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Chinese Submissions to
    Osteoarthritis and Cartilage
                and
  How to Get Your Paper Published

                    Jonas Ranstam PhD
         Deputy editor of Osteoarthritis and Cartilage


Dept of Orthopedics, Skane University Hospital, Lund, Sweden.
Osteoarthritis and Cartilage
       Impact Factor and Rank


Year      Impact factor   Rank in Orthopaedics


2010         3.953                1/61
2009         3.888                1/56
2008         4.082                1/49
2007         3.793                1/48
2006         4.017                1/43

2005         4.215                1/41
2004         3.573                1/42

                                           Source- Thompson ISI
Osteoarthritis and Cartilage
Authors - Geographical Breakdown
Osteoarthritis and Cartilage
       Predicted for 2011

      ~ 600 manuscripts
      ~ 70% rejected
Osteoarthritis and Cartilage
Number of submissions 2005-2011
Osteoarthritis and Cartilage
Number of submitted manuscripts
Osteoarthritis and Cartilage
Number of accepted manuscripts
Osteoarthritis and Cartilage
   Per cent acceptance rate
How to Get Your Paper
      Published
The road to success: Tell the whole story
The whole story
1.   Why did you perform the study?
2.   How did you design and plan it?
3.   What patients, animals, cells, etc. did you examine?
4.   How did you examine the samples?
5.   What did you find?
6.   How do you interpret your observations?
7.   How uncertain is your interpretation?
The whole story
When a well-done trial or experiment or
observational study is fairly, honestly, and
thoroughly reported, it will have so many warts,
footnotes, and exceptions that it may be hard for
the uninitiated to believe that the work was of
high quality.

Frederick Mosteller, PhD
All scientific findings are uncertain
No one expects you to present findings without
uncertainty.

What is expected of you is that you reduce the
uncertainty as much as possible and quantify and
report what remains of the uncertainty.
Reporting guidelines will help you
ICMJE's (icmje.org)

Report specific checklists (equator-network.org)
  - CONSORT randomized trials
  - TREND         non-randomized trials
  - STROBE        observational studies
  - STARD         diagnostic accuracy studies
  - ARRIVE        in vitro studies
  - PRISMA        systematic reviews
  - Et cetera
Most importantly
Follow the Journal's Guide for Authors


     http://ees.elsevier.com/oac/
OAC Recommendations
1. Ranstam J. Sampling uncertainty in medical
   research. Osteoarthritis Cartilage 2009;17:1416-9.
2. Ranstam J. Reporting laboratory experiments.
   Osteoarthritis Cartilage 2010;18:3-4.
3. Ranstam J, Lohmander LS. What's in a number or
   in a picture? Osteoarthritis Cartilage 2010;18:1003-5.
4. Ranstam J, Lohmander LS. Ten recommendations for
   OAC manuscript preparation, common for all types of
   studies. Osteoarthritis Cartilage 2011;19:1079-80.

http://ees.elsevier.com/oac
Recommendation 1.
State the research question and the purpose of the
study. Is the ambition to describe an observation,
to generate hypotheses or to test a pre-specified
hypothesis?
Recommendation 2.
Describe the source of study participants, patients,
cadavers, animals, tissues, cell lines, etc., and
how many units that have been included in the
study.

To what population do you wish to generalize the
findings of your study? If all observations have
been sampled from one subject, animal or cell line,
direct generalization cannot be made beyond this.
Recommendation 3.
When observations can be presented individually,
either numerically or graphically, this should be
preferred.

When fewer than four observations are presented,
they should as a rule be described individually, not
as an aggregate.
Recommendation 4.
When presenting data in aggregated form, always
provide the number of included observations (n) as
well as measures of central tendency (mean,
median, etc.) and dispersion (standard deviation,
range, etc.).

If repeated measurements or replicates are used,
present both the number of independent samples
and the number of repeated observations per
independent sample.
Recommendation 5.
Describe all statistical methods in the statistical
methods section, using well recognized terms such
as Student's, Welch's or Satterthwaite's t-test.

Always identify the statistical software and version
used.
Recommendation 6.
The validity of results from statistical tests relies on
certain assumptions being fulfilled.

Describe how you have examined this and what
the results were.

When departures are detected, alternative
methods may be required.
Recommendation 7.
Generalizations from observed data are often made
with the help of hypothesis tests. It should be
recognized that:

1. Tested hypotheses relate to the generalization of
   an observation, never to the observation itself.

2. A statistically significant finding is not necessarily
   practically, biologically or clinically important.

3. A statistically insignificant test does not
   necessarily indicate similarity.
Recommendation 8.
Confidence intervals provide more information on
inferential uncertainty than is included in P-values.

Both SEMs and 95% confidence intervals describe
uncertainty.

95% confidence intervals are preferred.
Recommendation 9.
If one-sided statistical tests, one-sided confidence
intervals, Bonferroni corrections, simultaneous
confidence intervals, or other departures from the
conventional 5% significance and 95% confidence
level are used, explain and motivate the reasons
for this.
Recommendation 10.
The level of statistical rigor (and remaining
inferential uncertainty in the results) should be in
parity with the purpose of the study and the
author's conclusions.
Collaborate
Statistics is a rapidly developing science.

Statistical methods are becoming increasingly
powerful and complex.

If you are not familiar with the statistical methods
needed for your study, consult a biostatistician.
Thank you for your attention!

And best of luck with your OAC
        submissions!

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Oac beijing jr

  • 1. Chinese Submissions to Osteoarthritis and Cartilage and How to Get Your Paper Published Jonas Ranstam PhD Deputy editor of Osteoarthritis and Cartilage Dept of Orthopedics, Skane University Hospital, Lund, Sweden.
  • 2. Osteoarthritis and Cartilage Impact Factor and Rank Year Impact factor Rank in Orthopaedics 2010 3.953 1/61 2009 3.888 1/56 2008 4.082 1/49 2007 3.793 1/48 2006 4.017 1/43 2005 4.215 1/41 2004 3.573 1/42 Source- Thompson ISI
  • 3. Osteoarthritis and Cartilage Authors - Geographical Breakdown
  • 4. Osteoarthritis and Cartilage Predicted for 2011 ~ 600 manuscripts ~ 70% rejected
  • 5. Osteoarthritis and Cartilage Number of submissions 2005-2011
  • 6. Osteoarthritis and Cartilage Number of submitted manuscripts
  • 7. Osteoarthritis and Cartilage Number of accepted manuscripts
  • 8. Osteoarthritis and Cartilage Per cent acceptance rate
  • 9. How to Get Your Paper Published
  • 10. The road to success: Tell the whole story
  • 11. The whole story 1. Why did you perform the study? 2. How did you design and plan it? 3. What patients, animals, cells, etc. did you examine? 4. How did you examine the samples? 5. What did you find? 6. How do you interpret your observations? 7. How uncertain is your interpretation?
  • 12. The whole story When a well-done trial or experiment or observational study is fairly, honestly, and thoroughly reported, it will have so many warts, footnotes, and exceptions that it may be hard for the uninitiated to believe that the work was of high quality. Frederick Mosteller, PhD
  • 13. All scientific findings are uncertain No one expects you to present findings without uncertainty. What is expected of you is that you reduce the uncertainty as much as possible and quantify and report what remains of the uncertainty.
  • 14. Reporting guidelines will help you ICMJE's (icmje.org) Report specific checklists (equator-network.org) - CONSORT randomized trials - TREND non-randomized trials - STROBE observational studies - STARD diagnostic accuracy studies - ARRIVE in vitro studies - PRISMA systematic reviews - Et cetera
  • 15. Most importantly Follow the Journal's Guide for Authors http://ees.elsevier.com/oac/
  • 16. OAC Recommendations 1. Ranstam J. Sampling uncertainty in medical research. Osteoarthritis Cartilage 2009;17:1416-9. 2. Ranstam J. Reporting laboratory experiments. Osteoarthritis Cartilage 2010;18:3-4. 3. Ranstam J, Lohmander LS. What's in a number or in a picture? Osteoarthritis Cartilage 2010;18:1003-5. 4. Ranstam J, Lohmander LS. Ten recommendations for OAC manuscript preparation, common for all types of studies. Osteoarthritis Cartilage 2011;19:1079-80. http://ees.elsevier.com/oac
  • 17. Recommendation 1. State the research question and the purpose of the study. Is the ambition to describe an observation, to generate hypotheses or to test a pre-specified hypothesis?
  • 18. Recommendation 2. Describe the source of study participants, patients, cadavers, animals, tissues, cell lines, etc., and how many units that have been included in the study. To what population do you wish to generalize the findings of your study? If all observations have been sampled from one subject, animal or cell line, direct generalization cannot be made beyond this.
  • 19. Recommendation 3. When observations can be presented individually, either numerically or graphically, this should be preferred. When fewer than four observations are presented, they should as a rule be described individually, not as an aggregate.
  • 20. Recommendation 4. When presenting data in aggregated form, always provide the number of included observations (n) as well as measures of central tendency (mean, median, etc.) and dispersion (standard deviation, range, etc.). If repeated measurements or replicates are used, present both the number of independent samples and the number of repeated observations per independent sample.
  • 21. Recommendation 5. Describe all statistical methods in the statistical methods section, using well recognized terms such as Student's, Welch's or Satterthwaite's t-test. Always identify the statistical software and version used.
  • 22. Recommendation 6. The validity of results from statistical tests relies on certain assumptions being fulfilled. Describe how you have examined this and what the results were. When departures are detected, alternative methods may be required.
  • 23. Recommendation 7. Generalizations from observed data are often made with the help of hypothesis tests. It should be recognized that: 1. Tested hypotheses relate to the generalization of an observation, never to the observation itself. 2. A statistically significant finding is not necessarily practically, biologically or clinically important. 3. A statistically insignificant test does not necessarily indicate similarity.
  • 24. Recommendation 8. Confidence intervals provide more information on inferential uncertainty than is included in P-values. Both SEMs and 95% confidence intervals describe uncertainty. 95% confidence intervals are preferred.
  • 25. Recommendation 9. If one-sided statistical tests, one-sided confidence intervals, Bonferroni corrections, simultaneous confidence intervals, or other departures from the conventional 5% significance and 95% confidence level are used, explain and motivate the reasons for this.
  • 26. Recommendation 10. The level of statistical rigor (and remaining inferential uncertainty in the results) should be in parity with the purpose of the study and the author's conclusions.
  • 27. Collaborate Statistics is a rapidly developing science. Statistical methods are becoming increasingly powerful and complex. If you are not familiar with the statistical methods needed for your study, consult a biostatistician.
  • 28. Thank you for your attention! And best of luck with your OAC submissions!