Situation analysis could mean different things to many people depending on what the purpose and lens being used. This set of presentation illustrates an approach using the lens of participatory for change and complex adaptive system. It was presented based on a case study of policy movements to get public policy banning alcohol ads.
12. 20-year journey from law to
enforcement
• 1979 Land Transport Act : Articles 43, 142,160
• 1994 enactment of a regulation under the Act by
operational definition of …
MOI - Illegal BAC : .05
what DDV mean
- Penalty :3 month jail term or a
fine of 50-250 USD or both
What punishment
• 1997 : nationwide IEC
• 1999 : sobriety check points
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18. 20-year journey from law to
enforcement
• 1979 Land Transport Act : Articles 43, 142,160
• 1994 enactment of a regulation under the Act by MOI
operational definition of …
- Illegal BAC : .05
what DDV mean
- Penalty :3 month jail term or a fine of 50-250
USD or both
What punishment
• 1997 : nationwide IEC
• 1999 : sobriety check points
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19. Alcohol levels & Drink Driving
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Association
Percentage of fatally injured drivers and motorcycle riders with a BAC of 0.05gms/100ml or greater
in Australia, 1981 to 1998, and total litres of pure alcohol consumed by Australians per capita
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
50
40
30
20
10
0
Fatally injured drivers with BAC 0.05 or greater Alcohol consumption
Total litres
of alcohol
consumed
%
19
20. • Where r we
• Where we r heading
• What’s next -Social environment for alcohol free society
-supply-side vs demand-side management
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21. Knowledge synthesis
• Where r we
System design
• Where we r heading
• What’s next
Paibul
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22. +
-
POLITICAL MAPPING
Paibul Suriyawongpaisal
PRODUCERS
IMPORTERS
PUBS/BARS
MASS
MEDIA
CONSUMERS
REGULATO
RS
ACADEMIC
VICTIMS
NGOs
CONTEXT:SOCIOECONOMIC, GLOBALIZATION, POLITICS
BARGAINING
POWER
22
POLICY
MAKERS
28. P. Woratanarat et al. / Accident Analysis and Prevention 41 (2009) 651–657
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29. A. Ingsathit et al. / Accident Analysis and Prevention 41 (2009) 474–
478
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30. 5 LEADING CAUSES
25000
20000
15000
10000
5000
0
2546 2547 2548 2549 2550 2551
จำนวน (คน)
ปี (พ.ศ.)
ขัSPEEDING
บรถเร็วเกนิอัตราที่
กฎหมายกาหนด
ตัFRONT ดหนา้ระCUTTING
ยะกระชัน้
ชดิ
แซTAKE งรถOVER
อย่างผิด
กฎหมาย
เมาสุรา
DDV
ฝ่าVIOLATE
ฝืนป้ายสัญญาณ
ไฟ/เครอื่งหมาย
จราจร
SIGN/SIGNAL
ข้อมูล : สำ นักงำนตำ รวจแห่งชำติ
N O . O F S U B J E C T S
2003 04 05 06 07 08
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31. Burden attributable to risk factors 2004
9.4%
8.1%
% of total DALY loss
Source: Thai WG on BOD 2007
5.7%
5.5%
4.5%
3.7%
2.2%
1.7%
1.3%
0.9%
0.9%
0.5%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
Unsafe sex
0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0% 10.0%
Alcohol
Tobacco
Blood pressure
Not wearing helmet
Obesity
Cholesterol
Fruit & vegies
Physical inactivity
Illicit drugs
Air pollution
Water & sanitation
Malnutrition - int standard
Not wearing seatbelt
Malnutrition - Thai standard
% of total burden
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36. Channels of media for alcohol ads,2000
2% 2%
ศ. นพ. ไพบูลย์ สุริยะวงศ์ไพศำล
Source: งานวิจัยของ มูลนิธิเพื่อผู้บริโภค
80%
7%
7%
2%
TV
Radio
Press
Magazine
Outdoor
Cinema
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37. HEAD ON FIGHTING…
IS THIS YOUR CHOICE
TO FIGHT ?
ศ. นพ. ไพบูลย์ สุริยะวงศ์ไพศำล ศ. นพ. ไพบูลย์ สุริยะวงศ์ไพศำล Paibul Suriyawongpaisal
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38. Total
Alcohol ads spending by type of drinks
ศ. นพ. ไพบูลย์ สุริยะวงศ์ไพศำล ศ. นพ. ไพบูลย์ สุริยะวงศ์ไพศำล
Source: งานวิจัยของมูลนิธิเพื่อผู้บริโภค
69%
20%
3% 3% 4% 1%
Beer
Whisky
Thai Whisky
Brandy
Wine
Others
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39. Top 7 brands with big
spending on alcohol ads,2000
ศ. นพ. ไพบูลย์ สุริยะวงศ์ไพศำล
Source: Advertising Expenditure in Thailand
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40. Beer brands reported by injured DDV in
a ER survey
ศ. นพ. ไพบูลย์ สุริยะวงศ์ไพศำล
56%
41%
3%
Singha
Source: งานวิจัยของ รศ.นพ.ไพบูลย์สุริยะวงศ์ไพศาล
elephant
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41. Benefit-cost of alc. ads ban
5% of all alcohol-related ill-health
- cost of €95 million each
year
- cost effectiveness ratio of €500
per year of ill health and premature
mortality prevented
ศ. นพ. ไพบูลย์ สุริยะวงศ์ไพศำล
Anderson P, Baumberg B. (2006). AlcohoPl aiinbu lE Suurrioyapweon.gpaisal 41
43. Benefit-cost of taxation
Cost effectiveness ratio of €241
per year of ..
ill health and premature mortality
prevented
Anderson P, Baumberg B. (2006). Alcohol in Europe: a public health perspective.
http://ec.europa.eu/health/ph_determinants/life_style/alcohol/documents/alcohol_europe.pdf
Accessed June 2008. Paibul Suriyawongpaisal 43
ศ. นพ. ไพบูลย์ สุริยะวงศ์ไพศำล
47. Paibul
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CHOICES OF SUPPLY SIDE MANAGEMENT
1. ADS BAN
2. TAXATION
3. ZONING OUTLETS
4. LABELLING
48. TRUST CONFRONTATION
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KNOWLEDGE
ORIENTED
• ADVISING
• DIALOGUE
• VERBAL & TEXT
ADVOCACY
• PUBLIC SPACE
• DEBATE
• VERBAL & TEXT
LOBBYING
• BEHIND THE
DOOR
• BACK DOOR
ACTIVISM
• VERBAL & TEXT
• Violence prone
• PUBLIC SPACE
VALUE
ORIENTED