The document discusses Thailand's economic situation and opportunities for future growth. It analyzes Thailand's strengths and weaknesses, as well as major global trends. A potential 2020 vision is presented for Thailand to transform from a commodity supplier to a branded, high value-added economy through strategic focus on areas like open markets, technology/entrepreneurship, coordinated industry clusters, and knowledge/creativity. National agenda and transformation are seen as keys to driving higher value economic development in Thailand.

1. เปิดขอบฟ้าใหม่รับมือเศรษฐกิจอาเซียน 2020 Vision Thailand 2020 Apirak Kosayodhin Asian Knowledge Institute 26 August 2011

4. ASEAN Countries in 2015 Market Size 2.67 Trillions $ 700 Millions consumers

5. What awaits Thailand? Comparison to selected countries Countries with similar profile are up to ~10x wealthier than Thailand Potential to triple per-capita income? Sector mix may need to be shaped Domestic sectors may grow in importance France Italy South Korea 268 Thailand 194 194 Malaysia Nominal GDP Nominal GDP (USD bn) France Italy South Korea Thailand Malaysia % of GDP 2 France 2 Italy 3 South Korea 11 Thailand 10 Malaysia Agriculture Industry Service 0 100 50 Percentage of GDP France Italy South Korea Thailand Malaysia $ at PPP Note: Countries with similar population size and geographic size Source: EIU 2008 data

7. Infrastructure and business efficiency identified as major weaknesses of Thailand 1. Difference between overall IMD ranking of Thailand (27) and sub factor scores. Use 10 to approximate 1 standard deviation difference. Source: IMD Competitiveness Report 2008 2. Weakness in low number of care providers Low High High Gap in ranking between overall IMD index of Thailand with subfactor score Factor effect on ability of Thailand to develop sustainable competitive advantage and prosperity (-10 1 ) Insufficient health quality 2 (-20) Insufficient education quality (-16) Low productivity & efficiency (-21) Highest priority gap to address Finance: bank efficiency (-4) Societal framework (-9) Basic infrastructure (-2) Tech – low penetration of internet users (-16) Low High Low GDP per capita (-21) Public finance (-2) Business legislation (-2) Low direct investment stocks abroad (-20) Economic performance Government efficiency Business efficiency Infrastructure Insufficient scientific infrastructure (-10) IMD competitive ranking analysis of major weaknesses Competitiveness - Weaknesses

12. “ We must become the change we wish to see in the world.” Mahatma Gandhi

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