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Visual Management: What’s Effective? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Schonberger & Associates (Slide added—not in evening presentation)
Schonberger & Associates Inventory Turnover – Paccar Up 2.1% per year for 38 years
Schonberger & Associates Terex Days of Inventory Bought Genie 10/02
The Confused State of Lean:   Comparing Regions, Industries, Companies PDM, Puget Sound APICS Wednesday, Dec. 12, 2007 Presenter Richard J. Schonberger 177 107th Ave., N.E., #2101 Bellevue, WA 98004 USA – Tel/Fax +425-467-1143 Schonberger & Associates
This presentation includes research and topical materials incorporated into a forthcoming Richard Schonberger book (John Wiley & Sons): Best Practices in Lean Six Sigma Process Improvement: A Deeper Look . . . with Telling Evidence from the  Leanness Studies Schonberger & Associates
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Schonberger & Associates
Sustainable Lean – Best to Worst, by Region # ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],As of 9/18/07 # Positive 10-to-50 year trend, 2 points; same but lapse last 5-7 years, 1 point; negative 10-or-more-year trend, minus ½; 5-or-more-year reversal of long negative trend, plus ½  *Includes companies acquired/merged/dissolved/privatized in last 5 years
Schonberger & Associates ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Lean/Six Sigma: Bureaucratized ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Schonberger & Associates
Lean/Six Sigma: Bureaucratized (continued) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Schonberger & Associates
Schonberger & Associates Long-term Lean : Compound Effects
Schonberger & Associates Inventory Turnover Up 2.0% per year for 32 years A B A Up 2.7% per year for 26 years
“ Lean” and Close Surrogate, Inventory ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Schonberger & Associates
Improving the Inventory Trends ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Schonberger & Associates
Schonberger & Associates Besides Dana . . . other major vehicular suppliers in or emergent from bankruptcy: Collins & Aikman, Delphi, Dura Automotive, Eagle-Picher, Federal Mogul, Modine, Tower Automotive Collins & Aikman, Eagle-Picher, Federal Mogul, Modine much better off because of many-year compounded lean benefits  (insufficient data for Delphi, Dura, Tower)
Aerospace-Defense OEM’s Schonberger & Associates
Schonberger & Associates Inventory Turnover Turns C+ A C Up 5.7% per year 14 years
Schonberger & Associates Inventory Turnover Game-Changer Modular deliveries from modular, 1 st  tier suppliers. Unloads millions of parts, reshuffles core competencies for mutual gain C C C
Aerospace-Defense Suppliers Schonberger & Associates
Schonberger & Associates Inventory Turnover Turns D+ C D
Schonberger & Associates Inventory Turnover Turns D C C
Car OEM’s Schonberger & Associates
Schonberger & Associates Inventory Turnover C D D Down 3.4% per year, 18 years Down 2.7% per year, 16 years Chrysler acquired by Daimler in ’98, sold in ‘07
Schonberger & Associates Inventory Turnover *Overstated – Based on sales, not cost of sales C C C
Schonberger & Associates Inventory Turnover Up 2.1% per year, 27 years D A C Down 4.0% per year, 13 years
Toyota: Engineering Power but Faded as Paragon of Lean/Continuous Improvement ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Schonberger & Associates
Vehicular Components Producers (91 in Leanness Database*) Grades : 29 A’s 5 B’s 39 C’s 13 D’s 5 F’s *52 in Mergent list of 1000 largest global corporations Schonberger & Associates Car Assemblers  (25 in Leanness Database) Grades : 4 A’s 2 B’s 12 C’s 5 D’s 2 F’s
Schonberger & Associates Inventory Turnover Up 3.0% per year for 24 years Up 3.1% per year for 26 years *Overstated:  Based on sales, not cost of sales Up 2.7% per year for 27 years A A A
Schonberger & Associates Inventory Turnover Up 1.6% per year for 34 years A C B
Schonberger & Associates Inventory Turnover Up 2.1% per year for 30 years Up 2.7% per year for 26 years B A A
54 Motor-Vehicle Companies Rated on Long-Term Leanness Schonberger & Associates Harley-Davidson Paccar-Kenworth Honda Tennant Magna Int’l. Thor Industries General Motors  Hindustan Motors JLG Industries Ford Motor Hitachi Zosen Terex Tata Motors Kawasaki Heavy Kubota Iveco Nissan Fiat Renault Porsche Peugeot-Citroen Alvis Isuzu DaimlerChrysler AGCO Volvo Claas KgaA Nacco Industries Mitsubishi Motors Navistar Yamaha Motors Scania Winnebago Trinity Industries Toro Millat Tractors Polaris Komatsu Caterpillar Deere Audi BMW Manitowoc Fleetwood Enterpr. Suzuki Motors Nissan Diesel Daihatsu Motors* Fuji Heavy-Subaru Hino Motors* Volkswagen Toyota Motors Oshkosh Truck Champion Enterpr. Toyota Industries* As of 5-3-07 *Toyota subsidiaries
Autos, Crucible of Lean – Best to Worst Trends Schonberger & Associates 1 Harley   Up 3.9%, 20 years 3 Honda   Up 2.1%, 27 years 10 Ford   Up 1.9%, 32 years (down sharply last 4 yrs.) 13 Tata   Up 5.5%, 13 years (slump ’98-’03) 17 Nissan   Up 2.8%, 11 years (after 20 years down) 23 Isuzu   Flat erratically 28 years (up last few years) 26 Volvo   Flat 12 years (after 10 bad yrs.; better last 6) 32 Scania   Flat 11 years (after 6 good years) 36 Millat Tr.   Flat very erratically, 17 years 40 Deere   Down 2.8%, 13 years (up last few years) 42 BMW   Down 3.4%, 18 years (less decline last 14) 51 VW   Down 3.8%, 10 years (after good 16 years) 52 Toyota   Down 4.0%, 13 years (after 6 flat years) As of 5-3-07
Unsung Stars of Lean – A Few Examples Schonberger & Associates American Greetings (greeting cards, etc.)  Up 3.2% per yr. for 20 yrs. Andrew Corp. (satellite telecom equipment) Up 2.6%, 24 yrs. Applera (life-science instruments, consumables) Up 4.0%, 18 yrs. CCL Industries, Canada (aerosol containers, labels) Up 2.4%, 20 yrs. Cleveland: Brush Engineered Products (2.9, 20);   Eaton (2.1, 30);  Nordson (3.8, 17); Parker Hannifin (3.4, 17) Gunnebo, Sweden (cash/personal security equipt.) Up 3.1%, 24 yrs. Hitachi Cable, Japan (wire & cable) Up 1.8%, 26 yrs. Illinois Tool Works (diverse industrial products) Up 3.2%, 20 yrs. Kulicke & Soffa (wafer saws, die bonders, etc.) Up 4.4%, 20 yrs. L.S. Starrett (coordinate measuring machines, tools) Up 1.7%, 35 yrs. Messer Griesheim, Germany (metalworking, other) Up 1.9%, 32 yrs. Rolm & Haas (chemicals) Up 1.8%, 20 yrs. SKF, Sweden (bearings)   Up 2.5%, 29 yrs. Thomas & Betts (electric connectors, steel towers) Up 2.5%, 30 yrs. Woolworths, Australia (supermarkets, other retail) Up 2.3%, 20 yrs. Xerox (copiers) Up 2.0%, 40 yrs. As of 10-25-07
The “lean core” (basic Toyota system) and other potent ways to get lean Schonberger & Associates
The Lean Core (Partial List) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Schonberger & Associates
More Pathways to Leanness ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Schonberger & Associates
Still More Lean Avenues ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Schonberger & Associates
Schonberger & Associates Inventory Turnover Acquired by Danaher Fluke: Up 3.2% per year, 18 years Danaher: Faded lean star?
Schonberger & Associates Pipelines/Collaboration : Greatest Lean Opportunities
Lean Inside vs. Lean in the Pipelines ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Schonberger & Associates
Lean Supply-Chain Accounting (Re Inter-Company Inventory/Lead-Time) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Schonberger & Associates
Inter-Company Lean Building on a “lean core” foundation ,[object Object],[object Object],Schonberger & Associates
Lean Inside    Lean Supply Chain Example: Graco, Minneapolis (sprayers, compressors) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Schonberger & Associates
Schonberger & Associates Why Does Lean Fade? Are There Antidotes?
Lean’s Soft Underbelly ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Schonberger & Associates
Popular Lean/6-Sigma Tools ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Schonberger & Associates
Lean’s Native and Potential Strengths ,[object Object],Schonberger & Associates
Tapping Lean’s Full Potential ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Schonberger & Associates
“ Big-Idea” Business Models Highly Favorable to Lean ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Schonberger & Associates
Schonberger & Associates Inventory Turnover – Dell Inc. 79 5.8%, 17 years
Schonberger & Associates Wal-Mart: Up 2.8% per year for 16 years Turns Inventory Turnover Illinois Tool: Up 3.2% per year for 20 years A A
Long-Term Lean Trends – Evidenced by Positive Inventory Turnover Patterns Without Recent Lapses – Best to Worst, by Sector # ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Schonberger & Associates As of 9/16/07 # Positive 10-to-50 year trend, 2 points; same but lapse last 5-7 years, 1 point; negative 10-or-more-year trend, minus ½; 5-or-more-year reversal of negative trend, plus ½  *Includes companies acquired/merged/dissolved/privatized in last 5 years
Related Articles by Schonberger ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Schonberger & Associates
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Schonberger Lean 20071212

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  • 2. Schonberger & Associates Inventory Turnover – Paccar Up 2.1% per year for 38 years
  • 3. Schonberger & Associates Terex Days of Inventory Bought Genie 10/02
  • 4. The Confused State of Lean: Comparing Regions, Industries, Companies PDM, Puget Sound APICS Wednesday, Dec. 12, 2007 Presenter Richard J. Schonberger 177 107th Ave., N.E., #2101 Bellevue, WA 98004 USA – Tel/Fax +425-467-1143 Schonberger & Associates
  • 5. This presentation includes research and topical materials incorporated into a forthcoming Richard Schonberger book (John Wiley & Sons): Best Practices in Lean Six Sigma Process Improvement: A Deeper Look . . . with Telling Evidence from the Leanness Studies Schonberger & Associates
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  • 11. Schonberger & Associates Long-term Lean : Compound Effects
  • 12. Schonberger & Associates Inventory Turnover Up 2.0% per year for 32 years A B A Up 2.7% per year for 26 years
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  • 15. Schonberger & Associates Besides Dana . . . other major vehicular suppliers in or emergent from bankruptcy: Collins & Aikman, Delphi, Dura Automotive, Eagle-Picher, Federal Mogul, Modine, Tower Automotive Collins & Aikman, Eagle-Picher, Federal Mogul, Modine much better off because of many-year compounded lean benefits (insufficient data for Delphi, Dura, Tower)
  • 17. Schonberger & Associates Inventory Turnover Turns C+ A C Up 5.7% per year 14 years
  • 18. Schonberger & Associates Inventory Turnover Game-Changer Modular deliveries from modular, 1 st tier suppliers. Unloads millions of parts, reshuffles core competencies for mutual gain C C C
  • 20. Schonberger & Associates Inventory Turnover Turns D+ C D
  • 21. Schonberger & Associates Inventory Turnover Turns D C C
  • 22. Car OEM’s Schonberger & Associates
  • 23. Schonberger & Associates Inventory Turnover C D D Down 3.4% per year, 18 years Down 2.7% per year, 16 years Chrysler acquired by Daimler in ’98, sold in ‘07
  • 24. Schonberger & Associates Inventory Turnover *Overstated – Based on sales, not cost of sales C C C
  • 25. Schonberger & Associates Inventory Turnover Up 2.1% per year, 27 years D A C Down 4.0% per year, 13 years
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  • 27. Vehicular Components Producers (91 in Leanness Database*) Grades : 29 A’s 5 B’s 39 C’s 13 D’s 5 F’s *52 in Mergent list of 1000 largest global corporations Schonberger & Associates Car Assemblers (25 in Leanness Database) Grades : 4 A’s 2 B’s 12 C’s 5 D’s 2 F’s
  • 28. Schonberger & Associates Inventory Turnover Up 3.0% per year for 24 years Up 3.1% per year for 26 years *Overstated: Based on sales, not cost of sales Up 2.7% per year for 27 years A A A
  • 29. Schonberger & Associates Inventory Turnover Up 1.6% per year for 34 years A C B
  • 30. Schonberger & Associates Inventory Turnover Up 2.1% per year for 30 years Up 2.7% per year for 26 years B A A
  • 31. 54 Motor-Vehicle Companies Rated on Long-Term Leanness Schonberger & Associates Harley-Davidson Paccar-Kenworth Honda Tennant Magna Int’l. Thor Industries General Motors Hindustan Motors JLG Industries Ford Motor Hitachi Zosen Terex Tata Motors Kawasaki Heavy Kubota Iveco Nissan Fiat Renault Porsche Peugeot-Citroen Alvis Isuzu DaimlerChrysler AGCO Volvo Claas KgaA Nacco Industries Mitsubishi Motors Navistar Yamaha Motors Scania Winnebago Trinity Industries Toro Millat Tractors Polaris Komatsu Caterpillar Deere Audi BMW Manitowoc Fleetwood Enterpr. Suzuki Motors Nissan Diesel Daihatsu Motors* Fuji Heavy-Subaru Hino Motors* Volkswagen Toyota Motors Oshkosh Truck Champion Enterpr. Toyota Industries* As of 5-3-07 *Toyota subsidiaries
  • 32. Autos, Crucible of Lean – Best to Worst Trends Schonberger & Associates 1 Harley Up 3.9%, 20 years 3 Honda Up 2.1%, 27 years 10 Ford Up 1.9%, 32 years (down sharply last 4 yrs.) 13 Tata Up 5.5%, 13 years (slump ’98-’03) 17 Nissan Up 2.8%, 11 years (after 20 years down) 23 Isuzu Flat erratically 28 years (up last few years) 26 Volvo Flat 12 years (after 10 bad yrs.; better last 6) 32 Scania Flat 11 years (after 6 good years) 36 Millat Tr. Flat very erratically, 17 years 40 Deere Down 2.8%, 13 years (up last few years) 42 BMW Down 3.4%, 18 years (less decline last 14) 51 VW Down 3.8%, 10 years (after good 16 years) 52 Toyota Down 4.0%, 13 years (after 6 flat years) As of 5-3-07
  • 33. Unsung Stars of Lean – A Few Examples Schonberger & Associates American Greetings (greeting cards, etc.) Up 3.2% per yr. for 20 yrs. Andrew Corp. (satellite telecom equipment) Up 2.6%, 24 yrs. Applera (life-science instruments, consumables) Up 4.0%, 18 yrs. CCL Industries, Canada (aerosol containers, labels) Up 2.4%, 20 yrs. Cleveland: Brush Engineered Products (2.9, 20); Eaton (2.1, 30); Nordson (3.8, 17); Parker Hannifin (3.4, 17) Gunnebo, Sweden (cash/personal security equipt.) Up 3.1%, 24 yrs. Hitachi Cable, Japan (wire & cable) Up 1.8%, 26 yrs. Illinois Tool Works (diverse industrial products) Up 3.2%, 20 yrs. Kulicke & Soffa (wafer saws, die bonders, etc.) Up 4.4%, 20 yrs. L.S. Starrett (coordinate measuring machines, tools) Up 1.7%, 35 yrs. Messer Griesheim, Germany (metalworking, other) Up 1.9%, 32 yrs. Rolm & Haas (chemicals) Up 1.8%, 20 yrs. SKF, Sweden (bearings) Up 2.5%, 29 yrs. Thomas & Betts (electric connectors, steel towers) Up 2.5%, 30 yrs. Woolworths, Australia (supermarkets, other retail) Up 2.3%, 20 yrs. Xerox (copiers) Up 2.0%, 40 yrs. As of 10-25-07
  • 34. The “lean core” (basic Toyota system) and other potent ways to get lean Schonberger & Associates
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  • 38. Schonberger & Associates Inventory Turnover Acquired by Danaher Fluke: Up 3.2% per year, 18 years Danaher: Faded lean star?
  • 39. Schonberger & Associates Pipelines/Collaboration : Greatest Lean Opportunities
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  • 44. Schonberger & Associates Why Does Lean Fade? Are There Antidotes?
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  • 50. Schonberger & Associates Inventory Turnover – Dell Inc. 79 5.8%, 17 years
  • 51. Schonberger & Associates Wal-Mart: Up 2.8% per year for 16 years Turns Inventory Turnover Illinois Tool: Up 3.2% per year for 20 years A A
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  • 54. Books by Richard Schonberger