Making safer decisionsMary Omodei, Glenn Elliott, Claire JohnsonPsychological Science, LaTrobe University, Victoria
BackgroundandFire BehaviorHuman Behavior
High Reliability Organisations:Pre-occupation with failure
High Reliability Organisations:Pre-occupation with failureReluctance to simplify
High Reliability Organisations:Pre-occupation with failureReluctance to simplifySensitivity to operations
High Reliability Organisations:Pre-occupation with failureReluctance to simplifySensitivity to operationsCommitment to resilience
High Reliability Organisations:Pre-occupation with failureReluctance to simplifySensitivity to operationsCommitment to resilienceDeference to expertise
Mindand Body:  The two-way street
Mindand Body:  The two-way street
Wind direction indicatorContour linesPre-burnt areas1000 metresMindand Body:  The two-way street
114 interviews....25 incidents across Vic and NSW......how many words ?
214,681
214,681
214,681552,899
D2.3 project214,681552,899
D2.3 project214,681552,899933,054
A Human Factors Fire TriangleThinking
A Human Factors Fire TriangleThinkingRelating
A Human Factors Fire TriangleThinkingRelatingCo-ordinating
?
Dr. Robert McNamara, (former U.S. Secretary of Defence)
The Fogs of War:
The Fogs of War:
The Fogs of War:Firefighting
The Fogs of War:7 Human Factors lessons from the firegroundFirefighting
Lesson 1:“We are essentially baboons who wear clothes and speak in sentences”ThinkingJ- Dr Jim McLennan
Lesson 2:We are good at managing the fire, but not good at managing ourselves
Some Good News !
Underlying processes
Underlying processes
Lesson 3:We tend to underestimate what the fire will do, while overestimating what we can do about it
Networked Fire Chief ExperimentWind direction indicatorContour linesPre-burnt areas1000 metres
Six scenarios
Lesson 4:We can be reluctant to change plans even when the situation demands such a change
Lesson 5:The importance of personal knowledge
Local Knowledge
Trust
Lesson 6:The importance of thinking ahead (including the use of worst-case scenarios)
Lesson 7:We use previous experiences to guide current thinking
Where to ?Training/Ops
Where to ?Training/OpsInvestigations
Where to ?Training/OpsInvestigationsLessons Learned
http://www.iawfonline.org/phoenix/http://www.wildfirelessons.net/Home.aspxhttp://www.airsafe.com
Get Serious about HRO – Mike DeGroskyhttp://wildfiremag.com/wui/serious_hro_0708/Human Factors in Aviation: A natural history – Sidney Dekkerhttp://www.lu.se/upload/Trafikflyghogskolan/TR2003-02_HumanFactorsinAviationaNaturalHistory.pdf
Mary Omodei: 	m.omodei@latrobe.edu.au Glenn Elliott:	g.elliott@latrobe.edu.auClaire Johnson:  	ce2johnson@students.latrobe.edu.auThe End

Safe Behaviour And Decision Making - Glenn Elliott