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morality improvement rates.pptx
1. Causes of the Decline in Mortality
Improvement Rates
By: Taylor Saucier
2. Why Did Mortality Improvement Rates Dip in
Recent Years?
Since 2013, there has been a decline in mortality improvement rates.
I investigated this decline and found that the mortality rates affected the younger
population (ages 25 - 34).
This is important because a decline in
mortality rates in younger generations
effect the total population more than a
decline in older populations.
3. The Data
● Society of Actuaries (SOA)
○ US life expectancy
● Human Mortality Database
○ Mortality Improvement data
● Center for Disease Control (CDC)
○ Cause of deaths (COD) data
● Aligned the mortality improvement decline and causes of death
○ Identified the driver of mortality improvement decline
● Data was found from SOA and SOA’s references
4.
5. ● Mortality Improvement plummet began: 2013-2016
● Little to no government response to epidemic
● Spike in ICD Chapter V01-Y89 (COD)
● Spike in ICD Sub-Chapter W00-X59: Other external causes of accidental injury
○ This category includes accidental opioid overdoses
● Opioid epidemic was the primary cause of decline
● Adults ages 25–54 had higher rates of drug overdose deaths in 2017
Analysis and Results
6. Conclusion
I have attributed the recent rise in mortality rates to the opioid epidemic because
there was a significant increase in opioid related deaths yet a negligible difference
in other causes of death.
This epidemic had a disproportionate
effect on those younger than 45,
inflating the impact on life expectancy.
7. References
● Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Injury Prevention and Control.
“Understanding the Epidemic.” Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Centers for Disease
Control and Prevention, 19 Mar. 2020, www.cdc.gov/drugoverdose/epidemic/index.html.
● CDC. “2013-2017 Drug Overdose Death Rate Increases.” Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 18 Mar. 2020,
www.cdc.gov/drugoverdose/data/statedeaths/drug-overdose-death-rate-increase-2013-2017.html.
● “United States Mortality Database.” United States Mortality Database,
usa.mortality.org/national.php?national=USA.
