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21stAUGUST 19
PVR Limited
1
PVR Limited
21st AUGUST 19
PVR Limited
Rs. 1471.00
TARGET: Rs. 1620.00
TIME HORIZON – 6Month
SHAREHOLDING PATTERN (AS ON
AUGUST 2019)
PROMOTER 20.24
FII HOLDING 44.92
MF HOLDING 9.49
INSTITUTIONAL 70.49
FISCAL ACTUALS IN M INR ESTIMATES IN M INR
Fiscal Period March 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Sales 21 817 23 655 30 856 36 528 41 535 47 709
EBITDA 3 759 4 018 5 863 7 803 10 477 11 425
Operating
profit (EBIT)
2 375 2 474 3 951 5 817 6 669 7 422
Pre-Tax Profit (EBT) 1 528 1 945 2 990 3 303 3 628 3 696
Net income 958 1 247 1 836 1 964 2 438 2 958
P/E ratio 70,8x 45,8x 42,2x 35,3x 24,0x 19,4x
EPS ( INR ) 20,2 26,6 39,0 41,1 60,3 74,6
KEY DATA
TICKER PVR Limited
NSE CODE PVR
BSE CODE 532689
SECTOR Entertainment
INDUSTRY Electronic Media Software
FACE VALUE 10.00
DIVIDEND YEILD 0.28 %
52 WEEK L/H RS 1,098.90/1,829.95
MARKET CAP. 6,855 Cr (Mid Cap)
2
Healthy performance …
PVR’s Q1FY20 topline beat was aided by better-than-expected growth in F&B and
advertisement. F&B revenues at | 260.4 crore, up 28.4% YoY, were higher than
expected 15% growth led by SPH growth of 17% YoY. Advertisement revenues grew
28% YoY, better than our expectation of 25% YoY.
EBITDA (without impact of Ind-AS116) came in at | 158.7 crore, with margins of 18%,
largely in line with our estimates. On a reported basis, EBITDA was at | 279 crore.
Margins of 31.6% as rent are now charged under depreciation and interest under Ind-
AS 116. PAT (without impact of IndAs116) came in at | 44 crore, a tad better than our
expectation of | 39.9 crore. However, given the straight lining of rental as depreciation
and interest in initial year under Ind-As, reported PAT was at | 16.2 crore.
PVR Limited
21st AUGUST 19
3
F&B revenue: SPH (standalone) has gained further momentum and grew by 8.5% YoY
crossing the 3-digit mark and was at Rs102. Also, gross margin saw an improvement of
90bps YoY (190bps QoQ) to 74.2%.
In-line Q1FY20; Standalone advertisement revenue sees strong improvement NBOC:
For Q1FY20, on standalone basis, PVR reported at 1.8% YoY growth in footfalls
(23.1mn) and utilization of 35.5% vs. 35.9% YoY. This coupled with net ATP growth of
3.9% drove a 5.7% YoY growth in NBOC.
SPI Cinemas: Revenue of Rs1,168 mn was higher than our forecast but EBITDA margin
of 17.8% missed to our forecast. PVRL remains confident of crossing its target of
Rs1,100 mn EBITDA for FY20 (we forecast Rs1,133 mn).
EBITDA margin: On standalone basis, Adj. EBITDA margin saw a ~215bps YoY decline to
17.1%. Consolidated Adj. EBITDA margin was higher at 18% (-170bps YoY) aided by
higher than expect growth and profitability in the Movie distribution business.
Advertisement revenue: Q1FY20 saw acceleration in growth to 15% YoY, in-line with
our forecast. PVRL attributed the pick-up to large contracts and blockbuster rates which
it secured in Q1. It targets to maintain this growth for the rest of the year. We forecast
advertisement revenue to grow at a CAGR of 14.5% over FY19-21E.
Ind-AS 116 shaves-off 60% of the net profit but no operating impact This is entirely a
non-cash impact, as expected. At EBIT level, there is there is positive impact with Adj.
EBIT of Rs1,038 mn vs. Rs1,527 mn with the Ind-AS 116 impact. But it gets more than
offset by the interest cost resulting in Net profit of Rs162 mn with the Indi-AS 116
impact vs. Adj. net profit of Rs418 mn.
Key Highlights and Investment Rationale
PVR Limited
21st AUGUST 19
4
ACTUAL VS ESTIMATES
PVR Limited
21st AUGUST 19
5
PROFIT AND LOSS
PVR Limited
21st AUGUST 19
6
Valuation and Recommendation
PVR Limited
21st AUGUST 19
PVR remains a key beneficiary of the thriving multiplex industry. However, valuations at
9.5x FY21 EV/EBITDA at on the higher end. We maintain our HOLD recommendation and
value it at 10x FY21E EV/EBITDA. Hence, we arrive at a revised target price of | 1620.
We continue to prefer Inox over PVR, given the former lower valuations with relatively
better balance sheet and comparable growth trajectory.
7
PVR Limited
21st AUGUST 19
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Stock of the day

  • 2. 1 PVR Limited 21st AUGUST 19 PVR Limited Rs. 1471.00 TARGET: Rs. 1620.00 TIME HORIZON – 6Month SHAREHOLDING PATTERN (AS ON AUGUST 2019) PROMOTER 20.24 FII HOLDING 44.92 MF HOLDING 9.49 INSTITUTIONAL 70.49 FISCAL ACTUALS IN M INR ESTIMATES IN M INR Fiscal Period March 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Sales 21 817 23 655 30 856 36 528 41 535 47 709 EBITDA 3 759 4 018 5 863 7 803 10 477 11 425 Operating profit (EBIT) 2 375 2 474 3 951 5 817 6 669 7 422 Pre-Tax Profit (EBT) 1 528 1 945 2 990 3 303 3 628 3 696 Net income 958 1 247 1 836 1 964 2 438 2 958 P/E ratio 70,8x 45,8x 42,2x 35,3x 24,0x 19,4x EPS ( INR ) 20,2 26,6 39,0 41,1 60,3 74,6 KEY DATA TICKER PVR Limited NSE CODE PVR BSE CODE 532689 SECTOR Entertainment INDUSTRY Electronic Media Software FACE VALUE 10.00 DIVIDEND YEILD 0.28 % 52 WEEK L/H RS 1,098.90/1,829.95 MARKET CAP. 6,855 Cr (Mid Cap)
  • 3. 2 Healthy performance … PVR’s Q1FY20 topline beat was aided by better-than-expected growth in F&B and advertisement. F&B revenues at | 260.4 crore, up 28.4% YoY, were higher than expected 15% growth led by SPH growth of 17% YoY. Advertisement revenues grew 28% YoY, better than our expectation of 25% YoY. EBITDA (without impact of Ind-AS116) came in at | 158.7 crore, with margins of 18%, largely in line with our estimates. On a reported basis, EBITDA was at | 279 crore. Margins of 31.6% as rent are now charged under depreciation and interest under Ind- AS 116. PAT (without impact of IndAs116) came in at | 44 crore, a tad better than our expectation of | 39.9 crore. However, given the straight lining of rental as depreciation and interest in initial year under Ind-As, reported PAT was at | 16.2 crore. PVR Limited 21st AUGUST 19
  • 4. 3 F&B revenue: SPH (standalone) has gained further momentum and grew by 8.5% YoY crossing the 3-digit mark and was at Rs102. Also, gross margin saw an improvement of 90bps YoY (190bps QoQ) to 74.2%. In-line Q1FY20; Standalone advertisement revenue sees strong improvement NBOC: For Q1FY20, on standalone basis, PVR reported at 1.8% YoY growth in footfalls (23.1mn) and utilization of 35.5% vs. 35.9% YoY. This coupled with net ATP growth of 3.9% drove a 5.7% YoY growth in NBOC. SPI Cinemas: Revenue of Rs1,168 mn was higher than our forecast but EBITDA margin of 17.8% missed to our forecast. PVRL remains confident of crossing its target of Rs1,100 mn EBITDA for FY20 (we forecast Rs1,133 mn). EBITDA margin: On standalone basis, Adj. EBITDA margin saw a ~215bps YoY decline to 17.1%. Consolidated Adj. EBITDA margin was higher at 18% (-170bps YoY) aided by higher than expect growth and profitability in the Movie distribution business. Advertisement revenue: Q1FY20 saw acceleration in growth to 15% YoY, in-line with our forecast. PVRL attributed the pick-up to large contracts and blockbuster rates which it secured in Q1. It targets to maintain this growth for the rest of the year. We forecast advertisement revenue to grow at a CAGR of 14.5% over FY19-21E. Ind-AS 116 shaves-off 60% of the net profit but no operating impact This is entirely a non-cash impact, as expected. At EBIT level, there is there is positive impact with Adj. EBIT of Rs1,038 mn vs. Rs1,527 mn with the Ind-AS 116 impact. But it gets more than offset by the interest cost resulting in Net profit of Rs162 mn with the Indi-AS 116 impact vs. Adj. net profit of Rs418 mn. Key Highlights and Investment Rationale PVR Limited 21st AUGUST 19
  • 5. 4 ACTUAL VS ESTIMATES PVR Limited 21st AUGUST 19
  • 6. 5 PROFIT AND LOSS PVR Limited 21st AUGUST 19
  • 7. 6 Valuation and Recommendation PVR Limited 21st AUGUST 19 PVR remains a key beneficiary of the thriving multiplex industry. However, valuations at 9.5x FY21 EV/EBITDA at on the higher end. We maintain our HOLD recommendation and value it at 10x FY21E EV/EBITDA. Hence, we arrive at a revised target price of | 1620. We continue to prefer Inox over PVR, given the former lower valuations with relatively better balance sheet and comparable growth trajectory.
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