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SEGMENT FOCUS
Wealth Managers 2018
Q1: Asset Managers
Q2: Wealth Managers
Q3: Alternative Asset Managers
Q4:Trust Banks
VALUE FOCUS
Asset Management Industry
Overview	 1
Market Overview	 2
MA Review	 4
Asset Manager
Multiples by Sector	 6
About Mercer Capital	 7
Memphis | Dallas | Nashville » 800.769.0967 » www.mercercapital.com
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Asset Management Industry Second Quarter 2018
© 2018 Mercer Capital 1 www.mercercapital.com
Segment Focus: Wealth Managers
Opportunities Abound Despite Headwinds
Wealth management firms have fared well in recent years on
the back of rising markets, but the underlying drivers suggest
an industry in flux – global investible assets are at all-time
highs, intergenerational wealth transfer is accelerating,
and fintech products are poised to disrupt. And yet, many
analysts are skeptical about the industry’s prospects. Rising
global wealth means that there are more assets for wealth
managers to manage, and intergenerational wealth transfer
means that there are also more opportunities to gain (and
lose) clients. Fintech products threaten competition, but also
offer efficiencies for agile firms. Depending on your point of
view, the industry is either poised to grow or on the verge of
massive disruption.
One thing is clear: the wealth management industry has
benefited from the fact that global wealth – and demand for
wealth management services – is at all-time highs. According
to Capgemini’s 2018 World Wealth Report, global wealth
held by high net worth (HNW) individuals grew 10.6% to
more than $70 trillion in 2017. More wealth means, well,
more wealth to manage, and revenue at wealth management
firms has generally increased with the market. But for wealth
managers, business is also a function of who holds that
wealth – and that is changing. As baby boomers continue
to retire over the next decade, trillions of dollars of wealth will
be transferred to a younger generation. This massive wealth
churn is an opportunity for wealth management firms to attract
a new, younger client base, but wealth managers face several
challenges in appealing to that new demographic.
One such challenge is the industry’s aging advisor base.
According to data from EY, the average advisor is now 50
years old, and only 5% of advisors are under 30. As assets
move from one generation to the next, a weak pipeline of
new advisors is a looming threat for the industry. The age
gap between clients and their advisors is poised to create
real difficulties in attracting and retaining an evolving client
demographic, particularly given the increasing prominence of
fintech-based competition. A lack of succession planning at
many wealth management firms will only exacerbate these
problems.
With a changing client demographic also comes changing
expectations, and wealth management firms face pressure to
adapt their service and product offerings as a result – most
notably through changing the way that they utilize technology.
On its face, fintech-based wealth management products
appear to be a threat to traditional human advisors, and
less agile firms will likely find this to be true. But for other
firms, fintech-based solutions offer an opportunity to increase
advisor efficiency and meet regulatory requirements by
utilizing hybrid advice models. By utilizing fintech solutions,
wealth management firms can free up advisors from routine
tasks and allow advisors to offer a greater breadth of client
services and improve client relationships.
Stay Up-to-Date with Our
RIA Valuation Insights Blog
Updated weekly, Mercer Capital’s Asset Management team
addresses issues important to the wealth management
industry on our RIA Valuation Insights blog.
Focus Financial’s recent IPO has dominated much of
the industry’s recent headlines. We offer our take on its
pricing levels in the post “Now That Focus Has Priced –
Is It Pricey?”
Focus’ strategy naturally raises questions on succession
planning and consolidation as noted in this newsletter and
our post “Does the Money Management Industry Need
Consolidation?”
Learn more about the blog and subscribe for future updates
at mercercapital.com/riavaluationinsights.
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Asset Management Industry Second Quarter 2018
© 2018 Mercer Capital 2 www.mercercapital.com
Despite its potential benefits, technology is also partly
responsible for the continued fee pressure wealth managers
face. According to data from McKinsey  Company,
pricing on fee-based accounts dropped by five basis points
to 1.08% in 2017. Establishing a personal connection with
clients is one way wealth management firms can differentiate
themselves to help maintain pricing power. According to
a 2018 study by Capgemini, only 56% of HNW individuals
said they connected strongly with their advisor. This low
satisfaction comes despite the strong market returns over the
last two years, which suggests that performance is not the
only concern of wealth management clients.
The current fee-conscious environment favors advisors that
offer a value proposition that software cannot replicate at a lower
cost. And ultimately, such a value proposition will likely need to
be based on establishing real relationships with clients. Growing
revenue on the back of strong markets may have masked the
changes in the business for many wealth management firms,
and the party may end if equity markets normalize going forward.
One thing the industry has going for it is that the demand for
wealth management services is clearly there – and increasingly
so. The performance of wealth management firms will depend
in large part on how well individual firms are able to adapt to an
evolving landscape to capture growing demand.
Market Overview
RIA Stocks Post Mixed Performance During Second Quarter
Over the last several years, asset managers have benefited
from global increases in financial wealth driven by a bull
market in asset prices. But favorable trends in asset prices
have masked some of the headwinds the industry faces,
including increasing consumer skepticism of high-fee active
products and regulatory overhang.
Traditional active managers have felt these pressures most
acutely, as undifferentiated active products have struggled
to withstand downward fee pressure and at the same time
have been a major target of regulatory developments. To
combat fee pressure, traditional asset managers have had
to either pursue scale (e.g. BlackRock) or offer products
that are truly differentiated (something that is difficult to do
with scale). Consumers have been more receptive to the
value proposition of alternative asset managers and wealth
managers, and these businesses are better positioned to
withstand fee pressure as a result.
Perhaps reflective of the headwinds that the industry faces,
asset managers generally underperformed broad market
indices during the second quarter. While major indices
regained traction during the second quarter, the returns for
asset managers were generally more muted even though
these businesses generally benefit from rising markets. The
operating leverage inherent in the business model of most
asset managers suggests that market movements tend to
have an amplified effect on the profitability (and stock prices)
of these businesses, and in recent quarters that has been
the case. The reversal of that trend last quarter may be
indicative of investors’ increasing focus on the headwinds the
industry faces and the general uncertainty that arises late in
the economic cycle.
Taking a closer look at recent pricing reveals that traditional
asset managers, which are perhaps the most affected by fee
compression trends, ended the quarter down 3.7%, while
other categories of asset managers generally saw positive
returns during the quarter. Trust banks were up 2.4% during
the quarter, buoyed by a steadily rising yield curve which
portends higher NIM spreads and reinvestment income.
Alternative asset managers were up 2.8% during the quarter
as this product segment is less impacted by fee pressure
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Asset Management Industry Second Quarter 2018
© 2018 Mercer Capital
Data Source: SP Global Market Intelligence
3 www.mercercapital.com
category of RIAs with only two components. Due to the
lack of diversification, the smallest category of RIAs is
subject to a high degree of volatility due to company-specific
developments. Most of our clients fall under this size
category, and we can definitively say that these businesses
(in aggregate) have not lost nearly 15% of their value since
April as suggested by this graph.
than traditional active products. Wealth managers were up
3.8% during the quarter, buoyed by market-driven increases
in AUM, although these businesses face challenges with
new client acquisition and maintaining pricing power.
The RIA size graph shows a similar trend for most of its
categories. The smallest category of publicly traded RIAs
(those with less than $10 billion AUM) was down nearly
15% during the quarter, although this is the least diversified
Chart 3: Asset Manager Performance by Sector
Second Quarter 2018
Chart 4: Asset Manager Performance by Size
Second Quarter 2018
90
95
100
105
110
115
Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18
SP 500 Alternative Asset Managers Traditional Asset Managers Wealth Managers Trust Banks
85
90
95
100
105
110
Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18
SP 500 $10 - $100B AUM $100 - $500B AUM $500B+ AUM Less than $10B AUM
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Asset Management Industry Second Quarter 2018
© 2018 Mercer Capital 4 www.mercercapital.com
Asset manager MA was robust through the first two quarters
of 2018 against a backdrop of volatile market conditions.
Total deal count during the first half of 2018 increased 60%
versus the same period during 2017, and total disclosed deal
value was up nearly as much. In terms of deal volume, MA
is on pace to reach the highest levels since 2009, although
we note that the quarterly data can be lumpy. Several trends
which have driven the uptick in sector MA have continued
into 2018, including revenue and cost pressures, RIA
aggregators, and an increasing interest from bank acquirers.
The underpinnings of the MA trend we’ve seen in the sector
include increasing compliance and technology costs, broadly
declining fees, aging shareholder bases, and slowing organic
growth for many active managers. While these pressures
have been compressing margins for years, sector MA has
historically been muted, due in part to challenges specific
to asset manager combinations, including the risks of
cultural incompatibility and size impeding alpha generation.
Nevertheless, the industry structure has a high degree of
operating leverage, which suggests that scale could alleviate
margin pressure as long as it doesn’t inhibit performance.
“Since I’ve been in the industry, there’s been
declarations of massive consolidation. I do think
though, this time there are a set of factors in place
that weren’t in place before, where scale does matter,
largely driven by the cost coming out of the regulatory
environments and the low rate environments in cyber
and alike. And, you have to be, as a firm, you have to
be able to invest in the future. And I think a number of
smaller-sized firms are finding that hard.”
Martin Flanagan - President and CEO, Invesco Ltd.
1Q17 Earnings Call
Asset Manager MA Activity
Continues to Accelerate in 2018
“You need to have, of course, the right product set.
But you need especially to have underlying firms,
which are positioned as best they can in terms of
alignment and focus to sustain alpha generation. And
in that respect, scale is the enemy, not the friend.”
Sean Healey, Affiliated Managers Group Inc
1Q17 Earnings Call
Consolidation pressures in the industry are largely the
result of secular trends. On the revenue side, realized fees
continue to decrease as funds flow from active to passive. On
the cost side, an evolving regulatory environment threatens
increasing technology and compliance costs. Over the past
several years, these consolidation rationales have led to a
significant uptick in the number of transactions as firms seek
to realize economies of scale, enhance product offerings,
and gain distribution leverage.
Acquisition activity in the sector has been led primarily by
RIA consolidators, with Focus Financial Partners (which
submitted IPO filings this May), Mercer Advisors (no
relation), and United Capital Advisors each acquiring multiple
RIAs over the last year. While these serial acquirers account
for most of the MA activity in the sector, banks have also
been increasingly active acquirers of RIAs in their hunt for
returns not tied to interest rate movements. Despite a rising
yield curve and the negative impact of goodwill on tangible
book value, we suspect that RIAs will remain attractive
targets for bank acquirers due to the high margins (relative
to many other financial services businesses), low capital
requirements, and cross-selling opportunities.
Recent increases in MA activity come against a backdrop of
a bull market in asset prices that has continued through the
second quarter of 2018. Steady market gains have more than
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Asset Management Industry Second Quarter 2018
© 2018 Mercer Capital 5 www.mercercapital.com
offset the consistent and significant negative AUM outflows
that many active managers have seen over the past several
years. In 2016, for example, active mutual funds’ assets
grew to $11 trillion from $10.7 trillion, despite $400 billion in
net outflows according to data from Bloomberg. Because of
increasing AUM and concomitant revenue growth, profitability
has trended upwards despite industry headwinds that seem
to rationalize consolidation.
With no end in sight for the consolidation pressures facing
the industry, asset manager MA appears positioned for
continued strength or potential acceleration regardless of
which way the markets move during the rest of 2018. Given
the uncertainty of asset flows in the sector, we expect firms
to continue to seek bolt-on acquisitions that offer scale and
known cost savings from back office efficiencies. Expanding
distribution footprints and product offerings will also continue
to be a key acquisition rationale as firms have struggled with
organic growth. With over 11,000 RIAs currently operating
in the U.S., the industry is still very fragmented and ripe for
consolidation. An aging ownership base is another impetus,
and recent market gains might induce prospective sellers to
finally pull the trigger. More broadly, the recent tax reform
bill is expected to free up foreign-held cash and increase
earnings, which could further facilitate MA’s upward trend
during the rest of 2018.
Asset Manager MA (2008 – Q2 2018)
0
50
100
150
200
250
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12
$14
$16
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1H 2018
Volume ($ billions, left axis) Deal Count (right axis)
Source: Bloomberg
Transactions involving US-based targets and buyers
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Asset Management Industry Second Quarter 2018
© 2018 Mercer Capital
Data Source: SP Global Market Intelligence
6 www.mercercapital.com
Pricing as of June 30, 2018
Ticker
6/30/2018
Stock Price
% of
52 Week
High
Price /
Trailing EPS
Price /
Forward
EPS
Enterprise
Value /
AUM (%)
Enterprise
Value /
EBITDA
TRADITIONAL ASSET MANAGERS
Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. AMG $148.67 68.7% 11.0x 10.8x 1.39 11.9x
BlackRock, Inc. BLK 499.04 84.8% 21.1x 18.0x 1.32 13.6x
Legg Mason, Inc. LM 34.73 74.9% 12.4x 10.3x 0.61 11.5x
Pzena Investment Management, Inc. PZN 9.21 73.1% -8.3x 11.7x 1.71 7.7x
Westwood Holdings Group, Inc. WHG 59.54 86.2% 18.3x nm 2.15 12.3x
Group Median 74.9% 12.4x 11.2x 1.39 11.9x
MUTUAL FUNDS
AllianceBerstein Investments, Inc. AB $28.55 95.8% 11.0x 10.8x 0.52 nm
Cohen  Steers, Inc. CNS 41.71 88.7% 17.6x 17.0x 3.00 10.7x
INVESCO Ltd. IVZ 26.56 70.5% 11.2x 9.8x 1.24 7.0x
Franklin Resources, Inc. BEN 32.05 74.8% 9.9x 11.2x 1.31 4.0x
Diamond Hill Investment Group, Inc. DHIL 194.43 89.6% 15.1x nm 2.92 7.9x
Eaton Vance Corp. EV 52.19 86.6% 17.8x 16.3x nm 11.3x
Hennessy Advisors, Inc, HNNA 17.35 87.2% 8.4x nm 2.18 5.7x
Manning  Napier, Inc. MN 3.10 72.9% 2.4x 14.4x nm nm
T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. TROW 116.09 91.6% 18.4x 15.8x 2.79 11.6x
U.S. Global Investors, Inc. GROW 1.61 21.6% 42.5x nm 2.80 nm
Waddell  Reed Financial, Inc. WDR 17.97 76.4% 10.4x 8.3x 1.75 5.7x
Federated Investors, Inc. FII 23.32 64.6% 10.4x 10.4x 0.59 6.1x
Virtus Investment Partners, Inc. VRTS 127.95 92.7% 17.0x 10.3x 1.59 8.8x
Group Median 86.6% 11.2x 11.0x 1.75 7.4x
ALTERNATIVE ASSET MANAGERS
Apollo Global Management, LLC APO $31.87 88.1% 72.4x 21.5x 3.46 8.4x
Blackstone Group L.P. BX 32.17 88.9% nm 10.5x 11.35 12.3x
Carlyle Group, L.P, CG 21.30 84.4% 9.2x 8.6x 4.11 6.0x
Kohlberg Kravis Roberts  Co. KKR 24.85 99.0% 15.3x 15.4x 20.20 nm
Oaktree Capital Group, LLC OAK 40.65 89.4% 10.1x 14.5x 9.37 11.2x
Och-Ziff Capital Mgmt Group LLC OZM 1.93 51.1% 1.7x 5.3x 2.97 3.5x
Group Median 88.5% 10.1x 12.5x 6.74 8.4x
TRUST BANKS
Northern Trust Corporation NTRS $102.89 93.2% 19.2x 15.5x nm nm
Bank of New York Mellon Corporation BK 53.93 92.2% 14.6x 12.9x nm nm
State Street Corporation STT 93.09 82.2% 13.6x 12.3x nm nm
Group Median 92.2% 14.6x 12.9x nm nm
OVERALL MEDIAN 86.2% 13.0x 11.7x 2.16 8.6x
Asset Manager Multiples by Sector
5100 Poplar Avenue, Suite 2600
Memphis, Tennessee 38137
Segment Focus: Wealth Managers
Market Overview
MA Review
Asset Manager Multiples by Sector
In This Issue
Copyright © 2018 Mercer Capital Management, Inc. All rights reserved. It is illegal under Federal law to reproduce this publication or any portion of its contents without the publisher’s
permission. Media quotations with source attribution are encouraged. Reporters requesting additional information or editorial comment should contact Barbara Walters Price at 901.685.2120.
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus is published quarterly and does not constitute legal or financial consulting advice. It is offered as an information service to our clients and friends. Those
interested in specific guidance for legal or accounting matters should seek competent professional advice. Inquiries to discuss specific valuation matters are welcomed. To add your name
to our mailing list to receive this complimentary publication, visit our web site at www.mercercapital.com.
As one of the largest valuation firms in the United States, Mercer Capital provides asset managers, trust companies, and investment consultants
with corporate valuation, financial reporting valuation, transaction advisory, portfolio valuation, and related services.
Matt Crow, ASA, CFA
President
901.322.9728
crowm@mercercapital.com
Mercer Capital is a business valuation and financial advisory firm serving a global client base. Business valuation services are provided for a
wide variety of needs, including but not limited to corporate valuation services, tax compliance, litigation support, financial statement reporting
compliance, and employee stock ownership plans. Our clients range from public to private, from smaller companies to large multi-nationals in a
broad range of industries, as well as numerous governmental agencies. In addition, Mercer Capital provides investment banking and corporate
advisory services including sell-side and buy-side merger  acquisition representation, fairness opinions, solvency opinions, business interest
and securities valuation, among others.
Brooks Hamner, CFA, ASA
Vice President
901.322.9714
hamnerb@mercercapital.com
About Value Focus Asset Management Industry
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus is a quarterly publication providing perspective on valuation issues pertinent to asset managers, wealth managers,
trust companies, and investment consultants.Each issue highlights a market segment:1st quarter:Asset Managers, 2nd quarter:Wealth Managers,
3rd quarter: Alternative Asset Managers, and 4th quarter: Trust Banks. View past issues at www.mercercapital.com.
About Mercer Capital
Zachary W. Milam
Senior Financial Analyst
901.322.9705
milamz@mercercapital.com
www.mercercapital.com

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Mercer Capital's Asset Management Industry Newsletter | Q2 2018 | Focus: Wealth Managers

  • 1. SEGMENT FOCUS Wealth Managers 2018 Q1: Asset Managers Q2: Wealth Managers Q3: Alternative Asset Managers Q4:Trust Banks VALUE FOCUS Asset Management Industry Overview 1 Market Overview 2 MA Review 4 Asset Manager Multiples by Sector 6 About Mercer Capital 7 Memphis | Dallas | Nashville » 800.769.0967 » www.mercercapital.com
  • 2. Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Asset Management Industry Second Quarter 2018 © 2018 Mercer Capital 1 www.mercercapital.com Segment Focus: Wealth Managers Opportunities Abound Despite Headwinds Wealth management firms have fared well in recent years on the back of rising markets, but the underlying drivers suggest an industry in flux – global investible assets are at all-time highs, intergenerational wealth transfer is accelerating, and fintech products are poised to disrupt. And yet, many analysts are skeptical about the industry’s prospects. Rising global wealth means that there are more assets for wealth managers to manage, and intergenerational wealth transfer means that there are also more opportunities to gain (and lose) clients. Fintech products threaten competition, but also offer efficiencies for agile firms. Depending on your point of view, the industry is either poised to grow or on the verge of massive disruption. One thing is clear: the wealth management industry has benefited from the fact that global wealth – and demand for wealth management services – is at all-time highs. According to Capgemini’s 2018 World Wealth Report, global wealth held by high net worth (HNW) individuals grew 10.6% to more than $70 trillion in 2017. More wealth means, well, more wealth to manage, and revenue at wealth management firms has generally increased with the market. But for wealth managers, business is also a function of who holds that wealth – and that is changing. As baby boomers continue to retire over the next decade, trillions of dollars of wealth will be transferred to a younger generation. This massive wealth churn is an opportunity for wealth management firms to attract a new, younger client base, but wealth managers face several challenges in appealing to that new demographic. One such challenge is the industry’s aging advisor base. According to data from EY, the average advisor is now 50 years old, and only 5% of advisors are under 30. As assets move from one generation to the next, a weak pipeline of new advisors is a looming threat for the industry. The age gap between clients and their advisors is poised to create real difficulties in attracting and retaining an evolving client demographic, particularly given the increasing prominence of fintech-based competition. A lack of succession planning at many wealth management firms will only exacerbate these problems. With a changing client demographic also comes changing expectations, and wealth management firms face pressure to adapt their service and product offerings as a result – most notably through changing the way that they utilize technology. On its face, fintech-based wealth management products appear to be a threat to traditional human advisors, and less agile firms will likely find this to be true. But for other firms, fintech-based solutions offer an opportunity to increase advisor efficiency and meet regulatory requirements by utilizing hybrid advice models. By utilizing fintech solutions, wealth management firms can free up advisors from routine tasks and allow advisors to offer a greater breadth of client services and improve client relationships. Stay Up-to-Date with Our RIA Valuation Insights Blog Updated weekly, Mercer Capital’s Asset Management team addresses issues important to the wealth management industry on our RIA Valuation Insights blog. Focus Financial’s recent IPO has dominated much of the industry’s recent headlines. We offer our take on its pricing levels in the post “Now That Focus Has Priced – Is It Pricey?” Focus’ strategy naturally raises questions on succession planning and consolidation as noted in this newsletter and our post “Does the Money Management Industry Need Consolidation?” Learn more about the blog and subscribe for future updates at mercercapital.com/riavaluationinsights.
  • 3. Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Asset Management Industry Second Quarter 2018 © 2018 Mercer Capital 2 www.mercercapital.com Despite its potential benefits, technology is also partly responsible for the continued fee pressure wealth managers face. According to data from McKinsey Company, pricing on fee-based accounts dropped by five basis points to 1.08% in 2017. Establishing a personal connection with clients is one way wealth management firms can differentiate themselves to help maintain pricing power. According to a 2018 study by Capgemini, only 56% of HNW individuals said they connected strongly with their advisor. This low satisfaction comes despite the strong market returns over the last two years, which suggests that performance is not the only concern of wealth management clients. The current fee-conscious environment favors advisors that offer a value proposition that software cannot replicate at a lower cost. And ultimately, such a value proposition will likely need to be based on establishing real relationships with clients. Growing revenue on the back of strong markets may have masked the changes in the business for many wealth management firms, and the party may end if equity markets normalize going forward. One thing the industry has going for it is that the demand for wealth management services is clearly there – and increasingly so. The performance of wealth management firms will depend in large part on how well individual firms are able to adapt to an evolving landscape to capture growing demand. Market Overview RIA Stocks Post Mixed Performance During Second Quarter Over the last several years, asset managers have benefited from global increases in financial wealth driven by a bull market in asset prices. But favorable trends in asset prices have masked some of the headwinds the industry faces, including increasing consumer skepticism of high-fee active products and regulatory overhang. Traditional active managers have felt these pressures most acutely, as undifferentiated active products have struggled to withstand downward fee pressure and at the same time have been a major target of regulatory developments. To combat fee pressure, traditional asset managers have had to either pursue scale (e.g. BlackRock) or offer products that are truly differentiated (something that is difficult to do with scale). Consumers have been more receptive to the value proposition of alternative asset managers and wealth managers, and these businesses are better positioned to withstand fee pressure as a result. Perhaps reflective of the headwinds that the industry faces, asset managers generally underperformed broad market indices during the second quarter. While major indices regained traction during the second quarter, the returns for asset managers were generally more muted even though these businesses generally benefit from rising markets. The operating leverage inherent in the business model of most asset managers suggests that market movements tend to have an amplified effect on the profitability (and stock prices) of these businesses, and in recent quarters that has been the case. The reversal of that trend last quarter may be indicative of investors’ increasing focus on the headwinds the industry faces and the general uncertainty that arises late in the economic cycle. Taking a closer look at recent pricing reveals that traditional asset managers, which are perhaps the most affected by fee compression trends, ended the quarter down 3.7%, while other categories of asset managers generally saw positive returns during the quarter. Trust banks were up 2.4% during the quarter, buoyed by a steadily rising yield curve which portends higher NIM spreads and reinvestment income. Alternative asset managers were up 2.8% during the quarter as this product segment is less impacted by fee pressure
  • 4. Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Asset Management Industry Second Quarter 2018 © 2018 Mercer Capital Data Source: SP Global Market Intelligence 3 www.mercercapital.com category of RIAs with only two components. Due to the lack of diversification, the smallest category of RIAs is subject to a high degree of volatility due to company-specific developments. Most of our clients fall under this size category, and we can definitively say that these businesses (in aggregate) have not lost nearly 15% of their value since April as suggested by this graph. than traditional active products. Wealth managers were up 3.8% during the quarter, buoyed by market-driven increases in AUM, although these businesses face challenges with new client acquisition and maintaining pricing power. The RIA size graph shows a similar trend for most of its categories. The smallest category of publicly traded RIAs (those with less than $10 billion AUM) was down nearly 15% during the quarter, although this is the least diversified Chart 3: Asset Manager Performance by Sector Second Quarter 2018 Chart 4: Asset Manager Performance by Size Second Quarter 2018 90 95 100 105 110 115 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 SP 500 Alternative Asset Managers Traditional Asset Managers Wealth Managers Trust Banks 85 90 95 100 105 110 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 SP 500 $10 - $100B AUM $100 - $500B AUM $500B+ AUM Less than $10B AUM
  • 5. Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Asset Management Industry Second Quarter 2018 © 2018 Mercer Capital 4 www.mercercapital.com Asset manager MA was robust through the first two quarters of 2018 against a backdrop of volatile market conditions. Total deal count during the first half of 2018 increased 60% versus the same period during 2017, and total disclosed deal value was up nearly as much. In terms of deal volume, MA is on pace to reach the highest levels since 2009, although we note that the quarterly data can be lumpy. Several trends which have driven the uptick in sector MA have continued into 2018, including revenue and cost pressures, RIA aggregators, and an increasing interest from bank acquirers. The underpinnings of the MA trend we’ve seen in the sector include increasing compliance and technology costs, broadly declining fees, aging shareholder bases, and slowing organic growth for many active managers. While these pressures have been compressing margins for years, sector MA has historically been muted, due in part to challenges specific to asset manager combinations, including the risks of cultural incompatibility and size impeding alpha generation. Nevertheless, the industry structure has a high degree of operating leverage, which suggests that scale could alleviate margin pressure as long as it doesn’t inhibit performance. “Since I’ve been in the industry, there’s been declarations of massive consolidation. I do think though, this time there are a set of factors in place that weren’t in place before, where scale does matter, largely driven by the cost coming out of the regulatory environments and the low rate environments in cyber and alike. And, you have to be, as a firm, you have to be able to invest in the future. And I think a number of smaller-sized firms are finding that hard.” Martin Flanagan - President and CEO, Invesco Ltd. 1Q17 Earnings Call Asset Manager MA Activity Continues to Accelerate in 2018 “You need to have, of course, the right product set. But you need especially to have underlying firms, which are positioned as best they can in terms of alignment and focus to sustain alpha generation. And in that respect, scale is the enemy, not the friend.” Sean Healey, Affiliated Managers Group Inc 1Q17 Earnings Call Consolidation pressures in the industry are largely the result of secular trends. On the revenue side, realized fees continue to decrease as funds flow from active to passive. On the cost side, an evolving regulatory environment threatens increasing technology and compliance costs. Over the past several years, these consolidation rationales have led to a significant uptick in the number of transactions as firms seek to realize economies of scale, enhance product offerings, and gain distribution leverage. Acquisition activity in the sector has been led primarily by RIA consolidators, with Focus Financial Partners (which submitted IPO filings this May), Mercer Advisors (no relation), and United Capital Advisors each acquiring multiple RIAs over the last year. While these serial acquirers account for most of the MA activity in the sector, banks have also been increasingly active acquirers of RIAs in their hunt for returns not tied to interest rate movements. Despite a rising yield curve and the negative impact of goodwill on tangible book value, we suspect that RIAs will remain attractive targets for bank acquirers due to the high margins (relative to many other financial services businesses), low capital requirements, and cross-selling opportunities. Recent increases in MA activity come against a backdrop of a bull market in asset prices that has continued through the second quarter of 2018. Steady market gains have more than
  • 6. Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Asset Management Industry Second Quarter 2018 © 2018 Mercer Capital 5 www.mercercapital.com offset the consistent and significant negative AUM outflows that many active managers have seen over the past several years. In 2016, for example, active mutual funds’ assets grew to $11 trillion from $10.7 trillion, despite $400 billion in net outflows according to data from Bloomberg. Because of increasing AUM and concomitant revenue growth, profitability has trended upwards despite industry headwinds that seem to rationalize consolidation. With no end in sight for the consolidation pressures facing the industry, asset manager MA appears positioned for continued strength or potential acceleration regardless of which way the markets move during the rest of 2018. Given the uncertainty of asset flows in the sector, we expect firms to continue to seek bolt-on acquisitions that offer scale and known cost savings from back office efficiencies. Expanding distribution footprints and product offerings will also continue to be a key acquisition rationale as firms have struggled with organic growth. With over 11,000 RIAs currently operating in the U.S., the industry is still very fragmented and ripe for consolidation. An aging ownership base is another impetus, and recent market gains might induce prospective sellers to finally pull the trigger. More broadly, the recent tax reform bill is expected to free up foreign-held cash and increase earnings, which could further facilitate MA’s upward trend during the rest of 2018. Asset Manager MA (2008 – Q2 2018) 0 50 100 150 200 250 $0 $2 $4 $6 $8 $10 $12 $14 $16 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1H 2018 Volume ($ billions, left axis) Deal Count (right axis) Source: Bloomberg Transactions involving US-based targets and buyers
  • 7. Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Asset Management Industry Second Quarter 2018 © 2018 Mercer Capital Data Source: SP Global Market Intelligence 6 www.mercercapital.com Pricing as of June 30, 2018 Ticker 6/30/2018 Stock Price % of 52 Week High Price / Trailing EPS Price / Forward EPS Enterprise Value / AUM (%) Enterprise Value / EBITDA TRADITIONAL ASSET MANAGERS Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. AMG $148.67 68.7% 11.0x 10.8x 1.39 11.9x BlackRock, Inc. BLK 499.04 84.8% 21.1x 18.0x 1.32 13.6x Legg Mason, Inc. LM 34.73 74.9% 12.4x 10.3x 0.61 11.5x Pzena Investment Management, Inc. PZN 9.21 73.1% -8.3x 11.7x 1.71 7.7x Westwood Holdings Group, Inc. WHG 59.54 86.2% 18.3x nm 2.15 12.3x Group Median 74.9% 12.4x 11.2x 1.39 11.9x MUTUAL FUNDS AllianceBerstein Investments, Inc. AB $28.55 95.8% 11.0x 10.8x 0.52 nm Cohen Steers, Inc. CNS 41.71 88.7% 17.6x 17.0x 3.00 10.7x INVESCO Ltd. IVZ 26.56 70.5% 11.2x 9.8x 1.24 7.0x Franklin Resources, Inc. BEN 32.05 74.8% 9.9x 11.2x 1.31 4.0x Diamond Hill Investment Group, Inc. DHIL 194.43 89.6% 15.1x nm 2.92 7.9x Eaton Vance Corp. EV 52.19 86.6% 17.8x 16.3x nm 11.3x Hennessy Advisors, Inc, HNNA 17.35 87.2% 8.4x nm 2.18 5.7x Manning Napier, Inc. MN 3.10 72.9% 2.4x 14.4x nm nm T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. TROW 116.09 91.6% 18.4x 15.8x 2.79 11.6x U.S. Global Investors, Inc. GROW 1.61 21.6% 42.5x nm 2.80 nm Waddell Reed Financial, Inc. WDR 17.97 76.4% 10.4x 8.3x 1.75 5.7x Federated Investors, Inc. FII 23.32 64.6% 10.4x 10.4x 0.59 6.1x Virtus Investment Partners, Inc. VRTS 127.95 92.7% 17.0x 10.3x 1.59 8.8x Group Median 86.6% 11.2x 11.0x 1.75 7.4x ALTERNATIVE ASSET MANAGERS Apollo Global Management, LLC APO $31.87 88.1% 72.4x 21.5x 3.46 8.4x Blackstone Group L.P. BX 32.17 88.9% nm 10.5x 11.35 12.3x Carlyle Group, L.P, CG 21.30 84.4% 9.2x 8.6x 4.11 6.0x Kohlberg Kravis Roberts Co. KKR 24.85 99.0% 15.3x 15.4x 20.20 nm Oaktree Capital Group, LLC OAK 40.65 89.4% 10.1x 14.5x 9.37 11.2x Och-Ziff Capital Mgmt Group LLC OZM 1.93 51.1% 1.7x 5.3x 2.97 3.5x Group Median 88.5% 10.1x 12.5x 6.74 8.4x TRUST BANKS Northern Trust Corporation NTRS $102.89 93.2% 19.2x 15.5x nm nm Bank of New York Mellon Corporation BK 53.93 92.2% 14.6x 12.9x nm nm State Street Corporation STT 93.09 82.2% 13.6x 12.3x nm nm Group Median 92.2% 14.6x 12.9x nm nm OVERALL MEDIAN 86.2% 13.0x 11.7x 2.16 8.6x Asset Manager Multiples by Sector
  • 8. 5100 Poplar Avenue, Suite 2600 Memphis, Tennessee 38137 Segment Focus: Wealth Managers Market Overview MA Review Asset Manager Multiples by Sector In This Issue Copyright © 2018 Mercer Capital Management, Inc. All rights reserved. It is illegal under Federal law to reproduce this publication or any portion of its contents without the publisher’s permission. Media quotations with source attribution are encouraged. Reporters requesting additional information or editorial comment should contact Barbara Walters Price at 901.685.2120. Mercer Capital’s Value Focus is published quarterly and does not constitute legal or financial consulting advice. It is offered as an information service to our clients and friends. Those interested in specific guidance for legal or accounting matters should seek competent professional advice. Inquiries to discuss specific valuation matters are welcomed. To add your name to our mailing list to receive this complimentary publication, visit our web site at www.mercercapital.com. As one of the largest valuation firms in the United States, Mercer Capital provides asset managers, trust companies, and investment consultants with corporate valuation, financial reporting valuation, transaction advisory, portfolio valuation, and related services. Matt Crow, ASA, CFA President 901.322.9728 crowm@mercercapital.com Mercer Capital is a business valuation and financial advisory firm serving a global client base. Business valuation services are provided for a wide variety of needs, including but not limited to corporate valuation services, tax compliance, litigation support, financial statement reporting compliance, and employee stock ownership plans. Our clients range from public to private, from smaller companies to large multi-nationals in a broad range of industries, as well as numerous governmental agencies. In addition, Mercer Capital provides investment banking and corporate advisory services including sell-side and buy-side merger acquisition representation, fairness opinions, solvency opinions, business interest and securities valuation, among others. Brooks Hamner, CFA, ASA Vice President 901.322.9714 hamnerb@mercercapital.com About Value Focus Asset Management Industry Mercer Capital’s Value Focus is a quarterly publication providing perspective on valuation issues pertinent to asset managers, wealth managers, trust companies, and investment consultants.Each issue highlights a market segment:1st quarter:Asset Managers, 2nd quarter:Wealth Managers, 3rd quarter: Alternative Asset Managers, and 4th quarter: Trust Banks. View past issues at www.mercercapital.com. About Mercer Capital Zachary W. Milam Senior Financial Analyst 901.322.9705 milamz@mercercapital.com www.mercercapital.com