RESEARCH PROJECT INTERN GIS
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This research poster presentation analyzes the relationship between shootings, assaults, and thefts with the location of liquor stores, schools, food establishments, and tax delinquencies in Howard County, Maryland from 2005 to 2015. The results show that liquor stores are positively associated with increased shootings and assaults, while schools are also positively associated with increased assaults. Additionally, tax delinquencies are positively related to increased thefts, but liquor stores have an insignificant impact on thefts.
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RESEARCH PROJECT INTERN GIS
- 1. RESEARCH POSTER PRESENTATION DESIGN © 2015 1. How are Shootings related to the location of liquor stores and food establishments in Howard County? 2. How are Assaults related to the location of liquor stores and schools in Howard County? 3. How do the location of liquor stores and number of tax delinquencies effect the number of Thefts that occur in Howard County? RESEARCH QUESTIONS BACKGROUND RESEARCH CHOROPLETH MAP: SHOOTINGS, 2005- 2015 HOTSPOT ANALYSIS: SHOOTINGS, 2005- 2015 SUMMARY OF OLS RESULTS: SHOOTINGS CONCLUSION Thefts: – Liquor stores impact based on thefts is insignificant – Tax delinquencies are positively associated with increase Thefts in Howard County Assaults: – liquor store positively associated with increase assaults in Howard County – Schools are positively associated with increase assaults in Howard County Shootings: – liquor store positively associated with increase shootings in Howard County – Food Establishments positively associated with increase shootings in Howard County “With a GeoArchive data set of police, census and liquor license information from January to June 1993, we identify the densest concentrations (Hot Spot Areas) of places, events occurring at those places, and incidents occurring in the surrounding areas.” “The high-crime levels at these places reflect the general crime pattern of the area. A program of intensive police and citizen patrols to reduce street crime in such an area is currently being evaluated.” University of Maryland, College Park Vahid Zahiri & David Connor Campbell Howard County: Shooting, Assault and Theft Analysis METHOD Independent Variables: Shootings, Assaults, & Thefts Dependent Variables: Liquor Stores, Schools, Food Establishments, and Tax Delinquencies Software: ArcMap and Microsoft Excel Data Source: Howard County CHOROPLETH MAP: ASSAULTS, 2005-2015 CHOROPLETH MAP: THEFTS, 2005-2015 HOTSPOT ANALYSIS: ASSAULTS, 2005-2015 HOTSPOT ANALYSIS: THEFTS, 2005-2015 Variable Coefficient Stand Error t-Statistic Probability Intercept 0.76 0.026063 28.6 0.000000* Liquor Licenses 0.45 0.052126 8.6 0.000000* Food Establishm ents 0.43 0.027882 15.5 0.000000* SUMMARY OF OLS RESULTS: THEFTS SUMMARY OF OLS RESULTS: ASSAULTS Variable Coefficient Stand Error t-Statistic Probability Intercept 8.8 0.58 15.3 0.000000* Liquor Licenses 29.5 4.8 6.2 0.000000* Schools 32.5 1.04 31.1 0.000000* Variable Coefficient Stand Error t-Statistic Probabilit y Intercept 2.7 0.18 15.2 0.000000* Liquor Licenses 0.26 0.65 0.4 0.398034 Tax Delinquent properties 9.3 0.32 28.8 0.000000*