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STAR Seeking New Frontiers in Cost Modeling Tim Menzies (WVU) Jairus Hihn (JPL) Oussama Elrawas   (WVU) Karen Lum (JPL) Dan Baker (WVU) 22nd International Forum on COCOMO and Systems/Software Cost Modeling (2007)
STAR ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Note ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],http://menzies.us/pdf/ 07casease.pdf
Method ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],normalization 0 <= x <= 1
How to Stagger ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Sample runs from STAR (after 500 runs, little improvement) Bad Good  Best 10%
Staggering the Tunings  Range of effort multipliers (COCOMO) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],cplx, data, docu pvol, rely, ruse, stor, time  Increase effort acap, apex, ltex, pcap, pcon, plex,sced, site,toool decrease effort
After staggering, select best things ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Bad Good 22 good ideas 38 not-so- good ideas
Staggering the inputs : 5 different ways ,[object Object],“ Values” = fixed “ Ranges”= Loose (select within these ranges) 1 2 4 5 3
Making Strategic Decisions Full range of model Constrained by Jairus’ guess  at JPL environment
Results : OSP ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Results: OSP2 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Results: all experiments ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Calibrating/Tuning Models ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Comparisons ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],diff same diff diff same same diff diff same same 63% 66% ground 111%   112%   OSP 125%   99%  OSP2 121%   101%    flight 75% 91%  all tactical strategic ∑  mre(lc) / ∑ mre(star)

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Star Master Cocomo07

  • 1. STAR Seeking New Frontiers in Cost Modeling Tim Menzies (WVU) Jairus Hihn (JPL) Oussama Elrawas (WVU) Karen Lum (JPL) Dan Baker (WVU) 22nd International Forum on COCOMO and Systems/Software Cost Modeling (2007)
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9. Making Strategic Decisions Full range of model Constrained by Jairus’ guess at JPL environment
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.