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Emily K
Brantner
REGIONAL EVOLUTIONARY
DISTINCTIVENESS AND
ENDANGERMENT AS A
MEANS OF PRIORITIZING
PROTECTION OF
ENDANGERED SPECIES
Dr. John Withey
Dr. Maureen
Donnelly
Dr. Ken Feeley
Dr. Will Pearse
Florida International
University
Resources For the
Future (RFF)
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
 27,000 spp/ year
 Limited resources
BIODIVERSITY LOSS
Nature Climate Change
CONSERVATION
Noah’s Ark Analogy
http://www.hannah-emmett.com/noahs-ark
Many categories
Individual
Species
Community
Ecosystem
Many types
Evolutionary
distinctiveness (ED)
Taxonomic diversity
Richness
PHYLOGENETIC DISTINCTIVENESS
 “phylogenetic diversity of a clade split equally among its
members, taking each branch length for all species into
account”
 Correlates with other biodiversity measures
 Richness, diversity
ED IMPORTANCE
RANDOM LOSSES
Could lose 95% of species,
but maintain 80% of
current phylogenetic
diversity
NONRANDOM LOSSES
Lose whole clades
Applications
ED w/ Global
Endangerment (EDGE)
ED w/ Accuracy &
Magnitude of decline
(EDAM)
EVOLUTIONARY DISTINCTIVENESS
APPLICATIONS
EDGE
Isaac et al. 2007
Edgeofexistence.org
Mammals
Amphibians
Birds
Corals
EVOLUTIONARY DISTINCTIVENESS AND
GLOBAL ENDANGERMENT
2 components
Global Distinctiveness
 ED
Global Endangerment
 GE
 IUCN Red List
EVOLUTIONARY DISTINCTIVENESS AND
GLOBAL ENDANGERMENT
MY CONTRIBUTION
RED-E
Regional, not global
Applicable to any
region
2 Components
Regional Evolutionary
Distinctiveness
 RED
Regional
Endangerment
 RE
REGIONAL EVOLUTIONARY
DISTINCTIVENESS AND ENDANGERMENT
5 Factors
Damage to or
destruction of a spp’s
habitat
Overutilization of the
spp for commercial, rec,
science, or education
Disease or predation
Inadequacy of existing
protection
Other natural or
manmade factors
ENDANGERED SPECIES ACT (ESA)
Endangered
Danger of extinction
Threatened
Likely to become
endangered
Priority
Degree of threat
Recovery potential
Taxonomy
Conflict with
development
ESA
illegal to "take”
 “to harass, harm, pursue,
hunt, shoot, wound, kill,
trap, capture, or collect or
attempt to engage in any
such conduct.”
Critical Habitat
ESA
Critical habitat
(CH)
Designated area
where no federal
agencies may allow
actions that will
destroy or harm a
listed species
"to the maximum
extent prudent and
determinable”
CH
 704/1577 spp w CH
(44.6%)
 Vertebrates: 175 (39.6%)
 mammals (35.9%)
 birds (29.0%)
 reptiles (37.5%)
 amphibians (45.7%)
 fishes (47.6%)
CRITICAL HABITAT DESIGNATION
FWS and NMFS- feel
it’s unnecessary
Cost not worth the
minimal advantage
Spp with CH show
better recovery
CH CRITICISMS
ESA AND CH
ESA Listed Species
Species
w/out
Critical
Habitat
METHODS
Mammals Beninda-Edmonds (2007)
Birds Jetz et al. (2012)
DATA COLLECTION
 Calculate ED values for both
trees
 R program “caper” ed.calc
 Gives number to indicate
species relatedness to each
other
GLOBAL ED
ED CALCULATION
A: 1/1 + + 1/3 + 2/5 = 2.23
Isaac et al. 2007
Millions of years since divergence
ED CALCULATION
Isaac et al. 2007
Millions of years since divergence
EDGE CALCULATION
ln(1 + ED) + GE * ln(2)
Least Concern – 0
Near Threatened – 1
Vulnerable – 2
Endangered – 3
Critically Endangered – 4
EDGE CALCULATION
ln(1 + ED) + GE * ln(2)
ln(1 + 2.23) + 1 * ln(2) = 1.86
ln(1 + 2.23) + 2 * ln(2) = 2.55
ln(1 + 2.73) + 1 * ln(2) = 2.00
ln(1 + 2.4) + 0 * ln(2) = 1.22
ln(1 + 2.4) + 3 * ln(2) = 3.30
ln(1 + 2.75) + 3 * ln(2) = 3.40
ln(1 + 2.75) + 4 * ln(2) = 4.09
ED GE
 Continental US only
 Used drop.tip function
 3 mammals trees
 Upper
 Best
 lower
 1000 bird trees
 Ran ed.calc again
REGIONAL ED
 IUCN (Global Endangerment)
 Least Concern – 0
 Near Threatened – 1
 Vulnerable – 2
 Endangered – 3
 Critically Endangered – 4
 ESA (Regional Endangerment)
 Threatened – 2
 Endangered – 4
 SAT Species
 “threatened due to similar
appearance”
GE AND RE CALCULATION
GE or RE = E * ln(2)
EDGE= ln(1+ED) + GE*ln(2)
RED-E= ln(1+RED) + RE*ln(2)
RED-E AND EDGE RANKINGS
(Isaac et al. 2007)
Evolutionary
distinctiveness
component
Endangerment
component
 EDGE & RED-E calculated from trees with differing branch
numbers
 Cannot be directly compared
 Used # of std deviations away from the mean
 Both have 2 components- ED/RED and GE/RE
 Compared relative influence
 Regression
STATISTICS
 Threatened = 0, 1, or 2
 Endangered = 1, 2, or 4
 Calculated change in rank
SENSITIVITY TO VALUES USED FOR
THREATENED AND ENDANGERED STATUS
 FWS conservation expenditure reports
 2001-2012
 Regressed money spend against RED-E value
COST OF PROTECTION
 Ranked species without CH
 Mammals
 Birds
 RED-E vs EDGE rank change
CH PRIORITY
RESULTS
 Mammal
 Range
 7.41 – Utah Prairie Dog
 3.33 – West Indian Manatee
 Mean – 5.30
 Median – 5.33
RED-E
 Bird
 Range
 6.27 – Ivory-Billed Woodpecker
 3.13 – Roseate Tern
 Mean – 5.01
 Median – 5.10
RED-E
-2.5
-2
-1.5
-1
-0.5
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
EDGE(sdawayfrommean)
RED-E (sd away from mean)
Average rank
change
24 places within
83 species
0.98 deviations
MAMMAL RED-E AND EDGE
Correlation of standardized mammal RED-E and
EDGE scores (R2 = 0.10, p = 0.0029 )
MAMMAL RED-E AND EDGE
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2
EDGEtoRED-Echange
GE to LE change
A
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
-2 -1 0 1 2 3
EDGEtoRED-Echange
RED to ED change
B
R2 = 0.83 R2 = 0.23
GE to RE change ED to RED change
GE to RE change
Average rank
change
13 places within
44 species
1.08 deviations
BIRD RED-E AND EDGE
Correlation of standardized mammal RED-E and
EDGE scores (R2 = 0.022, p = 0.33 )
-2.5
-2
-1.5
-1
-0.5
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
-2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
EDGE(sdawayfrommean)
RED-E (sd away from mean)
BIRD RED-E AND EDGE
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
-2 -1 0 1 2 3
EDGEtoRED-Echange
RED to ED change
B
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
-2 -1 0 1 2
EDGEtoRED-Echange
RED to ED change
B
R2 = 0.86 R2 = 0.17
GE to RE change
GE to RE change ED to RED change
 no difference between (T = 0, E = 1) and (T = 1, E = 2)
 (T = 2, E = 4) to (T = 1, E = 2)
 No change on extreme ends
 Top 5 and bottom 4 remained the same
 Threatened species prioritization increased
T/E SENSITIVITY
RED-E AND COST OF PROTECTION
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0
Expenditures(millionsof$)
Mammal RED-E value
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0
Expenditures(millionsof$)
RED-E value
No correlation in birds or mammals
Mammals: R2 = 0.013 p = 0.306
Birds: R2 = 0.0091 p = 0.598
 RED-E and EDGE correlated in mammals (p = 0.0354)
 Not correlated in birds
CRITICAL HABITAT
DISCUSSION
 EDGE
 Global
 Limited use
 IUCN Ranking- gold standard
 No subspecies or
populations
 RED-E
 Regional
 Region-specific
 Blurry lines between T and E
 Good for governments or
agencies
 Florida Panther
 Both
 Need complete or almost
complete tree w/ at least
100 spp
 Scores can be compared
directly across trees
RED-E VERSUS EDGE
 T = 2 and E = 4 used for analysis
 Other values reduced the impact of RE component
 Broke down some of the prioritization already in place
 Only extremely distinct T spp should be prioritized over E
T/E SENSITIVITY
 Expected correlation because RED-E is sensitive to ESA status
 E spp more likely to have dedicated conservation plan
 7 mammals with most past conservation attention
(>$50million spent) mostly large, charismatic spp, and only 4
listed as endangered
 Ocelot
 Florida Panther
 2 populations of Black Bears
 Sea Lions
 Manatees
 (One species of bat)
COST OF PROTECTION
 Practical application
 Can go into effect immediately
 Controversial, but:
 Land-use modification
 Increases public education in CH areas
 Only protection for unoccupied habitats
 Spp w/ designation more likely to have actively implemented and
revised recovery plans
CRITICAL HABITAT
 Closely related spp that are all endangered many be lower on
the list
 Reasoning for high prioritization of endangerment level
 Trees are based on most likely configurations
 This approach is can be updated easily
LIMITATIONS
Same analysis on
other species
Biodiversity hotspots
Other countries
categories (ESA)
New Zealand: NZTCS
Australia: EPBC, DEC
Canada: COSEWIC
OTHER APPLICATIONS
RECOMMENDED STEPS
1. Identify area for conservation planning
2. Collect phylogenetic trees for global clade chosen
 More than 100 spp
 No overlapping spp
3. Trim trees
4. Use R, caper, and the ed.calc function to calculate regional
evolutionary distinctiveness for each species.
5. Assign number values to agency conservation status,
preferably from 0-4.
 If no agency conservation status is available, IUCN status can be
used.
STEPS
6. Calculate regional evolutionary distinctiveness (RED)
component
 RED component =ln1+RED
7. Calculate regional endangerment (RE) component
 RE component =RE*ln(2)
8. Add RED and RE to get RED-E score.
9. Order RED-E scores from largest to smallest
 Largest score of most concern
STEPS
CONCLUSION
 Simple ranking system
for use of limited
resources
 Powerful conservation
tool
 managers, geneticists, and
the public
 With effort from
agencies around the
world, biodiversity loss
can be mitigated
RED-E
QUESTIONS?
 Bininda-Emonds, O. R., Cardillo, M., Jones, K. E., MacPhee, R. D., Beck, R. M., Grenyer,
R., ... & Purvis, A. (2007). The delayed rise of present -day mammals. Nature, 446(7135),
07-512.
 Bennett, P. M., & Owens, I. P. (1997). Variation in extinction risk among birds: chance or
evolutionary predisposition?. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series B:
Biological Sciences, 264(1380), 401-408.
 Butchart SHM, Walpole M, Collen B, van Strien A, Scharlemann JPW, et al. (2010) Global
biodiversity: indicators of recent declines. Science 328: 1164{1168.
 Cowlishaw, G. (1999). Predicting the pattern of decline of African primate diversity: an
extinction debt from historical deforestation. Conservation Biology, 13(5), 1183-1193.
 Department of the Interior, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Services (FWS). (1973). Endangered
Species Act of 1973. Washington, D.C. 20240.
 Department of the Interior, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Sevices (FWS). (2015). Endangered
Species. http://www.fws.gov/endangered/
 Grelle, C. E. D. V., Fonseca, G. A. B., Fonseca, M. T., & Costa, L. P. (1999). The question
of scale in threat analysis: a case study with Brazilian mammals. Animal Conservation,
2(2), 149-152.
 Isaac NJB, Redding DW, Meredith HM, Sa_ K (2012) Phylogenetically -informed priorities
for amphibian conservation. PLoS ONE 7: e43912
 International Union for the Conservation of Nature (IUCN). (2014) IUCN Red List of
threatened species. Version 2014.3. World Conservation Union, Gland, Switzerland and
Cambridge , UK . URL http://www.iucnredlist.org (visited April 15, 2015).
 Isaac NJB, Turvey ST, Collen B, Waterman C, Baillie JEM (2007) Mammals on the
EDGE:conservation priorities based on threat and phylogeny. PLoS ONE 2: e296
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REFERENCES

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MS_Thesis_Presentation

  • 1. Emily K Brantner REGIONAL EVOLUTIONARY DISTINCTIVENESS AND ENDANGERMENT AS A MEANS OF PRIORITIZING PROTECTION OF ENDANGERED SPECIES
  • 2. Dr. John Withey Dr. Maureen Donnelly Dr. Ken Feeley Dr. Will Pearse Florida International University Resources For the Future (RFF) ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
  • 3.  27,000 spp/ year  Limited resources BIODIVERSITY LOSS Nature Climate Change
  • 6.  “phylogenetic diversity of a clade split equally among its members, taking each branch length for all species into account”  Correlates with other biodiversity measures  Richness, diversity ED IMPORTANCE
  • 7. RANDOM LOSSES Could lose 95% of species, but maintain 80% of current phylogenetic diversity
  • 9. Applications ED w/ Global Endangerment (EDGE) ED w/ Accuracy & Magnitude of decline (EDAM) EVOLUTIONARY DISTINCTIVENESS APPLICATIONS
  • 10. EDGE Isaac et al. 2007 Edgeofexistence.org Mammals Amphibians Birds Corals EVOLUTIONARY DISTINCTIVENESS AND GLOBAL ENDANGERMENT
  • 11. 2 components Global Distinctiveness  ED Global Endangerment  GE  IUCN Red List EVOLUTIONARY DISTINCTIVENESS AND GLOBAL ENDANGERMENT
  • 13. RED-E Regional, not global Applicable to any region 2 Components Regional Evolutionary Distinctiveness  RED Regional Endangerment  RE REGIONAL EVOLUTIONARY DISTINCTIVENESS AND ENDANGERMENT
  • 14. 5 Factors Damage to or destruction of a spp’s habitat Overutilization of the spp for commercial, rec, science, or education Disease or predation Inadequacy of existing protection Other natural or manmade factors ENDANGERED SPECIES ACT (ESA)
  • 15. Endangered Danger of extinction Threatened Likely to become endangered Priority Degree of threat Recovery potential Taxonomy Conflict with development ESA
  • 16. illegal to "take”  “to harass, harm, pursue, hunt, shoot, wound, kill, trap, capture, or collect or attempt to engage in any such conduct.” Critical Habitat ESA
  • 17. Critical habitat (CH) Designated area where no federal agencies may allow actions that will destroy or harm a listed species "to the maximum extent prudent and determinable” CH
  • 18.  704/1577 spp w CH (44.6%)  Vertebrates: 175 (39.6%)  mammals (35.9%)  birds (29.0%)  reptiles (37.5%)  amphibians (45.7%)  fishes (47.6%) CRITICAL HABITAT DESIGNATION
  • 19. FWS and NMFS- feel it’s unnecessary Cost not worth the minimal advantage Spp with CH show better recovery CH CRITICISMS
  • 20. ESA AND CH ESA Listed Species Species w/out Critical Habitat
  • 22. Mammals Beninda-Edmonds (2007) Birds Jetz et al. (2012) DATA COLLECTION
  • 23.  Calculate ED values for both trees  R program “caper” ed.calc  Gives number to indicate species relatedness to each other GLOBAL ED
  • 24. ED CALCULATION A: 1/1 + + 1/3 + 2/5 = 2.23 Isaac et al. 2007 Millions of years since divergence
  • 25. ED CALCULATION Isaac et al. 2007 Millions of years since divergence
  • 26. EDGE CALCULATION ln(1 + ED) + GE * ln(2) Least Concern – 0 Near Threatened – 1 Vulnerable – 2 Endangered – 3 Critically Endangered – 4
  • 27. EDGE CALCULATION ln(1 + ED) + GE * ln(2) ln(1 + 2.23) + 1 * ln(2) = 1.86 ln(1 + 2.23) + 2 * ln(2) = 2.55 ln(1 + 2.73) + 1 * ln(2) = 2.00 ln(1 + 2.4) + 0 * ln(2) = 1.22 ln(1 + 2.4) + 3 * ln(2) = 3.30 ln(1 + 2.75) + 3 * ln(2) = 3.40 ln(1 + 2.75) + 4 * ln(2) = 4.09 ED GE
  • 28.  Continental US only  Used drop.tip function  3 mammals trees  Upper  Best  lower  1000 bird trees  Ran ed.calc again REGIONAL ED
  • 29.  IUCN (Global Endangerment)  Least Concern – 0  Near Threatened – 1  Vulnerable – 2  Endangered – 3  Critically Endangered – 4  ESA (Regional Endangerment)  Threatened – 2  Endangered – 4  SAT Species  “threatened due to similar appearance” GE AND RE CALCULATION GE or RE = E * ln(2)
  • 30. EDGE= ln(1+ED) + GE*ln(2) RED-E= ln(1+RED) + RE*ln(2) RED-E AND EDGE RANKINGS (Isaac et al. 2007) Evolutionary distinctiveness component Endangerment component
  • 31.  EDGE & RED-E calculated from trees with differing branch numbers  Cannot be directly compared  Used # of std deviations away from the mean  Both have 2 components- ED/RED and GE/RE  Compared relative influence  Regression STATISTICS
  • 32.  Threatened = 0, 1, or 2  Endangered = 1, 2, or 4  Calculated change in rank SENSITIVITY TO VALUES USED FOR THREATENED AND ENDANGERED STATUS
  • 33.  FWS conservation expenditure reports  2001-2012  Regressed money spend against RED-E value COST OF PROTECTION
  • 34.  Ranked species without CH  Mammals  Birds  RED-E vs EDGE rank change CH PRIORITY
  • 36.  Mammal  Range  7.41 – Utah Prairie Dog  3.33 – West Indian Manatee  Mean – 5.30  Median – 5.33 RED-E
  • 37.  Bird  Range  6.27 – Ivory-Billed Woodpecker  3.13 – Roseate Tern  Mean – 5.01  Median – 5.10 RED-E
  • 38. -2.5 -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 EDGE(sdawayfrommean) RED-E (sd away from mean) Average rank change 24 places within 83 species 0.98 deviations MAMMAL RED-E AND EDGE Correlation of standardized mammal RED-E and EDGE scores (R2 = 0.10, p = 0.0029 )
  • 39. MAMMAL RED-E AND EDGE -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 EDGEtoRED-Echange GE to LE change A -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 EDGEtoRED-Echange RED to ED change B R2 = 0.83 R2 = 0.23 GE to RE change ED to RED change GE to RE change
  • 40. Average rank change 13 places within 44 species 1.08 deviations BIRD RED-E AND EDGE Correlation of standardized mammal RED-E and EDGE scores (R2 = 0.022, p = 0.33 ) -2.5 -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 EDGE(sdawayfrommean) RED-E (sd away from mean)
  • 41. BIRD RED-E AND EDGE -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 EDGEtoRED-Echange RED to ED change B -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -2 -1 0 1 2 EDGEtoRED-Echange RED to ED change B R2 = 0.86 R2 = 0.17 GE to RE change GE to RE change ED to RED change
  • 42.  no difference between (T = 0, E = 1) and (T = 1, E = 2)  (T = 2, E = 4) to (T = 1, E = 2)  No change on extreme ends  Top 5 and bottom 4 remained the same  Threatened species prioritization increased T/E SENSITIVITY
  • 43. RED-E AND COST OF PROTECTION 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 Expenditures(millionsof$) Mammal RED-E value 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 Expenditures(millionsof$) RED-E value No correlation in birds or mammals Mammals: R2 = 0.013 p = 0.306 Birds: R2 = 0.0091 p = 0.598
  • 44.  RED-E and EDGE correlated in mammals (p = 0.0354)  Not correlated in birds CRITICAL HABITAT
  • 46.  EDGE  Global  Limited use  IUCN Ranking- gold standard  No subspecies or populations  RED-E  Regional  Region-specific  Blurry lines between T and E  Good for governments or agencies  Florida Panther  Both  Need complete or almost complete tree w/ at least 100 spp  Scores can be compared directly across trees RED-E VERSUS EDGE
  • 47.  T = 2 and E = 4 used for analysis  Other values reduced the impact of RE component  Broke down some of the prioritization already in place  Only extremely distinct T spp should be prioritized over E T/E SENSITIVITY
  • 48.  Expected correlation because RED-E is sensitive to ESA status  E spp more likely to have dedicated conservation plan  7 mammals with most past conservation attention (>$50million spent) mostly large, charismatic spp, and only 4 listed as endangered  Ocelot  Florida Panther  2 populations of Black Bears  Sea Lions  Manatees  (One species of bat) COST OF PROTECTION
  • 49.  Practical application  Can go into effect immediately  Controversial, but:  Land-use modification  Increases public education in CH areas  Only protection for unoccupied habitats  Spp w/ designation more likely to have actively implemented and revised recovery plans CRITICAL HABITAT
  • 50.  Closely related spp that are all endangered many be lower on the list  Reasoning for high prioritization of endangerment level  Trees are based on most likely configurations  This approach is can be updated easily LIMITATIONS
  • 51. Same analysis on other species Biodiversity hotspots Other countries categories (ESA) New Zealand: NZTCS Australia: EPBC, DEC Canada: COSEWIC OTHER APPLICATIONS
  • 53. 1. Identify area for conservation planning 2. Collect phylogenetic trees for global clade chosen  More than 100 spp  No overlapping spp 3. Trim trees 4. Use R, caper, and the ed.calc function to calculate regional evolutionary distinctiveness for each species. 5. Assign number values to agency conservation status, preferably from 0-4.  If no agency conservation status is available, IUCN status can be used. STEPS
  • 54. 6. Calculate regional evolutionary distinctiveness (RED) component  RED component =ln1+RED 7. Calculate regional endangerment (RE) component  RE component =RE*ln(2) 8. Add RED and RE to get RED-E score. 9. Order RED-E scores from largest to smallest  Largest score of most concern STEPS
  • 56.  Simple ranking system for use of limited resources  Powerful conservation tool  managers, geneticists, and the public  With effort from agencies around the world, biodiversity loss can be mitigated RED-E
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Editor's Notes

  1. Not doing a global tree for all vertebrates
  2. Talk about it less
  3. Add box and whisker of red-e
  4. Add box and whisker of red-e