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Russia’s policy towards
Arctic territories
Russia’s policy towards
Arctic territories
Official paper «Fundamentals of the Russian Federation's state
policy in the Arctic for the period till 2020 and Beyond» (2008)
establishes the following key features of the Arctic Region
 remoteness from the main industrial centers;
 high resource consumption and the dependence of economic
activities and livelihoods of the population from fuel supplies,
food and essential goods from other Russia’s regions;
 low stability of ecological systems and their dependence even
from minor anthropogenic effects.
Russia’s policy towards
Arctic territories
 A comprehensive socio-economic
development of the Russian Arctic;
 The development of science and
technology;
 Creation of a modern information and
telecommunication infrastructure;
 To ensure environmental safety;
 International cooperation in the
Arctic;
 Military security, defense and
protection of the state border of the
Russian Federation in the Arctic.
Priorities:
Official paper «The development strategy of the Russian
Arctic and national security for the period until 2020» (2013)
aims to fulfill earlier adopted state policy fundamentals
Putin's vision
 Long-term savings account. The
Arctic is a key source of
resources for future generations.
It must be protected;
 Arctic resources should have
alternative supply routes in the
context of the ongoing conflict
with the West;
 The territorial integrity of Russia
is a key value.
NOTE: place of Arctic issues in the
political line is very flexible.
Putin's view background
 Short-term occupation of the northern Russian ports during
the First World War and the Revolution (12 thousand soldiers
under British command were deployed in the Murmansk and
Arkhangelsk in 1918 and 1919 years);
 Soviet experience in the centralized development of the
industrial potential of the Arctic territories (the most
successful projects were: Vorkuta, Norilsk and Novy Urengoy);
 Controversial in terms of benefits agreement concluded by the
former president Medvedev with Norway over the waters and
shelf of the Barents Sea.
How Putin’s vision is provided
 Militarization. Capacity of hard power (the return of Soviet power)
in the Arctic;
 Isolationism. The policy of deterrence towards soft power of other
Arctic states. Restrictions on the activities of foreign NGOs and
associations of small nations;
 Corporatism. Large corporations replace functions of the state (as
they were understood in the USSR) in the Arctic territories. Such
corporation as Rosneft and Novatek take on more and more
responsibilities in the development of the Arctic, instead they
receive more freedom of action in foreign and domestic markets.
For information. The separation of
the Barents Sea with Norway
 Document: Agreement between the Russian Federation and the
Kingdom of Norway on Maritime Delimitation and Cooperation in
the Barents Sea and the Arctic Ocean. Date of ratification of the
Treaty: 15 September 2010
 Result: According to the agreement the disputed territory was
divided equally between the parties, that is, Russia received 87.5
thousand km2.
Norway and Russia
finally settled the
question of the disputed
maritime areas of the
Barents Sea. The dispute
lasted for 40 years
For information. Maps of territories
The UN adopted version Positions of the parties
Russian public opinion towards the
Agreement
PRO
 The settlement of a large section of the
Norwegian-Russian maritime border (1,700
km);
 This is a necessary part for the
implementation of the UN proposal of the
Russian Federation in 2001 to recognize the
Russian Arctic territories - 1 million 200
thousand square meters (around the
Lomonosov Ridge);
 The territories that have been transferred to
Norway were originally controversial. Thus
was the settlement of the territorial conflict;
 А moratorium on the development of oil and
gas deposits on the Arctic continental shelf
was removed, and Russia won the right to
develop hydrocarbon deposits in a previously
disputed territory;
 The agreement guaranteed the absence of
rights of third countries on the production and
use of resources in the disputed territory.
Contra
 60% of Russian fish catch is carried out in
areas that have departed Norway;
 Ratification of the treaty will trigger other
powers to raise the territorial claims;
 Ratification of the agreement will trigger
other powers to declare territorial claims;
 Waiver of rights to the waters around
Spitsbergen;
 In 2013, it was found that part of the
continental shelf departed to Norway is rich
with oil.
Extraction of oil and minerals
 In the sphere of socio-economic
development policy aims at
expanding the resource base of
the Russian Arctic;
 Arctic zone of the Russian
Federation is considered as a
strategic resource base of the
country's development in the
foreseeable future;
 As for its further development,
the Russian Arctic will
increasingly be involved in
international cooperation.
Extraction of oil and minerals
Arctic economic development was
hit by the sanctions
 Under sanctions, for example,
Exxonmobil, which is actively
boosted exploration in the
Russian North has terminated its
relationship with the companies
"Gazprom", "Gazpromneft",
"Lukoil", "Surgutneftegas" and
"Rosneft“.
 Biggest offshore project of
Gazprom – Shtokman field gas
field – was postponed.
Military security,
defense and protection
 From official documents:
«ensure favorable operational
regime in the Russian Arctic
region, including the
maintenance of the required
combat potential of troops
(forces) general purpose of the
Armed Forces of the Russian
Federation, other troops, military
formations and agencies in the
region».
The military part of the strategy becomes more important for
now. But state resources are reduced.
Building modern infrastructure
Northern latitudinal
road and railway
Creating new Arctic
seaport (a priority
site - near city of
Murmansk). New
port has to maintain
ships with a
displacement of up
to 300 thousand
tons
Start of production
of a new series of
nuclear-powered
icebreakers called
«Siberia»
Widespread use of
concessions on the
model «Build –
Transfer – Operate»
The development of the Northern
Sea Route (NSR)
 According to official paper
«Fundamentals of the Russian
Federation's state policy in the
Arctic for the period till 2020 and
Beyond» (2008) Northern Sea
Route is not mentioned as a clear
aim, only as a national priority.
 «…assisting in the organization
and effective use of transit and
cross-polar air routes in the Arctic,
as well as in the use of the
Northern Sea Route for
international shipping under the
jurisdiction of the Russian
Federation and in accordance with
international treaties of the
Russian Federation».
The development of the Northern
Sea Route (NSR)
 Administration of the Northern Sea
Route was recreated in March
of 2013 in order to organize the
navigation of vessels, to
ensure the safety of
navigation and protection of the
marine environment from
pollution from ships in the waters
of the NSR.
Northern Sea Route Transit cargo
According to experts, the fall in traffic is due to several factors:
the decline in the profitability of oil production in the Arctic at
the fall in oil prices, Western sanctions and doubts about the
financial capabilities of Russia to operate the SMP.
The volume of
transit cargo
2013 2014 2015
1180 000 tons
(other sources:
1 355 897 tons)
274 000 tons 39 000 tons
Northern Sea Route Total cargo
The bulk of the traffic along the Northern Sea Route (up to 85-
90%) now constitute the "Northern delivery", delivery of oil and
gas resources of the Arctic and inter-port cabotage.
2014 2015
3 982 000 tons 5 431 700 tons
Source of data: https://fedstat.ru/indicator/51479
The development of the Northern
Sea Route (NSR)
 Infrastructural development of the
NSR is scheduled for a public-
private partnership.
 The primary users the Northern
Sea Route in Russia today are the
"Norilsk Nickel", "Gazprom",
"Lukoil", "Rosneft", "ROSSHELF".
Potentially - "Novatek» (Yamal
LNG).
 The aggregate throughput
capacity of port facilities along the
Northern Sea Route is planned to
more than double in the next 7-10
years.
The development of the Northern
Sea Route (NSR)
There is no doubt that the Northern
Sea Route will be used for transit:
 a seasonal alternative to the Suez
Canal;
 focus on exclusively raw materials
(this is what we extract ourselves
from ourselves and are taking to
the east);
 all plans for the containers
shipping are on the horizon in
2025.
For more information please use
http://www.kommersant.ru/doc/2655113
The Northern Sea Route and
international law
Most interested in the use of the Northern Sea Route foreign
states in favor of giving it an international status and for
removal from the national jurisdiction of Russia. They want The
Northern Sea Route to be opened to free navigation. The United
States, in particular, insist on the principle of free navigation,
historically regarded as an essential component of their national
marine strategy.
Priority partners of
Russia in the Arctic
Asia:
China
South Korea
Japan
Europe:
Norway
France
Germany
The ecological themes
In May 2015 the International
Maritime Organization (The UN)
has completed work on the
Polar Code, which will come
into force in 2017. It will tighten
the requirements for vessels
operated in the Arctic, ban the
discharge of oil and petroleum
products into the sea, restrict
other harmful emissions marine
environment. According to
specialists, this is only the
beginning for the elimination of
legal collisions in maritime law
and its improvement with regard
to swimming in the Arctic
waters.
 Climate change. Will it
bring more opportunities
for the Arctic? Will it
harm the Arctic?
 Russia has to find it’s
balance between
economic development
and environment
protection.
Social protection
and demographic policy
The Russian Federation is aimed at improving the quality of life
of the indigenous population and social conditions of economic
activities in the Arctic.
PR-agency «New Image». Since 1993
International Institute for Political
Expertise (IIPE). Since 2003
Government Relations agency
«Minchenko GR Consulting». Since
2007
Companies of the holding:
Communication Group
«Minchenko Consulting»
Our projects geography
Belarus;
Georgia;
European Union;
Kazakhstan;
Kyrgyzstan;
Moldova;
USA;
Uzbekistan;
Ukraine;
Turkmenistan;
Regions of Russian Federation: Republic of Bashkortostan, Sakha, Tatarstan,
Udmurtia, Khakassia, Krasnoyarsk, Perm, Primorye, Amur, Arkhangelsk,
Volgograd, Irkutsk, Kirov, Kurgan, Leningrad, Magadan, Moscow, Novgorod,
Orenburg, Pskov, Samara, Sverdlovsk, Tver, Tyumen, Nizhni Novgorod,
Chelyabinsk , the Yamal- Nenets autonomous region, the Chukotka autonomous
region, the Khanty-Mansi autonomous region, Saint-Petersburg and Moscow..
Communication Group
«Minchenko Consulting»
21 years in the market
of political consultation
Work experience in
various countries and
regions
More than 200
successful election
campaigns
Experience in
creating political
projects "from
scratch”
Author's technology
"political campaigns
scenario programming"
Communication Group
«Minchenko Consulting»
Board member of Russian Association of political consultants. Member of IAPC (International
Association of Political Consultants).
Rated TOP-10 & TOP-20 among Russian political consultants (according to “Vedomosti” newspaper
& “Obsсhaya Gazeta”).
First place for Minchenko consulting in the rank of major players in Russian political consulting
(according to “Kompaniya” magazine, 2011).
First place in popularity among political analysts rated by Russian journalists (survey of Znak.com,
2013).
Moscow State University, Faculty of World Politics, Lecturer.
Author of 2 books.
Evgeny Minchenko
Political analyst. Consultant. Lobbyist.
Graduate of Chelyabinsk State University in History
(1993), Russian Academy of State Service in Political
Psychology (1997).
In 1993 began career as a political consultant.
2004-2011 - advisor to the Chairman of State Duma
Anti-Corruption Committee, expert of Security and CIS
Countries Committees;
Since 2010 to 2012 - member of Public Council in the
Ministry of Industry and Trade and Expert Council of the
Ministry of Economic Development. Since 2014 -
member of Public Council in the Ministry of Energy.
MINCHENKO CONSULTING Communication Group
38, Bolshoy Tishinsky lane, office 730, 123557, Moscow, Russia
Phone: +7 (495) 605-3681 Fax: +7 (495) 605-3680
office@minchenko.ru
www.minchenko.ru
I research I analytics I PR I GR I geopolitical lobbying I

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Russia’s policy towards arctic territories 21.05

  • 2. Russia’s policy towards Arctic territories Official paper «Fundamentals of the Russian Federation's state policy in the Arctic for the period till 2020 and Beyond» (2008) establishes the following key features of the Arctic Region  remoteness from the main industrial centers;  high resource consumption and the dependence of economic activities and livelihoods of the population from fuel supplies, food and essential goods from other Russia’s regions;  low stability of ecological systems and their dependence even from minor anthropogenic effects.
  • 3. Russia’s policy towards Arctic territories  A comprehensive socio-economic development of the Russian Arctic;  The development of science and technology;  Creation of a modern information and telecommunication infrastructure;  To ensure environmental safety;  International cooperation in the Arctic;  Military security, defense and protection of the state border of the Russian Federation in the Arctic. Priorities: Official paper «The development strategy of the Russian Arctic and national security for the period until 2020» (2013) aims to fulfill earlier adopted state policy fundamentals
  • 4. Putin's vision  Long-term savings account. The Arctic is a key source of resources for future generations. It must be protected;  Arctic resources should have alternative supply routes in the context of the ongoing conflict with the West;  The territorial integrity of Russia is a key value. NOTE: place of Arctic issues in the political line is very flexible.
  • 5. Putin's view background  Short-term occupation of the northern Russian ports during the First World War and the Revolution (12 thousand soldiers under British command were deployed in the Murmansk and Arkhangelsk in 1918 and 1919 years);  Soviet experience in the centralized development of the industrial potential of the Arctic territories (the most successful projects were: Vorkuta, Norilsk and Novy Urengoy);  Controversial in terms of benefits agreement concluded by the former president Medvedev with Norway over the waters and shelf of the Barents Sea.
  • 6. How Putin’s vision is provided  Militarization. Capacity of hard power (the return of Soviet power) in the Arctic;  Isolationism. The policy of deterrence towards soft power of other Arctic states. Restrictions on the activities of foreign NGOs and associations of small nations;  Corporatism. Large corporations replace functions of the state (as they were understood in the USSR) in the Arctic territories. Such corporation as Rosneft and Novatek take on more and more responsibilities in the development of the Arctic, instead they receive more freedom of action in foreign and domestic markets.
  • 7. For information. The separation of the Barents Sea with Norway  Document: Agreement between the Russian Federation and the Kingdom of Norway on Maritime Delimitation and Cooperation in the Barents Sea and the Arctic Ocean. Date of ratification of the Treaty: 15 September 2010  Result: According to the agreement the disputed territory was divided equally between the parties, that is, Russia received 87.5 thousand km2. Norway and Russia finally settled the question of the disputed maritime areas of the Barents Sea. The dispute lasted for 40 years
  • 8. For information. Maps of territories The UN adopted version Positions of the parties
  • 9. Russian public opinion towards the Agreement PRO  The settlement of a large section of the Norwegian-Russian maritime border (1,700 km);  This is a necessary part for the implementation of the UN proposal of the Russian Federation in 2001 to recognize the Russian Arctic territories - 1 million 200 thousand square meters (around the Lomonosov Ridge);  The territories that have been transferred to Norway were originally controversial. Thus was the settlement of the territorial conflict;  А moratorium on the development of oil and gas deposits on the Arctic continental shelf was removed, and Russia won the right to develop hydrocarbon deposits in a previously disputed territory;  The agreement guaranteed the absence of rights of third countries on the production and use of resources in the disputed territory. Contra  60% of Russian fish catch is carried out in areas that have departed Norway;  Ratification of the treaty will trigger other powers to raise the territorial claims;  Ratification of the agreement will trigger other powers to declare territorial claims;  Waiver of rights to the waters around Spitsbergen;  In 2013, it was found that part of the continental shelf departed to Norway is rich with oil.
  • 10. Extraction of oil and minerals  In the sphere of socio-economic development policy aims at expanding the resource base of the Russian Arctic;  Arctic zone of the Russian Federation is considered as a strategic resource base of the country's development in the foreseeable future;  As for its further development, the Russian Arctic will increasingly be involved in international cooperation.
  • 11. Extraction of oil and minerals Arctic economic development was hit by the sanctions  Under sanctions, for example, Exxonmobil, which is actively boosted exploration in the Russian North has terminated its relationship with the companies "Gazprom", "Gazpromneft", "Lukoil", "Surgutneftegas" and "Rosneft“.  Biggest offshore project of Gazprom – Shtokman field gas field – was postponed.
  • 12. Military security, defense and protection  From official documents: «ensure favorable operational regime in the Russian Arctic region, including the maintenance of the required combat potential of troops (forces) general purpose of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, other troops, military formations and agencies in the region». The military part of the strategy becomes more important for now. But state resources are reduced.
  • 13. Building modern infrastructure Northern latitudinal road and railway Creating new Arctic seaport (a priority site - near city of Murmansk). New port has to maintain ships with a displacement of up to 300 thousand tons Start of production of a new series of nuclear-powered icebreakers called «Siberia» Widespread use of concessions on the model «Build – Transfer – Operate»
  • 14. The development of the Northern Sea Route (NSR)  According to official paper «Fundamentals of the Russian Federation's state policy in the Arctic for the period till 2020 and Beyond» (2008) Northern Sea Route is not mentioned as a clear aim, only as a national priority.  «…assisting in the organization and effective use of transit and cross-polar air routes in the Arctic, as well as in the use of the Northern Sea Route for international shipping under the jurisdiction of the Russian Federation and in accordance with international treaties of the Russian Federation».
  • 15. The development of the Northern Sea Route (NSR)  Administration of the Northern Sea Route was recreated in March of 2013 in order to organize the navigation of vessels, to ensure the safety of navigation and protection of the marine environment from pollution from ships in the waters of the NSR.
  • 16. Northern Sea Route Transit cargo According to experts, the fall in traffic is due to several factors: the decline in the profitability of oil production in the Arctic at the fall in oil prices, Western sanctions and doubts about the financial capabilities of Russia to operate the SMP. The volume of transit cargo 2013 2014 2015 1180 000 tons (other sources: 1 355 897 tons) 274 000 tons 39 000 tons
  • 17. Northern Sea Route Total cargo The bulk of the traffic along the Northern Sea Route (up to 85- 90%) now constitute the "Northern delivery", delivery of oil and gas resources of the Arctic and inter-port cabotage. 2014 2015 3 982 000 tons 5 431 700 tons Source of data: https://fedstat.ru/indicator/51479
  • 18. The development of the Northern Sea Route (NSR)  Infrastructural development of the NSR is scheduled for a public- private partnership.  The primary users the Northern Sea Route in Russia today are the "Norilsk Nickel", "Gazprom", "Lukoil", "Rosneft", "ROSSHELF". Potentially - "Novatek» (Yamal LNG).  The aggregate throughput capacity of port facilities along the Northern Sea Route is planned to more than double in the next 7-10 years.
  • 19. The development of the Northern Sea Route (NSR) There is no doubt that the Northern Sea Route will be used for transit:  a seasonal alternative to the Suez Canal;  focus on exclusively raw materials (this is what we extract ourselves from ourselves and are taking to the east);  all plans for the containers shipping are on the horizon in 2025. For more information please use http://www.kommersant.ru/doc/2655113
  • 20. The Northern Sea Route and international law Most interested in the use of the Northern Sea Route foreign states in favor of giving it an international status and for removal from the national jurisdiction of Russia. They want The Northern Sea Route to be opened to free navigation. The United States, in particular, insist on the principle of free navigation, historically regarded as an essential component of their national marine strategy.
  • 21. Priority partners of Russia in the Arctic Asia: China South Korea Japan Europe: Norway France Germany
  • 22. The ecological themes In May 2015 the International Maritime Organization (The UN) has completed work on the Polar Code, which will come into force in 2017. It will tighten the requirements for vessels operated in the Arctic, ban the discharge of oil and petroleum products into the sea, restrict other harmful emissions marine environment. According to specialists, this is only the beginning for the elimination of legal collisions in maritime law and its improvement with regard to swimming in the Arctic waters.  Climate change. Will it bring more opportunities for the Arctic? Will it harm the Arctic?  Russia has to find it’s balance between economic development and environment protection.
  • 23. Social protection and demographic policy The Russian Federation is aimed at improving the quality of life of the indigenous population and social conditions of economic activities in the Arctic.
  • 24. PR-agency «New Image». Since 1993 International Institute for Political Expertise (IIPE). Since 2003 Government Relations agency «Minchenko GR Consulting». Since 2007 Companies of the holding: Communication Group «Minchenko Consulting»
  • 25. Our projects geography Belarus; Georgia; European Union; Kazakhstan; Kyrgyzstan; Moldova; USA; Uzbekistan; Ukraine; Turkmenistan; Regions of Russian Federation: Republic of Bashkortostan, Sakha, Tatarstan, Udmurtia, Khakassia, Krasnoyarsk, Perm, Primorye, Amur, Arkhangelsk, Volgograd, Irkutsk, Kirov, Kurgan, Leningrad, Magadan, Moscow, Novgorod, Orenburg, Pskov, Samara, Sverdlovsk, Tver, Tyumen, Nizhni Novgorod, Chelyabinsk , the Yamal- Nenets autonomous region, the Chukotka autonomous region, the Khanty-Mansi autonomous region, Saint-Petersburg and Moscow.. Communication Group «Minchenko Consulting»
  • 26. 21 years in the market of political consultation Work experience in various countries and regions More than 200 successful election campaigns Experience in creating political projects "from scratch” Author's technology "political campaigns scenario programming" Communication Group «Minchenko Consulting»
  • 27. Board member of Russian Association of political consultants. Member of IAPC (International Association of Political Consultants). Rated TOP-10 & TOP-20 among Russian political consultants (according to “Vedomosti” newspaper & “Obsсhaya Gazeta”). First place for Minchenko consulting in the rank of major players in Russian political consulting (according to “Kompaniya” magazine, 2011). First place in popularity among political analysts rated by Russian journalists (survey of Znak.com, 2013). Moscow State University, Faculty of World Politics, Lecturer. Author of 2 books. Evgeny Minchenko Political analyst. Consultant. Lobbyist. Graduate of Chelyabinsk State University in History (1993), Russian Academy of State Service in Political Psychology (1997). In 1993 began career as a political consultant. 2004-2011 - advisor to the Chairman of State Duma Anti-Corruption Committee, expert of Security and CIS Countries Committees; Since 2010 to 2012 - member of Public Council in the Ministry of Industry and Trade and Expert Council of the Ministry of Economic Development. Since 2014 - member of Public Council in the Ministry of Energy.
  • 28. MINCHENKO CONSULTING Communication Group 38, Bolshoy Tishinsky lane, office 730, 123557, Moscow, Russia Phone: +7 (495) 605-3681 Fax: +7 (495) 605-3680 office@minchenko.ru www.minchenko.ru I research I analytics I PR I GR I geopolitical lobbying I