In our previous show we looked into the future of the US economy & stock market, & we gave viewers 4 assignments to dig deeper. In this episode we examine these 4 insights.
What we would like to consider is the price of taming inflation and how that will affect peoples, work, investments, and lives in the coming years.
https://youtu.be/0RuIunNvvKI
Fundamental analysis is the interpretation of statistical reports and economic indicators. Things like changes in interest rates, employment reports, and the latest inflation indicators all fall into the realm of fundamental analysis.
"Oil and the Economy" Economics Case studyNikhil Gupta
This Presentation will give an idea about the STAGFLATION occured in the USA in 1970's due to increasse of Oil prices as a result of formation of OPEC(Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries).
COVID costs of $5.2 trillion are colossal, exceeding the costs of World War II. Watch our 3/23/21 live broadcast at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A2Wy3YFr_VQ
The Stock Market Will Reconnect with the Economy. Then what?Ron Surz
• There are two reasons that the stock market is disconnected from the economy. Both have a high price tag.
• Ideally the economy will snap back, and the connection will be re-established that way, but it will still need to absorb an exorbitant amount of new money.
• The other way to reconnect is a market crash. Are you prepared?
• After the reconnect, be prepared for tax increases and inflation.
What we would like to consider is the price of taming inflation and how that will affect peoples, work, investments, and lives in the coming years.
https://youtu.be/0RuIunNvvKI
Fundamental analysis is the interpretation of statistical reports and economic indicators. Things like changes in interest rates, employment reports, and the latest inflation indicators all fall into the realm of fundamental analysis.
"Oil and the Economy" Economics Case studyNikhil Gupta
This Presentation will give an idea about the STAGFLATION occured in the USA in 1970's due to increasse of Oil prices as a result of formation of OPEC(Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries).
COVID costs of $5.2 trillion are colossal, exceeding the costs of World War II. Watch our 3/23/21 live broadcast at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A2Wy3YFr_VQ
The Stock Market Will Reconnect with the Economy. Then what?Ron Surz
• There are two reasons that the stock market is disconnected from the economy. Both have a high price tag.
• Ideally the economy will snap back, and the connection will be re-established that way, but it will still need to absorb an exorbitant amount of new money.
• The other way to reconnect is a market crash. Are you prepared?
• After the reconnect, be prepared for tax increases and inflation.
Ricardo V Lago -Interbank- Lima-22 04 2009 neiracar
Conferencia a la alta Gerencia de Intergroup en Lima el 22 de abril , 2009 sobre perspectivas de las economias mundial y peruana y oportunidades de inversion en bolsa
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Editor
Stefan Schneider
+49 69 910-31790
[email protected]
Technical Assistant
Pia Johnson
+49 69 910-31777
[email protected]
Deutsche Bank Research
Frankfurt am Main
Germany
Internet: www.dbresearch.com
E-mail: [email protected]
Fax: +49 69 910-31877
Managing Director
Norbert Walter
October 1, 2004 Current Issues
The U.S. balance of payments: wide-
spread misconceptions and exaggerated
worries
• The U.S. balance of payments is by far the most confusing and least
understood area of the U.S. economy. The confusion is centered around the
large and rapidly growing deficits. Indeed, the deficit on the current account of
the balance of payments rose to new records, both in absolute and relative
terms.
• These developments created worries and fears regarding the sustainability of
the external deficits. However, closer examination of the issue shows that the
worries and fears are exaggerated and, most importantly, there are no short-
and medium-term solutions because of a number of structural reasons.
Mieczyslaw Karczmar, +1 212 586-3397 ([email protected])
Economic Adviser to DB Research
Guest authors express their own opinions, which may not necessarily be those of Deutsche Bank
Research.
October 1, 2004 Current Issues
Economics 3
The U.S. balance of payments is by far the most confusing and least
understood area of the U.S. economy. The confusion is centered
around the large and rapidly growing deficits. Indeed, the deficit on
the current account of the balance of payments rose from USD 474
billion in 2002 to USD 531 billion in 2003 and is estimated to reach
over USD 600 billion in 2004 (see table 1). In relative terms, the
deficits amount to 4.5%, 4.9% and 5.3% of GDP, respectively, in
those years. Both in absolute and relative terms, these are all-time
records.
The sustainability of external deficits
Persistent and rising external deficits have attracted increasing at-
tention of politicians, economists and the media. Needless to say,
the deficits are generally viewed as highly negative for the U.S.
economy and U.S. financial conditions. The main points of concern
are:
• Rising foreign indebtedness that might create financial difficulties
over time.
• A potential massive dollar depreciation needed to rectify the
situation.
• In an extreme case, a financial crisis as foreigners refuse to fi-
nance U.S. deficits and switch their capital to other places.
The media, regardless of their political outlook, have been
commenting on the U.S. external deficits for quite some time,
spreading fear and predicting all sorts of calamities, which
apparently sells newspapers well. About five years ago, in the fall of
1999, The New York Times ran an article with a pointed headline:
“The United States sets a record for living beyond its means;” and a
Barron’s article talked about a current account crisis and a ticking
time bomb.
Had t.
The Great Depression - Presentation (Macroeconomics Perspective)Arjun Parekh
This brief presentation on 'The Great Depression' has been made from the point of view of understanding Macroeconomic factors that played an important role.
"Business and Market Cycles...We Are in Unique Times. How Are You Positioned?"Ed McCabe
TLF Capital's thoughts on the current business cycle and financial markets. Traditional wealth managers, who generally subscribe to some form of a generic asset allocation model throughout business and market cycles, may not be communicating current conditions, which we do find unique, clearly. We think it is a wise time for investors to think about their current asset allocation. We hope you find the presentation helpful and thought-provoking.
On the back of COVID19 consumption habits have drastically changed thereby impacting even the best made business plans globally. Normal everyday activities that we took for granted like going to work, schools and entertainment venues have come to a standstill as these now posed a potential risk to life.
Given the new realities, companies have seen consumption going down, individual savings going up and supply of goods and services become uncertain due to global supply chain issues, all of which have led to an increase in insecurity amongst the various stakeholders in the economy.
According to Morgan Stanley, Global Recession in 2020 is a base case scenario. A recession is often defined as a period of decline in economic activity like trade, industrial output and consumer spending. As a recession is inevitable, we looked at the economic and financial downturns and recoveries in the past century to look for similarities with today’s COVID19 crisis.
What we have done here:
1) Assessed this problem statement - COVID 19 has led us to a situation where we are in both a health as well as an economic crisis. Are there past recessions and crisis that we can look at to learn from?
2) Analyzed the two recessions that occurred in the 21st century by metrics like the economic and financial factors - how the GDP Growth and Unemployment were affected, how the financial markets reacted and how the sectoral recovery looked like?
3) Examined the Spanish Flu pandemic, the Roaring 20’s (a decade of massive expansion in the economy), and the Great Depression by metrics like the economic and financial factors
Partner With the Golden Life Community for Single Women Over 55Ron Surz
Here are some interesting statistics about baby boomers:
• 78 million baby boomers are worth $30 trillion. That’s plenty of people with lots of money for those ubiquitous senior housing communities.
• But there are no senior housing communities for 29 million single baby boomer ladies with a net worth of $12 trillion. There’s a HUGE opportunity to prosper by helping these ladies meet their unique needs.
So why aren’t there communities for single baby boomer ladies?
• They might violate fair housing discriminatory rules. We’ve addressed this.
• There’s no reason to segment them out. They’re perfectly happy living with men. Or are they?
Prepare for Our Perilous 2024 Economy: A WarningRon Surz
• Inflation is not over. We all see that in our everyday lives. The next wave will be torturous and will last a long time. The US cannot follow in Japan’s footsteps.
• The Federal Reserve (Fed) is bankrupt, hemorrhaging annual operating losses of $244 billion. It should allow market forces to set fair prices for stocks and bonds.
• The Fed should not pivot back to its Zero Interest Rate Policy (ZIRP). Instead, it should continue unwinding its unprecedented $8 trillion balance sheet.
Please watch our video on this topic and read our early warnings. Things have gotten worse.
Dealing with Dangers in the Economy and Stock Market Ron Surz
Please join us for this very important show. Investors, especially baby boomers, need to protect themselves. “Trust the Fed” is not good advice, nor is “stay the course.” Replays anytime after 2/22
Watch on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/100144354887536/posts/495743881994246/
Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RMhZInL5ttU
Watch on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/video/event/urn:li:ugcPost:6899746952225861632/
Pep Talk: Choosing the Best Pooled Employer Plan (PEP)Ron Surz
There are approximately 150 PEPs from which to choose so it’s complicated, but the most important differentiator narrows the search considerably. The best PEP has the safest Qualified Default Investment Alternative (QDIA). A safe QDIA is not the most popular because the most popular QDIAs are risky.
A PEP with a safe QDIA is an asset. A PEP with a risky QDIA could become a liability.
Many are declaring that 60/40 is a bad mix because bonds are riskier than they have ever been. But stocks are also extremely risky. Add likely inflation to the mix and it's big time scary. We'll discuss what do on 4/20/21 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PsKGK7IY9ls
When defined benefit plans were popular most retirees lived on a pension that was an annuity. That can still happen but today the retiree needs to sponsor the annuity, or (s)he can buy non-insured annuity-like investments
The Global Debt Crisis discussed on the Baby Boomer investing ShowRon Surz
The world is deep in debt and the pandemic is making it worse. Central banks are poking the bear, printing money like never before not knowing when too much will turn cash into trash.
Despite hopes to the contrary, the economic effects of the pandemic will continue for years and stock and bond markets will feel the consequences. Investors are dosing on Hopium but the effect is temporary.
This launches our 2nd season of the Baby Boomer Investing Show.
A Foreboding Outlook for the 2020s Stock MarketRon Surz
This launches the 2nd Season of the Baby Boomer Investing Show. The outlook is gloomy for the economy and the stock market in the decade of the 2020s. Forewarned is forearmed.
5 Ways Target Date Funds Could be Safer, SMARTer, & BetterRon Surz
Most target date funds are expected to suffer excessive losses at the target date in 3 years out of 20. But there are a few that actually protect. See how and why.
An interview with Larry Siegel, brilliant researcher and author of the popular book "Fewer, Richer, Greener." In previous episodes of the Baby Boomer Investing Show we warned boomers to protect thir investments. In this episode we appreciate where we've come.
What price will pi network be listed on exchangesDOT TECH
The rate at which pi will be listed is practically unknown. But due to speculations surrounding it the predicted rate is tends to be from 30$ — 50$.
So if you are interested in selling your pi network coins at a high rate tho. Or you can't wait till the mainnet launch in 2026. You can easily trade your pi coins with a merchant.
A merchant is someone who buys pi coins from miners and resell them to Investors looking forward to hold massive quantities till mainnet launch.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi vendor to trade with.
@Pi_vendor_247
how to sell pi coins in South Korea profitably.DOT TECH
Yes. You can sell your pi network coins in South Korea or any other country, by finding a verified pi merchant
What is a verified pi merchant?
Since pi network is not launched yet on any exchange, the only way you can sell pi coins is by selling to a verified pi merchant, and this is because pi network is not launched yet on any exchange and no pre-sale or ico offerings Is done on pi.
Since there is no pre-sale, the only way exchanges can get pi is by buying from miners. So a pi merchant facilitates these transactions by acting as a bridge for both transactions.
How can i find a pi vendor/merchant?
Well for those who haven't traded with a pi merchant or who don't already have one. I will leave the telegram id of my personal pi merchant who i trade pi with.
Tele gram: @Pi_vendor_247
#pi #sell #nigeria #pinetwork #picoins #sellpi #Nigerian #tradepi #pinetworkcoins #sellmypi
what is the future of Pi Network currency.DOT TECH
The future of the Pi cryptocurrency is uncertain, and its success will depend on several factors. Pi is a relatively new cryptocurrency that aims to be user-friendly and accessible to a wide audience. Here are a few key considerations for its future:
Message: @Pi_vendor_247 on telegram if u want to sell PI COINS.
1. Mainnet Launch: As of my last knowledge update in January 2022, Pi was still in the testnet phase. Its success will depend on a successful transition to a mainnet, where actual transactions can take place.
2. User Adoption: Pi's success will be closely tied to user adoption. The more users who join the network and actively participate, the stronger the ecosystem can become.
3. Utility and Use Cases: For a cryptocurrency to thrive, it must offer utility and practical use cases. The Pi team has talked about various applications, including peer-to-peer transactions, smart contracts, and more. The development and implementation of these features will be essential.
4. Regulatory Environment: The regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies is evolving globally. How Pi navigates and complies with regulations in various jurisdictions will significantly impact its future.
5. Technology Development: The Pi network must continue to develop and improve its technology, security, and scalability to compete with established cryptocurrencies.
6. Community Engagement: The Pi community plays a critical role in its future. Engaged users can help build trust and grow the network.
7. Monetization and Sustainability: The Pi team's monetization strategy, such as fees, partnerships, or other revenue sources, will affect its long-term sustainability.
It's essential to approach Pi or any new cryptocurrency with caution and conduct due diligence. Cryptocurrency investments involve risks, and potential rewards can be uncertain. The success and future of Pi will depend on the collective efforts of its team, community, and the broader cryptocurrency market dynamics. It's advisable to stay updated on Pi's development and follow any updates from the official Pi Network website or announcements from the team.
US Economic Outlook - Being Decided - M Capital Group August 2021.pdfpchutichetpong
The U.S. economy is continuing its impressive recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic and not slowing down despite re-occurring bumps. The U.S. savings rate reached its highest ever recorded level at 34% in April 2020 and Americans seem ready to spend. The sectors that had been hurt the most by the pandemic specifically reduced consumer spending, like retail, leisure, hospitality, and travel, are now experiencing massive growth in revenue and job openings.
Could this growth lead to a “Roaring Twenties”? As quickly as the U.S. economy contracted, experiencing a 9.1% drop in economic output relative to the business cycle in Q2 2020, the largest in recorded history, it has rebounded beyond expectations. This surprising growth seems to be fueled by the U.S. government’s aggressive fiscal and monetary policies, and an increase in consumer spending as mobility restrictions are lifted. Unemployment rates between June 2020 and June 2021 decreased by 5.2%, while the demand for labor is increasing, coupled with increasing wages to incentivize Americans to rejoin the labor force. Schools and businesses are expected to fully reopen soon. In parallel, vaccination rates across the country and the world continue to rise, with full vaccination rates of 50% and 14.8% respectively.
However, it is not completely smooth sailing from here. According to M Capital Group, the main risks that threaten the continued growth of the U.S. economy are inflation, unsettled trade relations, and another wave of Covid-19 mutations that could shut down the world again. Have we learned from the past year of COVID-19 and adapted our economy accordingly?
“In order for the U.S. economy to continue growing, whether there is another wave or not, the U.S. needs to focus on diversifying supply chains, supporting business investment, and maintaining consumer spending,” says Grace Feeley, a research analyst at M Capital Group.
While the economic indicators are positive, the risks are coming closer to manifesting and threatening such growth. The new variants spreading throughout the world, Delta, Lambda, and Gamma, are vaccine-resistant and muddy the predictions made about the economy and health of the country. These variants bring back the feeling of uncertainty that has wreaked havoc not only on the stock market but the mindset of people around the world. MCG provides unique insight on how to mitigate these risks to possibly ensure a bright economic future.
when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.DOT TECH
There is no set date for when Pi coins will enter the market.
However, the developers are working hard to get them released as soon as possible.
Once they are available, users will be able to exchange other cryptocurrencies for Pi coins on designated exchanges.
But for now the only way to sell your pi coins is through verified pi vendor.
Here is the telegram contact of my personal pi vendor
@Pi_vendor_247
What website can I sell pi coins securely.DOT TECH
Currently there are no website or exchange that allow buying or selling of pi coins..
But you can still easily sell pi coins, by reselling it to exchanges/crypto whales interested in holding thousands of pi coins before the mainnet launch.
Who is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone who buys pi coins from miners and resell to these crypto whales and holders of pi..
This is because pi network is not doing any pre-sale. The only way exchanges can get pi is by buying from miners and pi merchants stands in between the miners and the exchanges.
How can I sell my pi coins?
Selling pi coins is really easy, but first you need to migrate to mainnet wallet before you can do that. I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
Tele-gram.
@Pi_vendor_247
Currently pi network is not tradable on binance or any other exchange because we are still in the enclosed mainnet.
Right now the only way to sell pi coins is by trading with a verified merchant.
What is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone verified by pi network team and allowed to barter pi coins for goods and services.
Since pi network is not doing any pre-sale The only way exchanges like binance/huobi or crypto whales can get pi is by buying from miners. And a merchant stands in between the exchanges and the miners.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant. I and my friends has traded more than 6000pi coins successfully
Tele-gram
@Pi_vendor_247
Financial Assets: Debit vs Equity Securities.pptxWrito-Finance
financial assets represent claim for future benefit or cash. Financial assets are formed by establishing contracts between participants. These financial assets are used for collection of huge amounts of money for business purposes.
Two major Types: Debt Securities and Equity Securities.
Debt Securities are Also known as fixed-income securities or instruments. The type of assets is formed by establishing contracts between investor and issuer of the asset.
• The first type of Debit securities is BONDS. Bonds are issued by corporations and government (both local and national government).
• The second important type of Debit security is NOTES. Apart from similarities associated with notes and bonds, notes have shorter term maturity.
• The 3rd important type of Debit security is TRESURY BILLS. These securities have short-term ranging from three months, six months, and one year. Issuer of such securities are governments.
• Above discussed debit securities are mostly issued by governments and corporations. CERTIFICATE OF DEPOSITS CDs are issued by Banks and Financial Institutions. Risk factor associated with CDs gets reduced when issued by reputable institutions or Banks.
Following are the risk attached with debt securities: Credit risk, interest rate risk and currency risk
There are no fixed maturity dates in such securities, and asset’s value is determined by company’s performance. There are two major types of equity securities: common stock and preferred stock.
Common Stock: These are simple equity securities and bear no complexities which the preferred stock bears. Holders of such securities or instrument have the voting rights when it comes to select the company’s board of director or the business decisions to be made.
Preferred Stock: Preferred stocks are sometime referred to as hybrid securities, because it contains elements of both debit security and equity security. Preferred stock confers ownership rights to security holder that is why it is equity instrument
<a href="https://www.writofinance.com/equity-securities-features-types-risk/" >Equity securities </a> as a whole is used for capital funding for companies. Companies have multiple expenses to cover. Potential growth of company is required in competitive market. So, these securities are used for capital generation, and then uses it for company’s growth.
Concluding remarks
Both are employed in business. Businesses are often established through debit securities, then what is the need for equity securities. Companies have to cover multiple expenses and expansion of business. They can also use equity instruments for repayment of debits. So, there are multiple uses for securities. As an investor, you need tools for analysis. Investment decisions are made by carefully analyzing the market. For better analysis of the stock market, investors often employ financial analysis of companies.
Poonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank Introduce New Co-Branded Credit Cardnickysharmasucks
The unveiling of the IndusInd Bank Poonawalla Fincorp eLITE RuPay Platinum Credit Card marks a notable milestone in the Indian financial landscape, showcasing a successful partnership between two leading institutions, Poonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank. This co-branded credit card not only offers users a plethora of benefits but also reflects a commitment to innovation and adaptation. With a focus on providing value-driven and customer-centric solutions, this launch represents more than just a new product—it signifies a step towards redefining the banking experience for millions. Promising convenience, rewards, and a touch of luxury in everyday financial transactions, this collaboration aims to cater to the evolving needs of customers and set new standards in the industry.
The European Unemployment Puzzle: implications from population agingGRAPE
We study the link between the evolving age structure of the working population and unemployment. We build a large new Keynesian OLG model with a realistic age structure, labor market frictions, sticky prices, and aggregate shocks. Once calibrated to the European economy, we quantify the extent to which demographic changes over the last three decades have contributed to the decline of the unemployment rate. Our findings yield important implications for the future evolution of unemployment given the anticipated further aging of the working population in Europe. We also quantify the implications for optimal monetary policy: lowering inflation volatility becomes less costly in terms of GDP and unemployment volatility, which hints that optimal monetary policy may be more hawkish in an aging society. Finally, our results also propose a partial reversal of the European-US unemployment puzzle due to the fact that the share of young workers is expected to remain robust in the US.
Even tho Pi network is not listed on any exchange yet.
Buying/Selling or investing in pi network coins is highly possible through the help of vendors. You can buy from vendors[ buy directly from the pi network miners and resell it]. I will leave the telegram contact of my personal vendor.
@Pi_vendor_247
how to sell pi coins effectively (from 50 - 100k pi)DOT TECH
Anywhere in the world, including Africa, America, and Europe, you can sell Pi Network Coins online and receive cash through online payment options.
Pi has not yet been launched on any exchange because we are currently using the confined Mainnet. The planned launch date for Pi is June 28, 2026.
Reselling to investors who want to hold until the mainnet launch in 2026 is currently the sole way to sell.
Consequently, right now. All you need to do is select the right pi network provider.
Who is a pi merchant?
An individual who buys coins from miners on the pi network and resells them to investors hoping to hang onto them until the mainnet is launched is known as a pi merchant.
debuts.
I'll provide you the Telegram username
@Pi_vendor_247
BYD SWOT Analysis and In-Depth Insights 2024.pptxmikemetalprod
Indepth analysis of the BYD 2024
BYD (Build Your Dreams) is a Chinese automaker and battery manufacturer that has snowballed over the past two decades to become a significant player in electric vehicles and global clean energy technology.
This SWOT analysis examines BYD's strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats as it competes in the fast-changing automotive and energy storage industries.
Founded in 1995 and headquartered in Shenzhen, BYD started as a battery company before expanding into automobiles in the early 2000s.
Initially manufacturing gasoline-powered vehicles, BYD focused on plug-in hybrid and fully electric vehicles, leveraging its expertise in battery technology.
Today, BYD is the world’s largest electric vehicle manufacturer, delivering over 1.2 million electric cars globally. The company also produces electric buses, trucks, forklifts, and rail transit.
On the energy side, BYD is a major supplier of rechargeable batteries for cell phones, laptops, electric vehicles, and energy storage systems.
Rest of story: 4 Insights Into the Economy & Stock Market
1. And Now the Rest
of the Story
4 Important
Insights About the
Economy & Stock
Market
Paul Harvey
2. Season 2, Episode 1: The Future of the
Economy & Stock Market
Fragile Economy Stock Market Bubble
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jbEgLesNWz8
3. 4
Assignments
• Dr. Lawrence Kotlikoff, Boston U, on US Debt
• Monetizing the Monetary Base: Printing
Money
• Peak Prosperity Reports
• Smoot Hawley Tariff Act of 1930
14. Why the 2020s
will disappoint:
(1) Economic Struggles
(2) Stock Market
Overpriced
Bubble
Bubble will burst. Stocks will lose 1% per year in the decade of the 2020s.
17. Boomers are in the Risk Zone
And
Like a Target Date Fund
The youngest boomer (born in 1964) entered the Risk
Zone this year and will exit in 2040
18. Get help: Support Us <HERE> on Patreon
This presentation is available on SlideShare
Browse to “Age Sage Robo” for self help & to assess the wisdom of the consulting advice
you’ve received. Get your free eBooks on “Bad Gambles” & “4 Pillars of Smart Investing.”
Browse to ”GlidePath Wealth Management” for consulting help. Get your
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Contact Ron Surz Ron@PPCA-Inc.com
