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Monetary Policy Transmission
Monetary Policy Transmission
Mechanisms
Mechanisms
The monetary transmission mechanism refers to the process
through which monetary policy decisions affect economic
growth, prices, and other aspects of the economy.
is a change in one thing causes a change in something else,
step by step
What are the monetray policy
tools that the central bank will use
to achieve its goals
step by step ?
Channels of Monetary Policy
Exchange Rate
Channel
Assetprices&
Assetprices&
wealthchannel
wealthchannel
Interest Rates as a Key Monetary Transmission
Mechanism
The official interest rate is the most popular tool through which central banks
influence the economy
Exceptions affect the future course of the economy and confidence level in
asset prices & exchange rate.
Monetary policy influences economic activity by changing the incentives for saving
Interest rates affect the economy by influencing the decision of saving, borrowing and
spending money.
& investment. This channel affects consumption, housing investment and business
investment.
Interest Rate
reward for saving
cost of borrowing
r⬆️....borrowing ⬇️
cost of borrowing⬆️
yd⬇️
r⬆️... reward for saving ⬆️
savings⬆️
interest income ⬆️
3-Assetprices&wealthchannel
3-Assetprices&wealthchannel
When the Central bank buys securities, Cash replaces securities in investor accounts, banks have excess
reserves, more funds are available for lending, the money supply increases, and interest rates decrease.
(FED's most commonly used tool)
In 2008, banks around the world lost
equity capital and desired to rebuild it.
Central banks began a policy termed
quantitative easing, where large amounts
of mortgage securities were purchased
from banks to encourage bank lending
and to reduce mortgage rates in an
attempt to revive the housing market,
which had collapsed
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US) fred.stlouisfed.org
Millions
of
U.S.
Dollars
9,000,000
8,000,000
7,000,000
6,000,000
5,000,000
4,000,000
3,000,000
2,000,000
1,000,000
0
2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022
Higher interest rates also lower other securities prices, such as equities. This is because expected
future returns are discounted by a larger factor
Nominal Broad U.S. Dollar Index
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US) fred.stlouisfed.org
Index
Jan
2006=100
130.0
127.5
125.0
122.5
120.0
117.5
115.0
112.5
110.0
2021-01 2021-04 2021-07 2021-10 2022-01 2022-04 2022-07 2022-10
⬆️interest rate... attract foreign
investment in debt securities,
leading to an appreciation of the
domestic currency relative to
foreign currencies
Exchange rate changes lead to
changes in the relative prices of
domestic and foreign goods and
services, at least for a while,
though some of these price
changes may take many months
to work their way through to the
domestic economy,and even
longer to affect the pattern of
spending.
4-Exchange Rate
Fixed currencies
consider a country that has targeted an exchange rate for its currency versus the U.S. dollar. If the
foreign exchange value of the domestic currency falls relative to the U.S. dollar, the monetary authority
must use foreign reserves to purchase their domestic currency (which will reduce money supply
growth and increase interest rates) in order to reach the target exchange rate. (ex: HKD,BHD & AED)
September 2022, The FED decided to raise interest
rates by 75 bps and Saudi Central Bank, Central
Bank of Bahrain, Qatar Central Bank and the
Central Bank of the U.A.E. followed the FED's
footsteps
Monetary Policy in Developing Economies
Absence of an liquid market in their government debt interest rate
information may be distorted and open market operations difficult to implement
Central banks may lack credibility because of past failure to maintain inflation rates in a target band
may not be given independence by the political authority
Thank
Thank
Thank
you!
you!
you!

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Monetary Policy

  • 1. Monetary Policy Transmission Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanisms Mechanisms
  • 2. The monetary transmission mechanism refers to the process through which monetary policy decisions affect economic growth, prices, and other aspects of the economy.
  • 3. is a change in one thing causes a change in something else, step by step
  • 4.
  • 5. What are the monetray policy tools that the central bank will use to achieve its goals step by step ?
  • 6. Channels of Monetary Policy Exchange Rate Channel Assetprices& Assetprices& wealthchannel wealthchannel
  • 7. Interest Rates as a Key Monetary Transmission Mechanism The official interest rate is the most popular tool through which central banks influence the economy Exceptions affect the future course of the economy and confidence level in asset prices & exchange rate.
  • 8. Monetary policy influences economic activity by changing the incentives for saving Interest rates affect the economy by influencing the decision of saving, borrowing and spending money. & investment. This channel affects consumption, housing investment and business investment.
  • 9.
  • 10. Interest Rate reward for saving cost of borrowing r⬆️....borrowing ⬇️ cost of borrowing⬆️ yd⬇️ r⬆️... reward for saving ⬆️ savings⬆️ interest income ⬆️
  • 11. 3-Assetprices&wealthchannel 3-Assetprices&wealthchannel When the Central bank buys securities, Cash replaces securities in investor accounts, banks have excess reserves, more funds are available for lending, the money supply increases, and interest rates decrease. (FED's most commonly used tool)
  • 12. In 2008, banks around the world lost equity capital and desired to rebuild it. Central banks began a policy termed quantitative easing, where large amounts of mortgage securities were purchased from banks to encourage bank lending and to reduce mortgage rates in an attempt to revive the housing market, which had collapsed Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US) fred.stlouisfed.org Millions of U.S. Dollars 9,000,000 8,000,000 7,000,000 6,000,000 5,000,000 4,000,000 3,000,000 2,000,000 1,000,000 0 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022
  • 13. Higher interest rates also lower other securities prices, such as equities. This is because expected future returns are discounted by a larger factor
  • 14. Nominal Broad U.S. Dollar Index Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US) fred.stlouisfed.org Index Jan 2006=100 130.0 127.5 125.0 122.5 120.0 117.5 115.0 112.5 110.0 2021-01 2021-04 2021-07 2021-10 2022-01 2022-04 2022-07 2022-10 ⬆️interest rate... attract foreign investment in debt securities, leading to an appreciation of the domestic currency relative to foreign currencies Exchange rate changes lead to changes in the relative prices of domestic and foreign goods and services, at least for a while, though some of these price changes may take many months to work their way through to the domestic economy,and even longer to affect the pattern of spending. 4-Exchange Rate
  • 15. Fixed currencies consider a country that has targeted an exchange rate for its currency versus the U.S. dollar. If the foreign exchange value of the domestic currency falls relative to the U.S. dollar, the monetary authority must use foreign reserves to purchase their domestic currency (which will reduce money supply growth and increase interest rates) in order to reach the target exchange rate. (ex: HKD,BHD & AED) September 2022, The FED decided to raise interest rates by 75 bps and Saudi Central Bank, Central Bank of Bahrain, Qatar Central Bank and the Central Bank of the U.A.E. followed the FED's footsteps
  • 16. Monetary Policy in Developing Economies Absence of an liquid market in their government debt interest rate information may be distorted and open market operations difficult to implement Central banks may lack credibility because of past failure to maintain inflation rates in a target band may not be given independence by the political authority