Talebe ait olasılık dağılımı
                                                                     RASSAL SAYI
    TALEP          FREKANS       OLASILIK KÜM.OLASILIK
                                                                       ARALIĞI
        0             16             0.08            0.08               00-07
        1             74             0.37            0.45               08-44
        2             66             0.33            0.78               45-77
        3             34             0.17            0.95               78-94
        4             10             0.05            1.00               95-99
                     200


                            Tedarik süresine ait olasılık dağılımı
                                                                     RASSAL SAYI
TEDARİK SÜRESİ     FREKANS       OLASILIK KÜM.OLASILIK
                                                                       ARALIĞI
        1             8              0.05            0.05               00-04
        2             88             0.55            0.60               05-59
        3             48             0.30            0.90               60-89
        4             16             0.10            1.00               90-99
                     160


              AÇIKLAMALAR
 Başlangıç stoğu      10             adet
 Sipariş maliyeti   75 TL
  Stok maliyeti      5 TL
  Memnuniyet
                    40 TL
    maliyeti
    ALIŞ FİYATI      $650
   SATIŞ FİYATI      $800


                                            KUR
                                                                                    RASSAL
                     KUR
 KUR ARALIĞI                 FREKANS KÜM.FREKANS                     KÜM.OLASILIK    SAYI
                  ORTALAMASI
                                                                                    ARALIĞI
    1,50-1,60        1.55             38               38                0.36         00-36
    1,60-1,70        1.65             44               82                0.78         37-78
    1,70-1,80        1.75             22              104                0.99         79-99
    1,80-1,90        1.85              1              105                 1          99-100
Rassal   ALIŞ      SİPARİŞ               TOPLAM
                              SMM                    GELİR        KAR
 Sayı    KURU      MİKTARI               MALİYET

  6      1.55 TL      0         0 TL       40 TL     2,480 TL    2,440 TL
 10      1.55 TL      0         0 TL       40 TL       0 TL       -40 TL
 38      1.65 TL      0         0 TL       35 TL     1,320 TL    1,285 TL
 56      1.65 TL     10      10,725 TL   10,815 TL   5,280 TL   -5,535 TL
  8      1.55 TL      0         0 TL       10 TL     1,240 TL    1,230 TL
 42      1.65 TL      0         0 TL        5 TL     1,320 TL    1,315 TL
 29      1.55 TL      0         0 TL       40 TL     2,480 TL    2,440 TL
 80      1.75 TL      0         0 TL       45 TL       0 TL       -45 TL
 77      1.65 TL      0         0 TL       40 TL     1,320 TL    1,280 TL
 10      1.55 TL      0         0 TL       35 TL     1,240 TL    1,205 TL
 34      1.55 TL     10      10,075 TL   10,175 TL   2,480 TL   -7,695 TL
 40      1.65 TL      0         0 TL       20 TL     1,320 TL    1,300 TL
 19      1.55 TL      0         0 TL       15 TL     1,240 TL    1,225 TL
 29      1.55 TL      0         0 TL       55 TL     2,480 TL    2,425 TL
 79      1.75 TL      0         0 TL       50 TL     1,400 TL    1,350 TL
 39      1.65 TL      0         0 TL       40 TL     2,640 TL    2,600 TL
 71      1.65 TL     10      10,725 TL   10,830 TL   2,640 TL   -8,190 TL
 39      1.65 TL      0         0 TL       25 TL     1,320 TL    1,295 TL
 42      1.65 TL      0         0 TL       20 TL     1,320 TL    1,300 TL
  4      1.55 TL      0         0 TL       10 TL     2,480 TL    2,470 TL
 43      1.65 TL      0         0 TL       55 TL     1,320 TL    1,265 TL
 33      1.55 TL      0         0 TL       50 TL     1,240 TL    1,190 TL
 36      1.55 TL      0         0 TL       35 TL     3,720 TL    3,685 TL
 98      1.75 TL      0         0 TL       35 TL       0 TL       -35 TL
 73      1.65 TL     10      10,725 TL   10,825 TL   2,640 TL   -8,185 TL
  3      1.55 TL      0         0 TL       20 TL     1,240 TL    1,220 TL
 28      1.55 TL      0         0 TL       10 TL     2,480 TL    2,470 TL
 33      1.55 TL      0         0 TL       50 TL     2,480 TL    2,430 TL
 34      1.55 TL      0         0 TL       45 TL     1,240 TL    1,195 TL
 32      1.55 TL      0         0 TL       40 TL     1,240 TL    1,200 TL
 43      1.65 TL     10      10,725 TL   10,830 TL   2,640 TL   -8,190 TL
 48      1.65 TL      0         0 TL       20 TL     2,640 TL    2,620 TL
 48      1.65 TL      0         0 TL       15 TL     1,320 TL    1,305 TL
 46      1.65 TL      0         0 TL       45 TL     5,280 TL    5,235 TL
 25      1.55 TL     10      10,075 TL   10,180 TL   3,720 TL   -6,460 TL
 49      1.65 TL      0         0 TL       25 TL     1,320 TL    1,295 TL
  5      1.55 TL      0         0 TL       15 TL     2,480 TL    2,465 TL
 71      1.65 TL      0         0 TL       60 TL     1,320 TL    1,260 TL
 78      1.65 TL      0         0 TL       50 TL     2,640 TL    2,590 TL
 17      1.55 TL      0         0 TL       40 TL     2,480 TL    2,440 TL
 30      1.55 TL     10      10,075 TL   10,180 TL   2,480 TL   -7,700 TL
 58      1.65 TL      0         0 TL       25 TL     1,320 TL    1,295 TL
 72      1.65 TL      0         0 TL       20 TL     1,320 TL    1,300 TL
 40      1.65 TL      0         0 TL       20 TL       0 TL       -20 TL
  9      1.55 TL      0         0 TL       60 TL     2,480 TL    2,420 TL
 68      1.65 TL      0         0 TL       50 TL     2,640 TL    2,590 TL
84   1.75 TL    0      0 TL       40 TL     2,800 TL    2,760 TL
89   1.75 TL   10   11,375 TL   11,480 TL   2,800 TL   -8,680 TL
32   1.55 TL    0      0 TL       25 TL     1,240 TL    1,215 TL
69   1.65 TL    0      0 TL       20 TL     1,320 TL    1,300 TL
78   1.65 TL    0      0 TL       50 TL     5,280 TL    5,230 TL
70   1.65 TL    0      0 TL       40 TL     2,640 TL    2,600 TL
64   1.65 TL    0      0 TL       40 TL       0 TL       -40 TL
76   1.65 TL   10   10,725 TL   10,830 TL   2,640 TL   -8,190 TL
94   1.75 TL    0      0 TL       25 TL     1,400 TL    1,375 TL
52   1.65 TL    0      0 TL       15 TL     2,640 TL    2,625 TL
19   1.55 TL    0      0 TL        5 TL     2,480 TL    2,475 TL
57   1.65 TL    0      0 TL       50 TL     1,320 TL    1,270 TL
70   1.65 TL   10   10,725 TL   10,830 TL   5,280 TL   -5,550 TL
51   1.65 TL    0      0 TL       20 TL     2,640 TL    2,620 TL
30   1.55 TL    0      0 TL       15 TL     1,240 TL    1,225 TL
78   1.75 TL    0      0 TL       60 TL     1,400 TL    1,340 TL
99   1.75 TL    0      0 TL       55 TL     1,400 TL    1,345 TL
37   1.65 TL    0      0 TL       45 TL     2,640 TL    2,595 TL
61   1.65 TL    0      0 TL       40 TL     1,320 TL    1,280 TL
73   1.65 TL   10   10,725 TL   10,825 TL   3,960 TL   -6,865 TL
13   1.55 TL    0      0 TL       15 TL     2,480 TL    2,465 TL
14   1.55 TL    0      0 TL        0 TL     3,720 TL    3,720 TL
87   1.75 TL    0      0 TL       35 TL     4,200 TL    4,165 TL
64   1.65 TL   10   10,725 TL   10,830 TL   1,320 TL   -9,510 TL
 2   1.55 TL    0      0 TL       15 TL     3,720 TL    3,705 TL
20   1.55 TL    0      0 TL       10 TL     1,240 TL    1,230 TL
88   1.75 TL    0      0 TL       55 TL     1,400 TL    1,345 TL
52   1.65 TL    0      0 TL       45 TL     2,640 TL    2,595 TL
69   1.65 TL    0      0 TL       40 TL     1,320 TL    1,280 TL
32   1.55 TL   10   10,075 TL   10,180 TL   2,480 TL   -7,700 TL
91   1.75 TL    0      0 TL       15 TL     4,200 TL    4,185 TL
65   1.65 TL    0      0 TL       10 TL     1,320 TL    1,310 TL
63   1.65 TL    0      0 TL        5 TL     1,320 TL    1,315 TL
 8   1.55 TL    0      0 TL       55 TL       0 TL       -55 TL
81   1.75 TL    0      0 TL       50 TL     1,400 TL    1,350 TL
63   1.65 TL    0      0 TL       40 TL     2,640 TL    2,600 TL
81   1.75 TL    0      0 TL       40 TL       0 TL       -40 TL
93   1.75 TL    0      0 TL       35 TL     1,400 TL    1,365 TL
39   1.65 TL   10   10,725 TL   10,830 TL   1,320 TL   -9,510 TL
99   1.75 TL    0      0 TL       25 TL     1,400 TL    1,375 TL
30   1.55 TL    0      0 TL       15 TL     2,480 TL    2,465 TL
64   1.65 TL    0      0 TL        5 TL     2,640 TL    2,635 TL
 8   1.55 TL    0      0 TL        0 TL     1,240 TL    1,240 TL
29   1.55 TL    0      0 TL       40 TL     2,480 TL    2,440 TL
99   1.75 TL   10   11,375 TL   11,475 TL   4,200 TL   -7,275 TL
72   1.65 TL    0      0 TL       20 TL     1,320 TL    1,300 TL
42   1.65 TL    0      0 TL       15 TL     1,320 TL    1,305 TL
48   1.65 TL    0      0 TL       50 TL     3,960 TL    3,910 TL
18   1.55 TL    0      0 TL       45 TL     1,240 TL    1,195 TL
22   1.55 TL    0      0 TL       35 TL     2,480 TL    2,445 TL
74   1.65 TL   10   10,725 TL     10,825 TL     2,640 TL    -8,185 TL
40   1.65 TL    0      0 TL         10 TL       3,960 TL     3,950 TL
84   1.75 TL    0      0 TL          0 TL       2,800 TL     2,800 TL
79   1.75 TL    0      0 TL         40 TL       1,400 TL     1,360 TL


                    170,300 TL    174,560 TL   209,800 TL   35,240 TL

                                 100 GÜNÜN
                    100 GÜNÜN                  TOPLAM       TOPLAM
                                  TOPLAM
                     MALİYETİ                   GELİR         KAR
                                   GİDERİ

      ORT.           ORT.        ORT.TOP.MA ORT. SATIŞ
                                                       ORT.KAR
      KUR           MALİYET        LİYET     FİYATI


      1.63            1703          1745.6       2098         352.4
1.53 1,40-1,50     0    0
1.64 1,50-1,60    38   38
 1.7 1,60-1,70    82   44
 1.7 1,70-1,80   104   22
1.69 1,80-1,90   105    1
1.69
 1.5
1.57
1.53
1.52
1.51
1.53
1.54
1.52
1.59
1.63
1.64
1.63
1.62
1.66
1.67
 1.7
1.68
1.61
1.58
1.59
1.57
1.57
1.59
 1.6
1.58
1.57
1.57
1.57
1.57
1.57
1.54
1.52
1.52
1.52
1.52
1.52
1.51
 1.5
1.51
1.52
1.53
1.54
1.53
1.52
1.52
1.55
1.55
1.57
 1.6
1.59
1.62
 1.6
1.64
1.66
1.66
1.65
1.67
1.65
1.62
1.62
1.62
1.64
1.66
1.65
1.64
1.64
1.63
1.61
1.62
1.64
1.65
1.64
1.67
1.68
 1.7
1.68
1.71
1.69
 1.7
1.69
1.69
 1.7
1.73
1.72
1.73
1.74
1.79
 1.8
1.79
1.74
1.75
 1.7
1.69
 1.7
1.71
1.69
 1.7
1.67
1.66
 1.4   1.49    1.4
 1.5   1.59   1.50
 1.6   1.69    1.5
 1.7   1.80   1.60
 1.8   1.90    1.6
              1.70
               1.7
              1.80
               1.8
                 2
16




14




12




10



                                                 Column B   Column D
 8




 6




 4




 2




 0
     0   10   20   30   40   50   60   70   80      90         100
2




0
    0   10   20   30   40   50   60   70   80   90   100

SimüLasyon öDevi

  • 1.
    Talebe ait olasılıkdağılımı RASSAL SAYI TALEP FREKANS OLASILIK KÜM.OLASILIK ARALIĞI 0 16 0.08 0.08 00-07 1 74 0.37 0.45 08-44 2 66 0.33 0.78 45-77 3 34 0.17 0.95 78-94 4 10 0.05 1.00 95-99 200 Tedarik süresine ait olasılık dağılımı RASSAL SAYI TEDARİK SÜRESİ FREKANS OLASILIK KÜM.OLASILIK ARALIĞI 1 8 0.05 0.05 00-04 2 88 0.55 0.60 05-59 3 48 0.30 0.90 60-89 4 16 0.10 1.00 90-99 160 AÇIKLAMALAR Başlangıç stoğu 10 adet Sipariş maliyeti 75 TL Stok maliyeti 5 TL Memnuniyet 40 TL maliyeti ALIŞ FİYATI $650 SATIŞ FİYATI $800 KUR RASSAL KUR KUR ARALIĞI FREKANS KÜM.FREKANS KÜM.OLASILIK SAYI ORTALAMASI ARALIĞI 1,50-1,60 1.55 38 38 0.36 00-36 1,60-1,70 1.65 44 82 0.78 37-78 1,70-1,80 1.75 22 104 0.99 79-99 1,80-1,90 1.85 1 105 1 99-100
  • 2.
    Rassal ALIŞ SİPARİŞ TOPLAM SMM GELİR KAR Sayı KURU MİKTARI MALİYET 6 1.55 TL 0 0 TL 40 TL 2,480 TL 2,440 TL 10 1.55 TL 0 0 TL 40 TL 0 TL -40 TL 38 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 35 TL 1,320 TL 1,285 TL 56 1.65 TL 10 10,725 TL 10,815 TL 5,280 TL -5,535 TL 8 1.55 TL 0 0 TL 10 TL 1,240 TL 1,230 TL 42 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 5 TL 1,320 TL 1,315 TL 29 1.55 TL 0 0 TL 40 TL 2,480 TL 2,440 TL 80 1.75 TL 0 0 TL 45 TL 0 TL -45 TL 77 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 40 TL 1,320 TL 1,280 TL 10 1.55 TL 0 0 TL 35 TL 1,240 TL 1,205 TL 34 1.55 TL 10 10,075 TL 10,175 TL 2,480 TL -7,695 TL 40 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 20 TL 1,320 TL 1,300 TL 19 1.55 TL 0 0 TL 15 TL 1,240 TL 1,225 TL 29 1.55 TL 0 0 TL 55 TL 2,480 TL 2,425 TL 79 1.75 TL 0 0 TL 50 TL 1,400 TL 1,350 TL 39 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 40 TL 2,640 TL 2,600 TL 71 1.65 TL 10 10,725 TL 10,830 TL 2,640 TL -8,190 TL 39 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 25 TL 1,320 TL 1,295 TL 42 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 20 TL 1,320 TL 1,300 TL 4 1.55 TL 0 0 TL 10 TL 2,480 TL 2,470 TL 43 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 55 TL 1,320 TL 1,265 TL 33 1.55 TL 0 0 TL 50 TL 1,240 TL 1,190 TL 36 1.55 TL 0 0 TL 35 TL 3,720 TL 3,685 TL 98 1.75 TL 0 0 TL 35 TL 0 TL -35 TL 73 1.65 TL 10 10,725 TL 10,825 TL 2,640 TL -8,185 TL 3 1.55 TL 0 0 TL 20 TL 1,240 TL 1,220 TL 28 1.55 TL 0 0 TL 10 TL 2,480 TL 2,470 TL 33 1.55 TL 0 0 TL 50 TL 2,480 TL 2,430 TL 34 1.55 TL 0 0 TL 45 TL 1,240 TL 1,195 TL 32 1.55 TL 0 0 TL 40 TL 1,240 TL 1,200 TL 43 1.65 TL 10 10,725 TL 10,830 TL 2,640 TL -8,190 TL 48 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 20 TL 2,640 TL 2,620 TL 48 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 15 TL 1,320 TL 1,305 TL 46 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 45 TL 5,280 TL 5,235 TL 25 1.55 TL 10 10,075 TL 10,180 TL 3,720 TL -6,460 TL 49 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 25 TL 1,320 TL 1,295 TL 5 1.55 TL 0 0 TL 15 TL 2,480 TL 2,465 TL 71 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 60 TL 1,320 TL 1,260 TL 78 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 50 TL 2,640 TL 2,590 TL 17 1.55 TL 0 0 TL 40 TL 2,480 TL 2,440 TL 30 1.55 TL 10 10,075 TL 10,180 TL 2,480 TL -7,700 TL 58 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 25 TL 1,320 TL 1,295 TL 72 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 20 TL 1,320 TL 1,300 TL 40 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 20 TL 0 TL -20 TL 9 1.55 TL 0 0 TL 60 TL 2,480 TL 2,420 TL 68 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 50 TL 2,640 TL 2,590 TL
  • 3.
    84 1.75 TL 0 0 TL 40 TL 2,800 TL 2,760 TL 89 1.75 TL 10 11,375 TL 11,480 TL 2,800 TL -8,680 TL 32 1.55 TL 0 0 TL 25 TL 1,240 TL 1,215 TL 69 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 20 TL 1,320 TL 1,300 TL 78 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 50 TL 5,280 TL 5,230 TL 70 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 40 TL 2,640 TL 2,600 TL 64 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 40 TL 0 TL -40 TL 76 1.65 TL 10 10,725 TL 10,830 TL 2,640 TL -8,190 TL 94 1.75 TL 0 0 TL 25 TL 1,400 TL 1,375 TL 52 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 15 TL 2,640 TL 2,625 TL 19 1.55 TL 0 0 TL 5 TL 2,480 TL 2,475 TL 57 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 50 TL 1,320 TL 1,270 TL 70 1.65 TL 10 10,725 TL 10,830 TL 5,280 TL -5,550 TL 51 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 20 TL 2,640 TL 2,620 TL 30 1.55 TL 0 0 TL 15 TL 1,240 TL 1,225 TL 78 1.75 TL 0 0 TL 60 TL 1,400 TL 1,340 TL 99 1.75 TL 0 0 TL 55 TL 1,400 TL 1,345 TL 37 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 45 TL 2,640 TL 2,595 TL 61 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 40 TL 1,320 TL 1,280 TL 73 1.65 TL 10 10,725 TL 10,825 TL 3,960 TL -6,865 TL 13 1.55 TL 0 0 TL 15 TL 2,480 TL 2,465 TL 14 1.55 TL 0 0 TL 0 TL 3,720 TL 3,720 TL 87 1.75 TL 0 0 TL 35 TL 4,200 TL 4,165 TL 64 1.65 TL 10 10,725 TL 10,830 TL 1,320 TL -9,510 TL 2 1.55 TL 0 0 TL 15 TL 3,720 TL 3,705 TL 20 1.55 TL 0 0 TL 10 TL 1,240 TL 1,230 TL 88 1.75 TL 0 0 TL 55 TL 1,400 TL 1,345 TL 52 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 45 TL 2,640 TL 2,595 TL 69 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 40 TL 1,320 TL 1,280 TL 32 1.55 TL 10 10,075 TL 10,180 TL 2,480 TL -7,700 TL 91 1.75 TL 0 0 TL 15 TL 4,200 TL 4,185 TL 65 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 10 TL 1,320 TL 1,310 TL 63 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 5 TL 1,320 TL 1,315 TL 8 1.55 TL 0 0 TL 55 TL 0 TL -55 TL 81 1.75 TL 0 0 TL 50 TL 1,400 TL 1,350 TL 63 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 40 TL 2,640 TL 2,600 TL 81 1.75 TL 0 0 TL 40 TL 0 TL -40 TL 93 1.75 TL 0 0 TL 35 TL 1,400 TL 1,365 TL 39 1.65 TL 10 10,725 TL 10,830 TL 1,320 TL -9,510 TL 99 1.75 TL 0 0 TL 25 TL 1,400 TL 1,375 TL 30 1.55 TL 0 0 TL 15 TL 2,480 TL 2,465 TL 64 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 5 TL 2,640 TL 2,635 TL 8 1.55 TL 0 0 TL 0 TL 1,240 TL 1,240 TL 29 1.55 TL 0 0 TL 40 TL 2,480 TL 2,440 TL 99 1.75 TL 10 11,375 TL 11,475 TL 4,200 TL -7,275 TL 72 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 20 TL 1,320 TL 1,300 TL 42 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 15 TL 1,320 TL 1,305 TL 48 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 50 TL 3,960 TL 3,910 TL 18 1.55 TL 0 0 TL 45 TL 1,240 TL 1,195 TL 22 1.55 TL 0 0 TL 35 TL 2,480 TL 2,445 TL
  • 4.
    74 1.65 TL 10 10,725 TL 10,825 TL 2,640 TL -8,185 TL 40 1.65 TL 0 0 TL 10 TL 3,960 TL 3,950 TL 84 1.75 TL 0 0 TL 0 TL 2,800 TL 2,800 TL 79 1.75 TL 0 0 TL 40 TL 1,400 TL 1,360 TL 170,300 TL 174,560 TL 209,800 TL 35,240 TL 100 GÜNÜN 100 GÜNÜN TOPLAM TOPLAM TOPLAM MALİYETİ GELİR KAR GİDERİ ORT. ORT. ORT.TOP.MA ORT. SATIŞ ORT.KAR KUR MALİYET LİYET FİYATI 1.63 1703 1745.6 2098 352.4
  • 5.
    1.53 1,40-1,50 0 0 1.64 1,50-1,60 38 38 1.7 1,60-1,70 82 44 1.7 1,70-1,80 104 22 1.69 1,80-1,90 105 1 1.69 1.5 1.57 1.53 1.52 1.51 1.53 1.54 1.52 1.59 1.63 1.64 1.63 1.62 1.66 1.67 1.7 1.68 1.61 1.58 1.59 1.57 1.57 1.59 1.6 1.58 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.54 1.52 1.52 1.52 1.52 1.52 1.51 1.5 1.51 1.52 1.53 1.54
  • 6.
  • 7.
    1.75 1.7 1.69 1.7 1.71 1.69 1.7 1.67 1.66 1.4 1.49 1.4 1.5 1.59 1.50 1.6 1.69 1.5 1.7 1.80 1.60 1.8 1.90 1.6 1.70 1.7 1.80 1.8 2
  • 8.
    16 14 12 10 Column B Column D 8 6 4 2 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
  • 9.
    2 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100