RISK
Simon Carley
EXERCISE 1
•

5 year old boy. Fall at school from playground
swing. ? KO’d few seconds.Vomited x4.

•

Appears tired.

•

Normal examination.
http://stemlynsblog.org/bumps-brains-andbarf/
“Risk proximity means how far away in time will the
risk occur (if it materializes), it can also mean when
will the risk occur.”
“Risk proximity means how far away in time will the
risk occur (if it materializes), it can also mean when
will the risk occur.
Risk proximity helps us focus on certain risks that
may occur soon, and ignore risks that cannot occur
in the near future. This will make risk management
more efficient.”
EXERCISE 2

•

What is risky?
•

Missing a myocardial infarction

•

Missing a PE.

•

Missing a #NOF.

•

Missing a # avulsion medial maleollus.

•

Missing a # pubic ramus.

•

Missing meningitis in a child.

•

Missing a SAH.

•

Missing strep tonsillitis.
Probability
of miss

Severity
of miss
Probability
of miss

Severity
of miss
Acceptable
miss

ankle
avulsion
#
Strep
tonsilliti
s

PE

pubic
ramus #
appendiciti
s

hip #
Meningiti
sSAH
Severity
of miss

Risk thought experiments.