Initial Analysis of Pakistan Census 2017

1. Few Extracts From
Provisional Results of
Census - 2017
Mansoor Raza
September 03, 2017
mansooraza@gmail.com

2. Population (1981-2017) In Millions
11.06
2.20
47.29
19.03
4.33
0.34
17.74
3.18
73.62
30.44
6.57
0.81
30.52
5.00
110.01
47.89
12.34
2.00
0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
KPK FATA Punjab Sindh Balochistan Islamabad
1981 1998 2017

3. Comparative Population Share of Provinces,
ISB and FATA; 1981, 1998 and 2017.
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
KPK FATA Punjab Sindh Balochistan Islamabad
13.13%
2.61%
56.13%
22.59%
5.14%
0.40%
13.40%
2.40%
55.63%
23.00%
4.96%
0.61%
14.69%
2.41%
52.95%
23.05%
5.94%
0.96%
1981 1998 2017

4. Estimated Share of Province from 2011 HH
Census
13.90%
2.31%
47.69%
28.65%
6.86% 0.60%
KP-K Fata Punjab Sindh Balochistan Islamabad

5. Urban Share from 1981 to 2017
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
70.00%
KPK FATA Punjab Sindh Balochistan Islamabad
15.06%
0.00%
27.60%
43.32%
15.62%
60.06%
16.87%
2.69%
31.27%
48.75%
23.89%
65.72%
18.77%
2.84%
36.71%
52.02%
27.55%
50.58%
1981 1998 2017

6. Urban Share – Pakistan 1981-2017
15.06%
0.00%
27.60%
43.32%
15.62%
60.06%
28.30%
18.77%
2.84%
36.71%
52.02%
27.55%
50.58%
36.38%
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
70.00%
KPK FATA Punjab Sindh Balochistan Islamabad Pakistan
1981 1998 2017

7. Population as per scraped 2011 HH Census
1998
2011 HH census
Estimates
2017
NWFP/KPK 17,743,645 26,753,979 30,523,371
FATA 3,176,331 4,456,379 5,001,676
Punjab 73,621,290 91,817,959 110,012,442
Sindh 30,439,893 55,151,442 47,886,051
Balochistan 6,565,885 13,201,959 12,344,408
Islamabad 805,235 1,145,820 2,006,572
Total 132,352,279 192,527,539 207,774,520

8. Comparative PAGR 1998-81 and 2017- 1998
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
Pakistan NWFP FATA Punjab Sindh Balochistan Islamabad
2.69%
2.82%
2.19%
2.64%
2.80%
2.47%
5.19%
2.40%
2.89%
2.41%
2.13%
2.41%
3.37%
4.91%
PAGR 1998 PAGR 2017

9. Comparison of House Holds: 1998, 2011
and 2017
1998 2011 2017
Increase (1998-2017)
Number Percentage
NWFP/KPK 2,211,236 3,223,371 3,845,168 1,633,932 73.89%
FATA 341,114 365,277 558,379 217,265 63.69%
Punjab 10,537,127 13,911,812 17,103,835 6,566,708 62.32%
Sindh 5,022,392 9,191,907 8,585,610 3,563,218 70.95%
Balochistan 971,116 1,609,995 1,775,937 804,821 82.88%
Islamabad 128,753 176,280 336,182 207,429 161.11%
Pakistan 19,211,738 28,478,642 32,205,111 12,993,373 67.63%

10. HH Size
1998 2011 2017 Calculated Difference (2011-2017)
Number Percentage
NWFP/KPK 8.0 8.3 7.9 -0.4 -4.36%
FATA 9.3 12.2 9.0 -3.2 -26.58%
Punjab 6.9 6.6 6.4 -0.2 -2.54%
Sindh 6.0 6.0 5.6 -0.4 -7.04%
Balochistan 6.7 8.2 7.0 -1.2 -15.23%
Islamabad 6.2 6.5 6.0 -0.5 -8.17%
Pakistan 6.8 6.8 6.5 -0.3 -5.12%

11. HH SIZE
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
NWFP/KPK FATA Punjab Sindh Balochistan Islamabad Pakistan
8.0
9.3
6.9
6.0
6.7
6.2
6.8
8.3
12.2
6.6
6.0
8.2
6.5
6.8
7.9
9.0
6.4
5.6
7.0
6.0
6.5
1998 2011 2017 Calculated

12. Karachi Total Population From 1941-2017
(In millions)
0.71
1.12
2.04
3.61
5.44
9.86
16.05
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
18.00
1941 1951 1961 1972 1981 1998 2017

13. Karachi’s Intercensal Growth Rate and
PAGR (1941-2017)
57.21%
82.13%
76.45%
50.77%
81.25%
62.84%
4.63% 6.18% 5.30% 4.67% 3.56% 2.60%
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
70.00%
80.00%
90.00%
1941-51 1951-61 1961-72 1972-81 1981-98 1998-2017
Intercensal Growth Rate Per annum Growth Rate

14. Karachi’s Urban Population in Percentage
55.32%
95.20% 93.57%
97.47% 95.77% 94.75% 92.89%
0.00%
20.00%
40.00%
60.00%
80.00%
100.00%
120.00%
1941 1951 1961 1972 1981 1998 2017
Urban Share

15. Male and Female Narrowing Gap (Percentage share in
Total Population)
56.10% 57.32% 56.85%
55.24% 54.33% 53.71% 52.58%
43.90% 42.68% 43.15%
44.76% 45.67% 46.29% 47.42%
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
70.00%
1941 1951 1961 1972 1981 1998 2017
Male Percent Female Percent

16. Comparison of Total Population and Intercensal
Increase in Millions
0.71
1.12
2.04
3.61
5.44
9.86
16.05
0.41
0.92
1.56 1.83
4.42
6.19
-4.00
-2.00
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
18.00
1941 1951 1961 1972 1981 1998 2017
Total Population Intercensal Increase Linear (Intercensal Increase)

17. Karachi Districts Comparison 1998
Karachi
Districts
Central East South West Korangi Malir Total
Population
1998
2,277,931 1,472,896 1,478,047 2,089,509 1,561,742 976,193 9,856,318
Percent of
Total Pop
23.11% 14.94% 15.00% 21.20% 15.85% 9.90%
Population
2017
2,971,626 2,907,467 1,791,751 3,914,757 2,457,019 2,008,901 16,051,521
Percent of
Total Pop
18.51% 18.11% 11.16% 24.39% 15.31% 12.52%
Increase in
Pop
(Numbers)
693,695 1,434,571 313,704 1,825,248 895,277 1,032,708 6,195,203
Increase In
Pop
(Percent)
30.45% 97.40% 21.22% 87.35% 57.33% 105.79%

18. PAGR of Various Districts of Karachi
Division 1998 and 2017
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
Central East South West Korangi Malir
3.09%
3.67%
1.97%
5.04%
4.98%
1.41%
3.64%
1.02%
3.35%
2.41%
3.86%
1998 2017

19. Comparison Districts Percentage
Share of Population (1998-2017)
23.11%
14.94%
15.00%
21.20%
15.85%
9.90%
Percent of Total Pop 1998
Central East South West Korangi Malir
18.51%
18.11%
11.16%24.39%
15.31%
12.52%
Percent of Total Pop 2017
Central East South West Korangi Malir

20. HH Size Comparison Karachi Districts
1998-2017
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
Central East South West Korangi Malir
6.8 6.8
6.5
6.8
6.2
5.51 5.71 5.47
6.17
5.83
5.94
1998 2017

21. Note
This is a developing scenario that is being updated as the
data is released by Pakistan Bureau of Statistics and
evolves. Initial reports in the media can sometimes be
inaccurate. Will strive to ensure timeliness and
accuracy by relying on credible sources such as
concerned, qualified authorities.