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SPC MD 1223

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Mesoscale Discussion 1223
Next MD
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1223
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0554 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/ERN ORE
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 282254Z - 290100Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...LOCALIZED SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL
MIGHT ACCOMPANY ISOLATED TSTMS EVOLVING N FROM S-CNTRL/SERN ORE
THROUGH ABOUT 03Z.
DISCUSSION...ISOLATED TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS PARTS OF LAKE AND
HARNEY COUNTIES LIKELY AIDED BY WEAK MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS
DOWNSTREAM OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH JUST OFF THE NRN CA COAST. THIS
CORRIDOR IS PROBABLY ON THE PERIPHERY OF MODERATE AND UNIDIRECTIONAL
MID/UPPER-LEVEL SLYS BASED ON EXTRAPOLATED RGX VWP DATA AND GIVEN
THE HEIGHT GRADIENT BETWEEN THE TROUGH AND STOUT ANTICYCLONE
ANCHORED OVER THE ERN GREAT BASIN. THESE TSTMS SHOULD PROGRESS NWD
TOWARDS THE COLUMBIA RIVER INTO EARLY EVENING PRIOR TO INCREASING
MLCIN. WITHIN A VERY DEEPLY MIXED AIR MASS CHARACTERIZED BY SURFACE
DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS OF 40-60 DEG F AND GPS PW VALUES OF 1-1.25
IN...ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL
MAY OCCUR.
..GRAMS/CORFIDI.. 06/28/2015
ATTN...WFO...BOI...PDT...MFR...
LAT...LON 44002122 44842135 45492113 45752084 45912051 45981992
45871931 45571906 44011876 43041869 42701878 42451895
42421963 43532058 44002122
Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
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Page last modified:
June 29, 2015
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SPC MD 1223

  • 1. SPC MD 1223 Search by city or zip code. Press enter or select the go button to submit request Local forecast by "City, St" or "ZIP" SPC on Facebook
  • 2. @NWSSPC NCEP Quarterly Newsletter Home (Classic) SPC Products All SPC Forecasts Current Watches Meso. Discussions Conv. Outlooks Tstm. Outlooks Fire Wx Outlooks
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  • 5. Mesoscale Discussion 1223 Next MD MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1223 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0554 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015 AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/ERN ORE CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY VALID 282254Z - 290100Z
  • 6. PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT SUMMARY...LOCALIZED SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL MIGHT ACCOMPANY ISOLATED TSTMS EVOLVING N FROM S-CNTRL/SERN ORE THROUGH ABOUT 03Z. DISCUSSION...ISOLATED TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS PARTS OF LAKE AND HARNEY COUNTIES LIKELY AIDED BY WEAK MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS DOWNSTREAM OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH JUST OFF THE NRN CA COAST. THIS CORRIDOR IS PROBABLY ON THE PERIPHERY OF MODERATE AND UNIDIRECTIONAL MID/UPPER-LEVEL SLYS BASED ON EXTRAPOLATED RGX VWP DATA AND GIVEN THE HEIGHT GRADIENT BETWEEN THE TROUGH AND STOUT ANTICYCLONE ANCHORED OVER THE ERN GREAT BASIN. THESE TSTMS SHOULD PROGRESS NWD TOWARDS THE COLUMBIA RIVER INTO EARLY EVENING PRIOR TO INCREASING MLCIN. WITHIN A VERY DEEPLY MIXED AIR MASS CHARACTERIZED BY SURFACE DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS OF 40-60 DEG F AND GPS PW VALUES OF 1-1.25 IN...ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL MAY OCCUR. ..GRAMS/CORFIDI.. 06/28/2015 ATTN...WFO...BOI...PDT...MFR... LAT...LON 44002122 44842135 45492113 45752084 45912051 45981992
  • 7. 45871931 45571906 44011876 43041869 42701878 42451895 42421963 43532058 44002122 Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home Weather Topics: Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us NOAA / National Weather Service National Centers for Environmental Prediction Storm Prediction Center 120 David L. Boren Blvd. Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A. spc.feedback@noaa.gov
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