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RICS Research



Real Estate and Construction
Professionals in India by 2020
Sachin Sandhir
Managing Director, RICS South Asia
1   Introduction to RICS and the built environment

2   Key findings of RICS Research

3   A look at professionals working in this sector

4   Career Opportunities
Introduction to RICS and
the built environment
About RICS


RICS is the world’s leading self regulatory
professional body for qualifications and standards in
land, property, construction and associated
environment issues
                    • RICS – Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors, is an
                      independent organisation, headquartered in London and
                      governed by a Royal Charter, which requires it to work in
                      public interest.
                    • Since 1868, RICS has been committed to setting and upholding
                      the highest standards of excellence and integrity.
                    • RICS helps to set, maintain, and regulate standards in land,
                      property and construction as well as provide impartial advice
                      to governments and policymakers
                    • Membership is awarded to individuals who are prepared to
                      maintain exemplary standards and guarantee the highest
                      quality advice and service
                    • Over 150,000 members in 146 countries, with an extensive
                      network of regional offices located worldwide
What does the RICS do?




                      Specialized        Institutionalizing    Policy advice on
Qualifying skilled
                       education           professional         regulation and
 professionals
                        courses             standards            other reforms

          Leading the       Institutionalization        Bringing in
        debate on major       of international         international
        industry issues        best practices       technical expertise
What do we mean by “Built Environment”
Collective group of land, property and construction
In other words, real estate, construction and infrastructure put together
RICS and built environment specializations


  Building             Building     Quantity Surveying                                 Minerals and
                                                         Geomatics      Environment
  Surveying            Control        Construction                                        Waste


                             Planning and        Arts and         Dispute
              Rural                                                              Machinery
                             Development         Antiques        Resolution


                       Facilities                        Management
  Commercial                            Residential                       Valuation
                      Management                         Consultancy
Indian real estate & construction sector is riddled with many
issues but ‘lack of adequate professional skills’ has remained
under estimated as a serious problem
                          Regulatory &
                          legal hurdles




    No regulation or                        Lack of market data
    consumer redress                            & transparency



             Workforce                     Unorganized
             shortage                           market



                           Land values
                           & acquisition
RICS commissioned a research to understand what is the likely
demand-supply situation of professional skills in India

•   How many professionals are employed in this sector currently?
•   What is the potential demand for real estate in India in the coming years?
•   What is the trickle-down impact in terms of number of professionals required per
    unit area of developed real estate space?
•   What kind of productivity enhancement will professionals achieve every year?
•   What is the total estimated demand for professionals over the next decade?
•   What kind of professionals and skill-sets are required?
•   What is the current and estimated future supply of these select disciplines in India?
•   What is the estimated demand-supply gap for professionals from these select
    disciplines for the period 2010- 2020?
•   In case a demand-supply gap exists, what are the potential remedial measures that
    may need to be taken to address this gap?
Key findings of RICS Research
- Real Estate & Construction
Professionals by 2020
Growth of built environment

Since 2001, the built environment has
contributed nearly 17.5% to the country’s GDP
• On an average, real estate contributes 8% while construction contributes 9.5%
• Both real estate (19.5% CAGR) and construction (CAGR 18.3%) have
  witnessed tremendous growth since 2001
                                                       • In 2011, built environment
                                                         contribution was ~USD235
                                                         billion (17.4% of GDP)
                                                       • US, Australian and Japanese
                                                         built environment have
                                                         contributed ~15% to 18% of
                                                         the overall GDP on an
                                                         average
                                                       • Observing international as
                                                         well as historic trends, the
                                                         future contribution of the
                                                         sector is likely to stabilize
                                                         between 17% – 18% of the
                                                         country’s total output
Population growth in India


By 2020, India’s population is estimated to increase to
1.38 billion, with 500 million (36%) of urban population

  This increase in population is
   estimated to generate
   unprecedented demand for
   quality real estate and
   infrastructure
  The shift to cities and urban
   agglomerations implies
   potential demand for quality
   real estate and extensive
   supporting infrastructure
   services in urban areas.                    123 million
  ~123 million of additional
   urban population is likely to
   require professional assistance
   for construction of houses
Working population

97 million jobs will be added in next 10 years as nearly
42% of the population is expected to work across
service and industrial sectors
 In 2020, the workforce participation
  rate will increase to 42%, with 585
  million working population –
  implying net increase of 97 million
 By 2020, 27% of the total workforce
  (42%) is likely to be employed in the
  services sector – which is expected      242
                                                                      265
                                                                                                                   585
                                                                                               488
  to grow at 2% CAGR – implying an
  addition of almost 36 million jobs
  over a span of one decade
                                                                      106
                                           79                                                                      156
 Another 27% of total workforce is                                                            120

  likely to be employed in industrial      53                         86                       101                 156
  sector – expected to grow at 4%         1993-94                    2005-06                  2009-10             2020-21
  CAGR - with an anticipated addition            Industrial Sector          Services Sector      Primary Sector
  of almost 51 million jobs
Potential demand for real estate space

India may therefore need to potentially build an
average of 8.7 billion of real estate space every year –
adding up to a whopping 95 billion over 2010-20
                                  Annual incremental demand estimated across sectors - 2011
An estimated annual
requirement in the range
of 7.3 billion sq. ft (2011)
to 10.15 billion sq. ft
(2020) of real estate space

Over 85% of the potential
requirement in residential
and industrial categories




Huge demand for                Total estimated demand for real estate 2010 – 2020 (in million sq ft)
professionals to build
and deliver this
potential demand!!
Potential demand for infrastructure

Planned infrastructure investment of 500 million USD
over 2007-12 and 1 trillion USD over 2013-17 will mean
quantum jumps in requirement of built environment
professionals
 ~500 billion USD of
  infrastructure investments in
  11th Five Year Plan – double
  of the 10th plan
 ~1 trillion USD likely in 12th
  Five Year Plan – double of
  11th plan
 Nearly 70% of the total
  demand of core
  professionals are likely to be
  employed in infrastructure
  sector which contributes
  approximately 76% of the
  construction GDP in India
Total supply of professionals - 2011


Current supply in built environment comprises of
nearly 50 million people, of which only 2 million are
professionally qualified while remaining are workers
    Estimated Supply of Professionals and Workers in Built Environment – 2011 (in ‘000s)
Civil engineers

As of 2011, India has a total supply of 533,000 civil
engineers and only 27,000 are being added every year
– against an annual demand of ~4 million
                                                          ~1.1 million demand towards real estate and
~85.5% shortage                                           3 million demand towards infrastructure




No. of educational     1,668
institutes
Annual education       11,972
capacity in 2001
Annual education       34,363
capacity in 2009
Growth in seats        14% CAGR

Total supply in 2011   533,000

Annual increase in     27,000
supply
Average supply per     642,000    Average demand per year 2010-20     ~4 million
year 2010-20
                                  Cumulative demand over 2010-20      ~40 million

                                  Cumulative d/s gap over 2010-20     ~39.4 million
Significant gaps in skill-sets expected to be
possessed by civil engineers
Architects

 As of 2011, we had a total supply of 49,000 architects
 and only 3,800 are being added every year – against an
 annual demand of 396,000 ~119,000 demand towards real estate and
                              ~ 277,000 demand towards infrastructure

~85% shortage



No. of educational     177
institutes
Annual education       1,712
capacity in 2001
Annual education       4,213
capacity in 2009
Growth in seats        12% CAGR

Total supply in 2011   49,000

Annual increase in     3,800
supply
Average supply per     65,000     Average demand       396,000
year 2010-20                      per year 2010-20
                                  Cumulative demand    3.7 million

                                  Cumulative d/s gap   3.6 million
Planners

By 2011, there was a total supply of 16,000 planners
and only 616 are being added every year – against an
annual demand of 119,000 ~36,000 demand towards real estate and
                             ~ 83,000 demand towards infrastructure

~85% shortage



No. of educational     21
institutes
Annual education       614
capacity in 2001
Annual education       684
capacity in 2009
Growth in seats        1% CAGR

Total supply in 2011   16,000

Annual increase in     616
supply
Average supply per     18,000    Average demand       119,000
year 2010-20                     per year 2010-20
                                 Cumulative demand    1.3 million

                                 Cumulative d/s gap   1.1 million
Non core professionals


The estimated supply of non core professionals in the
built environment sector is nearly 3 times the supply
of core professionals.
Demonstrates that ‘non core professionals’ are being drawn into the sector to
compensate for the shortage of ‘core professionals’

Total supply in 2011 (in ‘000s)    Cumulative supply of non core professionals in built environment (in ‘000s)




                                  Without sector specific training, these
                                  professionals fall short of the desired skill sets
                                  …a large part of this ‘non core professionals’ needs to
                                  be trained on the real estate, construction and
                                  infrastructure sectors, to convert them into ‘specialized’
                                  professionals
Specialisation necessary to enhance skills and productivity

Both core and
non core
professionals
working in built
environment need
training on
specific skill-sets
to branch out into
specialised
professions –
indicated in this
figure
Specialized professionals


  New demand for specialized professions is now
  emerging in order to enhance professional expertise
  and improve productivity in this fast paced sector
                                                                     Total Demand (in ‘000s)
                     Facilities Managers
                                                                                                         88    98
                                                                                                    78


                                                                             26 29   33
                                                               18   21
                                                          16


                                                        FM - Management    FM - Executive      FM - Technician
Quantity Surveyors                                                        2010       2015           2020




                                                                    Property Valuers
                        Total Demand (in ‘000s)
                                                                                      Total Demand (in ‘000s)
                                           97
                                   82                                                                             182
                            70
                                                                                                         143
                                                                                              112



                            Quantity Surveyors
                          2010      2015         2020
                                                                                                     Valuers
                                                                                            2010           2015         2020
Professionals specializing in sustainability inventions in planning, architecture and engineering




                                                   Sustainable engineering
    Sustainable planning
                                                                                          Sustainable architecture

                                                      Total Demand (in ‘000s)
              Total Demand (in ‘000s)
                                                                             300
                                   27
                                                                    284
                           25
                                                            270
                   24                                                                       Total Demand (in ‘000s)

                                                       Sustainability - Civil engineers                          69
                Sustainability - Planners
                                                         2010         2015         2020                  67
                2010        2015            2020
                                                                                                 65



                                                                                             Sustainability - Architects
                                                                                              2010        2015         2020
Core professionals



If we were to continue with an as-is scenario


              with current productivity          where capacity of educational
              and skill sets possessed           institutes is not increased from
              by core professionals              the actual capacity in 2009




By 2020…      India will need over       But..   will be able to produce
              5 million civil engineers,         less than 1 million of
              architects and planners            these professionals


…and end up with a cumulative demand supply
gap of a staggering 44 million!!
Existing shortage of professionals is poised to
become a threat for the high growth of real estate,
construction and infrastructure sectors in India
Potential impact….
    Recruitment difficulties = firms will find it more difficult to recruit and retain staff
    Increased cost of human resource, adversely impacting development costs and
     profitability of operations
    Inability to complete tasks efficiently in a time-bound manner = lower production
     levels and delay of new projects = economic loss
    Skill gaps in domestic manpower = import of talent at higher costs
    Sub-standard quality of construction as compared to the global products =
     accidents and man made disasters
The road ahead and our
recommendations
2020


              The road ahead…

              •   Increase educational capacity to increase
                  quantum of annual supply
              •   Up skill existing core and non core
                  professionals in specific skill sets to improve
                  productivity
              •   Encourage collaboration with foreign
                  universities and faculty for both of above




       2010
Recommendations

The education and professional development system
for this sector has not kept pace with the economic
growth and is therefore in dire need for reform
Inadequate number of colleges/seats      Failure to keep up-to date with constant
                                         introduction of new technologies
Orthodox academic structures with
limited room to adapt to innovation       Availability of better pay scales in
and market needs                          other fields and countries

Curriculum does not explicitly capture   Lack of adequate number of training
emerging specialised skill set           programs for professionals already in the
requirements                             discipline


Lack of adequately trained faculty       Lack of formalized incentive structures for
that is aware of latest and              these professionals to work towards their
emerging technologies                    continued professional enhancement
Recommendations

  A cohesive approach across all stakeholders is
  recommended to increase annual supply of professionals
  and address skill-set gaps in existing manpower
                                    • Adopt a practice oriented
                                      strategy for education


• Enhance regulatory
  framework

• Encourage skill                              • Set professional
  development through                            competency standards
  dedicated institutions,
                                               • Ensure the profession
  better incentivisation and
  friendly policies                              stays at the forefront and
                                                 adapts to changing
                                                 needs
• Demand-led employer
  engagement in skills

• Embed a culture of learning
  integrating employment and
  skills
Recommendations


Key action areas recommended across stakeholders
                     Improvement in the regulatory framework and enabling policies
                        Setting up of centers’ of excellence with some PPP in higher education
 Government             Set up an independent accreditation and regulation system
                        Consider passing ‘Foreign Institutions Entry and Operations Bill 2007’
                        implement a training and certification program
                     Strengthening skill development effort
                     Allocate funds and incentivize skill development in critical areas

                     Collaboration and knowledge sharing with academia and professional bodies
                      to facilitate development of skill sets inline with demand
 Private sector      Encourage internships and development of interns
                     Invest in continuous professional training and development of staff
                     Encourage accreditation with professional or qualifying bodies
                     Adoption of sophisticated and innovative tools and expertise

                     Review and update existing course curriculum
   Academic          Introduce new courses that offer options for specialization
  Institutions       Promote careers in built environment
                     Introduce steps to improve quality of teaching faculty
                     Drive a more global-centric education curriculum for built environment
Annexure: Research Methodology
Methodology
    Next step…forecasting growth of the sector and
    estimating potential demand for real estate space and
    infrastructure to cater to growing population

    Growth of the Built         • Indian GDP and built environment – historic trends
1
    Environment sector          • International trends of 4 countries


                                • Increasing urbanisation leading to urban housing
                                  needs
2   Potential demand for real   • Workforce participation leading to commercial &
    estate space                  industrial space
                                • Increasing population in India – growing need for
                                  hospitals, education infrastructure & similar civic
                                  amenities

                                • Investments in building infrastructure
3
    Planned investments in
    infrastructure
                                • Relationship between infrastructure and
                                  construction GDP
4
    Typical project life cycle and   …followed by a study of the
    type of skills required
                                     skills required across different
                                     stages

                                      Types of skill-sets required




                                         Types of professionals
5
    Types of professionals required     …and defining broad
    to deliver the future real estate
    and infrastructure                  categories of professionals
                                        involved in all these stages
6        Demand / Supply estimates               …followed by a detailed estimation
                                                 of the demand and supply situation
                                                 across all categories
         CORE              • Organised professions - Civil engineers, architects and planners
    a
         PROFESSIONALS     • Demand analysis - based on real estate space to be built and productivity
                             of each professional
                           • Supply based on the new professionals graduating every year
                           • Two level d/s gap analysis – quantum and skill-set

        NON - CORE         • Work across sectors – management, law, finance etc
b                          • Total professionals graduating every year
        PROFESSIONALS
                           • Supply analysis - assumptions on % of such professionals working in built
                             environment
                           • Skill-set gap analysis

        SPECIALISED        • Highly specialised in built environment
c
        PROFESSIONALS      • New and emerging
                           • Demand analysis - based on real estate space to be built and productivity
                             of each professional
                           • Skill-set gap analysis

                            • Lesser focus within this research
d       WORKERS             • Future employment estimated based on historical trends
Assumptions
Key assumptions being that the population and
demand for real estate space continues to grow while
the education capacity remains stagnant as of 2009

•   Population will grow @ 1.50% (average over 2001-08) per year as per historical trends
•   Urban population will increase by CAGR of 2.88% (as witnessed over 1991 – 2011)
•   Workforce participation rate will grow at a CAGR of 1.67% (as witnessed over 1993-94 to 2005-06)
•   Per capita requirement of real estate space (SF) assumed as established in secondary sources




                                             Detailed estimates
                                             available in report




•   Capacity of seats in educational institutions remains stagnant as of 2009
•   Assumptions of certain % of non core professionals employed in the sector

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Real estate & construction professionals in india by 2020

  • 1. RICS Research Real Estate and Construction Professionals in India by 2020 Sachin Sandhir Managing Director, RICS South Asia
  • 2. 1 Introduction to RICS and the built environment 2 Key findings of RICS Research 3 A look at professionals working in this sector 4 Career Opportunities
  • 3. Introduction to RICS and the built environment
  • 4. About RICS RICS is the world’s leading self regulatory professional body for qualifications and standards in land, property, construction and associated environment issues • RICS – Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors, is an independent organisation, headquartered in London and governed by a Royal Charter, which requires it to work in public interest. • Since 1868, RICS has been committed to setting and upholding the highest standards of excellence and integrity. • RICS helps to set, maintain, and regulate standards in land, property and construction as well as provide impartial advice to governments and policymakers • Membership is awarded to individuals who are prepared to maintain exemplary standards and guarantee the highest quality advice and service • Over 150,000 members in 146 countries, with an extensive network of regional offices located worldwide
  • 5. What does the RICS do? Specialized Institutionalizing Policy advice on Qualifying skilled education professional regulation and professionals courses standards other reforms Leading the Institutionalization Bringing in debate on major of international international industry issues best practices technical expertise
  • 6. What do we mean by “Built Environment” Collective group of land, property and construction In other words, real estate, construction and infrastructure put together
  • 7. RICS and built environment specializations Building Building Quantity Surveying Minerals and Geomatics Environment Surveying Control Construction Waste Planning and Arts and Dispute Rural Machinery Development Antiques Resolution Facilities Management Commercial Residential Valuation Management Consultancy
  • 8. Indian real estate & construction sector is riddled with many issues but ‘lack of adequate professional skills’ has remained under estimated as a serious problem Regulatory & legal hurdles No regulation or Lack of market data consumer redress & transparency Workforce Unorganized shortage market Land values & acquisition
  • 9. RICS commissioned a research to understand what is the likely demand-supply situation of professional skills in India • How many professionals are employed in this sector currently? • What is the potential demand for real estate in India in the coming years? • What is the trickle-down impact in terms of number of professionals required per unit area of developed real estate space? • What kind of productivity enhancement will professionals achieve every year? • What is the total estimated demand for professionals over the next decade? • What kind of professionals and skill-sets are required? • What is the current and estimated future supply of these select disciplines in India? • What is the estimated demand-supply gap for professionals from these select disciplines for the period 2010- 2020? • In case a demand-supply gap exists, what are the potential remedial measures that may need to be taken to address this gap?
  • 10. Key findings of RICS Research - Real Estate & Construction Professionals by 2020
  • 11. Growth of built environment Since 2001, the built environment has contributed nearly 17.5% to the country’s GDP • On an average, real estate contributes 8% while construction contributes 9.5% • Both real estate (19.5% CAGR) and construction (CAGR 18.3%) have witnessed tremendous growth since 2001 • In 2011, built environment contribution was ~USD235 billion (17.4% of GDP) • US, Australian and Japanese built environment have contributed ~15% to 18% of the overall GDP on an average • Observing international as well as historic trends, the future contribution of the sector is likely to stabilize between 17% – 18% of the country’s total output
  • 12. Population growth in India By 2020, India’s population is estimated to increase to 1.38 billion, with 500 million (36%) of urban population  This increase in population is estimated to generate unprecedented demand for quality real estate and infrastructure  The shift to cities and urban agglomerations implies potential demand for quality real estate and extensive supporting infrastructure services in urban areas. 123 million  ~123 million of additional urban population is likely to require professional assistance for construction of houses
  • 13. Working population 97 million jobs will be added in next 10 years as nearly 42% of the population is expected to work across service and industrial sectors  In 2020, the workforce participation rate will increase to 42%, with 585 million working population – implying net increase of 97 million  By 2020, 27% of the total workforce (42%) is likely to be employed in the services sector – which is expected 242 265 585 488 to grow at 2% CAGR – implying an addition of almost 36 million jobs over a span of one decade 106 79 156  Another 27% of total workforce is 120 likely to be employed in industrial 53 86 101 156 sector – expected to grow at 4% 1993-94 2005-06 2009-10 2020-21 CAGR - with an anticipated addition Industrial Sector Services Sector Primary Sector of almost 51 million jobs
  • 14. Potential demand for real estate space India may therefore need to potentially build an average of 8.7 billion of real estate space every year – adding up to a whopping 95 billion over 2010-20 Annual incremental demand estimated across sectors - 2011 An estimated annual requirement in the range of 7.3 billion sq. ft (2011) to 10.15 billion sq. ft (2020) of real estate space Over 85% of the potential requirement in residential and industrial categories Huge demand for Total estimated demand for real estate 2010 – 2020 (in million sq ft) professionals to build and deliver this potential demand!!
  • 15. Potential demand for infrastructure Planned infrastructure investment of 500 million USD over 2007-12 and 1 trillion USD over 2013-17 will mean quantum jumps in requirement of built environment professionals  ~500 billion USD of infrastructure investments in 11th Five Year Plan – double of the 10th plan  ~1 trillion USD likely in 12th Five Year Plan – double of 11th plan  Nearly 70% of the total demand of core professionals are likely to be employed in infrastructure sector which contributes approximately 76% of the construction GDP in India
  • 16. Total supply of professionals - 2011 Current supply in built environment comprises of nearly 50 million people, of which only 2 million are professionally qualified while remaining are workers Estimated Supply of Professionals and Workers in Built Environment – 2011 (in ‘000s)
  • 17. Civil engineers As of 2011, India has a total supply of 533,000 civil engineers and only 27,000 are being added every year – against an annual demand of ~4 million ~1.1 million demand towards real estate and ~85.5% shortage 3 million demand towards infrastructure No. of educational 1,668 institutes Annual education 11,972 capacity in 2001 Annual education 34,363 capacity in 2009 Growth in seats 14% CAGR Total supply in 2011 533,000 Annual increase in 27,000 supply Average supply per 642,000 Average demand per year 2010-20 ~4 million year 2010-20 Cumulative demand over 2010-20 ~40 million Cumulative d/s gap over 2010-20 ~39.4 million
  • 18. Significant gaps in skill-sets expected to be possessed by civil engineers
  • 19. Architects As of 2011, we had a total supply of 49,000 architects and only 3,800 are being added every year – against an annual demand of 396,000 ~119,000 demand towards real estate and ~ 277,000 demand towards infrastructure ~85% shortage No. of educational 177 institutes Annual education 1,712 capacity in 2001 Annual education 4,213 capacity in 2009 Growth in seats 12% CAGR Total supply in 2011 49,000 Annual increase in 3,800 supply Average supply per 65,000 Average demand 396,000 year 2010-20 per year 2010-20 Cumulative demand 3.7 million Cumulative d/s gap 3.6 million
  • 20. Planners By 2011, there was a total supply of 16,000 planners and only 616 are being added every year – against an annual demand of 119,000 ~36,000 demand towards real estate and ~ 83,000 demand towards infrastructure ~85% shortage No. of educational 21 institutes Annual education 614 capacity in 2001 Annual education 684 capacity in 2009 Growth in seats 1% CAGR Total supply in 2011 16,000 Annual increase in 616 supply Average supply per 18,000 Average demand 119,000 year 2010-20 per year 2010-20 Cumulative demand 1.3 million Cumulative d/s gap 1.1 million
  • 21. Non core professionals The estimated supply of non core professionals in the built environment sector is nearly 3 times the supply of core professionals. Demonstrates that ‘non core professionals’ are being drawn into the sector to compensate for the shortage of ‘core professionals’ Total supply in 2011 (in ‘000s) Cumulative supply of non core professionals in built environment (in ‘000s) Without sector specific training, these professionals fall short of the desired skill sets …a large part of this ‘non core professionals’ needs to be trained on the real estate, construction and infrastructure sectors, to convert them into ‘specialized’ professionals
  • 22. Specialisation necessary to enhance skills and productivity Both core and non core professionals working in built environment need training on specific skill-sets to branch out into specialised professions – indicated in this figure
  • 23. Specialized professionals New demand for specialized professions is now emerging in order to enhance professional expertise and improve productivity in this fast paced sector Total Demand (in ‘000s) Facilities Managers 88 98 78 26 29 33 18 21 16 FM - Management FM - Executive FM - Technician Quantity Surveyors 2010 2015 2020 Property Valuers Total Demand (in ‘000s) Total Demand (in ‘000s) 97 82 182 70 143 112 Quantity Surveyors 2010 2015 2020 Valuers 2010 2015 2020
  • 24. Professionals specializing in sustainability inventions in planning, architecture and engineering Sustainable engineering Sustainable planning Sustainable architecture Total Demand (in ‘000s) Total Demand (in ‘000s) 300 27 284 25 270 24 Total Demand (in ‘000s) Sustainability - Civil engineers 69 Sustainability - Planners 2010 2015 2020 67 2010 2015 2020 65 Sustainability - Architects 2010 2015 2020
  • 25. Core professionals If we were to continue with an as-is scenario with current productivity where capacity of educational and skill sets possessed institutes is not increased from by core professionals the actual capacity in 2009 By 2020… India will need over But.. will be able to produce 5 million civil engineers, less than 1 million of architects and planners these professionals …and end up with a cumulative demand supply gap of a staggering 44 million!!
  • 26. Existing shortage of professionals is poised to become a threat for the high growth of real estate, construction and infrastructure sectors in India Potential impact….  Recruitment difficulties = firms will find it more difficult to recruit and retain staff  Increased cost of human resource, adversely impacting development costs and profitability of operations  Inability to complete tasks efficiently in a time-bound manner = lower production levels and delay of new projects = economic loss  Skill gaps in domestic manpower = import of talent at higher costs  Sub-standard quality of construction as compared to the global products = accidents and man made disasters
  • 27. The road ahead and our recommendations
  • 28. 2020 The road ahead… • Increase educational capacity to increase quantum of annual supply • Up skill existing core and non core professionals in specific skill sets to improve productivity • Encourage collaboration with foreign universities and faculty for both of above 2010
  • 29. Recommendations The education and professional development system for this sector has not kept pace with the economic growth and is therefore in dire need for reform Inadequate number of colleges/seats Failure to keep up-to date with constant introduction of new technologies Orthodox academic structures with limited room to adapt to innovation Availability of better pay scales in and market needs other fields and countries Curriculum does not explicitly capture Lack of adequate number of training emerging specialised skill set programs for professionals already in the requirements discipline Lack of adequately trained faculty Lack of formalized incentive structures for that is aware of latest and these professionals to work towards their emerging technologies continued professional enhancement
  • 30. Recommendations A cohesive approach across all stakeholders is recommended to increase annual supply of professionals and address skill-set gaps in existing manpower • Adopt a practice oriented strategy for education • Enhance regulatory framework • Encourage skill • Set professional development through competency standards dedicated institutions, • Ensure the profession better incentivisation and friendly policies stays at the forefront and adapts to changing needs • Demand-led employer engagement in skills • Embed a culture of learning integrating employment and skills
  • 31. Recommendations Key action areas recommended across stakeholders  Improvement in the regulatory framework and enabling policies Setting up of centers’ of excellence with some PPP in higher education Government Set up an independent accreditation and regulation system Consider passing ‘Foreign Institutions Entry and Operations Bill 2007’ implement a training and certification program  Strengthening skill development effort  Allocate funds and incentivize skill development in critical areas  Collaboration and knowledge sharing with academia and professional bodies to facilitate development of skill sets inline with demand Private sector  Encourage internships and development of interns  Invest in continuous professional training and development of staff  Encourage accreditation with professional or qualifying bodies  Adoption of sophisticated and innovative tools and expertise  Review and update existing course curriculum Academic  Introduce new courses that offer options for specialization Institutions  Promote careers in built environment  Introduce steps to improve quality of teaching faculty  Drive a more global-centric education curriculum for built environment
  • 33. Methodology Next step…forecasting growth of the sector and estimating potential demand for real estate space and infrastructure to cater to growing population Growth of the Built • Indian GDP and built environment – historic trends 1 Environment sector • International trends of 4 countries • Increasing urbanisation leading to urban housing needs 2 Potential demand for real • Workforce participation leading to commercial & estate space industrial space • Increasing population in India – growing need for hospitals, education infrastructure & similar civic amenities • Investments in building infrastructure 3 Planned investments in infrastructure • Relationship between infrastructure and construction GDP
  • 34. 4 Typical project life cycle and …followed by a study of the type of skills required skills required across different stages Types of skill-sets required Types of professionals
  • 35. 5 Types of professionals required …and defining broad to deliver the future real estate and infrastructure categories of professionals involved in all these stages
  • 36. 6 Demand / Supply estimates …followed by a detailed estimation of the demand and supply situation across all categories CORE • Organised professions - Civil engineers, architects and planners a PROFESSIONALS • Demand analysis - based on real estate space to be built and productivity of each professional • Supply based on the new professionals graduating every year • Two level d/s gap analysis – quantum and skill-set NON - CORE • Work across sectors – management, law, finance etc b • Total professionals graduating every year PROFESSIONALS • Supply analysis - assumptions on % of such professionals working in built environment • Skill-set gap analysis SPECIALISED • Highly specialised in built environment c PROFESSIONALS • New and emerging • Demand analysis - based on real estate space to be built and productivity of each professional • Skill-set gap analysis • Lesser focus within this research d WORKERS • Future employment estimated based on historical trends
  • 37. Assumptions Key assumptions being that the population and demand for real estate space continues to grow while the education capacity remains stagnant as of 2009 • Population will grow @ 1.50% (average over 2001-08) per year as per historical trends • Urban population will increase by CAGR of 2.88% (as witnessed over 1991 – 2011) • Workforce participation rate will grow at a CAGR of 1.67% (as witnessed over 1993-94 to 2005-06) • Per capita requirement of real estate space (SF) assumed as established in secondary sources Detailed estimates available in report • Capacity of seats in educational institutions remains stagnant as of 2009 • Assumptions of certain % of non core professionals employed in the sector

Editor's Notes

  1. Still in its infancy, largely unorganized, dominated by no. of small players; very few having national presence Urban land suppy is largely controlled by state-owned development bodies like the Delhi Development Authority (DDA) in Delhi and Housing Boards of each state - leaving very limited developable space free, which is controlled by a few major players Restrictive legislations and lack of transparency in transactions are other main growth impediments A thriving parallel economy involving large amounts of undeclared transactions, mainly due to high stamp duty rates. The current legislative framework also leads to substantial losses to the Government For foreign investors, one troubling fact is a pan-India phenomenon of inadequate transparency in land valuations use to price the investments. There is a marked lack of transparency, corporate governance and accountability among India’s real estate developers ----------------------------------- GOVERNANCE AND CONFIDENCE ISSUES High incidence of cash transactions Taxable income is underreported High transaction costs Lack of adequate disclosures in transactions No benchmarks for risk adjusted returns Faulty and inconsistent valuations LAND Artificial scarcity of land - land banking practice Land acquisition & ownership issues Absence of valuation standards - soaring prices INADEQUATE DELIVERY CAPABILITIES 12-18 months delays in projects Import of architects, designers and planners
  2. 1. Built Environment contributed approx. 20% of total GDP in FY 2008, which was mere 10% in FY 1991 2. Future growth of built environment - India recognized as an important business location and its favorable demographic and strong economic impetus make it an attractive place for real estate investors. Government initiatives such as FDI in real estate, SEZ policy, lowering bank rates on housing loans, among others likely to further propel demand in real estate sector
  3. sq 40 billion sq ft (44%) of residential space