects. (no gearbox) and with low emissions. . . Value proposition based on cost savings, . . . attempted to go to market through flexibility of fuels, local control of energy distributors who lacked both experience spending, and convenience. . . and service capacity. The board’s conflicting views: a “plug & . . . ultimately the “not ready” view was play” product versus a “not ready for a correct; recalls and technical issues mainstream” market. . . persisted, and the company failed and filed for bankruptcy . stress test results >
  • 4. stress test results Stress Test Results •  Detect performance issues. •  Recommend actions to remedy. •  Determine corrective actions. sustainable profitable growth >
  • 5. sustainable profitable Sustainable Are your cash-flow expectations realistic? Profitable Are your revenue/cost/investment assumptions on target or a tad too optimistic? Growth Growing above the market rate requires taking market share - who will you beat and how? market alignment >
  • 6. market alignment Are You Aggressive Enough? OR Are You Too Aggressive?
  • 7. opportunity drivers What has the biggest impact on your results? No Impact Impact Renewable Portfolio Standards expand? 0 10 Leveraged Cost of Distributed Energy (LOCE) is reduced 20%? 0 10 Net metering is expanded? 0 10 Feed In Tariffs are introduced or expanded? 0 10 Net zero buildings become the new standard? 0 10 Cost competitive Micro Grid solutions become commercially 0 10 available? Utility interconnect rules are simplified and standardized? 0 10 Utility incentives expand for DG? 0 10 Local content/ownership becomes a priority? 0 10 opportunity drivers, cont’d… >
  • 8. opportunity drivers What has the biggest impact on your results? No Impact Impact Transmission networks for centralized RES are constrained? 0 10 Old power plants are retired for cost, carbon or cleanliness? 0 10 Natural Gas costs >$10/MBTU? 0 10 Carbon Tax is implemented? 0 10 Energy storage technology becomes cost effective? 0 10 EV charging infrastructure demands expand? 0 10 external threat drivers >
  • 9. external threat drivers What is the biggest threat? No Impact Impact Renewable Portfolio Standards are not enforced? 0 10 Cost of Energy is stable or slightly reduced? 0 10 Net metering is not expanded? 0 10 Feed In Tariffs are eliminated? 0 10 Government gives preferential treatment to fossil fuels? 0 10 Micro Grid solutions are complex and costly? 0 10 Utility interconnect rules are complex and varied? 0 10 No incentives for DG? 0 10 Transmission/distributed storage not feasible? 0 10 Voltage/frequency stability of DG becomes a problem? 0 10 external threat drivers, cont’d >
  • 10. external threat drivers What is the biggest threat? No Impact Impact Competitors develop cheaper and better solutions? 0 10 Energy efficiency programs reduce the need for energy? 0 10 Natural Gas costs < $6/MBTU? 0 10 Carbon Tax gets weakened or delayed? 0 10 the most common gaps >
  • 11. Real Company Stories Show The Most Common GAPS to be Fixed •  Strategic alignment between the parent and the subsidiary? •  Alignment between the regulatory environment and the business model? •  Transferring competence and technology? •  Corporate challenges or cash flow issues? •  Priority support and deliveries? regaining a lost market >
  • 12. Real Company Stories Show How to Regain a Lost Market Position What If: •  You could provide innovative project financing? •  You could increase your vertical integration? •  You could expand value proposition? •  You could could expand through M & A? visualize & optimize >
  • 13. visualize optimize Carnegie Worldwide, Inc. Stress Test Your Strategy Our consultants are experts in testing strategies systematically. They are able to visualize and optimize the time you spend on corrective actions.
  • 14. HQ: 2461 WEST SR 426, SUITE 1021, OVIEDO, FL 32765 USA PHONE: +1 407 971 1391 FAX: +1 407 971 1337 CORPORATE@CARNEGIEWW.COM WWW.CARNEGIEWW.COM join us /carnegieww