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Pandemic Preparation
- 1. Richard A. Jurado,CBCPBusiness Continuity and Disaster Recovery Why You Should be Preparing Your Family and Business for a Pandemic
- 2. “My fellow Americans’Onceagain, nature has presented us with a daunting challenge: the possibility of an influenza pandemic”George W. Bush, The White House, November 1, 2005
- 3. Is the PandemicReal?ExpertsOpponentsCDC stresses that the H5N1 genetic structure will changeWHO warns world is ill-preparedFAO indicates “health crisis” over past 10 yrs, generate from developing countriesHHS offers sound advice “shared responsibility” with global communityNon-governmental OrganizationDesigned for Hysteria Forced vaccinationIncarcerationConspiracyBird Flu or Cash Cow?Unproven VaccinePharmaceuticals MonopolyAstrological EpidemicsJupiter or Saturn-Neptune configuration
- 4. “While the governmentwill do much to prepare for a pandemic… take action to protect your family…take action to prevent the spread of influenza”George W. Bush, The White House, November 1, 2005
- 5. First Case MortalityTime Cycle114% MORTALITY INCREASE SINCE 191837 DAYS!“Cause of Geographical Variation in the Influenza Epidemic of 1918 in the Cities of the United States.” Bulletin of the National Research Council, July 1923, p. 29.
- 6. “Any community thatfails to prepare with the expectation that the federal government will, at the last moment, be able to come to the rescue will be tragically wrong”Michael Leavitt, Secretary, U.S. Dept. of Health and Human ServicesWho is going to protect us?
- 7. What You ShouldBe Doing How!HomeWork2 Weeks of food, water and medicationCash reserves to survive on for several daysConsider purchasing Personal Protective Equipment – mask and glovesLearn and utilize proper hygieneBack up equipment – portable generator and extra propane (if in rural areaWhat will you do if you have school or childcare childrenWill you be able to work from home? See if you business has a pandemic planFind out what your local and state community response plan isHospital, Urgent Care, primary doctor, healthcare provider, insuranceBe an advocate in pandemic planningFind out if you business has a pandemic planWork from Home opportunitiesLearn proper hygienePoster and flyers from HHSInvite educational organization: Red Cross, health departments, etc…
- 8. Survivors LamentMy mother,like many in Missouri was a healthy farm wife. A mother of 8 children, she was healthy one morning and “was dead by sunset the next day”. Dave Brownell (http://www.pandemicflu.gov/storybook/stories/courage/brownell/index.html)In 1918 my mother, Geneva Fern Searcy-Thompson, only 5 years old recalls her family becoming sick and how death was highly apparent and “coffins were ... becoming short in supply”Nancy Lybarger (http://www.pandemicflu.gov/storybook/stories/courage/searcy/index.htmlSurvivor William Sardo Jr. recalls “pine caskets stacked in the living room of his family house”, and notes “people were dying… ill in the morning, dead by night”www.msnbc.com/id/16194254 Dec 17, 2008
- 9. More InformationCenter forDisease Control http://www.cdc.gov/PandemicFlu.gov http://www.pandemicflu.gov/Pandemic Influenza http://www.dhss.mo.gov/PandemicInfluenza/index.htmlState Emergency Management Agency – state of Missouri http://sema.dps.mo.gov/semapage.htmPandemicPrep.org http://pandemicprep.org/Red CrossHuman Health Services
Editor's Notes
- #3 “My fellow Americans, Once again, nature has presented us with a daunting challenge: the possibility of an influenza pandemic”George W. Bush, The White House, November 1, 2005http://www.whitehouse.gov/homeland/pandemic-influenza.htmlOn November 1, 2005 President G. W. Bush provides the nation with a National Strategy for Pandemic Influenza as a result of the current strains impacting Asia and its migratory potential of reaching the North American continent.While the document may outline the roles to be imposed by the federal government, it also outlines the roles to be taken by the State and local governments, private industries, and international partners, and “most importantly individual citizens” to protect your family and yourself.The US government acknowledges that annually, 36,000 deaths and over 200,000 are hospitalized as a result of some type of influenza, as well as costing over $10 billion to the US.Any type of pandemic will “dwarf” these figures and place a grave impact on our medical infrastructure, with billions of dollars being applied both “directly and indirectly” if an event of this magnitude occurs.
- #4 The Center for Disease Control has implied data that states the H5N1 genetic structure will change. They completed an analysis in 2005 with an outbreak in Turkey in October which was limited to poultry. In November 2005 in a separate region of Turkey another outbreak occurred which involved poultry and humans. They conducted genetic molecular evolution of the virus in contrast to the October virus and noted changes in the amino acids and concluded that a mutation is occurring. In the WHO Avian Flu FAQ, they state “Despite an advance warning that has lasted almost two years, the world is ill-prepared to defend itself during a pandemic”World Health Organization, 2008They have urged developed countries to begin preparation, but only 40 countries have done so, and only 30 countries have begun to stock pile vaccines. However, manufactures have no further orders to fill. It is also the opinion that hundreds of developing countries will not have access to vaccines, thus increasing the concern of spreading the virus.The Food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations states that a “health crisis” have occurred within the animal kingdom from developing countries in the past 10 years that have resulted in the transmission to humans. A total of 60 countries in Asia, Europe and Africa. While most outbreaks have occurred in domestic poultry, they proposed a system in which to improve the health conditions of animals – as a “prevention of source” in these countries.HHS issued a statement in their Oct 2, 2007 release by Kevin Yeskey MD, Deputy Asst, Secretary Director, Human Health Services, that preparation is a shared responsibility and that preparedness is challenged across all spectrums.OPPONENTSNon Governmental Agencies are limited, but out their stating an oppositional view of the potential bird flu scenario. Some believe this to be a “designed hysteria” to get people immunized with drugs provided by Roche, a pharmaceutical company contracted by the US government. Some also believe that if those refusing to be inoculated, there could be incarceration in “concentration camps” under a law drafted called the “Others believe this to be conspiracy like rumors of AIDS and other weaponized viruses as they are called to test unproven vaccines, based on the level of monopoly by the pharmaceutical companies.http://www.evehillary.org There is also Astrology information about the epidemics that have occurred since the beginning of time, and that with various alignment with the plants for example: Jupiter or Saturn-Neptune configuration that is cause of alarm that a pandemic is surely possible.
- #5 Further President Bush emphasize that while the government will do what is available given the resources and circumstances, we must take the necessary preparations ourselves.
- #6 In 1918 in a 37 day window, the mortality time cycle was ticking with the Spanish flu showing no boundaries from the East to West coast. Given the rate of transmission and disbursement, and our higher and denser population, if an outbreak of a similar magnitude was to occur, we could see an estimated 5 million deaths worldwide within a similar period of time without preparation.research conducted in 2006 used historical data from previous outbreaks and estimate a 114% increase in death due to an avian flu outbreak.Therefore, will history may repeat its self but in a vengeances. CityFirst CaseDeath RateBoston8/27/185.7PhiladelphiaBy 9/11/187.4 (higher outbreak due to non-preparednessNew HavenWeek of 9/11/185.1Chicago9/11/183.5New YorkBefore 9/15/184.1PittsburgMid – 9/186.3Baltimore9/17/186.4San Francisco9/27/184.7Los AngelesLast days 9/183.3Milwaukee9/26/181.8Minneapolis9/27/181.8St. LouisBefore 10/3/182.2 (lesser outbreak due to implementing precautious)ToledoFirst week 10/182.0
- #7 Within the first 72 hours of an outbreak, many of the services we rely on can have complete to limited disruption. Even the governmental agency state that you should plan to be without some elements of normal resources for the first three days. Such as: Emergency services, Public services, like banking, ATMS, Schools, post offices, and so forth. Food and water will become a item many will be fighting for, just look at the recent events this past Friday during “black Friday” In California shootings at a Toys R’ Us occurred. In New York a person was trampled to death during a rush to get in side to by the discounted items. Everyone will be fighting for survival. If you rely on public transportation, this may not even be available.Hospitals will be overcrowd or lacking staff due to vaccine unavailability. The level of service will be based on level of criticalness. Also, with that many sick, it will become a breeding ground for those who are well enough to provide services. Plus we must remember the vaccines first issued are not a true vaccine against the virus, but only a treatment for the symptoms, not the flu itself. This will take months to get into distribution.There are many attributes that will come with Social Panic.Emotional – shocked, anger, helplessness, despairCognitive – confusion, blaming others, poor concentrationBehavioral – isolation, changes in habits, eating or sleepingSpiritual – anger at God, or getting closer to God
- #9 Survivors Lament – in 1918 there were numerous deaths, as well as survivor stories. We can learn from our history and apply those lessons to our survival. Preparation does not take on a major issue. We prepare for tornados and earthquakes. We never know when one is going to occur, but we prepare. Why can we not do the same with a potential pandemic outbreak. If you currently have a first aid kit or supply, modify it to include the items listed before hand. Please take one of the flyer here to provide you a guide or visit the following sites.