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  Saturday , January 19, 2013

  Retail Competition, Asset Quality a Worry
  Publication: The Economic Times , Agency:Bureau 
  Edition:Pune/Mumbai , Page No: 12, Location: Bottom­Center , Size(sq.cms): 200 
  

Retail Competition, Asset Quality a Worry 
MECHA SARAF
ETINTELLICENCE GROUP

When it comes to HDFC Bank, there 
are hardly any surprises during the 
earnings season as analysts and in­
vestors have realised over the past 
few years. 
For the 35th consecutive quarter, 
HDFC Bank, India's third­largest pri­
vate lender, posted a 30% year­on­
year growth in its net profit, driven by 
a higher fee income, stable margins 
and robust asset quality. 
The bank's loan book expanded 24% 
year­on­year, supported by retail and 
corporate loans. However, the major 
contributor was retail loans, growing 
at 28 %. Auto loans and credit to 
mediu m   a n d   s m a l l   e n t e r p r i s e s  
(MSME), which constitute 40 % of 
the total portfolio, were the major 
drivers of the retail loan book. 

 
 
 

T h e   u n s e c u r e d   p o r t f o l i o­credit 
cards and personal loans business al­
so grew substantially. Its current and 
savings account or CASA ratio con­
tinued to be stable at 45.4%, helping 
the bank to maintain a stable cost of 
funds and margins. Net interest mar­
gin, which is the difference be 

CALCULUS
HDFC BANK 

tween yield on 
a d v a n c e s   a n d   

cost of deposits, was lower marginally 
from the last quarter. Still at 4.1%, it 
was within the 3.9­4.2% range as 
guided by the bank and continues to 
be one of the highest in the industry. 
Net interest income, or the difference 
between interest earned and interest 
s p e n t ,   w a s   s l i g h t l y   l o we r   t h a n  
expectations as loan growth was 
slightly lower than usual. However, 
higher fee income and sta­ 

ble provisioning helped the bank to 
compensate this slowdown and 
report a consistent bottom line 
growth. However, for the quarter to 
December, the bank showed some 
stress on asset quality Bad loans 
increased 14% sequen­ 

tially on an absolute basis. More than 
80% of this Rs.298 crore rise in bad 
loans can be attributed to retail 
assets, with 50% of it coming from the 
commercial vehicles and construction 
equipment segment. However, the bad 
loans­to­total loans (gross) ratio was 
just 1% and with a provisioning 
coverage ratio of 80% this is not a 
very serious concern. Almost all 
b a n k s   a r e   t a r g e t i n g   t h e  retail 
s e g m e n t   t o   s u p p o r t   l o a n  growth. 
Hence, HDFC Bank will also have to 
reckon with increased competition 
u n l e s s   i n v e s t m e n t   a c t i v i t y  picks 
up. Asset quality might also be under 
pressure, especially, in the retail 
segment. At Rs.662.70, HDFC Bank is 
trading at a price to book value of 4.5 
FY13. At this valuation, all the posi­
tives have already been factored in 
and there appears to be limited 
upside. 
megha.saraf@timesgroup.com

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